10x Genomics, Inc. (TXG) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
May 14, 2024
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Michael Ryskin
analystAll right. Thanks, everyone, for joining us. We'll kick off our next session. I'm Mike Ryskin on the Bank of America Life Science Tools and Diagnostics team. And joining us for our next session is 10x Genomics, and we're thrilled to host Serge Saxonov, Co-Founder and CEO; and Justin McAnear, Chief Financial Officer. Serge, Justin? Thank you.
Serge Saxonov
executiveThanks, Mike.
Justin McAnear
executiveThanks, Mike. Great to be here.
Michael Ryskin
analystThanks for coming, as always. I'll kick things off with our sort of starter question. The usual is let's recap recent results? Like how did 1Q play out relative to your expectations? Any key earnings you want to leave us with?
Justin McAnear
executiveMike, I'll start with that. As far as Q1 results go, when looking at the top line, top line came in relatively in line with expectations, a little bit below. But we did overdeliver on Spatial and under deliver on Chromium. And I would say, in digging into that, there's been a ton of enthusiasm on the Spatial side. This was the quarter that we launched Visium HD. That was one of the most highly anticipated products in 10x Genomics' history. I've been talking about that and it's been under development for a number of years. And on the Chromium side, this was also the quarter that we launched our new Chromium architecture, GMX. And we announced GEM-X at the AGBT Conference in February. And we also started talking about the impact that we expected to see during the GEM-X transition in our earnings call in February. And I think as far as understanding the basic mechanics of customers switching over from the next-gen architecture to the GEM-X architecture. We understood that there would be a trial period where customers would try out the new product, validate those results before going ahead and cutting over and ordering in larger quantities. And I do think those mechanics played out roughly as expected but the magnitude of the switchover with more customers trialing GEM-X was greater than we had anticipated.
Michael Ryskin
analystOkay. All right. I'll pick it up right there because I think that's where we had a lot of the debate is that GEM-X transition period sort of feels like that's obscuring underlying results because if you said it's going to change customer ordering patterns as they're going to be trialing out the new architecture. It's not really indicative of underlying demand for Chromium for single cell in the marketplace. So any data points you can point to or anything that you sort of warned over the last couple of months that gives you confidence that x percent of this is trial period, x percent of this is market demand, just sort of like parse that out and maybe [indiscernible] on what's going on there?
Serge Saxonov
executiveSo maybe I'll kind of at least start here on this question. So yes, last quarter was actually kind of as you think about the announcements we made, especially as you think about sort of the back half of the quarter was sort of we created kind of a log jam of launches -- multiple launches on all 3 platforms -- and, which created some challenges with the commercial team to deliver those products, those new launches to the customers and also in the customer is kind of the sort of the ability to parse through the new launches. The biggest transition there, we've talked about is sort of the Next GEM to GEM-X, and the thing to kind of recognize here is like we strongest our customers in the middle of the quarter at AGBT, and if what we're saying about GEM-X is true, then it wouldn't make any sense for a customer to continue to go forward with Next GEM unless they have a project already in flight and don't want to switch in the middle. But for everything new, for any new study, for any new experiment, it's -- GEM-X is really superior to Next GEM on every metric that matters to customers by -- oftentimes by a significant margin and is also cheaper. And so for any customer, it's just -- it became clearly sort of key imperative if they're going to proceed forward is to -- well, to either switch over to GEM-X immediately or to test what we're seeing is true. And there are certainly customers that have preceded along. But quite a few of them kind of paused and ordered GEM-X reagents to evaluate. And we're seeing this in the data in multiple ways. First of all, we can -- there's specific orders that got stalled and pushed out of the quarter. Some of them are substantial and large, some of them smaller. We see it in the numbers in terms of people ordering that have traditionally been ordering large-sized kit, 16 reaction kits, kind of a standard for single cell analysis or during smaller-size kits. So 4 reaction kits, so substantially smaller dollars in order to do this evaluation. So we're definitely seeing that effect. Of course, the effect has also convolved. Like I said, we had other launches. There's tons of interest in spatial that was also kind of slamming at our customers and ourselves team simultaneously with this transition. Those are the kind of the 2 biggest sort of dynamic effects in the quarter, I would point to.
Michael Ryskin
analystIn terms of the customers ordering smaller batches and maybe evaluating, anything you can say in terms of how many of your customers from 6 months ago have fully onboarded with GEM-X versus how many are still evaluating versus how many still have to evaluate? Just to give us a sense of how much longer this transition period could last?
Serge Saxonov
executiveYes. So I think there's a little bit of this counterintuitive element to these studies because the sort of the workflow actually takes the amount of time to get through. It takes some -- it takes surprising long usually for people to actually complete these studies because they have to order reagents, they have to set up the experiment, run the experiment, send the libraries off for sequencing, get the data back and then analyze and kind of make their decision. And so you can -- we can point to, for example, on the call, we refer to Fred Hutch, they kind of published. They talked about their findings in a series of tweets. And you can imagine that they were among the first cohort of customers to kind of place the order for the valuation, took them from that point on to talking about the results about 6 weeks. So it's not an immediate kind of flip to switch kind of thing. And the material fraction of the customers have been going through this process. We said on the call that about 1/3 or so of orders were coming through or of sales were coming through on GEM-X side, out of the -- out of both sort of Chromium consumables portfolio. And so it's been a fairly robust pickup but it's going to take some amount of time. The key thing here is really for like what we've been marching is the performance of the product and feedback. And that has been very, very positive. And so our expectation is, yes, Q1 was definitely kind of hit by this. We expect Q2 to also be going through this dynamic. But as we enter the back half of the year, we expect that to start largely clearing up.
Michael Ryskin
analystOkay. And you specifically mentioned Fred Hutch but maybe other customers beyond that, the ones have already gone through that 6-week or whatever long evaluation period. You're seeing them come back and start to order GEM-X and sort of like the same frequency, same volume, same utilization as you would have expected? So gives you confidence that this is a temporary transition?
Serge Saxonov
executiveThat's the expectation. It's still really early because very few people know Hutch was sort of at the front end of that evaluation but that's sort of the feedback that we're getting.
Michael Ryskin
analystOkay. All right. And then the other part of it is that was the under on Chromium. let's talk about the overall spatial, really strong quarter across the board. You've got a couple of different moving pieces there. You talked about Visium HD, you've also got Xenium. So what are the dynamics we should be keep in mind there in terms of the launch cycles?
Justin McAnear
executiveYes. So like I talked about at the beginning, Visium HD launch quarter for that. I do think that, that's a product that we've been talking about for quite some time. We've been messaging basically out of the field and out to customers that it was going to be coming soon. We've also been talking about the future of the Visium platform being on CytAssist. So there's been messaging linked to the launch of Visium HD, which has also helped sell the CytAssist instrument over the last year, and has the added benefit of just having a lot of customers that are trained up on the Visium workflow that are ready to adopt a new product like Visium HD when it launched. And then on the Xenium side, we had a big Q3 and a big Q4. We had a price increase that went into effect at the end of Q3, beginning of Q4, already raised the list price of the Xenium instrument. That had the effect, we believe, point forward demand into the back part of last year. And so the placements in Q4, relatively substantial. There was a step down coming into Q1 as we made progress on working through the backlog but placed roughly 50 instruments in Q1, and we're at over 300 Xenium instruments now sold. And then when you're looking at the Xenium consumables going from Q4 to Q1, maybe just starting at the Spatial consumables line in total. Most of the increase on that Spatial consumables line was driven by the Visium HD launch with Visium. So that implies that overall Xenium consumables roughly flat from Q4 into Q1. But keep in mind, there's a good amount of consumables that ship with the initial instrument. And so when you're looking at roughly half the instrument placements from Q4 to Q1 with consumables, consumables roughly flat. But I would say overall, when looking at the results from the quarter, Visium HD, the demand around that, I'd say, exceeded our expectations. And just great work by the team getting that product shipped in Q1. And overall, very, very excited about the results that we're seeing and it's getting a great reception from customers.
Michael Ryskin
analystOkay. Let's touch on Xenium consumables briefly just because you were just there. You talked about a lot being shipped initially with the instruments and you had a bolus of shipments in 3Q, 4Q. But as you look back through the earlier part of the year, the instruments you shipped in 1Q and 2Q of last year, have those customers sort of started to work through their initial delivery package of consumables? Are they coming back to reorder? Anything you're gleaming in terms of reorder rates and utilization rates on Xenium?
Justin McAnear
executiveYes. Customer usage has continued to pick up. I would say, the earlier -- the earliest customers are probably -- they're the -- they've had the most time since receiving the instrument. Their usage has been increasing over time. And so that's a little bit different than the more recent customers, of which I'd say there's a pretty wide dispersal around utilization rates in the more near-term placements, where customers typically go through, I'd say, about 2 quarters to ramp up. And then another thing that impacts the customer ramp-up time is whether they go with the customized panels or the fixed panels. And so if you go to customized route, it takes a little bit longer for the design and manufacture, and use and validation of that. But the signs that we're seeing with the earlier customers are really encouraging. But overall, when you're looking at the population of Xenium instrument placements, there's a pretty wide range of utilization rates still. And I don't know that we want to boil that down to an overall average just yet.
Michael Ryskin
analystOkay. I want to ask you about the number. If you want to give it, sure, but I want to ask you. But anything you're learning in terms of their preference or any trends that are coming up? Anything you just sort of from -- it's been a little bit over a year, right? So anything stuck out in terms of those trends and those usages?
Justin McAnear
executiveYes. There's a lot of -- like Justin says, there's a pretty wide dispersion of kind of how people are using it and how quickly they're ramping up. A big variable, like he mentioned, is like customization, whether they're like trying to set up custom panels that usually -- that is probably the biggest throttler in general in terms of usage. Some customers that definitely have ramped up and are kind of going to down, and we have examples of people ordering more Xenium because of sort of the demand and also planning to order more. So there's really definitely strong signs around that. We also -- one thing we didn't talk too much about, there is also the cell segmentation kit. That was something that we launched at the end of last quarter as well, and that had a bit of a stalling dynamic with some customers as well. They wanted to get that in place before proceeding to new experiments because it was like a really compelling kind of offering that a lot of people are waiting for. And now we're also kind of -- the next big thing coming on Xenium is 5K and I would say this is the 5,000 plex panel capability that's coming, and there's quite a bit of interest and excitement around that, more so than maybe I was kind of anticipating earlier. So going to have to see how that -- kind of how that plays out. But there's certainly quite a few customers are interested in that. And while that panel actually will take -- it will be a longer running time. So the kind of the effective little bit of [indiscernible] runs, you can do a little bit lower. The price for that is higher. And so on that, we also anticipate that to be ultimately sort of help overall pull-through.
Michael Ryskin
analystOkay. I want to take a step back and go back to something you called out earlier. Sort I think in your initial remarks, you get something along the lines of log jam of launches in the last 6 months. I think certainly -- you can kind of see that in the numbers and you talked about a number in times of the earnings calls. How do you work your way through that? How do you -- both with your customers and your sales force in terms of being able to pace things a little bit better going forward?
Serge Saxonov
executiveWell, the -- like -- it's not clear that we would have done necessarily done those launches in a different time frame that we did. It just it does create more of an issue in the near term. But we're always -- our focus is always in the long term, right, and making sure that we're doing the right thing for the company for the long term. And we also have a pretty strong imperative in the company oriented towards speed and making sure that we're delivering products as fast to the customers as we can, right, fast and at high quality. And so we don't sort of like the notion of it. If we have something developed, we don't like kind of waiting around. And yes, it does create some amount of friction sometimes in the decision-making process for customers and it does create an extra challenge on the commercial team. And we do recognize that. And part of what we're working on, have been working on is kind of setting up the commercial infrastructure for better scale to be able to support multiple product launches on multiple platforms simultaneously. I think that's the way that kind of you addressed the problem rather than kind of slowing down the cadence of our launches.
Michael Ryskin
analystYes. I think you touched on that a number of times during 2023 and that you may have overemphasized some of the Spatial at the expense of Chromium, now you're trying to balance that a little bit. Just how do you balance compensation for the sales force with these different moving pieces? And sort of how do you allocate between all the different parts of the portfolio, considering you've got all these different launches coming.
Serge Saxonov
executiveYes. So it's always -- it is a work in progress. We definitely recognized last year, we made this intentional effort to focus the organization on Spatial to really bring up the Xenium launch to make sure that goes really, really well. Obviously, that went well last year but it created the need to now kind of put more focus on Chromium. We've set up incentives coming into this year, specifically part of the sales compensation is based around achieving Chromium numbers. Now as we enter the year, that's sort of -- that's one thing we put out there but at the same time, simultaneously, there's this huge interest that's coming from our customer side on the Spatial front, a lot of it is also kind of further accelerated or amplified by the launches we're making, which draws even further attention. So we're -- sort of like, on the one hand, we're pushing the sales team, commercial team more on the Chromium. On the other hand, there's this dynamic that's emerging that's pulling their attention away. I was in the field and it's clear kind of you walk in the holes. There's definitely single cell projects and single cell customers. At the same time, there's all these spatial people who are intruding Spatial that are coming at our salespeople in the field. And so it is definitely kind of a dial in a work in progress for us to make sure that we can support both and there's more that we can do and we're doing to bring more resources to bear on the Chromium side without kind of losing sight of Spatial imperatives as well.
Michael Ryskin
analystYes. I mean, most of the discussion so far has been 10x specific, portfolio specific. I want to take a step back and just talk about the broader market a little bit. There's been a lot of the focus in '22 and '23 sort of the state of your customer, the health of the end markets. When you think about your customers' biopharma, academia, translational and research, just sort of what's your assessment of that as we sit here in May. From that perspective, are things coming back to normal? Are budgets improving? Is that a constraint at all on you this year? And what are your expectations on that as you go through the rest of the year?
Serge Saxonov
executiveSo we actually -- I would say the budgets have been in the environment, I would say, as I look at AMR, like the EMEA like has been more cautious, is probably the best way to describe it. And we started seeing especially on the CapEx side kind of when towards Q4 and kind of going into this year now. People -- the budgets roughly and age budgets and such have been roughly flat but other expenses have been going up. And I think there's more uncertainty around some of the budgets. And so we're seeing customers being kind of more deliberate, certainly compared to several years ago in terms of making choices in terms of making investments, especially big kind of investments. And again, that benefits itself on CapEx more so than on consumables. So there has been that general sort of macro somewhat of a pull in academia. Biopharma, I would say kind of a bit of a mixed bag. We're seeing certainly increasing interest in pharma in general in our technologies and adoption, both single cell and Spatial. At the same time, the sort of the restructurings that are going on that are affecting end market demand and there's biotechs that sort of -- that are disappearing as well that might have been kind of the purchasers in the past. Now -- and so like when I look at sort of early in the year, that there is a dynamic that's playing out that's pushing somewhat on sales. Now of course, at the same time, there's new biotechs that are appearing as well generally out there. It takes some amount of time for those to ramp up to the level of before. So the -- it's kind of a dynamic environment in that sense.
Michael Ryskin
analystOkay. Just on pharma, you mentioned more interest in your offerings recently. Is that just sort of the natural evolution as you go through new product introductions, new technology introductions? You typically think about academia sort of bearing the brunt in the beginning, figuring out how to use it, how to design the experiments, how to incorporate into workflows? And then once you get some publications on that pharma adapts, is -- are we seeing the beginnings of that growth?
Serge Saxonov
executiveI think there's some of the dynamic. I think probably a bigger part is just the capability of the products. In terms of the -- like compatibility with fixed issues, specifically with FFPE. On the Spatial side, that's just a more like -- more national format for people kind of downstream on the translational side to be interested in pharma. We're also seeing kind of an emergence of this perturbation type of experiment. It's something that was interesting for pharma like actually since kind of the time when they first appeared in academic literature in 2016, these are large-scale perturbation screens using CRISPR for finding drug targets and like discovering drugs, very natural application in pharma. It's taking some amount of time for kind of the tooling to get built out around it and for people to become tangible interested in that. And now we're seeing quite a bit of interest in that as well. So to some extent, it's the evolution of the products themselves. And to some extent, it is that sort of transition from kind of more academic methods to pharma wrapping their heads around how they can use them in a tangible way.
Michael Ryskin
analystAnd you touched on biotech funding and capital cycles, things like that, new biotechs emerging. 1Q was a pretty good start to the year in terms of funding raised but it takes a while for funding raise to show up and become funding spend. Any assumption for that in your current guide? Are you incorporating any kind of uptick in 4Q later through the year? Or...
Serge Saxonov
executiveI mean, in general, as we think about sort of the year, the baseline assumption is things will roughly stay macro wise similar to where they are right now.
Michael Ryskin
analystOkay. All right. I mean the other part that often comes up in conversation is both the single cell and spatial landscape has definitely gotten a little bit more competitive in recent years. There's been a lot of new offerings by a lot of smaller private players but also by some bigger names. You've continued to innovate and launch a number of new products as we discussed already. Sort of what's your view of the competitive landscape? Are you running into competitors more often? Or is there just so much green space in terms of customers that...
Serge Saxonov
executiveYes. So I mean the dynamics are somewhat different than spatial and single cell. Spatial, in fact, if you go back a couple of years ago, it was -- there's lots and lots of companies, lots and lots of players that has largely gotten reduced substantially. Obviously, it's an attractive market, and we expect that there will continue to be new entrants and new people trying to go on there. But the dynamic there has been going very strongly in our favor over the last couple of years. And in some sense, in terms of market perception, maybe no development or reality about market perception, we certainly come a long way over the last year and the last 2 years. On the single-cell side, the story is a little bit different than that. Obviously, we've been very successful there for a long time. There's always been some amount of competition, sometimes more intense, especially in the early years, sometimes less. So over the last couple of years, there's been new entrants coming in on the single-cell side, for sure, and this kind of -- we've -- to a large extent, trying to see through kind of lower pricing to establish some niches in the market. It has definitely put some amount -- some pressure on prices for us and kind of created some friction in the purchasing process where customers are trialing these new technologies, like we've been saying for the past couple of years, by and large, customers come back to us after trialing because much better performance, much better breadth of applications, our commercial customer support, just the fundamental performance of the products, much better workflow, all of those things ultimately kind of bring customers back and reinforce our position in the marketplace. There has been -- relative to a year ago, there has been somewhat more awareness with these other technologies. But I don't think it's kind of as much of a factor as some of the other dynamics we've talked about. And as far as our overall strategy when it comes to certainly single cell, to some extent, the maps over to spatial, we do believe there's a huge, huge market opportunity here. And our goal is to drive into that market opportunity. Single cell so far as large as it has gone as the market is still, in many cases, more of a boutique to clinic and we really -- it needs to be driven to being a routine part of our customers do biology. It is very clear vision. That's what we hear from customers. That's what we hear from kind of from KOLs who understand the space. And our goal is to drive into that -- the broader adoption. And one of the biggest levers that we have, one of the biggest variables is price. And that's how we've been talking about the fact that at the current pricing single cell per sample pricing is too high for that ultimate adoption. And over time, we're going to be driving the pricing down. We started -- we showed one step along that direction with the GEM-X introduction, which drives the price per sample down by 10%. There's going to be more. And that is really our goal as our [indiscernible] was to kind of keep growing the market and keep expanding into this much larger universal biological resource.
Michael Ryskin
analystI mean that point you just touched on has been when we've focused on a number of times is sort of what's it going to take for single cell analysis to become routine to become an everyday experiment in the lab. I think we've been surprised how long it's taken, not that [indiscernible] been an incredibly successful business and a relatively short amount of time. But if you -- based on the understanding of the technology and the value it offers, you would think that it would be ubiquitous, right? There is no reason for anybody to not be doing it but it's not quite there yet. So you touched on price. I mean, do you have any thoughts on what it needs to be to become ubiquitous? And if there's anything beyond price in terms of more publications, more workflows, a more complete ecosystem around it, just what's holding it back?
Serge Saxonov
executiveYes. So I think as far as use cases and publications, I think there's plenty, right, and that's why we have so much conviction. There's thousands and thousands of thousands of papers and more get published every day using single cell and showing it in all kinds of every area of biology, all kinds of experiment, all kinds of experiments, all kinds of finding. So the -- sort of the justification for using it for it [indiscernible] is clearly there. When the experiments are -- when the price per sample is over the $2,000, which is roughly to go with sequencing where it is, it's just that it's not going to be retained, right? So you need to get to lower price point. We do believe there's elasticity kind of as you go down kind of lower, lower, they should have a lot more and more demand. We talked about sort of the ultimate goal of being $100 a sample. You can achieve massive expansion in the market well before that. And there's typically different thresholds that people think about. There's sort of $1,000 a sample threshold that unlocks kind of a larger extra sort of bolus of demand. There's $500 is not a benchmark and kind of we're thinking along those lines to kind of drive towards those directions. In terms of what other things, other bottlenecks, traditionally, historically, we've talked about sample prep as being kind of one area like where people have struggled in the past, prices another, data analysis is another. And I think all of those need to be addressed. I do think that things around sample prep, while still an issue, somewhat less of an issue relative to what you might have heard 6 or 7 years ago. Data analysis, still work in progress, at the same time, the field has been converging more and more, some number of standardized ways you can sort of analyze those data. Like 80% probably will the papers do fairly standard kind of analysis and there's packages out there. And that over time, we're also -- we've been making efforts to make it even easier. When people and to the extent that, that's a bottleneck, we have very strong capabilities to industrialize those capabilities and kind of deliver them to our customer.
Michael Ryskin
analystOkay. We're almost out of time but I want to squeeze in one more. Justin, I think it was at this conference a year ago where we asked you about sort of what's changing about your strategy. And one of the things you flagged was you're going to be a little bit more proactive in protecting your IP landscape, and you've certainly followed up on that over the past year. Most recently, Bruker, NanoString acquisition just announced and the process of closing. Any thoughts on how that's going to impact the competitive landscape? And just any color on the ongoing IP battles?
Justin McAnear
executiveYes. So I think fundamentally -- so a couple of things, I would say. Obviously, we think very deeply about intellectual property and litigation. We don't take litigation lightly. For us, the -- our intellectual property strategy is a core part of our innovation strategy. It's the way to a really, really important way to protect the innovations that we bring to market that we invest very, very aggressively and all those investments need to be protected. That's why we pursue litigation when we do. The entry of Bruker in the field doesn't fundamentally change our position or our expectations. We feel like we have a pretty thorough understanding on the landscape, and we feel really strong that we're in a good position just like we felt before. And the other part of sort of the landscape question is really the performance of the platforms. And I think that ultimately really carries the day. We feel really good about where Xenium is. It has performed really well in the field. It's been consistently doing better than competing platforms. We're hearing the speed. There's been -- from customers. There's been lots of benchmarks now done that have been published. And the [indiscernible] Xenium is only increasing. We've been adding more capabilities, launching more products, adding more improvements, and we continue to invest in the platform with great intensity. And so to the extent there has been a gap -- there certainly has been a gap in performance, there that gap is only increasing. And the recognition within customers of that gap is also increasing. And that we feel like ultimately carries the day, and that's why we feel really strongly about our position kind of regardless of what happens with the different assets out there.
Michael Ryskin
analystOkay. great. And with that, we're out of time. Thanks so much, everyone. Thanks for joining in. Serge, Justin, thanks for being here.
Justin McAnear
executiveThanks, Mike.
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