a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp. (AKA) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

January 13, 2025

New York Stock Exchange US Consumer Discretionary Specialty Retail conference_presentation 24 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Eric Beder

analyst
#1

Good afternoon. My name is Eric Beder. I'm a Head of retailing analyst at Small Cap Consumer Research. It is our pleasure to introduce a.k.a. Brands, ticker symbol AKA. With us, we have CEO, Ciaran Long. Ciaran was joined a.k.a. Brands in April 2021 and was appointed interim CEO in March 2023. And today, you are now effectively, a full-time CEO. Congratulations. Before joining a.k.a., Ciaran was with Walmart between 2014 and 2021. His final position was CEO at Samsclub.com and VP Finance for Membership Marketing and Supply Chain at Sam's Club. In case, you did not see the press release today, they announced Q4 numbers, beat the street on both top line and on EBITDA primarily driven by the U.S. operations, and we'll talk about that.

Eric Beder

analyst
#2

So Ciaran, why don't you describe the a.k.a. businesses and brands that you work with right now?

Ciaran Long

executive
#3

Sure. Thanks, Eric, and thanks for having us today. Looking forward to talking to you. So at a.k.a., we're a portfolio of brands. We've got 4 brands today, 2 women's brands and 2 that focus on the men's streetwear space. Our largest brand, and it's about 50% of our business is a brand called Princess Polly. It focuses very much on on-trend fashion at accessible price points and doing it in a sustainable way, and very much selling to that team and college age consumer. The second brand on the women's side is a brand called Petal & Pup, slightly different demographic, more in that kind of 15- to 40-year-old consumer and dressing the women for any of the special occasions that she has in her life. And on the men's side, we have Culture Kings is our largest brand there, very much an experiential retail experience focus on the streetwear side, consumer in that kind of, again, teen, college age and beyond and does a lot from an experiential retail perspective. So kind of working across kind of music, sports, fashion and bringing that to life in their stores and online. And then the fourth brand is a brand called mnml and much more focused on that kind of very much kind of, I would say, runway inspired but accessible price point and again, in that streetwear space.

Eric Beder

analyst
#4

Great. Thanks. So of these brands, you've purchased all 4 of them. 3 of them originally had operations in Australia. Kind of talk to us why -- how you thought about that when you acquired them? And is there some kind of advantage or something in the Australian thought process that works here in the U.S.?

Ciaran Long

executive
#5

Yes. We -- yes, 3 of our brands start in Australia. And what we saw there was just, I suppose, organic demand that the brands were having from the U.S. They were established businesses in Australia. Each of the brands have been around 10-plus years. And we saw that demand from a very organic perspective in the U.S. They weren't spending marketing here. They didn't have operations here. They didn't have fulfillment centers here. So we saw it as an opportunity to bring the brands here and scale them in the U.S. a market that's 17x larger than the Australian market. Obviously, with kind of -- there is some advantage just being kind of in a different hemisphere. We do see trends that are strong there in Australia. We can bring them to the U.S. and obviously just scale them much quicker here.

Eric Beder

analyst
#6

Great. One of the core pieces of your company is the test and repeat model. I know I believe it started with Princess Polly, and now you've had it in all the brands, what is the model? How does it give you an advantage when you go out to market?

Ciaran Long

executive
#7

Yes. So core to our business, if you think of kind of what I said about Princess Polly, right, bringing on-trend fashion to that consumer, your ability to be on trend is very much when you can make decisions on a short lead time where you can see what's happening out there in the market, and then you can react to that. So for Princess Polly, they'll introduce maybe 100 styles each week. And with that, they might go 200 units deep on any particular style. As they see consumers react strongly to an individual style or an individual product, they'll buy back into that quickly, and then continue to repeat that as they see kind of success there and move it more to an evergreen product that they're continuing to bring in. So for them, that test and repeat and obviously, clear out because you do have some products that don't win, just allows them to very much be on trend. And when you're on trend and with that model, your marketing is much more efficient. You don't get into situations where you're very much over inventoried and have to take big markdowns. And that's just very much on trend, much more efficient marketing, less markdowns. And overall, much better EBITDA than you would see in other places.

Eric Beder

analyst
#8

Great. Okay. So these brands all have most of their origins, especially on the U.S. side were online only. And if you look at 2 or 3 years ago, you're almost entirely online only in the U.S. Since then, you've added stores for Princess Polly, and you've expanded with online marketplaces at Nordstrom for both Princess Polly and Petal & Pup and as we saw today in your press release, you've expanded now to all doors with Nordstrom for Petal & Pup and you also have, Princess Polly there. What is kind of the thought process in expanding beyond just the online channel? And how do you look upon that as the growth drivers going forward?

Ciaran Long

executive
#9

Yes. Thanks, Eric. As I said, the brands have been around for 10 years and have had huge success from an online perspective and built very strong and very profitable business from an online perspective. I thought what we saw though is that, look, there's huge opportunity in just the physical retail that's there today. And with these brands being so young in the U.S., we very much leaned into the strategy of let's put our product where our customers are. And let's be -- if it's brand elevating and it has the right economics, we should be happy to do that. We started first. I would say with opening our first store -- we opened our first store for Princess Polly in September 2023 in Century City and L.A. saw a lot of success there and opened 4 more stores for Princess Polly in kind of late Q3, early Q4. And as you mentioned, we -- slightly different model in Petal & Pup, and we said, look, let's put it online at other marketplaces. So we went into Target, Macy's, Nordstrom, so a lot of success when we put it on Nordstrom in February last year. With that success, Nordstrom asked us to do a test in store in October, we went into 40 doors with Petal & Pup. And based on that success we've seen over the last couple of months, we will be in all doors for Nordstrom for spring/summer this year with Petal & Pup. And so for us, we're going to continue to lean into that strategy of retain and hold on to the existing customers that we have from an online perspective, but also put our product where our customers are whether that stores or in different places online.

Eric Beder

analyst
#10

Great. Let's talk about some of the brands a little bit more in depth. So let's talk with Princess Polly, it's your largest brand. 16- to 25-year-old market, that's a very large market. It's also a very crowded market. How do you kind of differentiate the product and pieces there? And kind of what is your customer -- customer know you for at Princess Polly?

Ciaran Long

executive
#11

Yes, I think with Princess Polly, they very much know us for a great product that's on trend, high-quality perspective, but also very accessible from a price point. Polly also leans into experiences, right? So for them, just being very authentic from a marketing perspective. They've really built their business on influencer marketing. Unlike other brands, there's no mega or huge influencers of Princess Polly, much smaller set of influencers kind of -- they might have kind of about 4,000 influencers at any one time and constantly refreshing that group, making sure they're very kind of on point and authentically talking to that customer set. And now as we're starting to open stores for Princess Polly, I think it's been amazing seeing their customers walk up to the store in little groups and pointing to each other. Look, there's the store, let's get in there, let's try stuff on and just that kind of in real life experience is just really resonating for that customer. So I think Polly is very early on, on their U.S. journey, I think, a huge opportunity for them to continue on that growth trajectory thereon.

Eric Beder

analyst
#12

So let's talk a little about the stores. As you said, you mentioned your first store in Century City in September of '23, you opened now 6 full stores, including Boston. Boston, Phoenix, San Diego, L.A., San Francisco. And you have a big New York City flagship opening up in the first half of this year. What kind of returns are you seeing from those stores? How are they different from the online piece here? And when you look at it, what is the potential going forward for the stores?

Ciaran Long

executive
#13

Yes. Look, we're really excited by what we're seeing in stores. And as you mentioned, we opened our first one in September '23 in Century City. That store is about 3,500 square foot. The new stores that we've opened for them are quite a bit bigger, more in that kind of 4,000 to 5,000 square foot range. And I think that's one that we see kind of, I think, going forward. What we are seeing in the larger stores is we're seeing better conversion, right? So for us, being able to bring in more product, more breadth of assortment that they can see online is just allowing the customer to shop more of their assortment and kind of we're seeing better conversion there. For us, we're kind of modeling the stores to have a payback of 18 months or less, and we're certainly kind of -- we are on that trajectory. These are stores that we're looking for a revenue perspective but also to generate good returns and EBITDA for us. We're also seeing that about 30% of the customers coming into the store are new to Princess Polly, so again, helping us in that brand awareness and building that brand kind of from a long-term perspective. So to date, all very successful. We're very happy with how the stores are performing.

Eric Beder

analyst
#14

And you mentioned that you're getting customers who don't even know the brand. Are you also seeing kind of this halo effect that we've seen from other online players who have added stores that increases both the online orders and the store orders at the same location?

Ciaran Long

executive
#15

Yes. We're certainly seeing that uplift. Particularly, I would say kind of with Century City now being open for 15 months, we are seeing a nice uplift in the region around that and can measure that because we have so much data ourselves from an online perspective can measure that very cleanly. And so we're seeing a nice uplift there. I think the other stores, it's early days, but we're expecting to see that performance. And I think it just gives us a lot of confidence on the opportunity we have to continue to scale Princess Polly, but also our other brands in the U.S.

Eric Beder

analyst
#16

And I guess last question here on Princess Polly, you -- with Nordstrom, you're now physically in -- Princess Polly is physically in their doors. How does that fit in, in terms of stores? How do they complement each other? Or how do they add or subtract from each other?

Ciaran Long

executive
#17

Yes. So Princess Polly, I would say, is also on the journey with Nordstrom on kind of what should we do from a physical retail perspective. We put them in 20 Nordstroms in October, performing really well. And I think we feel that putting -- like I said, putting our product in front of customers wherever they are, once it's in a brand-enhancing way and has the right long-term economics for us is the way to go. We certainly feel that, that customer -- the Princess Polly customer is also in Nordstrom. The product we've put in there is seeing a lot of success. So I think we're going to continue to lean into that relationship. And we feel that kind of across our direct-to-consumer business, our stores and a very small number of high-quality wholesale partners, there's a real opportunity there.

Eric Beder

analyst
#18

Great. Let's move on to Petal & Pup. So Petal & Pup is a 25- to 45-year-old woman, originally focused heavily on dresses, but it's become even more of kind of a lifestyle brand. How has that customer accepted kind of the expansion beyond just kind of the core dress business?

Ciaran Long

executive
#19

Yes. I think Petal & Pup very much started as a dress business. It's a huge part of their assortment, and that's what they were first known for, particularly as we brought them into the U.S. I think what's interesting as you build that test and repeat model and build some strength there. It does allow you to move into other categories and try product in other categories. When you do it on that test and repeat model, it builds slowly, right? You're bringing in product each week, seeing the winners and kind of building winner and winner and winner and cohorts on top of each other. We are seeing really good reaction there from customers on the direct-to-consumer side, but also when we put that product in Nordstrom and in Nordstrom stores, it is selling and selling really well.

Eric Beder

analyst
#20

Let's talk about that. So you announced this morning that you're going to expand Petal & Pup into all Nordstrom stores for next year. It is rapidly as to your point, becoming more of a lifestyle brand. Does down the road, this looked like a brand like with Princess Polly that you can add stores to as part of the mix. Let's talk about the Nordstrom expansion, let's talk about can you think -- where do you think we can go potentially with stores?

Ciaran Long

executive
#21

Look, I think there's huge opportunity there. I think we are -- it's interesting the success that it's seeing as we put the product in different places. And it's been really interesting to us. I would say some of the product that we had been -- that had been around for a while on Petal & Pup, we might have felt was kind of reaching its kind of end of life as you put it on these new platforms, it's becoming best sellers again, and best sellers on these platforms. So I think that model of just being in front of customers wherever they are, is something, as I said, we're going to continue to lean into. I think there's certainly opportunity for Petal & Pup in stores. I think probably smaller stores at the moment, look, we're very focused on opening more stores for Princess Polly, I think we will also do another one for Culture Kings certainly in '25. I think in '26 and beyond, there's certainly opportunity there.

Eric Beder

analyst
#22

So let's talk a little bit about Culture Kings. As you mentioned, it's a leading men's focused streetwear company. You have 1 large flagship store here in Las Vegas, and now you have some stores in Australia and New Zealand. This was the last brand that implemented test and repeat, I believe it did in the back half of last -- excuse me, back half of '24. What's been the response to that? And how kind of the changes you're seeing in the store from rolling out test and repeat?

Ciaran Long

executive
#23

Yes, I think it's -- Culture Kings is just this -- it's a really differentiated brand. I think if anybody -- if they have a store -- a forum store in Vegas, it's 13,000 square foot of retail space. They've got a recording studio, a bar, a half basketball court. And the marketing activations that they do in those stores are just phenomenal, right? We've -- for the Formula 1 Grand Prix, we had a McLaren Formula 1 car inside there, Lando Norris, the driver came through the store. And we did a collaboration on product with McLaren and Mitchell & Ness that we're rolling out in different places. They've had a boxing ring in the store with World Champion fighters working out before their fights. They've had UFC, they've had different musicians there. It's really just a differentiated brand. I think for us, we're continuing to kind of roll out that test and repeat model at Culture Kings. It takes time, like I said, to kind of build on top of winners. Probably the best example we've seen is the Loiter brand, which is one of our own brand at Culture Kings. So about 50% of their revenue comes from owned private label brands that they had. The Loiter brand was up 100% across Australia and the U.S. in Q3 from a sales perspective, up even higher from a gross margin perspective. So we can see that model is applicable on the men's side. We can see we can roll it out at Culture Kings and that we will continue to have success with it.

Eric Beder

analyst
#24

As you said, it's a unique store.

Ciaran Long

executive
#25

It's unique store.

Eric Beder

analyst
#26

It's got some incredible things to it. What is the ability to take that kind of large unique piece and move it to other locations potentially. I know that in Australia, I believe, 8 or 9 of these stores are very different -- the stores is a little different. But how can you take that brand and kind of take it to the next level in terms of stores in the U.S?

Ciaran Long

executive
#27

Yes. Look, I think we certainly feel there's opportunities for more stores in the U.S. We -- like I said, we will do 1 next year -- or sorry, this year, and it won't be the same size and have all the same features. We certainly won't have a bar or recording studio. I think the half basketball court and that space to allow us to do marketing activations will certainly be important. And we have a hat wall in Vegas, that's pretty amazing. It's got 3,000 different hats on the wall, a lot of them exclusive to us at Culture Kings, I think that hat wall will be a key feature. It's nearly -- it's amazing when people walk into that store and pull out their phone to take a photo of that hat wall and share with people really builds brand awareness for us. I think some of those features will be there. But look, I think future stores will be more in that 8,000 to 10,000 square foot. But we'll still be stores that for us, obviously, building brand awareness, but also generating sales, generating EBITDA, the Culture Kings store in Vegas is four-wall profitable. It's performing kind of ahead of expectations, and we would expect the same for future stores.

Eric Beder

analyst
#28

You mentioned about the first party exclusives. That's a big push for you to have a lot of the private label of our exclusive product in the Culture Kings stores. How should we think about the third-party exclusives like some of the key brands like New Era, [ UGGs ], Timberland. How have you been able to work with them even though you are to get exclusives there? And what has been the response for your customers to those kind of items?

Ciaran Long

executive
#29

That's been interesting. I think as we've brought Culture Kings to the U.S., it's a very new brand, a very differentiated brand. I think it's taken us time to build in and bring some of those third-party brands to the U.S. I think, look, we are very happy and proud that Culture Kings is more than anything. It's apparel-led. We don't want this brand to be footwear-led. And it's very much also led by their owned first-party brands, which is, like I said, about 50% of the business. I think we're able to build good relationships with those party vendors, and they certainly see that Culture Kings is bringing them a different customer, right? The marketing activations that they were able to do that we can do with them allows them to talk to a different customer and also helps them kind of leverage that marketing materials from an online perspective to tell very, very different stories.

Eric Beder

analyst
#30

Great. Let's switch a little bit and talk about capital allocation. So you have right now a term loan about $90 million. It's due in September of next year. I guess the question a, what are you going to do? But question b, you also are to the point, expanding stores, including the New York flagship, you need some -- I assume you need some capital to do that. How do all that -- how do we think about capital allocation for, I guess, the next year plus in terms of this -- in terms of both business and in terms of the debt due?

Ciaran Long

executive
#31

Yes. Look, we're certainly very focused on going after that growth opportunity that we have, right? So I think capital will first go to opening new stores for the brands and going after the growth and profitability opportunity that we have. Look, we're also making and have made great progress over the last couple of years of bringing down our leverage, strengthening our balance sheet. We're going to look to continue to do that. As you said, the debt is due in September '26. I think we look to refinance that in probably Q2, Q3 of this year. And I think we continue to have an improving story as we think of the kind of that sales growth that we have, as we talked about this morning, 22% in the U.S., our EBITDA in Q4, up 340%, up 75% for the year. I feel like we're going to continue to bring down leverage and execute against the opportunity we have.

Eric Beder

analyst
#32

Right. Last question since we're over time here. Australia. Historically, Australia was 40% to 45% of sales as the U.S. has gotten stronger and Australia is going to stagnate a little bit, it shrunk to about 30%, if I remember correctly. I guess the question is, is it still a good market for you? What needs to change in terms of that market to see some expansion there? And obviously, it seems that that's not a huge capital allocation, but there -- is there an opportunity to drive higher margin in Australia going forward -- Australia and New Zealand going forward?

Ciaran Long

executive
#33

Yes. I think, look, we are seeing, certainly, as we've gone through the year, certainly improving performance in Australia. We've -- Princess Polly and Petal & Pup are growing in Australia and generating nice EBITDA there. Culture Kings certainly got over-inventoried in '22 and '23. It's taking them a while to get through that. But we are seeing really good progress there and have, as we expected, I think sales certainly pressured in Australia in Q4, but margins way up. And I think just as we're getting back on to that fresh new product, really seeing them improving the performance there. We expect to be back to growth in Australia in 2025 and feel like there is still plenty of opportunity for us there in that market.

Eric Beder

analyst
#34

Nike. Nike is in Australia. You don't have it in the U.S. I guess the question is, do you want to carry Nike in the U.S.? And I guess the second piece is, how has that impacted your Australian results? Are you seeing Nike start to come back?

Ciaran Long

executive
#35

Look, it's certainly being an overhang for us in Australia and continues to be kind of a big downward pressure for us there. I do feel we're starting to see the kind of trough there from a Nike perspective. But look, the overperformance that we're seeing in our owned brands will certainly help us get back to growth there. I think long term, there's a bunch of third-party brands that we would like to have. But look, we're very focused on apparel-led, not footwear and our own brands. We very much want to control our own destiny, and feel we have a business and brands that we can do that ourselves.

Eric Beder

analyst
#36

Great. Thank you.

Ciaran Long

executive
#37

Thank you, Eric. I appreciate it.

Eric Beder

analyst
#38

Congratulations on your...

Ciaran Long

executive
#39

Thank you.

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