AB KN Energies (KNE1L) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
June 14, 2023
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorDear listeners. Welcome to Klaipedos nafta long-term corporate strategy for the period 2023, 2050. I'm Emilija from Nasdaq, and I'll be moderating today's event. We will start with a presentation from the management, which will be followed by the Q&A session. Please be informed that this webinar is being recorded and will be available for a rewatch. As always, I encourage everyone of you to share your questions in the Q&A section at the bottom of your screen and you can submit them either anonymously or with your name. With that said, I'm pleased to introduce today's presenters, Chief Executive Officer, Darius Šilenskis; Chief Financial Officer, Mindaugas Kvekšas; and Chief Commercial Officer, Mindaugas Navikas. Dear guests, please, the floor is yours, and good luck.
Darius Silenskis
executiveThank you, Emilija, and good morning to everybody. Before starting presentation, I would like to point out that we have a legal disclaimer and the terms of definitions included in the presentation, but we will not stop here because you can already find the comprehensive file in our website and both in NASDAQ platform. So I would like to start from the forward, and it is the first time for KN when we will have such a long strategic perspective agreed and provided to the market and to the shareholders. Actually, we were coming to this moment, I would say, a few years. And it took a while to purify the strategic goals in the light of disruptions and challenges, which KN was surviving, so to say, starting from the Russian events and ending up even with the war going on in Ukraine nowadays. Nevertheless, I'm more than glad to be here today and to have a chance to present it with my team to you. So shortly about the core of our strategy, it's a commitment. It's a commitment of contribution towards timely energy transition, not only talking not only about our group, our companies, but also timely transition commitment to help to timely transform and to follow energy transition to our customers and other stakeholders. And actually, our future extends beyond realms of oil and gas. This fact is already proven, and if you were participating previously in our webinars, you can see how fast our biofuel segment is growing, and also you saw some developments on the partnerships in the new energies in the carbon capture and storage. So those are not the new things, but those are finally in one document with a clear goals and with a clear commitments regarding investments and regarding even revenues from both new energy segments. So during and coming decades, our main focus will shift towards new energies, while still maintaining energy security assurance duties mainly for the region, and also generating sustainable returns to the shareholders. Well, in this context, we will enhance our business model to ensure our competitiveness and greater profitability. So we can move on the main pillars of our strategy, and I would like still to start from our history. Maybe not everybody is aware on where KN comes from, but KN was established quite a long time ago in 1959. And from that time, without any stops, we're providing services, mainly before in oil downstream segment. And company was established in 1959 as oil downstream logistics company. Simple terminal in Klaipeda -- in the territory of Klaipeda oil terminal and Klaipeda liquids terminal is located till now. So a simple terminal design to transship only one dirty oil product produced in USSR, a growing reclining industry. But today, it sounds dirty. It sounds not sustainable, but actually at that time, that was quite innovative terminal and innovative activity because it was a first export hub to the best build in USSR. During those decades KN was changing many times even surviving the transition of ideologies turning from dictatorship or, let's say, Soviet Times to independent state. And anyway, I would like to emphasize and highlight last decade, where those changes were the most significant. We essentially diversified our oil or liquid business. That's why we were quite successful on facing such challenges as losing very significant share of our revenues. I'm talking about the CIS-origin cargo. And so we diversified successfully our infrastructure to be able to diversify portfolio and have more customers. In 2014, we stepped into LNG business. It's a year when FSRU Independence arrived to Klaipeda port. In 2016, we've been recognized globally due to successful implementation of FSRU project in Klaipeda and we started our global LNG activities. And 2020 is the year when we have started our overseas operation and maintenance activities by starting operating LNG terminal in Açu port in Brazil. Current scope, the entire scope of our activities or operations mainly not activities, is 4 energy terminals located in Lithuania, 2 LNG and 2 liquids and fuels terminals, 1 in Brazil which about -- which I already mentioned. And we're now operator of 1 of LNG terminals in Germany built to withdraw from the Russian supplies after the Russia started war. And we also have activities in supporting our Italian partners in 1 of the LNG terminals which is going to be built in Italy for the same reason. And also, we -- during this decade, we managed to contribute to more than 10 LNG terminal projects globally. So this is short about the history. Let's move on. So summarizing all this experience, all this accumulated know-how makes pretty good ground for the future, for the lift off of the company. As I said, more than 60 years in history in liquid energy handling and storage. And this gives us a capability to continue by improving our operations and also by exploring new opportunities in the growth areas. So let's move on with our performance shortly. Last 6 years, was a quite bumpy period for the company's financial performance due to many reasons, which I already mentioned. So during the last 3, 4 years was even the disruptive events happening which -- around global and macroeconomical, which impacted negatively our activities. But as you can see, our EBITDA was, let's say, fluctuating in the range of 30 -- even up to EUR 70 million within this period, but I would like to give a comment that the EUR 71 million is more exclusion than a rule because it was, let's say, due to the changes on the regulators' methodology, which actually was significantly affecting revenues from our regulated segment. So -- and the decrease in the regulated activities was caused by also security supplement reduction exercise, which we did in order to serve to the consumers and to reduce security supplement for the -- from the natural gas. Talking about our, let's say, profitability ratios, as you can see, the range in which we're playing, so to say, or performing is quite a healthy one. And last year, we had 45% of EBITDA margin achieved. Of course, talking about the contribution of each segment and let's say, efficiency of each segment on a graph right bottom side of the slide, you can see that LNG terminal regulated activity still contributes or, let's say, performs to the best. Nevertheless, I believe that oil terminals and commercial LNG activities can catch up and really showing quite a healthy figures. So let's move on. Let's move on. And -- yes. Probably main message here is the recovery. A recovery from all those disruptive events and negative consequences, which we, let's say, needed to fight and survive. So 2022 was a year when we came back to the profit zone if we are talking about adjusted and normalized result. So this recovery actually sets up foundation to lift up with the new strategy. So let's talk about the assumptions. Please move on with a slide. This is DNV Energy Transition Outlook. DNV is a company which has also consultancy activities and ship registers, et cetera. So it's well known, I would say, major in this segment company, which actually aggregates and accumulates all quite different scenarios on the future of energy mix. So -- but it's a global perception. It's a global energy mix. The main message here is that from today's perspective, 50% share of energy in LNG mix by 2050 will consist from renewable energy. And also, let's say, both will be the fastest-growing segments. Nevertheless, oil and gas will consist up to 40% of energy mix in 2050. And yes, somebody might questionize this part, is it true? Is it real? But from today's perspective, the maturity of new, let's say, greener energy carriers is such as it is. I have in mind really expensive extraction and production of green hydrogen. I'm talking about lack of infrastructure and about efficiency. So we're on the right way. I mean we -- by saying energy sector, but time being, we're facing such challenges then to get rid of coal, which is still, for example, dominating Poland's energy mix. So fossil fuels in the shape of oil and gas will contribute to the energy transition has been substitutes for much more pollutive sources, which are still dominating in some regions of the world. So this is a ground of our assumptions while we -- why we believe that our existing infrastructure will have a purpose during and coming decades. So let's talk about strategy in details. As each strategy and each good, let's say, results start from the plan and from the vision. So our strategy is actually related to timely contribution for energy transition for our customers and other stakeholders. With main focused region around where we see more competitive advantages on activities, which we do, but also without, let's say, I mean, staying with the global ambitions, which is quite successful and really growing right now in a field of LNG. And I strongly believe that those new competencies, which we will gain on the new energies, will be also a new value proposition of our partners globally. So talking about the mission. Yes, so our mission is to enable safe and reliable liquid energy as well as chemicals and feedstock flows for our customers in the Baltic Sea region. Here, you can hear this emphasis to the regional commitment mainly. And how? By offering storage and transshipment solutions to a variety of liquid energy products, chemicals and feedstocks for consumption in the region and export into the global market. And also, we will commit to enable the carbonization of the region by focusing on sustainable solutions within the company and also by investing into infrastructure suitable for the new energies and for the new energy carriers. Also, we will remain important regarding energy security, especially nationally. Today, we're storing state compulsory or strategic reserve in one of our terminals reassuring opportunity and alternative of imports, mainly of the fuels to our market. And in the future, we believe that this our, let's say, part of activities, will remain also very important. So -- and as I mentioned, our mission is to support our customers globally as well in developing LNG terminals and maybe closer to 2050 other type of energy terminals as well. Let's move on. So how we will get there? And KN is about to embark on a transformative journey spanning until 2050. So our new strategy is well balanced in terms of speed of transition, so to say. And actually, we will be ready to transform and to adopt to any transformation scenario, which are not so obvious and clear. Even in Lithuania, we're in the process of, let's say, finalizing and -- creating and finalizing LP-100 strategy -- energy strategy of state till 2050. So our goal is to be able to match any scenario with our capabilities. I'm not talking only about the infrastructure, it's also about our resources. It's about our know-how, knowledge and competencies. So the 3 main building blocks, a generation of cash from common businesses, timely investment into development of transitional infrastructure and know-how, respectively, and the significant investments into new energies infrastructure, as I already mentioned. So if we can move on. As I already mentioned, our focus will be on a timely transition to new energies without causing significant disruptions. I often use in presentations and events, so-called energy trilemma concept, where the essence of it is to measure sustainability of energy transformation in different states and regions. And the essence shortly is like that, that there are 3 corners of this energy transition. One of them is let's say, energy equity or price of equity, another corner is energy security, and the third corner or one of the corners is sustainability. And sustainable transformation is meaning moving towards transition, but without sacrificing accessibility of energy sources, competitiveness of energy sources and security of supply of energy sources to the consumers in different countries. So probably the essence of our strategy follows a bit of this balanced and sustainable transition model. And shortly, we're going to improve our businesses which we do now by using operational and commercial excellence tools by investing into, let's say, services, which will be demanded soon. And after getting returns from those investments and improvements, we're committing to, first of all, invest timely into pilot projects for new energies. And lately, to, let's say, capitalize or turn those pilot projects into business cases once markets for the new energies are appearing here and not only here, as I said globally. And there are few areas where we're looking at. Of course, we're looking at hydrogen, to be precise, hydrogen carriers. There are many of them still under consideration globally. It's a green ammonia, green methanol, synthetic LNG, synthetic fuels. And also, we will be focusing on carbon capture solutions. We have know-how in operating with the liquids, with cryogenic liquids. So I think we're really ready to build and operate infrastructure, which will be used for carbon, let's say, transshipment and even trade, it might be actual in a decade or 2. And also, we will be looking into energy storage markets because the trend or, let's say, direction of Lithuania is quite clear. We have an ambition to be itself, how to say, to be able to produce all energy, we need to consume, and it's pretty sure that majority of this synergy will be renewable. And for the renewable, you need to have balancing solutions. You need to have extra storage, which can be batteries or other alternatives. So this is one of directions where we will be investing our resources. Talking about our commitment to the planet, if you can move to our slide, please. So our ambition is, so to say, quite conventional if you look at the very end of strategic period, meaning, of course, we will be climate neutral with our operations by 2050. But I would like to emphasize interim goals, 30% reduction until 2030 and respectively, 70% reduction until 2040. And this is not only CO2, it's also methanes and all the emissions which we're, let's say, producing right now from our activities because we're handling, let's say, products, which naturally emits this LNG or natural gas or some gasoline tractions or petrochemical tractions. We simply mix grids of vapor, which is still, let's say, getting to the atmosphere. And for that, we will need quite a lot of efforts, not only know-how, but as well investments, CapEx investments, which are defined in our strategy, financial projections. So another important, if we can move on, please with the slide. Another important -- just another, I think one of the most important resource for company like KN, we're a service company people. So therefore, our -- success of our strategy really depends on the people and on their capabilities and their competencies. So we commit to existing and future employees to be a role model, role model employer in terms of investment into development of our employees, into digital and social responsibility solutions, which will improve and is improving, let's say, the field where our people work and where we create the value and return to our shareholders. And we -- our ambition is to maintain our reputation as a leading employer in our segment. So for that, we will need more capabilities and more, let's say, knowledge on areas listed on the right side of the slide. I already mentioned the green transition as project management. I already mentioned the hydrogen carriers like ammonia and others and carbon capture. And also, we're becoming a shipping company from 2025. So one of the competencies which we will be strengthening is understanding not only the short part of LNG terminals, but also the regasification process and operation specifics of ships like our Independence. As I already mentioned, electricity storage and balancing is also an area where we'll be looking at. ESG naturally, let's say, the emphasis is a hygiene for any global company. So we will be investing in the expertise in the field of ESG as well. And of course, data management, refining of it for the proper decisions is one of the key areas where we're going to invest our resources. Next slide, please. Well, so we have many stakeholders for whom we're creating value, and our strategy is guided by the shared value concept, respectively. So for our employees and their representative organizations, we're committing and promise to ensure safe conditions of work to assure growth of the company and to assure inclusivity. Talking about shareholders for whom money matters, because without money, there is no growth, and there is no development. We're living in a capitalism ideology. So stable returns, sustainable company value growth and, of course, ESG-compliant business. Talking about the business partners and customers, of course, safe and reliable, efficient services which makes good value proposition in terms of competitiveness and on safety. And also, we would like to be and to offer reliable partnership for energy transition by timely investment into new energies infrastructure. Talking about the state and the municipal institutions, our contribution will remain on the energy security assurance side and also insurance of competitive energy sources in Lithuanian market. Society, the last but not the least, and this actually -- it's not a priority list from the left to the right. You can read in the Jewish or an Arabic style from the right to the left. All of our stakeholders are equal in terms of our attention. So talking about society, sustainable operations, meaning sustainable operations of all the missions without creating discomfort for the societies around our infrastructure. And, of course, focus on ESG-related investments and social initiatives will be one of the, let's say, focus areas. Okay. So we can move to another part of our strategy. Here, we will present, let's say, more detailed insights on each segment of our activities. You will see that those segments is changing. And we have one new segment appearing in our strategy. Some, let's say, names of the segments is also changing because this oil word or definition is really outdated. So we should talk about the liquids instead of oil because we already do that. Significant share of our activities already includes other forms of liquid energy and chemicals, not only refined oil products or feedstock for refining. So one more slide, please. Let's move on, yes. So this is probably one pager which represents our so-called verticals or business directions where we will have 3 of them, liquid energy terminals, not terminal, we have a few of them, and we will be investing into maybe some vertical integration in this field as well. We will have LNG, which will include all LNG-related activities, both commercial and regulated ones in the region. And we will have a new segment, which we call new energies, where we will lay the ground of a green transition to the region. Horizontals, supporting those 3 business, let's say, legs of pillars. It is a proper organizational setup. It is a focus on ESG and not only focus as well investment, as I've already mentioned, to achieve our climate neutrality goals, but not only neutrality, other, let's say, components of ESG is also very important. And as I already mentioned, investment into knowledge, into development of our people, in a new field and a new energy fields will remain very important. And the digitalization as a tool to get to the more efficient and more sustainable businesses is foreseen. So we're going to increase our revenues by 50% by 2030, it's a first strategic period and lay foundations for new energy businesses from all of those 3 pillars. And how we will do that by being business-wise and socially excellent. So here, I would like to ask our CCO, Mindaugas Navikas to join me on this great story and to present all the new business streams or new pillars of our strategy one by one and in a more detailed way. So please, Mindaugas, the floor is yours.
Mindaugas Navikas
executiveYes. Thank you, Darius, and hello to everyone. So first, our pillar of a strategy and as Darius perfectly named already that the name of this segment should be changed from oil to liquid terminal. And it was done on purpose because already today our biofuels, we're transshipping in Klaipeda terminal in the last few years has doubled. When we have started transshipment of various chemical products, and we have -- this is our focus in the future. And we believe that it will -- the tendency will grow up. So even today, looking to the Baltic Region, the utilization of Klaipeda terminal is the highest one, knowing that the product flows from the Eastern part of Europe, Russia and Belarus actually is diminishing called being on. So our products and our product flow is quite stable. And this can be attributed to the diversification and the presence of a stable customer base. And maybe as an illustration with temperature range in that area, in our terminal, the temperature range varies from minus 160 degrees to plus 160 degrees from cold LNG to hot bitumen products. So that's -- our primary objective is that for coming periods is to continue consideration on diversification and looking for new niche products like bioproducts and chemicals. And we don't plan any more to have any large scale imports from the Eastern, our neighbors. Since our customers are operating in a global market and as in the global market projections, we see that oil still do play a significant role. We continue to transship oil products for the next 10 or 20 years. However, we anticipate a gradual reduction in their share. And we aim to -- that our oil products will account less than half of transship products on 2050. And quite soon, dark -- demand for dark products will decline. And in longer term, we believe that biofuels and chemicals will replace it. Even today, fuel suppliers to meet with quite hard requirement, you have to blend multiple types of biofuels to meet the local and European legislation. And we firmly believe that it's demand and it's tendency will remain and just will grow. And additionally, there will be a rising demand for various feedstocks for local industry and chemicals, such as methanol. So already -- we're starting to invest in those technologies already today actually. Another emerging trend in the transport industry is shift from road transport to rail or to maritime delivery. So that is why our company aims to broaden the range of services we offer and to meet the demand of our customers. And good example of this is adoption of our infrastructure to accommodate loading into different types of transportation such as ISO containers. And we have already offered for our customers' transportation services, which we never did before and transshipment services at various locations not only in Klaipeda region. And of course, larger number of products handled will increase complexity. That's why the operation excellence is a fundamental goal for Klaipedos nafta. And for us, it means continuous improvement and digitalization of our processes and practices in order to achieve the high level of efficiency and the best price for our customers. If we can move on about the LNG segment, as Darius perfectly told by 2025, Klaipedos nafta, KN is set to become a shipowner. And that's why we're are going to shift our focus towards higher value creation in the region by leveraging existing infrastructure and by investing into the new infrastructure. And in global market, our target is to capture still short-term growth opportunities that are arising in different part of the world. And when we're talking about the regional LNG, it is a business with big part of regional LNG that is regulated and it will remain so. So that is why our target is to enhance value to the region by investing to various projects. So on today of -- today activity, the decisions will be made regarding the capacity expansion, which we can offer to the market. Of course, we will consider the market demand. If we look to the Baltic Region and the Finland, the market today is balanced because there are 2 terminals and the gas demand is not growing or even diminishing. However, if we look to the Western or South part of Europe, the natural gas or LNG demand is still growing, because of switch from coal to gas. And that's why we still see LNG will play a significant role in that change. And our increased capacities can be utilized to meet those demands. An important role in -- of Klaipedos nafta will be the reduction of emission, because today, terminal utilization rate is very high, close to maximum and we strongly believe and we're actually sure that it will remain for the next 10 years. So investment into green initiatives will be -- is part of our strategy. And regarding the small scales, the decisions regarding operational strategy will be determined in a coming few years. And when we're talking about global LNG market, our target is to add 3 new O&M projects and up to 2 investment projects into our portfolio. And we believe this is feasible because of -- from the following sources. In short term, LNG market is rapidly developing in Europe. In some years, it will be emerging in Balkans and Poland. And the main reason, as we have mentioned, the switch from coal to natural gas for electricity generation. And in mid and longer term, the LNG market will grow in Southeast Asia or in Latin America, again, because of the same reasons because of switch from coal to natural gas and to balance the market. As well we see that the LNG market is growing because there are considerable liquefaction capacities at land after 2025. And it is expected that those new capacities will balance the market, making LNG prices competitive comparing to our sources of energy. And finally, if we will move to the new energies. In the next 8 years, actually, our strategy is to prepare for the new energy economy. And by 2030, KN has a vision to tap into the such sectors as CO2, hydrogen carriers and energy storage. We do recognize that both technologies is crucial for sustainable transition. And the aim during the next decade to participate in development of both technologies and to contribute to a green future. And particularly, when we're talking about the CO2 technologies to capture storage technology, we're already involved in the partnership network and we actually are leading that consortium. And believe that CO2 capture storage is a crucial solution to mitigate greenhouse emissions and reaching a net-zero economy. When we're talking about the hydrogen carriers, we mean such products as pure hydrogen ammonia, methanol, liquid organic hydrogen carriers or synthetic fuels. But today, at the present, it's quite difficult to tell which specific technology will emerge and will be dominant in the future, maybe all of them, maybe some of them. So that's why our goal till 2030 is to actively participate in the range of regional and international projects. We aim to contribute to advancement of technologies at the same time to get experience and the knowledge by partnering with industry leaders, with research institutions and with governmental organizations. And actually, we're already doing good in it today. And finally, our target is to start the pilot liquid battery project. This is [ energy storage ] technology, and we believe that this liquid battery storage has a significant role in the future because it can substitute the liquid fuels such as oil in the longer term because the demand for balancing and for storage of energies has a huge potential as we already described. All those investments is a quite CapEx intensive, and we plan that the CapEx is not turbulent by 2030. And revenues start growing after 2030 when we the market will develop. So that's about our business pillars.
Darius Silenskis
executiveOkay. Thank you, Mindaugas, and let's talk about the benefits of all we told till now. So what will be the overall financial projection and performance of the company on the way to this 2050. So I will ask our CFO, Mindaugas Kvekšas, to join the floor and to present our long-term financial KPIs as well as investments and to reflect on the dividends. I see questions falling into the Q&A, and I believe after those few slides, majority of them will be answered. So thank you, Mindaugas, and go on.
Mindaugas Kveksas
executiveThank you. So in this concluding section, we're presenting the overall financials, where the established oil terminals and the LNG terminals businesses are expected to drive revenue growth and robust cash flows in the short term. Meanwhile, new energies segment shall gain momentum until 2030, the greater investment needs. The LNG segment delivered nearly 2/3 of revenue in 2022 as previously presented and is even expected to increase in importance by 2030, contributing to approximately 69% of total revenue at the end of this decade and gradually being replaced by the new energies afterwards. As new energy segment builds up its share of revenue from only 4% in 2030 to roughly 45% on average during the last decade until 2050, it shall become the single largest business segment in terms of revenue due to the reasons previously recognized. And EBITDA growth of 66% by 2030 is projected to be in line with revenue growth. However, with timely transition from legacy oil and gas businesses to new energies we anticipate to secure higher margin opportunities in the targeted sectors of new energy streams. As for generated returns, our targeted long-term return on capital employed of approximately 8% is expected to be reached with the development of new energies. Before that, global LNG business development is expected to outperform other segments, namely the regulated LNG and liquids terminal for the legacy businesses in terms of return on capital employed. Then proceeding with the next slide on the investments. So in total, we are planning and projecting EUR 300 million approximately of investments, which are planned by 2030, plus an additional 100 -- approximately EUR 140 million for the acquisition of FSRU Independence at the end of already next year. So in order to secure KN's place in the transforming energy market, approximately 46% of the amount is forecast to be invested in new energy streams, such as infrastructure, for transshipment and storage of hydrogen carriers and CO2, as well as energy storage projects. Meanwhile, our largest investments on current core businesses, except FSRU Independence acquisition, are being evaluated for the upcoming several years, and supposedly will be directed towards LNG projects and modification or upgrade of liquids terminal. So company's growth and investments are enabled and facilitated by a sustainable capital structure. Gearing this forecast to remain at a similar level in the short term, beginning by 2030 and is expected to decrease somewhat afterwards. We're targeting to secure up to 30% of investment financing from the European Union or state funding means. And on the other hand, external financing of around EUR 75 million is projected to be required by 2030. Then proceeding with the next slide. We're finally arriving at the topic of the payouts to our shareholders. And throughout the short-term period of transitional growth to new energies, we will be targeting a stable minimum annual dividends of EUR 5 million each year, starting from 2026. Therefore, effectively aiming for a 5% dividend yield at current share price. In the medium term, after 2030, dividends are projected to increase significantly, reaching at least EUR 12 million per annum. And that concludes the financials topic. Back to you, Darius.
Darius Silenskis
executiveThank you, Mindaugas. So I hope those who are raising questions about our CapEx investments and about yield, let's say, overall amount of dividends got the answers. So -- and last and of course, not the least. So why do we believe that our journey will be successful? So answer is because it is well balanced between, let's say, interest of 3 key stakeholders for any business, so between planet, people and profit. Why planet? Because to make a transition towards low carbon product portfolio, we will lower our environmental impact. We will invest into energy efficiency. We will develop LNG terminals as a transitional energy sources in the markets where we still use very pollutive solutions like coal. And also, we will develop and invest part of our earnings into development of new energy streams to support the carbonization of the region. So talking about people, so people of Lithuania, particularly, our contribution is to continue assurance of energy security. And by providing actually not only in our FSRU Independence, but as well in our terminals which allows to assure energy security by import opportunities and also by storing state reserve in terms of -- in the shape of a fuel. And also, we will be focusing on reduction of negative and accelerating positive impact through investments and social initiatives. So talking about profits. There is -- as I told already, there is no progress and broad growth and if there is no profit, there is no money. So we're living in capitalism. So we will be a reliable partner of energy transition for our customers, which will enable them to earn profits as well. We, as you recently heard from Mindaugas and seen our projection of dividends, will assure stable returns for the shareholders. And we, by doing all of this definitely, will grow a company value, enterprise value. So this is all from our side. I would like to leave at least 10 minutes for the questions and answer session. So can you please...
Operator
operatorYes. Thank you very much for the presentation. And indeed, now let's proceed with the Q&A session. We have a few questions already, but please send in your questions now, so we can discuss them in the session. So the first question is, do you plan dividends for the shareholder in the strategy or work as an employee and for the welfare of consumer, but not for the shareholder?
Darius Silenskis
executiveWell -- sorry, can you hear me, Emilija?
Operator
operatorYes, yes.
Darius Silenskis
executiveOkay. So well, I think we answered that. Even with the numbers in our last slide, so it's at least EUR 12 million forecasted beyond 2030 before that -- before this period at least minimum EUR 5 million starting 2026. So that all depends on actual result. As you know, we have a dividend policy, which is also being revised right now. But in general, answer is yes, and we're going to ensure sustainable returns from our activities.
Operator
operatorAll right. Is there any major project plan that could be considered as the start of the new strategy?
Darius Silenskis
executiveA very good question. Actually, even a few of them, I will mention only few, so because some of them are restricted or limited by disclosing too much information. So our development on TTS topics is quite a mature, and that can be one of the first projects. But before that, let's say, expanding of our FSRU capacities and also investing into sustainability of our operations is already in a list of a project, which my team is handling. So a few of them.
Operator
operatorAre the approximate investments of Klaipedos nafta up to 2015 (sic) [ 2050 ] are known?
Darius Silenskis
executiveAs you heard from Mindaugas' presentation, not even approximate but quite precise, so around EUR 300 million until 2030. 36% out of that goes to the new energy solutions and sustainable investments towards climate neutrality.
Operator
operatorAll right. Is your company's strategy affected by the reconstruction of ORLEN Lietuva plant?
Darius Silenskis
executiveWell, maybe Mindaugas, you would like to join, Mindaugas Navikas, to comment on that. My short answer would be yes and no. Everything what moves and influences our flows has an effect. But Mindaugas, maybe you would like to join me on this question.
Mindaugas Navikas
executiveYes, of course, it will affect and as Darius said yes and no, because what we will see that the dark products, fuel oil will diminish. And actually, we're already diminishing today. And if the last few years, we have used to transship few hundred thousand tons per month of fuel oil, we're already transshipping much less. And those products -- dark products will be replaced by others, like biofuels, bitumens, and methanol and so on.
Operator
operatorAll right. So let's proceed. And does the company plan to change its name? nafta does not seem to be an appropriate word for a presentation in the future.
Darius Silenskis
executiveYes, I was waiting for that question. So answer is very straightforward. Yes, we're on process of doing that. But first of all, we wanted to launch our new strategy and choose a name, not a maybe brand, but choosing new legal name, which will be consistent with our new, let's say, directions.
Operator
operatorWhat do you believe to be the most challenging task for the next 5-year period?
Darius Silenskis
executivePhilosophical question, of course, a good one. As you see, quite a lot of changes in our scope of activity. So each of those, let's say, blocks both verticals and horizontals have their own challenges. But I believe what is very important is finalization of Lithuanian National Energy Strategy. Majority of our assets are located in Lithuania. It's very important that our vision, based on analytics, will match the strategic directions of the state. And this is one. Maybe a few years' time is too short, but still I feel that the challenge might be investments assuring, let's say, financing of investments to our FSRU activities because it's still treated especially in our region, in Scandinavia and Baltic States and purely fossil fuel and financial institutions are quite skeptical about supporting such project. Nevertheless, there are alternatives. There are possibilities maybe even on equity financing, but still that might be a challenge, by my opinion. And of course, since we're exposed to our businesses on the global changes, I think anyway, outcome of the war, which is happening now and causing unprecedented volatility of energy sources in -- not only in Europe, worldwide, is one of the challenges which we're dealing and will be dealing for some time. So -- and this affects our financial performance and the ability to generate returns.
Operator
operatorWill new activities such as hydrogen, methanol handling and storage require new security solutions such as increasing the security zone? And how could the public be affected by these activities?
Darius Silenskis
executiveWell, I presume this question comes out from somebody who lives close to only one of our terminals, I mean, Klaipeda oil terminal, which is in the middle of the city. Nevertheless, doesn't have any more discomfort -- it doesn't create any more discomfort for society, it's due to quite a heavy investments into sustainability and the reduction of emissions. So we will be continuing in the same way. If we will be building anything, it will be fully transparent, meeting all the requirements and including latest available and best technologies for particular infrastructure. So methanol, maybe it's scaring you, but actually, it's the same ethanol just made from the natural gas or it can be made from the hydrogen, and it's even less dangerous than a gasoline, which we're handling. So this product, you shouldn't fear about. Talking about the hydrogen, we have a doubt that hydrogen as a pure one will be a product to transport. Nevertheless, I would like to emphasize that our strategy is not limiting us only to existing territories where we're. So we're looking into vertical integration as well having a wider view on the places where we can do activities, respectively, to the level of dangerousness or how to say, all regulations. So this is an answer.
Operator
operatorWhy do you believe that coal will be replaced by LNG and not RES?
Darius Silenskis
executiveMindaugas, maybe you can step in as well. I'm right behind you.
Mindaugas Navikas
executiveYes. There may be a few main reasons. One, I think is that RES rapidly is growing in Western part of the Europe. Meanwhile, still a lot of coal is consumed in worldwide, and basically last year was the most successful for coal, the highest consumption one and still a lot of coal is being consumed. And secondly, even in Europe and the worldwide, investments into RES are really rapidly, but the same is consumption of electricity. And for the time being, electricity consumption is being -- the increase of consumption is being covered by increase of RES, but the base is still here. That's I hope I answered.
Operator
operatorLet's proceed. We still have quite a few questions remaining. So please bear with us. When do you think you will be able to resume dividend payments?
Mindaugas Kveksas
executiveYes, Emilija, I will take this one. And also the next one, which is on the same topic. As I presented that dividends are only starting from year 2026. And the question was why we're so conservative for the years 2023 to 2025. So I would like to immediately correct myself if the message could have been understood in a different way than we intended that we absolutely intend to honor our dividend policy and our commitment given to the shareholders. So our current dividend policy envisages dividends based on the return earned and certainly, if the returns are sufficient during this period up until 2026, the dividends could be anticipated. And about the slide that was showing the minimum targeted dividends starting from 2026, so this message was in line with our controlling shareholders and the state's expectation as communicated to us through the shareholders' expectation letter. We're targeting the minimum dividends of, at least, EUR 5 million starting from 2026. So as Darius mentioned, this could be followed by a subsequent dividend policy revision in the coming months or years.
Operator
operatorCould you please comment on what are higher risks foreseen?
Darius Silenskis
executiveWell, so actually, it's quite an extensive risk analysis which has been done during drafting this new strategy. But I've to talk about the main ones, I mean, they differ from -- differ for each, let's say, business segment. But I will not list them. It's a question of tactics. It's a bit confidential information, but we're aware about them. But of course, let's say, geopolitical changes, macroeconomical disruptions, and new technologies appearance disruptions or, let's say, there are significantly different regulation, both national and European can affect our shift towards the new energies. And also, let's say, competitive environment, which we're facing in all our, let's say, not regulated commercial businesses and development of this competitive environment might be a risk which we need to mitigate. But to assure you, for each of those risks, we have already in place a mitigation plan with clear actions to be done to do maximum possible effort to avoid them.
Operator
operatorCould you please provide an approximate timeline regarding the investments in future hydrogen infrastructure?
Darius Silenskis
executiveWell, the hydrogen infrastructure probably is a very broad definition. As we -- Mindaugas and myself, we were describing, our ambition is to build and to invest into capabilities for the hydrogen or hydrogens carrier, depending on which of those will be demanded in our market, or which of those will have an opportunity of arbitrage to other markets. So till now, we don't have a clear picture. We're, as I said, on the way in a level of state strategic planning. And -- but shortly seeing business case for hydrogen appears beyond 2030 or hydrogen or hydrogen carriers, with some exceptions maybe with pilot projects before that -- just before 2030. Emilija, I have a question, actually, we're out of the time. So questions are falling in and we're already having to leave because of a strategic event planned. So how we can deal with those questions. Can we answer them in writing later? Or what is the practice?
Operator
operatorYes. I think it's possible to answer them in writing. We have 4 more questions remaining. I will inform you about them, and you can follow up.
Darius Silenskis
executiveGood. So you have our promise to get a comment on the pending questions which we haven't managed to answer during the session.
Operator
operatorAll right. Thank you all for joining. On behalf of Klaipedos nafta and Nasdaq Vilnius, it was our pleasure being with you today. And I hope this strategy session was informative enough. So have a good day, everyone, and goodbye.
Darius Silenskis
executiveThank you, Emilija, and thank you those who are indifferent for KN's future. Thank you. Have a nice day.
Mindaugas Navikas
executiveThank you.
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