ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ACAD) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
May 14, 2024
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Jason Butler
analystExcited to be joined for our next fireside discussion with ACADIA by ACADIA Pharmaceuticals. With us, we have Kimberly Manhard, the SVP of Global Strategic Planning and Execution; and Mark Schneyer, the CFO. So Mark, Kimberly, I really appreciate you guys being here. I'll just turn it over to give a quick intro and then we'll jump into the Q&A.
Mark Schneyer
executiveYes, sure. Thanks for that, Jason. We're very happy to be here. At ACADIA, we have -- we're a commercial stage biotech company. We have 2 first-in-class assets in the market that are first and only approved treatments for their therapies. So NUPLAZID for Parkinson's disease psychosis and DAYBUE for Rett syndrome. And then behind that, we have a pipeline both of disclosed and undisclosed programs to support long-term and future growth. Our 2 late-stage assets are ACP-101 for Prader-Willi syndrome and ACP-204 for Alzheimer's disease psychosis. And we can get into all of this as we progress with the Q&A.
Jason Butler
analystSo you guys have had longstanding success with NUPLAZID. Obviously, you really managed through some headwinds through COVID and things are moving back in the right direction. I'll leave that one for a second. I think what's been really exciting over the last 12-plus months has been the DAYBUE launch. It's fair to say that it's gone really well. Can you maybe just give us a high level of what you think resonated most with health care practitioners and caregivers during the first year of the launch. And I say that in the context of running up into the launch, I think a lot of investors were trying to ascertain with there being nothing available for Rett patients, what would be clinically meaningful, what would really drive adoption. So what do you think has resonated?
Mark Schneyer
executiveYes. So let me just kind of jump off from where you left the question. I mean I think as I mentioned, just kind of in the 1-minute overview, DAYBUE is the first and only approved treatment for Rett syndrome. Unfortunately, this is a really debilitating disease where you have children born and after kind of 18 months or 2 years of normal progression and development, start to regress, right? And they lose motor function, lose ability to speak and communicate and really just unfortunately, just become trapped in their own bodies. And so the children are there and then adults, but the caregivers really struggle to engage, communicate and take care of their children that are suffering really this debilitating disease. So the question is efficacy, any meaningful improvement from kind of the current state is something that caregivers and their health care professionals are looking for. And these are children and adults that go into care facilities that really need care 24/7. This is not -- it's not a disease where it's okay for hours and then kind of you have to step in. So really, to be able to move the needle on efficacy, and that's what's kind of resonated. That's where caregivers were interested, that knew about it. They became interested where we were able to make them aware of it and then to see the results kind of in the real world. And I guess, what -- maybe the layman's explanation is if a patient is suffering from Rett syndrome, the neurons in their brain are not communicating properly and DAYBUE helps restore that communication. So if you're able -- you can lose all ability to communicate verbal and nonverbal. DAYBUE help -- for patients that are successful in getting to efficacy, you can see improvements in that. They can see improvements in their motor function and being able to control kind of their arms and hands in a way that's uncontrollable for a Rett patient. And they're able -- they experience better mood, behavioral problems can improve in using DAYBUE. And so what does that mean, I guess, to the real world? I mean the common example that we hear is that my daughter is more alert. She's present. We've re-met her, right? She's able to engage in communication, tell me her what she wants or doesn't want, when she wasn't able to do that before. She can participate in the conversation, laugh at an appropriate moment and be there and be present with their community, whatever that is. And so those are all real-world tangible benefits that HEP values and what we hear feedback and why. Those are the stories that we want to continue to tell to get more patients who have yet to try DAYBUE to initiate therapy.
Jason Butler
analystGreat. That's really helpful. So obviously, now you have several quarters of the launch experience, you're continuing to generate data that informs how -- again, that it's going well, but also why you think it will keep going well. You hit on some of those drivers on your earnings call last week. So I just wanted to touch on a couple of them. We talked about the clinical data, the trial data and how relevant that was to caregivers. Can you -- you're also now saying that you're taking the real-world experience and the benefit that patients are seeing, and you're using that as part of your education messaging to providers and caregivers.
Mark Schneyer
executiveYes. So operationally, I think -- so we talked about just in the last question, kind of the real-world benefits. I think the other thing that we need to make sure we're educating about is that there's a known tolerability issue with the drug. So in the clinical trials, about 80% of patients experienced diarrhea. That's happening in the real world, but there are management strategies to deal with that that were not implemented or implemented early in the clinical trial. So being able to communicate that and also to be able to give you a time, and they kind of all relate to each other.
Jason Butler
analystSorry, I think it's a really important point because you identified this tolerability point during the trial experience and had a strategy at launch to manage it. And I think it's really notable that not often do you see that actually succeed in clinical practice, and it really has done. You have patients now that you are successfully managing that tolerability.
Mark Schneyer
executiveWe are, but I would say it's still variable, right? I think there are physicians that have really dialed in on it. And there are multiple strategies to deal with it, but they are our best pack practices. And I think from our kind of commercial and medical education efforts are to make sure those best practices are more widely known because there are some physicians who will say, listen, I'm able to -- without wanting to be graphic, but to say, all right, from a child stool to get it to peanut butter level consistency, we have practitioners that say, I'm able to do that with essentially all of my patients. And so to be able to communicate those best practices more broadly, if people can effectively manage the #1 tolerability issue, that could lead to them seeing -- getting through time to see -- and I can come back to that, to see efficacy or at least just get to efficacy, which can then just add to our enduring patient population. So ultimately, we want to make sure that patients for those that -- this is a drug that is -- it was approved based upon subjective end points like NUPLAZID, right, for these types of medicines, they work for many patients. They don't work for others. And that's fine, and that's to be expected. But we want to make sure that physicians, caregivers are using best practices on GI management strategies so they can work through the tolerability to see that there's efficacy there and if there's efficacy for the patient to remain on therapy.
Jason Butler
analystGot it. Obviously, we learned early in the launch that you were able to get patients on drug. And that's not -- both from an awareness perspective, a reimbursement perspective. One of the questions that we had to wait for the answer was persistency. We now have some really interesting data there. Can you maybe just give us where -- what your thoughts on where persistency is tracking today versus your expectations? And what are the drivers? Obviously, tolerability is going to be one of them, but what are the drivers that are really -- we should focus on for persistency?
Mark Schneyer
executiveRight. So I think that -- like the driver is kind of what we just talked about. If you're having a good experience on the drug and it's effective, you're going to maintain -- stay on therapy. And if you're not, for whatever reason, there will be a reason or a good reason to stop therapy. I think when we -- so we're tracking on persistency. I would say, meeting our expectations, right? I think we talked about a little earlier, right, the rate of diarrhea was not known going into the Phase III trial. So it wasn't actively managed. Coming out of it, we knew, right? So our expectations kind of at launch would be we should be able to do better than what we saw in terms of persistency or people remaining in the clinical trials in the commercial setting. And what we've done for the investment community is as time progresses and we monitor patients on a monthly cohort by monthly cohort basis, so when did you start and how long are you on therapy, we are expecting we should be able to do better than a clinical trial experience. And the measurement we're using is while there's no 100% best comparator, we think the best comparative say is for those patients that were on placebo and LAVENDER, but then in our LILAC open-label extension, first -- at the first time went on to trofinetide. Well, they didn't know that they were or were not on active in the Phase III. They at least knew when they started the open-label extension, they were getting active at that time. And so certainly, in the commercial setting, you know you're getting a script for DAYBUE, which is the FDA-approved drug, and it's active. So if we can compare over time how patients are doing in the commercial setting versus what they did for this group of patients, the placebo rollovers and LILAC, we think we could do better. And what we've consistently done through kind of the first 12 months of launch has been able to maintain a 10 percentage point differential between the commercial setting in favor of the open-label LILAC. And so we have released data kind of as we progressed and have had enough patients that it's meaningful and so on in our last earnings call, we released the 9-month data. So for the cohorts of patients that were on or could be on for at least 9 months, 58% of those patients remain on therapy versus 47% the comparator for this group for the LILAC open-label extension. In addition to that, where we've talked about, well, what does that really mean? So obviously, we're happy with that performance. We always want to do better. But what does it mean for the enduring patient population? Because that's ultimately what's going to serve patients. And then for those in the investment community that say, well, what's the revenue base for this? That enduring patient population is going to be kind of the ballast for revenues going forward. And if we just look at any patient that started in our clinical trials, about 40% of those patients remain on therapy today. So if we're able to maintain this kind of 10 percentage point differential is our kind of belief, expectation that we'll be able to say, all right, if you -- for patients that start therapy on DAYBUE, about half of them will be enduring patients over the long term.
Jason Butler
analystGot it. The other thing you gave some good data around on the earnings call was market share, market penetration and also thoughts about market growth. Can you just kind of hit the high points there of where you're at today? And obviously, you talked about the different segments of the market. So centers of excellence versus non-centers of excellence. Can you just run us through those numbers?
Mark Schneyer
executiveSo there -- today, there -- and we know from claims data, there are in the U.S., right? There are about 5,000 patients that are diagnosed and treated for Rett syndrome. About 1,300 of those have initiated treatment, so tried DAYBUE at some point and a little -- and we had 862 patients on today as of our earnings call last week. So that 1,300 is roughly 25% -- a little over 25% of the known diagnosed patient population. So that gives us excitement of there are a lot more patients to serve, right? So that's where we see significant future growth from where we are today. And then as far as prevalence is concerned, I mean, there's always a difference between known and what is expected. The data suggests that there's 6,000 to 9,000 patients in the U.S. that have Rett. So that's -- so where will that number ultimately fall out? Time will tell. That will be part of our disease awareness efforts to try to close that gap. When we started before launch, the 5,000 we shared with the market was -- our estimate at the time before launch was 4,500. So it's increased a little bit. We would say some of that is probably just due to better data. But it's just kind of part of the theme. The more information that's out there, the more there is known of treatments, the bigger those numbers get because you get towards kind of maximum possible diagnosis. But is the number some 5,000 something north of that, something where between 6,000 to 9,000? Time will do.
Jason Butler
analystAnd that's not specific to Rett, right? We've seen that in other rare disease examples where the diagnosis rate does increase with an effective therapy?
Mark Schneyer
executiveCorrect.
Jason Butler
analystOkay. Last couple of questions here on DAYBUE. You reiterated guidance. You also gave a little bit of color around some seasonal dynamics. Can you just walk us through what we should think about the cadence for growth for the rest of the year, both in terms of demand and revenue.
Mark Schneyer
executiveSo from a revenue standpoint, we reiterated guidance, as you mentioned, we'll expect growth from here. There were specific dynamics we're happy to get into on kind of why we had a sequential decline in revenues in the fourth quarter, but we expect sequential growth quarter-over-quarter here. through the remainder of the year.
Jason Butler
analystGreat. And then just lastly, what are your plans for -- beyond the U.S.? And is that something that you plan on taking on yourself? Or will you consider a partnership or partnerships to help?
Kimberly Manhard
executiveYes, I can...
Mark Schneyer
executiveKimberly, jump in here.
Kimberly Manhard
executiveSo first of all, for Europe, we received some positive feedback on the Pediatric Committee on our pediatric investigation plan in which they require no new studies other than the clinical studies we already completed. So that was very positive news. So we are aiming to file the marketing authorization application by the first quarter of next year. And there, we're planning on maybe our own footprint. So we're still building that out the strategy for that, and so we'll have more in the future to talk about. And then for Japan, we have a PMDA meeting towards the end of this quarter, actually, very soon. So we're very looking forward to that. And that's to discuss our clinical program that will support registration in Japan. There, we are more likely to partner out, but we're still determining the best strategy for Japan. And then in Canada, we announced last month that the new drug submission was accepted for filing by Health Canada. And also they gave us priority review, which means that we expect to hear from them, hopefully approval, by the end of this year.
Jason Butler
analystGreat. So switching over to NUPLAZID. This is a product that obviously is several years into commercialization. You've spoken about your focus on the profitability of the franchise. It's a franchise that's producing substantial cash flow. Can you maybe just talk about that balance between investing to drive more growth versus maximizing profitability?
Mark Schneyer
executiveYes, sure. So as we said, our goal at this point is to maximize -- from a financial standpoint, right, to maximize cash flow. And this is a franchise, when we look at our cost base on a fully allocated basis, is generating over $300 million of cash on an annual basis. And I think it's just the natural evolution of any pharmaceutical product, right? When you launch, as we're doing with DAYBUE, you're investing for long-term profit. We're not -- no company is investing for negative profitability, but it's long-term profitability. You're trying to build awareness, build a market, get market share to the extent there are competitors in the market. And all of that is kind of an investment for not just today but really as much for the future. NUPLAZID is in its mid-life cycle, right? And so we want to make sure we kind of naturally transition to our -- from -- it's not long-term future growth, it's growth today and in the near term, or profitability today and in the near term. And so we've kind of made that transition over the last few years. We've taken over $100 million on an annual basis of expenses out of the system. So I'm sure we could have more revenue today if we were still spending that money. But the question is, since we're looking at profitability today and in the near term, is it worth spending that money and -- versus reducing that money and having a slightly lower revenue base. We've obviously chosen the latter. But we've never said that -- and part of this was in COVID, right, so some of the investments that we were making, we're just not meeting our ROI thresholds during kind of the 2 years of COVID for this elderly and frail patient population where, unfortunately, there was a significant level of mortality. So you need to make those adjustments. And we'll make those adjustments going forward. So today, really, we're just evaluating what are the right investments to make. And we can dial up or dial down, but the focus is on near-term profitability and it doesn't need to actually be -- spend $1 today, make $1-plus tomorrow, right? But your horizon is just more nearer term than thinking we're making investments today that we're expecting to pay off several years down the road.
Jason Butler
analystGreat. I mentioned before that the Parkinson's market was definitely impacted by COVID, and that was an impact that persisted for really a couple of years post COVID. Where do you think we are today in terms of that -- those market dynamics? And how does that inform how you think about the potential for NUPLAZID to continue to grow in coming years?
Mark Schneyer
executiveYes. I think at this point, we're out of the COVID period, right? So unfortunately, I think if you look at just base Parkinson's disease medicines, the carbidopa/levodopa, these are medicines that patients don't stop taking, they're still lower than they were, right? And so that just suggests that there is overall lower patient population. But unfortunately, that patient population will kind of regenerate because as just natural disease progression in the population, people will get Parkinson's disease and those that have it or will get it, about half of them later in their disease will get -- suffer from hallucinations and delusions, and that's what treats -- NUPLAZID treats. So the patient population will regenerate and that's fine. But I think for us, we'll monitor that. But when we look at investments, really, our investments are on new patient starts, right? And how effective are we there? And can we dial up or dial down expenses to maximize kind of our cash generation from new patient starts because patients that are on therapy today, yes, there's some level of information that will help them maintain. But that's not really the focus of our efforts. Our focus are on new patients, and we have 8 years of historical data that tells us, well, if a patient starts or 100 patients start, what's the distribution of how long they stay on? We know what that is. That data is pretty consistent over time, and we can say, all right, well, how are our efforts in commercial efforts? What's happening for new patient starts. And can we invest more to drive more new patient starts in a way that, that financial equation is better or can -- on the other side, can we reduce expenses and that would -- it is a promotionally sensitive product. But if that reduction in expenses reduces new patient start. But overall, that's a positive financial equation. We'll look to do that.
Jason Butler
analystGreat. I'd love to spend a couple of minutes on the pipeline here. So maybe starting with ACP-204. This is a molecule that's similar to NUPLAZID. Also taking this contract with NUPLAZID, you generated data in a large Phase III trial showing efficacy in treating psychosis symptoms in Alzheimer's patients. You're now in a Phase II/III program for 204 in that same patient population. Can you maybe just give us an overview there of the trial design and the progress you've made in that trial?
Kimberly Manhard
executiveSure, I can take it. So basically, we already initiated the Phase II portion of the seamless Phase II, III study and that seamless design was already agreed to with the FDA. So that's enrolling. We anticipate basically the Phase II portion to read out in about 2 years. But once we stop that enrollment of Phase II and read out, then we will continue on to Phase III without waiting. So there's 2 Phase IIIs. So there are 3 very similar design trials, all adequate and well controlled, similarly sized over 300 patients in each, all placebo-controlled, double-blind and randomized and all include 2 doses of ACP-204, 30- and 60-milligram doses. And we're very excited that we can go up to the 60 milligrams. That was one of the target product profile features we were going for when we designed ACP-204 to be able to dose higher as well as lack of any QT signal, and also faster onset of action, which we think will be the case based on the very short half-life, the faster the time to steady state, et cetera. So we're very excited about ACP-204 and its opportunity in Alzheimer's disease psychosis, which, by the way, has also no approved treatment.
Jason Butler
analystRight. Great. Are there other patient populations or indications that you're thinking about for ACP-204? There were several that you considered for NUPLAZID along the way. And obviously, the focus on 204 now takes into account patent life. So where should we think about the potential to take that asset?
Kimberly Manhard
executiveYes, we're still evaluating that in-house, but you're right. There's a lot of opportunity there for different forms of psychosis, especially related to dementia, but also like negative symptoms of schizophrenia, we're still evaluating the data, but FDA has a meeting coming up in mid-August on clinical trials for negative symptoms of schizophrenia. So that will kind of inform our future direction with ACP-204 with that one. But we're also looking at others.
Jason Butler
analystAnd another what we think is an exciting pipeline asset is ACP-101 in Prader-Willi syndrome, another rare disease. Can you maybe just give us the overview of that program and the Phase III trial that is there, please?
Kimberly Manhard
executiveYes, absolutely. The Phase III trial is designed based on the experience that was had with the prior Phase III in which the 3.2 milligram dose of ACP-101 was able to show benefit over placebo. So now we have a 12-week study, double-blind, placebo-controlled, and we'll be evaluating that using the same endpoint HQ-CT so hyperphagia questionnaire for clinical trials, as was used in the prior studies, it's widely used. And so we are very excited about that, the possibility for that program, especially because hyperphagia is unrelenting hunger and Prader-Willi syndrome, it's just an absolutely devastating disease because that hunger can lead to obesity and the consequences and it's a very short lifespan only 30 years.
Jason Butler
analystGreat. We're out of time, but I'm going to add one more question just to wrap this up. When you think about investment into both the commercial and the pipeline, to what extent does continuing to bring new assets into the pipeline factor? What's the priority there? And obviously, you're an established commercial infrastructure. So just -- should we expect -- is there capacity to bring new assets in?
Mark Schneyer
executiveYes, there's certainly. It's kind of yes, all of the above, right? So it's probably the simple question as we're at it.
Jason Butler
analystFantastic. Mark, Kimberly, really appreciate you being here.
Mark Schneyer
executiveThank you so much.
Kimberly Manhard
executiveThank you.
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