Ascelia Pharma AB (publ) ($ACE)

Earnings Call Transcript · May 21, 2026

OM SE Health Care Biotechnology Analyst/Investor Day 25 min

Highlights from the call

In the Q2 2026 earnings call for Ascelia Pharma AB, management highlighted significant upcoming milestones, particularly the PDUFA date for their lead product, Orviglance, set for early July 2026. The company is targeting a substantial $800 million market opportunity in the U.S. for Orviglance, which addresses unmet medical needs in patients with severe renal impairment. Management confirmed that they are actively seeking commercialization partners to maximize the product's market entry and growth potential. Financial specifics regarding revenue and earnings were not disclosed during the call, and no guidance changes were mentioned.

Main topics

  • PDUFA Date for Orviglance: Ascelia Pharma is eagerly anticipating the FDA's decision on Orviglance, with the PDUFA date set for July 3, 2026. CEO Magnus Corfitzen expressed optimism, stating, "everything is pointing in the right direction" regarding the review process.
  • Market Opportunity: Orviglance targets an $800 million global market, with half of that in the U.S. The company has identified approximately 100,000 annual procedures in their target patient population, indicating a concentrated market for commercialization efforts.
  • Commercialization Strategy: Management is focused on partnering with companies that have established sales forces in U.S. hospitals to drive Orviglance's market entry. Corfitzen noted, "we need a partner... who is really good at getting approved drugs used in patients in a hospital setting."
  • Regulatory Process Insights: The management provided insights into the ongoing FDA review process, indicating a positive trajectory based on interactions with the agency. Corfitzen highlighted that they are "very happy with where we are now" in the review.
  • Orphan Drug Designation Benefits: Orviglance has received orphan drug designation, which grants it 7 years of market exclusivity in the U.S. This designation is expected to provide a competitive advantage post-approval.

Key metrics mentioned

  • Market Opportunity: $800M (Targeting U.S. market for Orviglance)
  • PDUFA Date: July 3, 2026 (Upcoming FDA decision on Orviglance)
  • Annual Procedures: 100,000 (Estimated annual procedures in target population)
  • Market Exclusivity: 7 years (Orphan drug designation for Orviglance)
  • Clinical Studies Completed: 9 (Clinical studies for Orviglance completed with consistent results)

Ascelia Pharma is at a pivotal moment with the impending FDA decision on Orviglance, which could significantly impact its valuation. The company’s strategy to partner for commercialization is crucial, and successful execution could lead to substantial revenue streams. Investors should monitor the PDUFA date and partnership developments closely as potential catalysts for stock movement.

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Georg Tigalonov-Bjerke

Analysts
#1

Hello, and welcome back to ABG Investor Days. My name is Georg Tigalonov-Bjerke. I'm an equity research health care analyst at ABG. With us now, we have Magnus Corfitzen, the CEO of Ascelia Pharma. And with that, Magnus, I give you the word.

Magnus Corfitzen

Executives
#2

Yes. Thank you, Georg. Great to be here. Thank you for the invitation from ABG to present to all of you today, talk about Ascelia Pharma and our very special year 2026 with some major milestones coming up. So in my presentation, I will be making forward-looking statements. In Ascelia, we're focused on developing sort of identifying, developing and commercializing novel drugs that address unmet medical needs within rare cancer. Our company is based in Malmö in Sweden. We've been listed on NASDAQ in Stockholm since 2019. Our pipeline consists of 2 products. The lead product is Orviglance. I'm going to spend the majority of the time here today talking about Orviglance and it's a diagnostic drug. I'll come into that a lot later. We've gone through the clinical development. We have a PDUFA date, which means the day that the FDA will be making a decision on approvability coming up in early July. So really getting excited about the upcoming milestone. The other program we have, I'm going to touch upon that in the end. It's a therapeutic drug, completed Phase I development and also very interesting opportunities within a number of different solid tumors. But let's start with Orviglance, our diagnostic drug. And I'll start with why we are so excited about Orviglance and what it does. It's a diagnostic drug that addresses a well-defined unmet medical need in a patient population that have poor options today. That translates into an $800 million global market opportunity, half of that in the U.S. So a very attractive opportunity for us to transition into commercial stage. We have manufacturing capacity in place to supply the market. We have completed 9 clinical studies with consistent good results. And that has led to the submission to the FDA that we did in September last year and which is now where we expect the decision in early July on approvability. We also have a clear strategy on -- we are a development stage company. We're not a commercial stage company, so we will partner. And we are having a process with various partners, potential partners in terms of finding the right one that will drive commercialization of Orviglance. I'll come back to that. So first, let me go a step back in terms of the well-defined unmet medical need. Cancer is obviously a major problem for a lot of people, and it's often a cause of death. Within cancer, cancer and delivery is a major problem. Very many cancer types spread to the liver, metastasizes to the liver. And that's -- the liver is actually one of the organs where the -- that has the most metastasis to it, also very often the first metastasis, which has important implications for how the doctor should treat the patient. The way to deal with that in clinical practice is to do medical imaging of the liver. The best way to do medical imaging of the liver for cancer to determine cancer or follow up on cancer is an MRI magnet in Swedish. And to get the best MRI image, you need to inject the patient. Today, you need to inject the patient with a gadolinium-based chelate into the bloodstream that will provide enhancement of the liver. In most patients, that works fine. But in some patients, patients with severe kidney problems, they're unable to excrete the gadolinium as fast as people with normal kidney function. They are at risk of something known as nephrogenic systemic fibrosis, which is a potentially fatal side effect. That's why the regulatory agencies have put in place black box warnings to highlight this safety concern for these patients. Those are the patients that we're going to make a difference for. Orviglance is based on manganese. So we have no gadolinium-associated safety issues. And we have a liver-specific agent that goes to the liver at minimal systemic exposure, so almost nothing in the bloodstream, which makes us a very efficient and targeted product for these patients. We have an orphan drug designation from the FDA for this patient population. That population translates into the $800 million market opportunity I mentioned before. Almost half of that is in the U.S. So in our development, we have prioritized the U.S. and prioritized the conversations with the FDA. But we've also had conversations with other regulatory agencies such as the EMA in Europe. The patients are very sick because they both have cancer and severe renal disease, and they are typically treated in the major medical hospitals. That creates a focused launch that we will -- the partner will be driving. So zooming in a little bit more on the U.S. opportunity. Based on very extensive market research, we've been looking into how many procedures are actually taking place in the U.S. that are built in the system. So these are based on real imaging procedures happening in real patients and being paid for. These data tell us that about 100,000 procedures, and these are 2019 numbers, around 100,000 procedures annually in our target patient population. It also tells us that the 75% of those imaging procedures were taking place in the largest 400 accounts. And again, that shows a concentrated, you would say, location of the patients, which means that the commercial footprint needed to drive commercialization successfully is a lot smaller, opening up to a wider range of partnering opportunities. We've also done extensive pricing research to understand the value we bring and how that can be priced into the health care context and have some good benchmarks and pricing feedback from payer representatives. So all in all, a very interesting opportunity on the dynamics starting in the U.S. And again, just to come back to the regulatory agency have the warnings on the gadolinium products. It's also something that is well recognized in the clinical community. So the doctors are quietly aware that there are risk with gadolinium. And some of them, a fair number have even experienced nephrogenic systemic fibrosis, even though it's a rare condition, partly because many of these patients are not getting gadolinium in the first place, but sometimes that is necessary in the current practice when there is not a good non-gadolinium agent available. So I think the fact that they know it tells to the, you could say, severity of the side effect. We are targeting, as mentioned, and that's why our orphan drug designation is the black box warning patients, the patients with severe renal disease. Some of the other concerns with gadolinium is the fact that every time gadolinium is injected, there's deposition of gadolinium in the tissue. That means some of the gadolinium stays in the body, it does not leave. It happens primarily in bone and in skin, but it's also deficit in the brain. And obviously, heavy metal deposition in the brain following a medical procedure is not something you would want. There's a lot of research going on to understand what are the long-term consequences. There's also increasing focus on the environmental impact. So when the patients have been injected with the gadolinium, it leaves through the urine, goes into our sewage system and there it increases. So there are numerous publications where scientists have measured gadolinium content in drinking water over the last few decades, and it has risen tremendously. Still not one of the major concerns on drinking water, but I think it's important for a number of reasons to minimize the heavy metal deposition in drinking water overall. So all these major trend drivers are favoring Orviglance. So we are leading the way to get a manganese agent on the market here with the PDUFA date coming up. We have GE Healthcare, one of the large gadolinium manufacturers. They are developing an injectable manganese agent. They completed Phase I, recently started a Phase II/III study, which we think is a great event. Our products based on the data we have is that they are complementary. So they have a manganese agent that is injected into the bloodstream, stays in the bloodstream. Our agent is a liver-specific agent that the patient will drink in a class of water like this. And then it's taken up from the small intestine to the liver. So the manganese does almost not get into the bloodstream, which gives us a very unique safety profile. And it provides a liver enhancement that the -- based on the data we have, that the GE agent does not have. So I think that's a good development that some of the large companies in the space are also saying manganese is a way of the part of the future. Some of the other gadolinium manufacturers are doing -- have developed lower dose. So they've taken their previous -- their older products and been able to reduce the amount of gadolinium per scan. So the patient will get less gadolinium to have a scan, but they still get gadolinium. And sometimes a patient can have severe side effects after even a small dose and some patients will have a number of high doses throughout their lifetime and they will not experience anything. So it's very difficult to predict in general, who will have side effects. But the severe renal impairment patients are well defined as being the highest risk patients. So overall, the conclusion of this this message is really when you look at the trends in radiology and in particular, in the MRI space, Orviglance is really well positioned and in sync with the developments at this point in time. So we're really pleased with that. So that brings us to the partnering. So we are approaching the approval date. We are also having conversations with a number of companies that could be strong commercialization partners. Those conversations progress. And obviously, it's a long discussions and a lot of things that we need to cover in those conversations. But we bring to the table basically a product that has -- on the brink of FDA approval, there's a clear, well-defined unmet medical need. It's well recognized both in the medical and regulatory and other societies that there is a need for a better product for these patients. So we're excited about where we are. We're not there yet, but we're working every day to get there. So the other part of getting there is obviously getting the product approved. That's the other key milestone we have. As mentioned, we have completed the clinical development with 9 different clinical studies, high level of consistency in safety and efficacy. We have had conversations with the regulatory agency throughout the development and are very happy with where we are now. So just to give sort of on the Phase III data, and some of you who have been following Ascelia for a while have probably seen this image before from our Phase III study, but it just to illustrate the enhancement and the value that we provide with Orviglance. So the left, you see the unenhanced scan and our market research tells us that for the target patients, the patients we go after, the majority of them, according to our research, get the left-hand side scan, which has inferior quality. And that means that there is a risk that they will miss cancer in the liver. There's a risk that they will not interpret the development, the patient's response to drug therapy in the right way. So if they're getting chemotherapy or antibodies for treating the tumor, if they are not able to measure growth correctly, they may take the wrong decisions in terms of continuing on therapy or changing to something new. With these images, we have high quality, and you can also see that on the scoring, which is a little bit complicated on a 4-point scale, but this is the delta. So basically, anything above 0 means that Orviglance is better. And you see the 95% error bars. So really strong level of significance on this primary endpoint. So in terms of where we are, we have -- I mentioned we submitted in September last year. We got day 74 letter in November. The review process is on track. We have a dialogue with the FDA that is, I would say, customary as one would expect in terms of their asking questions and doing all the other things, including audits that they should be doing. We're excited about where we are and looking forward to the PDUFA date. So that's an important milestone. Another important element is, obviously, when we get to market, the orphan drug designation will provide us with 7 years of market exclusivity in the U.S., which means the FDA will not approve a similar product for the same indication, giving us a strong natural protection. We've also filed IP both on a food effect, so you can -- it's a product you drink. We have demonstrated that you can have a certain kind of food in certain amounts prior to the administration of Orviglance. We hope to get that patent. And we also filed some manufacturing patents where we've not disclosed more than manufacturing, which we are also very excited about in terms of, you could say, extending exclusivity for the Orviglance franchise. We have issued patents for next-generation Orviglance product. So today, Orviglance is a powder that is mixed with the water. This IP, these patents cover taking the Orviglance product into a tablet. It could be a dissolving tablet, it could be an Fescent tablet, but that could be a next-generation product that would have exclusivity. So again, One thing is the near term, but the value we provide with Orviglance is for the long term, finding better solutions for patients over the next decades. With that, I'll switch gears and go to Oncoral before we get to questions in the end. So Oncoral is a therapeutic drug. It's based on irinotecan. Irinotecan is being used every day throughout the world for treating cancers, in particular, colorectal and pancreatic cancers. So irinotecan today is given as an injection or as an infusion. So the patient will typically go to the hospital every second, third week, get a very high dose, have very high level of side effects in the first couple of days. And then as they gradually recover from the side effects, they will -- they are scheduled to get the next dose. The good thing is that irinotecan is very good at treating the cancer, but it's a very difficult regimen and many patients do not tolerate. And therefore, we see a significant improvement opportunity by giving daily dosing of irinotecan. So giving a lower dose every single day, so you don't get to this excessive level of drug exposure that caused these massive side effects. But over the course of the treatment, it will be potentially better safety, better efficacy. So in the Phase I trials we did illustrated here, you see the concentration of the active metabolite SN-38. That's an important marker for how you would say, exposure to the tumor of this active metabolite. And we think there are definitively benefits to that. We saw that on the safety profiles in these early studies. Studies were in very sick patients and not designed for any efficacy signals. But still, it was encouraging to see a number of patients having stable disease. So these patients have been tried, I think, 3 to 6 different kind of drug treatments before coming to the trial. Some of them even had stable disease when they've had growing tumors with injectable irinotecan. So proving that the constant exposure, constantly having anticancer drug in the bloodstream is helpful and much better than giving a high dose all at once. So we're very excited to move forward with this in due time. So we are initially focusing on gastric cancer, but there are many different solid cancer types where irinotecan could play an important role. And as mentioned, today, it's approved in colorectal cancer and pancreatic cancer. So before going to questions, I'll just round up with our focus on the milestones, right? We have 2 milestones. One is getting Orviglance approved and the other one is getting a deal on Orviglance. That's what we focus on. And we are well on track for both of them. We are making good progress on the regulatory process. That's -- there's a timetable, and we expect in early July to have a decision from the FDA. We're optimistic for a positive outcome based on the interactions we've had to date. And on the partnering, we are continuing to work with our key opinion leader network in terms of preparing a lot of the market launch activities. We are also having some serious conversations with a number of companies that we see as potentially very strong commercialization partners that we can work with and support so they can drive the adoption of Orviglance to patients who need it. So with that, I'd like to open up for questions.

Georg Tigalonov-Bjerke

Analysts
#3

Thank you for that nice presentation, Magnus. We have a few questions. So first, I mean, you touched upon these things, but perhaps you can give some more detailed flavor, first of all, on the FDA regulatory process, especially the PDUFA action date on the 3rd of July. How has it been and what will happen going forward also?

Magnus Corfitzen

Executives
#4

Yes. So it's an exciting process, and this is my first PDUFA, but fortunately, we have a number of people in my team who have been through several. So basically, once you submit the FDA review team, they're reviewing and they will ask questions and then we'll say, we need that answer by Thursday next week or kind of. And then we get scrambling going from doing some other stuff and then putting everything aside and answering -- responding to the FDA. And that is the process that goes on throughout the review period. Typically, they will also do -- I mean, almost always, I guess, do audits, and it could be the company, it could be Cliia, it could be manufacturing, it could be hospitals that have participated in clinical trials, could be CROs that have been involved. Everything can be audited by the FDA and then you get the audit reports. And then you need to -- if there are any sort of major critical findings, you will need to respond to those so that the FDA can be confident that things have been done in the right way. So that's kind of the cycle. And it's basically -- I mean, you don't know anything for sure until you are -- you get the approval letter. But obviously, we see it as a positive sign that the process, the interactions we've had, the questions we've had and our responses to that. everything is pointing in the right direction. So I think based on where we are, we couldn't be much more happy than we are at this point.

Georg Tigalonov-Bjerke

Analysts
#5

Exciting. Very exciting days coming up, but there's also one other very important milestone that you have spoken a lot about, and that is finding a partner to do the commercialization with. Can you say some words about what you're, in particular, looking for in a partner and how you are going to drive the most value post approval as well?

Magnus Corfitzen

Executives
#6

Yes. Absolutely. Yes. So I mean, we're a small company, and we will not be able to do a good launch ourselves. We would need to build everything from scratch, and that's not in the interest of Ascelia and shareholders. So we have a clearly stated strategy we want to bring in a partner. Obviously, us taking the product through the clinical and regulatory development. means that what we need from a partner is somebody who's really good at getting approved drugs used in patients in a hospital setting. So the partners that we are thinking and we are thinking about would be the optimal partners and the companies we speak to are companies that have sales forces targeting U.A. hospitals, in particular, the large hospitals. They are -- they have -- you would say, they are in the databases and the IT systems. They have procurement, they have the distribution chain set up. What they need is they need Orviglance and they need the experience we have and our key opinion leader network and other key people who can support them in bringing the product to market and then they would kind of take more and more over. So it's kind of a broad range of companies. We -- we are speaking to companies that you would expect for a radiology product. We're talking to those companies. We're also talking to specialty pharma companies that have hospital-focused sales forces in many different therapeutic areas. Some of them that are very adjacent to what we have here and some of them who say this could be an important product in the strategy that we have in terms of focusing more on these specialties. So it's really, you would say, I would say, a diverse group of companies we speak to. And I think it's also different structures. So some are interested in having global rights. Some companies are interested in having U.S. only. And then we will be working -- if that ends up being a U.S.-only deal, we'll work with that partner in the U.S. and then we'll find partners for Europe and Asia and other geographies. So it's really an exciting period of time trying to put, you could say, the pieces and the jaw puzzle together and make sure that we get it done right and bring on a partner who is committed and really willing to make the investments into the launch and also a partner where this is a strategically important product for them.

Georg Tigalonov-Bjerke

Analysts
#7

And what would the role of Ascelia be in this partnership going forward? What kind of support are typically partners looking for from you? And what are you -- would you be able to provide there?

Magnus Corfitzen

Executives
#8

Yes. It's a good question. And again, it depends who the partner is, what they come with and what we come with. Obviously, we are -- we know the most about Orviglance. We know more about Orviglance than anyone else. And we want to share that with the partner. We want to help the partners succeed. Again, depending very much on the deal structure, if it's like -- you could say -- if it's a global right, then they need to bring it into the global organization, then we'll be busy trying to support all the different regions. If it's U.S. only, then we'll be focusing on U.S. and trying to help the U.S. team do it in a really good way. There also -- I mean, they will drive everything from, you could say, commercialization and onwards. And then depending on geography and others, we may still have manufacturing. We may be working on the next-generation opportunities. So there's -- I mean, one thing is obviously getting the approval and getting the deal. Those are the key objectives we have. But I think a very important element is also to work with the partner after signing the deal and helping maximize the revenue stream for many years to come. I think that is a really important parameter. So right now, we're focused on the execution on the 2 major milestones right now, but we're also preparing to say, after those 2 milestones, what does the look like? How are we utilizing our knowledge and our capabilities in the best way to drive long-term value, not just for, you would say, 2026, but also the years beyond. And I think that's a very exciting opportunity, and I think we are well prepared for that.

Georg Tigalonov-Bjerke

Analysts
#9

Great. Time is running very fast here. So I think we'll leave it at that.

Magnus Corfitzen

Executives
#10

Thank you very much, Magnus. Thank you.

For developers and AI pipelines

Programmatic access to Ascelia Pharma AB (publ) earnings transcripts and 32,000+ others is available through the EarningsCalls.dev REST API. Plans from $24.99/month — full transcripts, speaker segments, full-text search, and the recently-added /api/v1/transcripts/recent polling endpoint for ETL pipelines.