Actuate Therapeutics, Inc. (ACTU) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
May 31, 2025
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Daniel Schmitt
executiveOkay. Very good. So my name is Dan Schmitt. I'm the President and CEO of Actuate Therapeutics. I really appreciate you taking the time out of a very busy hectic completely filled schedule to make time to meet with us tonight. This is a KOL discussion focused on the Phase II top line data that was presented this afternoon by Dr. Deva Mahalingam on the 1801 3B study in first-line treatment of metastatic pancreatic cancer. The trial represents a major milestone in our development of elraglusib, and we're really honored to have 4 world-renowned clinical leaders in GI oncology here with us to provide their perspectives and insights. And so before we begin, the lawyers don't go away even though you'd like them to. So it's now my pleasure to introduce our panel. Dr. Colin Weekes to immediately to my left is Director of Pancreatic Research at Massachusetts General Hospital and Associate Professor at Harvard Medical School. His research focuses on early drug development and targeting the tumor microbial environment in pancreatic cancer. He is also leading a trial with elraglusib in combination with FOLFIRINOX in metastatic pancreatic cancer. Dr. Deva Mahalingam is a Professor of Medicine and GI Oncologist at Northwestern's Robert H. Lurie Cancer Center. He directs the Clinical Trials Office and the Developmental Therapeutics Unit, where he leads early phase research across GI malignancies. He's also the principal investigator in our Phase II Part 3B trial and was the presenter in the main session today. Dr. Rachna Shroff is a nationally recognized expert in pancreatic and biliary cancer. She co-chairs the SWOG Hepatobiliary Subcommittee. She led GI ASCO 2024 as the Chair and is the national PI for SWOG 1815. And last but not least, Dr. Toni Saab is a David F. and Margaret T. Grohne Professor at the Mayo Clinic and Chair of Hematology and Medical Oncology in Phoenix. He leads GI cancer research across the Mayo Clinic Cancer Centers and co-chairs several national committees focused on hepatobiliary cancer. So please join me in welcoming all 4 of our panelists. I'm really proud to have them here. So thank you. What I'd like to do is this is a fireside chat. I try to make it as conversational as possible. But I'd like to begin with Dr. Weekes and ask him to provide an overview of the pancreatic cancer treatment landscape, existing treatment regimens and his experience with elraglusib. And then after that, we'll have Dr. Mahalingam discuss the Phase II 1801 3B study and the results that were presented this afternoon. And then following that data review, we're going to open it up to the panel with Dr. Shroff and Dr. Saab, who will share their perspectives on the data and how elraglusib may ultimately fit into the treatment paradigm. So after those discussions, we'll open it up to the floor for any questions that you may have. So Dr. Weekes, the floor is yours.
Colin Weekes
attendeeAll right. Hello, everyone. So I think I would like to do is just sort of outline in general sort of how we think about pancreas cancer, and that stems from patients who have localized disease all the way to metastatic disease, which is what we're going to talk about ultimately. And so in patients with metastatic -- or excuse me, localized disease, we sort of break those down into resectable versus borderline resectable and locally advanced. And right now, it is somewhat controversial in terms of what chemotherapy we use in that setting, but the 2 real chemotherapies that we use are either nab-paclitaxel plus gemcitabine or FOLFIRINOX. And then there's most recently NALIRIFOX, which is, I think, just a fancy version of FOLFIRINOX. So I think for most of us, we think about FOLFIRINOX and NALIRIFOX more similarly. I would also say that I think that when we think about treating these patients, it's really sort of 2 treatment -- 2 therapeutic paradigms either sort of gemcitabine nab-paclitaxel or a FOLFIRINOX paradigm. And I think what's beginning to come out is that we have these different molecular subtypes of pancreas cancer, and those patients may respond differently to different types of these chemotherapy regimens. And so I think this -- like if I'm talking to my patients about it, I'll say, okay, there's male and female pancreas cancer cells and the cancer tumors are amalgamation of these male and female cells. And it may be that say the female cells respond to chemotherapy and FOLFIRINOX better than, say, the male cells. And what we also know is that sometimes these cells can transition from male to female. And that process is called epithelial-mesenchymal transition, EMT. And that's one of the ways that elraglusib works by inhibiting the EMT. In addition to that, elraglusib potentially also alters the immune function. So we saw today in the presentation that we see an augmentation of CD8 positive T cells and then the release of Granzyme B from those T cells. So that demonstrates that, in fact, not only the T cells present, but they're actually active in killing cells. And so that's the importance of that piece of information that was presented today. And then in addition to that, elraglusib, it potentially targets the proliferative pathway, which is shown by its ability to inhibit NF-kappa B. And so it functions in many ways in pancreas cancer. And I think that's important in terms of pancreas cancer because pancreas cancer, if I was to cut that tumor open, it would look very different than, say if I cut a lung cancer tumor open. So if I cut a lung cancer tumor open and look at it, what I'm going to see is lung cancer cells only versus in pancreas cancer, what we see is an amalgamation of cells. The paucity of those cells are actually the tumor cells. We also see what are called cancer-associated fibroblasts, and there's also called the desmoplastic reaction, which is the stroma of the concrete of the tumor. And all those things are active in pancreas cancer. And it turns out that elraglusib potentially targets all of those different components of the tumor. So I think that's one of the unique things about elraglusib as a drug for pancreas cancer. So as you said, I have experience with FOLFIRINOX. So I've been doing clinical trial with FOLFIRINOX over the last couple of years. And I think what I've sort of come to the conclusion from that experience. Now that study is a small study. So it's a total of 60 patients, and it's randomized to receive FOLFIRINOX. And then we were also using a drug called losartan, which is a blood pressure medicine, but we think that losartan alters the function of the stroma. And so that's why we were doing that and also alters potentially that whole EMT process. So you're asking the question, if we give elraglusib with FOLFIRINOX, do we alter the EMT process? And do we maintain cells in a female state with a response to FOLFIRINOX? And then I think the interesting thing for us in that study is we do have some incredibly long responders who have done really well on this. We've done well in that study. These patients had very high burdens of disease to begin with, and they did very well. All the patients that we took care of on that study, so it's a much smaller study of 60 patients total. But all the patients that we treated on the study had eye or vision changes. The vision changes lasted for just about 24 hours, and then they were fine after that. So it wasn't anything that was permanent, and that's -- these are patients who were on study for some of them for 2 years and really didn't have any problem. So I don't see that as a sort of an inhibitory toxicity of this particular drug. So I think the question really then becomes which one of these pathways do we go down in terms of drug development? I think both pathways are valid. I think the control arm for one study versus another, I think there's a question out there about that. And I think from my perspective, you want to do a control -- the control arm should be whatever the arm is that you're combining the drug with. And so you're asking that question, right? Does that drug improve this chemotherapy FOLFIRINOX or does that drug improve chemotherapy, nab-paclitaxel and gemcitabine? I think the real importance of this study at the end of the day, and then I'll be quiet is if you think about pancreas cancer drug development. So NALIRIFOX and -- excuse me, FOLFIRINOX was studied in 2011. I think nab-paclitaxel and gemcitabine is around 2013. So it's been quite some time since we've had anything that says it improves outcomes for patients with these chemotherapy backbones despite a lot of negative trials, right? So we could fill this room with negative trials. So I think that's really the importance of this study is that we're for the first time seeing an overall survival benefit. The magnitude of that benefit, I think, is actually substantial. So that's how I think about this study is -- and given what I know in terms of my experience with patients with FOLFIRINOX, I'm really quite excited about what we're seeing with this drug in the context of chemotherapy. So with that, I'll be quiet, and I'll pass it on to the rest of the team.
Daniel Schmitt
executiveSo Dr. Mahalingam, some very compelling data was presented today. We have some -- we have your slides here, if you want to refer to any of them. So from your experience, before we get into the data, what are some of the biggest challenges that you see patients facing as they go into first-line treatment? And then what are the current limitations of the alternatives they have right now?
Deva Mahalingam
attendeeI think in general, when patients have some events with metastatic pancreatic cancers, it's usually -- I would say about 1/3 of them are already symptomatic because of the disease burden that they have. A lot of them have lost weight, poor nutritional levels because the pancreas is really part of your kind of absorption of food.
Daniel Schmitt
executiveCan we get the microphone turned on, please?
Deva Mahalingam
attendeeYes. And so I think the challenge is -- the first question we are often asking is, are they a candidate for treatment versus symptom management versus nutritional support. So there's a lot of things that goes when someone initially presents. And if they are usually a candidate for treatments, we are kind of deciding whether we want to treat them with 1 of the 2 chemo backbones that Colin just mentioned, the FOLFIRINOX chemotherapy or the gem nab-paclitaxel chemotherapy. And I think there is possibly a selection bias, especially in community practices where patients might want to lean a little bit more to the gem nab-paclitaxel because they feel it's easier as opposed to the FOLFIRINOX, where maybe some of the toxicity profiles are a bit harder for kind of perhaps older patients and frailer patients. So there's certainly a selection bias in there. And so generally, when we think about these patients, we are trying to figure out what regimens. And then on top of that, we're then trying to see if there's a regimen, is there a clinical trial that we can add them on to as well. And in this trial, by way of background, this started as an early phase study. And as it developed and we went into pancreatic cancers, we allowed a flexibility of patients to come in. We didn't really restrict who could come in. And I suspect that's part of the reason why you're seeing a little bit of the death early in the study. But then I think that the drug kicks in and then you start seeing this kind of slowing down of the progression and which is why the survival benefit is seen later. And when we did the early trials with elraglusib, we saw hints of something. These were patients who are all refractory to multiple lines of treatment, and we started seeing complete response in melanoma. And so that second -- maybe there's an immunomodulatory function going on. And as we develop the drug and came into an earlier line, in this case, in the first-line setting, then we can appreciate that survival difference is that we may not have appreciated if someone is in the third-line pancreas, for example, where the survival is usually less than 6 months. So I think that's really the journey of the drug and how we kind of think about trials in general. And so I'm surprised. I can tell you when I started the study, we are -- as physicians, we want to see a response and shrinkages of tumor. But then when we start seeing patients that are still in the study 1 year on, we're going like what's going on here with this treatment. So that's my little spiel on that.
Daniel Schmitt
executiveYes, please.
Colin Weekes
attendeeSo I would also say that in the FOLFIRINOX-treated patients, right? So if you look at most of the trials that are out there for pancreas cancer, it's mainly nab-paclitaxel and gemcitabine because it's very challenging to combine with FOLFIRINOX. And most of the studies that you see with FOLFIRINOX, they actually don't make it because of the toxicity associated with the combination of the drugs. So in my case, with my study, what I've really actually been really pleasantly pleased with is it's very tolerable in terms of combination with FOLFIRINOX. And what we see as patients go along, they actually feel back to their normal self, at least in my study. So I think I've been pleasantly surprised along with you, Dan, about -- on that experience as well.
Daniel Schmitt
executiveSo Colin, when you say they feel back to their normal self, is that different than what they would have normally been on the FOLFIRINOX?
Colin Weekes
attendeeYes. Yes. FOLFIRINOX is challenging, and I'm not saying patients are not having toxicity associated with FOLFIRINOX because they are. But what I have appreciated many times is patients saying to me, I'm able to do the things that I was able to do before I was diagnosed with cancer. So they really feel like they're getting some of their lifestyle back. And when you look at their partners, which is really what I think the telltale thing in this conversation, when you look at their partners, their partners are elated because they have their spouse back. And I think that's something that I find very encouraging with this.
Daniel Schmitt
executiveExcellent. So Deva, in terms of your Phase II data, we have a few slides. Are there any ones that you want me to pull up or you would like to direct and sort of run through because not everybody was at the presentation today. But if there's any highlights that you think are important that the audience here has access to.
Deva Mahalingam
attendeeSo this is a multicenter effort. So I want to kind of thank all of the people on stage that enrolled patients on to this study. Let me just start with the mechanism of action. That's the first thing, right? So this is -- it's been a while since we have kind of come up with a new drug with a kind of a different mechanism of action. It's not just in pancreatic cancer, but just to have a drug that can target a protein called GSK-3 beta itself is unique. And it has been attempted before, I think the 2, 3 drugs that came before this. But pharmacokinetically, it was just not as good because of shorter half-lives and poor tissue distribution and rapid clearances. So this drug came in and tried to hit a target that we know has kind of proven effects across multiple pathways. So we talk about like we only listed about 4 or 5 targets here, but there are multiple kind of regulatory targets in normal cells. And then in cancer, obviously, when you inhibit it, we kind of see all the things that we -- and this has been shown in laboratories and also preclinical data. We see this kind of pro-apoptotic signals that are decreasing in cell proliferation. And Colin referred to the EMT, and this is really relevant in pancreatic cancer as well as the fibrosis down there because pancreatic tumors are usually fibrous tumors and we can't even get drugs penetrated into the tumor. And so the question is whether it's allowing more chemo to penetrate into the tumor as well. And then ultimately, this is obviously the thing that I think probably helps that survival curve, the survival benefit we're seeing is the T cell and the NK cell activation in tumors and usually a hard cancer for immunotherapy to even work in the first place. I think the key thing with this study is that as we -- this is the second line -- this is the first-line study that we saw an improvement in overall survival. We also started seeing things like neutropenia in the patients. And the question is why were these patients getting neutropenia? And I think Andrew obviously summarized it well is that the assumption is that elraglusib has a regulatory role in hematopoietic stem cells. So it does actually have proliferation of cells. And some of the older agents, you actually see a neutrophilia and it's the stem cells are trying to regenerate. And then when you come in with chemo, it causes more of the neutropenia. But in essence, we did not see any of this kind of toxicities associated with neutropenia such as febrile neutropenia and sepsis. So that was one of the things we noted. And so the twice-weekly arm, and this was obviously something that has been developed as a drug when we opened it, that should we do a weekly regimen or a twice-weekly regimen because of potentially the half-life of the drug and the pharmacokinetics. And we realized that the weekly regimen would be -- would surprise compared to the twice-weekly regimen. And then we ran the study. I think the only other thing I would say here is the -- let's go to the Kaplan. This is the main slide. And as you can see, in the modified intent-to-treat population, we see this improvement in survival. But as I pointed out and the thing is we see this sharp decline in the first 2 months in about, I'd say, on average, about 15% of patients between the two arms. And we see this actually, we're starting to see a lot of this in pancreatic cancer trials where we see this early drop off probably because the patients have a poor biology, and we're starting to see a lot of things about basal subtypes, which are a lot more aggressive. They tend to perhaps drop off a little bit earlier. And then you start seeing the Kaplan-Meier curves diverge and stay separated. And I think that's when the drug starts hitting you. And I think we have a slide, I don't know whether it's after this. And so let's just say we assume that a patient can at least complete the first cycle and we selected the patients and we were maybe a little bit more stringent. Remember, I said we were not as stringent in the trials and in our patients that we enrolled. If we can be a little bit more stringent, I think we will -- you put it at the end, okay? So this is a slide at the end that he added in here. So these -- anyone who's kind of had completed one cycle. That's all we wanted is one cycle, and then we looked at the analysis in a different way. And you can see in the red there that the median overall survival then steps up to about 12.5 months. And the 8.5 is actually what we saw in the mPDAC study with the overall survival as well. Then we are kind of seeing this difference again of approximately 3 months. So I think any time we see a 3 month, I think the discussion I'd say that -- 4 months, yes, 4 months, sorry, my math's, I'm tired. But 4 months in this thing, but anything above 3 months, I think, would be kind of significant. Obviously, this is just a sub -- an analysis that we are doing to see if we can account for that rapid decline in a group of patients. And I think we are looking at the data because when we look at our data now, and I think that's been pulled up right now, Andrew, right? We see a lot of patients with low albumin. And if you look at the NAPOLI trial -- NAPOLI-3 trial, they had a cutoff of 3 in terms of the albumin because this is actually -- albumin has been shown to be a good marker for -- in terms of survival as well as tolerance to treatment as well because some of the toxicities can be more pronounced as the patients are frailer with the lower albumins. And so if we can benchmark that to the NAPOLI trial, I would say that we would have also another way of preventing this kind of earlier decline that we see with our trial that perhaps we didn't see with the NAPOLI trial as well. And then I think this is a nice slide because it's important to show the mechanism, and we know it hits different targets. So we know we can get cytokine levels on all patients. And these cytokine levels would suggest that the drug is doing some sort of an immunomodulatory function to the T cells. And we can see that at least some of the cytokines, the CXCL2 would suggest that in the elra-only cohort, we see this kind of improvement in overall survival with the high CXCL2 at baseline, but not in the GnP arm. And then obviously, the tissue sample that we saw. And this patient, as a reminder, did not get a response, the stable disease, right? But he went on and study for over 20 months. And you can see on the far right figure here, you see all the infiltrations of the T cells and the Granzyme B positive cells suggesting activated T cells as well as the CD56 positive natural killer cells. And the other thing we noticed was a decrease in MDSCs, myeloid-derived suppressor cells, which is actually bad in the microenvironment. And I think that the drug helps clear that as well. So I think we need to do kind of more work in this in looking at tumor analysis from what we have. But I think like this suggests that the mechanism may lead to what we are thinking as tumor reprogramming of the immune microenvironment. So I'll leave it at that if that would help.
Daniel Schmitt
executiveNo, I think that's very helpful. I think the data is very compelling. And if you equilibrate -- so the non-MD on the [ DS ], you have -- you look at a more restricted patient population to sort of compare and contrast to the other major studies and all of a sudden, the delta and median OS improves, the hazard ratio goes down. And clearly, the effect of the drug is being shown.
Deva Mahalingam
attendeeYes. And obviously, as for physicians, we don't like to compare between trials because it's not a good idea to do that.
Daniel Schmitt
executiveYes.
Deva Mahalingam
attendeeBut we have a comparison at least between our own patient population that we enrolled in the randomized study, and I think that should be the take-home message. But we can certainly do a little bit better by trying to be a bit more stringent as we do a registration-type trial going forward.
Daniel Schmitt
executiveIt's the double-edged sword of running a randomized controlled trial, just so you have a control and then they say, well, how do you compare it to another trial, right? And it's always a bit of a challenge to make sure that the data is represented in the most scientifically rigorous way. And I think from my perspective, the data speaks for itself. So Rachna, your patients, you had patients on the trial. Can you give us a little bit of perspective on what you saw in the trial? And what's your takeaway on the data you're seeing here? What's the meaning of that?
Rachna Shroff
attendeeI will say, I think because I was able to see a number of patients that were on this trial and see -- I mean, first of all, I think there's also something to be said, and this was kind of already alluded to that it's not easy in pancreas patients to just add more therapy on. I mean, definitely with FOLFIRINOX, but even with gem nab-paclitaxel. And I think what was really great is that I didn't -- there wasn't necessarily -- I mean, you showed the safety data at your presentation, but there really wasn't anything that made it complicated to be able to put patients on this trial and offer them this drug, which I think is really, really important because the point that was made earlier, pancreas patients are really -- it's a complex disease. And there's so many facets to their care and how they do that has nothing to do with the drugs that we're giving them. And so I think the ability to give them something that doesn't necessarily add to the cumulative toxicity is really important. But I also think looking at that patient population that was able to get the first cycle is really key. And Colin and I were looking at that data just before we got on stage, and we were saying, I mean, that's really meaningful and impactful. And yes, that absolutely is not -- it was not statistically designed to look at that specific patient population. And you take all of that in terms of the data purity component of it. But I think at the end of the day, in the real world and in the clinic, there are patients across the spectrum in terms of bad players and bad biology and all of them are getting FOLFIRINOX or gem nab-paclitaxel. I mean that is the real-world statement. But at the same time, when you then account for what is probably that initial drop off, that group of patients that perhaps had a lower albumin or had other poor prognostic types of things that make them the more aggressive biology or the types of patients that would have just done poorly, unfortunately, regardless. And then you take out that noise, if you will, and you look, I mean, then you really see, I think, the magnitude of the impact of the drug and what it can potentially do. And I think that's the punch line to me.
Daniel Schmitt
executiveSo this is something that -- I don't want to put words in your mouth, but I've been in oncology for 20 years as well, and I look at the profile of this drug and what I'm hearing from the data today, both in terms of this is all about patient care, right? And so we have this almost benign. I don't want to overblow it, but we have patients who feel better. They do have some toxicity, additional toxicity, but not dose limiting or treatment limiting and with a significant outcome in terms of their overall survival. So Toni, weigh in here, shoot some holes on this. What did you see in your -- what did you see in your patients? And give us your perspective on elra and the potential for where you see this going in the treatment of pancreatic and maybe beyond?
Tanios Bekaii-Saab
attendeeYes. I mean one has to start with, as you've heard, pancreas cancer is the toughest nut to crack. It is a tough one. And so we all see these patients, quite a few of them, and we know how tough it is to actually get them through treatment and get them to live beyond the 1-year mark. We certainly are doing much better today than we were before, but we're not even close to any other. This is the only cancer that's still in the single digits I mean, depending on what you look at. It's about 8%, some would say, 12%, 5-year survival. No other cancer like that. So this is a cancer that desperately needs improvement. So going to this, it's a balancing act. There's no effective therapy that doesn't add a little bit of toxicity. It doesn't exist, and it's not supposed to exist because essentially, you're modifying something in the system. So yes, you will see a little bit of toxicity, added toxicity. But that has to be balanced out. I think one of the problems with how we measure toxicities is we also don't account for the time the patients spend on treatment. So sometimes when treatments are more effective, you're spending more time on chemotherapy. And so you see some cumulative toxicity later on rather than earlier on. These would be related to the chemotherapy. That's not a bad thing. These are things we can control as long as they don't impair the quality of life of patients. And then the same thing with your experimental agent, when you add an experimental agent to a standard therapy, you don't want to see the toxicities from the standard therapy get amplified to the point where the patient cannot go through the treatment. And at the same time, you don't want to have the toxicities that essentially make it difficult for the patient to even be able to go on that experimental treatment. So here, we're not seeing that significant added toxicity that would be concerning for us to say, this seems like a goal. This is a goal. This is -- the patients are able to tolerate it well. And when you're talking about patients, who are feeling better, and you can't quantify that on a clinical trial. This is something that as we see patients in clinic, my patient comes in the door and we're sitting there and we're talking, gained 3, 4 pounds. I'm feeling better. I'm doing more things. I'm able to go back golfing. In Arizona, there's a lot of golfing. All these things, this is what we hear from our patients. And that happens in the first month of treatment. So before even I see the scan, I'm like, wow, this looks like this patient is going to do well. And to the point where you're bringing that first cycle, patients that are able to get that first cycle, it is so predictive that if those patients are able to go through the treatment as we want them to, as we hope they do, these are the patients that do the best. And yes, there are certain characteristics here that if you adjust for a little bit more, the numbers, the delta will continue looking more favorable. And of course, you don't want to do that. But the point of it is that one of the -- as again, Rachna and others have alluded to is you don't want to compare to other studies at this point of time. You created your own control because this patient population is very heterogeneous. There -- every study looks different if you want to look at the control arm. That's why you have a control arm to make sure you adjust for the patient population, you're accruing, you're enrolling on the study. So the differential in survival is actually pretty impressive. In pancreas terms, this is a big differential. And the tail of the curve that's forming actually is even more impressive. The fact that you have doubling of the landmark survival is pretty impressive itself. Now I will tell you, historically, when we use gemcitabine many, many, many, many eons ago, you would never see a patient reach the 3 years mark or the 2 years mark. When gemcitabine and nab-paclitaxel or Abraxane came through, we were excited about the fact that about 5-plus percent of the patients were able to survive 3 plus 5 years. I mean this sounds crazy, right? I mean you're thinking like, okay, how does that make sense in today's world. But this is in pancreas cancer. That's a lot of improvement already. And now we're seeing this lift further up. Now of course, the main question is when you look at the data, when you look at our individual patients, we were seeing these results individually from patient to patient. But it's important ultimately to see the data that we presented today. And the data definitely confirms these things we were seeing like, okay, we're seeing responses in both. But those patients that are going on elra are actually staying on longer and they're living longer than we expect them to be. And that data confirms it. The study confirms it once you're done. And this makes sense. I mean, if you look at the world we live in today, the world of immune therapy, immune modulation, you see a little bit of a disconnect between how many more responders you're seeing and those that flip that waterfall plot down versus how long they're surviving. So if you look at liver cancer, you look at biliary tract cancer, you see sometimes those curves staying close together and then they start opening up at the end, and that's the immune therapy effect. That's the immune modulation effect, which is leading patients to live longer because now the immune system around their cancer is healthier, is able to actually maintain or check or keep the cancer in check. And so this is what we're seeing here as well. So I think ultimately, what we observe in clinic, all of us as we treat those patients. We see the individual patients doing as well, but it's so good to see this actually this data coming out with the control arm and these curves looking as good as they are in that tail starting to really look favorable in terms of survival. So I think that overall, this sums up my impression of the individual and the data from the trial.
Daniel Schmitt
executiveYes. And it's remarkable to hear -- well, I guess it's not remarkable to hear that in different situations such as Colin's, whose got it on the backbone of FOLFIRINOX or the rest of the panel that has it on the back of a gem/Abraxane is reporting some of the same phenomenon where patients feel better and are doing -- not only are they doing better, they're feeling better with the drug. So, go ahead.
Colin Weekes
attendeeI think it's important to think about the fact that because the cancer is so complex, there's not one drug that's going to be the end all be all for this disease, okay? So I think what this drug does, and it's the safety profile we're talking about, it now runs for combinability. It becomes a platform that you can add to, right? So if you think about like the RAS inhibitors, for example, that are coming, right, you can think about how you can potentially add this to that. We've sort of touched on the immune system, right? And if you look at pancreas cancer drug development, immunotherapy has not worked in pancreas cancer. So maybe we have some hints that there's a backbone here that you could potentially add on to. So I think these are all important things to think about is that at the end of the day, I think there's a platform here that you can build upon that we didn't have that platform, I think, prior to what we saw today.
Tanios Bekaii-Saab
attendeeAbsolutely. I mean I totally agree. I think these are building blocks. And we can continue to amplify on these building blocks. And once you start modulating that environment around the tumor, it's a winning proposition for pancreas cancer. That's -- again, that's another -- one of the toughest nut to crack is that tumor microenvironment in pancreas cancer and how all the immune therapy -- previous immune therapy, more traditional immunotherapy studies have failed. That's because you had that fortress just around these cells that you cannot penetrate. Now as you actually start modulating that environment and invite those favorable cells, now then you can start thinking about these combinations. So you establish that first platform and you add on to it. But not to undermine the fact that already by itself, it's already lifting up, at least that's what we see on the study. They're already lifting up the capacity of these patients actually to survive. I mean that's a positive study. I can't -- I mean, I don't know about you guys, but I can't recall the last real positive study that we've seen in pancreas cancer since NAPOLI-3, which really didn't change the landscape much, just stacking on more chemotherapy and with that cytotoxic wall. But this is one of the, if not the first biologic immune-based therapy that -- so it's biology and immunology together in this that essentially drove the study to be positive. We haven't seen that for a long, long time in pancreas cancer.
Rachna Shroff
attendeeAnd you don't typically see the type of curve, the type of OS, that kind of relatively quick separation and durable separation. That's not a typical overall survival curve in the world of pancreas cancer. And so I think that it's notable. And I mean, especially when you look at that efficacy evaluable after 4-week population, even that hazard ratio, that's not a hazard ratio. We see in pancreas cancer.
Daniel Schmitt
executiveStarting with a 5, right?
Rachna Shroff
attendeeYes. Exactly. We're usually happy with 0.7, 0.8. And so that -- I mean, those are really -- those big volumes for the fact that in the world of pancreas cancer, those are notable things, I think.
Daniel Schmitt
executiveSo in terms of combinability, we've got 2 trials. We've got a pilot trial or a small 3-arm trial that you're running with FOLFIRINOX. We've got -- I think this is an exceedingly reasonable sized trial for potentially a pivotal trial. We've got...
Tanios Bekaii-Saab
attendeeThis is 50% of the Phase III trial size-wise. This is half of a Phase III trial. So that's one of the largest Phase II randomized trials on record. So you're well powered. You're very well powered.
Daniel Schmitt
executiveGood. So in terms of other drugs coming, so we know that a lot of -- there's a lot of visibility to the RAS inhibitors. We know that there's been some preclinical research or at least mechanistic understanding that those 2 RAS inhibitor with a GSK3 inhibitor may be combinable and potentially synergistic. How do you see those two and any other new drugs coming to the fore? And what should we be looking for to combine elra with?
Colin Weekes
attendeeI mean you already are -- you already -- I mean you do have a study that's looking at an immune checkpoint inhibitor plus elraglusib, right, and nab-paclitaxel?
Daniel Schmitt
executiveIt's in the drafting stage, yes. It hasn't hit the first patient yet.
Colin Weekes
attendeeOkay. I'll let Deva...
Deva Mahalingam
attendeeYes. So I'm going to say that I think the low-hanging fruit would be obviously in terms of checking to see if the kind of modulating the immune microenvironment with all the checkpoint inhibitors is what I think Colin was referring to. And I think that trial is going to be -- and was a key trial, right? Is that what you're talking about?
Daniel Schmitt
executiveYes, there's one in draft.
Deva Mahalingam
attendeeIn draft, yes. So that's obviously another -- to see if that could add anything more in terms of the overall survival. But I think the RAS inhibitors are certainly of interest. We have seen preclinical data that would show that this -- the 2 drugs could work just based on the docking proteins and where the RAS and especially the RAF proteins are hitting the GSK inhibitors. So I think we could kind of see if that would add more in terms of not just response, which you see a lot with the RAS inhibitors, but also survival. And we know that the RAS inhibitors could also be limited in terms of the duration of response and whether this could add it more in terms of survival as well. And I don't know, was there anything else?
Colin Weekes
attendeeI would say also the RAS inhibitors are -- the RAS inhibitors -- the EMT. So the RAS inhibitors, EMT would be important for that process. And the MAP kinase pathway, which is what RAS targets, it's engaging with GSK3 is also very important in EMT. So you can see -- you could potentially see how combine those 2 drugs might even further augment the conversation around EMT and potentially overcome resistance to the RAS inhibitors in patients who don't have the particular EMT phenotype that the RAS inhibitors would work. So there's many ways to think about how you combine this with RAS inhibitors for different things. But there's other drugs, too.
Daniel Schmitt
executiveSo what else would you raise? So as -- we are very excited about what we're seeing for patients right now with these backbones. But obviously, there's other combinations or potentially other histologies or subtypes. I mean, where should we be looking at as next steps for putting this drug out? We always talk about risk benefit to the patients. In this study, we show clear significant clinical benefit with minimal clinical risk, I would say. Where else do you think this would be applicable?
Rachna Shroff
attendeeYou mean outside of pancreas, is that what you're saying?
Daniel Schmitt
executiveWell, with any other histologies or any other patients that you see beyond first-line metastatic pancreatic -- is there...
Colin Weekes
attendeeSo I think within pancreas cancer, any of the patients who have localized disease, I think these combinations potentially make sense in that setting. But I think this conversation about EMT is important for other GI malignancies as well. And so there's -- I think now you have evidence that it's combinable. So you could think about looking at the other GI cancers, colon cancer, gastric cancer, biliary cancer. So I think there's many places, even if you're thinking about combining with RAS, lung cancer becomes also a setting where RAS inhibitors are important in terms of disease modifying.
Rachna Shroff
attendeeYes. I mean thinking about the multifaceted mechanism of action, I mean, I actually think there's a broad swath in which you could think about this. And to your point about combinability, regardless of the chemo backbone or whatever the combination is that is being used, say, gastric cancer, biliary cancer, whatever, I think that EMT component as well as the immunomodulatory effects. I think those 2 things right there make a number of different tumors, definitely within GI, but even probably outside of GI as well, reasonable.
Tanios Bekaii-Saab
attendeeI mean, if you think about this as your playground, right? You've already shown a proof of principle that your playground seems to be safe and seems to be effective, but you have to confirm that. So I wouldn't underline the fact that as stand-alone right now, you have enough justification to move to the next level of confirmation. But that doesn't mean that you don't also think about your opportunities because now you've shown a proof of principle where, one, you have an agent that adds value -- significant value to the patients, which you hope to confirm even further with larger studies, but at the same time, start creating a path to the future, whether combining with RAS inhibitors with other immune-based strategies, whether you expand. So you start building your -- around your safe and effective playground. So I think you already have quite a bit to move forward to the next level, but at the same time, also start thinking strategically about, all right, the RAS inhibitors, they make a lot of sense to combine with that IO-based or even all these, right, because they all modulate different aspects of the immune system. This is creating a positive media. It takes it from a very negative media to a very positive media. And so you create a playground where you can actually work with multiple different options, including stacking multiple options on. Now the 2 don't necessarily have to essentially go stacked up one on top of the other. They can all go in parallel, and they should. Because ultimately, if you think about it, even with RAS inhibitors -- even with the RAS inhibitors, we're not achieving more than 20%, 25%, maybe 30% if you want to really go with the vision of an imagination of a response. And many of these responses are not durable in pancreas and others maybe but in pancreas. So there's a big challenge in pancreas that remains even with the most promising elements. So that's why I think you cannot -- as you said, as Colin said, you can't just think about one strategy. But one strategy right now, this is a valid and valuable strategy to move forward with, you start thinking about the other building blocks that are going to come.
Colin Weekes
attendeeWhat about IV versus oral?
Tanios Bekaii-Saab
attendeeSo this weekly seems fine. Weekly seems fine. Oral would be optimal. If you can move to an oral formulation, it certainly is optimal and will make it easier on the long run because you think about the long-term benefits of this agent, right? Because it seems that the benefits continue long term. You think about strategies where chemo can drop and you continue with your agent. This is where an oral agent would make it even more attractive on the long, long term, right, because that's what you're aiming for. When you start thinking about combinability with other strategies, when you start thinking about the other area where EMT becomes even more important is in the early stage of the disease where you can actually improve significantly the likelihood of these patients to survive their cancer where today, only 30%, maybe 20% to 30% do survive their cancer, actually perhaps less than that, that you can change the whole landscape in the earlier stages. So this is just the beginning.
Daniel Schmitt
executiveSo to Colin's point, and that's great minds, I like to think. I was going to answer the oral question as well because I'm not sure if everybody is aware, but we do have an oral development program, and we've got a lead formulation that's a tablet that shows greater than 95% bioavailability in preclinical testing, which is something that we are bringing along for further development. And I think that the earlier stage patients and longer duration of treatment in a home setting certainly is attractive on all the right levels. I'm wondering...
Tanios Bekaii-Saab
attendeeAnd remember, a lot of these toxicities are transient it can happen early. So there is a long-term potential. We're not seeing any long-term issues with this agent. We do see them with chemo. We're not seeing them with elra, which makes it ideal for a long-term strategy. Even one can think that as it is a modulator as well that you can go across multiple lines of therapy. So you don't have to stop it if gem/Abraxane stops working. You can move to the next treatment and change your chemo but continue the elra.
Colin Weekes
attendeeSo to that point, the trial that I have opened right now is patients get FOLFIRINOX for 6 months and then go on maintenance 5-FU plus the elraglusib. And then when the tumors grow back out, they go back on to FOLFIRINOX and elraglusib. And what I can tell you is that we see that in the maintenance therapy alone, maintenance -- so it's maintenance elraglusib plus 5-FU. So we are seeing patients continue to have response in that setting. And then when they do grow back out, we also see the reintroduction of response. So to Toni's point, it is feasible to do.
Daniel Schmitt
executiveSo I'm open to opening it up to the audience if there's any questions. I guess my first question is, all right, so if we were to stack these out and we want to do the next studies, should we be looking at first locally advanced or should we be doing more metastatic work? Or what -- if you had to send in a note, Rachna, what would be the next step for you? Where would you like to see this in your -- what patients are coming in that you say, wow, I'd really like to have them on elra?
Rachna Shroff
attendeeI mean I think the localized patient population is a really important population to the point around EMT and the way that this drug works. And I think, again, and just speaking to the fact that it's a tolerable regimen and that sort of thing. I mean, I think locally advanced is a really complicated field, just the definition of and what the approach is. And I think it's hard to do a really clean and clean study when you're looking at a drug in terms of understanding what the right and meaningful endpoint is there without trying -- again, kind of factoring the heterogeneity that comes into that population. So I would say probably more in the localized that is potentially operable, whether that be resectable or borderline resectable. I think that's a really interesting space to look at because of the way that this drug works.
Daniel Schmitt
executiveAnd Deva, in your practice, where do you -- you've done a great job with us but...
Deva Mahalingam
attendeeI think the low-hanging fruit is obviously to move this into a registration-type trial in the frontline setting in pancreatic cancer with kind of strategically deciding you're going to need about 500 patients for this study. And then what kind of eligibility criteria would you want to include to kind of allow and prevent that kind of early drop that we saw. So that's the first thing we're going to invest your dollars in doing. And then Toni mentioned the building blocks, right? The building blocks would suggest maybe start bringing this earlier on in pancreatic cancer treatments early. The second building block is that some of the trials that you're already talking about where you would add an immunotherapy to the things that are already established to see whether this adds anything more. And that building block can go across multiple histologies, right? And it's just a matter of like where you want to put your resources. I'm sure many investigators will be reaching out to you guys to say, can we run investigator-initiated trials in this space. I already have hounded Andrew there with multiple that already. So -- but money is obviously -- it's going to -- that's going to dictate how you're going to do these trials and who you're going to partner up with as well.
Daniel Schmitt
executiveThere is no shortage of people knocking on the door, right?
Colin Weekes
attendeeSo I would say -- so I totally agree with the early disease setting. That's -- I think for me as an investigator, that's where I think it's important. But I think as a company, the important thing is to do the registration trial, right? And I would actually also focus on FOLFIRINOX because as I said before in this conversation that drugs have not been combinable with FOLFIRINOX. And some of the -- like the agents that we're talking about have overlapping toxicity with FOLFIRINOX, right? So a lot of just MAP kinase pathway inhibitors are going to have GI toxicity, which is common toxicity for FOLFIRINOX. So if you can carve out a space where you have a drug that combines with FOLFIRINOX, and that's a space that you're going to own. And then I would take that and do all these other things that we're talking about.
Tanios Bekaii-Saab
attendeeYes. You have to get this agent to the patients. So your strategy really has to rely first on a registrational strategy, which means that this is how you get it to the patients. Otherwise, this drug would not be accessible to the patients ultimately. I mean, if these -- and there's no reason not to believe that these trends will continue, then that's an added value again to patients in the near future if this study goes and runs as you -- again, as you're building all these other pieces and putting them in place. The landscape in pancreas cancer is I mean, if you look at any other cancer, there are like 20 million competing studies at the same time, pancreas cancer, good luck to find one. So the space is empty. Well, you can open it wide. Now the RAS inhibitors are trying to rush into it, but they're not even close yet. And when we talk about first line, changing that first-line landscape. You got to hit that biology early and hit it hard. That's the only way you're going to make a big difference in patients' lives. And then what we continue to see across all these malignancies is that, yes, you can see a lot of benefits for agents being tested later in lines, but that biology in first line matters the most. A lot of patients lose the opportunity to see another agent, half of them after the first line, and then it goes downhill very quickly from there. This is why you need to really hit hard at the beginning. And that's a great opportunity actually to -- this is -- again, this is a rare positive study in pancreas cancer.
Daniel Schmitt
executiveSo Mike Moyer has the microphone. Is there any questions? I have...
Gum-Ming Lowe
analystAlbert Lowe at Craig-Hallum. What portion of first-line patients do you treat with gem/Abraxane versus FOLFIRINOX or NALIRIFOX? And then what portion of these patients do you think would be good candidates for the elra combination?
Tanios Bekaii-Saab
attendeeI'll take this one very quickly. It's on a clinical trial, it doesn't matter. If my clinical trial has gem/Abraxane, that's the standard of care for all the patients. There's no, frankly, good data. So I'll get to the NALIRIFOX issue. But there's no good data that suggests that FOLFIRINOX is any better than gem/Abraxane outside the BRCA1, BRCA2, which is a very small proportion of patients. They're pretty similar, and that's across the board, whether you're here in Japan. In Japan, in fact, they favor gem/Abraxane over FOLFIRINOX. And so it's a wash. So I really don't think that, that's frankly an issue. It used to be a few years ago, people were very much entrenched into one camp or the other. And then the data starts coming, including real-world evidence suggesting you guys get over it. Chemotherapy, chemotherapy, it's all the same. It doesn't add much value anymore to the patients. Let's move on. NALIRIFOX, interesting. Study was positive. I was part of that study. So it was positive, slightly positive, I'd say, marginally positive, but very tough regimen to tolerate. And that's why it hasn't picked up. If you look at the market in the United States, NALIRIFOX is less than 2%, if not less than 1% of the overall market. That's because it's sheer torture for patients, frankly.
Daniel Schmitt
executiveAnybody else with a different perspective?
Deva Mahalingam
attendeeI agree. I think in academic institutions with experienced investigators, I think there is a balance. I think there's a mix between the 2 regimens with some nuances about which one they would lean towards to. In community practices, I think it's a lot more gemcitabine nab-paclitaxel than in the academic setting because they feel it could be better tolerated. And so I think just depending on where you are. So I think it balances out to about 50-50, I would say. And then many patients who don't are not able to get a combination treatments are just on single-agent gemcitabine or single-agent 5-FU as well. So you have to keep that into mind as well.
Daniel Schmitt
executiveSo questions, Chris?
Christopher Liu
analystChris from Lucid Capital Markets. First, congrats on the data. Just a couple of questions. So first for Dan. When do you plan on exploring sort of a biomarker strategy? We saw some potential biomarkers here today? And what could a registrational study look like? And then for the panel, in this data set, we've kind of seen a lower median OS, slightly lower median OS than what we've seen in historical studies for the control arm. Did the data here today kind of explain some of that? You mentioned low albumin, something I noticed was a high CA 19-9. Does that adequately explain that? And then lastly, for Dr. Mahalingam, we saw -- there was one slide with the biomarker with CXCL2. Do we have the exact numbers for the median OS in that biomarker subset?
Daniel Schmitt
executiveI'll take the first one. I think that the -- we do have a biomarker strategy in development. Some of that was presented in a poster this afternoon. That was very well attended, by the way. But in terms of a registration study, I think that, that is dependent on our discussions with the regulators and asking them in light of this data, what would be required. So we have mapped out the options from a full Phase III to sort of more of a confirmatory trial. We have -- but we want to talk to the regulators and see what they're thinking, particularly in the light of the kind of compelling data that's been shown here today. I mean, from a company perspective, I ask the question, how long should you hold this away from patients who really need it to do a couple of hundred more patients? So we will have those discussions, and it will be an agreement between us and the FDA and EMA. And so next is the question...
Deva Mahalingam
attendeeControl arm.
Tanios Bekaii-Saab
attendeeSo that's one of the most dangerous exercises in futility is to actually compare studies, different studies to each other. That's one of the -- in fact, that's one of the biggest weaknesses in having single-arm studies because they all look quite fluffy. They look great and they fail and they go to the Phase III. Some of them don't as much. And so that's why having a control arm, especially in pancreas cancer, especially in pancreas cancer is very important because it controls for the patient population that's included in the trial because that's a very heterogeneous patient population. So albumin can explain part of it, selection bias. Some people like FOLFIRINOX better, perhaps they picked patients in that early phase of the study that may not fill the perfect bill. But at the end of the day, all what matters is that delta. That's what you measure yourself on to. You're not picking the winner, right, like you do with a single-arm study. You're flipping a coin, kind of half a coin, I guess. But you're flipping a coin to pick who goes here and who goes there. You have no control over it. So that's the cleanest way to actually have a signal. So the only clean comparison here is between Arm A and Arm B. That's the only comparison that's valid, frankly.
Rachna Shroff
attendeeYes. I mean I would just even add to that, that in the way that modern-day drug development happens and just the necessary speed with which companies have to move to be able to try to stay ahead of the game as well as also make sure that they're getting their drugs out to their patients. More often than not, we see a Phase I study that potentially has a signal that then turns into expansion and becomes a single-arm study, and we all get it really excited. And I think to Toni's point, I mean, I really actually give this study kudos for doing a large randomized Phase II trial because, I mean, it takes a lot of work and it takes a lot of investment and a lot of resources, financial as well as others to be able to do it. But to his point, it is the only way that we who treat this cancer every day can look at this and say, this actually means something. I think that's really -- it's impactful because we have that clean control.
Deva Mahalingam
attendeeAnd to your biomarker question, I think this is still very exploratory. So I can't give you -- I mean because you're just looking at the -- like for example, that was just one of the cytokines we looked at. And we are saying that if you have a higher level, it's associated with an improved survival only in the elra GnP arm and not the GnP-only arm. So we're looking at a subgroup within a subgroup of one biomarker, right? And we do see multiple biomarkers that are in that trend. And I think as we get more of the data analyzed, it might be easier then to start looking at kind of true survivals or anything. And maybe someone else, maybe Taylor might know because I know she was doing some of this machine learning stuff as well. Did you see -- was there a survival? Was there an actual median overall survival that you saw in terms of the CXCL2 data?
Unknown Attendee
attendee[indiscernible] They are all conclusive. Thank you. And so right now, I'm using machine learning and multivariate models to actually try to combine those and improve on what we see with CXCL2. And so I think there is some really complicated signals there, and we can improve on that. But even just with CXCL2 alone, we're seeing a really clean biomarker. And I did cross-validation to basically see if you randomly sample this patient cohort, is it a stable signal? Because I think that's the problem with a lot of machine learning analyses is you look at your cohort, you make the machine learning or mathematical model and then it looks great. But you reapply it and then it's like, okay, well, that doesn't really necessarily translate. And so we did this cross-validation study to make sure that it was a stable result. And CXCL2 is rock solid. So the hazard ratio across all these different cross-validation folds is solid. And then even looking back at some of our Phase I data, we similarly see these cytokine signals. And so I think it's really conveying you can look at a patient, look at their immune environment and say, are they a patient that is going to have an anticancer effect when you add that GSK3 inhibition. So you can kind of encapsulate what does that patient's immune system look like at that time and is GSK3 inhibition the right kind of perturbation to push them towards anticancer effect.
Daniel Schmitt
executiveThank you, Taylor. RK, go ahead.
Swayampakula Ramakanth
analystThis is RK from H.C. Wainwright. A couple of quick questions. So talking about safety, there were a couple of things that popped up. Visual impairment...
Daniel Schmitt
executiveRK, you'll have to speak up a little bit. I'm having a hard time hearing you.
Swayampakula Ramakanth
analystSure, Dan. There were a couple of safety measures, safety issues that popped up in the presentation. Visual impairments and the rates of neutropenia. Are these a real impediment in terms of adoption? Or these things could be taken care of with certain prophylactic therapy that it should not really impact anything?
Deva Mahalingam
attendeeSo I'll start with the visual disturbances as we call it. It's more an irritation because it's -- so GSK3 beta normally has a signaling pathway in the rods and corners of the eyes. So we see just a color and light changes perception that are usually transient. And I think it's also to do with the Cmax of the drug, so the concentration of the drug as it hits the peak, which is why it's usually transient. And in most cases, I think it just lasts a few hours. And so patients usually describe it as a lightning or darkening of the room or something like that. And so I do not see that as an impediment in terms of -- for patients, that is, right? The neutropenia was -- this kind of -- we just noticed more neutropenia. But as we did the trial, as you can see, never translated to febrile neutropenia and sepsis because that's really what will kind of impact the patients in terms of things. So we are -- every time they come in for their weekly checks, we are seeing that neutropenia levels. But it never -- patients were coming in and said, I feel fine. But -- and all the physicians tend to do would just maybe adjust the doses of chemo along the way as they are treating the patients just to balance out for the neutropenia.
Colin Weekes
attendeeYes. I would say in my study to answer those questions, too, we do see patients having visual changes. The dark -- like it's like a blue or black hue that their vision is. And that lasts for like I've had patients up to 24 hours, but like -- so they get chemotherapy one day and the next day, they wake up and it's gone. And it does persist over time, but it's not a thing that sort of alters their lifestyle. And then I agree with the neutropenia that can be managed.
Swayampakula Ramakanth
analystSo the second question from me is on the PFS data that we saw today, it was similar between the 2 arms. But were there any observations in terms of quality of life, which would tell you that even though it's the same, but the quality of life is better, especially with the elra and GnP?
Deva Mahalingam
attendeeYes. So in the trial, if someone progressed for whatever reason, even if it's a small lesion that may be popped up on a scan, and that's a progression, right? Clinically, the patient is doing well, but we have to follow study protocols. And I don't think in the study, we allowed for patients to go on, which what we do in a lot of the immunotherapy trials, we'll say, okay, you can keep going beyond what we call progression. And I think that's what we are seeing with their immunomodulatory signal is that patients are actually getting this kind of post-progression benefit. And we had patients who actually had progressed and then decided not to get second-line treatment. As you know, 50% of patients get second-line therapy, and we saw them living at 10 and 12 months on. And so they were kind of sitting around for 6 months like not getting any treatment, but still surviving. But that's a choice of a patient can make, right? So I think that -- I saw that in patients where they were clinically well, but by protocol, they are off study.
Silvan Türkcan
analystSilvan Türkcan, Citizens. I have a question to the company. Did you consider -- obviously, there -- unfortunately, it's pancreatic cancer, there will be a lot of progressors. Would it make sense to rechallenge with elra? And did you consider adding an exploratory cohort maybe to a pivotal trial so that it could be maybe line agnostic eventually as you read out the pivotal trial? My second question is maybe to the whole panel. As you scale up in the past with obviously, some of these chemotherapy trials the pivotal trials, what are your prescriptions for a pivotal trial here as we expand to more patients, more sites? Obviously, you mentioned we're already 50% there in terms of patient population. But what are some of the pitfalls that we should consider maybe enrollment criteria or something to replicate the benefit we've seen here? Or are there any threats to potentially making it smaller here?
Colin Weekes
attendeeI guess to the last latter question, I think it's really -- the site selection is really important because I think you want to have sites that -- so if you're using, let's say, FOLFIRINOX as a chemotherapy backbone, like they have experience with managing patients on FOLFIRINOX or gem/Abraxane, right? There's nuances to both of those things. And then I think you want to have -- so it's been shown in -- if you take patients who have Whipple surgeries for pancreas cancer, right, it's been shown that the amount of Whipple surgeries that a place does, the better the outcomes are and the less deaths are associated with that. I think the same thing applies here, right? So we're talking about metastatic disease, but the more experience that the center has, and it's not just the doc. It's actually the nursing staff, all the ancillary staff that goes into taking care of those patients. The more experience that those -- that center has with this disease population, the more likely the outcome is going to be more closer to the truth, right? It's going to be a greater estimate of the truth, right? So I think in this particular study, you see that when you eliminate those patients at the first -- the initial tail that falls off, right, when you eliminate those patients, when you have an outcome that looks pretty promising, right? So how do we get to eliminate those patients? That's where the study center choosing your sites, that's how you eliminate those patients that fell off initially because I'm going to pick true -- so if you say that patients had to be ECOG 0, 1, 2 or 3 to go on to the study, right, that's -- there's an objective way to do that, but it's really subjective, right? It's what I say ECOG 0, 1 is, right? And if I say, okay, well, I just want to see if I can just push this patient on the study, they're truly ECOG 2, but I said they were 0, 1, right? That ECOG 2 patient that I said was 0, 1, that's the patient that falls off in the first part of the study. So you really want to be selective about who's doing the study, right? And then also, you want to have experienced investigators like him, who says, okay, we see neutropenia, but what does it really mean, right? So you understand that maybe neutropenia is present, but it's not the rate-limiting step in this conversation. Whereas if you have a nonexperienced leader of a trial, that stuff gets sort of muddied as well. So I think it's -- yes, you just got to be very careful about who you select to do your stuff. And so sometimes having more sites to be fast isn't the right thing to do, right? And I think in pancreas cancer, that really is the case, where we've seen like if you -- if we were to go over all the studies in pancreas cancer, where there's muddied water is because it's a number of sites that do certain things like we were talking about locally advanced disease. If you look at those studies, they're a mismatch of outcomes. And a lot of it is because they wanted to do these things quickly. So they had a lot of sites that don't know how to take care of pancreas cancer patients and then you get outcomes that you can't really replicate. And then you say, okay, well, I don't know to do this information. So I think it is really important about being selective and talk too much.
Daniel Schmitt
executiveRight. So a mismatch of sites with a mismatch of patients, right?
Colin Weekes
attendeeWell, I think it's experience is what I really say.
Deva Mahalingam
attendeeI think it's a good problem to have. Now with this data, even if we are required to do a registration-type trial, I think there will be a lot of interest globally to be a participant of this trial, right? That's the first thing. As a physician and when a patient comes in to see me, and I'm thinking of putting them on a trial, and I know that they are on the fence, right? Ultimately, I'm looking at the patient and he's saying, please give me hope, I want to try and get into this trial. And I'm going to try and get that patient into the trial, which is where the subjective nature comes in because ultimately, we want to give the patient the best option even if we might think that it's kind of if, right? So I think you're going to see this in the global trial. And the only way you can control things is to play with the eligibility criteria and be stringent in where you can with some flexibility. And I think that's going to be how we design the protocol, how we kind of put the right language in. And then let it be, this is a global trial, you're going to see the differences. And -- but you're right, we need to pick the global trial in institutions that have higher volumes of pancreatic patients so that they know how to manage these patients as opposed to odd one in patients that are there. Yes. That's an interesting point, right? So like it's not been thought about, right, to you saying that we could try and get a -- and I think this is something that Colin has talked about in his trial, where even after a break of the chemo, the elra continues and then the chemo comes on. And whether we would rechallenge, there's no data to support rechallenging of elra if someone has progressed kind of clearly on elra. But to your point, like -- and I think Toni -- sorry, Toni mentioned it earlier, is whether you could just keep elra going even if you bring in another chemo backbone in the second-line setting to achieve that improved survival as well.
Kaveri Pohlman
analystThis is Kaveri Pohlman from Clear Street. Just a couple for me. So what minimum magnitude of OS benefit or OS difference would you like to see when we move from this study to a bigger trial? And the second one, it was discussed since it has an immunotherapy effect with a longer tail in terms of survival, which we have also seen in PFS. But here, we are seeing the effect most prominent in the OS. Is there any reason why that is specifically in the OS metric alone? And if you have seen any similar pattern with any other drugs before?
Deva Mahalingam
attendeeYes. I'll maybe take the second question first with the tail end, right? So we've seen it with checkpoint inhibitors to start with. And for example, one of the trials that is now -- if you look at the KEYNOTE-48 trial, which is a head and neck cancer trial. And in that trial, the randomization was pembrolizumab with 5-fluorouracil and cisplatin versus cetuximab, which is the standard of care before that. And you could look at the data and you'll see that the overall response rates and the PFS were comparable between the arm, but then the pembro added the kind of tail end. So we're starting -- we kind of saw that in the checkpoint inhibitor world where you get this kind of post-progression survival, could you say. And there are other trials in lung cancer, the KEYNOTE-42 and -- the KEYNOTE-42 and the CheckMate 057, there are so many numbers I can't remember. But even in the second-line trials, we're seeing the same pattern. Improves overall survival and then, I think so we are seeing this in kind of immunomodulatory kind of things. And that's why I think we were trying to get at with this trial is maybe we're seeing the tail end because of that. And I think your first question was to do with -- what was it again?
Kaveri Pohlman
analystThe minimum magnitude of OS benefit that you would like to see.
Deva Mahalingam
attendeeI think 3 months -- I think we were 3 months on that thing. And I think even the discussion demonstrate anything at 3 months, the difference would be both significant and meaningful in pancreatic cancers. And that would usually translate with a hazard ratio kind of less than 0.7.
Daniel Schmitt
executiveSo the 3 months corresponds to the trial overall at this point, the trial is still ongoing. The 4 months corresponds to those patients who could get beyond 1 cycle of treatment. So -- and again, to -- I think it was Toni and both Rachna were saying, there hasn't been a major advance in this area. These are major advances.
Colin Weekes
attendeeEven the 3 months is not -- the 3 months is a major advance. I mean it really is.
Daniel Schmitt
executiveSo I'm going to give one last question.
Kaveri Pohlman
analystLet me ask one more question. Just a hypothetical maybe, if this drug were to be available to you tomorrow, what percentage of patients would you give it to initially? And are there any patient population whom you would avoid giving it this combination based on its risk-benefit profile?
Deva Mahalingam
attendeeI would give it to -- if -- based on the data, never mind whether you have the FOLFIRINOX or the gem -- but at least now we have the gem/Abraxane data, I would give all my patients gem/Abraxane with this drug because of the survival benefit that we see. I'm waiting to see Colin's data, which I think would come up probably later on. And it means FOLFIRINOX would do the same thing, that will be great. But in terms of -- I would be happy to do -- add that to either chemotherapy arm if we can see the tail end survival go longer. I may not see the PFS or the kind of more responses or anything like that, but if the patient is going to live better and do better clinically without any additional side effects, then I think I can convince a patient to do that in whichever arm I pick to do.
Colin Weekes
attendeeYes. I would give to every patient. So my study is done enrolling. It's a much smaller trial. So it's not going to be like this. But based upon what I've seen, I would give it to all patients. And I'm actually currently developing studies for neoadjuvant studies with FOLFIRINOX in this combination. So I'm all in. So I'm a little bit biased, I guess.
Daniel Schmitt
executiveChris, you're the last man standing, my friend. Go ahead.
Christopher Liu
analystChris from Lucid Capital Markets again. So for the patients who can get to at least 1 full cycle of treatment where you had that 4-month difference, has any analysis been done into what's enabling those patients to get to that point? So what's the difference between the safety population and the 1-month population, that delta of patients? Is it the albumin? Or have we done anything?
Deva Mahalingam
attendeeAs we talked about, it's very subjective on how we put people on to the trial, right? So you have this group of patients. And there could be other factors. We know that there's certainly a certain subgroup in pancreatic cancers that are highly aggressive, highly resistant to the current standard chemotherapeutic agents. So I think that's certainly one of the population that you see the drop off. And then I think the other one is just performance status. Patients are usually when they come in, have declined from where they were even very quickly usually over a space of 3 to 6 months, they have had weight loss, symptoms related to their cancer. And I think that accounts for some of the patients who would start off and then decide a few weeks in that I don't know whether I can do this chemo and I just want to come off the study or they would decline, right, very quickly. So we've seen all of that. And there's no way of kind of figuring out who that is upfront apart from being more stringent about patient selection. That's the only thing.
Daniel Schmitt
executiveWell, thank you. I think we've run our time tonight, and I appreciate everybody, your time and attention and the time and attention of these gentlemen who have more than enough appointments to take care of. But I appreciate your support and the fact that you're using elra and taking care of patients. So with that, we're going to wrap up and bid everybody good night.
For developers and AI pipelines
Programmatic access to Actuate Therapeutics, Inc. earnings transcripts and 32,000+ others is available through the
EarningsCalls.dev REST API. Plans from $24.99/month — full transcripts, speaker segments,
full-text search, and the recently-added /api/v1/transcripts/recent polling endpoint for ETL pipelines.