Agilent Technologies, Inc. (A) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

September 9, 2020

New York Stock Exchange US Health Care Life Sciences Tools and Services conference_presentation 31 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Welcome to the Wells Fargo Healthcare Conference. Before we start, please note that Wells Fargo Securities events are by invitation only. Members of the press or media are not permitted to join. If you are a member of the press or media, please disconnect at this time. Also, please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. Thank you.

Daniel Leonard

analyst
#2

Great. With that, hello, everybody, and thanks for joining us for the fireside chat today with Agilent. Joining us from the company are Mike McMullen, CEO; Bob McMahon, CFO; and Ankur Dhingra and Ruben DiRado from Investor Relations. I'm Dan Leonard, the life science tools, services and diagnostics analyst with Wells Fargo. The format today is fireside chat. If you have a question for management, please raise your hand in Zoom or you could shoot me an e-mail, and we'll try to address it.

Daniel Leonard

analyst
#3

I'll start off with Q&A. And with that, welcome Team Agilent. Thanks for joining us.

Michael McMullen

executive
#4

Thanks, Dan. If you don't mind, you mind if I make a few opening comments and pass it back to you?

Daniel Leonard

analyst
#5

Please do, Mike.

Michael McMullen

executive
#6

So first of all, Dan, thanks so much for the invitation to join the -- your clients today. We're just delighted to be able to, here to share with you the Agilent story. And maybe just a few headlines. We just came off our third quarter. And I have to say we're very pleased with the third quarter results in what we expect to be the most challenging quarter for Agilent. Our revenues were just down 1 percentage point on a reported basis, about 3% down on the core. Operating margins grew 90 basis points in the midst of a pandemic in Q3, and we also grew our EPS in the third quarter. And I really think, Dan, this is a proof point from our perspective in terms of this build-and-buy strategy we've been talking about, where we've been trying to build a more growth-oriented, resilient company. And I think the proof was in the third quarter results. We're really pleased with where we landed. And I guess I'd also just share with the audience the 4 kind of priorities that have been kind of there with us since the start of this pandemic, which it's hard to believe we've been in this at least over 6 months now. But those 4 actions have been from the very beginning, we took some very decisive actions. We said, "Okay. Our #1 priority is protect our team." We told our team there will be no COVID-19 layoffs or base pay cuts. We told our team that we needed to be open for business, and we're going to be -- and the team has answered the call for our customers. We really took decisive action on preserving the P&L and balance sheet, and I'm sure Bob will get into some of those details later on. And then the last thing I would say is our unwavering commitment to growth. We were able to improve our operating margins in the third quarter by 90 basis points, not at the expense of growth. We think that we're picking up share in this environment. And in fact, we expect to come out on the other side of this COVID-19 pandemic even strong in terms of our market position. So clearly, a pandemic is not something any of us wish to see, but we were clearly happy with the third quarter performance by the team in a very difficult and challenging market environment. So with that, back to you, Dan.

Daniel Leonard

analyst
#7

No. Great. That's a great place to start. And Mike, if you don't mind, I'd love to circle back there on the quarter.

Michael McMullen

executive
#8

Sure.

Daniel Leonard

analyst
#9

So you're happy with the quarter. What specifically would you flag was an upside surprise compared to your expectations rolling into the quarter?

Michael McMullen

executive
#10

Yes. There were 2 things that I really would highlight here. One would be the geographic performance in China. As you know, China was the first into the pandemic in terms of the impact on the business. I think Agilent was the first company that actually reported in our results the impact of the pandemic. But at that time, you may recall, our thesis was that we saw that the business was just going to be deferred and that as labs operations start to return, we would start to get that business back, and we expect it to return to growth. And we actually saw a return to growth in the second quarter. I think, Bob, I think we posted what, a 4% growth in the Q2?

Robert McMahon

executive
#11

Yes, that's correct, in China.

Michael McMullen

executive
#12

It's been a while since I talked about second quarter. I just wanted to check. And then -- but we delivered 11% in the third quarter. So our China business was actually stronger than we had thought it would be in the third quarter. And we expect to continue -- just to continue to be a area of strength for us in the fourth quarter for Agilent. And Dan, I've talked to you over the years. I've seen this over the years about China food, for example. We saw China -- another strong quarter in China food. But the story in China was broad-based growth across all end markets, all business groups. So the story was a really strong story for us across the board in China. And then I think you have to look at the performance of our LSAG business in the pandemic with a lot of slowness in terms of CapEx. We've seen numbers put up by others in the industry, strong double-digit growth -- declines. Our LSAG business actually grew on a reported basis, like, 2 points. I think we're down 4 for the quarter. So I think the strength of the LSAG business, which to the audience is our analytical instrumentation business, was actually much better than we had thought. And the real story there is the strength of our mass spec business. And then, I guess, I'd just throw one more thing in here. Dan and Bob, feel free to add to my comments here. But we've talked about the resilience of Agilent's new business that we've been building over the last several years. And we saw that in ACG, which actually grew in the third quarter, and we would expect to see growth in the fourth quarter as well. Bob, anything else stand out for you in the Q3?

Robert McMahon

executive
#13

No, I think you hit it. Maybe just to add on the on the ACG, if you kind of peeled back the onion, that 1% growth, if you actually looked at the services that are on the contracted side, actually grew high single digits. And so the importance of kind of this connect rate and so forth in the on-demand business continued to improve and was growing at, I think you know, in July. And so we feel very good about the ability to get that back to historical high-single-digit growth. And we think our strategy of really connecting both the instrumentation with our services consumables is -- continues to be relevant and potentially even more relevant in a post-COVID-19 world and feel very good about our opportunities there going forward.

Michael McMullen

executive
#14

Yes, Bob. And this contractual base is pretty important for us, Dan. I think probably over 10% of all of Agilent's revenues are reflected in support of contracts. So again, level of predictability in our business in this area and also, obviously, resilience.

Robert McMahon

executive
#15

Yes, yes.

Daniel Leonard

analyst
#16

So if your servicing contract revenue grew high single digits, is the balance of ACG, what might be break/fix or consumables? Was that more of a site accessibility issue? And as soon as…

Michael McMullen

executive
#17

Absolutely, absolutely. It's absolutely so. We called our on-demand services, and it really was a site access.

Robert McMahon

executive
#18

If you looked at it by region, in China, once the market has opened back up, we saw consumables' really strong growth and continued into Q3. Same with -- you see that same phenomena in Europe. It was really a U.S. discussion where site access was down. And we saw that improve throughout the quarter in Q3 as labs are opening and so forth. And I think that's a very good sign going forward.

Daniel Leonard

analyst
#19

Okay. Well, therefore, then to improve ACG, the balance of the business back to a high single-digit rate. It doesn't sound like a heavy lift to the degree we could take for granted as the world is reopening. Is that the right takeaway?

Michael McMullen

executive
#20

I think so. It's really tied directly to lab access. And I think Bob was painting the picture, which as we've seen, China pretty much already all back. I'd say that Europe is farther along than the U.S., and then we're hopeful the trajectory in the U.S. continues.

Robert McMahon

executive
#21

Yes, yes, yes.

Daniel Leonard

analyst
#22

And then when considering your October quarter outlook, how relevant is that data point you mentioned on the call, the broad-based growth in the month of July? How relevant is that? Should I be thinking about when mapping that forward to the entirety of the October quarter?

Michael McMullen

executive
#23

Yes. And as you know, we provided that -- we didn't provide formal guidance, but we provided what we hope to be a useful framework relative to revenue. And the point that Bob and I tried to make in the earnings call was we think there's a reasonable scenario that we can get back to growth for the quarter, albeit no significant changes in the impact of the virus. So we provided a range, which showed that element of revenue possibilities, but also figured out, okay, if something would actually dramatically change in terms of retrenchment, in terms of the impact of lab openings and such where the virus actually rears its -- it really comes back with a vigilance (sic) [ vengeance ]. So anyway, I prefer not to talk about that scenario because that's a -- we hope that's a low-probability scenario. I think what maybe where you want to get to, Dan, as we saw -- as Bob mentioned, we saw the company grew in the -- modestly in July, for the month of July. And I would say that we've seen a continuation of that trend in August. So we continue to see the trajectory of recovery in the business environment across the world. So what we had indicated was our thinking relative to July and ability for that to transition into the fourth quarter. This is only 1 month, but we're now seeing July and August represent an environment of continued improvement in our end markets relative to what we saw in the third quarter. And I have to say, just overall, but I think August performance was really in line with our thinking, right?

Robert McMahon

executive
#24

Yes.

Daniel Leonard

analyst
#25

Okay. And Mike, your exposure is both from a regional perspective as well as an end-market perspective are quite the mosaic. Can you touch on how business is trending compared to expectations in the various regions and end markets, be it chemical and energy, North America, biopharma or whatever you think worth flagging?

Michael McMullen

executive
#26

Yes. I think it's actually developing as we had been thinking for the last several weeks back to the earnings call. Let me kind of get my frame of reference here. So I'd say we continue to expect pharma, particularly biopharma, to be strong. By the way, we also expect the pharmaceutical environment to be strong in China. You may recall we talked about the 4+7 initiative really being a driver for growth, and we're actually seeing that play out as we'd hoped last year. So I'd say the end-market story is continued strength in pharma, biopharma. From Agilent, it's not only, as you said, a mosaic. I'll talk about maybe the diversification here, which is we have multiple plays into the pharma space. Our tools are part of the story, but also our NASD business, which I'm sure we'll get into here as well, along with our ACG businesses. Pharma, food will be -- also be an area of growth for us. I think the areas that are going to remain muted are the CapEx side of C&E, chemical and energy. So no better, no worse, although we are seeing encouraging signs relative to PMI trends. But I learned in my first year as CEO not to call the market trend. We'll wait till the orders are in the book, and then we'll talk about it. But PMIs are moving in the right direction relative to C&E and the CapEx. And by the way, that often gets a lot of attention. I think outsized attention because it's probably about 10% or 12% of total -- Agilent's total revenues are in the CapEx side of C&E. And I think academia is the area that is perhaps the hardest to predict. We're not expecting much there in the fourth quarter, albeit we did do better than we thought in the third quarter. When I say academia, I'm really talking about non-COVID-19-related research activities. So it's pretty publicized here in the U.S. that many universities are still having their students stay off campus. Or even when they're on campus, they have limited access to laboratories. So I think the academia side of the marketplace is going to be -- continue to be challenged in the fourth quarter. Bob, what's your view? Anything else I missed there relative to end markets or geography?

Robert McMahon

executive
#27

No, I think you hit that. The one I would add there, which probably has the biggest variability, is the diagnostics and clinical.

Michael McMullen

executive
#28

Right.

Robert McMahon

executive
#29

Which was down in Q3. Really, if you kind of look at it, it wasn't to be unexpected given kind of some of the challenges in terms of medical elective procedures and so forth. And we actually saw improvement throughout the quarter in Q3 as the economy is opening up, as hospitals are opening up to admit more patients and so forth. And we expect that to continue into Q4 and actually recover faster than both chemical and energy and the academia. And so this is really our pathology-based businesses. And we saw -- we think that Q3 was a trough. Now absent any kind of retrenchment, as Mike talked about, which probably impacts that business more acutely than the other ones. But to be clear, we're actually seeing nice positive recovery in that market.

Michael McMullen

executive
#30

Yes, yes.

Daniel Leonard

analyst
#31

Okay. And then also, can you circle back? Mike, you made a comment around share gain. You also made a comment around mass spec being very strong. Could you circle back to that, maybe talk through some of the drivers of why mass spec might be stronger for you versus others and elaborate on any other areas where you think you're seeing share gain across the portfolio product-wise?

Michael McMullen

executive
#32

Yes, sure. Sure, Dan. I always like to say, every CEO you talk to tells you that they're gaining market share, but I look at some of the numbers we're putting up in our, if you will, analytical laboratory instrument business and they're much better than our peers in the same space. So we've got to be gaining share. And I think I focused my comments on mass spec. And I think this is coming really from 2 things. One is a lot of hard work over the years to really revamp and extend our mass spec portfolio, some very innovative products. So for example, the Ultivo LC/MS Triple Quad. We also have been really doing well on the high end with the Q-TOF. So we've got this whole NPI processes going. We had a really good ASMS. So the strength of our portfolio, but that's only a part of the story, Dan. I think it also would go back to 1 of the 4 priorities we had with -- for Agilent from the very beginning. We took a risk very early consistent with our core values to guarantee employment for our team. And our competitors have furloughed sales people, service people, have reduced their pay. So my team is not worried about their -- losing their livelihood. They're worried about winning in the marketplace. So I think the fact that we have a really strong portfolio and a very aggressive customer-focused competitive win sales force is paying dividends for us, backed up by the Agilent service organization. So I think it's a combination of strength of portfolio, and I'd like to believe it's partly due to how our team is responding to the overall approach we're taking to manage the company through the COVID-19. I'd say we're also picking up some on the chromatography space as well. So I think it's really our core instrumentation business, the mass spec and chromatography, have really been the drivers here. And Bob, anything else you'd add to that on the share story?

Robert McMahon

executive
#33

No, I think that those are the big key areas when you look at it relative to some of the results that we've been able to post.

Michael McMullen

executive
#34

Yes. And just think about Bob's story about the attachment rate, right? So not only do we have really strong LSAG, better-than-expected performance in the third quarter, you're placing more instruments, right? So back to your -- back to the -- you asked me earlier, Dan, about the ACG business. So the more business that we can get in terms of instrumentation, it just expands our installed base, give us an opportunity to expand our presence in the service and consumables area as well. So there's kind of a nice one-two punch here, so to speak, which is you get the initial sale. And then people have been asking me, since I became CEO, when is the ACG business going to slow down? And I say, "Why should it?" And for the last 5 years, it hasn't. Obviously, the -- we hadn't put a pandemic in our calculus, but we could see a path back to high-single-digit growth for ACG.

Daniel Leonard

analyst
#35

Okay. Great color. So I want to move along to the DGG business for a moment. First off, on NASD, which is one of the few segments there. Can you elaborate on the recent strength you're seeing in NASD? And also regarding the capacity expansion announcement you made, can you clarify, are you adding new capabilities with that planned expansion? Are you scaling existing capabilities or any further color you could offer?

Michael McMullen

executive
#36

Yes. So I think we'll do a one-two on this. I'll lead, Bob, and then I know you really dug into a lot of details, so feel free to augment my comments here. But we're very delighted with what's happening for the NASD business. And again, just a reminder to the audience, what we're doing here is providing a GMP-grade oligonucleotides for RNA-based therapeutics to pharmaceutical companies, for example, Alnylam or The Medicines Company. By the way, that's not our complete list of customers. But they're the 2 customers that I can speak publicly about our relationship. So as you may recall, about a year ago, we were talking to you, Dan, about the initiation of revenue coming from that new site. So the history here was we had a site in Boulder, Colorado. We were maxed out on capacity, so we made an investment to build a brand-new second site in Frederick, Colorado. That came on online in the latter part of Q4 of last year. And then this year, we've been very successfully ramping the capacity in that site, which had one production line built in the new site, but we have space for a second one. And this gets to your second part of your question, which is -- so first of all, the new capacity we added and came online last year is ramping just as we had thought it would and hoped it would be. And I think, Bob, we posted 24% growth in this business in the third quarter. And then what we also announced the day of our earnings call was a further expansion of that site. So within that site, we're now going to add a second production line, which actually is going to be, as our General Manager likes to call, this is going to be train A, which is how we refer to these production lines. Train A was the first one built. The newborn building is train B, which our general manager there has described as is train A on steroids. The idea being is we're actually going to be able to get, with the capital investment, more revenue out of train B than out of train A. So I think this just speaks to the overall strength in this end market. And our current thinking is that it's more of a late '22 event, where this additional new capacity will be online. And Bob, you may want to take them through some of the ramps and other assumptions we made for this year.

Robert McMahon

executive
#37

Yes. Just in the interest of time, I think, Dan, you had asked about additional capacity. Is that the additional capabilities or additional capacity? It's primarily additional capacity. It is providing some additional scaling capabilities, but not new technical production. So it's still the same, just more. And I would say our demand here has been extremely robust and feel very good about it. To date, it's only been primarily clinical trial demand, but we're expecting production of commercial materials, and that's kind of what we scaled this second line to be able to do.

Daniel Leonard

analyst
#38

Okay. And then elsewhere in DGG, can you elaborate on your COVID testing efforts? I know that you park your PCR products in that segment. You've had some tailwinds from an instrument perspective. Do you think -- is it possible to expand your involvement in COVID testing more broadly? Could you launch your own PCR test? And any further thoughts on that?

Michael McMullen

executive
#39

Yes. Absolutely. So just as a reminder, actually, we think we can in terms of expand -- further expand our business. But just as a reminder, we have about 2 percentage points of growth for Agilent came in the second and third quarter to do -- due to COVID-19. So some positive tailwinds for us. And across the whole spectrum of virus research, virus testing as well as therapeutic and vaccine development, right now, Dan, most of the business has been coming through our LSAG business through -- we're providing a lot of automation solutions with our Bravo products into PCR workflows, but we're also growing our own PCR business as well as we -- the area of [ Dx ] products. So I'd say, right now, the mix of business -- the results of business have been more skewed towards our LSAG business. But going forward, we expect the mix to change to be more coming from our Diagnostics and Genomics Group. So for example, in the PCR side, we're also working in our NASD business on some therapeutic programs with pharma for COVID-19 therapeutics. And then to your point, we actually have an antibody business. We have automation. We have equipment from our cell analysis business from biotech. So we believe that there's room in the marketplace for some new tests, and we're focused on bringing to market a serology test. No announcements to be made right now, but that's our focus right now. So we're very aggressively going after this space. We believe that, as vaccines come on market, there's going to be a need to understand better the antibody response. And we think that this is -- will be a nice requirement that we can meet with our planned work on our serology test. And Bob, I know you've dug into this a lot as well. So anything else you'd add to that?

Robert McMahon

executive
#40

I would just add, if you think about our diagnostics, our pathology business, one of the things that Dako has been known for is the antibodies, the quality of the antibodies. And so being able to leverage that capability, coupled with some of the work from biotech with the plate readers and so forth, you can kind of imagine a very good offering there. And so that's some of the things that we're actively working on.

Michael McMullen

executive
#41

Okay. And Dan, you probably talked -- have heard -- probably hear me talk about this before. This One Agilent Culture we have. That was sort of one of the major moves we made when I first became CEO to really ensure that we worked across the company in a collaborative way. And I think this COVID-19 response is just a perfect example, right? So LSAG has instrumentation. DGG has end-market knowledge and antibodies. And we need to make sure we can bring all those together into one solution for our customer, and we're able to do that because of how we work inside this company.

Daniel Leonard

analyst
#42

Okay. Great color. Another -- moving along, another item you flagged is the concept of onshoring across the chemical industry initially, maybe pharmaceutical industry eventually. I think you mentioned, Mike, on the last earnings call, that could materialize into revenue as early as 2021, any tailwinds associated? How can you help investors frame what the opportunity might look like for a vendor like Agilent from the onshoring trend?

Michael McMullen

executive
#43

Yes. It's a great question. And it's one of the things we've seen both in terms of our own business, which is '19 has exposed a fragility of the supply chain globally, so -- and many of our large pharma customers and chemical customers saw the same thing. In many parts of the world, it's become a part of sort of your national security to securitize your supply chain. So what I can say is we don't have significant orders in the book yet, but there's clearly trends underfoot here, both in terms of the chemical industry wanting to bring in -- onshoring certain chemical compounds, particularly the fine chemical pieces that would go into precursors into the pharmaceutical value chain. We're also seeing indications from our large pharma customers that over time they'll start bringing some of the manufacturing back to the U.S., for example. So I think it's more of a '22 event. I think the '21 event would be more of we might expect to see some order book. And I'm thinking, right, our reporting cycle is a little bit different than the rest of the world. So when I say 2020, this is the end of October. I think maybe this -- by the end of this calendar year, we would expect to see some level of order activity here. So these are all just conversations that are happening with our sales team and customers. And also, many of the CEOs of large pharma are talking about this as well. And nothing material to report. But I think this is an indicator of the building for Agilent to return to the kind of growth rates we've seen over the years in '22.

Daniel Leonard

analyst
#44

But could you venture a guess, like could this -- once it materializes in '22 or whenever, is this another point tailwind? Is there some way to finance how you frame it? Or is that too…

Michael McMullen

executive
#45

I knew that's where you wanted me to go, but I wasn't willing to go there. So I think it's just really, it's just so hard…

Robert McMahon

executive
#46

Yes, I was going to say it's too early to kind of size it, Dan. But what I would say is there's 2 vectors. One is actually accelerating tech refresh. So as new capacity would come on board, you actually are not going to take old technologies and move them from one place to another. So you would either accelerate within existing supply -- or within existing market share. Or the second, which would be an opportunity to open it up and compete with incumbents. And what we've seen in China, in places where you have greenfield, we actually win more than our fair share. And so we actually see that in those 2 vectors, and that's the way I would think about it.

Daniel Leonard

analyst
#47

Yes. Got it.

Michael McMullen

executive
#48

And I wasn't trying to be overly coy, Dan. We just haven't quantified it ourselves. But this -- what we're trying to do is impart a level of confidence to why we believe that there's reason for -- to believe that Agilent will be growing more strongly in '22 than we did in '21.

Robert McMahon

executive
#49

In '21.

Michael McMullen

executive
#50

Am I wrong?

Robert McMahon

executive
#51

Yes. Yes, we're still at '20.

Michael McMullen

executive
#52

I need my second cup of coffee, I think.

Robert McMahon

executive
#53

Yes. Yes, exactly.

Michael McMullen

executive
#54

Yes, yes, yes.

Daniel Leonard

analyst
#55

And I know we're running short on time. Maybe the final question here on the margin side. So that was another area where you surprised to the upside in the quarter. How do we think about incrementals going forward? With the lower cost base, is this a springboard that you're going to drive incrementals on top of? Or there should be some catch-up spend? Or how do you frame that for folks?

Michael McMullen

executive
#56

Yes. As we think about -- [indiscernible] that, Bob?

Robert McMahon

executive
#57

Yes, I was going to say as we think about Q4, we are looking at making some of these incremental investments in things like the COVID testing and some of these other areas to drive and prepare ourselves for FY '21. So the incrementals in Q4 are probably going to be a little lower than historical. Historically, they've been 30% to 40%. But I would expect in Q -- into next year, while we'll have some snapback, we're still committed to improving our operating margins and growing earnings per share. And so I would expect us to get back to more of a kind of the cadence that you've seen us historically.

Michael McMullen

executive
#58

Okay. And Dan, I'd also just want to say, there's no shortcuts being taken, which is the numbers in the Q3 weren't artificially inflated. And I think what's going on also, is this is a new way of working inside the company with our customers, digital is a big part of the story. And we are committed as we go into '21 that we're going to continue to work this way. So for example, our customer satisfaction scores in the third quarter were the highest on record for the company. We're very responsive in terms of our ability to work with our customer digitally, both on the sales side, but also, more importantly, on the service response side. So we think there's a win-win here, which is customers get a much more responsive Agilent, if you will, and they're very delighted with the support they're getting, and we're able to deliver that capability to our customers at a lower cost point. So let alone the reduction in internal travel costs as well. So I think some of these things that we've experienced on COVID-19 we plan to carry those forward in terms of making sure those best practices in terms of how we work differently inside the company where the customer really sticks.

Daniel Leonard

analyst
#59

Great. Well, that's a good place to leave it. We're on -- it's 11:11. Mike, Bob, Ankur, Ruben, thank you all for your time. Thank you, everybody, on the line for your time and attention, and have a great day.

Michael McMullen

executive
#60

It's our pleasure, Dan. Thank you. Bye-bye.

Robert McMahon

executive
#61

Thanks, Dan.

Daniel Leonard

analyst
#62

Yes, our pleasure. Thanks. Bye-bye.

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