Agthia Group PJSC (AGTHIA) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

July 29, 2020

ADX AE Consumer Staples Food Products earnings 34 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to Agthia's Second Quarter 2020 Results Call. My name is Jamila, and I'll be coordinating today's call. [Operator Instructions] I will now hand over to your host, Nada Amin to begin. Nada, please go ahead.

Nada Amin

analyst
#2

Thank you. Hi, everyone. This is Nada Amin from EFG Hermes' consumer and retail research team. It's my pleasure to be hosting Agthia's second quarter results call today. The company will begin with a presentation and then we'll open the floor for Q&A after that. So we'll begin the call. I'll hand over to Ms. Sahar Srour, the company's investors -- Investor Relations Manager. Please go ahead.

Sahar Srour

executive
#3

Thank you, Nada. Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for joining us today in Agthia Group's earnings conference call for the first half of 2020 hosted by Alan Smith, our Group CEO; and Ammar Al Ghoul, our Group CFO. On behalf of all of us at Agthia, we wish you are all keeping well and safe. And during the course of this presentation, Alan will first talk about the performance highlights during the period, after which Ammar will cover the financial results. And then we'll continue with the Q&A session. For your reference, the relevant presentation is available in the Investors section of the company's website. Please note that this call may contain forward-looking statements, which should be considered in conjunction with the disclaimer included in the presentation. Over to you, Alan.

Alan Smith

executive
#4

Thank you, Sahar. Good afternoon, everybody. So in the first half of 2020, Agthia Group demonstrated resilience and agility in dealing with the uncertainty imposed by the COVID-19 pandemic and its impact and its influence on the operational environment across our markets. Enforcement of lockdowns, movement restrictions caused business disruptions, logistics transformation and changed consumer demand patterns. In response, we reprioritized our resource allocation across our flexible supply chain to ensure business continuity and product availability to consumers at the right cost. We increased stocks of essential food and beverage products. We accelerated our e-commerce presence and doubled the number of delivery trucks for home delivery service to cater to consumer needs and support the community whilst, of course, continuing to adhere to the highest standards of quality and safety. We continue to stand by consumer trust and loyalty in our brands. This is proven by a sustainable leading market position across core categories despite headwinds, coupled with Al Ain Water, our flagship brand ranking #1 amongst the most chosen beverage brand in the UAE and #6 most chosen FMCG brand in the overall UAE market as per Kantar's Brand Footprint Ranking for 2020. In the first half of 2020, the group generated AED 1.9 billion (sic) [ AED 1.09 billion ] of revenues, which represents a 2.6% growth over prior year largely driven by our flour, food and 5-gallon water segments, offset partially by our water business. Group net profits came in at AED 42 million. If we look at the -- looking at the market share position. The 2 charts that we have in the presentation depict the volume and value shares of major players for the last 12 months ending May 2020 versus the same period last year. Agthia's portfolio, Al Ain Water, Al Bayan and Alpin, preserved their market-leading position in the retail channels with respect to volume and value shares at 29.1% and 26.1%. Our flagship brand, Al Ain Water, continues to defend the #1 ranking in the UAE despite an aggressive competitive landscape. If we look at the categories in a bit more detail and looking at water volumes, our 5-gallon water business in the UAE recorded strong growth in volumes and sales on higher demand, particularly from homes and retail channels, which compensated headwinds in the corporates channel. During the same period, we sold over 35 million cases of bottled water across the UAE, KSA, Turkey and Kuwait. In the UAE, there was a decline in volume largely driven by the result of lower consumption due to restrained tourism and the COVID-19 impact on the hotels and food service channel. In Kuwait, our operations continue to perform well, whereas in U.S.A. (sic) [ KSA ], sales were hit by the enforced short-term lockdown in the market and the reality of religious -- the void religious tourism and elevated movement restrictions in the western region, whilst reflecting on our adopted strategy improving the quality of our credit sales in Saudi. Our food business had a very strong half of the year. Food segment net revenue increased by 27% driven by boosted demand for food items and our tomato paste and frozen vegetables in both the UAE and Egypt in response to COVID-19. Trading items, which constitute 52% of food revenues, recorded 25% year-on-year growth in its top line as we capitalized on our swift response to the imminent challenges by opening 2 new branches, adding new SKUs and activating home delivery orders and drive-through facilities since the first quarter of the year. In tomato paste and frozen vegetables, revenues from UAE and Egypt grew by 32% versus last year as we expanded to the catering channel, increased market share and accommodated consumers' increased demand. As for bakery, we recorded a higher sales as a partnership with local authorities to support the food security initiatives. Meanwhile, dairy sales continue to be largely impacted by the closure in or partial operations of eateries. As for our overall profitability, food segment margin were enhanced on elevated volumes and optimization in our supply chain. This moves us on to our agribusiness. Our flour segment posted strong top line growth of 29% versus prior year driven by higher domestic demand, wheat trading and also export sales, which included the World Food Program, which we discussed in the first quarter. Additional milestones under the flour segment has us maintaining the #1 leading position for retail flour by volume and improving our overall segment profit margin versus prior year. On the other hand, animal feed revenues lagged behind last year on lower grain trading and lessened local demand amid new controls to restrict commercial farms from subsidized trading in animal feed in the open market. I'll now pass the line over to Ammar to give you details on the financial view. Thank you.

Operator

operator
#5

I'm so sorry, ladies and gentlemen, we've lost connection with Ammar. Please stand by whilst we connect.

Ammar Al Ghoul

executive
#6

Hello?

Operator

operator
#7

Ladies and gentlemen, we have Ammar back into the line.

Ammar Al Ghoul

executive
#8

Hello, Jamila? Can you hear me and the audience?

Mubarak Al Mansoori

executive
#9

Yes, Ammar.

Ammar Al Ghoul

executive
#10

Okay. Thank you. I was actually on the line. I heard Alan and I started until I heard Jamila saying that you'll [indiscernible] Ammar again. Anyway, good afternoon, everyone. Thank you, Alan, so much for your starting. Starting with the group revenue, the revenues grew by 2.6% year-on-year, reaching AED 1.09 billion in the first half of 2020. Net revenue contribution by consumer business reached 54%, and the remaining 46% were contributed by agri-business. Consumer business revenue dipped year-on-year by 2%, reaching AED 584 million, out of which the Water & Beverages segment posted sales of AED 112 million and the food segment the remaining AED 172 million. The rise in each of the food segment, Kuwait operations for AED 9 billion in the first half of the 2020.

Sahar Srour

executive
#11

Jamila, I think there's an issue with the line.

Operator

operator
#12

I'm just going to dial out to him again if you don't mind holding.

Sahar Srour

executive
#13

Apologies to everyone on this inconvenience.

Ammar Al Ghoul

executive
#14

Hello?

Mubarak Al Mansoori

executive
#15

Yes, Ammar.

Ammar Al Ghoul

executive
#16

Yes, Mubarak. Did you hear the revenue section? Or I shall take it -- take an audience, do it again? Anyway, it's a short brief. So back to -- start from the revenue. The group revenue grew by 2.6% year-on-year, reaching AED 1.09 billion in the first half of 2020. Net revenue contribution by customer care -- consumer business reached 54%, whereas the agri-business contributed the remaining 46%. Is my voice clear to everybody?

Mubarak Al Mansoori

executive
#17

Yes, Ammar.

Ammar Al Ghoul

executive
#18

Consumer business revenue dipped by 2% year-on-year, reaching AED 584 million, out of which the Water & Beverages segment posted sales of AED 112 million and the food segment the remaining AED 172 million. The rise in each of the food segment, Kuwait operations and the 5-gallon water business was largely offset by the flip in the bottled water sales in UAE and Saudi Arabia mainly. Agri-business revenue recorded AED 506 million and grew by 9% year-on-year on higher flour sales, as elaborated earlier by Alan. Moving to the next slide, where we talk about the gross profit margin which, in brief, improved as compared to Q1 2020 and slightly down as compared to Q4 in 2019. The current quarter gross margin came in at 31.4% versus 31.8% in Q2 2019 and 29.9% in Q1 2020. The higher quarter-on-quarter margin is largely driven by the higher volumes across each of the bakery and tomato paste as well as the frozen vegetables, coupled build enhanced efficiency and distribution of the 5-gallon business. In comparison with Q2 2019, the slight drop in the margin is mainly attributed to the unfavorable sales mix with the higher contribution from food segment as opposed to other highly profitable items such as the bottled water. Moving into the group net profit where we have added the last building blocks column, which is partially normalizing the net profit by eliminating 2 significant one-off transactions, which I'll be talking about in a minute. The group net profit prevailed at AED 42 million. Enhanced agri-business profitability as well as cost optimization and excluding the one-off tax credit recorded in Turkey last year marginally lessened the aggregate impact of the following: the unfavorable sales mix with lower volume from the bottled water category in UAE and KSA particularly; two, bad debt provisioning against longer collection base in the international markets; and finally, the extra manufacturing and logistics cost born to guarantee business continuity in the unprecedented times. We know that by excluding the one-offs in H1 2020, particularly the bad debts provision as well as the Turkey credit, net profit shortfall will be half of what we have really entered in, in this half of the year. This is further explained in the next slide, where we will show 2 waterfalls that explain the top line and the bottom line reconciliation between last year and this year on a 6-months basis. So as you can see, starting with revenue, AED 39 million related to the World Food Program flour order plus AED 19 million higher wheat trading have largely countered the loss in revenues against the lower volume of the beverage and the excise tax and of the bottled water in UAE and KSA on the restricted demand from struggling food services segment and tourism in particular. Robust growth momentum across our flour and feed segments as well as Kuwait operations and the 5-gallon water business has resulted in an additional organic growth, taking our net revenue to AED 1.09 billion. In addition to resulting impact of the above items on the profit, we highlighted 4 more variances. We recorded AED 9 million in -- as an additional profit from the agri-business along with the enhanced efficiencies across our value chain, which more than offset one-off AED 5 million tax incentive from our Turkey subsidiary recorded last year and this year bad debts provisioning against longer collection days in the international markets, particularly. With this, we conclude today's prepared remark, and the floor is open to you for Q&A. And thank you so much for being with us. Sahar?

Sahar Srour

executive
#19

Jamila, could we please see if you have any questions?

Operator

operator
#20

[Operator Instructions] We have our first question from Nishit Lakhotia from SICO.

Nishit Lakhotia

analyst
#21

I just have one question on your Water & beverages segment. I mean in terms of profitability, this segment is just not making any money. I mean just to compare, in last 3 quarters, Agthia has made not even AED 2 million from this segment. While last year, those 3 quarters together have made AED 200 million. So this is a huge delta. And this was -- it used to be the growth segment for Agthia. And I know there are issues with Saudi collections and the bad debts and the provisioning and bottle price -- water stress on the UAE. But still, even if I look at the profitability in 4Q '19, it was just AED 1 million. So there was this stress on this segment before the pandemic as well. So when can we see this segment coming back to its old levels of profitability? Now what's the management view on it?

Alan Smith

executive
#22

Okay. Thank you for the question. I think a couple of points to pick up on here. In the UAE, the water category up until 2016 was growing at around 5% in terms of volume and around 2.5% in terms of value. Over the last couple of years, the market has contracted somewhat with the category declining about 5% per annum. So that, coupled with increased competitive pressure in the market, is obviously -- has obviously made the market more competitive. If we look at the recent trends that you referred to, you picked up on a couple of the key issues. So firstly, if we look at the UAE. In H1 year-to-date, because our water is so omnipresent in terms of every channel in the UAE, the impact on -- the negative impact on the Horeca channel, so hotels, restaurants and cafes, plus convenience channels plus offices has obviously had a negative impact on overall demand in the market. But this is purely really related to COVID. On the other side, we've seen strong or robust demand in retail channels. So in the big key accounts, that business has continued to do well. And if you look at what's happened with home delivery, obviously, with the lockdowns, people have been ordering more water online. So we've kind of pivoted our operations to focus more on our route to market and make sure that we're able to get to as many consumers as possible. So that gives a little bit of a summary of how the UAE market has been impacted over the first half of the year. Now when we look at Saudi Arabia, there's 2 aspects to the water -- the challenging water business in Saudi Arabia. Firstly, we've had the constraint caused by the fact that the religious seasons in Saudi have been impacted. Obviously, there's been a lockdown in Saudi, which, in many cases, has been more challenging than the UAE. And on top of that, we've made some prudent decisions around how to manage our exposure in the markets given the provisions that we've had to make in the books over the first half of the year to reflect the fact that there's lower liquidity in Saudi and the broader region. So decisions that we've had to make in the short term, which we believe, as demand starts to bounce back and as the market starts to stabilize in Saudi, will benefit us moving forward. Kuwait, on the other hand, has done very well. So Kuwait has grown in terms of volume around 75% for Agthia this year and in terms of revenue has grown around 50%. So Kuwait is an emerging market for us. It's a business that's growing and we're gaining market share. And we're confident that as we -- as the market bounces back in UAE, we'll be able to leverage our strong market position. And obviously, in Saudi Arabia, we're fixing the fundamentals and look forward to seeing that business grow again in the future.

Operator

operator
#23

We have our next question from Karim Abbas from Franklin.

Alan Smith

executive
#24

Hello?

Operator

operator
#25

It seems like we've lost Karim. We currently have no further questions. [Operator Instructions] We have no further questions.

Sahar Srour

executive
#26

Thanks very much, Jamila. Gentlemen, would you like to give any concluding remarks?

Alan Smith

executive
#27

Okay.

Sahar Srour

executive
#28

Jamila, I can see a couple of raised hands.

Operator

operator
#29

Yes. We've got a couple more questions, one from Imad Chukrallah from Amwal Capital.

Imad Chukrallah;Amwal Capital;Analyst

analyst
#30

Alan, I'm curious. You've joined a couple of weeks ago, and I'm curious about your view on the business lines the company is in on -- where do you see opportunities for growth from a strategic point of view? How are you approaching the company? And if there has been any, let's say, targets that have been set by the Board, any specific metrics you're working towards?

Alan Smith

executive
#31

Thank you for the questions. Look, I think I have joined -- I joined on the 5th of July. So I think what we can say is the recent structural changes in the organization signal intention to reframe the growth strategy for Agthia. The changes, however, are very recent, so we're currently undertaking a strategic review, and we'll be ready to talk more about that in the coming months. That said, if we look at what we're -- what is framing or what is driving the rethink, obviously we're looking to create or enhance shareholder value. The strategy that we're working through is being built around a few simple principles. Firstly, very consumer focused. So we're looking at what's important for consumers today to develop products and then invest in categories that address those needs. So that's one frame of reference. The second thing is the customer -- is that the strategy will be customer and channel focused. So we'll continue working closely with strategic retail partners. We'll refocus on expanding e-commerce and obviously continuing to make our products as accessible as possible to as many people as possible. We'll be looking at expanding into new categories and markets that will build our footprint across the region. And then the fourth and probably the most important pillar for us to enable the agenda I've just outlined is we will refocus on capability. We have good talent in the organization. We'll look at business processes. And we'll also look at systems to efficiently support the agenda that we're setting down. So very detailed and deep analysis. We are trying to reframe what the future looks like in terms of a growth perspective, and we will hope to come back to you all in the near future to kind of outlay that plan in more detail.

Imad Chukrallah;Amwal Capital;Analyst

analyst
#32

Very clear. Very clear. And the involvement of the Board. Obviously, there has been some changes at the Board level, at the parent level and so on. Do you think we could see Agthia more positioned along the food security line of the country? Or anything along these lines in terms of the product mix? Is there anything at that level, you think? Any changes we can expect there?

Alan Smith

executive
#33

So what we want to do, and I touched on the fact that we want to obviously enhance shareholder value. I think, first and foremost, we -- the parent company, the Board and obviously ourselves see Agthia very much in the consumer product space. So what we're talking about is building brands, investing in brands, growing value by entering into segments where we -- which we think are attractive and as we said, address consumer needs. So very much a consumer products group is what we're -- is what we'll be looking at, and that's the core of the strategy. Rather than looking at food security or commodity-based businesses, we're more looking at consumer-based businesses. And that's the kind of idea that's shaping our thinking.

Imad Chukrallah;Amwal Capital;Analyst

analyst
#34

Clear. And would M&A be, let's say, at the heart of that strategy? Or you would think it will be more driven organically? How would you think about that? Or is it a bit early on?

Alan Smith

executive
#35

Look, I think what -- the way we're looking at this, we're ruling everything in, and we're not ruling anything out, if you see what I mean. I think we -- given our footprint today is largely in the UAE, we have presence in Kuwait, in Saudi in Turkey and Egypt, which, with the exception of the hiccups we've had in KSA, we're confident that those markets will continue to grow. But we also know that we need to build scale in those markets. So we're going to look at -- well, certainly, M&A is on the agenda. In terms of what, where, how, that's still being worked through. But our growth strategy will be built around strengthening our position in the UAE, expanding our footprint regionally and also continuing to leverage the experience and the strong brands that we have in our current portfolio.

Operator

operator
#36

We currently have no further questions.

Alan Smith

executive
#37

Shall I wrap up, Jamila?

Operator

operator
#38

Sir, this is the end of the Q&A. I'll pass it back on to you.

Alan Smith

executive
#39

Thank you very much. So I think let me just reflect -- if I just reflect on the half year-to-date. I'd like to complement the Agthia group and the Agthia team on their ability to react to what has been an unprecedented situation. I think our agile supply chain and our teams have been able to pivot quite quickly to react to changes in demands and trends in the market. We've been able to work to make sure that product is available at all times. We've taken strategic decisions to increase our stocks of raw materials. And we continue to be motivated to make the right decisions in the short term to grow value in the long term. So Agthia as a group will continue their track record of bringing interesting and new innovations to the market, and we look forward to speaking to you next quarter.

Operator

operator
#40

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's call. Thank you for joining. You may now disconnect your lines.

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