Aker Carbon Capture ASA (ACC) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
September 9, 2021
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
David Phillips
executiveAnd the rest of the crew. And we're looking forward to spending some time with you today. We're also joined by a number of our key industrial partners and customers, and we're looking forward to their input later on in the presentation. And also, we're thrilled to see such good interest and engagement with the financial community joining us on this webcast today. It's a real pleasure for us. It's such a young company, only just over a year old to have such a good following. Now I'd say just over a year old. Of course, we actually are not just over a year, been around for decades. And actually, our technology story, our innovation our experience in terms of process technology really should be measured in decades rather than in months or just a year or so. Now this experience theme is something that we'll return to in some detail later on today in Part 2 and 3. Now our session today, our CMD really runs through 3 parts. The first sets the scene. The first is talking about the market. We have an opening comment from our CEO Valborg, but it's talking about the market from the Global Carbon Capture and Storage Institute, it's a great video, which will lead into a short break. Then we will talk about innovation, our innovation technology story. We'll have some great interviews with some key partners of ours, Siemens Energy and Microsoft. Then we'll have another short break and then moving to Part 3, which is all about commercial innovation and our Carbon Capture as a Service story. And they will have some hopefully very exciting inputs, I'm sure, from the likes of Carbfix and Carbonor. Now during this -- we have Q&A at the end, but during this on the online platform that you're already engaged in, there's room to chat and to ask questions. So we'll be keeping eye on that all the way through. So as questions come up, please do enter them in there, and then we'll get to them right to the end of the show when we come to the Q&A section. So let's take the first move. Part 1, Valborg. Thank you for joining us. How do you summarize our strategy and our positioning right now?
Valborg Lundegaard
executiveThank you, David. Well, let me take the bigger picture first, fighting climate change requires action now. And there's an increased awareness that Carbon Capture and Storage must be part of the solutions. So a year ago, we were approached by a number of customers from all over the world who wanted to use our unique technology to reduce their CO2 emissions. And we understood that, that was the right time to establish a pure-play company Aker Carbon Capture. Now a year after, we're in operation. We are delivering the world's first Carbon Capture plant on a cement facility in Brevik for Heidelberg Cement. And we have announced a new innovative offering Carbon Capture as a Service. Carbon Capture made easy. We've set ambitious target going forward. And in order to do so, we need a clear direction how to meet those targets. First, we are looking at the market, and we have prioritized the Northern European market with Scandinavia, Benelux and U.K. leading the way. And this is where we had most requests from customers, but we also see that the regulatory regime is most mature. Then we have prioritized segments, segments where our technology have been verified and proven. It's cement, of course, we will be the first in the world. It's bio and waste to energy. It's blue hydrogen and gas to power. But we cannot do this all alone. We have to work with partners. And we're a small company. We're a start-up with the agility of a start-up but we also have the strength of the big Aker Group and the strong Aker companies in the group. But we work with other partners as well. We work with a number of complementary partners and some of them you will meet today. So I'm looking forward to introduce them to all of you. But in order to turn economics positive, for CCS, we need to get the cost down. That is our part of this puzzle. And we have set an ambitious target with up to 50% cost reduction within mid of this decade. And there are a number of initiatives to be taken to reach that target. It's not just one thing, but we are ambitious. When it comes to business models, we will continue to deliver EPC projects like we're doing for Heidelberg Cement, but also license models with key equipment. But now we are bringing the whole value chain together, Carbon Capture and Storage, offer the full value chain as a service, the customer just pay per tonne CO2 captured. So Carbon Capture as a Service is Carbon Capture made easy. So our ambition is 2025, secure contracts to capture 10 million tonnes of CO2 by 2025. So back to you, David.
David Phillips
executiveThank you, Valborg. Yes, there's a lot to discuss today. So we'll hear from you at the end. We'll come up with some closing comments and the wrap up. But the next stage of this is to run through a market outlook, and we're delighted to be joined by Jeff Erikson. Jeff, thank you so much spending the time to join us today from the Global Carbon Capture and Storage Institute, all the way from Washington, D.C. Now Jeff, you have some slides to run through. And then after that, you and I will have a couple of quick questions. So over to you.
Jeff Erikson
attendeeVery good. Well, thank you David. And first, I just want to make sure that I'm going through. Okay. Can you hear me all right? David, can you hear me?
David Phillips
executiveYes. Thank you. Yes, go on.
Jeff Erikson
attendeeOkay. Very good. Thank you. Great. Well, it's a pleasure to be here speaking with you all today, and it's exciting to be part of the Capital Markets Day. I think the fact that after Carbon Solutions, now is a pure play Carbon Capture company is a sign of the development of the industry. And like I said, it's a pleasure to be a part of it. I'm going to spend about 15 minutes today. Just walking you through very quickly, what we see as the current market in Carbon Capture. And when I talk about Carbon Capture that is full chain. It includes both the transportation and storage elements as well as the capture element. So not just what it looks like today, but what we expect to see in both the near future and the further horizons for the market. First, just a word about -- and I want to make sure that our -- that my advancement is working well because I'm not seeing that on my monitor. I should be advanced to Slide 2 here. Can someone confirm that -- there we go. Okay. I see it now. Thank you. I heard about the Global CCS Institute. We're a global think tank. We have as members, national governments, subnational governments, multinational companies and small service providers, and we're pleased that Aker Carbon Solutions is one of our current members. Our mission is simple is to accelerate deployment of Carbon Capture and storage globally. We have over 100 members now. We've seen tremendous growth just in the last 3 years, and I'll talk a bit more about that in just a minute as to why that's happening. We are located around the world in 7 locations, and we provide advocacy, intelligence and connections, both to our members into the broader Carbon Capture, stakeholder community and the climate and energy stakeholder community. Just to get everyone on the same page as far as what I'm talking about, there's a lot of languages getting thrown around with respect to what Carbon Capture is and a lot of different definitions, but this will be a working definition that I will use today. When I talk about Carbon Capture and Storage, it's the full chain, it starts with capture point source capture and the industrial facility that CO2 gets separated from the rest of the food stream, typically gets compressed and put either into a pipeline or on to a ship for transportation. And then it get stored deep in the subsurface geology, typically in a sandstone or basalt formation. If it sandstone then it's -- it has an impermeable cap. And as I said, it's typically a couple of kilometers down below the surface. So there's no opportunity to impact groundwater and those kinds of things. So that's the overall picture of Carbon Capture. And again, as I talk about it, it is those 3 components; capture, transportation and storage, but it also includes things like direct air capture. And I'll talk a bit more about that in just a minute as well as carbon utilization. So take a look at what's happening around the world. And if I look back at the last 12 months or so, a few headlines. First of all, tremendous growth that we've seen in both interest and commitment to Carbon Capture, and that's both in the private sector and among governance. And that's driven by a couple of things. First of all, there's a recognition now the climate change is not something that we need to worry about in the future, but it's security problem to address currently. There are more and more countries and companies that have committed to net 0 emissions typically by 2050 or sooner. And that -- those 2 elements are actually driving a lot of the interest and investment CCUS. In addition to that, there's more and more evidence that's demonstrated quite clearly that you can't get to net 0, you can't get to the decarbonization on a global basis and economy-wide basis without utilizing significant Carbon Capture and Storage. We're seeing that as a consequence of that policy and funding support, building all around the world and specifically in several countries both in -- well, across the continents. In Europe, it's the U.K., Norway and the Netherlands that are leading the pack as well as the European Union in North America, very much the United States, Canada, is also in the game. And then in Asia, China has seen a significant uptick in interest in Carbon Capture and Japan is developing policies, mostly actually to facilitate Carbon Capture development overseas, and they see themselves as a technology partner for other countries, typically developing countries where there's better storage capacity than there is in Japan. Some of the key developments that have occurred over the last 12 months or so. Well, the big news in the U.S. has been the finalization of the tax credit associated with capturing storing CO2, that's called 45Q. And that's been a long process to get that finalized, and now the rules are quite clear, it's giving investors some clarity and assurance that they understand the rules of the game, so they can make investments with a clear understanding of what kind of return they can get, going forward. In Europe, there's a significant project development occurring. The Landscape project, which does include the Heidelberg Cement Plant, which was mentioned earlier. The Porthos project which is in the Port of Rotterdam or it's capturing from CO2, at the Port of Rotterdam storing CO2 offshore. And then in the U.K., there's current competition for funding by the U.K. government. The government is committed to funding 2 cluster projects or as we call them networks by 2025 and 2 additional network projects by 2030. I mentioned China earlier, the 2030 and 2060 goals that were announced by President Xi, just about a year ago, is driving tremendous interest both among governments and state-owned enterprise as well as private sector in China. Everyone's kind of scrambling to figure out where Carbon Capture fits into their decarbonization strategy. There's a lot of activity that's occurring there in China. And then around the world, the real -- the new operating model is networks, and I'll talk a bit more about that in a little bit more detail in just a minute. That's one of the key developments and trends that we're seeing around the world. Finally, hydrogen is taking a very clear position as part of the energy future as well as the industrial future for the world. And there's currently kind of a big debate about how it's produced. Is it going to be green hydrogen, which essentially is separating hydrogen from oxygen in a water molecule that's energy intensive. It uses renewables to supply the energy, hence they can call it 0 carbon, but it is intensive and much more expensive than the alternative, which is blue hydrogen. Blue hydrogen is separating hydrogen from carbon in a hydrocarbon molecule typically coming from coal or gas. And taking that CO2 that's created along with the hydrogen and sequestering that through the use of Carbon Capture and Storage. So as I said, there's a big cost differential, it's about 3x more expensive currently to produce hydrogen with using a green hydrogen and using a blue hydrogen process. The big question is kind of the big unknown is how long will that cost differential last? And will it close? Will it narrow and how quickly will that happen? So we're seeing over the last several years, more and more evidence, as I indicated earlier, the Carbon Capture is absolutely essential to achieve our climate goals. There are a couple of reports that just came out this year, 1 by the IEA during the bottom left, the International Energy Agency, which looks at how to get to net 0 by 2050 and they're identifying a tremendous growth trajectory that's going to be required by Carbon Capture in order to achieve net 0 by mid-century. The other really significant report came out by the international panel -- Intergovermental Panel on Climate Change in the bottom right, that's the, what they call AR6, which identify the impacts of climate change around the world. And that came out just a month or so ago, and that's obtained some pretty frightening scenarios as far as impacts of climate change. So more and more recognition among well-established scientific bodies that Carbon Capture is an essential part of a low carbon feature. So where are we now? And what does all of that imply from where -- what we need to get to? Well, first of all, in 2020 and again in 2021, there's about 40 million tonnes of CO2 is being captured on an annual basis million tonnes per annum of 40 million tonnes, which is significant. It's about 10x the largest solar installation in the world. So it's a significant amount of CO2 to steam store. Now pales in comparison to what needs to happen by 2050. The IEA sustainable development scenario indicates that more than 100x this -- the capture and storage is going to be required venues there currently. And some of the other scenarios that are currently out there, including the net 0 scenario takes a scale up that's required is even higher. That implies a required investment of somewhere between $650 billion and $1.3 trillion over the next 3 decades. So a tremendous opportunity, tremendous need for investors and for the financial community as well as those who are providing services to those major emitters that need sequester under ground. I have lost my connection to the clicker function here. So someone on that end could advance the slides for me when I indicate them, I'd appreciate that. Great. Thank you very much. So this is the trajectory that we're showing. This was actually a chart that was included in our 2020 annual Global status of CCS report. We're anticipating tremendous growth if you see another bar there at the end that demonstrates 2021. That bar is going to be north of 150 million tonnes per year of CO2 capture capacity among those projects that are in operation, in construction and in development. So we're seeing -- we saw a drop down in investments and in activity from peak in 2011 down through 2017. And now what we're seeing over the next -- over the last 4 years, and again, well in the future is a significant increase in annual capacity by all projects, here both in operation and in development. And I have control now in my clicker here. So I'll take it from here. This is what it looks like. And if you look at a global picture around the world where the Carbon Capture activity is, this demonstrates in red, those that are in operation or construction and those that are in development. And you can see a great deal of activity in a lot of history for Carbon Capture in the U.S., some in Canada, a lot in Northern Europe, activity in China, Japan and Australia as well. And if you remember the countries that I ticked off earlier, you can see a great deal of alignment between active policy development in those countries and where the activity is happening, both the historical activity for those projects that are in operation and those that are currently in development. Looking at the global picture in another way. This is by industry. A couple of things to point out. Red is those in operations. Blue that are those that are in advanced development. This chart does not include those that are in early development, which adds a lot more circles to this chart. But in any case, you'll see that there's a shift away from Carbon Capture on natural gas processing and towards Carbon Capture on power production, both coal generation and natural gas generation. The other thing that you'll see again in our status report, this coming out in about a month, is a big increase in ethanol, Carbon Capture on ethanol. That's a relatively low-cost capture opportunity, and there's a network of 30 ethanol plants across the United States, Midwest that are -- have developed a cluster of network approach and that those projects are in development also. I mentioned networks. And that, as I said, is the predominant operating model that we'll see going forward. This is just a map of the various network projects that are occurring around the world and network is now gets to a [ shopping mall ] where you have typically an anchor tenant, a major emitter and several other emitters in that proximity, so that increases the efficiency to both capture and transportation. I just want to point out the Northern Lights project or the Longship project, in particular, this is occurring in Norway. I think that's -- I find really interesting here is if you look at this map, it demonstrates all the different capture or emission sources that they hope to service and manage the CO2 for across Northern Europe. And again, this we see as a great model for other projects going forward. So let me just end to finish up, come back to my headline slide, and I just wanted to add to that, what I'm calling a watch list down here in the bottom. These are things that are emerging trends that we expect to grow pretty significantly -- strengthened significantly in the coming months and years. First, a lot of interest right now on Carbon Capture liquefied natural gas as customers are seeking ways to reduce the carbon footprint -- the life cycle of carbon footprint of the natural gas they are purchasing. Carbon Capture on shipping is occurring in 2 different ways. One is great opportunity to actually transport the CO2 about ships. But the other thing that's starting to happen now is actually putting CO2 capture units onboard ships for their own missions. So shipping is, I think, an example of the evolution and maturation of the Carbon Capture industry. We're seeing Carbon Capture in new geographies, including Eastern Europe and Southeast Asia. And we're also, importantly, seeing that as support for Carbon Capture grows, the voices of those that are in opposition are also growing. We expect to see that. And so there's certainly not a consensus among energy and climate stakeholders on the role for Carbon Capture, and that's a challenge and a bit of a battle that is going to play out over the next months and years. Let me stop there, and I know Dave has a couple of additional questions if you want to throw any. So thank you for your attention. And David, over to you.
David Phillips
executiveAbsolutely. Yes, thank you so much. That was a really great set to pick some into only a few slides, but there are so many moving parts in this industry right now. And as you say, it's growing quite quickly. I also like your, perhaps, unintentional use for the phrase that Aker Carbon Solutions, as it's quite surprising because actually one of the big project today, it's all about Carbon Capture as a Service, and maybe we are moving more towards that type of model. So maybe well, if we have a change, we'll credit you with the idea when it comes out. But we have -- so a couple of questions. I really like the watch list, the highlights what to look for on horizon. But I wondered if you sort of took a little bit of a step at look over the horizon, what sort of -- what's next in the sort of the let's say, in the medium term, there no unknowns on the positive note, what catches your eyes?
Jeff Erikson
attendeeWell, I think one of the areas that -- if I start with kind of technology and how technology will develop. I think that an unknown is the trajectory and the speed of its direct capture will be deployed. And there was an announcement today of the Aker project in Iceland that we'll be capturing CO2 from the air and actually using Carbfix's technology to sequester below ground. One of the things that came out in the article are this morning, over breakfast, was that there are some limitations to both the cost, which, again, is 3 to 5x more than points for capture and storage as well as the volume. Now the article that I already noted that this new facility is the largest in the world, start-up operation yesterday or they announced that they were under operation yesterday. And at the largest in the world, about 4,000 tonnes of CO2 capturing per year. Now that compares to a typical point source capture project, which is somewhere between 0.5 million tonnes and 3 million or 4 million tonnes per year. So volume is a limitation here. The other really exciting technology that we're looking at is the Allam-Fetvedt Cycle, may not be familiar with that, but NetPower is the company that's -- that owns that technology and is developing projects around the world. They're actually using captured CO2 to turn turbines to generate electricity. And they've got a lot of irons on fire right now, and they're just starting to get towards commercial scale projects. It will be interesting to see once they do go commercial, it's the promise and the expectation actually plays out there. So those are 2 areas that I would say are on the horizon, and we're not quite sure how it will play out. From a storage standpoint, I'll go back to the Carbfix technology, and we've been storing CO2 in Sandstone for 40 years. And most recently, the Carbfix technology includes store and CO2 in basalt formations, which are quite prevalent around the world. And the benefit to this is actually quite rapid mineralization or solidification of CO2, turning that into a mineral so that the opportunity for migration is well reduced. And so that's a really exciting potential. And again, we'll see how the cost and the practicalities of that technology plays out.
David Phillips
executiveOf course, we have Carbfix with some contribution of the nice video in our session in Part 3. So looking forward to that piece. One more question for me, Jeff. Just on the -- I guess, the other side of the coin, putting it very simply, what could go wrong?
Jeff Erikson
attendeeWell, on the last slide, I mentioned opposition that is growing and that is a significant risk. More specifically is general opposition to fossil fuels and Carbon Capture rightly around. You still tied quite closely in the minds of many to extending the life for better or worst of the fossil fuel industry, and many folks were opposed to that, many loud voices are. So that's going to, in fact, impact the acceptance of Carbon Capture. Now in Europe, that plays out as opposition to land-based CO2. In the U.S., it's opposition of pipelines, both of those I think are going to be essential going forward. Another possible derailer for Carbon Capture would be the advancement of other technologies and any associated cost that could be alternatives to Carbon Capture. For example, green hydrogen, how quickly will that cost differential narrow and will green hydrogen, the promise of green hydrogen and drop in cost for green hydrogen actually maybe make blue hydrogen absolute. In addition, there's different ways to make steel that are using electricity to generate high levels of heat. So the metallurgical coal is being used now, may not be required in the future. Now there's a lot that's wrapped up in that because that works more effectively, more cost effectively and new plants than on retrofits. But those are some of the things that I see as perhaps derailing progress that we are seeing now and anticipate going in the future.
David Phillips
executiveOkay. Jeff, look, I really appreciate your time. Thank you for your insights and your nice graphics, and it's a good story. And Yes, obviously, one that we're following extremely closely. So look, thanks a lot for your time again. Just for everyone on the event, Jeff is not joining us for the Q&A at the end. You can see his details. So if you wish to get in contact with the Global Carbon Capture Storage Institute and Jeff himself, then please do so. Okay. Thank you, Jeff. Thanks for your time again.
Jeff Erikson
attendeeThank you, Dave. Thank you, all. Bye-bye.
David Phillips
executiveOkay. So we now approach the break between the parts of our sessions. On the -- we're going to have a short break where you can find a refreshment, have a quick leg stretch before we move into Part 2, which is all about innovation. But in the run-up to the break, we have a very, very exciting video to show you. So let's see the Brevik video, please. [Presentation] [Break]
David Phillips
executiveHello, and welcome back to the second part of our Capital Markets Day. This is really focusing on innovation. It's focusing on our experience, our technology, our partnerships which also reflects one of our key values in terms of working together. And I'm delighted to be joined by Jim Stian Olsen, our Chief Technology Officer, our CTO. Thank you for joining us. Firstly, Carbon Capture. What exactly is this about? And where do we fit into the story?
Jim Olsen
executiveThank you, David. Yes. So today, the man-made CO2 emissions are at approximately 40 giga tonnes every year. Most of that come from power and heat generation, approximately 45%. But we also see a significant amount of emissions coming from industries, transport and other sources as well. And in order to reduce those emissions, we need to use all the tools in our toolbox. A low-hanging fruit is to improve our energy efficiency of our systems. This is relatively cheap, and it's usually the first move that people make when they want to reduce their emissions. In addition to that, we have to reduce our use of fossil fuels, which triggers massive deployment of renewable energy. This will take some time, and it will not help in the hard-to-abate sectors such as cement. And this is why Carbon Capture becomes important. The IEA estimated that we needed to install Carbon Capture plants covering 2,400 million tonnes of CO2 by 2040. And that is 6,000 CCS projects to put it in perspective.
David Phillips
executiveSo taking a step back from the market need. How does it actually work?
Jim Olsen
executiveYes. So if we go to the next slide here, then we will see a simplified overview of -- sorry, hanging on the slide. Yes. So we will -- okay, sorry about that. Aker Carbon Capture has a solvent-based post-combustion capture. And we have a process, which you can see here. We have a flue gas coming from the industrial source, and it goes into what we call the absorber tower. These absorber towers have very tall structure, approximately 40 to 50 meters high and several meters in diameters. Near the top of the absorber, we introduced our solvent which is a liquid chemical compound that binds easily to the CO2. The solvent then rains down in a counter current flow to the flue gas and captures the CO2. Clean flue gas is then leaving the top of the tower into the air. The CO2 rich solvent then is pumped over to another tall tower, which we call the desorber. Here, we add heat, which then allows the CO2 to release from the chemical compound and then move into the CO2 conditioning unit, which is usually either a compressor or a liquefaction depending on how we want to store the CO2.
David Phillips
executiveSo this is post combustion Carbon Capture?
Jim Olsen
executiveAbsolutely.
David Phillips
executiveNow in this the solvent-based chemistry behind this is not particularly new, though. So what's our history in this and what...
Jim Olsen
executiveSo if we look at our next slide, then you will see that although we're not -- although we are a new company, we're not new to Carbon Capture. Already back in 1996, we -- the Aker Group delivered the Sleipner platform and then helped enable the world's first offshore CO2 storage project. And then in 2008, that's when we started our journey. Then we started the largest R&D project in Northern Europe in order for us to develop our Carbon Capture technology. At the most, we had more than 30 researchers working and testing more than 90 different solvent recipes and developing technology that we have today. At the same time, we started to design and build our mobile testing unit, which we've traveled the world and tested on several different flue gases over the years. And in 2012, we built and finished Technology Center Mongstad. And we have executed industrial scale campaigns with our technology there as well. All these efforts lead up to this point where we're now delivering the world's first Carbon Capture plant on a cement factory.
David Phillips
executiveSo a lot of discussion around solvency. But why is there so much time on solving R&D? Why is it so important?
Jim Olsen
executiveYes. So in the next slide, you will see a beautiful picture of our solvent. And the heart -- this is really at the heart of our research and development efforts. This the solvents are the key here. Our S-26 solvent is tremendously robust, and we have experienced very little degradation when we use it even with difficult flue gases. The degradation means that the solvent is breaking down during use, which limits the capital performance. And for some solvents, it can even lead to corrosion and damage of the equipment. This is not an issue for our S-26. In addition, the HSE profile of the S-26 is unique in a sense that it's non-toxic and biodegradable. And together with our other patented technologies, we ensure that our Carbon Capture plants does not impact the local environment they're in.
David Phillips
executiveAnd this also has been tested through a range of flue gases. If you can just go to the next slide, there's a good image in terms of our operating hours and experience and also what we tested it through. Could you talk to this and let me -- why is it so important that we have this range of flue gases?
Jim Olsen
executiveWell, this is the reason why I can say that we have a minimal impact on the local environment. We have more than 50,000 operating hours with the technology, 20,000 hours from Technology Center Mongstad and then 30,000 hours with our mobile testing unit. And we have tested different -- 7 different flue gases throughout the years and of course, including extensive campaigns within our primary segments, which is hydrogen, cement, waste-to-energy and gas to power. And at Norcem, we actually tested more than 7,000 hours continuously and qualify our technology with DNV.
David Phillips
executiveSo the next step in this, and this is a very convincing technology background, but it's taking -- it's going from the science lab to reality. It's taking a step to industrialization, commercialization and so on. What have we done along this way?
Jim Olsen
executiveSo when we -- since we finished the Technology Center Mongstad, we haven't been resting on our laurels. So we have been using smart engineering and clever solutions to be able to reduce the cost and the footprint of our plant by 90% and obtaining even better performance on our capture plants in our Just Catch 100 model. This plant is ideal for medium emitters with [indiscernible] constraints and deliver high capture rates for our customers. This product is also the basis of our innovative Carbon Capture as a Service offering that you will learn more about in later the second part of this event.
David Phillips
executiveSo the development and modularization has a big impact on the cost. But is that -- is there more we can do in terms of cost of Carbon Capture?
Jim Olsen
executiveAbsolutely, we have to continue to fight the cost curve of Carbon Capture, and we're now starting our journey to bring down the cost of our Big Catch solution. And this is a task that requires that all the disciplines in Aker Carbon Capture work together to achieve that. And in this next segment, you're going to see how we work to achieve this. [Presentation]
David Phillips
executiveSo there, our CapEx ambition up to a 50% reduction by 2025. And a big thanks to our employees taking part in that, it's really excellent. I really appreciate it. So we talked a lot about moving the cost down for Carbon Capture. What about the rest of the value chain, Jim and how can we look at that?
Jim Olsen
executiveSo I think we stand in front of a formidable task. And we're not going to solve climate crisis on our own. And this is why we have chosen to partner with some of the best technology players in the world. And we've chosen to work with the companies that have complementary technologies to ourselves. We work together with Aker Solutions and utilize their engineering and project execution capabilities, among other things on Brevik's CCS. Hitachi Zosen Inova, Haldor Topsøe, Siemens Energy and MAN Energy are partners that have complementary technologies to us. SINTEF is a key research partner that we work with for years, and we'll continue to collaborate with to develop our technology further. And Carbfix is a company that has developed a unique technology that enables CO2 storage through mineralization. And we truly believe that we can accelerate the Carbon Capture and Storage market together with them. And then finally, digital solutions are essential for us to succeed in a landscape where rapid change and development is the normal. And that is why we partnered with Microsoft, Aize and Cognite to leverage our data and become even better at Carbon Capture.
David Phillips
executiveThank you, yes. We'll hear a bit more about Carbfix later. But in talking of partnerships, we are extremely fortunate to have Siemens Energy joining us for a short interview just a short Q&A. Karim Amin joining us all the way, a few hours ahead of us in the Middle East, and so I really appreciate your time, and thank you for taking time out of your busy evening -- let alone your busy day. So thank you so much. And a few questions. So firstly, just for the benefits of everyone. Could you tell a little bit about yourself and what you do at Siemens Energy?
Karim Amin
attendeeThank you so much for the opportunity. Happy to be here. I am Karim Amin, I'm the Executive Vice President of Siemens Energy, running the Power Generation division, which is basically the division that has all the power generation assets, whether it's from fossil or from other sources of energy.
David Phillips
executiveSo the 2 main questions. The first one, the Energy transition, obviously, a huge theme. How are you incorporating this into your strategy at Siemens Energy? And particularly, how are you helping your customers to decarbonize?
Karim Amin
attendeeRight. I think a few words. First of all, Siemens Energy. It's a world leader in the entire energy domain. We are active in generation of energy, on transmission as well as in industry applications. EUR 28 billion company. We are active in more than 100 countries around the world and more than 90,000 employees are busy with our agenda and business activities. I think our contribution towards that is twofold. First of all, is our own commitment as a company towards 0 carbon emission. So Siemens Energy back in May did sign and commit on the strategic scientific-based target initiative, which is targeting 0 carbon emission in our operations by 2030. So that's when it comes to our commitment in our own operations. But I think the bigger task is that we also have the privilege and a very exciting task to support our customers in decarbonizing their own processes and their own applications. So generation, transmission, industrial application is meeting these challenges by looking at 0 or low power generation CO2 emission on the generation side transmission and storage of energy. So there's a lot of efficiency elements here around how to store energy in an efficient way and maximize the use of renewable. And then there is a very big task around the decarbonization of industrial processes for all the industrial verticals. Just to give you a couple of examples to make these things a bit tangible. We recently did work on a project in steel plant in Linz in Austria where we are putting our electrolyzer to generate green hydrogen from green energy sources, and also power the arc furnaces with sustainable and green energy so that we are moving the application of green hydrogen and renewable energy straight into industrial processes in larger scale. So this steel plant will achieve 80% reduction in its CO2 emission when the entire operations are decarbonized. So that's one example. Another example really is in the area of decarbonization of heat, and I heard from the colleagues before me, they talked about combined heat and power. So together with other partners, we are working in Berlin on combined heat and power district heating using electrical heat pumps that would be able to power more than 12,000 offices, 1,000 households with sustainable green source heat applications, also contributing massively towards cutting CO2 more than 7,000 metric tonnes per annum. So a number of initiatives that we're working on to support our customers as well in their decarbonization journey.
David Phillips
executiveAbsolutely. Thank you. Thanks for including the examples. It's very powerful stuff. And my last one, partnerships in this whole momentum, how important are partnerships to you? And let's be honest, where do we fit in?
Karim Amin
attendeeRight. It's all about partnerships. And I think we just talked about it or you just touched it a while ago. Well, we need to go into this journey of decarbonization fast. And to accelerate this, it's all about partnerships and how can we work together on multiple fronts. Aker Carbon Capture and Aker Solutions are working together with us. For example, a couple of days ago, there was also an announcement. We're working on one of the largest projects in the U.K. We bring our expertise in power generation, in high efficient gas turbines, in hydrogen co-firing so that you could reduce the CO2 emission, together with Aker Solutions and Aker Carbon Capture, putting Carbon Capture solutions where I think it will be the lighthouse project for capturing of carbon and also storing of carbon. That's one example. Next powerful thing is we are working together with Aker Carbon Capture on developing solutions that we could utilize on our own gas turbines whether for new projects that we will sell new gas turbines already with complementary packages and solutions for Carbon Capture or we look at our existing fleet. I mean Siemens has more than 6,000 gas turbine out there in the world. More than 20% of the power generation capacity is coming from our equipment. And by cooperating together with Aker Carbon Capture, we can offer our customers whether they are new customers or customers operating existing fleets, solutions that could really help them meet the decarbonization objectives.
David Phillips
executiveAbsolutely. Thank you. We think it's going to be a very exciting story, and we're very much looking forward to working with you, of course. Look, Karim, thank you so much for your time today. I really appreciate you dropping into our Capital Markets Day. And thank you again.
Karim Amin
attendeeMy pleasure.
David Phillips
executiveSo we are now back to the last part of the innovation discussion. Jim Stian, R&D. So moving away from some of the, let's say, some of the heavier stuff moving towards the horizon, what's our technology strategy?
Jim Olsen
executiveBecoming better is something that we'll always strive for. And that is why we've established a technology strategy that is based on the principle of strengthen, expand and explore. We need to always strengthen our existing portfolio in order to stay ahead of the curve. We also need to look at new technologies that open up opportunities in adjacent markets. And last but not least, we need to explore. We need to look at nascent technologies that we can mature to an industrial delivery the same way we took post-combustion capture from the lab to the industrial scale. We are guided by our values and bold innovation will be central to achieving our goals.
David Phillips
executiveAbsolutely. I think we had some examples as well. So I think the next slide is looking at blue hydrogen, potentially.
Jim Olsen
executiveYes. essentially. And we wanted to give you a taste of what we're working on within technology and innovation, and this is one of the examples that we have. It's an ongoing research and development program that we do together with SINTEF to develop an innovative precombustion capture technology that can be used to decarbonize large-scale hydrogen production. And currently, we're conducting industry scale testing at SINTEF laboratories. And together with Aker Clean Hydrogen and other partners, we're looking at the opportunity to provide a Carbon Capture solution at [ Øygarden ] on the West Coast of Norway where we can capture well over 95% of the CO2 and which can lead to a reduction of 2 million tonnes of CO2 per year potentially.
David Phillips
executiveAnd this pre-combustion technology will obviously be a good complement to our existing post conduction post...
Jim Olsen
executiveAbsolutely. It will give us one more leg to stand on this.
David Phillips
executiveAbsolutely. Digital, one of your favorite topics, I believe.
Jim Olsen
executiveYes. If you want to stay in front, we need to be agile, and we need to make good use of all of our available tools. And this is why we work together with our partners to build a digital ecosystem for Carbon Capture. This ecosystem is built on 3 layers, each their special purpose. Starting from the left on the slide that you see now, we have the data layer. We are a young company, but we are already generating and collecting data from many different sources, ranging from our operational assets. We have engineering data. We have data from our documents. We have our customer management systems and so forth. And all of these data we're collecting. And for us to be able to make sense of all of this data, we're setting up a platform layer where we feed in all the data. here the data is contextualized. And this means that we're structuring it, and we're making it easily available for the users. It is in this layer that we will see our data-infused digital twin come to fruition. And finally, we have the application layer. Here, we add applications that are connected to the data layer again. And this enables our employees to work with the data either through visualization, data analytics or other methods. So when this all comes together, I think people have very powerful tools to become even better at Carbon Capture.
David Phillips
executiveAbsolutely. Thank you. I think there's a super useful slide, certainly in my previous life, I would have found this extremely useful in explaining how so many parts of the digital ecosystem really, really fit together. So thanks for that. I did notice that we have a special guest now from Microsoft. I noticed that she was taking a particular interest in this slide as we were talking through it. And so I'm delighted one of our senior industrial partners, Microsoft and the digital side. Delighted to have Joanna Mainguy, joining us from Paris. You're the only person joining us today from our own time zone as well. So it will be a probably the easiest one we'll do today, I'm sure. But thank you so much for joining us, Joanna.
Joanna Mainguy
attendeeGood morning, good afternoon, and thank you very much, David, for having us.
David Phillips
executiveFirstly, just a very quick question. Just sort of can you tell us who you are and what your role is at Microsoft?
Joanna Mainguy
attendeeSorry, I'm Industry Director, EMEA, a part of Industry Solutions Energy and Sustainability Team at Microsoft.
David Phillips
executiveExcellent. Now the 2 main questions. Firstly, Microsoft has I talked a lot about decarbonization as an important part of its strategy. But I suspect, and certainly when we talked before, I suspect there's rather more to it than simply helping customers decarbonize. What's the angle behind this big ambition?
Joanna Mainguy
attendeeSo the ambition simply put is to make significant contribution to reducing global emissions. So we've been hearing about this through the event, very interesting conversations. I've been listening very carefully to this. Our goal is to use the whole of Microsoft business power to effect change in those areas by minimizing the negative impacts of our operations, of our own operations and maximizing the positive impact of our technology, delivering new products and services driven by data, AI and digital technology to power environmental sustainability. So that's why I was looking at this demonstration that you just made, thanks for sharing this. At Microsoft, we started this journey more than a decade ago. In January 2020, we committed to being carbon negative, water positive and 0 waste. And we also announced that by 2050, our goal is to remove from the environmental, all the carbon from the environment -- I'm sorry, all the carbon that Microsoft has ever emitted either directly or through electricity consumption since our company was founded in 1975. So we realize that reaching these goals also requires new technology that we discussed also today. To be developed and built, these technologies don't necessarily exist today. Therefore, we also announced a $1 billion climate investment fund, which is set up to accelerate the global development of carbon reduction capture and removal technologies. And finally, we also use our voice on climate-related public policy issues and support new policy initiatives to help us all move faster. So looking ahead of COP 26 in this fall, we have a real opportunity here to come together and commit to a net 0 economy and share learnings on our individual and collective journeys to reduce carbon emissions.
David Phillips
executiveCertainly. And we look forward to seeing you on COP 26. My last question, partnerships. Now this is something that we discussed with some other guests on the CMD. How important are partnerships to Microsoft? And where does Carbon Capture fit into the story?
Joanna Mainguy
attendeePartnerships are crucial, are crucial, essential. We firmly believe that the world's most challenging problem like the climate change cannot be solved alone. A strategic partner, absolutely key, especially to the big technology innovation. We all need to solve in this very complex issue. And to reach our sustainability ambition, we are completely dependent on technology partners in various fields. For example, we will rely on partners in the energy sector to provide clean for our data centers but also Carbon Capture technologies to reach our goal of removing all the carbon emissions produced by our operations since the founding of our company in 1975. You see the volume. And we're happy, as Jeff pointed out, to see that after years of significant [indiscernible] committed to CCUS today. This momentum is driven by a combination of factors like strengthened climate commitments like ours, increased government support, technology advances and stronger investment incentives. We will partner since September 2020. We joined the Northern Lights project in partnership with Equinor, Total, Shell and the Norwegian government. Northern Lights was shown. We'll provide transportation receipt and permanent storage of CO2 in the North Sea, and we absolutely hope that we're very happy to contribute to development of this shared infrastructure and hope that it will trigger new investments in related areas as we could all see in all the analysis that we show, and I'll just quote the energy -- international energy agency and of net 0 pathway. So how much more of CO2 storage will need if you want to meet our joint ambitions. So we're very happy to support all the partnerships and the most -- recently, we also started the cooperation with Ørsted and Aker CC to address technological, regulatory and commercial challenges, opportunities for creating negative emissions by capturing and storing carbon emitted by biomass-fired heated and power stations. So these are all examples I can give how we will support our own ambitions and again, where these partnerships are absolutely essential for our individual and collective journey.
David Phillips
executiveAbsolutely. Thank you, Michelle, for showing your thoughts there. It's interesting how often are Northern Lights and long shies mentioned, it really is a defining project. But Joanna, thank you so much for joining us. I really appreciate your insights, and thank you. Look forward to working with you in the future. So that is the end of Part 2. We now will approach another quick break for you to get some refreshments, stretch your legs before we dive into the heavy staff with the commercial and the finance side of Carbon Capture as a Service. [Operator Instructions] [Break]
David Phillips
executiveWelcome back to Part 3 of our Capital Markets Day. As I did maybe warn you a few minutes ago, this is the heavy part of the day. This is the commercial and finance section. And we talked a lot about innovation from technology, from R&D side and also in terms of partnerships. Now we're diving into the commercial angle. And then we're going to dive into the finance and I'm sure what many have been waiting for some comments around revenues and costs. So firstly, I'm delighted to be joined by 2 of my colleagues, Egil Fagerland, our CFO; and Jon Christopher Knudsen, our Chief Commercial Officer, CCO, J.C. to keep it short. So we're going to start off with the commercial side. So J.C., commercially, what business models do we offer right now?
Jon Knudsen
executiveWell, essentially, I think it's important to distinguish between our 2 main offerings here. And it's about the big catch, which is our large integrated plants like we just saw this fantastic video from Brevik earlier, which is all about how we can integrate very closely to the plant and deliver large -- it could be 300,000, 400,000. It could be GBP 1 million or 2 million. And also, of course, as we set the sale of actually cutting costs in this area, we feel that it's important that we deliver this. So that's why we've indicated that these first-of-the-kind deliveries that needs to be an EPC with us. And similarly, of course, when we come to the Just Catch, these are the modular mid-scale plants. And these are produced and then brought to site. And this is naturally a turnkey EPC delivery. But as we move on, and of course, we would like to reach out into a lot of different places in the world. I think it's important that we also have other delivery models. And as we've indicated on this slide, we also have a technology licensing delivery model with the key equipment. And this enables us to work with clients that are not situated close to us and still be very relevant as they work with EPC companies close to them wherever it is in the world. This is, of course, not natural to do licensing of these blue containers. But certainly, the EPC delivery of Just Catch and the -- both the license and the EPC delivery of the Big Catch is the core of our offering.
David Phillips
executiveAbsolutely. Now the third column here is quite a new step Capture as a Service. Can you talk through what exactly is that?
Jon Knudsen
executiveYes. What we saw with our customers was, of course, that they had trouble still that the technology was solid, it was tested and we had a long time in terms of actually being able to deliver this based on our technology development. We saw that the feedback still from the customer side was that it needed -- we needed to take away some barriers. And this is where we started looking at how can we make it easier for our customers to actually implement cabinet.
David Phillips
executiveI think it set out on the next slide as well. So if you can jump a slide, we can.
Jon Knudsen
executiveAbsolutely. This is -- and if we take the next slide here, this is where we started looking at what are the key obstacles that the customer is facing. So one of the things, of course, our customers immediately said was, okay, this is about cost. The cost is high, and we have problems with actually financing this. So we knew that the offering that we brought to the market needed to meet that requirement. It was also about -- some of these are mid-scale meters. They don't have a large engineering department. So the ability to deliver a Carbon Capture plant, the liquefication of it as well as intermediate storage on the site, is really important. And actually, that needs to be part of the offering as well. But even with all of that good stuff into one package, there were still obstacle. And what we saw very quickly was that we needed to do more. We needed to accelerate the market and we needed to look at how can we connect our Carbon Capture to transport and storage. And this is where the Carbon Capture as a Service came from because this needs to come into full value chain, using our partners, either it's Northern Lights that we heard about earlier, or it's the Greensands in Denmark, where we're working closely with INEOS and other partners or if it's one of the U.K. clusters or some of the Mediterranean ones that are being developed.
David Phillips
executiveBut this all really comes down to a cost per tonne model. How's that -- what does that include?
Jon Knudsen
executiveYes, I would say it's a bit more than just a pay-per-tonne model. It's about standardization. It's about bringing a product that is so standard that we can deliver very quickly that we can mass produce it very quickly, and that we can connect to the transport and storage providers in one offering. So the customer is actually facing us and not a range of different type of people value.
David Phillips
executiveI think this is actually, if you jump one slide forward, this is -- absolutely, there we go.
Jon Knudsen
executiveYes. So the full value chain into one pay-per-tonne model is all about that capture is not enough. It's about how can we accelerate the market, making it easy for the customers to deliver the full value chain and get going with Carbon Capture.
David Phillips
executiveSo you have the full value chain, but how scalable is this?
Jon Knudsen
executiveWell, if we look at the next slide, I think it's fair to say that some of the feedback we got early was that well, we don't really know if GBP 100,000 is going to be enough if you're a big emitter. But we understand that we can get going with just using GBP 100,000 as a first step and to learn something. So we understand that with the offering needed to not only deliver quickly and safely, but also bring something that we operate to the site, reducing the complexity for the customer. And then we needed to be able to follow the natural development of our clients. So meaning that if you had GBP 100,000 and you saw that there's a need for GBP 200,000 then you can actually scale up under the same model and be as flexible as we can, but still scaling to the needs of the night. And some of our clients actually are very interested in getting started with this offering because they see long-term like cement producers right now they see that they will need to pay maybe a capture GBP 800,000 or GBP 1 million or even GBP 2 million. And I think this is where this model comes in as a really quick start to getting started, while allowing for scaling up either another Just Catch model or even to a Big Catch model.
David Phillips
executiveYes, it's a quick start. It's stepwise and it's scalable. But the flexibility is an interesting idea as well because you talk about the whole value chain. But where does the -- if you have a potential customer who maybe has some of this chain already, where can this fit in?
Jon Knudsen
executiveThat was one of the things that we experienced during what we call the pre sounding phase. So before we went and announced it this summer, we met with a range of customers with different expectations to us. And we went through that. And one of the key findings we saw that this full value chain won't actually work for everyone. Some of them were very aggressive, already tied up to some of the U.K. clusters, for instance, and developing the infrastructure there. So they don't really need the transport and storage. This is where, as we see on the next slide, customized CCUS is applicable because we can certainly deliver the capture plant operating for 15 to 25 years and make sure that we join the customer on this important journey and then leave the transport and storage piece to others with...
David Phillips
executiveSo it allows us to fit into some of the big cluster -- some of the big industrial cluster projects like Northern Lights, Longship et cetera, that we've heard about. Now we're very fortunate because we are joined by a live guest today. We had a recent MOU with Carbonor, and we are delighted to be joined today by Helene Mørne, who is the CEO of Carbonor, who is just making it to the stage right now. Helene, thank you so much for joining us. You took the brave root of joining us in person rather than the online version everyone else has followed but we appreciate your time. So firstly, a lot of the listeners and guys or people on the webcast, who may be don't -- based in Norway, maybe not be too familiar with Carbonor or yourself. So maybe start off with -- so who are you? Where did you -- how did you get into this idea? Because I think you have yourself quite a strong belief in this -- in the theme behind Carbonor, not just a job.
Helene Mørne
attendeeYes. I'm Helene Mørne, and I'm the Managing Director of Carbonor, which is a company that I want to bring to fruition a very important climate project. And our ambition is to establish a chimneyless production of reduction material for the process industries. And with chimneyless, I mean that our ambition is to lower the emissions as much as possible using Aker Carbon Captures technology and trying ourselves to innovate as much as possible in our processes to ensure that we emit as little as possible. And the reason for this engagement is very personal for me and I grew up talking about Carbon Capture. I remember the first time we talked about, this was in 1985. I guess that's when Brundtland Report coined the term sustainable development that we were talking about global warming. And my father said that I know how we can solve this. We can inject the CO2 into old oil wells. And now we are able to be part of an important climate project ourselves, which is essentially focused on cleaning up the supply chain of industry. So we produced this carbon-based reduction material that alloy industries need and us handling our carbon footprint in the end allows the end users, the alloy industries, the smelting industries to lower their carbon footprint. And we believe that thinking like that enables us to clean up industry and enables us to have these mobile phones and the computers with a lower CO2 footprint.
David Phillips
executiveAbsolutely. It's a very powerful story, particularly the early start as well. So how does -- looking at how you work with -- with Aker Carbon Capture, how does that fit into the overall story?
Helene Mørne
attendeeYes. We started working with Aker Carbon Capture a few years ago after we did an initial benchmarking of technologies where Aker Carbon Capture came out on top there, aiming technology suited our production very well. And we are now currently actually doing a project. We're just finishing this demonstration project with Aker Carbon Capture now. They just started capturing CO2 the day before yesterday. So we're very excited about that to see how it goes. But when we are in full production in 2024, our ambition is to make use of Aker Carbon Capture's innovative business model, their Carbon Capture as a Service. And as we are now, we just signed an MOU in which we have decided to cooperate to find out how we can realize this goal. And in 2028, we will preferably have 4 Just Catch 100s, capturing 400,000 tonnes of CO2.
David Phillips
executiveThat's very exciting. So there's clearly a scalable opportunity, which is obviously good news. Excellent. Okay. Well, Helene, thank you so much for joining us today. I really appreciate your time, and thank you for coming here in person as well. Okay. And J.C., back to you. I want to talk about the market opportunity a bit. And when you think when you look at the full value chain, if you think about the industrial clusters and what you might need to join up to successful market growth what does that tell you about how the market might look in Europe?
Jon Knudsen
executiveWell, I think Helene's example here is an excellent one because I think we couldn't have done this if this wasn't a project where there was an infrastructure planned. And of course, and Helene's has the luxury here of actually being situated just outside the Northern Lights terminal, that's a very easy way towards the storage facilities. So when we looked at how we can actually implement this Carbon Capture as a Service model, we needed to select markets where infrastructure was becoming available. So naturally, Norway, Sweden, Denmark, basically Scandinavia was a natural target. And of course, where legislation is also coming together because it's fair to say that many countries are still have a way to go in order to be able to transport CO2 to export CO2 out of the country and to make sure that they can take advantage of some of the storage of opportunities that are there. But more importantly, I think we also look towards market that have the right market drivers. So if you've seen and you, of course, David, living in London and handing up our U.K. business as well, we've seen the excitement that is brought now that the cluster sequencing process is now getting towards the end, I would say. And before COP26, we will probably know who is going to be the winner in that and that creates a lot of driving momentum. And that comes back to these market drivers that needs to be there because I think we will never get started with this type of model if those drivers are not there. if the cement factories, which have been part of the ETS system for many years, if they don't feel that this has a cost, then those drivers are not there. And certainly, now over the last couple of weeks, I would say, with the spike in the ETS price, it's been quite a remarkable interest in the market.
David Phillips
executiveAbsolutely. So if we just take maybe a little bit more detail around this. We have some numbers in terms of looking at Northern Europe. What sort of opportunity do you see in terms of number of emitters and so on?
Jon Knudsen
executiveYes. So if you look at the next slide, I think based on these 13 project. Think about it, 13 transport and storage projects that are planned. And it really excites me, as you can see, because it is meaning that it's not just the Northern Lights anymore. It's the Ravenna in Italy, it's the U.K. clusters. We're seeing a lot of motion now in Netherlands. So out of these, of course, then many large emitters has gotten going. So we were been working for a long time with large-scale emitters and Norcem HeidelbergCement you saw in the beginning, of course, that's a long, long journey. But there is a much bigger potential. Just in Europe, there's more than 700 mid-range emitters that could benefit from this type of offering. It could be the local waste municipality-owned, waste incinerator. It could be a large cement factory that would like to get going and just start by capturing 100,000 tonnes. And the nice thing about it, it's also that there are synergies for the transport and storage provider. And that's one of the feedbacks when we work with all the relevant transport and source providers. It's that they can actually bring some of these values into their hubs and making sure that use absolutely full capacity of the these types of sites come into play.
David Phillips
executiveAbsolutely. Yes. And the -- we have this obviously well communicated ambition of signing contracts to cover 10 million tonnes of capture by 2025. How -- if you were to put a rough guide on this, how much of that could be from Carbon Capture as a Service?
Jon Knudsen
executiveWhat we're seeing now at the moment is that maybe as much as 10% to 20% of the [ 10% ] in '25 could actually be Carbon Capture as a Service because any of course, it will depend on that we keep up the momentum around the infrastructure that we unlock some of the countries. Just think about Switzerland, where there is maybe 30, 40 small waste incinerator but they're struggling still with the legislation side wanting to do more. So they need to do some of the national legwork in order to get there. And of course, we need to start making sure that the full value chain comes together. And it wouldn't please me more, David, if I could offer a Carbon Capture as a Service not only in Europe, but of course, a lot of interest now, of course, coming from North America.
David Phillips
executiveAbsolutely. Absolutely. Well, thank you for the commercial discussion. I know one thing we've also talked quite a bit about has been the storage angle. And we have a fantastic video to show you now, and Valborg on-site in Iceland, talking to Carbfix with a hard hat. So can we please look at the Iceland video now. [Presentation]
David Phillips
executiveHope you enjoyed that. So real Carbon Capture chemistry in action. So now we're moving into the financial section, which I know many of you on the webcast will be very interested to hear more of. So Egil, our CFO. Thank you for joining us. We want to talk a little bit about Carbon Capture as a delivery model. How do you -- with your financial CFO specs on, how do you see this?
Egil Fagerland
executiveYes. So to put this in perspective, we are starting with our end customer in focus with this business model. And on the left-hand side, you see our customer and we will work with our customer through a contract where we capture their CO2, and they pay per tonne captured. And for the customer, they will not need any upfront investment with this business model. They will -- we will offer a transparent pricing model and it will be predictable as well. And they will have a reduced need for in-house expertise for CCS, also for project management and for contract management across all these parts of the value chain, and we will handle that for the customer. On Aker Carbon Capture side, what we see is that we will be able to build a long-term revenue base through these service contracts. And we will -- with some of the pricing models that we will come back to in the next slide, potentially see a growing upside linked to increasing carbon prices. Also, for Carbon Capture, we will remain capital light. And that takes us into the last part of this slide, which is our financing partners. So what we're trying to do here is have the financing partners purchase the Just Catch 100 unit from us on an EPC turnkey delivery basis, and then we will lease it back from our financing partner. And the way we will do this, we are already, as we said in our second quarter presentation, working together with Aker Horizons. We're on a yield company that will be established together to finance the building of these units. But also through the last couple of months, we've really seen a strong interest from other investors willing or interested in financing these assets, and even specific project financing could be interesting. So our way of tackling this is finding the cheapest cost of capital available to finance these assets. So we are now in various dialogues to set up ways to finance these assets.
David Phillips
executiveAbsolutely. It's very clear. One, just taking a harder step back, the one variable we -- that I'm sure people want to take a view on, to try and understand is the carbon price. So the next slide outlines it a little bit. Can you talk a little bit about market expectations and how we see that outlook?
Egil Fagerland
executiveAnd of course, for us, we've been -- we follow the EU ETS or the EUA prices quite closely. And we also see that a lot of the industries follow this and start talking to us because the prices are increasing. On the left-hand part of the graph that's showing now, you see the actual prices and how they've moved, and you see the quite rapid spike in the price. And we even reached EUR 63 per tonne on EU ETS recently. And when we look at market analysts' expectations towards 2030, we see a range from EUR 75 to EUR 150 per tonne in their estimates. And for the IEA sustainable development scenario, we see they're saying at least EUR 110 per tonne to achieve our climate targets. So all that really drives a focus on how can we, in especially process industries, but really across all industries, remove CO2.
David Phillips
executiveCertainly. Yes.
Egil Fagerland
executiveAnd we also see that the latest update -- the climate policy update from the EU, Fit for 55, they really emphasize the focus on carbon pricing as a mechanism to drive down carbon. And finally, we, in dialogue with our customers, but also following various governments that we are national -- nations that we're looking into, local carbon taxes or contracts with difference is getting more and more interesting in this perspective.
David Phillips
executiveYes, absolutely. And certainly, the upwards momentum of the carbon price, there's no question that has accelerated the urgency we feel from -- sort of from our customer base. So how might this filter down? We talked a little about being flexible in terms of commercial models. How might this carbon price variable affect the way we look at customer models?
Egil Fagerland
executiveYes. So on the next slide here, what we will show you is that we're looking at various pricing scenarios when we discuss with our customers how we can deliver this model efficiently. And we have mainly talked about 3 models: one being a variable price model, one being a range price model and another one being a fixed price model. And these -- if you look at the chart on the left-hand side, that chart kind of represents where the carbon price has moved before. So on the variable price model, we will follow the carbon prices that are relevant for the client. And if the price goes up, we earn more; if it goes down, we earn less. However, normally for this type of service, we would have a base fee. On the range price, we would have a lower and upper limit, but we would still be somewhat exposed as -- to the carbon price. And finally, the most predictable of all would be a fixed-price model. So in these models, the customer would pay per tonne captured linked to either EU ETS or similar carbon price that we would have agreed. And in the variable price scenario, we would normally try to find a pre-agreed curve. So what does this mean for our revenues? I'm sure it's quite interesting to understand for especially the analysts. And what we see now is that the first phase of these projects will be building our carbon capture units. And if we do this together with the financing partner, it will be a normal EPC turnkey delivery during the first phase. So that's that light green part in the beginning where we will have these type of revenues. But as we start capturing CO2, we would then get revenues as we capture CO2. And that's the illustration you see. In the variable price scenario, we have a lower revenue in the beginning of the period where the carbon price is low. And our expectation, as the carbon prices now will increase, the revenues would increase as well. In the mid model where you have the range price, you would see that lower and upper boundary where you would have a hedge against very high prices, for example, as a customer. And finally, the fixed price model, you would have a very stable revenue for us and a very predictable price for our customer.
David Phillips
executiveAbsolutely. So we talked quite a lot about revenues and carbon pricing. But they also have the [ quorum ], which I'm sure will get good interest is the cost of carbon capture itself. So maybe on the next slide there, you could take us through some of your thoughts around that.
Egil Fagerland
executiveYes. I personally think this is quite a bold slide. It's -- we're now sharing with you the costs that we are seeing for this service from our side of the equation, for our CapEx, OpEx and transportation and storage part of the value chain. And these are also questions we get a lot from the analyst community. So we're now sharing with you a little bit about this. So what we're showing on this slide is levelized cost of carbon capture as a service. And by that, we mean that we take the cost base through the life of these contracts and we discount it to today's value. And what we are then looking at there on the left-hand side, where we say CapEx is a Just Catch factory or facility with the key equipment associated with it, including financing. And the price range we see there is between EUR 20 to EUR 40 per tonne. When we move into operations and the OpEx phase, we will have a solvent supply, we will have energy, we will have a digital operation center. There will be labor and maintenance to keep the plant running as it should. And that phase, we see EUR 25 to EUR 45 per tonne. And then finally, when you transport and store the CO2, we see a range between EUR 30 to EUR 60 per tonne. And this is probably where we have the highest uncertainty and the highest range of cost because it really depends how far away from the storage site the emission site is. So when we put all this together, we see for this service at the moment that we're now -- as we're looking into these contracts, the cost for the service will be between EUR 75 to EUR 145 per tonne. And we're mainly focusing on those opportunities that fall in the lower range of this or at least we are working very hard to realize that.
David Phillips
executiveAbsolutely. So across the value chain, very, very roughly a 1/3, 1/3, 1/3, but a little bit less perhaps in the CapEx, a bit more in the -- as you said, the more -- the higher uncertainty around the T&S segment. It's...
Egil Fagerland
executiveThat's right.
David Phillips
executiveAbsolutely. So how does this look in terms of financials? I mean what would we look like as this starts to come through?
Egil Fagerland
executiveYes. So as we model this, we have to make some assumptions and some analysis of how will the accounting of all this look like. And of course, as we get contracts through the door, we always have to assess each contract by contract to make a correct accounting judgment. However, when we look into this now, we see that the first phase will be a normal turnkey EPC. And normally, then we recognize revenue over time using the cost progress method, which most of the analyst community, at least, is used to looking at. And then for the units that we lease back from a financing partner, we would then be under the IFRS accounting guidance for lease accounting. And that basically means that we will have a lease liability on our balance sheet equaling the value of the future payments for that lease. On the opposite side, on our asset side, we would have a right-of-use asset to that facility. Net-on-net, it would be a net 0 impact on the balance sheet. However, for the P&L, this is accounted as a depreciation of the right-of-use asset and interest on the liability. However, these are accounting mechanisms on how it will look when you look through our balance sheet and P&L, but it will not require cash funding for Aker Carbon Capture to put this on our balance sheet. That's done through our financing partner. And finally, as we start the carbon capture as a service phase, we really see that the CO2 captured is the service that we deliver to our clients. And then we would recognize revenue as we capture the CO2, and we would then also recognize the associated costs accordingly.
David Phillips
executiveYes, absolutely. So certainly, discussing leases, it's always hard to avoid IFRS 16, but I think I'm sure most analysts in the last few years have had their IFRS 16 vaccinations as well. So they should be, hopefully, not too scared by it.
Egil Fagerland
executiveHopefully.
David Phillips
executiveYes, hopefully, indeed. Okay. And so I want to wrap up from you, Egil, around the concept and ambition around capture as a service?
Egil Fagerland
executiveYes. So I think to wrap this up, we'd like to use the same slide as we used in our second quarter presentation. The fundamentals of what we believe this business model will do for Aker Carbon Capture is still the same. So we are now introducing an offering we really believe will lower the barrier to start with carbon capture. We are building a foundation of long-term revenues for Aker Carbon Capture. And we are exposing or increasing our exposure to the overall CCS value chain. Finally, we're still providing technology. We're going to deliver EPC contracts and service contracts and maintain a capital-light business model.
David Phillips
executiveExcellent. Thank you. Okay, everyone. We're now at the last point of our formal program before we move to Q&A. And I'm delighted to be joined again by our CEO, Valborg. Valborg, over to you for some closing remarks.
Valborg Lundegaard
executiveThank you, David. First, this whole Capital Market Day has been built upon our core values. And this is the way we define who we are. We are devoted to doing the right thing, and we can use our unique technology to fight climate change. But also, we want to use this opportunity to show you what actions we are taking right now to position Aker Carbon Capture for the huge market ahead of us. Then we are devoted to working together. You have met some of our core team members, the management but also other parts of the organization, and we are all working together to meet our ambitions. And you met some of our partners. Some of them. There are several others, which also has been introduced. We are absolutely dependent on a close collaboration with our partners to meet our ambitions. And the third value, we are devoted to bold innovation. You've heard about technology innovation. But also maybe even more exciting to many of you, commercial innovation and our new commercial offering, carbon capture as a service, carbon capture made easy. So everything we've talked about today is how we, Aker Carbon Capture, can contribute to accelerate the CCS market. And we do so in order for us, our company to meet our ambition, or 10 into 25, but also for us to contribute to the world to meet net 0 in 2050.
David Phillips
executiveValborg, thanks a lot, a great sign-off. And of course, Egil and JC, thank you for the heavy lifting in Part 3, that was much appreciated. So now we go to a short break before we jump into our Q&A session. And the Q&A session, as you -- just as one last reminder, [Operator Instructions]. We'll also be joined by -- as well as by Jim Stian, and also by Erik Langholm, who is our Head of project. So we'll have the full senior management team on hand to take your Q&A. But we will rejoin you in a couple of minutes. Thank you.
David Phillips
executiveOkay. Welcome back. You're now joining us for the Q&A session at the end of our Capital Markets Day. I'm joined by our entire senior management team. Thank you, lady and gents, for joining us. So we will attempt to get through your questions. A lot online. It's great to see the interest. And there are, obviously, some we won't answer. I'm not sure you can guess which some of those might be. But we will try and get through them. And I think it's quite likely we won't get through all the questions, and we already spotted the number of interactions on the chat system went up a lot as soon as Egil started speaking. So we know where the questions are coming from. But I'll take these quite randomly, and I apologize this is entirely as it comes through. So and the ranges in your -- to our CFO, to the ranges in your cost guidance, your CapEx OpEx and so on, what is it that drives that range because some of them are quite wide. And I think you alluded a little bit to the greater uncertainty in the T&S stage, for instance. But what is it that drives the range for CapEx and OpEx in particular?
Egil Fagerland
executiveYes. So for -- in particular, for the CapEx, of course, the length of the contract period could impact. Also for the CapEx, the efficiency that we are able to build the plants will impact the cost. So as we deliver more plants, we foresee a lower cost of delivering these plants. And in the operational phase, as Jon Christopher was touching upon, some of our clients already have certain elements in place. So we are then able to bring the cost down for our service.
David Phillips
executiveOne other one here around the -- and I see a lot of discussion around carbon capture as a service as you might guess. And I think also this goes to Egil. I hope I'm not going to be asking Egil all the questions this afternoon. But the variable price model, how do you define the price risk we take?
Egil Fagerland
executiveYes. So we included in that slide that there will be in these models most likely a base fee. So we -- of course, we are talking to our clients about these models and discussing what is commercially right for both of us. And what we are occupied with is giving them a transparent and predictable price. I think for our case, being exposed to the whole kind of cost curve all the way up and all the way down, we would have a base fee there. So the risk would be limited somewhat.
David Phillips
executiveYes, absolutely. I will try and find some others that aren't about pricing here, I do promise. So we talked about the 3 scenarios, I wouldn't say they're not really models, but the scenarios of variables, the top and tail and then the fixed one. As we've been offering these to customers, is there a preference? Do we have a particular preference in terms of what we'd like to offer?
Egil Fagerland
executiveI think -- and from what we're hearing in the dialogue with customers and also seeing is that the variable one brings a lot of interest. It's quite exciting to start looking at that. But as you talk through these things, predictability is the real important thing here, if you're in the industry and delivering, for example, cement, what you would be occupied with is having a predictable cost base for that cement delivery over time. And if you're in the full variable scale then you're still exposed to the increasing prices. So what we've seen is that there is a preference to hedging some of the risk either through the range or through a fixed price.
David Phillips
executiveAbsolutely, that's clear. And I will move around now. Erik, Mr. Head of Projects, we have a question around Norcem. I think at the Q2 stage, we gave some comment around progress. But where are we up to now? And what can we say around progress with Norcem?
Erik Langholm
executiveWell, what we can say about the Norcem Brevik project is it is on schedule. We're doing engineering and procurement in this phase. And then next year, the first fabrication and installation activities starts for our equipment. Already Norcem, as you have seen in the video, are already doing demolition work and preparing the site for our installation summer next year.
David Phillips
executiveThank you. A broader one, really, talking about -- but this is one for Valborg, I think. Our ambition, the 10 by 25, famous 10 by 25. This clearly requires a number of projects. But when -- what's our sense as to when the news flow and the progress to get towards that will -- how will that develop over the next few years?
Valborg Lundegaard
executiveWell, we've seen a number of very large projects being linked to all these storage projects being planned. Like in Europe, there are 13 storage projects under development or in planning phase. So many of these will come along with the storage project. Just like our Brevik CCS is linked to Northern Lights in 2024. However, with carbon capture as a service, we introduced an offering to the medium-sized market, which can really tap into this. And there is -- that's the area where we really want to accelerate because these mega projects takes time to mature. So we think things can go faster, but still storage is provided.
David Phillips
executiveThat's clear. Thank you. A question about supply chains now. I think it's maybe one, both for JC as well as for Erik here. And talking about, as you accelerate our ambition with Just Catch and Big Catch. What can we say about the supply chain? Are there bottlenecks that we see in the next couple of years that we need to sort of take action on now and get some frame agreement signed? Or is it a -- is it relatively...
Jon Knudsen
executiveWell, I think for the Just Catch models, we are talking about mass production, it's really important to get going because what we've seen is, of course, that many of the vendors that are out there and the suppliers that are out there have been waiting for many years to actually get into the execution phase. So I think as we see them -- a steady stream of projects coming, I think that's where we also see those improvements that we're aiming for. And I guess that's similar to what you see, Erik, on the Brevik CCS projects.
Erik Langholm
executiveWell, on Brevik CCS, we have a long dialogue with our suppliers, and the sourcing is going excellently. The partnership and development is on schedule. So we're very happy with the performance of our suppliers there and we don't see any signs of bottleneck. But of course, we need to prepare for a future where the activity increases dramatically, and we're looking into frame agreement with critical vendors at an early stage so that we can achieve a more efficient partnership.
David Phillips
executiveAbsolutely. Rather a broader one, maybe one for Jim Stian here. And our competitive environment, who do we see as our real competition?
Jon Knudsen
executiveWell, I think you see in the carbon capture market as this -- the interest for carbon capture is increasing. We see a number of companies popping up these days. But when we look at the larger project and development of larger project, we typically meet the 3 or 4 companies that are sort of addressing the same market as we are. And typically, we see MHI there. Fluor is a typical company that we see and also Shell is present in the market that we operate in. And -- so those are the ones we see most and I think that we need to pay most attention to in the near term future.
David Phillips
executiveOkay. Thank you. And one for Valborg. I guess some of you who maybe follow some of our employees on LinkedIn would have noticed that we have been hiring. And we have the classic growth challenges of any company that's growing is get enough of the right people. So the question here is really what are we doing to address the challenge of getting people with the right skills?
Valborg Lundegaard
executiveWell, it hasn't been challenging at all. I would say that we've been approached by brilliant people, actually from all over the world. And it's been really a pleasant experience to recruit them. And we have tripled the number of employees since we started. But of course, we have to work with partners. We cannot build a huge organization. We prefer the flexibility and work with complementary partners.
David Phillips
executiveOkay. Thank you. It's very clear. I think we are predictably back to the CFO seat for the next few questions. I thought I'll spin it around a little bit. So the cost in your famous -- as you predicted in its creation, the slide that will get the most attention, the slide with the breakdown of CapEx, OpEx and T&S and so on. How do those ranges compare with our ambition to reduce cost by up to 50%? How does that -- how do those 2 stories fit together?
Egil Fagerland
executiveYes. I think in Jim Stian's segment on technology, we are targeting up to 50% cost reduction on our Big Catch deliverable. However, our Just Catch was also mentioned in that segment, and we started with technology center amongst -- and reduced the cost by over 90% until today's version. And we're still going to cut cost on that version. A lot of that cost cutting is through the standardization that we are just about to finish actually and then through production of more than one unit at a time. So we are really seeing those effects. I don't expect the cost reduction for that particular unit to be as large as 50%. But there will be cost reduction on that as well.
David Phillips
executiveOkay. There's a very tricky [indiscernible] question here around the availability of steam and heat. I'm thinking in the overall cost equation, and this is, I guess, one that a number of us may have an input into taking a particular site that may or may not have available heat and steam. How important is this in the overall cost equation?
Egil Fagerland
executiveI think for operational phase, of course, that is important, but it's on the slide as well. We've broken down the cost quite a bit, and I'm not intending to go into the details of each of those buckets right now, but that is an important element.
David Phillips
executiveYes, absolutely. I think, as you said, not going to go any further, but the fact that's listed there doesn't tell you that it's obviously a major part, significant part, yes.
Egil Fagerland
executiveYes. Because there are other. We have 3 or 4 bullets on that. There are others.
David Phillips
executiveYes, Erik?
Erik Langholm
executiveAnd we might say that, that's one of the advantages of the Brevik CCS project is that we're using waste heat from the flue gas already available at the plant, reducing the amount of additional heat required. And that's sort of one of the biggest steps towards an efficient CCS in cement industry is how we harvest that energy.
David Phillips
executiveAbsolutely.
Erik Langholm
executiveWe're very proud of.
David Phillips
executiveYes. Thank you. Jim Stian, anything around that from your side you want to add?
Jim Olsen
executiveNo, I think what we're looking at in the carbon capture as a services is we want to build in some sort of flexibility. So it's not all sites do have a waste heat available. So we have to make sure that we're able to actually capture CO2 in those cases as well. That's what we're doing with this new offering that we are putting in place.
David Phillips
executiveAbsolutely. Another one on the ambition of reducing CapEx by 50% -- up to 50%. And the -- we talk -- we gave a nice example of the 90% reduction since 2012, I think it was. And what basis do we take that 50%? Is that from today? What is the -- maybe Erik?
Erik Langholm
executiveThe 50% of the Big Catch cost is what we're trying to reduce by looking at, for instance, a reference project like Brevik last year, which has a lot of challenges. And the ground condition and the complexity of installment there is special. And I do believe if we can achieve progress on standardization and modularization to a higher extent in the future that would benefit both clients and ourselves.
David Phillips
executiveFair enough. Very good. And a short one about amines. Maybe my chemical background, I'll definitely pass this one on. It's more a supply. As the industry scales up, do we see -- and I guess this links into the supply chain topic we have before. Do we see a potential bottleneck around amine supply? No, we have a very specialized chemical that goes into our mix. So it's not just anything off the shelf. It's one that we have obviously developed along with partners. But maybe Jim Stian, is it -- when you look at the amine supply picture, is this something that on the 3- to 5-year view, you have some concerns over?
Jim Olsen
executiveNo. We get our amines from robust suppliers in the market that deliver on the international market. So I don't really see that as a huge challenge for us to get enough amines.
David Phillips
executiveYes. Fair enough. Okay. CFO time again. On the -- so thinking about the financing model around carbon capture as a service. The EPC payment, you talked about -- you gave the -- certainly on your graph, you gave the split in terms of the initial EPC revenues and then the capture as a service revenue coming in. The EPC side of it, I know certainly from my previous lives, it's not easy to forecast working capital. But what can you say around how the cash flow picture might change during that EPC phase?
Egil Fagerland
executiveYes. We all know that the working capital is hard to forecast. What we can say is that for our EPC business model, we are really looking for neutral cash flow. And by that, we are always targeting to get money in before we pay our sub-suppliers. So when you look at that, our working capital requirement to deliver these EPCs shouldn't be very high. But of course, as you produce more of them and must produce some of these items, there might be some working capital requirement. But I think it's a little bit too early to say if that picture will really change because we are now still targeting neutral cash flow on all our EPC deliveries.
David Phillips
executiveYes. Okay. Thank you. And a very broad question around the T&S, the transmission -- or transport and storage segment. Why -- well, 2 really. 2 related ones. Why is the cost so high versus the CapEx, for instance, on your nice chart? And secondly, what can be done to reduce that? So whoever can jump in on that one, maybe JC?
Jon Knudsen
executiveYes, I think there are several reasons here. First of all, we should remember that the transport, for instance, by ship today is quite minimal. So there is quite a bit of innovation that is needed both in the transportation piece and the way it's actually liquefied and in what state it is actually brought to the storage site itself. So that's certainly one aspect of it. The second piece is, of course, that offshore operations lines that need to be either refurbished or put into place, it can be costly. So we do see that the offshore storage, even if that provides a lot of opportunities for the future and, especially on the scalability side, the ability to both use existing infrastructure as well as the existing knowledge at this in various types of industries in Europe will be extremely important. And then, of course, the third factor, I think we've really seen proven here today. It's about what type of methods do we actually store with. And of course, the example here provided with Carbfix could be game changers and there might be others.
David Phillips
executiveAbsolutely. Jim Stian, any views on the...
Jim Olsen
executiveNo. I think what he mentioned there about Carbfix is very interesting. They have a very modular technology that allows us to scale up in a different way than with the more conventional storage technology. So that makes it extremely interesting in the short and medium term.
David Phillips
executiveAbsolutely. A broad one for Valborg. When you -- let's fast forward 5, 10 years, what does success look like?
Valborg Lundegaard
executiveYes. Well, we are already established in Denmark and U.K. We certainly will be established in many other countries by then. We have an international operation. We have met our first target of 10 in 25, and we are targeting for exponential growth, I would say, towards the next decade. And we keep on investing in new technology. And we will not be disrupted technology-wise by others. We will disrupt our own technology and bring something completely new to the market.
David Phillips
executiveAbsolutely. Thank you. There's one question, which is -- which has come up a few times, is I think that we do, but I think it's maybe hinting to -- JC, in your comment, you talked about North America. And we have a few questions talking about CCS, but when it's used for EOR for enhanced oil recovery. Maybe Valborg, maybe one for you. What is that or even JC...
Valborg Lundegaard
executiveYes. Okay. Yes.
David Phillips
executiveWhat's our sense in terms of -- is that a market that we would consider?
Jon Knudsen
executiveWell, we've seen a rapid change in that market, I would say. And of course, this is primarily something that we've been seeing in North America and the Perms and where we've had shale operations for a while. They have been extensively using the available CO2 there. I would say that there has been a shift in this because we're now seeing large carbon capture sites that are having trouble to actually keep going because there is really no EOR market anymore. So we're seeing very swift changes. We're seeing plants, for instance, now in Canada where they might -- we might see what was used to be then EOR pipelines and EOR shift over to permanent storage. So I would say, it's a very feelable shift in the North American market. It never really hit the mark in the European market, especially since EOR using CO2 offshore is a very large operation and something that has not been used to a degree. So I would say that maybe the EOR [ times ] are coming towards. And even if we would probably see CO2 being used in a number of applications going forward in the future.
David Phillips
executiveYes. Thank you. And Valborg, you'd like to add to that discussion as well?
Valborg Lundegaard
executiveNo. No, I agree. And that is really, if you look at the segments that we have prioritized, we see cement as extremely important. It's in a hard-to-evade sector. So we're only -- carbon capture storage is the solution because it -- the CO2 comes from the cement production itself. We see great potential in bio and waste-to-energy, bioenergy with carbon capture with a possibility for negative emissions. We see blue hydrogen and we see gas to power plants. So the market is so big in these 4 segments that we are prioritizing. It's certainly sufficient for us to meet our 10 in 25.
David Phillips
executiveAbsolutely. Thank you, that's very clear. So a few questions around the lease structure with our -- with the potential partners. Clearly, landing in Egil's seat, I think. I guess the question is, I'm trying to mix a few questions together here that have a common theme. Are we just looking for a financial link? Or are we also looking for some level of risk transfer that could perhaps, let's say, pass on some price risk or pass on some operational risk from the facility itself?
Egil Fagerland
executiveYes. That's a good question, actually. So for some of these contracts, some of the clients, they would prefer to pay the facility themselves or finance it themselves, and we do the rest of the service. Having a financing partner to work with, for example, what we're trying to do together with Aker Horizons, will help us accelerate this business model. And when it comes to the risk transfer, it's, to me, quite clear that when you set a -- create a setup like this, there will be some movement in the risks. However, on the first couple of units that we are delivering, we foresee now to work very closely with our financing partner to deliver these. And I think for each case that we are now setting up in the beginning, we will have to define what that risk really is. But for Aker Carbon Capture, we're always trying to minimize the risk that we have or are left with in such a setup, of course, it should be fair.
David Phillips
executiveAbsolutely. And one, it's not particularly our -- it's really talking to one of our cousins, but he's asking about how we might look to structure the -- or if we would have any involvement in the yieldco as it might appear?
Egil Fagerland
executiveYes. So we are working together with Aker Horizons in this setup. And what we've said before and what we are looking into is, especially for the first couple of units, with a large -- larger risk than maybe ones we've kind of got running with this business model, we are looking into setting this up together for those first units.
David Phillips
executiveOkay. One in the R&D camp here, Jim Stian, thinking about solvents. Obviously, we can't -- we won't be comparing exact examples. But how does the S26, our blend, how does that stand out versus what's currently available elsewhere?
Jim Olsen
executiveI think, first and foremost, it is the unique environmental friendliness of our solvent. It is -- when we've done our campaigns with our mobile testing unit, and we've been testing them for emissions to air of harmful substances and they're at a level that we're not able to detect them with the measurement equipment that we're using. And this is really what is good about our solvent. This makes it safe for the local environment and it makes it a good option even in urban areas. So this is definitely, I would say, the most important element.
David Phillips
executiveErik?
Erik Langholm
executiveBut Jim Stian's choice of solvent also adds on value savings for me in execution phase because having a stable amine also reduces the corrosive activity so that we can choose simpler materials and we do less reclaiming, using less energy. So it's an efficient and a good circle around the selection of amine, which we're doing.
David Phillips
executiveOkay. And we are running out of questions actually. We -- I have managed to bunch quite a few together. We have a few whether we want to comment on some of those projects. I think the answer is probably no. A few pointing out my microphone issues early on. Thank you. We got through that, ready for next year. I think we've heard a lot of the comments around CapEx and those cost splits and the uncertainty around it and the -- and how the cost and CapEx shape our ambition will bring that down over the next few years. I'm just seeing if there's anything else.
Jon Knudsen
executiveMay I just add that I think we're just looking through -- of course, there was a lot of investment -- investor interest in those that are online today. But we also saw quite a few of our partners. And I would like to take the opportunity to talk about our event next week, which is the actual official launch of the carbon capture as a service, which is now Tuesday next week. And I think we will see a very nice gentleman from the U.K. also heading up that. So it's certainly something...
David Phillips
executiveHopefully the one with better microphone technique.
Jon Knudsen
executiveWe'll see about that.
David Phillips
executiveExcellent. Okay. Very good promotion. So Tuesday next week, yes. How about -- if you look at Aker Carbon Capture on LinkedIn, that's probably the easiest and quickest way to find out the invites, isn't it?. Yes. Wonderful. Okay. Again, back to the yield curve and our CFO, do feel free not to answer the part of this that's maybe doesn't refer to our own strategy. But again, just seeing how will our link-up with them work? Will there be -- it's just going to be a lease payment. There's no -- there won't be a direct link to, let's say, the per tonne dollar or euro revenue from the capture. In terms of the risk, there won't be a dividend, any type of dividend payment? And how does that -- what can you say around that without stepping too much over the edge.
Egil Fagerland
executiveSo no, I'll answer the part that relates to Aker Carbon Capture. And what we foresee and of course, it's in the name as well, a yield company. We foresee that, that relation will be a stable lease payment. So in that situation, not directly linked to the price of carbon.
David Phillips
executiveYes, fair enough. Thank you. And Jim Stian, more solvent questions. This is a bit of a solvent fan club building up here, I think. And questions around -- obviously, there are competitors out there who are putting money to work in R&D. There's enzyme-enabled carbon capture. There are other, let's say, lower energy requirement type solvent mix that have been looked at by some of our major competition. Do you have a sense as to the -- I know in your section, we talked about the technology strategy. How much of that is actively looking into improved amine routes to carbon capture as well as all the other routes we're looking at?
Jim Olsen
executiveWe're definitely going to spend time looking for future solutions of the solvent-based post-combustion capture as well. And we have already a strong relationship with SINTEF, but we're also talking to other scientific organizations, and we want to start to look into really novel ways of doing solvent design in the future, looking into artificial intelligence and these type of topics. So that we can really accelerate the way that we develop our solvent. Remember that we -- the solvent program was 8 years and we looked at 90 solvents. And of course, if we're going to really make a change. We have to work even faster than that in the future. So we have to look at new methods for this. So this is definitely something that we'll have focus on in the months and years to come.
David Phillips
executiveIt's actually that's a little bit of an analog to -- I think it was 1990s when combinatorial chemistry came into its own in terms of drug development. And that acceleration of looking at a range of different potential -- in this case, and that case obviously, drugs or drug parts, but for us looking at different solvent combinations. And some type of machine learning to really look for trends and to increasingly -- speed the throughput could be really, really important. Okay. And the other thing I would say about the solvent side is that there's -- as we discussed in your section, this is not new. So there's a lot of work that's been done on amine type solvents for carbon capture for some years, decades. And so there will be a lot of stuff on the shelf. But as we talked about in your section, going from a science project. And a larger science lab to a small pilot plant to a real pilot plant to modularizing to commerciality, does not happen overnight. So this is one of our -- I would say, one of absolutely -- one of our key USPs.
Jon Knudsen
executiveI think many of our customers are coming to us and say, if you were a stand-alone organization, new start-up with a relatively new technology, we wouldn't be putting our trust into you. But as we see, you have been in the business for nearly 200 years the Aker Group, you've been really driving the innovation in this space and been, I would say, a bit stubborn in terms of actually getting this technology to the forefront. So I would say that we're bringing together both history, ability to deliver and to really position where we can have customers that trust that we will deliver on time and on schedule and on the cost targets that we have set forward.
David Phillips
executiveAbsolutely. Thank you, JC. And we're 1 minute -- or just below 2 minutes left in our Q&A session. There's still a few coming in, but I think we'll start to think about wrapping up. It's a very broad question around policy. And I'm pretty sure that we thought we were not going to talk about policy because it's nothing that we can control. We certainly work around it and we react to it. But in very broad terms, and I think policy as a topic has appeared on many of our slides actually. In very broad terms, are there particular areas that we think we -- the industry, let's say, not Aker Carbon Capture, the industry, needs to see some acceleration in? Or is it all really coming?
Valborg Lundegaard
executiveWell, I can start with Norway. And I think everyone in Norway is extremely proud of the Longship development with the full value chain carbon capture; Norcem HeidelbergCement's project, which we are delivering carbon capture for in Brevik; and Northern Lights with transportation and storage solution. But we cannot stop there. Now we have the infrastructure in place or it's being developed, but there is so much more to capture of CO2. And we need that commitment not only from the industry but also from politicians and to drive -- really to accelerate and capture all the CO2 on waste-to-energy plants around Norway and process industry and so on. And I think so far, what we have seen all over Europe is really the focus on these very large storage project and 1 or 2 big emitters lead to that. But that is where carbon capture as a service come in. Targeting the medium-sized emitters and tapping into this. And this is where we need the support from everyone, all stakeholders.
David Phillips
executiveAbsolutely. Thank you.
Jon Knudsen
executiveAnd I think one of the things that is good about this industry is that we're actually able to learn. So if we look towards how we have approached this or the UK government has approached this, we're looking towards maybe contracts for difference and that type of incentive mechanisms. We see -- some countries, really focusing in on negative emissions like we see in Sweden. And we see, for instance, in North America, where there's been this 45Q, which actually provides tax credits. What we need now is to look at these types of incentive mechanism and apply them into the industries so that they can get going with the projects because we still feel even when we have carbon capture as a service and with the barriers that we have taken away, there's still somewhat reluctance to take that bold stand and take that first of a kind project on and get going with it. And now we have the infrastructure. We have the possibilities. The technology is well proven, so we should get going.
David Phillips
executiveAbsolutely. Okay, everyone. We are up to time. Thank you for all the hundreds of questions on here. And there are quite a few that are quite similar. So either you are having the very similar thought or you're just copying the person right ahead of you. But it's -- I think it's been really good discussion and really thank you for the input. So that's really it from my side. Just as a quick wrap up. I thank my colleagues for their time today, our senior management team. And hopefully, as a first outing, I hope you'll come back for more. We also thank our partners, industrial partners and customers. It was great to have you join us for interviews, videos. It was a very exciting and very different part. Hopefully, you'll agree, of our message. And of course, thank you for everyone for joining from the financial world and elsewhere. As I said at the beginning, for a company that's only 1-year-old in the stock market -- or a little bit over 1-year-old, we are far from a screaming toddler. And we really, really appreciate your interest and all the information you want to get out of us in terms of this exciting growth industry. So keep in contact. Please join us next week for the carbon capture as a service launch event. And yes, we look forward to your interest in the future. Thank you.
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