Alkermes plc (ALKS) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

February 26, 2020

NASDAQ US Health Care Biotechnology conference_presentation 26 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Marc Goodman

analyst
#1

Good morning, everybody. Day 2 of our conference. Thank you very much for joining us again. I'm Marc Goodman, one of the biopharma analysts. And this morning, we're going to kick it up with Alkermes. So we have Blair Jackson, who leads corporate planning, and has been in various roles with the company since 1999, I looked up, wow. Holy cow.

Blair Jackson

executive
#2

Been a while, yes.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#3

And Iain Brown, SVP of Finance and Chief Accounting Officer, who's been with the company since 2003, which is actually a pretty long time as well. So 2 people who've seen a lot of change at this company, certainly. So maybe, Iain, do you want to start and just kind of kick us off with how we're thinking about -- let's talk about some of the products. Let's start with VIVITROL.

Iain Brown

executive
#4

Sure.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#5

And how are we thinking about growth this year? What are kind of the key drivers? What are kind of the key push and pulls that you're thinking about that we want to be aware of?

Iain Brown

executive
#6

Well, thanks, Marc. Good morning, everybody. Thanks for coming to hear about Alkermes today. During the course of the next few minutes, we will be making forward-looking statements. It's an inherently risky business that we operate in, so we always ask people to look at our SEC filings. We spend a lot of time putting together risk factors, et cetera. So anybody thinking about making an investment decision, we ask them to look at those SEC filings. So VIVITROL is one of 2 proprietary products that we have out on the market in the U.S. It's for alcohol use disorder and for the prevention of relapse to opioid dependence following opioid detoxification. It's been on market for a while. We had just over $335 million worth of net sales last year. So it's been growing very steadily, and we anticipate that growth continuing with the backdrop of the sort of raging opioid epidemic that we have in the country. It's very much dependent upon funding, both at the federal level and the state level. And it's a very complex sort of treatment setting that we have to operate in, so not just your traditional sales reps turning up at a doctor talking about the benefits of the product. I mean we have to have a very sophisticated infrastructure that starts at the federal level, at the state level. We have people working with governors, state legislatures, trying to pull funding down and then have that funding from the state level go down into the treatment centers. So we feel like we've built a strong organization in order to facilitate the sales of the product. And continued growth. In the past, we've had the top 5 states for the country representing about 50% of growth [ or ] 50% of the net sales of the product. What we're seeing now is some of the growth is now starting in some of the smaller states. So what we're really focusing on is continued awareness of the disease awareness of the product. And we have about 19 states which grew over 25% year-on-year. So we have the 5 big states, which still remain the largest portion of the sales, but we are seeing growth in those smaller states starting to happen. So as I say, it's a sophisticated market, and we're very much focused on trying to pull down the funding for VIVITROL, which is only 1 of 3 medication-assisted treatments approved by the FDA. You have methadone, you have SUBOXONE, which are sort of agonist treatments. VIVITROL is a once-a-month injectable antagonist. So it's very much focused on those people, those patients, who want the best chance to live an opioid-free life. We tend to find that there's a role to play for each of the 3 medication-assisted treatments. I think, certainly, methadone and SUBOXONE stabilize a patient once they come in for a treatment. And then when that patient makes that determination that they want to live an opioid-free life, then they send -- they get onto a sort of detoxification plan, and then they can get on to VIVITROL after that.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#7

So when you're dependent on the government, that's always an issue in and of itself, right? I mean those bottlenecks with respect to moving money around from federal to state to local to -- what does the company do to help that out? I mean is there anything that you can do to kind of step in and help the bottlenecks?

Iain Brown

executive
#8

Yes. So we have -- as I say, we have a federal policy team that works at the federal level to try and appropriate funds. We have people at the state level who are working with the governors and various people within various states in order to help them understand the funding that's available. We have the TBMs, our sales reps, who are calling on the doctors, the community mental health care centers, et cetera. And we also have field reimbursement specialists who work with those guys to try and help the prescribing process flow as easily as possible. So it's -- like I say, it's a sophisticated infrastructure that we've built in order to try and facilitate getting treatment to patients in what is a very complicated treatment environment.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#9

And on the last conference call, it's interesting, because I think we've all thought about this as government-driven, government-driven, but you talked about the commercial opportunity a little bit. Really, I think it was kind of a wake-up call for us. I was, "Oh, okay. Wait." What's going on the commercial side? And there's an alcohol indication? And maybe you can talk a little bit about that and the initiatives because it sounds like that's a new initiative this year, a little more than in the past.

Iain Brown

executive
#10

Certainly, I think VIVITROL was launched back in 2006 with the alcohol use indication. And then we got the opioid indication back in 2010 time frame. So we initially focused on the alcohol market, which is actually a bigger market. But certainly, with the raging opioid epidemic, that became more to the forefront. And I think in the past, we were able to track a certain amount of VIVITROL usage through what we call our hub internally. And the split between the 2 was sort of 70% opioid use, 30% alcohol use. We've seen that changing gradually. So I think it's closer now to 60% opioid, 40% alcohol. But in some states, it's much more 50-50. And actually in California, I think it's slightly more tilted towards the alcohol use disorder side of things. So that's a big focus for us in 2020, is getting VIVITROL sort of out there for the alcohol use indication, which tends to be a little bit more commercial pay than the opioid side of things. And VIVITROL is about 50% Medicaid. So we have to navigate those sort of big state payment systems. But certainly, for 2020, we want to make sure that we can maximize both those opportunities, both in the alcohol indication and the opioid indication.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#11

And talk a little bit about the other product that's -- ARISTADA. What are kind of the push-pulls this year that we need to be worried about? Are there access changes? Things like that, that are important we know.

Iain Brown

executive
#12

Yes. So ARISTADA's a long-acting injectable for schizophrenia. It launched in 2015. And I would say, since then, we've really been building out the product family. We now have 4 doses that cover 3 different durations: Once a month, once every 6 weeks, once every 2 months. And then recently, we launched ARISTADA INITIO, which gives us the opportunity -- it's only -- the only long-acting injectable in the market now, where on day 1, you can initiate a patient onto treatment. So with a 30-milligram tablet of aripiprazole, one injection of INITIO, you can then give somebody an injection of any of the dose strengths. And I think for us, the clear message is that to be able to initiate somebody on ARISTADA and give them the 1,064 dose, which covers 2 months, is hugely powerful. So you can get somebody in the treatment setting, and then you give them INITIO, you give them for 2-month, and then they can go out into the community and sort of find their next continuation of therapy. So we've rounded out the product family. And then during the course of last year, we ran what we call the ALPINE study -- or we had the results of the ALPINE study, which showed how ARISTADA compares against the market leader, INVEGA SUSTENNA. And the results were very favorable. So we're now able to leverage sort of incremental data to show the benefits of ARISTADA.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#13

That's helped you with the payers?

Iain Brown

executive
#14

I think the payers, we've actually got very good access. I know there are some thoughts out there that ARISTADA wasn't being as covered as well as some of the other products in the marketplace, but we feel like we're parity access with pretty much all the other products out there. So as we go into 2020, I think we have the full product family. We have good access. We have the ALPINE data. We had a win with the VA, so we're on parity access with the VA as from last year. So all the pieces are in place, and now it's all about commercial execution. And I'd say that's both for ARISTADA and for VIVITROL now. So one of the 3 key focuses for us in 2020 is really commercial execution on the proprietary products.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#15

And so while that's going on, obviously, there's a lot of preparation and excitement around having a third product to launch for the company. Maybe you can talk about what's happening right now, what's the plans as the year progresses for 3831? And then maybe talk about, as we launch that product, your thoughts about just the strategy, the marketing hook, what should we expect? Because obviously, there's a lot of antipsychotics out there.

Iain Brown

executive
#16

Sure. Do you want to?

Blair Jackson

executive
#17

Sure. So ALKS 3831 is actually a really exciting program for us because it really expands our footprint within the psychiatric community. So if you think of ARISTADA, where we have long-acting injectables, it's a more narrow target audience. With 3831, we have an opportunity both in broader schizophrenia offices as well as in bipolar disorder. And so with their PDUFA coming up in the fourth quarter of this year, we're really in the commercial preparation mode. So what that means really is that we're really out there talking to payers about how they would work with a new branded product, how they see the disease space. We're also out there in the community, really just talking about the benefits of enhanced efficacy within schizophrenia. I think one of the real interesting things about this market over the last decade is that there was really sort of a shift away from efficacy. There was sort of a drive in many, many products to go for things that were more tolerable. And most...

Marc Goodman

analyst
#18

And why was that?

Blair Jackson

executive
#19

Well, it was more a function of the medicines that were being developed. So as the medicines came out, they had improved tolerability over some of the stronger, the olanzapines and the clozapines. And so physicians wanted to get into a broader patient audience. And in the process of doing that, efficacy's kind of been -- has fallen back. And what we see with ALKS 3831 is that we have an opportunity really now to really enhance that for physicians, provide them with a tool where a patient or a physician doesn't have to have a trade-off. So instead of -- we go out now. We're talking to lots of key opinion leaders. And we've heard from a few of them that when they have a group of patients in the room, in their waiting room, they can very readily pick out an olanzapine patient because the amount of weight they've gained while they've been on therapy. And that's a horrible trade-off for a patient to make, or a physician to have to make. So with 3831, we think that we can mitigate that. We can give that efficacy back to those patients. And so part of what we're doing this year is really talking to physicians about that, whether or not they resonate with that. I'm talking to payers about how we position the product. And then as we get towards the later half of the year, we'll start to prepare a commercial force and bring in a slight expansion of our commercial team so that we can get to that wider audience in bipolar and schizophrenia

Marc Goodman

analyst
#20

And just so we understand the product and what you're talking about as far as weight gain. So give us a sense of a patient starts on olanzapine. 2 years later, how much weight have they gained? A patient starts on your product, where are they? So we have an understanding of the difference here.

Blair Jackson

executive
#21

Yes. So when you look at olanzapine, there's been a number of studies. And one of the largest ones was the CATIE study. And what you tend to see with patients on olanzapine is that they gain -- they can gain 10%, 20%, 30% of their body weight over a course of therapy, and it continues constantly. So it's from the first dose that they have, they start gaining weight. And as long as they stay on therapy, that continues unabated. What we were able to show in our ENLIGHTEN program is that when you are on ALKS 3831, once the patient stabilizes, there's a slight weight gain over a few-week period and then it's literally flat. We don't see any further weight gain on them. And we've continued that in some of our long-term studies...

Marc Goodman

analyst
#22

So how long have we got? How long?

Blair Jackson

executive
#23

So over a year. And so we've been able to show in a controlled study over a year, you still maintain that weight mitigation. And what's also interesting is if you take patients who were on olanzapine previously, and they've gained weight, we can arrest that weight gain at that point. So it really shows that ALKS 3831 is really doing something different within that patient population. And it just takes that concern away from the physician that they have to deal with this, and more importantly, that they have to switch the patient.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#24

So you mentioned payers. And that's kind of the key thing, because it's interesting, when you call physicians and you say, "Hey, here's this product, here's what the profile is." They're like, "Ooh, I love that. Who wouldn't want an olanzapine that didn't have a weight problem?" But I'm sure the payers are going to push back a little bit. So how is that going? And how do you anticipate this product being used out there? Like, second line? Third? What do we have to do to get there?

Blair Jackson

executive
#25

No, absolutely. I mean this is a pretty mature area of treatment. And so there's established plans that payers have. Always, you will -- the patient -- a new patient will step through an oral generic therapy...

Marc Goodman

analyst
#26

So it will be 1 or 2, do you think?

Blair Jackson

executive
#27

It can be 1, 2, 3. I mean they tend to cycle through their medications. And then after that, then the patient can then start on a branded medication. And we really think that ALKS 3831 would be that one, especially for patients who need efficacy...

Marc Goodman

analyst
#28

You're not fighting to change the paradigm, you're just fighting to go after the other brands at that point, second line or third line or wherever it is.

Blair Jackson

executive
#29

Yes, that's exactly it. That's exactly it. And I think the one thing to keep in mind is when you think of a payer situation, the most expensive thing for payer in this space is when these patients relapse. These patients relapse, they're rehospitalized. They have accidents. It's really a horrific pattern that happens. And to be able to mitigate that and to keep that at bay is much less expensive, even on a branded medication, than if they go down that path.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#30

I want to switch gears to 4230 for a second. And it's kind of interesting. Alkermes has been a lot of different types of companies over the years. You've really morphed. But you've been a CNS kind of company for a while. And all of a sudden, now we have this emerging oncology business behind it. So I guess, when do -- when do the oncology experts out there in the investment community say, "Aha"? When do the oncology doctors at ASCO, say, "Aha," they got something?

Blair Jackson

executive
#31

Well, I think that we're getting into that window. And so I think up until now, what we've been really doing with ALKS 4230 has been really looking at our -- trying to get our clinical dose set and moving that forward. Not really looking for tumor response at that time, but making sure we have a safe product. We've lit off a number of programs with ALKS 4230. One is the ARTISTRY-1 program, where we're looking at the IV formulation in monotherapy and combination therapy. And the second is our ARTISTRY-2 program, where we're looking out our subcutaneous formulation, again, in monotherapy and then into combination therapy. And 2020 is a year where a lot of that data is starting to pull through. So we're already seeing responses in a number of different tumor types. We're already starting to flesh out a number of different combination paradigms. We are already fleshing out on the subcu side our dosage interval of either 1-week or 3-week dosage interval. So I think as we move through some of the medical meetings this year, physicians will start to get a sense of what this molecule can do. I think we've already given hints of that in some of our data. We started a little bit of a disclosure at the ESMO meeting last fall. And you'll start to see more disclosures as we move through the course of the year. One thing we did say on our last earnings call, though, in our ARTISTRY-2 subcu program, is we are seeing -- very early on in our treatment cycle, we're seeing a large majority of the patients having stable disease, I think 9 of 11 in the study so far have stable disease, in the first dose. And the majority of -- are maintaining that in the second dose. More importantly, we're seeing a better tolerability profile within the subcu ARTISTRY-2 program and still a very robust expansion of the effector cells. So these are the CD8 positive T-cells and then...

Marc Goodman

analyst
#32

And you're saying subcu versus the other formulation...

Blair Jackson

executive
#33

That's right. And we envision the subcu being the commercial embodiment of the product. The IV form was so we could start to get some experience with the molecule and show biological activity.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#34

So just give us a sense of this is the data that you'll probably see at ASCO, or this is the data that you'll see later this year. Watch for this. This is what we're...

Blair Jackson

executive
#35

Yes, so we will start -- you will start to see us disclosing more of responses in various tumor types, especially in the combinations with PD-1s. So both approved or unapproved -- PD-1 approved tumor types as well as PD-1 unapproved and naive. So those are the areas that you'll see. Over the course of the year, you'll start to see a lot more patients. And hopefully, we'll start to see some durability of effect as we move forward.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#36

And obviously, that's one product. What's going on behind the scenes in oncology? Are there other products?

Blair Jackson

executive
#37

Sure. I mean in the oncology side, the 4230 actually came from a lot of work that we used to do and continue to do in modulating biologics for different activities. And so we actually have a fairly robust cytokine platform, where we're looking at a number of different approaches where we create these new chemical entities. And it's important to recognize these are new molecules. These are not reformulations or anything like that. These are a new embodiment of cytokines that we can look at. We've also started to talk a little bit about our HDAC platform that we acquired as part of the Rodin transaction last fall. There's really interesting applications of safe HDACs that can be applied both centrally, the neurological, oncology as well as peripherally. And so we have a number of activities going on within that HDAC small molecule space as well.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#38

So I want to make sure we understand if this restructuring program is done, the numbers that we're looking at in the first quarter will be a good run rate for how we think about the spending profile of the company going forward. Just give us a sense of where we are, where we'll be, so we have a timeline of what to look for.

Iain Brown

executive
#39

Certainly. So last October, we announced a restructuring. We focused on sort of 3 key areas within the business. We focused on the existing headcount, our future hiring plans both in '19 and then into 2020, and some of the external programs that we're operating as well sort of across the company. So at a time, we announced about $150 million worth of cost savings that we would anticipate coming through in 2020 as compared to what our original spend plans were in the 2020 time frame. As Blair mentioned, we did do the Rodin transaction subsequent to that. So that added a little bit more, about $20 million of R&D back into the P&L. But the financial guidance that we went out with for 2020 a couple of weeks ago in our year-end earnings call, reflects that $130 million, sort of, worth of savings that we had. And as we go into 2020, I think if you look at the key lines, I think the cost of goods is going to be relatively stable as we go through the year, obviously, dependent upon volumes. From the R&D side, again, 4230 is the biggest program that we have. And we'll be sort of ticking up from an expense perspective as we go through the year as we continue to run those clinical trials both in the U.S. and outside the U.S. And then from an SG&A perspective, I think Q1 will be a fairly good indication. I think as Blair mentioned, with 3831's potential approval towards the end of the year, you will see some incremental spend towards the back half as we get ready, hopefully, for commercialization of that product. So I think it's going to -- the year is going to sort of pan out pretty much like that.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#40

So the restructuring is reflected basically in the first quarter already. So you see the first quarter numbers, you'll notice it relative to where we were in fourth quarter and third quarter of last year. And then second and third, you're saying, from an SG&A perspective, we're probably stable-ish. And then maybe into the fourth quarter, you start to see a little bump up for 3831. Is that fair?

Iain Brown

executive
#41

I think from an expense perspective, that's fair. I think if you know Alkermes, the first quarter from a revenue perspective always tends to be a little bit soft because we see, for both our proprietary products, we usually have a strong Q4 and then a lower Q1 as inventory burns off as commercial plans reset. And then one of our big royalty products, INVEGA SUSTENNA, that resets. And we have a tiered royalty structure that resets at the beginning of each year. So as we go through those tiers, usually in the first quarter, we see a little bit less royalty revenue from that product. So you'd anticipate, if you look at the overall sort of income statement, Q1 will probably be the lowest-profitability quarter, and then we'll continue to grow throughout the year.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#42

Let's switch gears just to business development and the strategy overall. I mean maybe you can talk about why Rodin? And secondly, are we looking for other oncology assets externally to bring in because now we're going to be an oncology-also company in addition to CNS? Or are we only looking for CNS assets as we look externally? Just give us a sense of what the company is really thinking about behind the scenes on BD.

Blair Jackson

executive
#43

No, absolutely. I think BD's always been an important part of the Alkermes business model. And as you look at our strategy moving forward. One is that we've built a really robust company right now, and with the capabilities both in early R&D and in development as well as in our commercial. And being able to leverage that infrastructure is very important to us. So one of the things that you -- as you've highlighted, is CNS is a core component of the company. And so being able to bring in some development assets or some commercial assets within that could be really interesting. Rodin was an embodiment of that strategy in that we were able to bring in a platform that is really going after an area of research that we've been very interested in for quite some time. And this is this area of synaptopathies. And it's at that point now where it's going to start to be interrogated into the clinic, and we are really well positioned to be able to do that better than, say, a lightly funded VC company. As for oncology. Definitely, we're interested in oncology assets, especially as they're synergistic with 4230, which has an opportunity to really work synergistically with a number of different things. But we do want to see 4230 pull in and see how it performs and where it performs before we commit -- large...

Marc Goodman

analyst
#44

Before you start to commit. I mean look, there are a lot of companies here that are oncology, small companies that you could certainly afford if you chose to make that...

Blair Jackson

executive
#45

Absolutely. And I think you have seen...

Marc Goodman

analyst
#46

That's not really what you're thinking, right?

Blair Jackson

executive
#47

No. And I think you've seen over the years, we've been very judicious about how we handle our BD activity, and we'll make sure that we're doing it in an area that we have some -- a robust feature in front of us.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#48

And the CNS acquisition. I mean Rodin, that was very early. I mean we're not going to have a profit for multiple years, right? I mean we're not really -- so that was really -- this is a platform we're interested in. So are we looking for platforms? Are we looking -- potentially, you might even bring in another product? Or 3831 is enough for now, we can't bring another product in.

Blair Jackson

executive
#49

I'd say we lean product-wise. And even if you look at Rodin, we're already into the pre-IND activity to move into the clinic. So it -- platforms are interesting. They're great to generate a pipeline. But we're more of a product-oriented company, and that's where we're focusing our efforts.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#50

And do you even consider bringing products in that are on the market right now?

Blair Jackson

executive
#51

We absolutely do all the time. Yes. I think one of the challenges is the valuations, as you know. And that's a bit of a challenge. And our stock price over the last little while is -- right now, it's very attractive, but it's also a currency that's hard to use when it's at this level.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#52

I mean do you view your company as, we've got nice infrastructure to leverage, we really could easily bring in one more product? I mean...

Blair Jackson

executive
#53

We're very well aware of that, and it's something that's very high on our mind.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#54

Yes. Good. Thank you. Appreciate your time. Thank you very much for joining us.

Blair Jackson

executive
#55

Thank you. [indiscernible]

Iain Brown

executive
#56

Thank you all.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#57

All right.

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