Allegro MicroSystems, Inc. (ALGM) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

March 4, 2024

NASDAQ US Information Technology Semiconductors and Semiconductor Equipment conference_presentation 39 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Marco Lagos

analyst
#1

Good afternoon, everybody. Thanks for joining us. My name is Marco Lagos. I am the Head of U.S. Semiconductor Banking on the investment banking side of the team from Morgan Stanley. I am thrilled and honored to have with us today the folks from Allegro MicroSystems. To my immediate left is Derek D'Antilio, who's the CFO; and Jalene Hoover, to his left, who runs the IR -- she's the Head of IR for the company. So thank you both for joining us today. Really appreciate you being here.

Marco Lagos

analyst
#2

So let's start with sort of a high-level question, Derek. The company has been public since 2020. You and Vineet joined around 2022. So now you're probably 2 years and change into -- a little less than 2 years into the journey together. Can you talk a little bit about that sort of that journey and the key things and decisions you guys have made over the last couple of years to put the company in a position that's in today?

Derek D'Antilio

executive
#3

Good afternoon, everyone. And thank you, Marco, and thank you to Morgan Stanley. So I joined a little over 2 years ago, our CEO, Vineet, joined about 2 years ago. And from a little bit of history, Allegro was actually in what we call Allegro 3.0 version right now. And the reason I say that is we've only been public for 3 years and 4 months, but the company has actually been around for 97 years. It was Sprague Electric founded in 1926 actually in Massachusetts. And why that's important is because the company had a fab in which to Massachusetts at 1965, 3 years before some of the large semiconductor companies were founded. So we have significant history in power semiconductors, significant history in magnetic sensing, and in serving automotive. So Allegro 1.0 was this company that was owned by Sanken Electric, a privately held company for many years, Sprague Electric and then Sanken. We were an IDM, we had 2 fabs, we had 2 back-end facilities. A private equity firm bought in, in 2017, and really helped to organize that operational structure. We now have 1 back-end facility that's highly utilized in the Philippines. We're a fabless company focused on designing, industry-leading magnetic sensing and power ICs primarily for auto and in certain industrial applications. Vineet and I have really driven what I would call Allegro 3.0. We both come from public company backgrounds, as does Jalene, much of our new management team does after some of the retirements from significantly larger public companies. So the changes that we put in are -- we're fortunate to have inherited great products, great customer relationships, great teams, but the change is really our focus on how do you scale this company now from $500 million 3 years ago to $1 billion today to -- far in excess of this, putting in place a public company cadence, what I call a management operating structure, quarterly cadence, design reviews, really a focus on the markets that we serve well, restructuring our sales incentive plans to focus on e-mobility, which is the confluence of electrification of vehicles and ADAS applications in certain industrial applications that use the same type of technology, for example, clean energy, industrial automation and data centers. So bringing a lot more focus to the company, a lot more rigor around quarterly performance in what I call just in general, a public company management operating structure. And the team is really excited and we think we have significant opportunity both organically and with some inorganic opportunities.

Marco Lagos

analyst
#4

That's great. And Jalene, just in the same vein, you've been around -- you started with the company about a year -- I'm going to be precise here, a year and 3 months ago. Is that about right?

Jalene Hoover

executive
#5

January '23.

Marco Lagos

analyst
#6

So pretty close. So -- what excited you? What sort of drew to the opportunity? And then what have you found about the company since being -- after a year of being here?

Jalene Hoover

executive
#7

It's a great question, and thank you for having us here. So I've been in semis actually nearly 30 years, and it's a very incestuous industry and was introduced, I would say, by former colleagues of line to the team. And it's really unique to be with a company as Derek spoke to, that's nearly been around for 100 years and public for just a few. So you've got this new company like a start-up energy combined with having this experienced leadership team, really well positioned with these decades of expertise developed on the technology side to address these mega trends, the secular growth drivers in electrification and automation. And combine that with relatively new leadership, while really sense talking with Derek and Vineet that they were really closely aligned in the vision and somewhat selfishly, but also opportunistically, I really like a good growth story. And the trends that Allegro is addressing in automation, as well as select industrial markets are really going to occur over the next decades. And there are also in areas that we're really passionate about and well positioned to suit and that's in the ESG realm. And so there's just a lot of really great stuff going on. Now certainly, I think when I joined in January, we didn't have the cyclical growth drivers and impacts that we're dealing with somewhat today. But we have a mid- and longer-term focus. So as we do in semis, we just ride these out, and we stay focused, and we continue to execute, we continue to invest in R&D. And it's really exciting to be with the team that shares that vision and continues to invest and focuses on our opportunity.

Marco Lagos

analyst
#8

That was great. Sorry to put you on the spot. So Derek and Jalene, for both of you a little bit, you talk high level, Derek, about the company's technology focus and exposure and you talked about magnetic sensors and power. Can we double-click a little bit on each of those? What exactly about magnetic sensors, what sectors, what segments within that, what product specifically and then same thing with power. I'm sorry, and the split between those 2, if you could.

Derek D'Antilio

executive
#9

Yes, absolutely. So our company was really built on -- the focus on 2 products: magnetic sensing, leadership in magnetic sensing, we have about 23% market share. So we're the market share leader in overall magnetic sensing. And that's about 60% of our business, magnetic sensing. Power IC is about 40% of our business. And that's actually the company's legacy going back 50 or 100 years on the power side of the business. So we're really focused on sensing, current electrical current, helping manage electrical current, drive electrical current to do things in cars, industrial automation, clean energy, data center. And within magnetic sensing, the key products are current sensors, position sensors and speed sensors. Current sensors are used in things, for example, in electric vehicles in measuring the current that goes from the large 400-volt or 800-volt batteries in an electric vehicle to the other subsystems in a car that might be 12-volt to 48-volt. So there's a significant amount of current sensors used in electric vehicle, same thing in solar inverters. Conversely, in ADAS applications, when you think about lane-keeping assist, you think about certain camera applications, there's a significant amount of position sensors used in electromechanical braking, steer-by-wire along with speed sensors. So that's really been the growth engine of our company. On the power side, we are experts in regulators, in motor drivers and LED drivers. So driving efficiently motors for cooling fans in autos, data centers, liquid cooling pumps in both of those markets as well.

Marco Lagos

analyst
#10

That's great. And then you talked a little bit about -- you mentioned EVs, but there's obviously also great sort of use cases for all these products in your traditional ICE, right, internal combustion engine. Can you talk a little bit about your strategy and how you're strategically suited and positioned for both the future in EVs and ADAS? You touched on that a little bit, but more also kind of how you're still going to ride out for a while here, the internal combustion engine stuff.

Derek D'Antilio

executive
#11

Yes, great question. So the legacy of the business going back to the 1990s is in automotive. And that's important because we have decades of automotive experience. Our supply chain is completely automotive qualified. We do all of our testing in-house in the Philippines with an auto qualified test supply cycle, which means our parts per billion quality is below 200. So that's all auto qualified. We've been doing that for a long time with the Tier 1s in the United States and Europe. So that's primarily ICE business, ICE cam and crank shaft business or safety, comfort and convenience type factors. And that's a good business, and we think that will be a good business for a long time, especially in the United States. The growth engine of the business over the last couple of years has really been on what we call the e-mobility side of the business, which is the electrification of vehicles, both EV powertrain, hybrid powertrain in the ADAS applications, which is really being driven by the confluence of those 2 things. And that's been driven by a lot outside the United States, particularly China, Europe, which is now a 25% adoption of EV and hybrid. Japan, we have a great business. It's 15% of our business, which is all hybrid. And China was nearly 30% of our business, which was a significant portion of EV. The United States, as Michael mentioned, we're still on the early adoption curve of EVs in the United States, still sub 10%, about 8% for calendar '24. And for perspective, the United States, the projection is to produce about 1.2 million EVs in the United States in calendar '24. And there's been a lot of news about pushouts and delays in the United States, largely true, but 1.2 million in the United States, the same number in China is 7.2 million. So significantly higher, Europe is even higher than the United States, but hybrid is just as good for us. So we are really excited about the future business in EV and hybrid and ADAS. We still have a long tail of ICE business that we've been serving and the safety, comfort and convenience factors we've been serving for many, many years.

Marco Lagos

analyst
#12

You talk about hybrid, what sort of geographic end market is sort of the case study for you guys for that?

Derek D'Antilio

executive
#13

So Japan is a great case study for us. One, we have a great position in Japan. It's about 15% of our business. So our business is very well geographically diversified. So approximately 15% of our business total is United States, 14% is Europe, 15% is Japan, give or take, 25% to 30% is China, and the rest is the rest of Asia. So it's very well geographically diversified, but Japan is the case study for hybrid. Today, it's very low on the EV adoption curve, hundreds of thousands of units, but Toyota is all hybrid for us. And it's been a great business, and it's been a great growth engine over the past year, and we expect it to continue. The company that owns 51% of Sanken, our legacy, is a Japanese company, which really helps us in the Japanese market to establish the presence in Japan and sell in Japan, and that's been an exciting market for us.

Marco Lagos

analyst
#14

I spent a lot of time talking about automotive. Just for the audience, what sort of percentage of the business today is automotive versus other end markets?

Derek D'Antilio

executive
#15

Sure. So automotive today is about 70% of our overall business. Industrial, which includes clean energy, largely solar, EV charging stations, which is really exciting for us, industrial automation and data centers about 20% of our business and then consumers about 10% of our business. And the technology leverage point, just about everything we do is designed for automotive. So the current sensors, the position sensors, they're all designed for automotive, all automotive quality. We take those same products and leverage them to where there's a use case, for example, in solar, the inverter, the mini inverter, very similar to an inverter and in automotive, an EV or hybrid. So we're taking the same use case on the same products, the same quality and bringing it to those markets. The channel is a bit different with selling that through distribution to the long tail of customers around the world.

Marco Lagos

analyst
#16

So can you talk a little bit about opportunity sizing, right, as you think about sort of the TAM, SAM sort of dynamic for across end markets. And then I know for both of you, this is kind of like asking who your favorite child is, but which opportunity are you most excited about for the company going forward?

Derek D'Antilio

executive
#17

Just that with the opportunity, Jalene?

Jalene Hoover

executive
#18

Well, I mean, we're an automotive first company. So certainly the electric vehicle opportunity is super exciting for us. And I think sometimes it's underappreciated that today, actually, the EV component of our sales is the smallest component, but it's the fastest-growing. So really, as long as we're producing cars, Allegro is winning, obviously, we win more. We have more content with the hybrids and the full BEVs, but that's really where we're primarily focused. And as Derek said, we leverage that same technology in very select applications in the industrial space.

Derek D'Antilio

executive
#19

And so in terms of the size of the SAM, the magnetic sensing SAM is kind of grow to about $5 billion from $4 billion today, we have 23% of that SAM. We just acquired a business that we think is the leading-edge technology that I'm sure we'll talk about. So we're pretty excited about that. And I think, as Jalene mentioned, we're often correlated to EV, which is something that's very exciting for us. But what's underappreciated is the fact that still more than 75% of our auto business is not just pure EV, it's ICE business, it's ADAS, it's level 1 and 2 ADAS business, which is really exciting. There's still a lot of opportunity to penetrate there using position sensors, speed sensors. So as cars move to electromechanical braking or as they use to steer-by-wire, that's all Level 1 and 2 ADAS. Lane keeping assist is all Level 1 and 2 ADAS, things we all have in our cars today. So that's pretty exciting for us. And some of these industrial applications, particularly within the data center, we just announced our first win -- design win for liquid cooling for pumps in data centers for high-density servers. So that's pretty exciting for us as well. So that we think we have multiple growth factors.

Marco Lagos

analyst
#20

So not to sort of divert too much from the main topics here, but what -- you mentioned data center. It's been on the horizon type of opportunity for you guys for some time. What is it about what's happening in AI and processing that's giving you guys in sort of the DNA of the company an advantage and a potential opportunity for that?

Derek D'Antilio

executive
#21

It's a great question. So data center peaked at about 5% of our overall revenue, about 2 years ago. Today, it's under 2% of our revenue. There are certain parts today that we sell motor drivers into fans, cooling fans for the servers. And as those cooling fans become hotter, more dense for AI, there's a need for liquid cooling. And the liquid cooling drives pump motor drivers that we already have for automotive, again, it starts in automotive, with the pump motor drivers. There's also an opportunity to move from 12-volt to 48-volt in the data center and regulators and conversions. We use that in our power business as well. So it's a very exciting business for us. We've also -- that business was traditionally sold through distribution and still largely is we've started to really focus on driving that SAM. We put somebody in charge of that business as a business development team largely in China, in Taiwan and Japan, and we're starting to see design wins there.

Marco Lagos

analyst
#22

So Derek, I want to focus a little bit on -- you've mentioned China now a couple of times, right? And you've talked about EV is clearly much more penetrated in China than they are here in the U.S. How are you -- can you articulate the China strategy for the company and how you guys are seeing it, especially in light of the overall geopolitical environment we're in today.

Derek D'Antilio

executive
#23

Sure. So when we entered China as a business many years ago, we were brought there by global customers. So global OEMs that operate in that are headquartered in Europe or the United States, manufacturing in China, we would sell through distributors in China to them. Most of the business was reexported out of China. Today, we find ourselves with 3 different types of customers in China, still those global OEMs that are headquartered in the U.S., Europe, Korea, manufacturing in China, we're still selling to them, they're still reexporting out of China. There's also the global Chinese OEMs, the BYDs and the NEOs that are now customers that reexport a large portion of their product and sell some domestically. And then the third bucket of customers, which is the fastest growing, and today, the smallest piece for us, but the most exciting are the indigenous Chinese manufacturers mostly manufacturing for the Chinese market. So we just put a team on the ground in China just 3 years ago, just put a country manager there a year ago, I was in China in Shanghai in September, we're investing, significantly opened a new office there, we're putting FAEs on the ground, we're putting quality on the ground in China, but most importantly we're hearing from customers in China just like we're in the United States, they would like some local content. We're not going to put factories in China but we've got great relationships with fabs in China so we're qualifying a fab in China to use what wafers in China or part of the Chinese market. We already do some assembly today in China and [indiscernible], a small portion of our assembly, but there's turnkey suppliers that can help us do probe assembly and test the entire back end in China. So localizing with subcontractors in China while having our FAA and sales team in China, is important to us because it's a large growing market that we feel like we have to serve.

Marco Lagos

analyst
#24

And apart from sort of the proximity to customers and the ability to expand your share in China, what other benefits have you seen since you guys have sort of doubled down a little bit and invested in China?

Derek D'Antilio

executive
#25

Yes. So being closer to the customers, obviously, is number one, right? When I was there in September, we had a grand opening of our office. We met with distributors. We met with customers. The good news is a lot of excitement about our products and price is not the lowest common denominator for most reasons because of the reexport to the EU in the United States, they still have to meet those stringent standards. That's great. So there's a lot of demand for our products. I think the other benefits we've seen by having people on the ground there is we're close to our customers from a quality standpoint, it can bring solutions to the customers. And the other benefit I'm finding as a CFO is having a supply chain in China is just more cost effective in China for the Chinese market.

Marco Lagos

analyst
#26

Yes. That makes a lot of sense. So China, obviously, very exciting. What other -- and just to give folks again another sense for distribution of revenue. Talk about sort of North America, Europe, China, Japan and then non-China, non-Japan, Asia split? What does that all sort of look like for you guys?

Derek D'Antilio

executive
#27

Sure. Yes. So I'll mention again. The U.S. is about 15% of our overall revenue -- results shift to -- Europe is about 14%, Japan is about 15%, China is between 25% and 30%, depending on the quarter and the remaining 15% or 20% is call it, rest of Asia, which is largely Korea, Taiwan and Southeast Asia. So a pretty good split geographically. There are some areas that I think we're probably underlevered too, right? I think there's opportunities in China, that's why we're investing significantly in China. We're putting more people on the ground there. I think Europe, we've been on delever, too. It's 14% of our business, but there's a significant opportunity in Europe. A lot of what gets shipped to China was designed in, in Europe. We just put our first country manager in Germany where the auto market exists. We've got a design center in Milan that we opened 2.5 years ago, we're expanding that right now. We recently bought 2 companies, both of them happen to be in France, coincidently, a lot of talent there. So we're finding a lot of engineering talent in Europe, in Milan, in the U.K., in France and being on the ground in Germany close to our customers, we think there's a lot of opportunity.

Marco Lagos

analyst
#28

So is it fair to say that in Europe is sort of the region you're most excited about for future growth or not most excited, but the greatest opportunity for future growth, do you think.

Jalene Hoover

executive
#29

It's certainly 1 of them. One of the things that Vineet and Derek have infused within the company is customer intimacy, and that's growing our workforce and having people on the ground in areas, particularly where we're wanting to grow those geographies. I would include Germany and China of course, are areas that we've expanded. And then we've taken over off of the distribution in Japan as well where Sanken was managing that. And so we took that over in the last year as well. So this is all about leveraging what the company has been doing for so many years and helping customers to solve their challenges.

Marco Lagos

analyst
#30

Yes. Well, let's talk about that, right? Because I think the 1 element is competition keeps you sharp, right? You're talking about entering a market where -- my colleagues and I have spent a lot of time with companies in Germany and the Netherlands and Belgium, right? And those folks like Melexis and Elmos and ST and Infineon, a lot of sort of for at least for semiconductor folks household names, right? What is it about Allegro, whether it's culturally from a business strategy standpoint that allows you to sort of compete and win against a lot of those sort of folks that are local to that market.

Derek D'Antilio

executive
#31

Yes. There's some real formidable competitors in Europe, the ones you mentioned, right? Great competitors, good products. I think what allows us to win is our focus, our extreme focus. You've mentioned some very large companies, maybe 1 that's similar in our size to us. But we've chosen to really focus on what we do best, which is magnetic sensing, current sensing, position sensing, speed sensing and certain power applications that I talked about, right? There's plenty of other opportunities in power that have not chosen to go after because we think we have to focus to be the best of those things. And so to compete with those competitors, number 1 is globalization. So we think we have design centers around -- we have design centers around the world, including facilities in Asia. We just opened another design center in India. We've got some in Europe. We've got some in the United States. So I think globalization is part of that, but the extreme focus we have compared to some of our significantly larger competitors allows us to be, what I would say, the best at what we do in those markets.

Marco Lagos

analyst
#32

You talked a little bit about -- well, let me take a step back, right -- you think about M&A strategy, but you have to think about capital allocation first, right? So you've obviously -- I think you've got a pretty strong sort of balance sheet, and you've used it judiciously in different things. How do you think about the capital allocation sort of distribution between internal organic R&D type investments, returning cash to shareholders and then obviously, M&A and inorganic growth.

Derek D'Antilio

executive
#33

Sure. So the first thing we focus on is generating significant free cash flow. So this past quarter we generated 17% of sales and free cash flow. I expect that to continue to increase, and that's really our focus. It generates significant free cash flow. The use of that free cash flow, first and foremost, will be investments in organic growth of the business. We can control that the most. So continue to make investments in research and development in the centers I talked about in other parts of the world. We have to be the leaders. As I talked about, the focus to compete with these formidable competitors, making investments in R&D, making investments in sales and FAEs on the ground in those regions, that will be our primary focus. So even as we go through inventory digestions we're not going to take our foot off the gas on making investments in those areas. We'll, of course, do the right things on the discretionary spend side of things and continue to generate free cash flow. Beyond that, we're going to pay down debt. We borrowed $250 million to purchase a company called Crocus last year. We're going to pay that debt down pretty quickly. As I promised the equity holders, I promised the debt rating agencies. And then beyond that, we'll continue to look at M&A that makes sense. It has to fit with our strategy of growing either e-mobility or those select industrial markets. And a few characteristics are really, really important to myself and the CEO and the rest of our team. One, we have to know the technology. We have to be experts in the technology in both of the acquisitions we've done over the last 1.5 years, fit that criteria. And that's very important because we can bring something to that acquisition, we can bring engineers, we can bring management, we have to be able to bring those products to our existing customers, that's critical. And then the company has to come -- or the products have to come with gross margins or I would call it variable contribution margins that we think are quite acceptable, that's indicative is somebody willing to pay for that technology. My experience is you could fix things like fixed cost, you can fix OpEx, you can't fix somebody willing to pay for a product, you can't fix technology, you can't fix can I sell that to my customer. So M&A will be critical. And given the float of our stock, we're not doing share buybacks right now, we're not ready to do a dividend.

Marco Lagos

analyst
#34

And M&A strategic rationale is sometimes difficult to articulate or not as clear, well accepted by investors. Then there are stories that are pretty obvious and pretty clear. I think that's absolutely the story with Crocus. But can you elaborate for folks sort of what that allowed the company to sort of continue to do.

Derek D'Antilio

executive
#35

Sure. So Crocus Technology is largely a French-based company that's been around for about 17 years. They're the leaders in TMR technology, Tunnel Magnetoresistance, which is call it the next click of technology for magnetic sensing, or more precise technology for magnetic sensing. Hall effect technology, which is the preponderance of the market today, we're the leaders. We have 23% market share. That's been around for at least 35 years. Many companies have that. We think we still have technical specification leads. Much fewer companies in that universe have TMR technology. We had a small business coincidentally in France, we bought a company that's in France, there's a lot of technology there. So a much smaller universe of companies to compete with. We believe, based on market data that, that will represent about 20% of the magnetic sensing market over the next 6 or 7 years, which is about $1 billion, and we believe we have the opportunity to kind of control that curve of adoption in TMR over the next several years.

Marco Lagos

analyst
#36

So what -- you talked about sort of the strategy around M&A. Are there -- what other areas do you feel you'll potentially are out there for you to supplement. I know everything has to sort of fit with what you guys are doing and the things that you guys are thinking about.

Derek D'Antilio

executive
#37

Yes. So we're experts in driving high power, regulating high power, driving high power. So we look at opportunities within the power business that fit within the high power regulating, driving high power. Of course, sensing is our bread and butter. So those are the areas you'll see us look at. And things that have to do with e-mobility, anything that can enhance our presence in ADAS, EV, hybrid, something we can bring to our customers, so we continue to look at those opportunities. And it has to say, be accretive to gross margins over time. We have to be able to sell it to our customers. We'll continue to look at those opportunities. And as we start to move through the cycle of EV and the cycle of ADAS and get into Level 3 ADAS, there will be more of those opportunities.

Marco Lagos

analyst
#38

Let's talk a little bit about -- you've mentioned sort of customers, broadly speaking, and then talked a little bit about sales, what is sort of direct, indirect mix for you folks? And what -- how do you think about distribution versus direct? And then also customer base-wise, there's obviously areas that have concentrated set of customers and others that have very many customers. And you guys play well in both. What -- can you elaborate on that?

Jalene Hoover

executive
#39

Great question. So distribution obviously has been a little weaker the last couple of quarters. It was about 52% of our revenue here in the December quarter. And when you stand back and look at our business, most of our industrial and most of our other/consumer business run through distribution. And most of our automotive is direct with a couple of exceptions where Japan is primarily distribution as well as China where they use distribution as the fulfillment function. And so obviously, the concentration of customers would be higher through the distribution channel versus the direct. And on the direct side, we mostly sell directly through the tiers and the CMs on that, who then work with the OEMs. But that doesn't mean that we may not work directly with the OEM who may pull through that sale through the tiers in the CMs.

Marco Lagos

analyst
#40

And can you talk a little bit about the automotive supply chain in general, the sales cycle in automotive and why being a company that's been around for such a long time is important in that ecosystem and how sticky that business can be if you do it, right?

Derek D'Antilio

executive
#41

Yes. So the nice part about the automotive business, it gives you a lot of visibility. So you get a design win, and design wins is really the lifeblood of that business that turns into revenue about 3 years from now. So it gives us a lot of visibility, the ability to plan our factories, the ability to plan our staffing and all those sort of things. So CapEx, which is really nice. And that's about 70% of our business. And as Marco mentioned, we've been serving the automotive industry since the 1990s, which gives us what you need like 10 years of reliability data, the relationships, the test quality, all those kind of things. So having that ability to plan your business on the automotive side of the business allows you to plan multiyears out. The industrial business and the consumer business is much more quicker turns through the distribution channel. And typically, as it turns business through that, the last couple of years have been an anomaly where there's been some backlog in that business.

Marco Lagos

analyst
#42

So let's turn to some of the obvious sort of near-term stuff. We've talked big picture for the company for a little bit here. Walk you through the end markets, right, automotive, industrial, energy and infrastructure and consumer. What is your sort of medium -- near to medium-term outlook for each of those 4 areas.

Derek D'Antilio

executive
#43

So probably start an inverse or whatever because this has been a FIFO cycle kind of first in, first out, and it's been a rolling cycle. And the consumer cycle started from many people actually 6 quarters ago for us, it really just started 3 quarters ago because we were shipping past due backlog the first couple of quarters of fiscal year '24, but we're really now that in 3/4 of a decline in our consumer business, that's starting to get you a trough. I think we have a little ways to go. We can see that pretty clearly because that's all in the distribution channel. So we watch in the distribution channel. Inventory levels, which are still a bit elevated. We watch POS very, very closely. But I think there's about another quarter or so in consumer. In the industrial business, that's largely clean energy, a lot of solar, data center automation. There's a few more quarters to go there that started a little bit later than consumer. So the rolling cycle, when you look at it from many companies, especially us, it continues to roll consumer first, industrial second, and we really believe that will come back second. And then auto was kind of interesting. The December quarter was the first quarter we had a decline in auto sales in over 2 years, that wasn't driven by anything cyclical. That was driven primarily by the UAW strike in the United States, where we saw some pull ahead into the September quarter, where we're seeing in our guidance for the March quarter, I talked about, now we're starting to see the inventory adjustments in auto primarily at the Tier 1s and the subcontractors and some of the distributors. The fundamental difference that we see right now between auto and sort of the consumer industrial was, consumer or industrial had a much higher peak in 2020 and 2021, they had a market correction, plus an inventory correction over the past 18 months. Auto has been fairly consistent in auto production level over the last several years. Right now is an inventory adjustment from what we can see right now in auto, we expect that to last a couple of more quarters as well. And we're going to be very aggressive about managing down those inventory levels, both in the channel, on the consumer side and the industrial side, and we're going to work quite closely with our Tier 1s on the automotive side and subcontractors to make sure we work that inventory down as quickly as possible.

Marco Lagos

analyst
#44

And so I know you've sort of generally guided, but when do you think things are going to start to sort of turn around as far as the inventory adjusting?

Derek D'Antilio

executive
#45

Yes. So we guided down at the midpoint of our guidance, another 8% in the March quarter, 6% to 10% based on the range. We did say that we expect the June quarter to be a trough quarter, and we're going to aggressively manage the next 2 quarters to kind of have that June quarter be our trough quarter.

Marco Lagos

analyst
#46

How do you feel that compares generally to other folks that have the same general exposure that you do in the rest of semis? Has that sort of -- have you seen that to be kind of a general thing? Or is there something unique to Allegro?

Derek D'Antilio

executive
#47

It appears to be remarkably consistent on all 3 markets. Actually, as we look at the commentary, as we look at the data, we look at the reports to come out, that -- it appears to be pretty consistent around the rolling cycle for consumer, industrial and now auto. All around the same time, many of the peers of ours and ourselves in the last 2 months have started to talk about the auto inventory adjustments. So we appear to be all in a similar situation, although different products, depending on where you are in the supply chain in auto and whether it's digital or analog, but generally speaking, the analog auto appears to be in a similar situation.

Marco Lagos

analyst
#48

Any opportunities for you guys going forward away from the traditional power market into digital opportunities or anything in other technologies?

Derek D'Antilio

executive
#49

We continue to look at what's next in ADAS and has many opportunities in ADAS. We have a photonics business today that's pre-revenue. We look at things like what's Level 3 ADAS look like. There's some opportunities primarily in sensing there. There are some high-power opportunities. There's a product called Heyday that we bought a year ago, isolated gate drivers. They're not commercial yet. We just put the first product in the market. It's a high-power isolated gate driver for driving power to gallium nitrate switches. The product that's in development is for silicon carbide. We don't plan to make the substrates, but we're driving power to those switches and it will be on a reference design. Those products are pretty interesting. Another company that we bought in France, they're about 1/3 smaller from a BOM standpoint and 1/3 more efficient. So interesting products that we're starting to put on reference designs with gallium nitrate switch providers.

Marco Lagos

analyst
#50

So you mentioned silicon carbide and gallium nitrate. There's been some softness around EV. I think you talked about that briefly. Other folks have obviously been in the ecosystem around automotive, in particular with power have been affected pretty harshly by that. How do you feel you guys have sort of reacted to that? Why is it that you have had a little bit better resilience to that to the EV softness?

Derek D'Antilio

executive
#51

No. If I look at our auto business, we sort of have 2 pieces we talk about publicly. There's the e-mobility piece, which is the EV and hybrid powertrain in this ADAS. The bigger piece of that is ADAS from a double content standpoint because 5 years ago, EV was 1 company. On the other side of that, the non-e-mobility is ICE combustion engine is the powertrain side of it in safety, comfort and convenience. So both the ADAS piece and the safety [indiscernible] are growing quite robustly, hybrids growing quite robustly. As I mentioned, EV in China has been fantastic. EV in Europe has been very good. So I think we've held up well partially because of the geographical distribution of sales. And partially because of the broad product portfolio that covers all 3 types of powertrains in an automobile, it's not just EV, and that's actually the smallest piece of our overall auto business today, albeit the fastest growing.

Marco Lagos

analyst
#52

So just kind of take another giant step back just from an education standpoint, what does -- just so folks get a sense for the scale of the company. Can you talk about financially what the company looks like today, revenue, profitability and then your target financial model for the company that you've put out there?

Derek D'Antilio

executive
#53

Sure. This December quarter, we were $255 million in revenue. The quarter before, we were $275 million in revenue. At the peak, it was $280 million in revenue 2 quarters ago. Gross margins are around 55%. We hit as high as 58% from a non-GAAP gross margin 2 quarters ago, but every [ star aligned ] to get there. The target financial model that we put out last March at our Analyst Day, we believe is still fully intact. And the target financial model was low double-digit sales growth on the top line. Once you get pass any inventory corrections, medium-term gross margins getting to 58%, we did hit that a couple of quarters. And when we went public, we talked about going from 50% to 55%, we were sustainably at 55%, so we put out a new target of 58%. I don't think that's the end point, but that's the medium-term target. OpEx at about 26% of sales over the next couple of years. Operating profit of about 32%, and very importantly, free cash flow getting to the mid-20s. So pretty robust free cash flow generation over the next few years.

Marco Lagos

analyst
#54

That's great. Let me -- we got about 5 minutes left. I wanted to open it up for questions from the audience. If anybody has any questions.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#55

I'm just curious, what do you think is the end game with regards to Sanken stake in Allegro?

Derek D'Antilio

executive
#56

Good question. So Sanken owns 51.5% of the stock of Allegro. They have 3 board seats. We have a really robust shareholder agreement that protects all the minor shareholders, including myself and everyone who bought shares on us. So Sanken own the company since 1989. So they do things in long term. They took it public in 2020 with 1 equity partners. They continue to hold and say publicly that they want to hold more than 50% of the shares. They actually consolidate Allegro's results in their public filings in Japan. And to do that to consolidate top line down, they need to hold more than 50% of the shares.

Marco Lagos

analyst
#57

Any other questions? I do have 1 more. All right. So obviously, you've done a great job, Jalene and Derek, both of you on sort of education, investor outreach. What do you think investors have missed? What is the 1 thing you'd love to sort of have investors understand better about the company or part of the story that you'd like them to really know?

Jalene Hoover

executive
#58

It's a great question. I mean -- we've already touched on today is that although we are really bullish about our EV opportunity, that's a relatively small component of our revenue today, and we're just broadly strongly positioned in automotive period. I think it's underappreciated how long a lever has actually been in existence. And then I think looking at the transformation and the leadership team, the team that got Allegro to where they were when we IPO-ed was fantastic, but we've just organically transformed that team, and we have a new team now that, as Derek touched on, has extensive public company experience and experience running multibillion-dollar companies, and we really are excited about the opportunity ahead and believe in our positioning there.

Marco Lagos

analyst
#59

And then this is a bit of a sort of personal question here, but it's -- you and Vineet both have sort of backgrounds in different areas. Vineet, I think, has a lot more exposure to automotive from another part of the business altogether. You've got your past job at MKS and other parts of the semi supply chain bring that -- you bring that to the table. What is the combination of the 2 of you sort of bring together to the company that's been very helpful you think?

Derek D'Antilio

executive
#60

Yes. So I think both Vineet and I coincidentally happen to be the same age, have the same number of years of experience, albeit some different experiences. But we both were aligned very, very quickly. And we both bring public company cadence, public company management operating system to the company. I think we've brought a lot more accountability targets. And we both know how to operate in cyclical businesses, right? Automotive is very cyclical, Semiconductor is very cyclical. I've either been auditing or in semiconductor company since the late 1990s, that's why I can say now. I've be through at least 4 of these cycles. And so it's the only benefit of getting a little bit older. But operating in these cycles, each 1 is a little bit differently. But that's why when I talk about when we're managing through this. I saw 2009, people did some pretty draconian things. We're going to continue to -- we're both completely aligned on continuing to invest in the things we have to. Research is number one, sales on the ground is #2. We'll continue to manage discretionary spending as we go through this inventory correction, we should do that. But if you don't do those things, you're not going to [ account me ] on the other side, leading. And we firmly believe that as we come out on the other side, we want to continue to be the leader and gain share.

Marco Lagos

analyst
#61

One more shot of questions from the audience. All right. Well, we're just about at time here. So I want to thank both of you for taking the time to be here again. I hope you've had a productive day, and good luck with the rest of the meetings today.

Derek D'Antilio

executive
#62

Thank you, Marco. And thank you, Morgan Stanley.

Jalene Hoover

executive
#63

Thank you for having us. Thank you all.

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