Alma Media Oyj (ALMA) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

February 16, 2024

Nasdaq Helsinki FI Communication Services Media earnings 77 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Elina Kukkonen

executive
#1

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to this interim report session of Alma Media's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023. My name is Elina Kukkonen, I'm responsible of the communications and brand of Alma. We'll begin with the presentation shortly. And first to go on stage will be our CEO, Mr. Telanne. He will present the overall result of Alma Media 2023 and also highlight the performance of each business segment. After Kai's introduction, the CFO, Mrs. Taru Lehtinen will step on stage, and she will present the financials of Alma Media today. And then Mr. Telanne continues about the strategy, outlook, the operating environment and also gives the rationale for the structural change of Alma Media's business segments announced earlier this morning. And then we close with the Q&A session and don't hesitate to ask any questions, we are more than -- those are more than welcome. We are happy to answer. We will first take the questions from here at our Alma premises. And then our Investor Relations Director, Mr. Teemu Salmi, will pick up the questions from online. I think with this short introduction, we're quite ready to start. And once again, welcome on my behalf. And Mr. Telanne, the stage is yours.

Kai Telanne

executive
#2

Thank you, Elina. Good morning, everybody, and welcome to this interim report presentation on my behalf as well. As disclosed earlier in the morning, we had quite a good journey last year. The profitability improved after a heavy work with the costs. Adjusted operating profit for the full year ended up at last year's record high level. As we have learned early in the beginning of last year, the operational environment has been quite difficult for many years right now. It's been really, really difficult to get any kind of growth especially organic growth, meaning that if you really want to mitigate the difficulties and defend the profitability, you have to be very careful with the costs. And that's what we've been doing during the whole year. We have always had two different kind of plans in place, Plan A and Plan B. And if the market doesn't develop as favorably as expected, we start to apply the Plan B, as we did last year. Revenues were during the last quarter on the same level as we had in '22 , but the operating profit improved almost 10% due to the cost initiatives that we have had all over the organization, meaning in every segment, we have been really careful with the costs. Adjusted operating profit ended up to EUR 16.7 million with a nice 21.5% margin during the fourth quarter last year. And for the full year, we were on a par of the comparable year, EUR 73.6 million EBIT 24.1% of the revenues. Digital share has been improving as expected that comes from the decline of the print and the small little bit slowest increase in digital revenues ended up to EUR 82.4 million of total revenue for the full year. Balance sheet is developing nicely and as expected with a good cash flow, with a good profitability. Our CFO, Taru, will tell you more about the balance sheet and the financials after my presentation. She will take you and give you a deep dive into the numbers, gearing down to 60.4% -- 65.4% and equity ratio up to 46.1%, meaning that we have plenty of room for future investments into the digital businesses that we aim at. As said, a flattish revenue development for the last quarter of last year as well as for the full year '23. The development of Central Eastern Europe has slowed down. I mean, the growth has slowed down and the Finnish unfavorable market condition has continued. We have suffered from the Polish advertising market in Finland in all Finnish businesses, meaning that the media assets have suffered from that and as well as the classified services of ours, meaning houses and premises and cars, especially. With a good cost measures, the Alma Career profitability increased during the last quarter, EUR 1.5 million as well as in Alma Talent, we will have a closer look at those. Unfortunately, Alma Consumer in there, we suffer from the very depressing ad market and our own investments initiatives in product and technology development, pressing the profitability a little bit, but anyway, a nice growth from EUR 15.2 million to EUR 16.7 million of EBIT during the last quarter. 82% digital revenue share at the moment, which has been more or less the target of ours during this kind of environment and year. Let's have a short look at the segments and the different businesses, start from Alma Career, which is the biggest segment of ours driving the profitability of the company. In Slovakia and Croatia, the good growth has continued with the good dynamics of the market. In Croatia, of course, the traveling industry is driving the business. And in Croatia other businesses -- in Slovakia, other businesses as well. In the biggest market of ours, the growth has slowed down. Actually, during the last quarter, we have been slightly, on revenue side slightly negative, comparable development 2.3%, but on a high profitability level still. There are big differences between the countries now. And the most difficulties we have had in Finland and Baltic countries where the labor markets are on a very low level. In Finland, the market is about -- more than 30% negative during the year. We've been able to defend the profitability in the segment by reducing the cost, especially on the marketing and personal side and sales side and by selling adjacent services around the core classified career -- classified business. During the fourth quarter, revenue on comparison level, profit up by 18.2%. And finally, for the full year, profitability at the record high level, which I think was a really good achievement for this segment. Invoicing has been slowing down during the year. The leveling down of the revenues is caused with the cooling down of the invoicing during second and third quarter in the Central Eastern Europe, as you can see from the slide, the purple curve here is the invoicing curve. It is below the revenue curve in the -- during the middle of the year. And due to this, we haven't been able to increase the revenues. Now the invoicing is closing to the revenue curve so that will be a good sign for us for the future as well, but we expect that there won't be very big changes up or down in the beginning of the year, but we wait for the markets to pick up during the second half of the year. That's the overall forecast of ours and the European Commission as well. In Finland, the Alma Consumer market has been two sided, I could say. For the Media as you can see from the middle of this slide, Media and Ad Financed Services, the revenues went down during the last quarter, 9%. That comes from the poor advertising sales in the market. Mobility services, like Nettiauto and others, they have been quite stable. And then the poor development in houses and premises has also affected our businesses. So we lost 7.5% of the revenues compared to the '22. But on the other hand, comparison sharing economy services growing nicely on a high profitability, but we have a lot of investments here. I said before and disclosed before, we have a lot of tech development in place and some kind of extra costs. And due to this, the profitability has been going down from comparable years EUR 2.5 million to last year's EUR 11.2 million. As said, the digital ratio going up 83.5% during last year. So we have quite a small portion of the business in print businesses or print-related businesses anymore and the weight of -- the share of the profitability is quite small. There's still a high demand of news, as we know, because of the happenings in the environment. And we had a very positive development with IL Plus subscriptions during the year. The current rate is about 52,000 subscribers of those and growing. And finally, Alma Talent, extremely good year. Adjusted operating profit up more than 15% during the last quarter and a very good development in services. So we were able to mitigate the decline in print and advertising by good performance in services and of course, a very good cost control inside the segment. Healthy margin of 22.8% during the last quarter and a nice development for the full year. More than 60% of this segment's revenues from digital sources. As said, the service has been the driver more or less here and recurring revenues, which has been one of the main KPIs for us, nicely up by 19% during the last quarter and by 20% during the full year. These are mainly the company information and legal services that we have put on the market. And especially the high growth on a very high profitability also in the Business Premises marketplaces, in Finland, but particularly in Sweden, where we are the market leader as well as we are in Finland. So this is the deep dive, but briefly into the businesses and now I give the floor to -- after this, I give the floor to our CFO, Taru, who will go deeper into the balance sheet issues. But before this, we decided to acquire the share capital of the automotive industry software company, Netwheels, which is a nice add on to our current businesses during the -- inside the motor businesses, Nettiauto and others. It's a service to -- for corporate customers. It provides a software on a SaaS basis for the automotive industry. A lot of data around cars and other vehicles that the industry uses. The revenue of that company is about EUR 8 million, and that will be an add on to current revenues and profitability. All right. So that's it. Briefly, a good year, a very good year in these circumstances. And now Taru, you can continue with the financials. Floor is yours.

Taru Lehtinen

executive
#3

Thank you, Kai, and hello, everyone, and welcome to our analyst info also from my behalf. It's my pleasure to give you an overview of Alma Media's financial position for the first time as CFO. So I will begin by discussing our long-term targets. The year 2023 was challenging for our revenue growth target due to the market headwinds. Despite these difficulties in the market, we were able to keep the strong baseline for revenue following the strong performance in previous years. In 2023, we had decline in advertising sales, but stable development in our marketplace business and in recruitment on average and robust growth in B2B services and marketplaces. Regarding the operating margin, our successful business portfolio strategy combined with our proactive cost controlling actions resulted a strong operating margin of 24.1%. In a difficult market situation, this can be considered an excellent achievement. We are tracked to reach our long-term profitability target 25%. Our leverage also continued to develop according to our expectations and our financial position is still in a good level. Our target is to keep net debt-to-EBITDA ratio below 2.5. And currently, we are in the level of 1.6. Now let's discuss more about our financial position. We have had quite stable development in our balance sheet in recent years following our investment peak in 2021. However, the Q4 was quite active for us. We signed a 10-year extension for Helsinki office agreement, and we also renewed our long-term financing agreements. These actions led to an increase in our debt by approximately EUR 30 million. In addition, we repaid EUR 10 million in short-term loans during Q4. It is important to note also that our cash reserves increased while we were covering our financing needs for Netwheels acquisitions in January. In the total, our net debt decreased by EUR 5.4 million. Our gearing going down accordingly, while our equity is also getting stronger towards year-end. It is also worth of mentioning that due to the higher market interest rates, our financing cost has also increased during 2023. Our average interest rate was 3.2% and compared to 0.9% in previous year. And then cash flow. Our operating cash flow was strong in Q4, amounting to EUR 19.6 million as a result of cost saving measures that helped us to get back on track after slower development in Q2 and Q3. Although the Q4 cash flow was better than in the previous year, it would not exceed the strong full year '22. The reasons behind the lower cash flow was that we actually paid more taxes during the year and those taxes mainly concerning year 2022 and increased interest payments due to the rising market interest rates. Regarding the net working capital, we have had -- in the previous year, we have experienced a quite significant boost from higher advanced payments received. Actually, the difference between '21 and '22 was almost EUR 6 million. And in '23, the development of advanced payments was stable. I would repeat to say that our cash flow level from operating activities is somewhere between '22 and '23. And our free cash flow after investments was EUR 52.5 million compared to previous year, EUR 70.8 million, changed driven by operating cash flow as previously explained and the sale of Bolt Group shares in '22. And then moving over to investments and capital expenditures. Our investments totaling EUR 26 million in 2023. Of this, approximately EUR 14 million was related to leasing agreements, EUR 2.3 million used for acquisitions and remaining approximately EUR 9 million were invested in our products and assets as a capital expenditure. Our investments are supporting our strategy to develop digital industry solutions and expand our services in customers' value chain in housing, in mobility and in recruitment common platform. In addition, we made investments to our premises. We anticipate maintaining the current level of capital expenditures for year 2024. And we did not report any acquisitions in Q4. Return on investments and return on equity continues to deliver in a good level and our full year earnings per share was EUR 0.69. This was actually EUR 0.19 less than previous year, and the decline can be explained by a couple exceptional items. The gain from the sale of Bolt Group shares last year increased the result in '22. And in addition, the group's interest expenses rose due to the increase in market interest rates. The change in the fair value of interest derivative also explains the decrease in the earnings per share. In 2022, we recorded a positive change in fair value of EUR 5.2 million. Towards the year-end of '23, long-term interest rates started to decline, which led to a negative change in fair value of EUR 1.1 million. There actually were not other significant factors explaining the difference in earnings per share while our adjusted EBITDA remained at the previous year level. And then finally, I'm pleased to inform that Alma Media's Board is proposing the dividend of EUR 0.45 to be paid, slight up from previous year and representing 65.6% payout ratio. Our solid business performance continued to support our ability to pay a good dividend inline with our long-term policy to pay at least half of the earnings per share as a dividend. That concludes my presentation. Thank you.

Kai Telanne

executive
#4

Thank you, Taru. As I said, a solid base for future development balance sheet in a healthy situation. I will go through the current view on the operational environment as a basis for future strategy as we had in place. As you know, we have challenges all over the place. The difficulties in the global environment will continue. The news are not good at the moment. Economies are slowing down, even though we have a slight positive signals in the market, I will go to this later. Consumer behavior, increasing regulation and of course, the care politics that will affect our businesses. These are the four main issues that we follow carefully. I heard early in the morning that we have also the fresh figures from the European Commission the changes are not big ones. So these are not the newest ones, but these are from the November 15 last year. But the big picture is here. So the message is that economies are going to pick up step by step. The message is that the beginning of the year seem to be difficult, but changes are awaited after the summer, more or less. And that's our view as well. Especially in Finland, it seems that the beginning of the year is slowish. That ad market will be difficult. But by the end of the year, the situation might change. As we have heard, the interest rates are going down, but expected to go down. Inflation is going down as seen here. The GDPs in our operating countries are going to increase as seen here. And unfortunately, the labor market will be quite favorable in the markets. The unemployment rates are not going to increase despite the difficulties in the market. And in the main markets of ours, the situation is pretty good. So we have a good basis for the carrier business that we have in 11 countries. But the Finland seems to be the problem. More or less, the ad market is on a low level as it is actually all over the world at the moment, especially the newspaper business or the print business overall is difficult. Luckily, we don't have that much on share on that part of the business, but also the digital advertising is on a low level in Finland. And that's because of the consumer confidence and the purchasing power being on a low level of the customers. So our advertising customers don't advertise because of the poor demand, and that will continue -- we expect that will continue in the beginning of this year as well. We have a lot of effort, businesses and initiatives in two businesses in Finland, being houses and premises; and cars and other vehicles. And of course, we follow carefully the development of these markets. As we all know, the housing business has been difficult, and it's difficult at the moment, the new apartment. Sales has been on a very low level. For the year '22, the decline was almost 50%. And again, last year, more than 60%. So it has almost stopped. During the first 3 quarters last year, we had a relatively good performance in our services, meaning in classified businesses and advertising as well compared to the market. But during the last quarter also, we were affected with the poor development of the housing market, meaning that the demand or the surges in our services went down 16%. The renting market has been good. Of course, that's the side effect of the poor housing market, other housing market, but the biggest business of ours is, of course, in Etuovi.com and the related businesses. So the forecast is that there won't be rapid changes in the market, but hopefully, by the later part of the year, this year will be better. And for the mobility services, a little bit better market development 7% for the full year, new car business up and used car 4%. But still, the market level is very low compared to the average level for the decade, more than 114,000 new passenger cars sold and last year, only a little bit below 90,000 cars. So there's a lot of room to improve. And compared to the market, our business has been running nicely. The sold cars in our services totaling almost 5% up. So the value of the cars has been higher. And the gross market value of the sales also was 5% up, which is, of course, good. So the volume and the activities in the services of ours has been on a high side. So that's it. What happens next? We decided to speed up the development of the company and further speed up the strategy. We decided to renew the organization and disclose the new structure in the morning today that starts in the beginning of next month. In order to enhance the cooperation inside similar businesses in the company to accelerate the implementation of the strategy and increase, of course, from your point of view, as investors, the transparency of the businesses and the operations. And from the 1st of March on, we will have 3 segments: Alma Career. It will be as is, so no changes there. But Alma Marketplaces, Alma News Media will be a different mix of services than we have had before going that later. We will merge also the Finnish companies into one entity that will take place approximately by the end of August. And that will help us to use the data that we have a lot inside the company for further purposes. These are the segments and what they consist of carrier led by Vesa-Pekka Kirsi, who is there. It will stay as is, 11 countries, leading job boards in 11 countries and other services. The biggest segment of our healthy EBIT margin of 41%. The second one is a combination of our News Media services in Finland, led by Juha-Petri Loimovuori, leading digital news media in the Finnish market, pioneer in paid digital content and a leader in digital advertising. EUR 110 million almost and EBIT margin of 13% last year. And thirdly, Alma Marketplace is led by Santtu Elsinen, who is here as well. All the marketplaces, mobility and business premises comparison services and then the business-to-business services that we had before in talent segment, meaning the insight services for legal insights or commercial premises or whatever. EUR 85 million, EBIT margin of 31%. So that's it. These two career and marketplaces are almost fully digital services and still some print business in the news media sector, but almost 60% in a new form digital business there as well. So that's it, leading brands in key areas, strong position in Central Eastern Europe as well as in Nordic countries. So the strategy will continue. We will continue transforming the core digital businesses as well. The print business is growing digital and continue with internationalizing especially the career services. That's it. And also basis for the new way of organizing is to enhance the synergy creation here. As you might know, we have concentrated on four specific areas to share inside the company, and those are audiences that we try to deliver and move around the services, data that we gather a lot on a daily basis. Technology that we use around the corporation. We have a lot of initiatives in order to use all the skills and the technology that we have in the company. Alma Career United project is one of those, but we have other initiatives as well. Might be good to mention that we have more than 50 initiatives on AI around the company at the moment. And of course, the common ad sales Media Solutions, which is responsible for selling the advertising for all the services of our businesses. Yes, so that's it. We are moving from a classified advertising only -- from only classified advertising to transactional businesses and new revenue sources as well. This is something that we had disclosed earlier, so there's no need to go deeper into this, but a lot of initiatives in this side as well. And finally, the outlook for the year that has already started. So we are not waiting for big steps ahead in revenues due to the poor development of the markets especially on the beginning of the year. We expect that if the markets are going to remain as is, we are able to defend the revenues and the profitability of last year, which was all-time high record levels. So that's our aim. And then there's some explanation on the outlook in the lower part of that slide, I won't repeat that. So that's it. There will be headwind still in the market, but we have a very good plan in place and are quite confident that we are able to keep the good profitability level still. So that was my part. And if you have any questions, Taru and I, we are more than happy to answer those. Please Taru, come to the stage.

Noel Kojo-Ganson

analyst
#5

Noel Kojo-Ganson from SAB. So starting with the outlook. So earlier, you discussed that markets could pick up in H2. So if you think about your guidance, so will the market recover in H2 being upside to your guidance? Or is it somehow included?

Kai Telanne

executive
#6

Noel, so the main idea behind the outlook is that the market will remain as is. So it will be difficult as it had been. So if the market is going to pick up we might be able to improve or we should be able to improve yet. That will be an upside.

Noel Kojo-Ganson

analyst
#7

All right. Great. That helps. Then you talked about your 2023 was supported by cost improvement actions. So how should we look at 2024 from that point of view? How much will you still adjust your cost further in 2024 in addition to those ones you made in '23 and then looking at maybe cost inflation and pricing increases in '24?

Kai Telanne

executive
#8

We have -- of course, we have the cost inflation as everybody in place, meaning the cost have inflation in there. But then we have always, as we have had before, we have a Plan A and Plan B. We start the year with the plan A like the normal budget or the plan, and then we follow the market carefully. And if the year doesn't start as expected. We will deploy the Plan B like we did last year. While the year didn't start from revenues perspective, as expected. You might remember that the forecast '22 -- at the end of '22 were similar as we have here now. So we were waiting for the market to pick up, but that didn't happen. So the pickup was postponed all the time. Now we have the same situation. The forecast is that the market will pick up eventually, but we will see that do we need to postpone the pickup or not. And due to this, we have also Plan B. And it doesn't take very much a effort on us to decide, do we have to apply the Plan B, which means that we have to cut the cost. We try to avoid this kind of cost cuts that will harm our abilities for future prosperity, meaning this kind of structural changes that will destroy our competitiveness in the markets. So we try to keep on the level of the investments and the product development efforts and those. And then meaning that we have this plan, we include this kind of moving costs, fixes more or less, as we have had also before like last year. So that's the case. So usually, you have in plan a slightly increasing cost with the development plan. And if the market doesn't develop as expected. We take this level of the cost.

Noel Kojo-Ganson

analyst
#9

All right. So the Plan A doesn't include further significant cost cuts?

Kai Telanne

executive
#10

No.

Noel Kojo-Ganson

analyst
#11

All right. That clarifies. Then last one from me and maybe on the new segment structure. So what was the catalyst for you to change this segment structure right now. So -- and then maybe a follow-up to that, that there has been quite a much structuring in Nordic media space. So will this new structure maybe enable you to be part of those kind of restructurings going forward?

Kai Telanne

executive
#12

Yes. I'll start from the later part of the question. Having decided to reorganize the business, we haven't had that kind of thought of taking part of the -- like the Nordic level restructuring at all. So this is like decision of our own strategy development. And why do we do this now? As you might know, our strategic development has been this kind of step-by-step development from print to digital step by step. And this like an organizational learning curve more or less. We started by learning to do cooperation 20 years ago and step by step, we have moved forward. And we've achieved what we can achieve with the current structure or the structure that we have today, but not next month. So we have got all the synergies more or less that we can achieve with this way. And now we are organizing the businesses closely with the similar businesses closer to each other, meaning that the media businesses, they try to achieve more synergies together with all the medias that we have, the news media. And the same applies to services like marketplaces and other services. So we can -- we try to use all the technical capabilities inside the services better than we have been able to do with the current structure. So that's like a step-by-step evolution more than a revolution in our case. So we just make the businesses differently and try to do the business as good as possible, and we are positive that, that will take us to the next level, again, improve the profitability, improve the revenue development, improve the ability to use modern technology. We have the AI services, a lot coming and so on. So that will be the idea.

Petri Gostowski

analyst
#13

Petri Gostowski from Inderes. If I start with Netwheels, I was slightly surprised with the price, and it was a bit lower than I have expected. So is there something you can share on the '23 profitability of the business? And also, what are your plans going forward? Does it require investment in the business? And how does the growth outlook look here?

Kai Telanne

executive
#14

Yes. The Netwheels is a nice supplement and add on to our current vehicle portfolio. It is part of -- I would say that from our point of view and from our customers' point of view, it's an elementary part of the complete service being like the data core for car sales more or less, and that's nice. Regarding the price, we always pay the fair price for everybody. So that's the case, and it's the way we behave, we pay a fair price. And of course, the idea is, of course, that we have the ability to develop the service as part of the complete portfolio. Santtu Elsinen, who is leading the segment, they have a very good plan and a lot of ideas how to create a nice combination of those services in order to serve the B2B customers, meaning the car dealers or the importers or whatever. And of course, the private customers as well inside the services. Of course, there is the kind of product development technological investment needs in every service. We know that the early when we try to find or we buy the service. We know that, of course, there is something to do. But overall, the Netwheels business is nice and working smoothly and so on. There's a very good people inside the business. And so it's a very good add-on to our services and skills at the moment. You can continue.

Santtu Elsinen

executive
#15

Santtu Elsinen here, I'm Head of Alma Consumer. To continue on the topic. So main rationale behind the Netwheels acquisition was the combination of our two capabilities. So Netwheels has a product called GT-X, which is market leader in Finland. It contains data about basically every car. So what kind of accessories they have, do they have HUD, do they have air conditioning, et cetera. So it has a huge database of all of the different varieties of car models available in this market. Whereas Alma previously through the Nettix marketplaces, especially Nettiauto, but also Autotalli as well. We have a huge data asset in used car sales. So by combining the extensive database of vehicles with the demand data from our marketplaces, we are able to create a new set of services. And for example, we have personally been a Netwheels customer for many years, we used their capabilities in our car dealer management systems. So that is kind of the main rationale behind this.

Petri Gostowski

analyst
#16

Jumping to Career then. I noticed there was some internal items in the Czech Republic revenue development on Q4. Can you help me understand what these were?

Kai Telanne

executive
#17

Taru, would you like to continue?

Taru Lehtinen

executive
#18

Yes, I can comment on that. So we have a business unit called Alma Career Central which is including Slovakia, Czech and Poland companies, and those were like intercompany items between those 3 different companies. So nothing like that much. That would tell something about the business performance behind those, and they were like allocated to Q4 in that sense.

Petri Gostowski

analyst
#19

And then continuing with the Career in the Czech Republic. I mean, earlier, you commented on the first half demand development or revenue development based on the invoicing, can you provide any comments what should we expect now in H1?

Kai Telanne

executive
#20

Yes. So the invoicing level was a little bit below the revenue level during the second and third quarter last year, meaning and what we expected that, okay, this has to affect the revenues during the fourth quarter and the beginning of this year. We have here also Vesa-Pekka Kirsi, who is leading the segment. If you want to continue, you can. But the idea is that, yes, the slowest invoicing -- slightly slowing invoicing level would affect the revenues later and it seems that it does also with hand-in-hand with the slowing economies of Czech Republic and other countries as well. So this these curves will be at the same level, more or less. And of course, we're waiting for the situation to change during the later part of this year. And it seems that the beginning of this year might be a little bit slowish there as well before the economies are starting to recover as expected from the European Commission as we have seen before. So that is the more or less the forecast at the moment.

Petri Gostowski

analyst
#21

And lastly, a detailed question. There was a big deviation on the interest payments in your cash flow statement and your P&L. So is this solely from the hedge...

Taru Lehtinen

executive
#22

Yes, it is coming from the hedge agreement so -- because we don't see any effect in cash flow when doing the fair value adjustments, but shown in the profit and loss. And our hedging agreement is valid from the December '23. So now we are starting to get the -- all the positive effects to our cash flow now starting from the year 2024.

Petri Gostowski

analyst
#23

And to continue, should we expect the amount of cash interest to keep -- to stay on the Q4 level going forward?

Taru Lehtinen

executive
#24

Yes, I may. Of course, I cannot expect estimate how the interest rate will develop. But of course, because we are starting to get positive effects from the agreement now. So yes.

Kai Telanne

executive
#25

Overall, the 1% change in interest rates means about EUR 1.6 million of...

Taru Lehtinen

executive
#26

In cash flow, but then we have to net -- the positive effect of our interest derivative also, which is actually on like 1/3 of that way. Yes? .

Elina Kukkonen

executive
#27

Okay. I think we can move to the online questions, please, Teemu?

Teemu Salmi

executive
#28

Well, first of all, Happy to say that we have a record number of online questions. So the online community has really picked up. We can start from Ben Akenes, who is asking, would you consider raising interest-bearing debt in 2024?

Kai Telanne

executive
#29

No. Well, we don't have any need for that, if we don't have any big like acquisition targets in sight. So there's no need to take any extra debt. On the contrary, we have with the balance sheet of course we have room for new debt from that point of view, but we don't do that if you don't have any targets.

Teemu Salmi

executive
#30

Fair enough. This is also from Ben, what is the most significant risk for Alma this year?

Kai Telanne

executive
#31

The biggest risk is, of course, the surrounding environment, the economies of ours, in 11 or 12 countries that we have. So if the markets are not going to develop as expected, so the difficulties will continue. So the headwind will continue. So that's the biggest difference. Then of course, the consumer confidence because of the war because of the inflation because of the high interest rates, that affects heavily to the demand of our customers. That's the second one. The third one is, of course, the competition. So the American big players being in the market, especially in the ad market is the third one. So their moves always affect us. And so far, they've been really successful in the businesses, in that businesses and taking most part of the digital ad investments in Finland as well. So those 3 are the big ones. Of course, we have then the big moves like technology, tech development and consumer habits and those but in short or midterm, the first 3 ones are the biggest ones.

Teemu Salmi

executive
#32

As a side note, sorry, I haven't regrouped or grouped these questions. So these are in chronological order. So we are jumping from one to the other , just so that you know that. So the next is from Steven Hesburn. Are you planning on launching any new group-wide ESG initiatives this year?

Kai Telanne

executive
#33

We have a set of nice targets on that side. meaning 7 different kind of targets. And we have also -- all those for all personnel in our bonus system. So the answer is no, we are staying with the current ones.

Teemu Salmi

executive
#34

From Steven as well. Are you satisfied with your current capital structure? Or could we see moves on this front in 2024?

Kai Telanne

executive
#35

I am satisfied with that. I have to ask the CFO.

Taru Lehtinen

executive
#36

I also satisfied.

Kai Telanne

executive
#37

Yes, so we are satisfied.

Teemu Salmi

executive
#38

And final question from Steven Hesburn. Would you consider doing M&A transactions this year? What kind of targets for M&A?

Kai Telanne

executive
#39

Yes. Yes, of course, the management is working heavily all the time with the inorganic growth as we have done. And before we have done since 2005 more than 70 transactions. And that will continue, of course, step by step, we are developing our balance sheet and ability to invest. And we have a nice set of different kind of prospects. So I would say that in midterm, the journey will continue. And then the later part was that what kind of targets we have? So the targets are always inside the strategy, meaning that the digital businesses, digital services close to our current businesses.

Teemu Salmi

executive
#40

Okay. This is from Antti Jussi. How do you view the pricing? Are customers willing to pay more for the services this year?

Kai Telanne

executive
#41

Yes. Of course, we've done the price increases hand-in-hand with the inflation all the time, sometimes a little bit more than before. But of course, with the headwind in the market with the poor demand, it's not that easy to do the price increases. So the customers are not able to pay higher prices. So we have to be really careful with the price increases.

Teemu Salmi

executive
#42

And this is from Antti Jussi as well. How do the rising interest rate environment affect Alma's business in general and the result?

Kai Telanne

executive
#43

The biggest effect comes from the demand side, meaning for houses and premises sector and the car sector. And then overall, of course, for the advertising where the demand for our customers is on a low level in every business the ability to invest in marketing is on the low side, so it affects to everything, every business of ours. We are not afraid of the interest rates of ours. So the loan or the debt level of ours is sustainable. So that's not the problem. But the biggest issue is, of course, the demand side of our customers.

Teemu Salmi

executive
#44

Okay. And this is from Elina Heikkilae. What is the most important strategic target for the group this year?

Kai Telanne

executive
#45

We develop or drive the strategy in a balanced way, meaning that we have the most important targets for every segment. So I don't have this kind of -- I would say, the kind of rate for this or that because the idea is to develop all the businesses in a sustainable way. And inside the segments, we have, of course, the order of -- but it's not necessary right now to go through this. We can do that later. But of course, they are related to the development of the advanced platforms meaning tech development, new product development, increased synergies inside the businesses, way of organizing the businesses and those. So this is -- but then overall, I would say that the most important part is to guarantee the current businesses, meaning guaranteeing the way of the initiatives that we have inside the current businesses. And secondly, trying -- we're trying to grow inorganically with new businesses, close to our -- so this will be the biggest ones.

Teemu Salmi

executive
#46

This is also from Elina, partly related. Could new technological innovations offer you new growth opportunities in the near-term future? And any concrete comments on these?

Kai Telanne

executive
#47

Hopefully, yes. We have a lot of the kind of abilities that are of international nature like in the commercial premises or the housing businesses like this DIAS service which is one of its kind as far as I know in the world at the moment or other that kind of businesses. We have more than 6 or would say, around 600 people working around software development at the moment, and that's quite a good bunch of skilled people to develop for runner services for the target areas that we have. So we wait for very advanced services from this set of skills also in the future. And to add on that, as mentioned, we have more than 50 initiatives around AI to deploy inside the services or around the services that we have with the partners that we work with, either they customers or other stakeholders. So we used to this kind of group of skills and a set of skills together.

Teemu Salmi

executive
#48

Let's go to Netwheels for a moment. First, from Elina Heikkilae, how has the integration of Netwheels progressed?

Kai Telanne

executive
#49

You can comment on that.

Santtu Elsinen

executive
#50

Okay. So Santtu Elsinen here again, it progresses well. Of course, we have just started since the deal was closed on the end of January. So there hasn't been a very long period to actually do the integration, but it progresses well. So obviously, the people will move into our premises here at [indiscernible] by summer. And then we will aim to finalize all of the ongoing procedures during the fourth quarter of this year. So no major surprises there.

Teemu Salmi

executive
#51

And the second question about Netwheels comes from Ben Akenes we saw acquisition of Netwheels in January, and now we're going back to the M&A question, which you have partly already touched upon, but let's see if you want to clarify that a bit. But will we see other acquisitions during this year? And is M&A a priority for you?

Kai Telanne

executive
#52

Hopefully, we will see transactions during the year, during every year, hopefully. But of course, it depends very much on the progress of the negotiation with different kind of parties and targets usually or sometimes they take a little bit longer, especially the bigger movements or moves, they could be longer to negotiate. But yes, my expectation is that we will also move on the M&A side this year.

Teemu Salmi

executive
#53

And from Ben Akenes, would you consider expanding to new geographic areas during this year?

Kai Telanne

executive
#54

Hopefully, yes. So we are moving at the moment in the Balkan area with the Career segment, and that is quite an interesting area. We want to continue there.

Teemu Salmi

executive
#55

Okay. Let's take a print business related question now. Charles Benson asks, will there be a future for the print business? Any positive highlights?

Kai Telanne

executive
#56

So the -- as I said before, I've several times been asked that when does that end? Do we do print business next year or after 5 years? Or what? And the answer has been that we will do the print or deliver the print as long as the customers want to have it. So that's the overall answer -- the clear short answer to that. But the strategy of ours has been to transform the print to digital, of course, and that's what is happening. And with the new structure, we will speed up the development. And of course, at the end of the day, we will into a situation where the -- there's no sense of doing the print business. But that doesn't come to next year or the following year, it will take years. But at the moment, there's a lot of sense to have a print or a combination of print and digital. It's profitable, still the print business, not as profitable as the digital business, but still, it's a combination of those that we do and will continue until at the end of the day, the print will melt down and will be closed.

Teemu Salmi

executive
#57

Okay. Pia Rosqvist-Heinsalmi from Carnegie asks, your new structural reveals that the News Media business saw an EBIT margin of 13% last year. Is there any room for you to improve this still?

Kai Telanne

executive
#58

Yes. The Head of News Media has promised that he will improve the profitability remarkably during the coming years. But [indiscernible], would you like to comment on that?

Unknown Executive

executive
#59

Thank you, Pia, for the question and Kai for the comment. So we are going to do our best. Of course, it's good to remark that last year was not so good for the journalistic media business everywhere. So I hope that we can go to the better results during the coming years.

Kai Telanne

executive
#60

Yes, it's fair to say that the current or the previous situation in the market with a very low level of advertising has been difficult for the News Media. And from a profitability point of view, the margin for the advertising is, of course, high and it's really difficult to improve the profitability unless the ad market starts to pick up. That's fair to say. But you can do on the cost side, with the improved synergies, shared technology and so on. So there's kind of step-wise possibilities to improve the profitability. And of course, the target has to be better.

Teemu Salmi

executive
#61

Two questions about the new segment structure to be in place. Charles Benson asks merger of the legal companies, will this cause nonrecurring expenses? And any estimation of how large this will be in 2024?

Kai Telanne

executive
#62

I can't imagine any kind of cost from the legal structure change.

Taru Lehtinen

executive
#63

Me neither, I wouldn't say that, there wouldn't.

Kai Telanne

executive
#64

Yes. So the benefits come from simply a structure for the financial department, it's easy, of course. But the main issue from our point of view should be the better possibilities to use the data that we gather and to leverage the data to all of the services of the company. And that comes from the juridical structures or the limitations between the companies that we have at the moment inside the corporation.

Teemu Salmi

executive
#65

Okay. And Charles Benson asked also a new segment structure announcement. Will this have an impact on the financial reporting this year?

Kai Telanne

executive
#66

Yes. it will. So we will start to report from the second quarter of this year, Taru can continue, but we will have the comparable numbers in place already then.

Taru Lehtinen

executive
#67

Yes. So the pro forma numbers will be published in the beginning of April.

Teemu Salmi

executive
#68

Okay. From Charles Benson. This actually might go to Taru, let's see. Finance expenses are going up. Would you consider deleveraging this year?

Taru Lehtinen

executive
#69

Yes, we will continue to repay our loans as much as it is possible and it depends if we have some other use for the money like investments or M&A. But yes, our plan is to repay that loan.

Teemu Salmi

executive
#70

Okay. Elina Heikkilae remarks that investors hope for growth, how do you improve revenue growth this year?

Kai Telanne

executive
#71

Yes, the organic growth possibilities are heavily dependent on the market development, of course. And then secondly, what is in our hands is, of course, our product development and sales capabilities that we try to improve all the time. Product development, pricing, sales efforts, marketing and those, those are in our hands. But then, to be honest, to grow organically more than inflation, it needs the market to improve, that is clear. Of course, we try to take market share, but that remains to be seen. But then in organic growth, we have capability to invest EUR 100 million to EUR 150 million for acquisitions. And of course, with good targets in hand, we will do that definitely.

Teemu Salmi

executive
#72

Sanna Perälä from Nordea Markets, same issue here. Do you see '24 as back-end loaded, meaning first half will decline and second half grow? That was the question.

Kai Telanne

executive
#73

So what does it mean the question?

Teemu Salmi

executive
#74

Well, do you see this year being back-end loaded, meaning that there will be a decline in the first half and then growth in the second?

Kai Telanne

executive
#75

Yes, that's what I tried to say. So the forecast, the overall forecast, not only for us, from our side is that the start of the year will be difficult as is like the last year. And then the growth might start or speed up as we've seen from the forecast from the European economies. But from I'm a little bit skeptical from the Finnish ability to grow -- the market to grow, but in other countries where we are in I'm more confident with that. But as the overall, the common understanding right now is that the beginning of the year will be difficult with all the troubles in place that we have here. And then after the summer, the prospect is better.

Teemu Salmi

executive
#76

You got three more questions to go. Ben Akenes is asking about the same issue. How do you interpret the recent changes in consumer behavior in Finland? And will this pose challenges to your growth this year?

Kai Telanne

executive
#77

Yes. We will have especially in the first half of the year, we will have the same issues and the same challenges that we had in the -- during the last year. So the demand is on the low side. Interest rates are high. Inflation is still there. The consumer confidence is on the low side. And so that will be, of course, and has its effects on our businesses, on houses and premises, cars, advertising and those. So the difficulties will remain there.

Teemu Salmi

executive
#78

Okay. So Charles Benson is asking about the geopolitical tensions. Do the current geopolitical global changes have any impact on your business? And do you take risk management actions to manage this?

Kai Telanne

executive
#79

Yes. We don't have any business in -- of course, not in Russia. We haven't had there nor in Ukraine. So we don't have this kind of direct effect. But of course, all the troubles the effect to other businesses like the said before. So the overall economical development is affected by the war. And we don't have any special mitigation initiatives regarding the war in Ukraine at the moment because of not having the businesses in there.

Teemu Salmi

executive
#80

Okay. And final question and one comment. But final question is from Antti-Jussi. Will AI, artificial intelligent, initiatives increased your sales this year?

Kai Telanne

executive
#81

Hopefully, yes. So the idea is to deploy the AI as soon as possible into the services into the current services. And of course, we try to increase or develop the services with the AI to the next level. And of course, the second thing from -- that's a revenue potential that we have there. And then the second thing is, of course, the cost side. So like for the software development, the guys have promised me that they will decrease the developer cost by 30%, remains to be seen, but that's the view. But for other purposes as well. So [indiscernible] and the editors there they have a nice a bunch of initiatives around the journalistic development with the AI helping the journalist to create the content and for the ad sales or subscription sales as well. How do we use and deploy the data for the purpose of every business with AI. That's a big question. So the shortly, of course, we wait the AI to help to grow the business services, media and other business that we have.

Teemu Salmi

executive
#82

Just one more comment to go. This is from Rambo. Good job.

Kai Telanne

executive
#83

It's not a question. Thank you, Rambo. Rambo actually -- just to clarify, Rambo was the former leader of the Career segment of our who just retired 2 years ago. So thank you, Rambo. We try to keep the business running as before. Thank you very much. If no further questions, we are ready to close the session and here you have the next -- okay. It's an annual report, yes. And then the first quarter, 5th of April, the Annual General Meeting; 19th of April, the interim report for the first quarter and so on. If you don't have any further questions, we can close the session. I thank you very much for your interest, and we'll meet latest Friday, 19th of April. Thank you.

Taru Lehtinen

executive
#84

Thank you.

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