Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ALNY) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

November 12, 2024

NASDAQ US Health Care Biotechnology conference_presentation 35 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Eliana Merle

analyst
#1

Hi. Good morning, everyone. I'm Eliana Merle, one of the biotech analysts here at UBS. Very happy to have Alnylam here with us for a fireside chat. Joining us from Alnylam is Jeff Poulton, Chief Financial Officer; and Sandeep Menon, Chief Development Officer. Thank you both for joining us this morning.

Eliana Merle

analyst
#2

Maybe just to start off, you've mentioned that we're approaching a large inflection point for the company. Maybe to start off, can you provide a summary of some of the highlights from this past year, but then also going forward, what we should be focused on?

Jeffrey Poulton

executive
#3

Absolutely. I'll kick this off. So we reported our Q3 results at the end of October. We had a very strong quarter from a product sales perspective. Overall growth in the portfolio was 34%, and that was the third quarter this year that we've had year-over-year growth of north of 30% in both franchises, both the TTR business as well as the ultra-rare or rare business are growing north of 30% year-to-date. That performance actually allowed us at the Q2 results to upgrade our guidance for the year on product sales by about 11%. So it's been a good year commercially, and I'm sure we'll talk more about some of the dynamics in the TTR marketplace, where we've got new competition for the first time this year. And then moving to the big event for the year, obviously, was the HELIOS-B readout. We had top line out at the end of June, and then we presented the full results at ESC and had a simultaneous presentation in the New England Journal of Medicine. Data was terrific, obviously, from our perspective. We hit on all 10 end points stat sig in the study, and we're now -- and we've got very good feedback, I would say, from the marketplace in the KOL community on that data, and we're now moving through the regulatory process. So we announced, I think it was at our TTR Investor Day that we had filed in the U.S. in early October. We've also completed submissions in Europe, and we announced this week in Japan as well. On the U.S. side, we'll use a priority review voucher. So that means 6 months from the date of filing is when we would expect an FDA action date. So that would put the approval and launch assume early next year, if you go from 6 months from early October. Let's see. I think we also held a TTR Investor Day in New York in October, and we really talked about the opportunity that we see ahead in the cardiomyopathy part of the market, some of the dynamics in the market that are allowing it to grow at a pretty rapid pace, a lot of unmet need. And we talked about why we think we're well positioned for leadership there longer term. As it relates to the pipeline, a couple of things going on in the pipeline. One is, of course, our hypertension program. We have initiated a Phase II study called KARDIA-3 that's looking at zilebesiran in combination with multiple standard-of-care medicines. We expect that study to read out next year, and that will really be informative for a CVOT that will follow. We've also made a lot of progress in the pipeline in CNS, our ALN-APP program. We've provided some initial data in the multi-dose portion of that study where knockdown and safety still look good. We've also initiated a Phase II study in CAA with that -- with mivelsiran. And we've also recently announced that we've initiated a Phase I study in Huntington's, which I'm sure Sandeep will have some comments on later. I think the things to look for towards the end of the year and early next year that people are interested in, in the pipeline. ALN-APP, we have the potential to initiate a study, a Phase II study in Alzheimer's at or around the end of the year. And then I think the big thing that people are focused on in the pipeline is TTRSc04 and what the Phase III design will look like. And we've commented that we expect to provide data on that in the first quarter of next year. So those are whistle-stop 2 or the highlights, I would say, for the year so far.

Eliana Merle

analyst
#4

Great. It's an exciting time.

Sandeep Menon

executive
#5

I just want to add as well that for Zilebesiran, we are waiting for the K3 data that will come, individuals in high-risk -- CV risk patients. And all going well, we want to start a CVOT study end of this year -- end of next year.

Eliana Merle

analyst
#6

Makes sense. Maybe before we dive into some of the pipeline programs starting with TTR. So the cardiomyopathy launch next year is going to be watched very, very closely and helpful Investor Day on the TTR commercial landscape. But maybe, I just want to dive into a little bit sort of your views of the frontline market and how you view uptake and say, naive patients versus switches. I think you made some interesting commentary around seeing sort of a lot of uptake in naive patients. Maybe just as we think of the cadence of the launch next year, where do you see sort of this initial uptake between the naive and switches?

Jeffrey Poulton

executive
#7

Yes. Good question. And this was something that we spent a fair amount of time on, I think, at the TTR Investor Day to sort of frame out the different segments that we see in the marketplace. And that first-line segment, first of all, in terms of the sizing of that, we think that right now, there's about 18,000 globally new naive patients that are diagnosed and come on to treatment on an annual basis. And of course, that's something over time that could grow as you get more entrants into the market and you get more companies investing in disease awareness activity to drive up diagnosis rates. But there's a variety of reasons why we think that we have the opportunity to succeed in that first-line setting. And I'd start with the clinical considerations from HELIOS-B. And I think the thing that we've gotten the most feedback on positive -- feedback about the results is the fact that this was -- these results were delivered in a contemporary patient population. So what does that mean? That means patients that are milder in the course of the disease than prior studies that have been conducted in this patient population and patients that were on significant concomitant medicines. In HELIOS-B, we know at baseline that 40% of the patients were on tafamidis. And so having that patient population and showing these results, I think, gives the physician community a lot of confidence about the clinical effectiveness of the drug. And then if you go through the clinical results in the study, starting with, of course, outcomes, the all-cause mortality data in the study was particularly impressive. I think in the primary end point at 33 to 36 months in the overall population, we saw a 31% reduction. And then the secondary endpoint that went out to 42 months, we saw a 36% reduction in the overall population and 35% in the monotherapy population. A lot of confidence, I think, in the drug because of that, looking beyond the outcome measures in the study on functional status, health status, functional endpoints, quality of life. We also showed data that look particularly impressive from a stabilization perspective. If you look at the 6-minute walk curves and the KCCQ curves in the observed patients, you really see very stable outcomes there. And then lastly, I think it was the consistency of effect across the subpopulations in the study that was also -- generates confidence and allows us to potentially compete very effectively first line. Two things to point out there. In the TAF subgroup in the HELIOS-B study, we showed pretty remarkable efficacy on tafamidis. If you look at the all-cause mortality benefit in that 42-month secondary endpoint, we showed a 41% benefit on top of tafamidis. And then also, if you look at the study in the younger patients, and the less -- on NT-proBNP, the patients at less than 2,000 at baseline, the outcome data there was particularly striking, which seems to argue for early treatment. So it's all of that together, I think that gives us a lot of confidence that we're going to compete well in a first-line setting, and a reminder that this is a steadily progressive fatal disease. Patients typically when they're diagnosed, have a 2.5- to 5.5-year life expectancy. So there's the desire to go on the most efficacious product and the one that's going to have the biggest impact. We think that package allows us to potentially compete very effectively first line.

Eliana Merle

analyst
#8

Absolutely. It's a very compelling data. And another topic of conversation, and this is something that we've certainly heard from physicians. I find that sometimes I get a different answer from physicians on if I say, well, what medicine would you want to be on versus what are you going to prescribe, where reimbursement is a huge factor. I know there's a lot of conversations around B, D and understanding that. But yes, what drives your confidence in...

Jeffrey Poulton

executive
#9

Yes. I mean this is another area we tried to provide some information to educate the investment community on what we expect. And so we really highlighted a lot of what the experience has been in the PN part of the market. And we actually think the CM market is going to look the same for us in terms of payer mix. So what we highlighted is that this is a population that's heavily Medicare. So about 75% of the population that we expect to be reimbursed via Medicare. And for us, we think that will be split between traditional Medicare or original Medicare will be about half of that amount and the other half would be Medicare Advantage. 20% would be commercial and then 5% would be Medicaid and other. And today, with that payer mix on the hereditary polyneuropathy part of the market, we've got about 99% access across the U.S., so almost complete availability of the product. And from an out-of-pocket cost perspective for patients across that payer mix today in PN, we have about 70% of the patients that have $0 out-of-pocket cost. And so we expect that to be similar in the CM part of the market and think that, that could be a sort of a real benefit for us as we launch in cardiomyopathy.

Eliana Merle

analyst
#10

Absolutely, it makes sense. And just from a coverage perspective, like logistically, how does this take place? You already have the coverage in polyneuropathy. Do you then automatically get coverage in cardiomyopathy?

Jeffrey Poulton

executive
#11

Not automatically. We're actually already starting those conversations with payers, obviously, to educate them on the HELIOS-B data that we've got, but those conversations will continue as we work through the regulatory process, ultimately get a label and get an approval. But that's what we're anticipating is where we're going to end up. I think we anticipate very broad access. And from an out-of-pocket burden perspective to the patients, we think it will be quite modest.

Eliana Merle

analyst
#12

Any color you can share from recent conversations with the payers?

Jeffrey Poulton

executive
#13

Not a lot of specifics. I mean, I think the field team is out and have started those conversations. I think the conversations are going well, but those won't complete and wrap up with coverage decisions until we get an approval on the label.

Eliana Merle

analyst
#14

Understood. And another topic of conversation is how to think about the market long term, particularly when tafamidis goes generic. I mean theoretically, this could be a very good thing or a very bad thing depending on how the payers treat it. What's your perspective?

Jeffrey Poulton

executive
#15

Yes. I mean I think our view is that until tafamidis goes generic, it's largely going to be a monotherapy market. And that's based again on the experience that we've had in the polyneuropathy part of the market. And if you look at AMVUTTRA today, which is labeled for hereditary polyneuropathy, about 90% of the commercial plans that cover AMVUTTRA today have exclusions for combination use. And about 2/3 of the Medicare Advantage plans that are covering AMVUTTRA for PN today also have exclusions for combination use. So that's reflective of what we'd expect, probably even more exclusions as we get into cardiomyopathy. And I think the things that lead us to believe that in addition to what we've experienced in PN is this is a larger market opportunity in CM. So it's more on payers' radar, and we see a lot of growth coming in the segment. So payers, we think will manage this pretty carefully in terms of excluding combination use, 2 very expensive medicines together. We think that will evolve and change as tafamidis goes generic, and we agree with Pfizer on the timing of that. We expect that to happen at the end of 2028. And at that point then, we think that given the affordability of tafamidis as a generic product, that combination opportunities will become more prevalent. Of course, that will be driven by data to support that. Unfortunately, for us, as I mentioned earlier, the data that we had from HELIOS-B in the TAF subgroup was really pretty compelling. Now once stat-sig, it wasn't designed to be stat-sig. But certainly pretty strong trends across all the endpoints in favor of AMVUTTRA in combination with tafamidis. So we think that positions us well for that combination opportunity post-2028. So it gives durability to the franchise. Of course, we have another opportunity in our pipeline with TTRSc04 to also think about that combination market and the importance of that as we're thinking about the Phase III study design. If we think that's particularly important from a commercial perspective, we can consider that in delivering that kind of data in the pivotal study. But more to come on that. We expect to provide detail to the market, as I mentioned in my introductory comments on Sc04 in the first quarter.

Eliana Merle

analyst
#16

Interesting. Could you tell us a little bit more about that? Maybe just the different potential strategies that you could take with Sc04?

Jeffrey Poulton

executive
#17

Let me just talk about how we're thinking about it, I think, from a long-term commercial perspective, and then I'll let Sandeep offer any additional comments that he want to -- may have from a clinical perspective. But as we're thinking about the design of the study here, this is meant to be a successor to AMVUTTRA and it has IP out to 2042. And so we're thinking about the long game with this asset. And so we're thinking about how the market may evolve over that time, right? And so we want to design a study that's going to give us data, that's going to allow us to be successful commercially for the long haul. That's probably the best way to put it. We've gotten a lot of questions about could you take a quick-to-market strategy and look at a biomarker end point? Potentially, you could, right? But you also have to think about whether or not that positions you well long term commercially in a market that will have multiple generics over time, including AMVUTTRA at a certain point. So all of those things are considerations and our thinking about how to how to design the study, but anything else you want to say clinically?

Sandeep Menon

executive
#18

Yes. I think from our perspective, Jeff, you covered it extremely well. From a clinical perspective, we are designing a trial to ensure that it's relevant for the next 15, 20 years or so, basically based on what the market is going to evolve. So for us, it's important to have that thinking process. And what we are planning to do is in the next a few months or so in the first half of next year, we will be sharing our plans and then we are excited to even start the study by next year. So I will keep it at that at this point because there's a lot of work that is going on in the clinical development plan.

Jeffrey Poulton

executive
#19

And the good news is with the HELIOS-B data, we have a lot of confidence that, that's a therapy that's going to work, right, in the clinic, and we have so much rich data from HELIOS-B that we can use in the design of that study. And so that's really what we're taking our time to do right now.

Sandeep Menon

executive
#20

Yes.

Eliana Merle

analyst
#21

Is a head-to-head study versus a tafamidis something that's in the realm of consideration?

Jeffrey Poulton

executive
#22

I don't know if I want to comment any further...

Sandeep Menon

executive
#23

Yes, I think it's a little bit early actually, because we are working to -- we are processing all the data that we have received from -- and obviously, we are in the midst of the regulatory review as well. So a lot going on for us. So in the next few months or so, we will unveil our plan.

Eliana Merle

analyst
#24

Understood. Okay. And another question that you perhaps might decline to answer. But we're all trying to think about how to model the cadence of uptake in cardiomyopathy next year. How are you thinking about that?

Jeffrey Poulton

executive
#25

Well, I'm not ready to give guidance yet, if that's the question. Look, I think that the way I would guide investors to think about this is to think about the different segments of the market that -- we already talked about the first-line segment. And globally, we think that's about 18,000 patients. So you need to think about that and what sort of share and uptake will we get there? Obviously, we're not launching globally, right? That's a global number, about half of that in the U.S. And so that's going to be the nearest term opportunity. We haven't talked about the second-line opportunity yet much. We did highlight that segment also at the TTR Investor Day. And we think it's about 50% of the patients that are on tafamidis are progressing. And there's lots of different opinions on that. There's lots of different information in the marketplace. There was a paper that was presented at HFSA by Dr. Fontana actually that looked at 800 patients -- cardiomyopathy patients in the U.S. for a year and looked at electronic health records and claims data. And what they found is 50% of the patients progressed over that 1-year period. So that's a good estimate, I think. So we think roughly, there's 40,000 commercial patients on tafamidis around the world today. So that would mean 20,000 maybe are progressing and would be an opportunity. We certainly think with our orthogonal mechanism of action that we're very well positioned to be the leader in that second line segment. I think the questions that we have there about second line, again, there's switch versus add-on. We've talked about the fact that add-on may be challenged for a period of time until we get to a TAF generic, but there's not a switch behavior in the marketplace today because there's only been one therapy. So physicians haven't had to think about what do I look at to determine whether or not a patient is progressing. And so it may take a little bit of time for that to -- for that sort of protocol to develop and switching start to develop. We're obviously going to be working hard on that. But I'd think about that segment in terms of thinking about sort of an initial uptake and projection. And obviously, then the longer-term driver of growth is really the increased diagnosis rates in cardiomyopathy. We think that about 20% of the market is diagnosed today. So there's lots of room for long-term growth. And we'll obviously focus our efforts there, too, to continue to drive awareness and education. But it's the first -- it's the first line and the switch opportunity that people just need to think about the size of those segments. We've given you that detail, and then how quickly we're able to penetrate there. That's how people should be modeling this, in my opinion.

Eliana Merle

analyst
#26

Great. Well, we'll definitely come back to some of the modeling and thinking about breakeven. But first, I just want to touch a little bit more on the pipeline. So Sandeep, you mentioned a handful of programs. Maybe just -- in some of the earlier stage pipeline, Huntington's, Alzheimer's, what are you most excited about? And talk us through some of the milestones we can expect to witness?

Sandeep Menon

executive
#27

Sure. So actually, from -- just to build on what Jeff was talking about. In the next 12 to 18 months, it is a very exciting time and a very busy time for us actually. We'll have the FDA approval in the first half and then a rapid launch. After that, Sc04, we're going to unveil the development plan and then start the study; zilebesiran, as we talked about before; the K3 study is going to read out and then we plan to start our CVOT study. Then we have the 2 CNS programs that is exciting. The first one is the ALN-APP, which is the mivelsiran, where we are targeting the amyloid precursor protein for the treatment of Alzheimer's disease and cerebral amyloid angiopathy, CAA. So these 2 programs are -- obviously, the Alzheimer's program is ahead because it's the EOAD, which is the early onset Alzheimer's disease, where we are collecting a lot of data. And you have seen some data that we have already shared in the Q3 earnings, which is our multi-dose, which was very, very exciting. The CAA study has started recruiting and then we have the HTT, which is our Huntington program, which is a very unique mechanism of how we are trying to target the Huntington protein. I'm happy to go deep dive, if you want, in that one, but that is also recruiting now. So we are very, very excited about all of these programs. And then in addition to that, you've seen that we are targeting different issues now, where we are looking into different -- we are looking at muscle in addition to the CNS and the liver which is already in the clinic, plus we are going into adipose. So it's an exciting time of innovation at Alnylam because not only a lot of things happening in the forefront in the commercial. But late stage, we have a few studies that is going to be starting, but then we are going to double our pipeline next year by this time. So hopefully, we can talk more at that time more.

Eliana Merle

analyst
#28

Very exciting. In terms of the Huntington's program, you recently started a Phase I study. Can you tell us a bit more about what you're looking to see from this study? What would be good data? And when can we maybe see this data?

Sandeep Menon

executive
#29

Yes, sure,. So the Huntington program for us, this is exciting because this is our third CNS program, which is a milestone in itself for this platform. And then based on this mechanism, we are planning to develop an asset which can take care of or target the mutant Huntington protein. Now for us, the way we are thinking about this is in the preclinical studies, we have both in the rodent and the nonhuman primates -- human primates, we have seen no safety or tolerability issues. So our mechanism is a little bit -- or the targeting approach is a little bit unique. So there has been growing evidence in the literature that not only targeting the full-length mutant protein, but beyond that, if you're targeting the mutant small exon 1 fragment will help in halting the progression of the disease basically because this disease otherwise is a rapidly deteriorating disease. So our approach is unique from that perspective because we are targeting the highly conserved region of exon 1, which helps us not only to take care of the mutant Huntington protein, but also the small exon 1 fragment transcript and the protein, which helps us to take care of the most of the mutant species of the Huntington protein. So which is very, very exciting in terms of the science perspective and how we are differentiated from the others who are already in the clinic or who have already failed. Now in the Phase I program, which is in the clinic now, we are collecting data that is for the clinical biomarkers data, the NFLs, which is helping to understand the progression of the disease. There is neuroimaging data. And we have got obviously different doses to test. So it's exciting, and the major regulatories have cleared us; U.K., U.S. and Canada. And we also shared, for U.S., we do have a dose cap. But then technically, we don't think we need that kind of a dose even to get to the efficacious -- or the clinical efficacy that we are looking for. Obviously, we'll still work with the FDA on understanding the dose cap. But at least from a program perspective, it's a green signal and we are already recruiting as we speak. So very, very exciting in terms of what we bring to the table for the patients.

Eliana Merle

analyst
#30

Great. Yes, absolutely. And then when it comes to the Alzheimer's and CAA programs, I mean we've seen target engagement as we've seen with all of your programs, you're successfully able to reach the protein. But maybe how should we think about the timing for when we could see clinical data and understand the effects on cognition?

Sandeep Menon

executive
#31

Sure. So for the APP program, right, that is the amyloid precursor protein program, you've seen some exciting data that we shared late in our Q3 earnings, right? So just to give a little bit of a background on the program. So this is an investigational RNAi therapeutic targeting the amyloid precursor protein for the treatment of both Alzheimer's and the CAA. Now for -- what we have shown in the past is just one dose of APP has knocked down or helped the reduction of the soluble APP beta and the soluble APP alpha, which are the biomarkers of target engagement pretty robustly and it was also durable. So it was not just knocking down, it was a very durable effect with just one dose. And that also helped in subsequently reducing the Abeta 40 and Abeta 42 which are the peptides of the actual disease involved in the disease pathogenesis. So that's #1 in terms of the first -- the early data that we shared. Then after that, we -- in the Q3 earnings, we also shared that for the multidose section, when we dose one more time, which is at month 6, within a month's time, we are seeing about 92% reduction in the target engagement biomarker, which is the soluble APP beta. And this is -- I want to knock wood that without any safety or tolerability issue. So it's very, very encouraging safety and tolerability. So now as we are collecting more data. So our Phase I is ongoing. We're collecting more data, especially for the multi-dose section. So we are collecting data on the biomarkers, cognition, we are collecting data on the imaging, so -- which is a lot of data that is going to come in the next year or so.

Jeffrey Poulton

executive
#32

So this is early in Alzheimer's. You said it earlier, that's EOAD...

Sandeep Menon

executive
#33

EOAD. Yes, it's EOAD data. So it's early onset Alzheimer's disease basically. So just to be -- thanks for punctuating that, Jeff. So that -- technically, we are getting to a place where we will have a lot of data from Part B in the near future, which we plan to share in different congresses. And obviously, for the CAA, it started, and we are enrolling patients. So it's a little bit too early to comment on that.

Eliana Merle

analyst
#34

Got it. And it seems like you do have a growing pipeline. But from a BD perspective, can you tell us a little bit more about your philosophy from here? Are there areas that you think that, for instance, we've seen a lot of development in the RNA editing space. Are there any sort of technologies that you feel like would complement the Alnylam platform?

Jeffrey Poulton

executive
#35

Yes. I think from an innovation perspective, our focus has really been on internal innovation. So continuing to invest in RNAi. I mean, I think given the success rates that we've had historically, that argues pretty persuasively, that's where we should be investing. And also based on the fact that as Sandeep said, we're starting to expand in the new tissues. So we don't see a shortage of high-quality targets to pursue with RNAi. So that continues to be the focus for innovation at the company, is internally focused. Per your comment, I think that from a BD perspective, certainly, we do keep an eye on technologies that may be complementary to our platform, particularly in delivery. We've made some investments there. And I anticipate for the foreseeable future, that that's really where our focus is going to be from a business development perspective. Rather than looking more broadly at sort of whole new technologies, we're going to continue to stay focused on RNAi for now.

Eliana Merle

analyst
#36

Absolutely, that makes sense. And maybe just when it comes to thinking about profitability, you're doubling your pipeline, major launch in cardiomyopathy. How do we think about the outlook from here?

Jeffrey Poulton

executive
#37

Yes. I mean we made this commitment back in January of 2021 when we rolled out our P to the 5th strategy, which had a couple of financial goals associated with it. One was around top line growth across the period where we anticipated top line growth of the 40% plus. We're on track to achieve that, and I'm optimistic about next year that we'll be able to cross the finish line and achieve that goal given the launch in cardiomyopathy that we talked about in the U.S. early next year. And then we also committed to achieving non-GAAP profitability by the end of the period. And I think on our Q2 results call, when I upgraded the guidance on product sales, I commented. At this point in time, I think I'm as confident as I've ever been in our ability to achieve that. And there's a couple of things that I think underpin that confidence. One is the base business, which continues to perform very well. And maybe I should comment on the TTR-PN business in the U.S. AstraZeneca launched Evinova at the end of last year in the U.S. And so there were some questions about what impact might we see on our base PN business in the U.S. And the good news is we haven't really seen any impact from that. In the quarter before they launched, the U.S. grew 38%. And the 3 quarters that we know has been on the market, it's grown 35%, 40% and 37%. So we've seen very consistent growth in the face of a competitive launch. And the competitor is doing okay as well, right? So what we're seeing is what we thought we would see. It's expanding the market, and we're the leader and we're taking the majority share. So that's particularly good. So that confidence in that base business continuing to grow, allowed us to upgrade the guidance. That should carry over into '25. And then given the HELIOS-B results and the strength of that, I think that we have an opportunity to have a favorable launch next year, which will obviously contribute top line growth and ultimately support getting to profitability. But we can do all of that and do all of these things, right, that Sandeep has talked about. That's always been the focus for the company to get to profitability. It's not been squeezing R&D or limiting what we're investing in R&D. The success on the commercial side is enabling us to get the profitability, but also continue to significantly invest in the pipeline for the long term, and that's what we intend to do.

Eliana Merle

analyst
#38

Great. And as we think about the cardiomyopathy sort of sales force and the buildup there, just with the U.S. as well as ex U.S., sort of where are you in this buildup already?

Jeffrey Poulton

executive
#39

Yes. I mean in the U.S., we've completed it, right? We were ready to go when we had the HELIOS-B results. And once those results came back positive, very quickly the commercial started to do the recruitment to expand the size of the field team. And I would describe it as a step up, but not a significant leap in terms of what we're doing to build that field force to be ready for the launch in cardiomyopathy. Remember, we're building off of the foundation that we had in polyneuropathy. And we actually gave a couple of statistics, I think, at R&D Day that reflected the benefit that we've got from being in the market for the last 5 years. If you look at the physicians that are writing prescriptions and treating patients on tafamidis. There's about 3,700 physicians that are covering about 95% of the patients that are under treatment. Before expanding in the cardiomyopathy, we were already calling on 65% of those physicians. So we're going to get a lot of benefit from the 5 years of experience that we've had in the marketplace. Oftentimes in the large treatment centers, the academic centers, they're treating the whole sort of spectrum of patients, hereditary, wild-type, et cetera. So this is a community that already knows Alnylam quite well and knows our technology well and we're going to benefit from that. So again, I would say it's step up from where we've been. And in the U.S., we're ready to go. We got the field team fully hired and staffed and getting trained and ready to go.

Eliana Merle

analyst
#40

Okay. Great. And then ex U.S., how are you thinking maybe about the commercial opportunity there in cardiomyopathy relative to the U.S. as well as the investment?

Jeffrey Poulton

executive
#41

Yes. I mean I think it's a very -- it's an outstanding opportunity. If you look at the business that we've had over the last 5 years in polyneuropathy, we're probably at about 55% U.S., 45% ex U.S. So the international part of our business in TTR has been a significant contributor to what we've built. And I would anticipate over time that they're going to contribute in cardiomyopathy as well. It will take time, right? I mean typically, the working through the reimbursement and the pricing process takes longer outside the U.S. I do anticipate that we'll have a few additional launches outside the U.S. in the second half of next year, that will contribute some growth. But over the long haul, we'll be invested to grow the business ex U.S. as well.

Eliana Merle

analyst
#42

Okay. Great. And one thing we didn't touch on as it relates to TTR are the mixed phenotype patients.

Jeffrey Poulton

executive
#43

Yes.

Eliana Merle

analyst
#44

I mean we've heard a wide range of estimates of what proportion? And how does this play into some of the prescribing behavior?

Jeffrey Poulton

executive
#45

Yes, I mean, it's really difficult. We don't have the granularity to tell you of the 5,000 patients roughly that we have on commercial therapy for polyneuropathy today, how many would fit that mixed phenotype definition. We just don't have that level of detail. The reality is probably a lot of them, right, because this is a spectrum disease, and typically most patients depending on the mutation do have some complications of both PN and CM, but we don't have that level of detail to precisely answer that question today.

Eliana Merle

analyst
#46

Great. Well, I think we'll end it there. But Jeff, Sandeep, thank you so much for the time and the insights.

Jeffrey Poulton

executive
#47

Thanks for having us.

Sandeep Menon

executive
#48

Thank you.

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