Alpargatas S.A. (ALPA4) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
May 9, 2025
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorGood morning, everyone, and thank you for waiting. Welcome to the video conference to announce Alpargatas' first quarter 2025 results. I would like to point out to those who need simultaneous translation that we have this tool available on the platform. To access it, simply click on the interpretation button via the globe icon at the bottom of the screen, and choose your preferred language, whether Portuguese or English. For those listening to the video conference in English, there is an option to mute the original audio in Portuguese by clicking on mute original audio. We would like to inform you that this video conference is being recorded and will be -- it will be made available on the company's RI website, ri.alpargatas.com.br, where the complete material of our earnings release can be found. You can also download the presentation using the chat icon, including the English version. During the presentation, all participants' microphones will be disabled. After the presentation, all participants -- after the presentation, press the question -- click on the Q&A icon at the bottom of your screen and type your question to be queued. When you are announced, the prompt to activate your microphone will appear on the screen and you must then activate your microphone to ask your question. We recommend that you ask all questions at once. We emphasize that information contained in this presentation, and any statements that may be made during the video conference regarding Alpargatas' business prospects, projections, and operating and financial goals are based on beliefs and assumptions of the company's management, as well as information currently available. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of performance. They involve risks, uncertainties, and assumptions as they refer to future events and therefore depend on circumstances that may or may not occur. Investors must understand -- should understand that general economic conditions, market conditions, and other operating factors may affect Alpargatas' future performance and lead to results that differ materially from those expressed in such forward-looking statements. Today we are joined by the company's executives, Mr. Liel Miranda, CEO; Mr. Andre Natal, Vice President of Finance and Investor Relations; and Ms. Melina Rodrigues, Director of Investor Relations, M&A, Strategy and Treasury. I will now hand the floor over to Mr. Liel. Mr. Liel, you can proceed.
Liel Miranda
executiveGood morning, everyone. I'm very pleased to open this video conference for the results of the first quarter 2025, and I would like first to start with the overall vision of how -- what the quarter was like and what the results were. First of all, our marketing and portfolio strategy, which has been pursuing -- this strategy has been pursued since last year, and it basically tries to cover and address a few gaps in our portfolio. Maybe the most important to emphasize is the men's portfolio, where we don't have as much as diversified portfolio as for other women, including the fact that we didn't have a product for some occasions last year. Despite this, we are seeking new opportunities in portfolio. We are completely disciplined in not proliferating the number of portfolio. So everything that we make in terms of launches means that we continue to simplify the number of portfolios. Now we are at a stage of maturity, and it's important that we discontinue some SKUs, and therefore the manufacturing efficiency, distribution, and execution at the point of sales. The second thing is our discipline in market investment. We have been keeping our market investment at an adequate level for all of our operations, both in Brazil as well as internationally. But we have been focusing on measuring the return on invested capital. One big change is that in the past, we used to put -- place a lot of money into performance marketing. And now we are focusing much more on brand building in that market, which is that market investment that's going to add value to our brand, and therefore to the results of the business in the future. As for the commercial results, starting with Brazil, the [ BU ] Brazil. There are several indicators of the strategy that we outlined. And the first one is that we continue to grow in the channels where we are. We have less penetration, and where we have more opportunities to grow in the specialized shoes stores, and at our own stores, at our stores of our franchise network -- network of franchise stores. We have been growing our sell-out in double-digits. In the modern channel, where we are less represented, especially in the cash and carry. We have also been growing our sell-out in double-digit, which show that this is where we have a high a bigger chance of growth. We are performing better there. We have been regaining our market share since the beginning of last year. And in this first quarter of 2025, we went back to the level we were in the first quarter last year. And this is a trend that we continue to -- we expect to continue. Because our execution is more effective at the priority channels and we believe we have conditions to continue to gain market share participation. As for the margin expansions, we are going to talk a lot about that. Especially because of the best discipline, financial discipline, we are not resulting -- we not giving too much discounts in order to grow our sell-out, and to focus in the channels where we have better margins, including our franchise stores. This has been also helping our margins and also the benefits of costs, the rationalization of costs and manufacturing and distribution efficiency, which started in the past. We continue to yield results out of that. So better financial discipline, growth in channels where we have a better margin, and better manufacturing and distribution margins and efficiency. I want to reemphasize that in this quarter we use a tactics in the supply of the Brazilian market of anticipation about 10% of the additional volume. That would be the sales for the first quarter. That was a strategy used to ensure that in the second quarter we start out with a new collection without creating any destock in the marketing, any stock outs in the market. This is a learning from past years, where some clients believed that they wanted to get their hands in the newer collection faster. So they needed to destock their old collections. The problem is that sometimes this creates stock out for consumers, who arrive at the store, and the new collection is not there yet. And maybe the old collection has already been sold. So we used to sell sales. So we anticipated about 10% of what would be the normal sell-in, to ensure that the market is going to be stocked. So whatever happened in the market, we ensure that we are going to have a product, until our distribution is fully completed of the new collection. We are going to come back to that a little later on to this. But we are going to be aligning sell-in and sell-out throughout the year because we know and believe that our business depends on sell-out. The sell-out is the biggest indicator of the performance of the sales of the company. In the international market, we continued with the same strategy, where the first results appeared, Europe after several quarters losing scale and losing volume. We found our first growth of volume in Europe, which is already a result of the launch of the new collection, which is started now for the summer of Europe. In the U.S.A., we have the constant pursuit for the improvement in profitability. We already saw that in this quarter, by improving our margins. Because we focused in the channels, where we had best, better profitability and margins. And reducing our presence in the channels where we have higher discount rates. So this has improved our profitability. In the distribution markets, we continue focusing the main geographies, but especially in the standardization of our commercial policies. So in other words, markets where we don't have so much of a big, a good profitability, we are reviewing our portfolios in there, and we are focusing in the markets where we have a better profitability. So this group of distribution markets can show profitability aligned with the rest of the business. I would like to emphasize that all of this is a part of the strategy that started last year, where we are establishing a culture of cooperation between the several areas of the business. We are eliminating overlapping impositions of our processes, our OTIF. The result is our capacity to supply the market in the correct way. This has already been a pain for the business in the past, it was a big problem, especially in Europe and in Brazil. And now we are already at the mark of 78% OTIF level. In Brazil we are at 73%. In the international market we are above 80%. Overall we are at 78%. It's not the best-in-class, it's not our ambition. We want to be above 80% to 85% of OTIF, which means that for every 10 orders, 8 or 9 are delivered on-time and in-full. Right now we are delivering almost 8 orders on-time and in-full. But this is not a problem anymore in our operation and quite the opposite, is helping us in our performance recovery. We have optimized our factories, we have reduced our distribution costs and logistics costs. And I've already mentioned before, our pricing disciplines has yielded good results both in Brazil and internationally. As for the expenses, we have a culture of always to be looking to do more with less, ensuring return on investment. So this year we -- this quarter we saw a reduction of 5% points in SG&A. And it's important to mention that we preserve the market investments because this is what will ensure the growth of the brand, the business, and the future of the business. As -- and last, as for Rothy's, we continue to improve the profitability of Rothy's. It starts to be a company that actually bring financial results to Alpargatas' results, considering its financial impact and especially because we have a very clear channel strategy. The e-commerce is very, very successful in the U.S.A., and we have a network of stores, a chain of stores, which is of now approximately 25 stores. All of them showing excellent potential including for expansion and bringing innovative and sustainable products. There is this problem right now that we are facing between the tariffs dispute between U.S.A. and China, we built an inventory that's going to take us forward within the U.S.A. So we are not subjected to the impacts of tariffs in the short-term. But this is a topic which is being continuously discussed internally, and we are assessing the reality of the American market concerning tariffs. So we can react, whether in terms of the strategy of costs, distribution, or pricing. But right now this is not a problem and we focus on the good performance of Rothy's. And now, I give the floor to Andre, so he can talk about the numbers in all of our results.
Andre Natal
executiveGood morning, everyone. I think Liel, has -- have made a very good summary of this quarter. I'm going to be presenting a little bit of the numbers behind everything that Liel mentioned. So I will start with the discipline, financial discipline of the business. I think we materialized a long period of cash flow release. In this quarter, we have a small consumption of cash consumption. This effect has a very specific reason connected to what Liel mentioned about anticipation of volumes that we performed in Brazil in the first quarter. As for the seasonality, this quarter was expected to be of small reliefs, a positive relief of working capital. But the consumption of working capital is connected to the fact that we are only collecting the typical receivables that we have from the fourth quarter of the end of the year, which is stronger seasonally speaking. In addition to receiving, we were also issuing new deliverables at a higher level than what is common for this quarter. So this is what boosted a little bit to this small capital consumption in the first quarter. But this is connected to a higher sales level, which is a healthy symptom. As for the investments in the company, we are back to an investment level that we understand to be healthy and normalized. It's slightly higher than we did in the first quarter last year. It had been a quarter where we did little investment. It is within the budget we programmed for the year. The capital allocation program we had for the year. And we keep on this natural movement of ramping up throughout the quarters. We start with smaller investments in the first quarter, and we ramp it up throughout the year with the execution of projects. So for now, it's totally within what was expected and planned in our spending plan. As for cash generation, we have already had 8 consecutive quarters of cash generation, of positive cash generation, which is extremely healthy. We generated BRL 128 million in this quarter and BRL 439 million in the past 12 months, March-to-March. Obviously with this financial discipline, we went to a position of liquid cash that's brought us our leverage to minus 0.6, which consolidates the movement that we have seen for a while, of deleveraging the business. So the business right now is at an extremely healthy level from a standpoint -- financial standpoint of view. We can move on to the next slide, please. So when you look at the point of view of volume and revenue overall, this is a quarter we see an expansion of 10% in the consolidated, all of our volumes globally. This is a composition. In the composition of this growth, we see a concentration of what happened in Brazil, in the sell-in in Brazil. Liel has already mentioned of this movement that we did in this first quarter in Brazil. As for the international operations, we have a small decrease in sales of pairs compared to 1 year ago. When we go specifically to the regions, we see the United States a contraction of sales. This is connected to the basis comparison effect because last year we had sold an extraordinarily level of products at the -- in the off-price channels. It was a sale that had smaller return. But when we look at the revenue in the U.S.A., we see that the revenue went above -- went up 1% despite the fact we lost BRL 0.5 million in sales of pairs. So it's a sales which is much less concentrated in the off-price channel than 1 year ago. Same way the volume seasonality is not much relevant for the explanation of the full results. When we look at Europe, we can see a sell-in growth, which we understand to be an important indicator for the health and for the building of the international operations in Europe. We have to gradually return the sales volume in Europe because we know there was a loss in the volume sold in Europe. So we will continue observing and obviously working hard to be able to have a great growth -- season of growth. But we believe that having showing the first quarter plus 5% up in the results is already a symptom of recovery in this market, which is mainly a priority market for our recovery. When we look at the international distribution markets, we saw that we -- more significant results of about 31% in the number of pairs sold, compared to 1 year ago. And here there are a few effects that can be mentioned to explain it. There is one effect, which is the continuous prioritization of the markets where we have a better profitability. This is something we have been doing for a while. So we have been correcting the pricing, and focus in the priority markets, which explains parts of this trade-off, between volume and return, which will -- this will obviously yield positive results in the future for our business. But there is also another effect, which is the destocking of the inventory in the chain. So this gradual movement had been already happening. It's not anything new, but it's not totally over yet. So this is also partially an explanation for the reduction in the volume sold in the distribution markets. Now focusing in Brazil, on the next slide, we see the expansion of 14% compared to a year ago in the sell-in volume, expanding our revenue in 22%. However, when you look at the right-hand side, we see an expansion in sell-out of around 2%. So in this green and yellow graph on the right-hand side, we can show this movement. As Liel said, this is not changing the strategy. It's a tactical initiative that we performed so as to avoid a movement that we observe typically in this period of the year in the change of the collection because we don't have -- we usually -- we historically didn't have the market appropriately supplied, and we ended up losing market share. So we anticipated the volume, without changing our perspective and our understanding of the growth throughout the year. And also the strategy that the sell-out will be the great driver for our sales performance. We have to work to make sure that consumers desire our products and not to increase or decrease the inventory levels in the sales chain. This is what we did only technically this quarter. But again we did not change our perspective for the rest of the year. And throughout the year, we're going to be observing the sell-out performance, especially as -- and we will make all adjustments to sell-in throughout the year, to ensure that we have a higher window of alignment between the sell-in and sell-out in Brazil, and in all markets worldwide. Moving on to the next slide, we can see again a movement that is not new. It's something that we have been seeing over the last quarters of expansion of gross margin in Brazil. Partially this is explained by a higher productivity in our factories, higher efficiency in our distributions, and higher overall margin, because of the efficiency, but also the recovery of the scale versus, for example in 2022, when we had to step in the break as for our sell-in. So that -- there was a compression in the gross margin that was generated and this now is being recovered. So there is this scale up, scaling up efficiency that takes us to improve our gross profit per pair. So compared to the last 5 years, this is an extremely interesting and healthy mark, where we have more opportunities to be exploring new activities, initiatives for productivity efficiency. But we are -- actually we have a better performance than in the past 5 years, compared -- comparing only the first quarter. This also has this, obviously, the higher sell-in number that I just showed to you, the tactical decision we made. But this is a smaller, a lesser explanation for this bigger gross profit that we saw for pair, which is mainly due to the efficiency in the operations that we saw. Moving on to the next slide. On this slide, you can see a graph of our history for the SG&A, selling, general and administrative expenses. We see that since 2023, this has been aligned with information that we had been presenting to you and discussing with you. We are in this trajectory, which is relevant. We went from 20%. This is expressed as a percentage of the net revenue. We went from 20% to the 15%. We are excluding just the bonus factor here to compare the -- to allow the seasonal comparisons, because some of the years we have paid bonuses to employees and some we have not. So we excluded that from the comparison. But we can see is that there is a clear strategy of gaining efficiency in the internal expenses. So all the expenses are included except for the bonus. And as on the other hand, we preserved or amplified our investments in marketing in the brand, investing more in the brand than we used to do in the past. So there is a clear change in the level compared to -- comparing 2022 to 2023. We are now more aligned to what we believe to be healthy for this industry and sustainable considering the long-term health of the business. And we made sure to separate those 2 groups of expenses to show our clear focus on gaining efficiency. And show you that gain -- gains in efficiency are not actually harming the brand in the future. Quite the opposite, we actually are gaining more breathing capacity to invest in the brand in the future. When we look at the EBITDA capacity, this has been growing, especially boosted after 2023, by the recovery of the operational scale. We have been reinforcing this over time with you, and this was lost overall in 2023 because of the step -- stepping the breaking of the selling in 2023. But obviously aligned and allied to all the productivity gains, we have been managing to regain the EBITDA levels to levels that we consider to be healthier for the business. And we also see here the effect of having advanced in the best levels among the 5, last year's first quarter, which -- where you can also see a little bit of the result of the anticipation of the sales for the first quarter. But yet this is not an isolated explanation. We have seen, as you can see in the graph, a higher EBITDA margin for the fourth quarter of last year, compared to the recent history of the company. Moving on to the next slide. We are going now into the international operations. As I said at the beginning, the international as a whole has seen a compression in the volume. So part of this explained by the prioritization of the profitability in the main and priority markets, especially in the U.S., having less of off-pricing sales in the composition. As for the priority -- as for this distribution priority markets, which are Latin America, not Brazil, not included, Africa and Asia. So we have been making these movements. And here there is also some effect of destocking of the inventory levels in our chains. On the next slide, we show you the path of the gross margin of our international operations. We can also see that we have been recovering, even though we are losing the economy of scale. We see margin expansion, we see obviously as an explanation of the prioritization of more profitable channels and markets, and also partially explained by a mix, a favorable mix of geographies, which are being exploited because the Asian markets, for example, have a margin that is -- has less -- smaller margins. So this -- there is also a currency effect here, since the cost is in reals. The depreciation of reals compared to the dollar also captures some effects here as an expansion of gross margin in the international operations. Here we see the SG&A effecting the international operations. The recovery of the marketing expenses, they hadn't been compressed so much. So they were kind of aligned of what they -- to what they used to be. Even though we have a healthier composition because we emphasize much more brand building and brand preservation and communication, the attributes of our brands than performance marketing. On the other hand, when we look at the rest of the expenses, which are part of the SG&A, we see an increase of these expenses in contrast to the net sales. This increase is naturally connected to a simple factor of, which is the compression of sales volume over the past 2 years. This means that we have a structure, which is a little bit more efficient. However, the size of the structure we have is big compared to the volume sales we lost over the last 2 years. So these expenses comparably they get bigger. When we look at on the graph on the right-hand side, we see that the EBITDA margin also decreased. When we look and analyze this reduction of the EBITDA margin, and we try to separate what comes from the scale effect, and what comes from the efficiency, over 100% of the decrease, we understand that can be explained by the scale. So the efficiency, from a perspective of the sizes of the expenses, was quite big. So we gained -- we have gained efficiency over this period. So the EBITDA margin per pair has increased 103% due to the efficiency. But our scale effect is stronger than that. And partially the solution is to regain the sales volume that we expect to see in Europe and that's what we expect to see in the other markets in the future. And to conclude, now we have Rothy's performance, which is also nothing new. The ramp up of results that we have seen over the last 2 years is already known in the market. So in 2023, we were at the minus $28 million, minus $30 million, and now we are reaching $20 million positive. So we are always having better margins. This has been dynamics of the operation of Rothy's throughout 2023. And right now this is a positive contribution and reasonably relevant of $20 million to the operations of the overall results of the business. So again the strategy of Rothy's continues the same. Obviously there is a tariffs thing that is going on right now, and being analyzed on a daily basis. But right now we understand that we have results that we understand that is healthy. We have a lot of brand awareness, a lot of opportunities also for expansion in the market. So we can see perform increasingly better performance with healthy margins of gross margins of 60%. So this is a business that has been performing much better than in the past. So now I will close the presentation and start the Q&A session.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] Let's go to our first question, it is from Danny Eiger, analyst sell-side with XP in Brazil.
Danniela Eiger
analystI have 2 questions from my side here. I know you have already explored a little bit about the anticipation of your sell-in. I'd like to understand a little bit more of details of why they need thinking of the operational side. You said that you needed to be prepared for the demand, but OTIF is getting better. So I want to understand exactly why this is happening, because of you have any logistic, or production gaps, or if this already happened -- had happened in previous years. So you mentioned like that you try to make, this is going to be your new normal to have a better distributed volumes, throughout the quarters. So I would like to understand what is in on the backstage. And connected to that, I'd like to understand the convergence and alignment between sell-in, sell-out, if this is something that's going to happen over time more gradual, or when this is going to, this alignment will happen? I would like to understand, what is going to be the normalized volume, sales volume sell-in and sellout volumes along the quarters throughout 2025. And my second question related to international operations. You obviously said a few times about the alternatives for the U.S. market, but along the way how do you see a structure, to support the business in the U.S., and can you make any adjustments over time, while you're looking for a business model alternative? Can you adjust the structure, so you can have a better operations in the U.S. I would like to have some visibility on that?
Liel Miranda
executiveThank you Danny for your 2 questions. This is Liel. Well, we start answering the anticipation of volume in Brazil in our sell-in channel. What is important is that we understand that the sell-in in a quarter, not necessarily is turned into a sell-out in the same quarter. We have a delivery cycle of about 90 days. So between the orders being placed, supplying the market and consumers buying, usually this is takes place from one quarter to the other. That's why we supply the quarter for -- instance, when we are going to supply the market for the summer, we are going to supply the market, for the third -- in the third quarter. So when the season starts in the fourth quarter, we already have the products available for consumers. This is a natural dynamics of trying to anticipate there is a seasonality. So in some quarters, we're going to sell more, such as in the summer in Brazil. We sell approximately 20% more, than we sell in the other quarters in Brazil. So this sell-in and sell-out movements throughout the quarters, is a natural process in our business. This year what we did was a try, to avoid a stock out in the second quarter. As I explained, when there is the change of collection, consumers avoid buying the -- older collection, waiting for the new collection, to bring them a competitive advantage. Because consumers are going to be looking forward to get the new items. So we try to force the queue the first quarter. So when the new collection arrives in the second quarter. The consumers have not been impacted, by the lack of the stock out of the products at the stores. So at any moment. So consumers will always find all the products that they want from both collections though. So this was a commercial and sell-in tactic that we use it. It's quite the our capacity, our logistic capacity, and our own timing. Full levels are quite the opposite. They allow us to do that. There's not a limitation right now to our business, and it's not because we have any kind of limitation in our distribution that, we have decided to use this tactic. It's more to streamline the operation. So I wouldn't pay too much attention to that. We put more of a weight in the first quarter, to ensure that the second quarter is well supplied. The same way we're going to do the same for the third quarter in Brazil to ensure that in the fourth quarter that the summer in Brazil we are going to be well supplied. This is the dynamics between the quarters that we see right now for the business. So as I said, we don't have any limitations in terms of finance, or distribution or logistics. As I said, our OTIF level is at 78% globally. In other countries we are above 80%. In Brazil, we have already arrived at 73%, and we want to be above 80%, the 80% mark for the OTIF levels in Brazil as well. As for the sell-in and sell-out trends. We cannot anticipate what the sell-out will be, right how much consumers will purchase. What we can say is that whatever it is, we will be pursuing to make sure that our sell-in is close to our sell-out. Not exactly quarter-by-quarter, but that throughout the year the average of sell-in and sell-out is closed. What we cannot and should not do, is to create a stock inventory, or inventory level so big in the channels, because this is not going to help our clients to sell more to consumers in the end, quite the opposite. This is going to be a problem for us to manage our pricing and stock and discount policies in the future. So quite the opposite. We want to have a level of inventory that is adequate for the clients. I would like to reinforce that, a positive sell-out is also because of our strategies we have been improving our portfolio. We have been improving our on-time in-full levels. We have been improving our execution especially in the channels where we are, we have a smaller representation, and this has actually resulted in a real growth in sale to consumer, which is the sell-out, where there was a growth of 2%. And this is what we are going to be pursuing not only along the year, but over time. Because this is the best indicator of growth of the performance of the company. I hope I have answered your question. As for the U.S., I will get started and maybe Andre can complement what I say. Basically, we are already doing everything we can do in the current business model. As you can see, the profitability of U.S. has improved over this quarter, and this is due to 2 movements. The first one is the cost reduction that we started out last year, to try to approximate our structure, our cost structure to the size that the American market has for us right now. So this has been contributing to the good results. And the second thing, we try to do is to be more strategic in the channels, where we operate in the U.S. U.S.A. is a market where it prices are extremely competitive. And as Andre said, we didn't operate much in the off price channels, where we offer price lower prices. We focused in the channels, on the channels that where we have a better profitability. So even though we lost volume sales, we grew our revenue. So U.S.A. is a place where we are working hard to improve in terms of costs and improve our operational aspects to be profitable. And we are looking for partnerships, because this could unlock regions and clients, where we did not penetrate before. Because since we are small in the U.S., it's harder to penetrate in some geographies, some clients. So as soon as we find a partnership, or a business model that allows this to happen, we believe we're going to be boosting our operations in the U.S. The brand is well known, it's valued by consumer, and we know that as long as it is well communicated at the point of sale, we will tend to grow the volumes we will sell there. That's what we are seeking nowadays. We are seeking a strategy to grow in the U.S., and we are advancing in the conversations with many potential partners. We don't have anything concrete to announce. But as we have something concrete, we are going to be announcing that to the market.
Andre Natal
executiveDanny, just to complement what Liel mentioned, the operations right now needs to continue when we are looking for the efficiencies. We are is still trying to find within the model, we are in the best way to operate. And we obviously cannot advance what we are studying to do in the future. But we can tell that last year, we studied this market in detail by analyzing the business model, of other companies to understand what is the size, the operational scale that is necessary. To really justify the choice of our direct operation business model in the U.S. And what we realize is that the model, we are operating right now, is not very common among companies that have a small operation, such as we have in there to justify all the SG&A and infrastructure that we have there. What we have been studying, is what kind of partnerships can at the same time allow us to have greater access to the channels, the priority channels for us. Just as a reminder, this is a consumption that is made by impulse. So to be well distributed, it's very important. It's a very complex and large market in the U.S. one of the channels that we access very little right now in, which he has very relevant volumes of flip flop, we don't have access to those channels. So depending on the partners that we find, we understand we can leverage our access to those channels. But on the other hand, we also want to have an operation, where we can have a higher efficiency level. Where we don't have to have an operation totally dedicated to our volume, which is right now is small, for this decision. So this is a little bit what we would like to do, but this is still under construction, and being elaborated. And whenever we have something concrete to announce, we will do so.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from Joseph Giordano sell-side analyst with JPMorgan in Brazil.
Joseph Giordano
analystI'd like to explore a little bit. We start to see the gross margin progressing a lot, which is in my opinion a lot of the -- about the efficiency. I'd like to understand a little bit about the cost. We see this depreciation of the Brazilian real. The oil prices, so many of your materials, your raw materials are derivatives of oil. So I want to understand, how you understand the cost side of your operation, and how you can understand the potential to gain gross margins. And on the other side, I see the company emphasizing marketing. So what do you have in mind, to try to leverage your sales? Last, when you look at the net cash, we see generation of cash, which is very healthy, as you mentioned working, including the working capital levels. So I'd like to ask you what do you intend to do with the working capital? Do you intend to return this as dividends to investors? We also know that Rothy's, is a decision to be made in the next year. So what is your strategy of capital allocation for the near future?
Andre Natal
executiveThank you, Joseph, for your questions. I'm going to be taking them. First of all, about the cost. You're right. We are in a path where we are growing our gross margin, which is a combination of what you said. It has a lot of our improved efficiency in there, our better distribution, the operation is more streamlined, et cetera. In other words, we are able to have a lighter, cheaper, and more efficient operation. And this has been helping us to leverage our gross margin. But there is also an important effect of the scale that we have been regaining. As for the oil prices, there are a few points to be mentioned. First of all, the correlation is direct in the sense that over time, oil prices will go up and down. But in the short-term, anything could happen. Especially because the dynamics of the prices, for one of the main indicators that we use, to measure our costs are. They have their own dynamics in terms of demand and offer, not directly connected to the oil prices. And secondly, I can tell you that, up to this first quarter of 2025, we did not see any effects whatsoever, which is relevant even I'm not even talking about the average price of the inventory in the entry raw material price. We don't see the, reflect of lower oil prices so far. So this might happen at a certain moment if the oil continues at the level where it is, and the butadiene and styrene-diene converge to a lower pricing point. If all of this becomes true, possibly at a certain moment. We are also going to see some trend of expanding our gross margins. Because of that, it's very hard to do that. We don't give any margin guidance here. So it's not clear to us, whether or not these petrochemicals are going to have their prices, following the oil prices decrease, and for how long they would be at this lower levels. What I can tell you is that for right now, we have no effects whatsoever of those. And on the other hand, even if all of these happens, which might happen. But we don't really know, there is also a lead time before this goes through our results. Because first of all, this is going to take us some time recycling, the new inventory at this new pricing, if it comes to change in the future. And after that there is all the fabrication of the products, finished projects at these new prices of the raw materials. So this is going to take a few quarters, before this capture is actually absorbed in our chain to be shown in the results. So to effectively affect our COGS, there will be a higher time, because we have an inventory of raw materials and finished product. So this is something we cannot anticipate at all. Well but again, if all of your premises are right at a certain moment, again we might have a favorable effect in our gross margins. But again, we cannot anticipate. As for the marketing expenses that you asked, we understand that we have already regained the market investment levels. You saw that the international levels were at a level that we understood to be reasonable, even though in a different break breakdown. So we adjusted mainly the composition of this marketing spending, so it was more effective in the long-term. This has already been done. In Brazil, we used to have a smaller level, of what we consider to be healthy for the long-term sustainability of the brand. So we regained this levels in the numbers I showed you. So understand, we are at a level right now, which is reasonable. So we don't see, as you increase the marketing investments, you start to lose the efficiency of your margins. So we believe we are at a level that, is compatible with the industry, and with our results right now. So we don't have the intention to do anything different, from what we're doing right now. All of that is part of global and agenda, which includes collabs, partnerships, et cetera. So we don't see any reason to do a different game, from what we have planned right now. So we understand, we should be operating at the levels we are right now. And last is talking about the net cash position. We do not have any interest in continuing to carry liquid a net cash position in the company. We believe this is an inefficient capital structure. It was very important to be pursued for a certain time, because the company was burning our cash levels and was -- we saw a trajectory, of leveraging that was actually worrying. We reverted that, we managed to revert that, and bring that back to a very healthy level. But he also don't believe that for the long-term, this is the right place for the liquid cash to be. So we want to have this correction without performing any kind of like unnecessary investment, to correct the capital structure, or any kind of strategic movement that is, too different only for this the sake. So the limitation in distributing dividends in the past was, because of the consumption of the historic money we had in the business. So we were limited to the, to the options we had. But our intention right now, and we are studying the alternatives to proceeding this way, is to at a certain moment, whenever possible to have an adjustment of the capital structure, to a level that is obviously not risky, but it's more optimized in terms of deleveraging. But also do it in a way that is legally bound and that follows all compliances and rules in a safe way. So right now, this accumulation of cash was not connected to any kind of intention of this capital. So we're not preparing to invest it or use it, use it up, quite the opposite. It was more of a limited up, because of due to the limited options we had, in using this capital structure in the past. But whenever we have a new direction in this sense, we are going to be announcing it to the market.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from Joao Soares, sell-side analyst with Citibank in Brazil.
Joao Pedro Soares
analystLiel and Natal, I have 3 points I'd like to ask you. I'm sorry if I'm going to be repetitive in some of them. 1 point is about Brazil, 1 about the international markets, 1 is about the cash flow. In Brazil, I am a little bit, I'm trying to understand a little bit this strategy. What is the expected seasonality for Brazil right now? Imagining that in Brazil it was well balanced, when you look at the volumes, sell-ng and sell-out every quarter. And also we didn't see big sell-out advancements. So I'm trying to understand, why you had this worry, this concern with this pre-supplying of the market. I want to understand a little bit more of this, and how this can somehow affect the gross margin in Brazil. Secondly, about international operations, what should we expect? I know that, we always go back a little bit to this point. But without considering too much the U.S.A., what do you see as an ideal volume, for the international operations? Now that you know that you have reached the balanced level of marketing expenses, what should I understand, as a sustainable level of sales volume, so we can have a kind of a better understanding of what you are pursuing? And last, how could I understand the cash flow cycle? You showed that there was an increase in the first quarter of cash consumption. But what could we see for the future considering that last year, we closed the year with a very favorable cash flow level?
Liel Miranda
executiveThank you, Joao, for your questions. I'm going to try the first 2 questions, and Andre and take the third one about the cash flow cycle. Well going back to the strategy of a supply the market, as I said, the quarters are not necessarily, not necessarily everything that you see as sell-in is also, becomes a sell-out in that same quarter. In the retail has their inventory depending in the channel that could be of up to 3 months of products. And we also have a time between our lead time. So this makes the sell-in of quarter, to be better reflected in the follow-up in the upcoming quarters then in that quarter itself. So in this first quarter, we saw sell-in of 2% in sell-out. We saw growth of 2% in the sell-out. And of course we celebrate this. Which means that the game has been gaining traction, gaining momentum, gaining market share. The market is looking for our projects more than it did in the past. But our sell-in was designing the way that our channels, and our clients were supplied for this second quarter, where we are going to be launching a new collection. And naturally the inventories of our clients, and our own inventories will be reduced, so that the new collection can be sold. So an error would be to keep too much of a large inventory in-house. Because after the new collection is launched, the older former collection, is not desired by consumers so much anymore. And that you needed to end up, you need to end up giving discounts to sell it. And this will might eventually become a write-off at the end of the year in the business balance. So trying to prevent this from becoming a write-off, our decision was to anticipate as much as possible the selling of this current collection, ensuring that the new collection, will arrive with our inventory levels much smaller. So with a smaller discount risk of having to give a discount and as a result our write-off in the end of the year. On the other hand, we want also we wanted our clients. You have an option. We also we wanted our clients that even if they decided to reduce their inventories, to receive faster than new collection that they were supplied. The benefits that we expect are, first that our current collections inventory is lower, so we won't have to practice discounts, and we'll have a smaller risk of write-off. We wanted that our clients' inventories, are a little bit higher. Like we're talking about 10% that it would be. We're not talking about anything extraordinary. This 10% extra inventory surplus of inventory. We ensure that our clients' inventories are enough to supply the market, until the new collection arrives. And in the second quarter, when the new collection arrives, from the third quarter and on, we will normalize these dynamics. And if necessary, we can reduce the sell-in. If there is no excess and the sell-in, becomes the sell-out, for the upcoming quarters, we will continue with the sell-in that we plan. So this is a strategy that we tried to implement to avoid the problems we saw in previous years. To avoid write-offs, to avoid stock-out in the market, and to avoid larger discounts throughout the year. And that's the new collection does not -- that the consumers do not find the old collection anymore. In between the 2 collections. We are talking about 5 million pairs. You saw products in a quarter where the sell-out was of about BRL 45 million, and the sell-in was of about BRL 50 million. So this is the difference between the sell-in and sell-out. This is the story of seasonality or supply. As for the second quarter we're going to be the sell-in probably growing. Because we're going from a level of 15 million pairs in the first half of the year, to a second 15 million pairs per month in the first half of the year, to the 20 million pairs per month in the second half of the year. Because we are going to be supplying for the summer, which is where we have our best sales levels in the year. So this is a supply. Exactly and we also have a learning curve. This didn't happen usually in between collections, we lose market share. When we analyze it, that market share loss was, because we were not able to match the new collection arrival, with the end of the inventory of the older collection of clients, which leads to market participation or market share loss. Based on this learning, is why we decided to try this tactic. But again we are going to manage both sell-in and sell-out levels, and make sure that they are aligned, not necessarily quarter-by-quarter or month-by-month, but throughout the year they should be in line. As for the international markets, we obviously cannot give you any kind of guidance, of what kind of volume we expect, what kind of profitability we're looking for. But what we can say is that the current volume and the current profitability, is not what we expect for the international operations. Obviously, we expected to regain the scale of volume that we lost over the past 3 years. And in Europe we see the first signal of recovery. As Andre said, it's very early. In Europe, the good season for us starts in the second quarter. But having a first quarter, we can already see a 5% growth, reflected in both sell-in and sell-out, is kinds of signals to us that we can expect some growth. We expected this is only the first step, and we expected that Europe is going to go back, to the volume sales levels that it had in the past. What we know is that in Europe consumers have already purchased more of heavy on us in the past and in before, clients used to sell more, heavy on us. So we don't have to build a brand, the brand is well known, consumers like it. We don't have to create consumer experience. We just have to come back to supplying the market, having a more competitive portfolio of products, having a better pricing point. Because we have made a few mistakes in the past, we are also -- we are executing all of that, and then we have to execute this well, in each one of the points of sales in Europe. So Europe is already showing very shy signals of recovery, but it's very below what we expect it to be in the future. And also for the distribution markets, we are not comfortable with the profitability, and scale levels of the international markets. And this is one of the biggest, if not the biggest priority in the business right now. One of the biggest priorities, or the biggest priorities to recover the scale of volume sales for the international operations, and regain the profitability.
Andre Natal
executiveExcuse me, Liel, just to complement this question about the international operations, obviously we don't give guidance and we will never give any guidance. But what we can say strategically is that we don't see any kind of structural reason to believe that our margins will be smaller than were in the past. I showed you the EBITDA graph. So when we look at the performance loss of the EBITDA margin, a big percentage of the decrease was due to the scale, not to the efficiency. The efficiency was positive, the efficiency effects were positive. So we imagine if we regain the scale at a certain moment, we should always be benefit from the efficiency improvement that, we have seen and we are having at the moment. So the right way to think that is that we don't have any structural reason that, is going to oblige us to have a smaller margin. Nothing has changed in the market, but our scale, for the reasons that we already know. So that's why this is the focus and priority that Liel mentioned. To go back to the size of the operation we used to have. As for the cash flow cycle, since even we have consumed a little bit of the working capital in the first quarter, these does not affect at all our cash flow consumption cycle. We were at a pretty much equal level, from what we saw in the fourth quarter 2024. So what actually means that our working capital, is due to a higher level of receivables, but also to a higher level of revenue. So we didn't extend our receivable time. So in practice what we see, is that we collected all the receivables from the fourth quarter and seasonally. This is what happens. We sell seasonally in Brazil, much more in the fourth quarter, and then in first quarter is much more of a quarter, where we are going to be collecting these receivables from the fourth quarter. But obviously, we also issued new receivables. But this has not changed our expectation of the receipt of our receivables, or there was not a growth in the default from clients. It's just because of the higher sell-in, because we anticipated a higher, sell-in to the client. So from the perspective of health of our cash flow, it remains absolutely healthy and much, much better. It's impossible to compare, to what we saw in 2021. If you compare in days, right now we are much less exposed, to the risk we had in 2021. Just to give you a number, the inventory time was close to 130 days in 2021, and now we are close to half of that, about 60 days. So we had a clear evolution, and now we are inside a stabilized and normalized level. So we have no concerns with the cash of the business. No, I was not concerned. I was just wanted to understand if this were the levels that he wanted to sustain. Just one point that remained about the Brazil. I understand that this strategy is positive for the gross margin. The idea keep this level of gross margin in Brazil. Can we understand this gross margin level as sustainable for Brazil? The relationship you mentioned is correct. Part of the -- depends on the window you are comparing, of course. But a part of the scale effect, compared to the past is the recovery of volume. Because we saw a compression in sales, a decrease in sales, and we have been regrowing. So this is a structure, a part of this, which is the anticipation of inventory that we sold to the clients, because of the tactics we mentioned before. This also has some sort of benefit to the margins. You can make the math of how much this 5 million pairs contributed to a higher dilution of the fixed costs. Because if so, if we don't have the same volume from now on, considering that we and considering that, we are going to equal the sell-in to the sell-out, then this gross margin will not be sustainable. So this math has to be done, depending on whether, or not we continue our selling levels. But again we don't give any margins guidance. But it's very hard to make it an estimate, because there are several variables that we don't control like oil prices, petrochemical prices. So there, we don't see building blocks that are as clear, as to allow us to say that these are going to be our gross margin, expected from now on. We are not certain of that, and we cannot offer the certainty. But everything else remaining the levels where they are, this margin, gross margin doesn't have any other kind of effect. That is the result in addition to these plus 5 million pairs that we sold in advance. So this is a little bit of the uncertainty that we see from now on. And the positive aspect of this story, is that we have on the radar other actions. We are always studying other actions to gain even more efficiency at our factories that, we might employ or deploy at any moment. And this also should allow us to gain more efficiency over time, and as we gain scale up, we scale up our operations. But again I cannot give you a numbers.
Joao Pedro Soares
analystI appreciate you answering my question fully, and congratulations on your results.
Operator
operatorOur next question is from [ Pedro ], sell-side analyst with UBS in Brazil. Vinicius, go ahead.
Vinicius Strano
analystI'd like to separate a little bit the pricing topic. I'd like to hear from you. What do you see as the elasticity of pricing to consumer and a little bit of, to talk a little bit about evolving the pricing prepare a little bit above inflation thinking of the portfolio and mix. And as for the U.S.A. tariffs topic, you mentioned Rothy's. But is there any kind of change in the tariffs or topic that might give competitive advantage, to a heavy hands in the future in the U.S.?
Liel Miranda
executiveWell, Vinicius, thank you for your questions. I will start addressing your questions here, and I can complement my answers. From the pricing standpoint of view, as you can see, we have had the discipline of focusing in the channels, and in the markets where we have a better profitability. So it's not necessarily to pass on a price increase to consumers, but also to make our efforts and our investments and our focus where we have a better profitability. We use that in the United States where we had this migration of volume, where we had an off pricing and we move it, we migrated into channels where we have better profitability. And this was also made in Brazil. When we see in Brazil that our volume in specialized shoes, and in our own stores has been growing. This helps in our margins, because the portfolio there is more innovative, more premium and the pricing point is also higher. So this helps us in our results. So this pricing strategy, due to our channel and markets strategy is aligned with our strategy, pricing strategy of aligning price, our pricing to what consumers can afford. So we don't have a strategy of pricing our products above the inflation. We believe we have to keep our prices aligned with inflation, and what consumers spending possibilities. This was our strategy in 2024, and we'll continue in 2025. We will try to gain the, regain the costs that we lose, due to inflation. But on the other hand, we are going to try to have a strategy for channels, and markets that brings us results of a better margin per pair. And we can already see this happening several geographies and channels. This is my vision about pricing. As for the elasticity, price elasticity, we haven't seen this yet. And our sell-out grew 2%, and we did not observe any negative elasticity in pricing. So throughout the year, we're going to be applying our pricing strategy, aligned to inflation in Brazil. We're going to continue our strategy, of focusing in the more profitable channels and market, always providing that this does not impact the consumer spending possibilities. Because Andre mentioned the scale is fundamental for our business. So you're always going to be seeking this balance, between those 2 dimensions to ensure that we have the portfolio, the channel and the price, which is the most competitive, competitive as competitive as possible for the market. As for the tariffs, for how these affects heavy on us for the U.S.A., we are not so much impacted, because Brazil right now is in a less problematic situation, compared to China, which is where Rothy's produces its product. And the largest majority of manufacturers produce the products, we produce in Brazil to export to the U.S. So at first, we don't have a very big negative impact, and this potential of positive impact, is that our producers bringing that production from China to the U.S. We'll have to wait to see, what's going to happen with this dispute. If this is going to be real the final tariff that's going to be imposed, and if the manufacturers will pass on this increase to the pricing in the U.S. Right now, we don't see any benefits for heavy on us. But what we do know that this does not, is not going to affect heavy on us negatively. We know that for sure.
Andre Natal
executiveThe only thing I'd like to add here, Andre speaking, is that any kind of effect of net sales effect per pair that we can do in a sustainable way. Because I think your question is more like thinking long-term. This should come through the same items that Liel mentioned. It's a mixed portfolio and also strategy, we do not believe it's something that we have already exercised in the past, to have a substantial increase in prices above the inflation and, which generated all the consequences that we have found out. We found out that this elasticity in pricing exists. But we understand that is that sustainably growing our prices, above inflation in the long-term, is something that we don't think it's a good yields good results in the long-term. Which doesn't mean that we are not going to innovate, and have a better mix strategy and a channel strategy that, can provide us better profitability over time. But always being super careful about the price. I want to make this distinction between pricing, and the strategy to not generate the perception that. We have capacity of increasing prices too much above the inflation in the long-term, because this could be very damaging for the business. So we don't have this intention at all.
Operator
operatorThe next question is by Gustavo Fratini, sell-side analyst with new Bank of America.
Gustavo Fratini
analystI have 2 questions here, relatively simple questions. What can you see in terms of sell-out, after this strategy that you have implemented? So has your sell-out being accelerated, has it been impacted anyhow, after you tactic. And can you give me, some more details about the discussions about finding partners in the U.S. market, and how to conduct the turnaround of this operation?
Liel Miranda
executiveGustavo, thank you for your questions. I will take the first 2 questions. This sell-out about the sell-out it is a strategy. The tactic is something that we have just deployed. So we cannot have right now an understanding, a full understanding of how much this sell-in will affect, because there is a time for this product to arrive at the clients, and then to the stores, and then to the shelves. And then to generate a higher stimulation. Because here we're talking about a compare, something that is a little more accelerated compared to the past. It's not completely different from what we have ever done before. So we will only be capable to read the effectiveness of this tactic movement, in maybe 1 or 2 months when we start to see how this is going to produce, or what the results will be in terms of our traction, or momentum in our sales levels. If this is going to, we are going to maintain the sales levels, or if this is going to accelerate our sell-out, without producing any kind of effect. This is something that we cannot anticipate right now. So we have to observe this throughout the second quarter mainly. And because this historical, loss in market share happens in like between March and April, so we don't have data yet on that, we need to go through this period, before we are able to answer this question. And about your next question concerning business partners, what I can anticipate is that we have had several conversations in the U.S. We went to several prospect partners to understand, to have information, to have data. And to feed our ideas, on what would be the best path, to pursue in the operations in the U.S.A.. What I can tell is that there are several businesses, many companies that opened the doors, was in our interested in having conversation with us, because of the relevance of our brand, maybe because of an appetite that heavy on us seems to be a brand that, is not very well developed on the side of, from the standpoint of view of volume and in market share. So this makes us very attractive. And therefore many companies are interested in listening to us and interacting with us. And obviously these companies are also interested, and willing to make eventual changes to their business models to fit into a business model that we would like to have in our operations in the U.S. So what I can tell you is that there is, a certain receptivity on the part of the businesses in the U.S., but that doesn't make any simple for us to actually make a decision and do know like the first movement. So there is a lot of room for us to reach out to partners. But the materialization involves a lot of risks to be mitigated, discussions to be made, conversations should be carried out. So we are in between this process right now, in this process right now. So we don't have any novelty to offer to you right now. So this is the stage we are at right now. So we have a prospect for the future, but we will keep working on that and we have no news to announce at this time.
Operator
operatorThe Q&A session is now closed, and I would like to give the word, to turn the floor over to the company, to Liel, for his final considerations.
Liel Miranda
executiveWell, before anything else, I'd like to thank you for your participation and for all of your questions. I hope we have been able to answer all of them, and to clarify, and I think this quarter shows the materialization and of our strategy. We have been pursuing it with focus, and aligned with an alignment between our supply-chain, financial and manufacturing areas. So this means that the company has finally found its management, ideal management where we can ensure consistent, and a consistent performance in the future. We have a clear strategy in Brazil, with focus in the channels where we have smaller penetration, with a clear definition for our portfolio. We have a strategy for recovery, our scale in Europe mainly, and all in internationals and the profitability in the U.S. and we have a clear strategy of managing our operations through the improvement of -- continuous improvement through efficiency or supplying our products to the market. So the summary of the strategy that was presented last year, I believe that this first quarter consolidates and proves that we have achieved all of that and confirmed that the strategy has been implemented correctly with the correct discipline and focus, and they already yield some positive results. Thank you all very much, and see you next quarter.
Operator
operatorThis video conference for Alpargatas results for the first quarter of 2024 is now concluded. The Investor Relations department is available to answer any further questions and queries. Thank you very much to the participants and have a good day. [Statements in English on this transcript were spoken by an interpreter present on the live call.]
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