Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
October 22, 2020
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
John Albright
executiveThanks, operator. Hello, everybody, and thanks for being with us this morning for Alpine Income Property Trust's conference call covering operating results for the third quarter of 2020. It's a pleasure to have Matt Partridge, who is our new Chief Financial Officer, here with me today. Before we get started, I'll hand things over to Matt so he can give the usual disclosures about today's call. Matt?
Matt Partridge
executiveThanks, John. Before we go further, I want to note that a number of the remarks we're making on this call fall under the category of forward-looking statements as defined by Federal Securities Law. It's possible that the Company's actual future results will end up differing substantially from what these forward-looking statements describe; and no obligation is assumed by us to revise or update any of them. The factors and risks capable of making actual results diverge materially from our expectations get disclosed periodically, with more detail, in the Company's Form 10-K, Form 10-Q, and other SEC filings. Our SEC reports, available in our earnings release, include reconciliations of the non-GAAP financial measures we utilize, and you can find those on our website at alpinereit.com. Having said that, I'll hand the call back to John now.
John Albright
executiveAppreciate that, Matt. The third quarter was a strong one for Alpine, and we're pushing toward a 100% contractual base rent collection rate across all three months of that quarter. Now that most of the Q2 negotiations are finished, we could turn our attention back to growing the business actively during the third quarter, carrying out our focused acquisition approach of putting money into income producing properties, where solid real estate fundamentals draw high quality tenants. During the third quarter, we put capital into 15 properties across five states, spending $23.9 million, with an average weighted going-in cap rate of roughly 6.8%. Worth highlighting: 100% of the annualized base rent we acquired comes from Dollar General and Advance Auto Parts, both of them investment grade rated tenants, and the weighted average lease term on the third quarter investment was 13 years at acquisition. Alongside our third quarter acquisition activity, we also disposed of our Outback Steakhouse in Charlottesville, Virginia, at a price of $5.1 million. That came to a 5.75% cap rate on in-place net operating income, which, when combined with the going-in cap rate on what we bought and the investment grade credit tied to those assets, we see as strongly accretive to the portfolio on a risk adjusted basis. So far this year, we've picked up 26 properties for about $99.3 million at a weighted average going-in cap rate of 6.9%. We're especially pleased that what we bought this year consisted mostly of new credits and high performing sectors. To be specific, over the first nine months of 2020, we made selective investments in five new retail sectors and markedly grew our concentration in grocery, convenience store, dollar store and auto parts sectors, all of which deliver excellent incremental diversification. Those investments also gave us the chance to team up with 10 new retail tenants, among them sector leading operators like Walmart, 7-Eleven and Dollar General — together those three account for roughly 18% of our annualized base rent, and Walmart and Dollar General are now two of our top five tenants. At first, even after more than doubling the number of assets in our portfolio over the first three quarters of the year, we've still managed to keep an outsized portfolio level of exposure to top tier markets, as shown by close to two-thirds of our annualized base rents originating from 10 of the ULI's top 30 markets for 2021. At the close of the third quarter, our portfolio stood 100% occupied, made up of 45 income properties totaling almost 1.5 million square-feet of rentable space across 17 states, with every one of our top five tenants a leader in its respective industry. Looking ahead to the fourth quarter and past it, a good deal of uncertainty remains around the underlying economy and how it will affect how our current and prospective tenants operate. Even so, it’s a pleasure to report that for October, all of the contractual base rents came in — 100%. Along with the transaction activity we’d already announced and a growing acquisition pipeline, we’ve raised our acquisition guidance to $110 million, up from $105 million; and we’ve lifted the midpoint on the FFO and AFFO guidance we gave earlier. With that, I’ll hand the call over to Matt now so he can go through our financial results and balance sheet activity.
Matt Partridge
executiveThanks, John. Like John mentioned, we saw great rent collection numbers in Q3, bringing in 100% of contractual base rents across all three months. Because we managed the portfolio proactively and that led to these solid collection patterns, we posted total revenues of $5.1 million for the quarter. I want to remind everyone that this 100% collection rate reflects rents that were contractually owed each month and takes into account rent deferrals or abatements that were agreed to before the rent due date. By comparison, rent collected in Q3 averaged roughly 5% lower each month than what would have been owed before we entered into COVID-19 related amendments. Looking ahead, we anticipate that all of the deferred rent will be paid back before 2021 wraps up. During the third quarter of 2020, funds from operations totaled $3 million, which works out to $0.35 per share, while adjusted funds from operations reached $2.9 million, or $0.34 per share. Back in Q2, we told everyone that AFFO had taken a $625,000 hit tied to the rent referral agreements we discussed earlier. Once those deferred rent payments start coming back to us in future periods, our AFFO will get a lift during the periods when that repayment happens. In Q3 2020, we collected a little more than $86,000 in scheduled repayments of deferred rent, and that provided a favorable bump to our AFFO for the quarter. During the third quarter, G&A costs, which take in the management fee for the company, totaled $1.1 million. Measured against revenue, that represented a decline of 271 basis points versus Q2 2020. Our expectation is that this pattern will continue as we gain additional economies of scale while carrying out our investment strategy. The company, as was previously disclosed, distributed a third quarter cash dividend of $0.20 on September 30 to stockholders of record on September 15. That amounted to a quarterly payout ratio of 57% of FFO per share, and 59% of AFFO per share. Under our dividend policy, we believe shareholders should receive a dependable and steady dividend. Considering where the company stands strategically and how its core business is expanding, our Board of Directors gave the green light, and as a result the company has announced a dividend of $0.22 per share. It will go out on December 31, 2020 to shareholders who are on the books when business closes on December 15, 2020. Compared with the prior quarterly payout, this fourth quarter cash dividend marks a 10% bump, working out to an annualized yield of roughly 6.1%. Let's move on to the balance sheet now. When September 30 rolled around, the amount of debt still owed came to $88.3 million, and we held $1.9 million in cash. At the close of the quarter, net debt relative to total enterprise value stood at about 39%, and our fixed charge coverage ratio for that period came in at around 9 times. Just days back, we made public that our revolving credit facility grew from $100 million up to $150 million, thanks to bringing in two additional banking partners. There are no debt maturities before 2023, and a one-year extension option exists that might push that maturity out to 2024, plus that 50% bump for the revolving credit facility. Our liquidity standing is quite strong for fueling earnings growth as we carry out our growth strategy. So with that, I'll hand the call back to John now so he can give a summary of the quarter along with his closing remarks.
John Albright
executiveThanks, Matt. Before we get to Q&A, I want to walk through a few of the key points, especially given that we've taken some significant operational steps forward as our organization has grown. As we mentioned before, we've hit a 100% rent collection rate across the last four months, and that includes this first month of the fourth quarter. We keep building on that momentum as well as on activity in the transaction market, picking up only investment grade tenants in the third quarter, which will strengthen our expanding portfolio further and produce real economies of scale. Because we've executed consistently, we were able to raise our full year guidance and lift the fourth quarter cash dividend by 10% quarter-over-quarter, bringing the yield to roughly 6.1%. And now that our credit facility has been expanded, we have plenty of liquidity to carry out our disciplined investment strategy and generate outside per share earnings growth. To wrap up, I'd like to thank our shareholders for their ongoing support and congratulate our team on what they accomplished during the quarter. With that, we'll take your questions. Operator?
Barry Oxford
analystGreat. Thanks guys. Could you provide me and everyone else listening in on the call with a bit more detail regarding your acquisition pipeline — perhaps regarding the dollar amount of what you've reviewed and where things stand in terms of possibly nearing a letter of intent, to whatever degree you're able?
John Albright
executiveSure. Thanks, Barry. Well, the acquisition pipeline is quite strong. We have — we're involved in some form of negotiation for a mouth that exceeds our guidance. Figuring that a few may not entirely reach negotiation or something could occur during due diligence; so we're quite at ease with what's in front of us when it comes to high quality credits and good locations.
Barry Oxford
analystLooking at 2021, should we figure you'll land somewhere in the neighborhood of what you pulled off in 2020 on the acquisition front, keeping in mind that 2Q came in a bit soft?
John Albright
executiveAbsolutely — with the track record we have and everything we've managed to get done through this year, our confidence is high that this year's success can be matched, or even exceeded, and clearly that holds despite the pandemic.
Barry Oxford
analystOkay, that's great. Thanks for that. Now let's look at the balance sheet. By any measure, you're in an outstanding spot; but where would the outer limit be for how much debt you'd be willing to take on, and you can address that using whichever metrics you prefer — fixed income, debt to EBITDA, or debt to market cap, any type of metric you'd like to examine.
John Albright
executiveSure. I'll have Matt address that.
Barry Oxford
analystGreat. Thanks, Matt.
Matt Partridge
executiveI'm not going to set an upper limit on it, but on the road show, the company communicated to investors that their goal was a long-term average of roughly 6 times net debt to EBITDA. We're getting close to that point, though clearly we might be at ease exceeding it and definitely functioning beneath it — that figure is meant to serve as a longer-term average. So for us, I believe it will hinge on the opportunities we have ahead of us.
Barry Oxford
analystExcellent, excellent. Appreciate it, everyone. I've got nothing further.
John Albright
executiveThanks.
Matt Partridge
executiveThank you.
Rob Stevenson
analystMorning, everyone. John, apart from Outback, how much in the portfolio right now would you consider selling across the coming couple of years, and which of those do you figure look better to 1031 purchasers, who may be keener still to hand over more money and get transactions done before the calendar runs out, giving you stronger pricing?
John Albright
executiveYeah — appreciate the question. I mean, listen, we deliberately brought that asset to the market, since I believe a gap exists between — and a gap persists when it comes to our share price versus the implied cap rate and the property base we hold. So my sense is shareholders likely didn't recognize that. Consider casual dining and, sure, we've faced difficulties throughout this pandemic, yet we understood on the ground that investor demand for such assets remains quite robust. So we essentially put that asset forward in order to show how strong the portfolio is and how strong the investor universe is. And so it proved highly accretive to divest a casual dining sector credit and essentially redeploy the proceeds into a higher credit, longer lease, kind of investment. So in an indirect manner, we could surely do far more of that were we so inclined, though we have no plans for it at this moment.
Rob Stevenson
analystAll right. And building on that, following up on what Barry asked. So the outlook suggests roughly $10 million worth of acquisitions during Q4. You just expanded the capacity on that line, which gives you extra room. But considering the leverage levels Matt mentioned, how do you plan to fund the next $50 million of acquisitions, particularly given the stock sits at $14 and change — would you consider preferred? Would you pursue more asset sales? Could you give us some insight into what you and the board are discussing regarding how the company's growth gets funded over the coming few quarters?
John Albright
executiveYeah. Sure, there are various opportunities, so to speak, though we definitely won't be leveraging this thing up, nor do we intend to leverage this thing up given the capacity we've got. Having that capacity is simply a nice thing. Should a unique investment opportunity appear, we could definitely draw it down, then replicate what we just did with the casual dining sales — some very low cap rate investments — and continue working the portfolio, if the stock weren't performing. So various opportunities exist for us, or various flexible options. However, we have no intention of simply piling on all the leverage and then sitting back. So we'll examine the various opportunities when that time arrives.
Rob Stevenson
analystOkay. Thanks guys. Appreciate it.
John Albright
executiveThank you.
Craig Kucera
analystMorning, everyone. Matt, glad to have you with us.
Matt Partridge
executiveAppreciate that, Craig.
Craig Kucera
analystTo start off, I'd like to discuss those Dollar General locations you picked up during this quarter. Could you explain what made it so appealing to move so heavily in that direction, in a sense, during Q3?
John Albright
executiveWell, look, that's an extremely solid credit, and a highly successful operator. It's a business that's expanding, performed really well throughout the pandemic, and it becomes — it's a credit driven by necessity, which we're quite fond of. So should additional strong opportunities come along with favorable lease duration, we have no issue bringing more of that credit into the company. I wouldn't anticipate a great deal more of them, though certainly, it's a wonderful company and we're thrilled to have it on board.
Craig Kucera
analystAll right, that's helpful. Could you also share some detail on the Dollar General leases that got signed during this quarter? Does any kind of guarantee or backing exist at the corporate level?
John Albright
executiveAbsolutely, this is a corporate credit, no question. In other words, we're dealing with the parent company itself. If we weren't receiving the complete credit, there's no way we would be purchasing it.
Craig Kucera
analystAll right, that's helpful. And John, I recall that earlier on during the pandemic, when you compared how office properties were doing against retail, you said you might actually consider growing your office holdings, since that segment had held up so well. So what's your thinking at this point? Do you still lean that direction? Or does your pipeline and your outlook now skew more toward retail?
John Albright
executiveYeah. Every deal we're looking at right now is retail — the pipeline is entirely retail. That said, we continue to evaluate office purchases and remain open to them; if a genuinely attractive opportunity came along — the high-quality, single-tenant office properties we've reviewed are still carrying prices under the acquisition guidance we set — so we haven't closed the door, though it would need to be an unusual opportunity for us. As things stand, though, retail is what fills the pipeline.
Craig Kucera
analystUnderstood. I'd like to return to the topic of the dividend — I'm certain investors were pleased by that 10% bump, which, judging from this quarter, represented an FFO payout of roughly 65% of AFFO. In terms of payout ratios ahead, what was the board's thinking? Was this essentially a first move toward pushing the dividend up to a potentially larger share of recurring cash flow? Or should investors regard 65% as the level the dividend will stay at from here on?
Matt Partridge
executiveCraig, this is Matt; from my discussions with the board, I believe the target over the long term sits somewhere in the range of 75% to 85% of AFFO. Clearly, our aim is to expand the portfolio, so holding onto cash flow for that purpose is definitely front of mind, though the Q4 raise represents a step in the direction of that longer-term payout ratio. And as growth continues, we'll keep assessing the dividend's level.
Craig Kucera
analystAll right, excellent. I'd like to focus on Hilton Grand Vacations. I believe it was last week that they said a substantial number of employees would be let go. Has there been any conversation with them about reducing the square footage they take from you? Or do they — any details would be appreciated.
John Albright
executiveSure. I appreciate the question. So Hilton Grand Vacations, as everyone knows, has made public corporate staff reductions, and timeshare properties make up half of their portfolio. Regarding the two buildings we lease to them, we believe our position is quite strong, because they had taken space beyond our buildings, next door, at higher office rents and with leases of shorter length. As a result, we've already been — we've held talks and been told the intention is for them to move some of those functions into our buildings. So from their office space, in Orlando, where their cost is lowest and likely most efficient, we have single storey office buildings where they are the sole occupant. So when you consider this sort of COVID environment, there's no need for them to share an elevator with other tenants and so forth. And they hold other spaces in different buildings, or multi-storey buildings, alongside other tenants. So this provides them the assurance of — and the efficiency that comes from being in our building. So we're quite confident about where we stand with them. Plus, the rent they pay us is lower than what they pay at their other locations.
Craig Kucera
analystUnderstood. One additional item from my side. Here we are in October, and roughly 2% of rent is currently under abatement or deferral. Could you share any detail about which categories continue to pose some difficulty in terms of finalizing rent arrangements, along with your perspective as we move toward 2021?
John Albright
executiveSure, Craig. We are now receiving a 100% of what is owed under existing obligations, though naturally those figures come after deferral agreements are in place. The segments in which deferral agreements have been negotiated and signed are within the entertainment category — particularly the theaters and Alpine — and through those arrangements, we have managed to extend the lease term, plus we obtained certain income participation rights as well. Consequently, our view is that right now we sit in a fairly solid position, particularly given that every October rent payment has come in.
Craig Kucera
analystAll right. Thank you. I appreciate that.
RJ Milligan
analystMorning. Matt, I wanted to revisit that 5% — the portion versus pre-COVID levels sitting in deferrals or abatements? I'm just wondering, looking ahead to 2021, what recovery is expected? Or how much of that bucket do you anticipate recovering as we go into 2021?
Matt Partridge
executiveYes. Under how the deferral agreements were structured, Q3 included a modest repayment, which I mentioned during the prepared remarks, of $86,000. For Q4, it's broadly within that same range, and then it truly accelerates in Q1 and Q2 of 2021. So through the remainder of 2021, we expect every deferral to be repaid.
RJ Milligan
analystAll right, and within that 500 basis point bucket, how does deferral compare with abatement?
Matt Partridge
executiveSure. The abatement portion, based on which months you look at, falls somewhere from 2% down to 1%. Abatements applied only up until the close of this year. After that, that lease no longer carries abatements, while all remaining items are deferrals.
RJ Milligan
analystAlright, that's clear. So then, clearly, for the third quarter, 100% of rent has been invoiced and received. John, we're just wondering whether you could share your perspective regarding the risk over a longer horizon — possible negative consequences for tenants who've already paid up to this point, yet may have worries down the road, or which types of tenants might become a worry later on?
John Albright
executiveYeah, so here's how I'd put it — the segment we're truly keeping an eye on, I'd say, is really the theaters. And we believe our position with them is solid, since, clearly, if a — take the case where they can see, which as we always put it, is just the single transaction, the minor one, but suppose we're talking about AMC. Say they file for bankruptcy. Clearly, they'll move through a process, and they'll evaluate which leases to reject and which to accept. We believe we're sitting in a strong position with them, because we'd only just wrapped up COVID-related talks with them, and they agreed to extend the lease, plus we secured some percentage rent and other items on top of our base rent. So when you consider AMC, whether they're paying us rent that's quite low, and their performance before COVID was really robust, and it's located in a market where competition is minimal — we feel quite confident that properties of that kind will form the foundation and get accepted through a bankruptcy, should one occur. Consequently, we believe the risk we carry isn't worrisome, unlike a scenario where we held a theater that's more urban in nature — imagine high labor expenses, extremely costly rent, and extremely costly pass-throughs. That, in my view, is where you'd witness genuine distress. So we're feeling quite at ease. Beyond that, we keep monitoring things closely, but that's more or less our current way of viewing it.
RJ Milligan
analystAll right. Appreciate it, everyone. That covers everything on my end.
John Albright
executiveThanks.
John Albright
executiveI appreciate everyone being on this call. And I’m eager to speak with all of you over the course of the quarter.
Operator
operatorThat brings us to the end of this call. We appreciate your joining us for today's presentation, and you're free to disconnect at this time.
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