AlRayan Bank Q.P.S.C. (MARK) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
November 3, 2025
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorHello, everyone, and welcome to AlRayan Bank conference call. Please note that this call is being recorded. I'd now like to hand the call over to Shahan. You may now go ahead, please.
Shahan Keushgerian
attendeeThanks, Eli, and hello, everyone. I want to welcome you to AlRayan's Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call. So on this call from management, we have Shahnawaz Niazi, the Bank's Group CFO; Tahir Pirzada, Group Head of Treasury and Financial Institutions and Alexis Neeson, Group Chief Risk Officer. So as usual, we will conduct this call with first management reviewing the company's results followed by a Q&A session. I will turn the call over now to Shahnawaz. Please go ahead.
Shahnawaz Niazi
executiveThank you very much, Shahan. Good afternoon, everyone, from Doha. We'll start the call. So on our profitability, we reported a consolidated net profit of QAR 1.3 billion year-to-date September 2025 versus QAR 1.288 billion year-to-date September 2024. Earnings per share for the period were slightly higher at QAR 0.142 versus QAR 0.139 last year. The book value per share went up compared to Q3 2024 at QAR 2.64 versus QAR 2.58 last year. The return on average equity as of September '25 is 7.24% against 7.23%, more or less the same number last year. Despite the high cost of funds and the pressure on the margins, profitability remained stable in Q3 2025 compared to Q3 2024. The cost-to-income ratio is at 27.8%, slightly up from 26.4% last year, and this is mainly due to our ongoing IT digitization and the transformation process. On the balance sheet, the group achieved its highest ever total asset base, reaching QAR 176 billion as of September 2025. This represents an increase of 6.4% compared to last year, September '24. Customer deposits closed at QAR 114 billion. Last year were QAR 109 billion. Financing assets grew by 3.1% year-on-year at QAR 113 billion. This was driven by continued demand from both corporate and retail clients. And our investment securities also increased by 19% year-on-year to QAR 47 billion, reflecting our continued focus on value-generating assets. On the asset quality, 50% of our financing book continues to be with the government. 88% of our investment securities is sovereign debt and 84% of investment securities is with State of Qatar. The coverage ratio of Stage 3 financing assets is 65.6% against 63.3% last year in Q3 2024. The group's nonperforming financing assets represented 5.34% of the total financing assets. On our ECL, 81.7% of the total exposure subject to ECL are in Stage 1, 14.9% is in Stage 2. Last year was 23.7% in Stage 2 and 3.4% is in Stage 3. Last year was 3.8%, demonstrating the bank's consistent strong base of high-quality assets. The total ECL provision booked during Q3 2025 -- year-to-date, sorry, 2025 was QAR 610 million compared to last year's number of QAR 732 million, making overall coverage ratio stable at 2.9% in Q3 2025. On the capitalization, the bank's capital position continues to be strong and well above the minimum regulatory requirement of 15.73% as a DSIB. Capital adequacy ratio stands at 26.24% and core capital CET1 ratio is at 24.02% in Q3 2025. Last year, the same numbers were 23.34% and 21.25%, respectively. Tahir?
Tahir Pirzada
executiveThis is Tahir and on the Basel III ratios and liquidity. Qatar and GCC markets remain sufficiently liquid. U.S. treasuries stabilized a bit in Q3 further from last previous 2 quarters on the back of interest rate cut projections. We have seen the second rate cut on 29th of October. Markets are still expecting another 2 to 3 rate cuts in 2026. There was a rate cut projection in December. However, the probability of that is going down. So we don't expect much going on further this year, but we are aligned with 2 to 3 rate cuts in 2026. Liquidity position in GCC remains comfortable. We continue to see interest from diverse investors taking exposure in this market, while picking up decent premium from that of the regional peers. Nonresident pool of liquidity in Qatar remains more or less at the same level. That is about 18% as of now. High-quality liquid assets are roughly at around QAR 44 billion, reflecting a strong liquidity position that continues to support financing asset growth in the wholesale banking sectors. In May 2025, we issued QAR 500 million of 5-year senior unsecured regulation, as Sukuk, which was 3x oversubscribed, reflecting strong investor confidence and financial strength and creditworthiness of AlRayan Bank. We do have liquidity position comfortable. However, we have seen increased interest for local currency issuance from the peers. And we are also aligned with that and might look to do something this year or next year -- early next year. Thank you.
Shahnawaz Niazi
executiveShahan, back to you.
Shahan Keushgerian
attendeeOkay. Great. Eli, we can open it up for Q&A, please.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] We have our first question comes from the line of Murad Ansari of GTN.
Murad Ansari
analystJust wanted to get a bit more insight on the fee and other income. I mean, similar to last quarter, I think you had a few one-offs in the first 2 quarters. Just wanted to get a sense of that's -- what's continued into this quarter as well because the numbers are quite significant, both on fee income and other income.
Shahnawaz Niazi
executiveYes, Murad, that is correct. We do have one-offs even in Q3. But in Q4, we do not expect to have any one-offs. So in fee and commission income line, yes, there is a one-off. And in the other income line, there are recoveries -- one-offs consist mainly of recoveries from old outstanding written-off debt.
Murad Ansari
analystAll right. And just on loan growth, this quarter has been -- seen relatively flattish kind of -- about QAR 1 billion in growth in loans, but deposit growth has been much stronger. So just any insights that you can give around those 2 numbers? I mean, what do you expect going into the end of year? I think your guidance for the year was about mid-single digit. So about 4% to 5%, you're about 3% year-on-year for now. How do you expect fourth quarter to close? And also, I think just based on your presentation slides, it seems that there's been some decline in GRE lending. If you could just confirm that? And how do you expect the end of the year?
Shahnawaz Niazi
executiveSure. So on the loan growth, Murad, year-on-year, the financing book has grown by 3.1%, which is approximately QAR 3.4 billion. This growth is coming from mainly private sector, our U.K. business and a little bit growth from the government and the GRE sector. So that answers your first question. The guidance on loan growth for full year 2025 continues to be lower single digits. It was not mid, it was 3% to 4%. So the guidance continues to be 3% to 4% for the full year. And your last question was lower growth on GRE. And this is exactly -- if you recall in our previous investor calls as well, we provided that as part of our strategy, we would like to diversify away from GRE into other sectors. And this decline -- the slight couple of percentage point decline that you see in the GRE is in line with that strategy.
Murad Ansari
analystOkay. And last question just on margins. So we've seen a bit of a decline again in this quarter in margins. We've seen 2 rate cuts, one end of -- one in September, one in October. How should we think about margins going into fourth quarter and next year? I mean my impression was that we'd see some deposit repricing happening around third quarter. Is that still the case? And how do these 2 rate cuts that we've seen so far impact your margins outlook -- NIM outlook?
Shahnawaz Niazi
executiveSure, Murad. So if you recall, when you raised the same question in the last investor call and the guidance that we provided was that for a bank with a portfolio like ours, which is when a Fed rate cut or a QCB rate cut happens, 90% of the financing book gets repriced immediately. But approximately 30% of the deposit book does not get repriced because it is locked in for 6 months, 9 months and a few deposits up to a year. And this anomaly creates a bit of a pressure on the margins. So in an environment where the rates are going down, the margin pressure will be there, but this is a timing difference. However, now when the last year's rate cut happened approximately in Q4, 100 basis points, it took us 7, 8 months after the last rate cut for the margins to come back to their normal levels. However, now we are going into the same cycle once again, where we had a rate cut in September, another one in October. And based on what Tahir said, it's not likely, but based on the rate cut, we go into the same cycle where we will have pressure on the margins, but that is going to be a timing difference. So that's the same comment that I provided in the last investor call. In addition to that, we had to reprice a couple of our GRE loans this year, which also had an impact on our NIM. My full year guidance on the NIM is it will stay at its current level. Approximately, it's at 1.4%. It will stay around that level. And immediately next year, we expect -- in addition to the explanation that I provided, we expect a few longer tenor deposits that we had booked at higher rates, they will -- they are expected to mature and they will get rolled over at lower rates. So that would be the offset. So in conclusion, the margins will continue to hover around 1.35%, 1.4% over the next couple of quarters.
Operator
operatorRight now, we don't have any pending questions. I'd now like to hand the call back to Shahan for final remarks.
Shahan Keushgerian
attendeeOkay. So if there are no questions, we can wrap up this call. I'd like to thank management for giving us an update on the third quarter, and we'll pick this up again in the fourth quarter. Thank you very much.
Shahnawaz Niazi
executiveThank you.
Tahir Pirzada
executiveThank you.
Operator
operatorThank you for attending today's call. You may now disconnect. Goodbye.
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