Amalgamated Financial Corp. (AMAL) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

September 14, 2020

NASDAQ US Financials Banks conference_presentation 30 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Brian Morton

analyst
#1

Good afternoon, and welcome back to our session. Next, we'd like to welcome back Amalgamated Bank for an encore presentation for our conference. This will be a fireside chat. And just to keep it interactive, you should be able to see answered questions on the left-hand side of your presentation. So please send in your questions, and we'll answer them as they begin real time. I recall Amalgamated went public in July of 2018 and has expanded into the San Francisco market with the purchase of New Resource Bank. From the company, we are excited to have Keith Mestrich, CEO; and Drew LaBenne, CFO. Guys, welcome to the conference.

Keith Mestrich

executive
#2

Thanks, Brian.

Drew LaBenne

executive
#3

Yes. Thanks for having us.

Brian Morton

analyst
#4

Great. For the first question, just to start off, kind of social justice issues have garnered significant attention of late. Kind of can you talk about how your brand proposition has resonated with clients and how this is impacting these relationships?

Keith Mestrich

executive
#5

Sure. I'll take that one. You're right, Brian. It's been quite a year, 2020. We've had a pandemic, which has led to a variety of social issues around public health and engaged a number of the kinds of organizations that see Amalgamated as their natural banking partner. We've certainly seen our share of economic stresses and a number of organizations that work for social justice from the perspective of income inequality or worker representation have been quite busy. And obviously, with the depth in the killing of George Floyd and the resulting racial justice demonstrations and outpouring of that -- has resulted from that and other such instances. A number of the kinds of organizations that spend time banking with Amalgamated have seen an outpouring of contributions. They've been incredibly busy. They have been working double time to really do the kind of work that they have done. And in all of that, just like they do in other times, they want their financial compadre who helps them think through a lot of these issues. And we've certainly seen that in this time. And even with our bank operating completely remotely since March, we have seen tremendous outreach, both to and from our natural constituents. We've seen their organizations sustain some nice growth. We've seen significant deposit increases from that. And really just the number of people who wanted to be active with us, because we share that value set that they're working so hard on, the value proposition of our company to them has become quite apparent.

Brian Morton

analyst
#6

Excellent. And we've seen that. I think that show up kind of in your deposit growth. And it definitely has benefited from your marketing strategy and branding. Just kind of as you look forward, do you think this deposit growth can continue in a persistently low-rate environment?

Keith Mestrich

executive
#7

I really do. A couple of just comments on the deposit growth that you've seen. A lot of banks, as you know, have seen a lot of deposit growth. And we've certainly seen some of the same trends that have led to the kind of deposit growth that other banks have seen because of maybe PPP money that gets deposited in the bank or whatever government programs that end up resulting in additional savings. But I do want to be clear that some of our deposit growth has also come from very, very real customer acquisition activity that has happened during this crisis, whether that's new organizations that have formed or people who have decided to come bank with Amalgamated for the reasons that they do, which is they like the social mission that we have. When they get to know us, they understand that we, from an operational perspective, are as strong and as solid a bank and offer all the same kind of commercial treasury management, depository services that all other banks offer. And that we also have a staff and a team of bankers who uniquely understands their needs because they come from the same world. So our deposit growth has continued really unabated since the pandemic in terms of the reasons people came to Amalgamated both before the pandemic and after the pandemic. And to the point of your question, I really do believe that our opportunity to have continued deposit growth will work its way just through the low rate environment that we have, too. Yes, we have a low rate of funds, but I continue to believe that people will continue to come to Amalgamated because of those social -- those mission-oriented reasons and the really good value proposition they get in terms of banking with our staff and our unique knowledge of those organizations' particular needs.

Brian Morton

analyst
#8

Great. Also related to another kind of current topic. Deposit growth has benefited from the political cycle. Could you discuss kind of the expected trend from political deposits through early 2021? And kind of what the impact is on the financial statements?

Keith Mestrich

executive
#9

Sure. So as you know, we're one of the few banks that really focuses on doing political banking. We're not the only one, but we're probably the most prominent bank now in that space. We have certainly seen a substantial run-up in political deposits over this cycle. A part of that is because we've been able to take additional market share within our constituency there. And we just have more accounts to build up a deposit base during that time. But also because there's been 2 factors that I think have happened in the political environment. One has been tremendous fundraising. Joe Biden last month set the single month record by raising almost $350 million in a single month. And we are seeing that with candidates up and down of the ballot, if you will, in terms of that. And secondarily, there's been less things for campaigns to actually spend money in because of COVID. So there is fewer field staff, there's less travel. There's a lot of spending on TV and digital advertising and voter registration and outreach, but there's just less campaign activity. So we have still modeled out a significant decline in our overall political deposit balances between now and election day. We expect that to trough somewhere around the $300 million range. And then if past is prologue, and we expect it to be, the fundraising cycle will start over again, and we'll continue to see those deposits increase over time. I'm going to turn it to Drew just to talk about a couple of very specific financial implications of that runoff as it relates to both our overall asset size and NIM.

Drew LaBenne

executive
#10

Yes. Just as Keith said, it's been a tremendous run for growth in political deposits really over the last 2 quarters. And knowing that those deposits are going to hit their trough, their low point in Q4, we've been building up cash reserves and putting excess cash in floating rate agency securities. So certainly, that's had some downward impact on NIM in the near-term and has lowered our leverage ratio a bit as the balance sheet has rapidly expanded. So I think both of those things will move back in the other direction in Q4 as the deposits flow back out in the near term.

Brian Morton

analyst
#11

Great. Just kind of moving on from that topic. I noted vacancy rates for both residential and commercial properties in New York have been moving upward. Can you discuss any steps you've taken to proactively reach out and work with some of the landlords in order to stem delinquencies and charge-offs?

Drew LaBenne

executive
#12

Sure. I can take that one. Keith, feel free to jump in whenever. We were very proactive, really in the cycle, if you will, with the COVID impacts, and I would applaud the government for the CARES Act they put in place because it gave banks like us a lot of flexibility in terms of how we deal with landlords and residential property owners over a short period of time. So we've been working actively, and I'll just talk about commercial for a second first, but we've been working actively with commercial landlords, and this is mainly in the New York City area where it's been -- where we've seen the impacts, to offer them principal and interest deferrals over a 3-month period if they showed hardship in their rent rolls or their revenues that came in. And certainly, we had a number of borrowers, landlords who took advantage of this. We've seen a really nice cure rate from that first deferral period of about 50% for commercial borrowers. We've allowed those landlords who are still having trouble making full P&I payments to take a second deferral for another 90 days. And that's been about a 50% roll rate thus far, though many of these have not reached their -- these landlords have not reached their second deferral. But we've also set the expectation that after 2 deferrals or 180 days that we expect those borrowers to start making P&I payments again, principal and interest payments again. And for the most part, I think the landlords understand that and they've taken appropriate actions to get themselves ready for when this deferral period ends. But we -- Keith and I both monitor this very closely along with our credit team. We have weekly meetings then we have monthly deep dives. And I'd say every meeting we have, the news is getting more positive in terms of vacancy rates going down, rent rolls going back up for our landlords. And so we're optimistic that most of our borrowers are going to end up back on their feet at the end of this. Keith, anything you want to add?

Keith Mestrich

executive
#13

I'd only add one thing. I'd echo everything that Drew said and would sort of applaud our staff on I think how hard they've been working and how in contact they are with the sponsors of our properties that we extend credit to. I would also say, I think we have very strong sponsors of a lot of these credits. They have -- we're pretty conservative in our underwriting approach. As you know, Brian, pre-COVID LTVs are quite low. We think there's a lot of investment by the owners in these properties. So really, I think our alignment with the owners to make sure that we get to the point that these properties survive this crisis that we're in and can get back in, not only being productive properties, but well-paying properties from our perspective, I think we're very aligned with the landlords that we do business with.

Brian Morton

analyst
#14

Great. And while you've seen some of the deferral payments and the government stimulus programs have benefited delinquency and charge-off rates, any kind of concerns that charge-off rates could start moving up? And if they were to start moving up, kind of what time frame do you think you would expect that to start happening?

Drew LaBenne

executive
#15

So the second deferral period that I discussed will end somewhat -- for some loans in the third quarter, but for all loans on the commercial side, in the fourth quarter. And at that point, we will -- they'll go into our workout process if they're not making full P&I payments. And depending on the situation, they're -- we may end up having to go through a workout. We may become what we call collateral-dependent on the value of the property, which would determine if we needed to take a charge-off or not for CRE and multifamily properties. I think the good news, as Keith alluded to, is we have very strong LTVs on these properties that are now under deferrals. So these are all pre-COVID LTVS. But we think even with the rates that we were at on the appraisals pre-COVID that we should have enough value in these properties that even if we got into a severe workout situation where a worst case we had to foreclose, we believe there's enough value in the properties that the charge-off content of the portfolio that's under deferral right now would not be substantial.

Brian Morton

analyst
#16

Great. Excellent. Then kind of looking at it, any other ways kind of the COVID-19 pandemic has impacted your business? And how have you continued to kind of work with clients to kind of respond to these challenges? And do you think you could see any change in your strategy kind of in a post-COVID-19 world?

Keith Mestrich

executive
#17

Well, sure. Obviously, there's the most obvious answer, which is our staff has been working remotely since mid-March. And again, the team just did a terrific job in terms of doing what many other banks and so many organizations have done, which is really just to turn on a dime and move out of their comfort zone of coming into an office every day and doing work the way they've done it for years, if not decades, and now doing it remotely and working at home. And I'm just -- I think our team has done a wonderful and a terrific job of doing that. We've barely missed a beat when it comes to servicing our customers. I don't think many of our customers even realize that the entire bank is operating remotely. It's been that smooth. And of course, that does give us the opportunity to think about some organizational work issues and does that allow us to think about occupancy and space and real estate in a different way. Just like many other institutions, we'll be looking at that and studying that as well. Certainly, major question, how much you actually have to travel. And for somebody who spends a lot of time on the road, there's a lot that you can get done using this kind of technology and other things. And if nothing else, the forcing of using technology like Zoom and video conferencing and other kinds of technologies will probably move forward into the future faster than we would have otherwise. Without a doubt, the crisis has clearly impacted the banking sector as a whole. And our stock has, like other bank company stocks, has suffered because of that. And I think it's made us, between the combination of stock price and uncertainty of opportunity, certainly put thinking about things like M&A and other things on the sideline for now and how we would do that. And I think the general proposition in our minds is, we believe when we get on the other side of this because we've done -- because we've got a conservative credit culture, hopefully, we escape from this terrible crisis and come out of it relatively unscathed from a credit position with a good capital standing and are positioned to be able to take advantage of that. Brian, as you know from our conversations, this year, we had talked about expanding into both Boston and L.A., even if we couldn't do it by acquisition, that we would do it organically. Well, we did kick off in Boston and timing might not have been the best because the next week, we shut down all of those operations. But our small team up there has dug in and they have been adding new customer accounts. And they'll be opening a physical office soon. And we are open and doing business in Boston. Maybe it's a little slower than it would have been otherwise, but the team there is dedicated and doing a good job. We did put L.A. on hold for now. And we'll be revisiting that as we go through planning for 2021 to think about when we do that. So I would say for the most part, we have continued operating the bank as we have always done it. Some of our growth initiatives, we've, I think, smartly decided to either pursue or put on hold as the situation becomes clearer in terms of what the economy is going to look like and other things. But at the end of the day, I think the core of our business strategy, which is developing a top-notch deposit franchise and building the size of the bank by being a great commercial depository and treasury management services for our core customers, rotating that funding source into conservatively underwritten loans and generating a decent margin from that. And then over time, as we have talked about, adding additional lines of revenue, additional geographies and ways to think about organic growth is a smart business strategy for us. And it's on pause a little bit because of the pandemic, but only partly. And I think it's still the business strategy for the future. I'm very happy that we have the franchise that we do. I think it's unique in the banking industry and will continue to give us an opportunity to really pursue the long-term vision that we laid out when we went public 2 years ago. And it was a good strategy then, and it will be a good strategy in the future as well.

Brian Morton

analyst
#18

Excellent. And I noticed you recently put out a slide deck and you mentioned you formed a bank holding company. I'm kind of trying to think deeper into like what kind of additional products or services do you think you'll be focusing under this structure? And then would you be kind of focusing growth to be entirely organic? Are you looking at potential acquisitions to gain scale in some of these areas quickly?

Keith Mestrich

executive
#19

Yes. It's really building on what I was kind of just talking about. When we're in conversations with so many of our clients, they are talking to us, oftentimes, for the first time they ever have about optimizing their banking relationship with a financial institution. And we've always thought, does that give us an opportunity to talk to them about other kinds of services? One of the things we don't talk with the investment community about enough is our investment management business. That has -- that is a business that's about $45 billion in assets under custody and management. It does give us a line of fee income. We have announced previously that we've changed our subadvisory partner there to work with Invesco, which gives us an opportunity to think about new fund opportunities that we can offer to our clients. But that notion of thinking about other things that we can cross-sell to some of our clients is something that's been in our mind and a holding company would give us the ability to think about having a structure in place to be able to do that. And then obviously, a holding company, and it gives you other tools in the capital toolbox as well. M&A activity is not necessarily dependent on having a holding company. If we did a bank acquisition or a lending team acquisition, those are all the kinds of things that we think about on the table. And as we think about what the future holds, we try to be more expansive rather than just limited in our thinking.

Brian Morton

analyst
#20

Great. And then maybe you could discuss kind of some of the demand for the PACE assessment? And how much capacity you have to fund additional purchases of commercial solar, residential solar and energy efficiency loans?

Drew LaBenne

executive
#21

Yes. So the demand for -- in this space for PACE assessments for pretty much any product that is related to home improvement has just been phenomenal ever since we've gone through this period of COVID where people are living in their homes. It's not dissimilar to the Home Depot and Lowe's effect. Everyone is -- or many people are working from their homes now. And just as you're looking around at where you're living every day, 7 days a week, I think you'd find new projects that you want to undertake and are looking for financing for those projects. And it's been no different really in the PACE space and the residential solar space. There's been more demand since COVID started than they had seen over the past several years for the partners that we work with. So I think there's a lot of demand in this space. And then when you look at our balance sheet, we've historically run at a fairly low loan-to-deposit ratio, averaging out at probably about 80% in every given -- in any given period of time, which really means we have the opportunity to expand our balance sheet capacity to add more of these types of assets. And they offer attractive yields. The risk profile on them has been very good, even as we've gone into this COVID-inspired -- COVID-induced recession. So we're getting increasingly bullish on the space. We already were bullish on the space, but I think there's opportunity to continue growing there.

Brian Morton

analyst
#22

Great. And the interest rates continue to kind of be a big topic, and Amalgamated continues to screen relatively asset-sensitive. Kind of aside from growing loans and deposits faster than peers, kind of what other steps do you think you can take to offset the impact of low rates on net interest income?

Drew LaBenne

executive
#23

Yes. I mean, I think growth is going to be the primary tool. And we're obviously going through the reset of the short end of the curve. And I think Q3 is where we'll probably feel the final impacts of LIBOR coming down on those resets. And our goal for that reset period has been hold net interest income constant as we get through the recent period, which I think we're largely going to be able to do. Levers beyond cost control, which I think we'll talk about in a minute and growth, it probably gets back to that loan-to-deposit ratio as well. We have some opportunities, since we're only about 80% loan-to-deposit ratio on average, to shift that mix out of securities and more into lending categories and generate incremental yield on the interest -- certainly the asset side of the balance sheet, maybe more so than some other banks that are kind of already at that 90% to 100%-plus loan-to-deposit ratio.

Brian Morton

analyst
#24

Yes. As you mentioned, expenses. Kind of are there any more additional opportunities to reduce expenses following the closure of the 6 branches in New York City? And do you think you see any need to offset some of these savings with technology investments?

Keith Mestrich

executive
#25

I'll take that one.

Drew LaBenne

executive
#26

You want to take that? Yes?

Keith Mestrich

executive
#27

Sure. Yes. So Brian, just to give folks who may be listening a little background. Earlier this year, we announced the closure, really, of almost all of our branches at the time of COVID to protect our employees and the public. And in the course of this, we've decided not to reopen 6 of those branches, kind of accelerating our plan to get to a very thin branch network in New York. That corresponds with our strategy, focusing much more on our commercial business than our consumer business over time. But we still have over $1 billion of deposits, most of which emanate from the New York City market. We think we can service that with a thin branch network, and we will see some expense benefit from that in future quarters. Those branches will not reopen, but their official closing date will be next week, actually, a little bit later this month. That gets us down to about 3 branches in New York and a handful of commercial business offices in Boston, D.C. and San Francisco. So that's a pretty thin network. I don't think you'll see really any more opportunity for branch-related savings there. We've always talked about in the future that we have a very expensive headquarters operation that is based in Midtown Manhattan. We think a little bit in the future that, that's an opportunity for future occupancy reduction. But really, a lot of our additional expense ratio reduction is going to have to come from growth, and it's going to have to come from potential acquisition activity and the kinds of efficiencies that you get there. One of the things we're pretty proud of is over the 6 years that Drew and myself and our team has been working is we've brought that efficiency ratio from well over -- from 100 down into -- well into the mid-50s. And I think we've done that through a lot of hard work. But I think that also means we've taken a lot of the inefficiencies out of the operation now. We're getting pretty close to the end of that. In terms of technology. Like many banks our size, most of our technology stack is dependent on a third-party core banking provider. We're happy with our partnership with our core banking partner. We think it allows us to stay very up to speed. We get good feedback from our clients, both our consumer and our commercial clients, when it comes to their basic banking needs. We're going through some upgrades and some changes in our trust banking needs. And I'm confident that at the end of the day, the customer experience there will be well received. We've done some upgrades during the course of the pandemic to make sure that people have good equipment that allows them to operate remotely. And I think we can just make sure that we are staying, maybe not in the lead in terms of being as technologically advanced as some of the fintechs in our space or the most advanced space, but I think being fast followers and making sure that we pay good attention to technology. The way we've built our stack, I don't think requires us to make enormous technology investments, just smart technology investments so we can continue to service our customers and meet their needs.

Brian Morton

analyst
#28

Excellent. And maybe we can talk about your positioning? How are you feeling about your capital levels? And what kind of your priorities would be for capital going forward, whether it's dividends, repurchases, M&A, loan growth?

Drew LaBenne

executive
#29

Yes. So overall capital levels feel very strong. CET1 was about 12.3% last quarter, very, very healthy from that perspective. Leverage is a little lower because of the quick rise in liquidity on the balance sheet, which we'll adjust back in Q4. So capital looks great, and we haven't pulled any of the other levers that many other banks use, such as subdebt or issuing preferred stock. So there's always options out there for us to reshuffle the capital stack and raise funds in other ways. Keith, do you want to talk about kind of capital deployment?

Keith Mestrich

executive
#30

Sure. I think early on in the crisis here, we were happy we had the capital position that we had. Nobody knew what was going to happen to their balance sheets from a credit perspective. We thought we had done good underwriting, and it looks like we have. And I don't know when we'll be on the other side of this and when the deferral window will completely be closed. And a lot of that has worked its way through. And get some sense of it, there's going to be a second wave of the pandemic in the fall and other things. But that will come clearer and clearer as the weeks pass on here. I think we'll come to the end of this in a healthy capital position. Like many banks, we've put some of our conversations about traditional capital deployment mechanisms on hold. I think all banks really stopped any conversation around buybacks. I know some have come back to that and have reinstituted programs. Not sure our bank is ready to do that yet until the sort of external environment around that becomes a little more beneficent to banks who might want to think about buying back their stock. But again, the opportunity to think about using capital to grow the company, I think, is the most important thing that we want to do. And when we have opportunities here to be able to deploy some of that capital, particularly as our stock rebounds and comes back to levels that support acquisition activities, do we have the opportunity to think about smart, strategic acquisitions that would allow us to either add new sleeves of lending products or other products that our clients may need or even whole bank acquisitions in some of the target markets we've talked about extensively in the past, like Chicago, like Los Angeles, those kind of markets where we aren't -- or to potentially even add some assets in some of the existing markets that we're in. So I like the position that we're in to have some capital to think about deploying. And certainly, that would be, in my mind, the preferred use of that capital.

Brian Morton

analyst
#31

Excellent. And then maybe kind of like in the near term, can you really talk about kind of like near-term loan demand and loan growth and what's going on there?

Drew LaBenne

executive
#32

Sure. Yes, I can take that. It's certainly been a mixed bag. I mean, residential loan demand is just off the charts at this point and it's refinanced, it's purchased, I think it's probably the highest that we've seen. Now having said that, we're not real excited about adding 30-year fixed to our portfolio at 2.5% to 3%. So a lot of what we're doing on the residential side is more originate-to-sell versus put it on the balance sheet. So while the origination numbers may be up, it may not fully reflect through in the balance sheet. And then a couple of our other asset classes, multifamily, for example, while we are still originating deals, certainly, we're taking a conservative stance on what we're originating right now, particularly in New York City given everything going on. So we'll probably get slower in originations there. The solar space, both in commercial and residential and PACE, continues to be very strong, as I was just saying before. So we have some opportunities there to continue originating and growing the book.

Brian Morton

analyst
#33

Excellent. I'm not seeing any questions from the audience. So maybe we'll just kind of wrap it up a little bit on the early side. But I want to thank you guys for coming and joining us again. And hopefully, we can do this in person next year.

Keith Mestrich

executive
#34

Great. Thanks, Brian. Appreciate it.

Drew LaBenne

executive
#35

Thanks, Brian.

Brian Morton

analyst
#36

Thank you very much, guys.

Keith Mestrich

executive
#37

Take care.

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