Amgen Inc. (AMGN) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

February 26, 2021

NASDAQ US Health Care Biotechnology conference_presentation 69 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

My name is Erica, and I will be your conference facilitator today for Amgen's conference call from the American Academy of Allergy, Asthma & Immunology Annual Meeting. [Operator Instructions] I will now introduce Arvind Sood, Vice President of Investor Relations. Mr. Sood, you may begin.

Arvind Sood

executive
#2

Thank you, Erica. Good morning, and good afternoon, everybody. Thanks for joining us. So earlier this morning, we presented important data in a poster form on tezepelumab, and this was presented at the American Academy of Asthma, Allergy and Immunology Meeting. This data is from our Phase III NAVIGATOR study evaluating tezepelumab in severe asthma patients. To review this data in additional detail, I'm joined this morning by Dr. David Reese, our Executive Vice President of Research and Development; as well as 2 of our clinical investigators who Dave will introduce and who can provide a broader perspective on how they see tezepelumab fitting within the armamentarium of therapies to treat severe asthmatic patients. Dave will make a brief presentation reviewing the data, following which we should have plenty of time for Q&A. So with that, Dave, I'm going to turn the call over to you.

David Reese

executive
#3

Well, thanks, Arvind, and hello, everyone. It's a pleasure on behalf of Amgen and AstraZeneca to review the data today. And as Arvind mentioned, we should have plenty of time for question and answers. For those of you who are following along in the associated presentation, if you turn to Slide 3, you'll see a brief agenda. As Arvind mentioned, I will provide an introduction on the disease state, just to make sure we're all level set on the patient population we are talking about today in the NAVIGATOR study, a brief summary of the data. And then we will have plenty of time for the Q&A session. We're very pleased today to be joined by Professor Andrew Menzies-Gow from the Royal Brompton Hospital and Imperial College London; and Professor Michael Wechsler from The Cohen Family Asthma Institute and National Jewish Health in Denver, Colorado. Both are international experts in this disease as well as principal investigators within the tezepelumab program. If you turn to Slide 4, I'd like to start with some background on the disease state, which should provide context on the patient population that we've studied in NAVIGATOR with tezepelumab. Asthma is primarily a disease of inflammation. It is increasing in prevalence on a global level driven by demographic factors such as urbanization and pollution as well as presumably a host of other factors. In the United States alone, more than 25 million people are affected by the disease. It is a complex heterogeneous disease biologically that can be triggered by multiple environmental factors, allergens, pollution, cigarette smoke and activates in downstream multiple inflammatory pathways. The clinical hallmark of the disease include cough, chest tightness and shortness of breath and exacerbations, which drive much of the health care burden of the disease, may require systemic or oral corticosteroids for treatment and may prompt visits to emergency departments and even hospitalization. Now the patient population that we're talking about today are those with severe and uncontrolled asthma, and severe asthma is typically defined operationally and clinically as disease that is -- that requires high-dose inhaled corticosteroids plus at least one other asthma controller medication. These patients may potentially also require oral corticosteroids either chronically or on an intermittent basis when flares of the disease occur. Despite available treatment, many patients have inadequate responses to or are not eligible for various reasons for current biologics and fail to achieve sufficient clinical control, suggesting that there remains significant unmet medical need in this disorder. If you move to Slide 5, it talks a little bit more about that unmet medical need, particularly in those with uncontrolled severe asthma. Uncontrolled asthma is defined as the persistence of asthma symptoms despite appropriate treatment. Patients with uncontrolled asthma may experience one or more daytime symptoms, may require the acute use of relievers more than a couple of times per week, often have -- waking at night due to symptoms. And in fact, many of these patients experience a significant sleep disruption. Of course, this then can be associated with limitations on daily activity. And as mentioned, those experiencing frequent exacerbations may require long-term systemic oral corticosteroids, which can be associated with various side effects. Finally, again, the disorder is a common cause of emergency department visits and hospitalizations globally. This is one of the principal drivers of costs and burdens on health care systems around the world. The disease can also, in some instances, be associated with mortality in patients who have uncontrolled disease with frequent exacerbations are at greatest risk of this outcome. Severe and controlled asthma accounts for probably on the order of half of all asthma-related costs. And as you see at the bottom of this slide, there are about 2.5 million patients in the U.S., the largest 5 EU countries and China and Japan with 1 million alone in the United States. Turning to Slide 6. Why do we believe tezepelumab can be a significant breakthrough for the treatment of this disorder? Where does it play a role in treatment? Well, I think this is driven by the fundamental biology and mechanism of action of the agent. Tezepelumab targets TSLP, or thymic stromal lymphopoietin. This is a cytokine that is derived from epithelial cells typically released at the time of tissue injury or inflammation. TSLP then recruits and activates a host of downstream signaling pathways involving IL-4, IL-5, IL-13 and Immunoglobulin E. So it is essentially an upstream master regulator of the inflammatory cascade. This really formed the biologic hypothesis as to why tezepelumab could be effective in a broad range of patients with severe and uncontrolled asthma. So let's now turn to the actual data that were presented from the NAVIGATOR study earlier today. If you turn to Slide 8 in the associated presentation, you will see the study design and the patient eligibility criteria. This was a standard population of patients with severe uncontrolled asthma. The population consisted of adolescents and adults ages 12 to 80 who are nonsmokers. They had uncontrolled asthma as defined by scores on the asthma control questionnaire, and this is fairly typical for a patient population with severe uncontrolled asthma. They had to be on medium or high-dose inhaled corticosteroids plus at least one other controller medication. And as you see, about 3/4, in fact, were on high-dose inhaled corticosteroids. Patients also had to have experienced at least 2 exacerbations in the prior year, and 40% had experienced more than 2 exacerbation. The study design was quite straightforward. Patients remained on background standard therapy and then were randomized to receive either tezepelumab every 4 weeks or placebo every 4 weeks. Tezepelumab at a dose of 210 milligrams. Just over 1,000 patients, 1,059 patients were randomized in the NAVIGATOR study. Turning to Slide 9. You see a summary of the data. The trial met all of the primary and key secondary endpoints. We're actually thrilled with the clinical data that we observed in the NAVIGATOR trial. The primary endpoint was the annualized asthma exacerbation rate, or AAER, over a year's worth of therapy. And as you can see, in the overall patient population, there was a 56% reduction in the AAER and a 41% reduction in patients with baseline blood eosinophil counts of less than 300. So this is a patient population for which there is, in particular, significant unmet medical need. The trial also met all secondary endpoints, measured physiologic parameters, quality of life, symptomatology. Specifically, it improved the pre-bronchodilator fractional exhaled volume on 1 second at week 52 by 130 milliliters. This is considered a robust and important clinical improvement compared to placebo. And then as you see here, using various standard scores, such as the ACQ-6 and others, there were improvements in quality of life and symptomatology. Additionally, the AAER was reduced irrespective of baseline eosinophil count and FeNO level. FeNO is the fractional exhaled nitrous oxide level. It's a marker of tissue inflammation in asthma or allergic status. And then finally and I think very importantly, from a health care system perspective, the AAER rate associated with hospitalizations or emergency department visits was reduced by nearly 80%, a significant finding. On Slide 10, you see a graphical representation of the primary endpoint, again, showing a 56% reduction in the AAER in the all-comers population and a 41% reduction in those with baseline eosinophil counts less than 300. On Slide 11 is displayed a forest plot. And this shows the general consistency of results across different groups of patients defined by various biomarkers, such as different eosinophil count cut points; FeNO levels are again a measure of inflammation; or Immunoglobulin E status, 2 specific perennial allergens. This is a marker of the allergic phenotype. And as you can see in all of these groups, there were significant reductions in the AAER favoring the tezepelumab group. On Slide 12 is an illustration, graphical illustration of the improvement in FEV1. I think a couple of important points to note here. First, improvements were noted as early as 2 weeks and were sustained in general over the course of the year-long treatment period. On Slide 13, turning to safety. I would say there's nothing remarkable. In terms of the safety profile, we anticipate an upcoming publication in the not-too-distant future where there will be detailed safety tables. There were no meaningful differences in adverse events between treatment groups, including serious infections. And as you can see here, in fact, the rate of serious adverse events was higher in the placebo group driven primarily by an excess of asthma-related adverse events. There were no cases of Guillain-Barre syndrome or injectio- associated anaphylactic reactions. So in summary, on Slide 14, we believe tezepelumab provides a potential differentiated first-in-class investigational therapy for patients with severe uncontrolled asthma. It blocks TSLP, the first epithelial drive cytokine that has been targeted. And in NAVIGATOR, we demonstrated clinically meaningful reductions in exacerbations, regardless of patient groupings or biomarker segregation. This was associated with significant improvements in lung function, asthma control and various quality of life and symptomatology measures and, again, importantly, from a health care system point of view, reductions in exacerbations associated with hospitalization or emergency department visits. No meaningful differences in safety. And these data, in combination with the prior Phase I and Phase II data, will form the basis for regulatory submissions in the U.S. and EU that are planned in the coming months in the first half of this year. This is not the end of the development program for tezepelumab. A Phase II study is currently enrolling in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and we plan to initiate with our partners a study in chronic spontaneous urticaria in the coming months. As you know, this is a partnership between Amgen and AstraZeneca. I can say on a personal level, this partnership has been functioning very well, and we're looking forward to making this medicine available to patients with severe uncontrolled asthma. So with that, I will finish the prepared remarks, and we will move into questions and answers. We should have plenty of time here. Erica, if you can just remind everyone again and then tee up the queue for Q&A.

Arvind Sood

executive
#4

Erica, before you open it up for Q&A, I would just like to remind all our listeners that the slides are available on our website. And if you want to download the poster, the poster is also available on the AAAAI website. So with that, Erica, why don't you go ahead and review the instructions for asking questions, please?

Operator

operator
#5

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from Kennen MacKay with RBC Capital Markets.

Kennen MacKay

analyst
#6

Again, just coming back to really the potential positioning for tezepelumab in the market. I'd love your perspective on sort of where the most unmet needs, especially as it relates to eosinophil counts and from the presentations, how you're seeing differentiation versus Dupixent and any of the other biologics that are already out there.

David Reese

executive
#7

Great. Thanks, Ken. And I'll just take the last part briefly. I mean we think that based on the data that we presented across the range of patients regardless of eosinophil count or other biomarker categorization, this is a potential first-line therapy for a broad range of patients. But I think it would be great to get Professor Menzies-Gow and Professor Wechsler to lay in here on how they think about this in the unmet medical need, how you would think about the potential use of tezepelumab in the clinic. So perhaps, Professor Menzies-Gow, we can start with you and then we'll move to Professor Wechsler after that.

Andrew Menzies-Gow

attendee
#8

Of course, and thank you. That's clearly an incredibly important question. I think it's important we remember that although we have, depending on where we are in the world, up to 5 different biologics, that severe asthma isn't fixed and not everyone with a high peripheral blood eosinophil count responds to one of the currently available biologics. And actually, most people with severe asthma have multiple drivers for their symptoms. So it's unusual to have a purely eosinophilic patient with absolutely no IL-4 and 13 signal. And many of our patients overlap with a component of allergy, a component to the eosinophilia and a component of IL-4 and 13-driven disease. So it is logical that upstream epithelial drugs can actually target multiple. And I really wouldn't want for people to think that tezepelumab is going to be positioned only in those late patients because, clearly, there's huge unmet need there and there are no other alternative therapies. But when we look at the impact of tezepelumab on the annualized asthma exacerbation rates, lung function and the PROs, you also see a very effective improvement in those these patients with a higher blood eosinophil count as well. So I suspect if you're asking me as a clinician based on this data, over time, we could see tezepelumab as first line for many, clearly not all because there's no biologic that will be the optimal choice for everyone, but for many patients, I could see this being the first-line choice.

David Reese

executive
#9

Great. And Professor Wechsler, your point of view?

Michael Wechsler

attendee
#10

Yes. So I'm really excited about these data, and I find that this therapy, tezepelumab, has broad efficacy. You asked you about the biggest unmet needs. I think there's -- I think severe asthma, in general, remains a big unmet need. Many of the biologics that we have, they reduce exacerbations by 50% to 60%. But there's still that 40% to 50% of exacerbations that remain not addressed. Many of those are non-type 2 exacerbations brought forth by viruses and nonallergic phenomenon. One of the important things to remember about asthma is how dynamic it is and that there are many different contributors, whether it's allergic or nonallergic, viral, irritants. And we currently don't have any therapies that are targeted for the nonallergic, non-type 2, non-eosinophilic patients. So this would certainly fill that void. And I think it would complement the other biologics that we have in terms of having an additive effect. So I think there's broad efficacy in both the eosinophilic as well as the non-eosinophilic patients. It could be the first-line biologic therapy because it is so broad, and it works upstream of the other cytokines that we target, interleukin-4, interleukin-5 and interleukin-13. So I think we'll see how it gets taken up in the -- in clinical practice. But there's very good reason to believe that it should be an optimal therapy for patients with severe asthma.

Operator

operator
#11

Our next question is from Robyn Karnauskas with Truist Securities.

Robyn Karnauskas

analyst
#12

I guess big picture, you mentioned synergy or -- with different biologics out there. Obviously, have you started experimenting with that in the clinic at all at the moment? And then second, like when you think about positioning in your clinic, how does -- what is the impact of not being able to get rid of steroids? I think you had a trial that did not work or in a steroid-sparing trial in severe patients. How does that influence your -- the appeal of this drug? And how do you incorporate that data point into practice?

David Reese

executive
#13

Yes. Robyn, perhaps I'll address briefly the first part. In terms of potential combinations, that's something that's under consideration. We talked a little bit more in terms of thinking about that over time. In terms of the SOURCE trial, the oral corticosteroid sparing trial, we'll ask our investigators to comment on that in a moment and how they think about this. I would note that in this trial, the patients -- less than 10% of patients required oral -- chronic oral corticosteroids. That rate does seem to be declining perhaps because of the widespread availability of biologics. It'd be great to get our clinicians' point of view here on this point. So perhaps Dr. Wechsler, we'll start with you first this time, and then we'll go to Professor Menzies-Gow.

Michael Wechsler

attendee
#14

Yes. So the top line results of the SOURCE study have been presented and do not meet its primary endpoint. We're going to have further data analyses. And at the time of presentation and publication, we'll share more data in that regard. I will say that, obviously, patients on oral corticosteroids represent a huge unmet need. Oral corticosteroids used chronically, it was associated with significant morbidity. Patients who are on oral corticosteroids can often fraught with complications like cataracts, glaucoma, diabetes, osteoporosis. So we want to try to minimize the amount of oral corticosteroids a person gets and certainly for patients with severe asthma. There have been concerns that the study design or the patient population that was tested in the SOURCE study may not have been adequate to tease out those differences. It's very hard to do those studies in the U.S. I can say that there are not as many patients who are oral corticosteroid dependent. Part of that is because we've had other biologics to the low-hanging fruit of patients who would be most likely to respond, have probably been treated with other therapies. That being said, I think I would still utilize this therapy in patients with -- on oral corticosteroids because of its broad effects and the fact that it seems very effective in patients who are not on oral corticosteroids. If you remember that in those kinds of studies, there can be -- a lot of patients tend to be overprescribed. And so as you taper down, there's going to be a strong response in the placebo group as well. And so people who were on 20, 25 milligrams a day, they probably don't need that much. And so it's fairly easy to get those people down. So it's harder to see an effect compared to drug in those patients.

David Reese

executive
#15

Andy, what are your thoughts?

Andrew Menzies-Gow

attendee
#16

Thanks, Mike. Listen, I absolutely agree with everything you said. And to sort of put this into context, it's very clear now with all our international guidelines, including GINA, the Global Initiative for Asthma. First, oral corticosteroid should be seen as drug of last resort. So they really should be in that post-biologic space. So I think whenever possible, we should be taking [indiscernible] asthmatics that are frequently exacerbating and treating them with biologic then before we ever get to the point of being on chronic OCS. Now clearly, there are historical patients and that there are various other tracking primary care that aren't necessarily getting towards a biologic. So Mike has really very well described where we are with SOURCE. And we cannot go into any more detail around that. But the reality is this is a drug that acts upstream, that acts on all of the cytokines knocked down by oral corticosteroids. So I see no reason why I wouldn't want to use this drug in a patient who is exacerbating frequently irrespective of their baseline and prednisolone prescribing.

Operator

operator
#17

Your next question is from Alethia Young with Cantor Fitzgerald.

Alethia Young

analyst
#18

And congrats on the very good data. I guess maybe a little bit of a simple question. With such good data, I'm curious if you're going to look to go maybe into moderate patients. And then secondarily, just how do you have the committee between AstraZeneca think about the framework and broadening out indications? I know you named 2. But I guess, kind of how does that framework work? Because if the data are interesting here, it feels like there's a lot of opportunity set being so far upstream.

David Reese

executive
#19

Yes. Two very important questions, Alethia. Obviously, these data open up questions about potentially broadening the patient population within asthma over time. And that's something that we're certainly working with Professor Menzies-Gow and Professor Wechsler and others on thinking about how to most appropriately do that. And then the question is given the data we've seen here, upcoming data that we'll show you over the course of the year, other indications, particularly those that are eosinophil-driven, it may be served by tezepelumab. And so as I mentioned, chronic spontaneous urticaria is a study that we will be launching in the coming months. We are discussing with our partners at AstraZeneca and we work very, very closely in a quite integrated fashion what additional life cycle management would be appropriate across a range of indications. I would say more to come on that over the course of the year.

Operator

operator
#20

Your next question is from Yaron Werber with Cowen.

Yaron Werber

analyst
#21

Congrats on the data. And I have a couple of questions. Maybe the first one, can -- it sounds like there's going to be a publication, so we'll get more insights into the safety. Can you comment, are you seeing any even small nonphysical imbalance on rates of new cancers? And then maybe to the 2 KOLs, any thought -- when you look here, the hazard ratio and the high eos, it's actually 0.3. So it's a 70% reduction, which seems to be the best so far of all the biologics. Any thoughts about that? Does that potentially make it the first-line biologic now?

David Reese

executive
#22

Yes. Thanks, Yaron. And in terms of the adverse events and numerical difference, well, I can't go into detail there prior to the publication. And we were, of course, just limited by the moderated poster format, which is the format for late-breaking abstracts at the AAAAI meeting. But you'll see detailed data tables. We're very, very comfortable with the tolerability and adverse event profile that we've seen so far. And let me ask, again, our clinicians to address the second part of your question there. Professor Menzies-Gow, if you wanted to comment on that, and I think it was directed, in particular, in the high eosinophil population and the roughly 70% reduction observed there.

Andrew Menzies-Gow

attendee
#23

Yes. No, thank you. Very important question. I think, first of all, always difficult to compare directly these Phase III pivotal head-to-head studies because the inclusion criteria are always slightly different and they're done at historically different points in time. But that being said, the exacerbation reduction with patients with a high eos is very impressive. And when we look, there's a significantly stronger signal, as we would expect, in the placebo arm in patients with a higher eosinophil count as that does tend to predict increased risk exacerbation. But that is very effectively knocked down by tezepelumab. Whether or not it is best in class, I think the reasons I previously described, I think that's hard to know. But it's certainly as good as any of the alternative agents there, which is why my previous answer was I would consider this to be a potential first-line therapy in high eos patients. I'll hand over to Mike.

David Reese

executive
#24

Professor Wechsler, anything you'd like to add?

Michael Wechsler

attendee
#25

Yes. I agree. I think it's really hard to evaluate these. Ideally, there would be a head-to-head study comparing different biologics in the same kind of trial. That would be the ideal way. It would be an expensive study to do, but I think that it would be something that would be ideal. I'm confident that this therapy would be effective in people with high eosinophils. I'm also confident the other biologics that target eosinophils would be effective and perhaps as effective in that patient population. The prior question that came out also asked about moderate asthma. I think given the price points of the biologics in general, it's unlikely to filter down to people with less severe disease unless the price point for these drugs came down a little bit.

Operator

operator
#26

Our next question is from Terence Flynn with Goldman Sachs.

Daniel Ziment

analyst
#27

This is Dan on for Terence. I was just wondering if you could share any preliminary perspective on your pricing and reimbursement and commercial strategy.

David Reese

executive
#28

Yes. Thanks, Dan. We're not ready to talk about that yet. Obviously, over the course of the year when the drug is approved, we'll talk about that. But I think it's a little too early, and that's something we'll, of course, be discussing in conjunction with our partners, AstraZeneca. So more to come there, but I think a little too early to discuss that.

Operator

operator
#29

Your next question is from Geoffrey Porges with SVB Leerink.

Na Sun

analyst
#30

This is Na Sun on for Geoff. Congratulations on the data, it looks very good. So you guys are planning to file for approval in the first half of 2021. Will we get detailed breakdown from the SOURCE prior to that? And how do you think the data package from SOURCE and NAVIGATOR will play into the -- to the label when you file for approval? And then another one for the KOL. You mentioned that potential for this to be a first line. Do you think the data is strong enough that you would persuade patients currently on, say, Dupixent to switch to tezepelumab? Or would you only -- in the patients currently on Dupixent, would you only replace it as a -- after they fail off of Dupixent, you would put them on to tezepelumab?

David Reese

executive
#31

Great. Thanks, and I'll take the first part and then, of course, again, we'll get our clinicians involved. So as Professor Wechsler mentioned, we anticipate full presentation of the SOURCE data at a meeting and meetings later this spring. So more to come there, but you should get the detailed data. How all of this plays into the label, of course, is the source of regulatory discussions. But based on what we've announced publicly, we would not expect, of course, any sort of indication for oral corticosteroid lowering. The switching question is an important one. And so let's perhaps ask Professor Wechsler first and then Professor Menzies-Gow to talk about how they would approach that sort of question in the clinic. So Professor Wechsler?

Michael Wechsler

attendee
#32

Sorry, if a patient is doing well on a current therapy, whether it's dupilumab or benralizumab or mepolizumab or reslizumab, I don't see a reason why I would switch. The issue is if they're not well controlled on whatever biologic they're on, then I would consider a switch. Ideally, if costs weren't an issue and if we could validate safety, it would be nice to know whether or not adding biologics one to the other would be effective, but there have not been any studies looking at combinations of biologics.

David Reese

executive
#33

Great. And Professor Menzies-Gow?

Andrew Menzies-Gow

attendee
#34

Yes. No, thank you. So I agree with Mike. When someone's doing very well on a biologic, I certainly wouldn't switch. However, we think or we know that the number of people that do switch is less than it should be. So when we looked across the international severe asthma registry, approximately 80% of people stay on the first biologic that they're prescribed. So I think it's more a discussion and a communication within the severe asthma community of appropriately setting the bar of response, so we don't accept mediocre responses or any people who have had a super responsive response or extremely good response should stay on a biologic and not at least consider switching. So I think there is an opportunity to increase the amount of switching that occurs to ensure that people are on the best biologic for them. But I certainly wouldn't consider switching if someone was doing very well on their initial therapy.

Operator

operator
#35

Your next question is from Matthew Harrison with Morgan Stanley.

Matthew Harrison

analyst
#36

Great. I guess I was just hoping to understand a little bit better. When you think about new patients and positioning, now you have 3 or 4 biologics, and I think we understand what will happen in low eosinophil count patients. But in patients who have high eosinophil counts, how are you going to weigh the different agents? And where do you think teze fits within that -- in that group?

David Reese

executive
#37

Great. Yes. Why don't we go straight to our clinicians in terms of how they would approach patients and potentially new patients. So Professor Wechsler, perhaps you want to start on this one?

Michael Wechsler

attendee
#38

Yes. So I look at a host of factors when choosing a biologic for a patient. It's not just eosinophil count. It's other biomarkers, including exhaled nitric oxide, including IgE. I also look at other comorbidities that a patient has, whether they have chronic rhinosinusitis, whether they have atopic dermatitis, whether they have urticaria and others. I also look at their insurance profile, insurance coverage and then patient preference with regard to -- with patient preference with regard to frequency of administration, location of administration and other patient-related factors. So there's a lot of things that I consider. And I generally look at the dominant biomarker, if there is one. And now for a drug like tezepelumab, which seems to work across the board in people with high eosinophils and low eosinophils in people with higher nitric oxide levels and lower nitric oxide levels, I would think that teze would be a very good candidate for first-line therapy for my patients with severe asthma. Again, you have to -- you want to try to personalize your approach as much as you can. And everyone's asthma is a little bit different. Everyone's circumstances are a little bit different. But this drug seems to check a lot of boxes in terms of where I would like to target my patient's severe asthma.

David Reese

executive
#39

Great. Thank you. Professor Menzies-Gow, anything you'd like to add?

Andrew Menzies-Gow

attendee
#40

Yes. No, thanks. I mean I agree with Mike. It is a combination of clinical history, the individual patient preference and, importantly, the biomarkers. And as I said earlier, it's quite unusual for someone to have such dominant disease with just the eosinophil driving the symptoms, there isn't a component of IL-4 and 13 and nitric oxide, et cetera. And in reality, what we do at the moment is we see the patient, we measure the biomarkers, and then we take our best guess, and that's all it is. And we do in any course 1 trial, assess it at 4 to 6 months and whether they continue or don't. And tezepelumab essentially derisks our approach because we know irrespective of the baseline biomarker count that patients are likely to respond. So I can see for many, but not for all, this will be certainly the logical first-line therapy.

Operator

operator
#41

Your next question is from Evan Seigerman with Credit Suisse.

Evan Seigerman

analyst
#42

And Arvind, thank you for hosting this call at 1 p.m. and not 8 p.m. But with that, can you guys expand on the lung function improvement you saw by subgroup? Or was the data consistent across subgroups? Or was there some variation that could impact ultimate use of tezepelumab?

David Reese

executive
#43

Yes. I mean I think you're referring to the changes in FEV1, for example. So yes, we'll get our clinicians to weigh in and in different patient populations. I would note, by way of preparatory comments, that in the very low eosinophil population, for example, there's evidence of biologically the disease may be a little bit different there in terms of things like airway reversibility, more airway remodeling, inflammation that's not steroid-responsive, but it'd be great to have our clinicians weigh in. Why don't we start out with Professor Menzies-Gow this time on the lung function question?

Andrew Menzies-Gow

attendee
#44

No, of course, a very important question. First of all, clearly, the subgroup for pre-bronchodilator FEV1 isn't in the poster. So we cannot discuss the detail today. It will be in the publication when that becomes available. But 2 points with regard to FEV1 study. I was genuinely surprised how quickly it improved. I presumed given that tezepelumab was an upstream cytokine, that it would take a while just to start to work a bit, like omalizumab takes a while to see any improvement. So I was very pleased to see the early improvement. But then when we talk about the clinical characteristics of these patients, they are very different. And frequently, patients who are highly symptomatic with a lower eosinophil count may be on maximum or even beyond maximum anti-inflammatory, either oral or inhaled corticosteroids, because they have no type 2 signal left. So it's not surprising if you're maximizing out that treatment that is harder to see an improvement in some of these outcome measures than in patients who clearly still have ongoing type-2 inflammation. I'll hand over to Mike.

David Reese

executive
#45

Right. Go ahead, Mike.

Michael Wechsler

attendee
#46

Yes. No. So I think the degree of improvement that was observed overall, I think, is impressive. The absolute improvement that was -- I think you can see from the slides, is around 200 cc, which is a very significant improvement. Compared to placebo, it was a little over 100. I think lung function is just one metric that we utilize to evaluate efficacy of a drug and in conjunction with exacerbations, in conjunction with symptom scores and quality of life scores. So I think the improvements that we see here in the overall population, I think, are really robust and will really reflect the overall efficacy of this therapy. The subgroup analysis, again, as Andy mentioned, will be shown in the publication.

Operator

operator
#47

Your next question is from Geoff Meacham with Bank of America.

Geoffrey Meacham

analyst
#48

I just had a few and somewhat related question. It looks like the FEV1 benefit is pretty much maximized by week 8, and it's stable going out to a year. So the question is were there any biomarkers that continue to show improvement after 8 weeks. And then does that have any implications on what you guys think is the ultimate duration of therapy from a commercial perspective?

David Reese

executive
#49

Great. Yes. Let me ask, again, our clinicians here on how they follow biomarkers over time and what sort of kinetics one might expect there. So Professor Wechsler, perhaps you can start.

Michael Wechsler

attendee
#50

I'm not sure what is available and what will be shown in the publication. So I don't want to comment too much. But I can speak in general terms that once the patient is receiving treatment, the clinical factors are probably the most important, whether it's lung function or exacerbation or symptoms. I utilize the biomarkers to confirm the underlying clinical response, and I'll follow those on a periodic basis. And certainly, if a person is not responding well, then I'll use the biomarkers to try to get an understanding of what is going on. Is the person not responding because there is some perturbation in eosinophil counts, in exhaled nitric oxide or in some other biomarker? And I'll utilize that over time. And so for this study, maybe, Andy, can comment about what's publicly available. But I believe that you will see some improvement in biomarkers as well that we can utilize to follow our patients clinically and to explain why a person is responding or not responding. Andy?

Andrew Menzies-Gow

attendee
#51

Thanks, Mike. So the biomarker data isn't publicly available yet but clearly will be in the manuscript when that becomes available. And in terms of my clinical approach, I absolutely agree with Mike, we look at biomarkers at baseline and then early after starting a drug to ensure that you've got target engagement and it's doing what you expect it to do. But then actually, I wouldn't measure nitric oxide on a regular basis unless the patient loses control, and then I'm then concerned that I might have to switch to alternative agent. In terms of what we would expect because of -- if we go back to the earlier phase allergen challenge model, you could clearly see that with tezepelumab, it blocks the induced sputum. It's the sputum from the FeNO and the exhaled nitric oxide levels for patients who are on tezepelumab with an inhaled allergen challenge compared with placebo. So clearly, we've looked at all the biomarkers, and clearly, there'll be a benefit. But in terms of predicting longer-term response, I think we'll have to wait for further studies.

David Reese

executive
#52

Great. Thanks, both. And I would mention that we also had an extensive biomarker analysis in the Phase IIb pathway study where we saw substantial and persistent declines in some of these markers. So as mentioned, more fulsome description of this in upcoming publications.

Operator

operator
#53

Our next question is from Michael Yee with Jefferies.

Michael Yee

analyst
#54

For the doctors, I wanted to break down high versus low eosinophil count again. In the high group, could you just talk about maybe what percent of that population turns over each year and needs a new therapy or how often you see these patients? Just trying to get a sense of where teze could fit in and how often you'd actually be looking at trying to put on a new drug for those patients. And then in the low eosinophil group, I think we all understand, like it was said previously that it's kind of a no-brainer, but why or why not would that not be a rapid uptake when this drug hits the market? And what are the factors there as to why you wouldn't just immediately put people on?

David Reese

executive
#55

Great. Very important questions. Perhaps we can start with Andy on this one, the number of new patients on with high eosinophil who are uncontrolled and might be candidates for a new therapy each year, and then the question about how you would approach those with low eosinophil count. So Andy, you want to start?

Andrew Menzies-Gow

attendee
#56

Yes. Thank you. Great question. So for every 100 patients referred to me, of which there are several hundred a year, the majority will have high eos. And when I say the majority, we're looking at about 70% to 80%. Really important when we talk about eosinophil low patients, this is a continuous variable that will very spontaneously over time will vary with background therapy and will vary whether or not people are exacerbating. And we tend to only look for a one-off high eos count to justify using one of our biologics. So it's never a single cross-section or snapshot. These are patients that we will follow over time so we understand their biology better. And if they have high eos, then as we've discussed already at that appointment, the vast majority of these patients, 70%, I would be considering tezepelumab. To the other 30%, I'm always concerned that I have the diagnosis right, but they're not being overtreated. There was often a period of trying to withdraw some of the background therapy, particularly oral corticosteroids, to see if we unmask eosinophilic asthma. But if we don't, this would be my treatment of choice. My other options would be bronchial thermoplasty, which we don't tend to use a significant amount for various different reasons or a macrolide. Again, that will be an off-label indication based on a single study, the AMAZES study. So there's very little option in this cohort. So if I had a patient that was truly low -- eosinophilic low continuing to exacerbate, then tezepelumab without a doubt would be my first choice. In reality, that may be 20% of the patients referred to me.

Michael Wechsler

attendee
#57

Great. And yes. I agree with pretty much everything Andy said. I think we've been in agreement on almost all issues today. And I agree that for the low type 2, and I think it's important to not just characterize people as eosinophilic or noneosinophilic. But when I say type 2, I'm referring to type 2 asthma reflects asthma that's brought forth by the Th2 and ILC2 cells, meaning that's mediated by either interleukin 4, 5 and 13, and which includes eosinophilic asthma and allergic asthma and high nitric oxide-mediated asthma. So for those patients who are low type 2 and by default low eosinophilic, the first thing I'm going to do is I'm going to verify whether or not they do, in fact, have asthma. And that's a really important step. But for those patients who I verify have asthma, they have symptoms consistent with asthma, the bronchodilator have reversibility of their lung function consistent with asthma and they don't have other causes for their symptoms, meaning they don't have aspiration or reflux or any of the other causes, I think that this drug would certainly be the first-line therapy. In terms of the variability of eosinophils over time, the proportion of my patients. I would say it's around 70% of my patients are eosinophilic or have a history of eosinophilic asthma. And as Andy mentioned, that can be mitigated and affected by drug therapies. It can be affected by exposures in the environment. It can be affected by other factors that can be higher during times of exacerbation. So it is about a 2/3 to 3/4 of my patients are eosinophilic or have a history of eosinophilia. And for those patients, depending on what the dominant biomarker is, I would consider this and I would consider the other therapies, along with the other factors that I discussed already.

Operator

operator
#58

Our next question is from Mohit Bansal with Citigroup.

Mohit Bansal

analyst
#59

Maybe one question for David. So given these data, just wanted to understand how confident you are on your -- on the chance of success in COPD. What are the parameters, which would come into consideration which might make COPD look similar to asthma data or maybe different? So would love to get your thoughts there.

David Reese

executive
#60

Yes. Thanks, Mohit. And of course, there is some evidence that TSLP can be one of the underlying drivers in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, but it is a very different disorder than asthma. I think we've got a robust Phase II study in place. And right now, it's really just generating crisp data that will enable decision-making. The read-through, I think, is probably a little more challenging here. And so I view this as an empirical question that we're addressing with a very good trial. So more to come.

Operator

operator
#61

our next question is from Dane Leone with Raymond James.

Dane Leone

analyst
#62

Great discussion. So I just want to clarify something that we've been hanging on a bit. What would be the time line specifically for starting another steroid sparing study, basically a rerun of SOURCE with maybe some different trial design? And is that something that would be important, I guess, this is a question for the KOLs, would be important for actual adoption of tezepelumab? And then separately for whoever wants to answer, is that going to be something important for payers and reimbursement?

David Reese

executive
#63

Yes. Perhaps I can take the first and third questions there. So we're discussing this with our colleagues at AstraZeneca. We're not going to speculate on any potential time line of a possible follow-up steroid sparing study. And of course, we're working closely with Professors Wechsler and Menzies-Gow and others on this discussion. We think there is a very strong value proposition in this given the overall profile of the drug, as you've heard described earlier today and throughout this call. And that, of course, will form the basis of discussion with payers. So perhaps we can ask our clinicians to comment on the specific component of this question that was directed to you. So Professor Wechsler?

Michael Wechsler

attendee
#64

Yes. So the question is whether or not I would utilize this therapy in patients who are steroid-dependent given the findings of the SOURCE trial that have been reported already. I think we know that this therapy works in people, independent of their steroid status, I mean, or in patients who are not on oral corticosteroids. And so we have reason to believe that it should still be effective whether -- and I would probably still use it in my steroid-dependent patients. Whether or not payers will allow me to use it in those patients or whether I'm going to have to come up with another reason to utilize it remains to be seen. But I think for those patients who are so severe, who are steroid-dependent, we do need other therapies. And I can't speak to whether or not, it's going to be a company strategy, whether or not they're going to move forward with another trial. But I would not hesitate to utilize this independent of the results of the SOURCE study.

David Reese

executive
#65

Great. Anything that you would like to add, Professor Menzies-Gow?

Andrew Menzies-Gow

attendee
#66

Yes. No, thank you. I mean just very quickly, I mean, I agree with Mike. I think the important thing to remember is that all historical asthmatics continue to exacerbate. And the clinical trial with data with tezepelumab did very strong at decreasing exacerbation.

Operator

operator
#67

Our next question is from Umer Raffat with Evercore ISI.

Bo Chen

analyst
#68

This is Bo for Umer. For the doctors, could you comment on -- is it fair to think that in this first -- Phase III trial, the patients are generally more severe than the dupi Phase III patients considering their baseline FeNO levels and the high ICS used? And then another question is could you help us clarify that in the press release, you said the similar reductions on exacerbations in patients lower than 150 eosinophil. But in the data, it seems like the exacerbation reduction is lesser in the lower than 300 and lower than 150 subgroups. Could you help us clarify?

David Reese

executive
#69

Great. Thank you for the question. We'll go to our clinicians. I would, of course, caution everyone on cross-trial comparisons. As has been mentioned, we're very pleased with the totality of the data. But Professor Menzies-Gow, perhaps you can address these couple of components here on the severity of the population studied in NAVIGATOR and then the question of a response by eosinophil level.

Andrew Menzies-Gow

attendee
#70

Yes. No, of course. And I agree, I think it's very hard to compare Phase III clinical studies like this. And actually, when I look at the pace of populations across, I look at the biomarkers, but I would actually focus more on levels of action control, lung function and exacerbation history in the previous 12 months. So when we look at that, I mean, the entry criteria are very similar having to have an ACQ of at least 1.5, 2 exacerbations in the last 12 months and some baseline impairment of lung function. So I think they're similar. Clearly, not identical. As Mike said, previously, the only way we would know is to have very large head-to-head studies. With regard to eosinophil count, so you are right, there is a differential effect. And I got up to Slide 11 to remind myself. But even in patients with a baseline eosinophil count of less than 150 , the annualized asthma exacerbation rate is falling from 1.7 in the placebo arm to 1.04 in the tezepelumab. And that's clearly very clinically significant for -- in exacerbations.

David Reese

executive
#71

Great. Professor Wechsler, anything you want to add?

Michael Wechsler

attendee
#72

No. I agree. I think it's hard to compare cross-studies. Certainly, the people in the study were severe. They had at least 2 exacerbations a year. And as for the patients in the low eosinophil group and their response, I think we're looking for any improvement. And so the reduction in exacerbations in that patient population, I think it remains to be a very robust response and it has not been seen by any other therapies. So I'm excited about this therapy in that context, especially.

Operator

operator
#73

Your next question is from Jay Olson with Oppenheimer.

Jay Olson

analyst
#74

Well, thank you for providing this update and congrats on these results. Can you comment on the potential for tezepelumab to provide a disease modification benefit? And is there any imaging or biomarker data that would suggest a prevention of airway remodeling or permanent reversal and loss of lung function? And then separately, if you could please comment on the significance of the improvements in quality of life and what role that data would play in treatment decisions?

David Reese

executive
#75

Yes. Thanks, Jay. 2 very important questions. Let me address the first, and then we can have our clinicians talk about the quality of life and symptom improvements. We are -- we do have biomarker studies ongoing and other trials that are trying to get at this notion of tissue remodeling, and so more data on that to come. But that's one of, I think, the core questions in the field. Mechanistically, we constantly think about disease remission and how that changes the underlying inflammatory profile of lung epithelium. This is something that we're trying to directly address through further study. Let me have our clinicians, Professor Menzies-Gow, if you can start on the significance of the quality of life and symptom score improvements on, then we'll go to Mike after that.

Andrew Menzies-Gow

attendee
#76

Thank you. Yes. So important question. So you can see from Slide 9 that we looked at 3 PROs, and this is within the there was a very early improvement in the PROs. And in terms of the baseline, we saw more than the minimal currently important difference improvement. We did see a significant improvement in placebo and we do in every single Phase III pivotal study with severe asthma biologics. But the improvement in the tezepelumab arm was statistically more than with the placebo arm. So overall, a positive improvement and what we'd expect to see. In terms of, I guess, your thinking around clinical response, that's one of the components we look at. So we look at the increased exacerbation frequency. We look at improvement in the PROs. We look at improvement in lung function and background medication use. So an important part of the question, but not anything that we'll look at.

David Reese

executive
#77

Great. Thanks. Professor Wechsler, anything you'd like to add?

Michael Wechsler

attendee
#78

I think patient-reported outcomes are critical to evaluate how our patients feel they're responding. And clearly, based on the study, there's an improvement in these patient-reported outcomes and the quality of life metrics that were reported. In terms of the first part of the question, which was about airway remodeling and lung and preventing asthma, curing asthma, that's really the holy grail. No therapy has been shown to prevent airway remodeling. And I can tell you that we -- there is an ongoing study that should report out soon looking at tezepelumab in terms of airway biopsies. And we're excited to -- we'll be excited to present those data as well.

Operator

operator
#79

Your next question is from Cory Kasimov with JPMorgan.

Cory Kasimov

analyst
#80

For the KOLs on the line, can you just comment on the rough percent of your uncontrolled asthma patients that are dependent on inhaled corticosteroids and are in that sub 300 eosinophil subgroup?

David Reese

executive
#81

Sure. Why don't we start -- Mike, why don't you start? And then Andy can weigh in on rough estimates of these numbers.

Michael Wechsler

attendee
#82

Yes. So you want to know the proportion of patients who are corticosteroid-dependent and have low eosinophils? Is that the question?

Cory Kasimov

analyst
#83

Yes, exactly.

Michael Wechsler

attendee
#84

Yes. So I would say that less than 10% and probably closer to 5% of my patients are oral corticosteroid-dependent. And of those, looking back, the majority of them have some history of eosinophilia. At least 2/3 have some history of eosinophilia that -- and they still remain refractory. One of the reasons why people who are on oral corticosteroids remain on them,isn't -- doesn't have as much to do with their asthma as it does do to the fact that they might be chronically on oral steroids, which may suppress the adrenal glands. And that adrenal suppression can be chronic and they'll have chronic adrenal insufficiency. And so one of the reasons why they can't come off the corticosteroids is because of factors other than their asthma.

Operator

operator
#85

Our next question is from Carter Gould with Barclays.

Carter L. Gould

analyst
#86

Great, guys. First off, congrats to Amgen and the investigators on the data. Appreciate everybody's commentary. I guess for Amgen, interested specifically in life cycle plans here, specifically around your decision to go after urticaria. I guess following the decision to not pursue AD, does this just sort of reflect the differential competitive dynamics here? Or do you have, I guess, a strong reason to believe you'll show differentiated efficacy relative to all the other kind of agents that are being explored here?

David Reese

executive
#87

Yes. I think we can't go into great detail here. But I would say based on the data,that we've seen in eosinophil-driven diseases such as chronic spontaneous urticaria, we have reasons to believe that tezepelumab could have many of those patients cycle through therapies. And so again, these are very -- atopic dermatitis and chronic spontaneous urticaria are very different diseases on a biologic level. And so at this point, I think it's generating the clinical data that will be the important piece of that.

Operator

operator
#88

Your final question is from Colin Bristow with UBS.

Colin Bristow

analyst
#89

So I'll keep this quick. Just digging into the data a little bit more. Is there anything you can say even qualitatively on how the lower eosinophil subgroups performed on the secondary endpoints? And then second, did you measure sputum eosinophil at all? And can you speak to the concordance if you did? And I'm just curious, was there any correlation with the intensity of corticosteroid use and the baseline eosinophil counts?

David Reese

executive
#90

Yes, Colin, yes, I think I may defer answer to these questions. Much of this ground will be covered in the upcoming publications, hopefully in the not-too-distant future. So to not get ahead of that -- those data presentation, I don't think we can give any specifics around some of these numbers. Very important questions that you raised. And again, that should be addressed, hopefully, in short order. All right. With that, I think we'll wrap things up. We've gone a little over here. Again, we're very, very pleased with the data. I really want to thank Professors Menzies-Gow and Wechsler who are providing great perspective from a clinical point of view here. Of course, we'll speak more fulsomely when we have the data publication out. And of course, we will continue to look at these data and would anticipate a series of publications over time. So thanks, everyone. And as a reminder, the Investor Relations team, as always, is standing by. If you have additional questions, we're happy to address those. So have a good day and have a good weekend. Thanks, everyone.

Arvind Sood

executive
#91

Thank you, everybody.

Operator

operator
#92

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.

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