Aramark (ARMK) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

November 19, 2020

New York Stock Exchange US Consumer Discretionary Hotels, Restaurants and Leisure conference_presentation 30 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Andrew Steinerman

analyst
#1

Good morning. This is Andrew Steinerman, your Business and Information Services Analyst at JPMorgan, and welcome to the first session of the Ultimate Services Investor Conference. Obviously, this is the annual date where all of our business information services companies come together for you, the business information services investors. And before we get started with the Aramark session, yes, I just wanted to tell you good news. We have our date for next year. So this is save-the-date. It's Thursday, November 18, 2021, in-person here at 383 Madison. So already please mark your dates. So anyhow, this is the first session of the conference. This is the Aramark session. It's very timely to speak to both John and Tom, CEO and CFO; John Zillmer, Tom Ondrof. They've been with the company about a year. John came back to the company, was a long-time veteran in the company, then was CEO of other companies like in Waste, was successful there. Then really came back a year ago to revitalize the Aramark that he grew up with. Tom Ondrof actually comes over to Aramark shortly after John. He spent a long career at Compass and at Performance Foods after that, that has joined Aramark. So we're really talking to them exactly at the right time. Obviously COVID has been a big question for the whole industry of food services. But the thing I want to do is really kind of start out by saying what's changed. So John, Tom, welcome.

Andrew Steinerman

analyst
#2

My first question is, you've been in place for about a year. Could you tell us, in this past year, kind of the details of what has changed and how far long are you towards enhanced financial performance?

John Zillmer

executive
#3

Sure. And we'll both take a shot at this, I think. First of all, the very first thing we did was really evaluate the organizational structure and approach. We've been very focused on creating and reigniting the hospitality culture and the growth culture inside of Aramark. And the very first step in doing that was evaluating the leadership. We brought new leadership in the organization [Technical Difficulty] on the business units, downstream, what had been a highly centralized organizational approach back to supporting the field organization, and then began to really restructure the resources that were aligned to running the business. For us, the DNA in this organization was very, very good. People really knew how to execute. What we needed to do is to get the corporate headquarters out of the way and let people really serve their customers the way customers wanted to be served. Okay. And so all of our initial steps were designed to go ahead and facilitate that transformation to really empower people, put them back in charge of running the day-to-day business, and really to creating the everybody-sells mantra, getting really refocused on growth and total enterprise performance. Tom, do you have any comments you want to add to that?

Thomas Ondrof

executive
#4

Yes, just a few to build on. I mean, both John and I, as we talked about what we wanted to bring to the table in joining Aramark, it was to be a sales-led organization. I think that had drifted over the years, as John mentioned, and to make it everybody's business. Incentive plans have been changed accordingly throughout the business and with the sales folks to make it more customer centric. John started that the first day and re-empowered the lines of business. Take a more selective consolidation approach as opposed to just everything done from Philadelphia, again along the lines of empowering the lines of business. And then finally, just getting alignment and accountability back into the business so that there's a sense of ownership rather than, again, everything being managed from the center; make it local, get ownership back in and then celebrate success. I think some of the fun had drifted from the business and certainly this is a business that has a lot of passionate people in it, and we have to celebrate success.

Andrew Steinerman

analyst
#5

Sounds good. Could you just give us a sense of how far along you are in the sales hiring? How much sales hiring has already been accomplished? Are you tracking sales productivity? How long is it going to take to see the benefits of this new initiative?

John Zillmer

executive
#6

Sure, absolutely. First of all, with respect to the hiring process, we have -- we've largely completed the hiring process in the foodservice sector. We continue to add additional salespeople to the Uniform services business. We just announced that we're adding an additional 100 to AUS over the next several months. That nearly reflects a 25% increase in our sales staffing levels at AUS. But on the core foodservice business, we've added people. We've kind of refocused the organization. We've downstreamed from the center resources back into the sales and marketing function. So we're largely staffed there. We may add a few more people here and there as we finalize and align territories and the like. But we feel very confident that we're in very good position. We've got the organization the way we want it. Now that we've taken follow-up actions, as Tom just mentioned, we've changed the compensation systems. We've changed the incentive compensation systems in a way to really focus the entire organization on growth. Just approved by the board and announced is a shift in compensation, all the way from senior leadership down throughout the organization, to focus on the growth of the company. And from me on down, the annual incentive plan that's now got a 40% component focused on net new business, 40% on profit and 20% on cash flow or some other objectives. So a significant shift in the way we compensate people and the way we incent people to really shift the mantra and the focus of the organization.

Andrew Steinerman

analyst
#7

Right. So John, I hear you. I know you previously said that the last management team overly emphasized margins, didn't emphasize revenue growth enough. I surely heard you use the word growth here. But I just want to make sure that when I hear growth, you mean organic revenue growth coupled with margin expansion, right?

John Zillmer

executive
#8

That is correct. That's exactly the way I would describe it. It's organic revenue growth. It's new account sales acquisition or new account acquisition through sales efforts, not acquisition efforts. It's building the base business by selling more to existing customers. It's providing value-added services to our existing customer base and extending the product lines that we offer. It's organic growth. And coupled with that is a margin expansion expectation as we continue to add volume, as we continue to make continued efficiency efforts throughout the organization. And so you enhance the supply chain process. All of those are accretive to margins for the organization.

Andrew Steinerman

analyst
#9

Okay. Yes, that sounds great. What about other areas of investment, like does branding hit an area of investment? B2B branding, is this important at Aramark? Just I hear most of your investments are in sales, most of your resources are getting decentralized. But where does branding and other investments, that I might have missed asking about, stand?

John Zillmer

executive
#10

Yes. Branding is part of the culinary organization. We have product development, marketing program development people inside of the group, inside of the Food and Support Services group. So we've taken that resource from corporate as well and repositioned that into the lines of business to effect the change for their customers. And we have embarked on a branding strategy that includes a number of different sub-brands like Harvest Table in our Higher Education segment. And so we have continued to invest in branding initiatives in what I would characterize as program offering investments. So we continue to expand the range of offerings that we can bring to the customer literally every day. So we continue to make those investments as we move forward.

Andrew Steinerman

analyst
#11

Okay. Great. One of the proposals of the incoming Biden administration is a national $15-hour minimum wage. We're not asking will it happen or not. My question is if it happens, how will Aramark respond? Does that lead to a lot of wage inflation? Maybe, maybe not. I'm asking you the question, not stating it. And if there's wage inflation, how does Aramark's ability to raise your prices at the end customer level affect or offset wage inflation?

John Zillmer

executive
#12

Tom, would you like to go ahead and address that?

Thomas Ondrof

executive
#13

Sure. Well, I know John will say the same. In my 25 years in the industry, we've dealt with the wage inflation the entire time through -- I started back in the Clinton administration and there was -- pushed that on minimum wage on through today. So -- and we've been dealing with the $15 minimum wage proposal for quite a while now. So that's a constant in the business. We can flex through it. Most of our contracts have [ index ] escalators, both for product cost and labor cost so that we're able to work those into the contract as we go forward. Virtually, we really don't have any minimum wage paid people throughout the organization. So I know there's ultimately a domino effect as the minimum wage increases. But we feel comfortable that we've navigated wage inflation for many decades in this industry, and that we'll continue to be able to handle that as we move along.

John Zillmer

executive
#14

Yes, absolutely. I would only add that we were very proactive as a result of the Tax Reform Act of a few years ago. We proactively went through and addressed wage disparities in the organization and made sure that we were positioned well. We wanted to be able to make sure that we can fully staff and operate our businesses effectively to keep our employees retained. And so -- and we don't feel like we're in a position where this would have significant impact on either the way we operate the business or on the financial structure of the business.

Andrew Steinerman

analyst
#15

Okay. Great. I would say so far the recovery in food services and Aramark's food services was showing some good improvement spring to summer. And then since July, the year-over-year revenue declines have really been pretty steady. When you offered insight into the current atmosphere for the current quarter, you said that the current quarter year-over-year decline should be similar to the just-reported quarter. In other words, there's been a pause in the recovery. It's a plateau. It's not backwards, but it is not showing narrowing declines. And I just was hoping you could give some insight, maybe it has to do with verticals, maybe it has to do with geographies, of why for a few months now there's really been a pause, meaning that year-over-year declines have not narrowed.

John Zillmer

executive
#16

Yes, we can both take a shot at this as well. I think in large part, it is somewhat different by vertical as we continue to see improvement in several of the businesses and more of a static environment in others. Business dining is one that I would characterize as somewhat static, very consistent month-over-month and quarter-over-quarter. That's primarily driven by company's decisions to either defer bringing people back into their operations until later in the year. And so we continue to react and be ready to manage when that phenomenon begins to dissipate and people start to return to work on a more active basis in the B&I sector, particularly in the white-collar segment. Obviously, we had anticipated and we even hoped for a larger recovery in the fourth quarter with respect to sports and entertainment. That continues to be dragging out as various sports still have not had fans in their stadiums or arenas. The NFL has had very limited participation in some markets and much of that is driven by either political and/or health decisions. So it has somewhat -- it has been somewhat flat. So we see the pace as just continuing. We're positioned, we are controlling what we can control, and we are ready and able as the pace of change and the pace of recovery begins to accelerate. But we're confident in our ability to manage in this plateaued environment over the next short period of time.

Andrew Steinerman

analyst
#17

Okay. I'm going to ask about business and industry. I know it's about 10% of global revenues. It's about 8% of U.S. revenues. John, you've already called out multiple times, you think this is one of the verticals that will take longer to recover fully back to 2019 levels. Maybe you could articulate why you think this will take longer to recover than other verticals.

John Zillmer

executive
#18

Yes. I think, primarily, we're seeing a much faster return to work in the blue-collar environment. Obviously, the high-tech white-collar environments on the coast and the financial services industry is a little bit slower to respond in terms of bringing employees back and may take slightly longer to do that. I think we believe that employees will return to work that customers or that companies do want to have a re-engagement process that begins. JPMorgan is a great example of an organization that's committed to bringing people back into the office and back into the work environment. We see more and more companies beginning to make that decision. But we're still at a time of fairly high volatility with respect to infection rates. So I think people are somewhat deferring decisions and delaying decisions until they have a greater degree of clarity. And that's really what's impacting B&I more than anything else.

Andrew Steinerman

analyst
#19

Right.

John Zillmer

executive
#20

Other verticals have taken a much more proactive approach. Higher education, for example, their economic business model is threatened if they don't have students back on campus and they need to continue to improve that level of campus enrollment. So other organizations, other institutions are just much more focused on finding a way to get things done and to operate in the current environment than say the business community is more ready to stand back and wait for the evolution to occur.

Andrew Steinerman

analyst
#21

Okay. And then how about post vaccine? How do you see the recovery in B&I? And how long might it take to get back to fiscal 2019 levels?

John Zillmer

executive
#22

In B&I, first of all, if there's wide adoption and wide availability of a vaccine, I think there will be a significant improvement in the -- or acceleration in the rate of return to work. I know the CEOs I talk to, the Board Members I talk to on the boards I serve and the associations that I participate in, people are very much focused on getting people back. So I think if there's wide adoption, I think that there will be an acceleration. And it's hard to predict exactly what will unfold, but I do believe that ultimately the vast majority of American workers in the business sector will be back in their buildings and back working. There's been such a loss of productivity, such a loss of innovation, a real loss of engagement and empowerment that people are feeling. Even our own employees can't wait to get back into the building in order to facilitate that culture. Thank you.

Andrew Steinerman

analyst
#23

Right. But you did quite say once there's a vaccine, once the vaccine is widely distributed, how long do you think it would take post the vaccine to get back to 2019 levels in B&I?

John Zillmer

executive
#24

I would be guessing, but I think it's months. I think, as I said, with wide adoption and wide availability, I think we're talking probably a quarter. So whenever that -- whenever we reach that point, I think within the following quarter, we should be -- we should see the acceleration. And by the end of that quarter, should be a fairly significant return.

Andrew Steinerman

analyst
#25

Right. But isn't there going to be some residual on work-from-home on an ongoing basis post vaccine?

John Zillmer

executive
#26

Yes. I think there will be, but I think it will be at the margin. I really don't believe it will be a long-term detrimental impact or structural change to the B&I segment. I think that, as I said, most companies are looking to bring people back. I think they will. And they may make accommodations in the short term, but ultimately you want people back working in the building.

Thomas Ondrof

executive
#27

I think one of the -- Andrew, I'll just add there real quickly on B&I, that I think one of the short-term offsets to maybe a little bit more work-from-home is the opportunity on participation rates. Because typically -- and this has been a long, long statistic in the industry, whether it's generally right or wrong -- is that we capture about 40-ish percent, 45% of the day's enrollment, attendance, people that show up at work, however you want to phrase it. There's an opportunity to pick that up. I mean, immediately after, I think people are not going to be going out down the street to eat. They're going to want to stay in the safety of the workplace, which will be probably cleaner. Delivery into the building may be restricted. So we should be able to capture more in the immediate term, which may offset a little bit of that work-from-home. And then as John said, in the long run we think that will all even out.

Andrew Steinerman

analyst
#28

Right. No, that's a good addition, Tom, about participation rate in the cafeteria. I wanted to talk about the competitive dynamic here. Obviously, you have 2 large competitors. You have local competitors as well. One of your large competitors noted that there's "fierce competition to retain accounts in North America". As far as I know, your client retention actually has gone up. Maybe you can make a comment about Aramark's client retention, but also is there increased competition to retain accounts in the competitive environment?

John Zillmer

executive
#29

Yes. I think -- I think we're all working very aggressively to retain our customers. Certainly, the customers you keep are the most profitable ones since we know those operations well. I think part of the phenomenon is more related to the strengthening of the partnership relationship that we have with our clients, that one of the things that's occurred as a result of COVID is an opportunity to really engage with our customers in a much more systematic and disciplined way, and over tougher issues. So we've been able to work through the COVID environment and negotiate and partner with these organizations in a way that we haven't before. So I think that is driving retention rates. Companies feel very comfortable with the capabilities of the organization and what we've brought to the party in terms of solutions and offerings to go ahead and meet their needs and demands in terms of their operations. So I think, yes, we're working very hard to retain our customers. I think the other companies are as well. And I think in light of the fact, also that there's been reduced level of sales activity as companies deferred decisions during this time. So there are a lot of organizations out there pursuing RFPs because, frankly, they're working on solving their current problems and they're working with their current provider to do it. So I don't know that competition for retention is really the right description. I would say that everybody is working very hard to retain their customers.

Andrew Steinerman

analyst
#30

Right. And Tom, I also asked, I believe client retention is up or it's steady. Could you just give a comment you just reported your year-end?

Thomas Ondrof

executive
#31

Yes, it has moved up. As John said, I think that's certainly a factor of the environment that we're in. A lot of decisions have been pushed off down the road or renewals have been done for another year to see how things sort out. So certainly, we benefited from that as has the industry. But also I think underneath that are the green shoots of all the strategies John has put in place since day 1 to re-empower the business to get more local, to be less cookie -- sorry, more cookie cutter and less custom -- sorry, less homogenous in our approach to the business. And so all those things will ultimately drive retention. And while we're benefiting right now from the environment, that underlying change in culture is going to help us in the long run.

Andrew Steinerman

analyst
#32

Okay. You've also spoken about some increased self-op conversion opportunities. Those are greenfield opportunities. As this past year has unfolded, lots of organizations like healthcare and education might question should they be in the cafeteria business? Obviously, that has led to interested discussions for outsourcing. So my question is, when do you think RFPs will go out for those kind of new interesting discussions? And I surely know for education, kind of springtime is usually decision time. And so do you think that there'll be meaningful self-op conversions this spring?

John Zillmer

executive
#33

Yes, that's absolutely true. In higher education, K through 12, the selling season really begins in earnest around January for potential summer conversions. So we think there will be an accelerating trend to self-op conversion over that time period. Those dialogues are really beginning now. We've enjoyed some success this last year with some significant institutions of higher education that have made that choice. I think you'll also see an acceleration of the trend in health care systems sales, and you'll see -- and frankly, some self-op conversions in the facilities space as companies make the decision to outsource facilities management to organizations that can ensure safety and security and hygiene in a much more effective way than they can internally. So I think it will affect a number of verticals and the seasonal selling season for higher end and K through 12 will definitely take place. Keep in mind, Andrew, it's important to realize that the self-op conversion decision is really a 2-stage decision. Organizations and institutions have to first make the philosophical decision to outsource, and they work through multiple constituents to go ahead and make that happen. It's just not an -- it's not only an economic decision. It's a philosophical decision related to the employees and the various constituents of that institution. So in many cases, that is the tougher part of the decision and takes time to work through before an RFP process actually begins. So we absolutely know that this is a phenomenon that's going to occur and is occurring. The timing of it is going to be somewhat elongated basis, based on these institutions' first primary decision to go ahead and outsource.

Andrew Steinerman

analyst
#34

But you did say some progress this selling season, right?

John Zillmer

executive
#35

Absolutely.

Andrew Steinerman

analyst
#36

Okay, great. We only have about 5 minutes left. Tom, I want to turn to how -- getting back to 2019 margins. So in fiscal 2019, operating margins at Aramark were 6.6% and that was on $16.2 billion of revenues. As much as you've made some investments -- we already talked about it, sales and branding -- there also have been a lot of cost savings, supply chain, with your partners and inside of your supply chain where you purchase input costs. My question is do you need to get back to $16.2 billion to get back to 6.6% operating margin? Or might you be able to get to that same operating margin with less revenues because you're running a more efficient organization now?

Thomas Ondrof

executive
#37

I would hope that we can get back to the '19 level margin with before this -- the '19 level revenue. I think we've done enough and there's enough opportunity out there to achieve that with some discipline on the way back up.

Andrew Steinerman

analyst
#38

Okay. Perfect. How about a question about Uniforms? Surely, I think the Uniform business is a great business. I cover all the uniform rental companies. It just has always struck me that food services, which is an on-site business, and uniform rentals, which is a route-density management business, are just different businesses. Yes, they're both customer service businesses, they're both good businesses. And so John, I know when we first met, when you first came back onboard, you said this is just not something I'm thinking about right now, I'm thinking about the big business, food services. So you've had a year to think about it. Are these 2 businesses better together? Also with AmeriPride, the acquisition, we're 3 years past the uniform rental acquisition. You've realized the synergies. I know you have another year of synergies ahead. But maybe this is a time to think about are these businesses better together or not necessarily?

John Zillmer

executive
#39

Yes. I think there are some synergies that exist between the businesses, particularly as it relates to the sales efforts. I think our entire customer base at Aramark food service are potential customers for Aramark uniform services. We obviously use their services in our operations for uniforms. But every one of our customers -- every one of our customers is a potential opportunity for both uniforms as well as the adjacency services like First Aid and Restroom and others. And so we do operate these businesses independently. There isn't overlap between food service and uniform services from a management perspective other than the corporate leadership. So there are kind of very different, both business. [Technical Difficulty] We have a lot of improvement opportunity, a lot of potential opportunity in uniform services [Technical Difficulty], and we're working very aggressively to do that. As you noted, we've increased the sales organization, we've made investments in the main technology phase in terms of our route accounting systems, and we're seeing the implementation of that so that we can get that project done and very close to being done by the end of 2021. And so there's significant performance improvement potential built into the business, and I want to be able to reap the benefit of that improvement for my shareholders and our current owners. So that's what we're focused on. There may be other strategic decisions to make in the future. But right now, we're working on making that business as valuable as we can.

Andrew Steinerman

analyst
#40

Sounds excellent. That's a great place to end. John and Tom, thank you. I'll be here all day. Thanks to the audience for joining us here at the Ultimate Services Investor Conference.

John Zillmer

executive
#41

Thanks, Andrew.

Thomas Ondrof

executive
#42

Thank you.

Andrew Steinerman

analyst
#43

My pleasure.

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