ARCHION Corporation (7203) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
May 30, 2023
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Christian Herrmann
executiveGood afternoon, good morning, ladies and gentlemen. This is Christian Herrmann, Head of Investor Relations and M&A speaking. On behalf of Daimler Truck, I would like to welcome you to today's call. This morning, we announced that Daimler Truck and Toyota has entered into an MoU covering the potential combination of our Mitsubishi FUSO business and Hino Motors. Our CEO, Martin Daum; and our Board member for Truck Asia and CEO of Mitsubishi FUSO, Karl Deppen attended a press conference in Tokyo, together with the Toyota's CEO. Now Jochen Goetz, our CFO, will give you additional background and will be available for questions directly thereafter. Please note that on our request, this call will be recorded. The replay will be available as an on-demand audio webcast in the Investor Relations sections of the Daimler Truck website. I also would like to remind you that this telephone conference is governed by the safe harbor wording you will find in our published documents. The messages in this call contain forward-looking statements that reflects management's current views with respect to future events. Such statements are subject to many risks and uncertainties. If the assumptions underlying any of these statements is incorrect, then actual results might be materially different from those expressed or implied by such statements. Forward-looking statements is only to the date on which they are made. With that, Jochen, over to you.
Jochen Goetz
executiveThanks, Christian. A warm welcome from my side as well. As you are aware, [indiscernible] frequently talked about our active portfolio management, being an important success factor to optimize return on capital at Daimler Truck. With this, we aim to optimize our capital allocation, footprint and product portfolio. We continue to focus on heavy-duty, the market as the biggest profit pool and the most attractive return on investment potential. This already muted results on [indiscernible]. At [indiscernible] portfolio, we are optimizing the relevant situations by outsourcing, monitoring and [indiscernible] activities. At Daimler Truck, we are optimizing our production in Europe by using our [indiscernible] truck for buses to the Czech Republic. In the U.S., we launched our provider in the [indiscernible] approach. In the U.S. truck market, we introduced our Western Star 47X in the location segment. In China, the world's largest truck market, we launched our locally produced Mercedes-Benz trucks. In Europe, we are continuing to further leverage our leading technology with a partnership with [indiscernible] AG. In theory, we are continuously monitoring our overall portfolio to seek opportunities in order to realize value potential for individual locations, products and projects. But this does not stop at small units. We are also continuously analyzing opportunities for complete Daimler Truck segment [ growth ]. Today, we announced that we are further evaluating such an opportunity for Mitsubishi FUSO as a significant part of our Truck Asia sector. During the past several months, Daimler Truck Asia, along with the Daimler Truck Board of management developed a clear strategy for cooperative growth with a clear path to achieve our return on sales targets in Asia, while Daimler Truck is on its way to achieve the 2025 target and unique opportunities in Mitsubishi have been identified and specified over the past few months. Just to remind you of the truck Asia segment structure sector, Truck Asia consists of Mitsubishi FUSO in short, MFTBC located in Japan, our Indian activities under the BharatBenz brand, and our activities in China mainly in the Bfda joint venture. Today's announcement only covers Mitsubishi FUSO and not the other parts of the segment. Today, a leading nonbinding Memorandum of Understanding has been signed between Daimler Truck and Toyota Motor Corporation together with their respective companies, MFTBC and Hino Motors. This MoU covers the further evaluation and negotiation of the transaction and distribution businesses of MFTBC and Hino will be bundled under a holding company. The shares of such holding company will be listed in the prime market of the Tokyo Stock Exchange, and both Toyota and Daimler Truck will become minority shareholders. The new company will have full access to Daimler Truck heavy duty truck technology. The strategic objective of this intended transaction is to combine the scale and capabilities of both MFTBC and Hino to drive the transformation of the commercial vehicle industry in Japan and Asia with the support of 2 extremely strong shareholders. Details of the transaction that covers the structure of the new company, including shareholder ratio and the scope of the combined businesses after defining the agreed-upon and legally-binding definite agreement. We expect that the holding company will not be fully consolidated in Daimler Truck's financial statement. The parties are aware that Hino's engine certification misconduct needs to be managed before entering in definitive agreements. Generally, both parties have agreed that all risks associated with this issue shall be borne by Hino. This is structured as a combination of provisions, which will be taken into account when calculating equity value of Hino and certain mechanisms under which Daimler Truck will be indemnified by Hino. In parallel, the Toyota Motor Corporation and Daimler Truck agree to investigate the potential for a global collaboration potential to accelerate the development and production of zero-emission technology for commercial vehicles, including hydrogen. We see that there's a unique opportunity to shape the future of the Asian truck industry as an even more powerful company than any previously today. However, within the next couple of months, details on directions as well as negotiations on many dimensions are needed to conform to the various potential for all involved parties. Of course, we will put special focus on risk from Hino's engine certification misconduct and mitigation measures, the attractiveness of the combined business plan, value creation for our shareholders and required under trust deployment. Besides this, the transactions are set to [indiscernible] parties involved agreeing on legally-binding definitive agreements, approval of such agreements by their respective Boards, approval of the shareholder meeting of Hino and approved by the relevant authorities, including [indiscernible]. The parties ended up signing the business agreement in the first quarter of 2024 and closing of the transaction by 2024. With that, I'm looking forward to your questions.
Christian Herrmann
executiveThank you, Jochen. [Operator Instructions] Now before we start, the operator will explain the procedure.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Klas Bergelind from Citi.
Klas Bergelind
analystSo my first one is, obviously, we know roughly the size of Hino, but could you help us with the size of FUSO and profitability. And within that, maybe looking at Japan, I guess that's above average margin. So if you could start there.
Jochen Goetz
executiveYes. Klas, if you look on the margins of MFTBC, of Mitsubishi FUSO, we do not disclose specific numbers as part of Truck Asia segment. However, what I could say, if you look on the current development on profitability of especially first quarter, it's fair to say that Mitsubishi was above the average of the Truck Asia segment.
Klas Bergelind
analystMy second one then is on the synergies. And are we talking a normal 2% to 3% of combined revenues? Just trying to understand the drivers a bit better. You said that Hino will get access to your heavy-duty technology, and they operate, according to our understanding, lower margins than you would see. But you still go into a 50-50 combination. I'm trying to understand is the value upside because it seems to be a little bit of a skew here in terms of the combination, but if you could talk about that.
Jochen Goetz
executiveYes. I would say the biggest -- there are 2 big ones. The one is -- as I said in my speech, they are -- Hino is lacking at the moment access to a functional heavy-duty engine, which we can offer, which is also an optimization opportunity for us given the scale on our heavy-duty engine platform we have already today. That's number one. And number two, especially if you look on the transformation and the Japanese but also in the Asia segment towards the emission technology, it will give us the leverage on both sides to develop a state-of-the-art product offering going forward. That's one of the levers we see as synergy potential going forward.
Klas Bergelind
analystAnd in terms of -- have you guys thought about like a time line for those synergies?
Jochen Goetz
executiveKlas, please understand we are early on at the moment. I think it's pretty clear where opportunities are. But first of all, as we said that it will take some time until we have the merger clearance, and we will use the time to think more in detail with the due diligence, what are the opportunities going forward. It's simply too early to talk about that today.
Klas Bergelind
analystYes. My quick very final one is on India. You obviously have a BharatBenz which is staying, but it looks like FUSO also have some business in India separately. I just want to clarify if that's the case or if total India BharatBenz is staying within Truck Asia. I'm just trying to understand that better.
Jochen Goetz
executiveYes. The BharatBenz trend -- to the other way around, the Mitsubishi FUSO in India, the Indian market is covered by the trend of Benz and it will stay...
Operator
operatorThe next question comes from [ Mo Adebayo ] from Goldman Sachs.
Unknown Analyst
analystI recall that Hino had a memorandum of understanding with TRATON to get engines. I just wanted to find out what the progress here was and how that is different to today's announcement.
Jochen Goetz
executiveYou're right. There was a negotiation in the past, but these negations were ended by Hino a couple of months ago. So there is no further collaboration with the TRATON GROUP anymore.
Operator
operatorThe next question comes from Miguel Borrega from BNP.
Miguel Nabeiro Ensinas Serra Borrega
analystThe first one, I just want to try to understand your level of confidence in the deal going through from an antitrust perspective. Countries like Indonesia, Japan, the combined entity would have -- as far as I understand, is more than 50% share. So are you confident this will go through? And what kind of remedies would you expect?
Jochen Goetz
executiveYes. Well, that's also one of the topics we have to clarify, and in deference of other topics which, to your point, Daimler Truck can't just on our own here, we're relying on the Japanese authorities. Our [ alternative ] here is that the Japanese market is not the biggest in size, therefore, it's a question of how many competitors do we really need. One of the remedies we can think about is that both plants and will further exist also in the future. And we will go through market by market and define together with authorities what are the remedies that are needed to get the approval at the end. But also to be very clear that one of the potential deal-breakers is if we don't get their approvals or the remedies are such harsh ones one that it doesn't make sense, that could be a deal-breaker.
Miguel Nabeiro Ensinas Serra Borrega
analystAnd then -- you talked about some of the financial benefits of merging with Hino, basically putting your own engines. And just trying to get a clarification here. It's only for the heavy-duty market, and is that for all of Hino's markets or just in Asia?
Jochen Goetz
executiveIt's basically -- it's only heavy-duty, absolutely right. In theory, it's for all heavy-duty trucks, but also this one will be one of the projects we will look, especially in Japan but also in the U.S., it could make a lot of sense, other markets to be discussed over the next couple of months.
Miguel Nabeiro Ensinas Serra Borrega
analystOkay. And then one last question. In terms of balance sheet, how are you thinking about the deal? Would this be -- would you allocate some of your cash to the combined entity?
Jochen Goetz
executiveNo, from today's perspective, there is no need to allocate cash from our side.
Operator
operatorThe next question comes from Anthony Dick from ODDO BHF.
Anthony Dick
analystYes. I guess most of the topics have been addressed, but maybe trying to begin a bit deeper into the synergy question. First, in terms of the commercial synergies, the sales of engines to Hino, I mean, could you give us a sense of what kind of volumes that could represent out of the entire 150,000 units that were mentioned for Hino and how fast you could potentially put that in place? And also more generally, how will that help with Hino's performance? As you said, it's been quite tough for them over the last year or so. So how can that help them turn around their business? And what's the kind of time line for them improving their metrics and maybe bringing them closer to your levels?
Jochen Goetz
executiveYes. So from an engine perspective on the question regarding [indiscernible] we have few engine users in the world who have [ engines -- healthy engines ] which is ready for the Japanese market because of the engine we also use from Mitsubishi FUSO today. So therefore, an integration also with Hino brand should go over fast. From a volume perspective, if you look on the heavy-duty market in the U.S., so we take Japan and take the Hino's market share, then you'll we see, we're targeting about more than 10,000 engines was a significant volume we see here.
Anthony Dick
analystOkay. And in terms of the financial outlook for Hino, how that could take form over the next couple of years.
Jochen Goetz
executiveWell, as said, that's part now of the due diligence. At that point of time, obviously, both parties provide it. It's not only in a transaction of a stand-alone business case, the due diligence will then further -- even further accelerate what other additional potentials with synergies and stabilizing the Hino business with our engines could look like. That's exactly what we will be working in on the next months.
Anthony Dick
analystOkay. And just then a last one on the cost synergies. So obviously, on the medium-duty business, you've already outsourced quite a significant part of the cost buckets, on the engines, the come ins, and the like. So what are the sort of main areas that generate cost synergies between the 2 companies?
Jochen Goetz
executiveWell, in this specific case, we have bigger share of light-duty only in our MFTBC business. So one area would be finding synergies on a bigger scale on light-duty engine part than the heavy-duty. But then I was especially looking forward towards developing the next generation of trucks in general, when we come to pure emission technology, including hydrogen. There is probably the biggest potential going forward.
Operator
operatorThe next question comes from Shaqeal Kirunda from Morgan Stanley.
Shaqeal Kirunda
analystIt's Shaqeal from Morgan Stanley. I was just wondering if you're able to quantify either in time or financial terms, how much this merger could represent in terms of technological progress on the hydrogen fuel cell front? And also if you could shed some light on the direct impact for Trucks Asia. Given the size of the Japanese market versus the Chinese market, surely, performance in Trucks Asia will still be dominated by China rather than any sort of synergies from this merger.
Jochen Goetz
executiveWell, first of all, on the financial impact, as I said earlier, that's too early to formally judge without impact. From a time line perspective, the whole industry is on the way to develop the product for our transformation. I think from that angle, it's a perfect timing for us to join forces with -- to develop, join with the next generation on trucks be it relates to feeding hydrogen. There is the big potential. When we talk about China and Mitsubishi FUSO, so first of all, just to -- once again, our Chinese business is not affected by this transaction, it's only the Mitsubishi FUSO plant, which is not active in China. And that is -- I would phrase it that way. Today, the Mitsubishi FUSO brand is the most important brand for our Truck Asia segment that we paved a way for a long, long time. With this transaction, we have additional potential to make the combined company even stronger. And in parallel, China, it's for us, the chrome market, that's obviously the reason why we launched the Mercedes-Benz truck business in China for the declining markets at the end of last year. So I would say both segments or subsegments have a huge growth potential. I would not take one more important than the other.
Shaqeal Kirunda
analystGot it. And I just wanted to confirm, if I heard correctly that Daimler Truck and Hino will both be minority shareholders in the combined venture. Could you tell us a bit more about the structure? And have you already identified any potential investors?
Jochen Goetz
executiveSo Daimler Truck and Toyota, Daimler and Toyota, both will be minority shareholders of the combined entity. And for obvious reasons, [indiscernible] talk about other shareholders at the moment. So that's also part of the negotiation over the next month.
Operator
operatorThe next question comes from Jonathan Day from HSBC.
Jonathan Day
analystI was wondering if there was anything you could say at the moment on maybe on the synergy side, either about the footprint? And also just talk a little bit about how you see sort of supply chain evolving here, given that I know you have been making decisions around supply chain and sort of prioritizing the U.S. position has -- gives you some scope to normal supply chain now.
Jochen Goetz
executiveYes. So on the equipment side, you're absolutely right, that could be also one level of synergies, especially, as I said earlier, the next generation of trucks. But also on the powertrain side, that's one of the levers we will also explore in a couple of months going forward. And the second part was -- Christian, what's the second part?
Jonathan Day
analystSupply.
Jochen Goetz
executiveSupply chain. Well, generally speaking, we are rather happy that in the first quarter, supply chain was stable, although, generally speaking, we have elaboration, especially like the compliance volumes that could be favorable going forward but also could be favorable with Toyota as a major shareholder of this company as well, that could be also helpful if we are in a critical situation. So also this one, I would see on the trusted side, that we do not see the big -- big game-changer in this transaction.
Operator
operatorThere are no further questions at this time, and I hand back to Christian Hermann for closing comments.
Christian Herrmann
executiveThanks a lot. That's it for the Q&A today. Thank you for your interest. Jochen, thanks for taking the time and being with us today. As always, in case you missed anything, please don't hesitate to reach out to my team or myself. Thanks again for joining us. Enjoy the rest of today. Take care, and bye-bye.
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