Arman Financial Services Limited (531179) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
November 20, 2020
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the Arman Financial Services Q2 FY '21 Earnings Conference Call hosted by Emkay Global Financial Services. We have with us today, Mr. Aalok Patel, Joint MD; and Mr. Vivek Modi, Group CFO. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Jignesh Shial of Emkay Global. Thank you, and over to you, sir.
Jignesh Shial
analystYes. Thanks, [ Janice ], and good evening, everyone. I would like to welcome the management of Arman Financial, and thank them for giving us this opportunity. I will now hand it -- over the call to Mr. Aalok Patel. Over to you, Aalok.
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveYes. Thanks a lot, Jignesh, and good afternoon to everybody. Thanks a lot for joining in and taking the time to discuss our financial performance for the second quarter and the first half of FY '21. So we have issued a detailed press release and also an investor presentation for the past quarter. So hopefully, all of you have had a chance to review it. At the outset, I hope all of you and your loved ones are healthy and doing well in these very unprecedented times. As many of you might have heard, Ahmedabad is going into sort of a curfew or a lockdown for a couple of days starting tomorrow. So both Vivek and I have been a little busy with some of the continuity kind of issues. So please -- the disclaimer here is, please excuse us if we are not as prepared as usual. But anyway, so overall, we have witnessed a very broad-based pickup in the economy in the last few months. More importantly, our consolidated collection efficiency has picked up significantly from 66% in June 2020 to 87% in September and 91% in October. This continuous progress on the repayment front on a month-to-month basis is encouraging and shows both the resilience and the positive interactions of our customers -- or excuse me, positive intentions of our customers. In Microfinance, only 7% of our customers have not started repayments post April. For MSME and Two-Wheeler, that percent stood at 3.6% and 2.9%, respectively. Now I'll start by giving a brief overview of our financial performance for the second quarter and post that touch upon the collections, liquidity and disbursements in more details. At the end of the second quarter, our consolidated loan book stood at 704 crore INR, marginally lower year-over-year as a result of the COVID-related disruptions as higher repayment rates combined with lower disbursements in the first half led to an expected decline in the loan book. Our Microfinance and MSME portfolio stood at INR 523 crores and INR 119 crores, respectively, at the end of Q2, lower by 5% to 6% year-over-year. In the urban two-wheeler segment, the AUM was impacted by the decline in 2-wheeler sales in the preceding fiscal year and the sharp drop in 2-wheeler sales during the first half of the current fiscal. However, our newly launched rural two-wheeler product has demonstrated a relatively better performance, reporting a year-on-year AUM growth of 10%. The rural two-wheeler book now constitutes approximately 12% of the total Two-Wheeler portfolio. We gradually resumed disbursements across all segments for August 2020 onwards. Loan disbursements for the month of August stood at approximately INR 17 crores, and for the month of September stood at INR 34 crores. This number has increased to approximately INR 60 crores in the month of October. We expect disbursements to approach pre-COVID levels by December or January of the current fiscal year. The disbursements were mainly focused on servicing our existing customer base. As the industry began to update the credit bureau data, we have begun to service new customers as well, but with a more stringent underwriting process wherever possible. Our net total income increased by 4% year-on-year at INR 33 crores during Q2, driven primarily by lower finance cost, as our borrowings declined by 15% sequentially combined with raising of debt capital at relatively lower rates from DFIs like NABARD, SIDBI and MUDRA. Our company's continuous efforts to rationalize this operating expenses also bore fruit, as OpEx declined by 4% year-over-year to INR 12 crores in Q2, while our cost-to-income ratios improved by about 320 bps year-over-year to 37.6%. In keeping with our conservative approach, we strengthened our provisioning coverage by prudently recognizing provisions of INR 14 crores during the second quarter. Further, we also took an aggressive write-off of INR 4.6 crores in Q2 to help reduce the NPA burden of pre-COVID doubtful assets in the future. Including the additional provisions recognized during the second quarter, cumulative total provisions at the end of Q2 stood at INR 44 crores at the consolidated level, covering approximately 6.2% of our total loan book. At the stand-alone Arman level cumulative, total provisions stood at INR 17 crores at the end of September '20, covering 9.2% of the total AUM. Strengthening our provision coverage should help us deal with any impairments on account of COVID in the future. As a result of higher provisioning, our net profit stood lower at INR 1.5 crores for the second quarter. While the provisioning may remain elevated for the next 1 or 2 quarters, we hope to restore our net profit to healthy levels from the beginning of next fiscal year as the provisions decline. Our GNPA and NNPA has continued to remain low and steady at 1.1% and 0.2%, respectively. In terms of capitalization, we remain adequately capitalized with consolidated debt-to-equity ratio of 3.3x, which excludes direct assignments. Liquidity wise, we are in a comfortable position right now. At the end of the quarter, we had cash reserves of approximately INR 135 crores, including undrawn CC limits. We have repaid all of the debt obligations that were due in Q2 and also repaid the loan moratoriums that we had availed in April and May, retrospectively. Further, we have also raised a INR 50 crores at very attractive rate since July '20 to bolster our liquidity position. Speaking of more granular breakdowns on collections. In the Microfinance segment, particularly, the improvements in the collections has been very encouraging, as repayment rates have jumped to 75% in August to 84% in September and 89% in October. All operational states, besides Maharashtra, are reporting almost 90%-plus repayment rates. At the stand-alone level, the collection efficiency continued to be healthy and well north of 90% in September and October. In the MSME segment, the repayment rates improved marginally from 92% in August to 93% in September and 94% in October. While in the Two-Wheeler segment, the repayment rate stood at 96% in September and 97% in October. As we move forward, our foremost priority will be improving our collection efficiency and restoring it to pre-COVID levels at the earliest, especially in the MFI segment. To complement our high-touch physical collections model, we have implemented a new platform to handle collections digitally via an integrated software solution using unique QR codes -- client level unique QR codes to receive payments through UPI platforms. We are currently in the pilot stage of its implementation. With the recovery in the economy, pickup in the repayment rates and the end of the moratorium period, we now feel comfortable to gradually and carefully scale up disbursements. Hence, going forward, we expect the pace of disbursement to normalize from Q3 onwards. Finally, to conclude, I would like to express my gratitude to all of our stakeholders for their continued support during these difficult times. A special note of appreciation for the company's field staff, whose perseverance and untiring efforts are the sole reason why we have been able to report such a significant improvement in the repayment rates for September and October. Overall, we remain confident that we'll be able to successfully navigate our way through this storm and emerge stronger. On behalf of the company, I wish all the stakeholders a very happy Diwali and a great New Year ahead. I would now like to request the operator to open the floor for questions and answers. Thank you.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Amit Mantri from 2Point2 Capital.
Amit Mantri
analystHi Aalok, Happy Diwali to you and the team as well.
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveThank you, Amit. Happy Diwali.
Amit Mantri
analystSo on the collection efficiency numbers, so there's clearly been a good month-on-month improvement and your Arman is doing as well or better than many of its peers. On the provision fronts, you've already taken cumulative almost 6-plus percent plus of the loan book, which is significantly higher than any of your peers, basically. So does this mean that you are far more pessimistic in terms of the eventual credit cost that will occur in your Microfinance or all the MSME and Two-Wheeler loan book? Or is it just abundant caution?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveYes. Amit, another word for pessimistic is conservative. So taking provisions is where the -- as much as the profitability allows, I don't know what the actual write-offs related to this COVID scenario is going to be. The assumption here is, it's prudent to take provisions at least in the first 2 to 3 quarters. And then in March, if things are a little better than they actually appeared to be, then we can always reverse whatever is not required. Now 6.2%, I just want to let you know, that is the cumulative provisionings. So it's not all of those provisionings were COVID-related write-offs. Obviously, we'll have some AUM. There will be certain standard asset provisioning and stuff that will need to be kept on the book itself. But yes, overall, we have not -- I rather call ourselves conservative than call ourselves pessimistic.
Amit Mantri
analystSure. And can you give more color on how the state-wise performance is there? So from most of the other companies you've heard that Maharashtra has been a weak state in terms of collection. So how is -- how are you seeing collections improvement in Maharashtra over the last few months? And which are the states which have been doing well for you?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveWell, I think it was a huge jump in the month of October. So in September, it was about -- well, starting all the way back from August, I think it was about 62%, then it went up to about 68% in September. And finally, in October, we ended up somewhere around 77% in Maharashtra. In fact, a lot of the increase came as in -- from September to October on a cumulative Microfinance, repayment rate came from Maharashtra taking a significant lead. As far as other states are -- Gujarat is clearly the leader in terms of repayment rates at about 95%. MP is about 89%, little -- almost 90%-ish, Madhya Pradesh. Maharashtra, as I said, in October, was 77%. Rajasthan is about 95%, so about the same as Gujarat. UP has reached 90%. Uttarakhand, which is a small portfolio, is about 95.5%. So overall, we have reached about 89% in October for Microfinance. And for our Two-Wheeler and MSME, primarily, the portfolio is in Gujarat with a little bit of portfolio in Maharashtra. So the MSME portfolio of Maharashtra is doing a little bit better at about 78%. And Gujarat repayment rate is, I think, about 96% or 96%, 97%, somewhere around that. Gujarat -- in the Two-Wheeler, all of our portfolio is in Gujarat. So that would be about 96%, 97%.
Amit Mantri
analystSure. And even in the month of November, are you still seeing this continuous improvement in states like Maharashtra, where earlier there were challenging...
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveWe were. So we were. There was -- so getting into Diwali, we were about -- on a cumulative basis, about 2.5% to 3% ahead at the same period in the previous month. But we lost about 5 days of Diwali. So since yesterday, we are about the same place where we were last month. But overall, we were expecting to see significant improvements in the last 10 days of the month with the new lock -- well, I think the lockdown is only applicable to Ahmedabad. So that is not going to have any significant effect on our overall operations pan India. And honestly speaking, our systems have evolved in such a way that even the operations can continue running perpetually without they actually being open because everything is online. So fingers crossed, I think there should be some improvement. Let's hope to cross the 90% barrier this month [Technical Difficulty] sorry, for Microfinance.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Parth Sanghvi from Emkay Global.
Parth Sanghvi
analystJust a couple of questions. So one is with the interest rate softening. Has it been passed on to us? Or like what has been the impact for us? And how do you see the demand environment remain going forward?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveSo Vivek can probably answer this.
Vivek Modi
executiveIn terms of the interest rate softening, especially for Microfinance, the rates applicable are as per the RBI directive for Microfinance. So that anyway has been, for the fresh disbursement that we're doing are, at the revised rates, lower rates as per the RBI mandated maximum permissible rates.
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveI think he's asking -- are you asking about the disbursement side or from the -- from what we borrow from the bank side?
Parth Sanghvi
analystThe disbursement side.
Vivek Modi
executiveDisbursement side. Yes. Yes.
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveThe disbursement side, yes, yes. So yes, [Technical Difficulty] have gone down as per the RBI -- whatever new disbursement we have done in this quarter, they've gone down by about, I think, about 100 basis points. So whatever gains that we got in terms of lower interest that customer and unfortunately, for the company, we have to pass that on to the customer. But to add to that, [Technical Difficulty] take away, that is applicable for the new disbursements [ Whatever ] book that we have created in the past with the higher interest rate, that interest rate [Technical Difficulty] the interest rates are declining for us. That will be [Technical Difficulty] that would mean that we would, in the short term, get a better [ interest rate because -- and ] rates where the interest rates are increasing. It really averages out.
Vivek Modi
executiveAcross all our products [Technical Difficulty]. So obviously, from a fair value point of view, interest rates in the environment goes down, then you are better off for some time, until the time you start redeploying the same fund, with the lower interest rates.
Parth Sanghvi
analystRight. And then what's your outlook on the demand scenario?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveDemand is, of course, there. I think we are fortunate enough to be in a business where the demand [ is always ] evergreen, especially at a [ time like ] this. But I think as I mentioned in the last con-call that even during demonetization, we had stopped disbursement for 3, 4 months. [Technical Difficulty] especially since the month of August and a little bit of September, most of the disbursement has been to our old customers, since that we [Technical Difficulty] on the credit bureau data, which was all stale. I mean [Technical Difficulty] since March, and if you pulled up their credit bureau data, it would be a 0 default kind of a customer. Now that the credit data is getting updated by most of the financial institutions and the banks and everybody, we [Technical Difficulty] new customers also. But that we were a little bit in the blind, so mostly we [Technical Difficulty] our old customers with a proven track record.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Amit Mantri from 2Point2 Capital.
Amit Mantri
analystSo just a couple of numbers rated. The interest income has increased on a quarter-on-quarter basis despite a decline in the loan book. So why is that?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveOn a quarter over -- so in the same quarter the previous year, you are saying?
Amit Mantri
analystNo, no, no. Quarter-on-quarter, from previous Q1 versus Q2. So the interest income is higher in this quarter than in the last quarter despite loan book having declined maybe around 13%, 14%.
Vivek Modi
executiveAmit, there could be marginal impact. A couple of things that have -- the interest income also includes interest on the fixed deposits and cash for [Technical Difficulty]. The component of the fixed deposits, unencumbered fixed deposits have considerably increased in the last quarter or so. And additionally, if you look at it, at the beginning of quarter 2, the portfolio was pretty much high. It hadn't declined too much as of July 1st, so to say.
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveYes. I think the average portfolio would not -- would be a different story. It's just that the repayment rates increased drastically during the month of -- especially August and -- I'm sorry, in September and August. So overall, if you look at the average AUMs, there will be a little bit of a difference.
Amit Mantri
analystSure. Understood that now. And -- so is interest income being recognized on the entire book? Or are you assuming that some part of the book will be NPA, so interest income should only be recognized, maybe on a slightly lesser book? Or will that lead to interest reversals whenever NPAs show up in the next few quarters?
Vivek Modi
executiveNo. And partially, what you said at the last is the right thing because under the Ind AS, anyways, even on the NPA, you need to book the interest. Unfortunately, until 90 days, you are forced to recognize the interest, which I completely disagree with, by the way, because in a normal scenario where -- it's fine because after 90 days, then your NPA levels is at 1%, 2% or something. But on the moratorium book, also, you had to -- so we have a large portion, which is interest due, but not received -- interest accrued, but not received, interest accrued, but not received it. So we are, of course, building the provisions and stuff for that as well. However, the way we structured the moratorium is that when the customer pays off, when I guess moratorium, we can call it a type of restructure only. So when the customer pays it off, that interest accrued, but not received gets hit first. So I don't think that there will be a very large reversal as a result of that. But if you look at like, let's say, 6% or 7% of our customers who have not paid since the moratorium started, of course, those ones will be the reversal ones.
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveAmit, so we can include the provisions on these assets as well.
Vivek Modi
executiveYes, correct.
Amit Mantri
analystYes. So if you were to only consider those who are paying fully or even partially, then the interest income would be lower by around 6%, 7%, of which is the number who is not paying.
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveWhich is the -- well, I think what is the loan amort is that would be around a little bit on a higher side, I think, but -- I mean, I don't have the exact numbers with me. So see for loan amortization schedule, the principal and interest change every month-on-month, right? So maybe if I can give you that answer, but let me put some thought into it and get back to you on that.
Amit Mantri
analystSure. No, got it. And there's a fair bit of excess liquidity on the balance sheet and although you're carrying -- the debt has declined and there is a fair bit of cash that is sitting on the balance sheet now. So the plan also continues to carry the kind of excess liquidity even going forward?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveNot so much. I think about INR 100 crores or so is what has been working for us. So we'll try to keep it around that between INR 80 crores and INR 100 crores. And as the disbursements pick up, I think that excess liquidity should continue to go down also. So we have enough things in the pipeline right now. So we are trying to manage it and plan it in a way based on what we project our disbursements to be. So in a couple of days, we are closing another NCB transaction for [ a Sunday ].
Amit Mantri
analystOkay. Okay. And now at least because -- now because the disbursements have and you did INR 60 crores in October, so now the loan book is unlikely to decline further going forward, right?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveYes. yes, yes. So we have reached that stability now where the repayments, at least last month, we reached it where the repayments were about the same as what we disbursed. So starting from this month or maybe next month, the portfolio should start going up again.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Chandra Shekhar, individual investor. As there is no response from the current participant, we take the next question from the line of Srinath from Bellwether.
Srinath V.
analystI logged in about 5 minutes late. So if my question is repetitive, I'm sorry. I just wanted to understand, given that the MSME business has kind of done very well in the last 3 months, you had above 90% collection. Are we looking to slowly kind of scale up disbursements there because the disbursements number hadn't -- even if you were to assume that only the last months' disbursements, the numbers are a bit on the lower side. So just wanted to understand. And also, given that it's an assessed income loan, the slightly stale bureau data in, at least, MSME shouldn't be that much of a hurdle, right? So just wanted your...
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveWell, yes. I mean -- so we are starting to push for the disbursements in that side -- in the MSME side also. Of course, the incomplete credit bureau data, which we relied a lot on was incomplete. And there was a lot of different kinds of businesses that we had sort of blacklisted from MSME until the COVID situation improved. And those were essentially occupations, which we thought would be highly disrupted due to the COVID issues, roadside dhaba type or eateries and those kinds of areas or hospitality kind of small establishments. So I think going forward, that should pick up. As far as the repayment of MSME is concerned, see, if you compare apples-to-apples, of course, MSME is slightly better than micro. But if you look at it, compare it to a state to state, for example, Gujarat in Microfinance versus the Gujarat to MSME, that large difference is actually becomes a small difference between the 2 divisions. So I guess, we got a little bit lucky from the geographical standpoint. I know I'm just kind of trying to be fully transparent here. But that said, yes, I think starting from Q4, we are already trying to figure out our next expansion in terms of branches and areas for both MSME and Microfinance. So my -- honestly, my biggest goal is that to put COVID behind us by the time April 1, 2021, rolls around. So I know that's a long way away. But hopefully, we reach a spot where whatever has to be provided is on the books by March, and essentially, we get a fresh start from April 1, and we continue our growth story.
Srinath V.
analystFair, fair. I think last cycle, Gujarat was the pain area. So it's best to be diversified because it's so difficult to take these calls.
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveAnd maybe this is not the right forum, but I always joke around with people, including Vivek here, that last time we got kind of shot in the foot at Gujarat, and as a result of that, we diversified across all of these different states. If I would have just been in Gujarat, I would have been in a better spot, but of course, this is not the lottery system. You cannot just make decisions based on luck. So I don't regret making those decisions, but it's just one of those ironies of life.
Srinath V.
analystGot it. Got it. And this is a bit of a delicate one. So just wanted to understand what's happening in Maharashtra, as in, in sense of, is this a political kind of an issue? Or is this difficulty to reach the customer? Again, as much as possible, if you could share qualitative flavor of what is happening in that market, that would be very nice.
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveSee, I think different areas have different problems, but largely, on average, earlier on, it was about reaching the customer and about political issues. A lot of those issues have gone away. And so I would say Maharashtra, whatever gains that we made in June, July and August, in, let's say, Gujarat, we had a late start in Maharashtra. So those gains -- and optimistically, those gains should be forthcoming in Maharashtra as well, but a little later. It's just a matter of convincing the customers. But I think primarily issue was that because earlier on, there were a lot of political issues. There still are, but a lot lower than what they were at least 2, 3 months ago. And of course, access now is not much of an issue, which was a huge issue in those earlier days.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Nagraj Chandrasekar from Laburnum Capital.
Nagraj Chandrasekar
analystHappy Diwali, Aalokji.
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveThank you.
Nagraj Chandrasekar
analystJust on the competitive intensity in the last 2, 3 months, obviously in your area, my guess is that the more rural public company would work with NBFC, MFIs and MSMEs. Are you seeing any smaller NBFC, MFIs struggle for liquidity and also not disburse [Technical Difficulty] book? Or are you seeing some players step up disbursements? I just wanted to get a sense of the supplier credit to the investing sort of a thing.
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveI think a lot of -- I think most of them have cut back on their disbursements, maybe not as much as us, but enough so where the repayments were higher than what they were disbursing. So I don't think that liquidity is too big of an issue. See, on the field level, when you talk about Microfinance side, basically, what you need to understand is the same guy who's dispersing is the same guy who is collecting. So as a management sitting at the HO, we kind of have to try to find a balance that what is the priority. Do we want them to focus on collections 30 days out of the month? Or do we want them to focus on collections 70% of the time or 80% and focus 20% of the time on disbursements? So I don't think that there is one clear right or wrong answer or good or bad answer. I think you have to tackle each area differently, each branch differently. Obviously, states and branches who have reached 90%, 95% repayment rates, it would be foolish to focus 100% of your time for an incremental 1% kind of a repayment rate increase. So in those areas -- so as the repayments increase, I think disbursement is naturally going to increase. As far as competition is concerned, I think most people, barring a few exceptions, they will always be the outliers. A lot of people cut down a lot of the disbursements compared to even pre-February levels or even the same period Q2 of last year itself, I think the disbursements were just probably 40%, 50% in the areas that we are working in. So overall, it's pretty large decline from the disbursement side, but everybody is going to be picking up again. So my informal talks with a lot of the upper level, C-level people at the different companies. I think everybody, during Diwali and post Diwali, is planning to ramp up disbursements. So let's see what happens.
Nagraj Chandrasekar
analystUnderstood. And in terms of practice on the ground, I think a couple more qualitative points, are you seeing top-up loans happening to customers, who haven't been able to pay credit even amongst our customers who might not be able to [indiscernible] top-up loans from others? And on average, how many lenders do a typical borrower from us also borrow from them apart from us?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveYes. Honestly, I cannot comment on the number or who is actually doing it. However, I mean it's no big secret. I think people are doing it. There are top-off loans out there. There are net-off loans out there. One way -- another way to increase your repayment rate is just start disbursing a lot of money. Because on a static pool, your repayment might be down, but whatever new portfolio you are creating, obviously that might be -- will be at a higher repayment -- well assuming that we'll be at a much higher repayment rate, your weighted average will go up. So -- but there are companies that are making top-off loans. There are a few companies that always used to make top-up loans, and they've continued to do so. There are certain MFIs, who are netting off their outstanding and issuing a whole new loan. So not very different from a top-off, but a different kind of mechanism. I'm sorry, I don't think I have the right answer in terms of how many companies are doing it and how rampant it is. But for sure, I can assure you, it is happening at some -- a few companies and some more than others.
Nagraj Chandrasekar
analystUnderstood, sir. And one last question would be that 6%, 7%, 7%, you mentioned for the number of customers, who haven't made payments since April, this seems ballpark in line with what a lot of other NBFCs, MFIs, SMEs are reporting. I just wanted to understand our concentration by state, region and by, say by, main occupation as well, as is it mostly people who have recently taken a loan and have a larger amount of EMIs [indiscernible]. Any such color would be useful.
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveI mean we have all of this data. To be honest with you, I don't have all of it in front of me. Maybe we can take it up separately about what occupation you are seeing it from and stuff like that. But just to provide, without getting into percentages, I can tell you that about half of those figures are in Maharashtra. So the nonstarters or whatever you want to all these customers. Also in the sort of the defaulting customers, most of these customers are involved in non-agriculture kind of activities. So most of our customers that are involved in providing life kind of services versus -- or I'm sorry, livelihood kind of services versus lifestyle kind of services. So obviously, those guys are doing a lot better compared to, let's say, the hospitality people and the street vendor type of people. Obviously, they got disrupted quite a bit. They are back on their feet, but clearly not in a way that will allow them to start making repayments, a lot of these guys. Another curious thing is that many customers who are showing an intent to repay, it's not like the progress is steady. What I'm trying to say is that imagine a customer who pays in, let's say, August and September, well, although there is a small chance, there is still a chance he'll miss October payment and then pay in November. So the assumption that most of us made earlier is that once you get them started paying, they will continue paying. But that is, in fact, not the case in a small segment of customers, who are paying 1 installment, missing 1, paying another, missing another. It's kind of random in that sense.
Nagraj Chandrasekar
analystUnderstood. And we would lengthening tenors for a number of our customers who took the moratorium and [indiscernible]. So on average, how much could you lengthen the tenor with those customers? Would it be around 2, 3 months on average?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveI'm sorry, I couldn't understand your question. Maybe you could take me off speaker phone?
Nagraj Chandrasekar
analystNo. I'm actually not on speakerphone. I'm asking the customers who would have their loan tenors restructured, on average how much longer would the tenor be?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveOh, that's interesting. So on average? I guess we can do a weighted average...
Vivek Modi
executiveWeighted average will turn out to be about -- I am not sure, it should be...
Aalokbhai Patel
executive2, 2.5 months.
Vivek Modi
executive1.5 to 2.5 kind of months on an average EBITDA.
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveYes. So I think almost every customer was given a moratorium for April and May.
Vivek Modi
executiveApril and May.
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveAnd about repayment rate started with being about...
Vivek Modi
executiveAbout 50% to 60%.
Aalokbhai Patel
executive50% and 75%, higher than that, maybe about 3 months.
Vivek Modi
executive3 months.
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveIt sounds like a good average, but I'm sure you can backward calculate it with our repayment rates.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Shreepal Doshi from Equirus Securities.
Shreepal Doshi
analystSir, my question is with respect to our disbursements of new loans. What -- so I know that even now the credit bureau data is also -- is getting updated. But what number of installments are we seeing that the customers would have paid? And -- so what is the strategy on evaluating the credit bureau data also before disbursement?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveNo. I mean certainly we would have -- want them to have restarted their payments. So the criteria that we came up last month was, they should have made at least 3 continuous payments for us to consider it. That was for MSME. And for the microfinance, we came up with the criteria of 2 continuous payments, with absolutely no kind of defaults in the previous months. But as I said, the credit bureau data was quite stale at that time. And there was certain High Court order or Supreme Court orders that was restricting -- even post moratorium some of the financial institutions were not sharing the data adequately. So a lot of the customers, we were relying on our own kind of experience. But going forward, that will become important, that criteria, yes.
Shreepal Doshi
analystSo the current disbursement that we're doing -- I understand, we are doing it only to our own customers. So we will sort of have an understanding whether the customer has paid the last 3 EMIs or not for the MFI segment, and then accordingly, we'll be taking a call, right? Or we were taking a call?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveWe were taking a call based on our own experience with the customer. And by our own experience means, we gave them a 3 parts if they didn't pay for April and May and in some cases, June as well. July, August, if they continued their payments and their loans were finished, then we were happy to give that number.
Shreepal Doshi
analystRight, right, right. Okay. Sir -- and what percent of -- I understand that the previous question was also with regards to this. So what percent of our customers who have a 4-month of loan tenure extension?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveWhat percent would have 4 months? About at least 25% would have 4 months or above.
Vivek Modi
executiveEssentially, customers who've not paid April, May and June and then July. And so even if they have not paid 3 months, then also it will be more than 3 months because there would be some bit of interest accrual that would get added.
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveYes, yes, yes.
Vivek Modi
executiveAnybody -- so that way, and Aalok gave an estimate around 20% is higher -- it will be around 20% because eventually 20% -- because 4 months and above would be about 20%. So the repayment rate, calculating it that the repayment rate was about 75%, that means 25% didn't pay. And so just by extrapolating it was that. Guys, this data, now this is data hard to access it all on a moment's notice. So any -- like you need this, e-mail our investor relations people, and if you can get it to you, we'll get it out there.
Shreepal Doshi
analystSure. Sure. One last question was, I mean, how are you seeing the securitization and off-balance sheet portfolio opportunities coming up since the -- I mean, in the last 1, 1.5 months?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveI don't know, Vivek your -- that's been a lot of...
Vivek Modi
executiveYes. So I mean the inquiry for portfolio purchase is pretty high and across all segments. So I mean even Two-Wheeler, MSME and Micro is always because of the PSL is always in demand. The difference now is that most of the institutes are inclined more towards the PTC kind of transactions rather than the plain vanilla DA transactions. So that's the general interest which the lenders have been showing. We've been fortunate in almost 6 months or rather now the 7 months that have gone by for this financial year to have had enough liquidity and liquidity from institutions like SIDBI, MUDRA and NABARD. So we kind of have a good lineup of such transactions. But as I said, they're more towards the -- interest is more towards the PTC transaction where the risk coverages for the investor is higher.
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveSee, a lot of banks and financial institutions are looking for good places to deploy money. And so we are getting a lot of offers from both the securitization side and the term loan side. Unfortunately, we've always had enough cash. So most of those things we turned down. But most of the financial institutions, the better ones are sitting on a lot of excess cash because they have not been able to deploy it in the last few months. And so if I can kind of toot my own horn, I would, let's say, consider myself as a good place to deploy their money. So we are getting a lot of offers. And we are in a position to pick and choose the more favorable asset.
Shreepal Doshi
analystOkay. Okay. Sir, if I can just squeeze in 1 last question, which is something that you alluded in the early part of your comment? And now we are seeing imposition of curfew again. And even in smaller towns where the curfew or lockdown sort of situation is not imposed by administration, but there also we are seeing slowdown in economic activity by the distribution of that particular organization, business organization. So do you see this will create some hindrance or some delays in the collection efficiency improving going ahead?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveAbsolutely. Absolutely. So I'll tell you in lot of even village areas, if there are certain cases in the village, even the panchayats are making kind of add-hoc decisions of implementing their own version of lockdowns and stuff like that. So on a daily basis, we face those kinds of situations. Even in branches that are located in areas where there are a lot of cases, whether formal or informally those plays become containment areas. So we have to figure a way out to get other people to start collecting. So these are constant operational aggravations that come into play post this -- in this new COVID world. But hopefully, we are -- we can put this all behind us and in the next 3 to 6 months kind of move forward.
Shreepal Doshi
analystSo it would not be sort of easy to extrapolate the current disbursement trend for the next, say, second half? I mean is it fair understanding? Like...
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveNo. I mean, we have a -- see, we have reached about a run rate of about INR 50 crores in the microfinance. So this month, we did about INR 50 crores of disbursement against pre-COVID levels of about INR 70 crores -- INR 70 crores, INR 73 crores is probably the figure what we reached, so INR 75 crores maybe at the most. So I would say by about December or January, we should be at least at around INR 65 crores levels. Why that INR 5 crores gap is because there will be certain branches where I won't be able to start disbursements, branches are allowed to be a little slower. So already we have a plan in place of those branches, whether to merge them or keep them at collection branches with kind of a lower staff level. And we already have a plan also in place to open around maybe optimistically, 15 to 20 branches between December and January. So now those branches will be more for the next fiscal year because it takes about 2, 3 months for the disbursements to ramp up. So they should provide at least a little bit of help this year as well. So -- the situation is very fluid right now. Every day, there are new challenges and new ways to firefight, but thankfully, we have managed going through all of those so far. So let's hope that continues in the future as well.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Savi Jain from 2Point2 Capital.
Savi Jain
analystSo just a couple of questions. One is on the credit cost, I mean, you still -- you don't have a clarity on what the eventual credit cost will be. But I think all the industry players, when this -- even when you had the thick of the COVID crisis, I mean, they felt that the ultimate credit cost would be lower than demonetization. I mean that was something that many people spelled out with quite a bit of confidence. So what is -- now that a lot of time has elapsed and what is your opinion on that? Will it be lower or higher?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveSo we have been -- for the record, I was never the person to say that the loss will be less than demonetization. I never believe that to be the case because demonetization was a cash-related issue. And this was more of a loss of income and loss of enterprise kind of an issue. So I always felt it's going to be higher than demont, and I still continue to feel it's going to be higher than demont. So -- but I -- honestly, I always call myself as a bit of a pessimistic person. So what I was imagining the loss to be in around April and May, it's going to be a lot lower than that, if it makes you feel any better.
Savi Jain
analystNo, even we felt it that way, but I think there was a tremendous amount of confidence, which still there is. But it seems like it -- there would be a minimum of 7% credit cost for the entire industry, which is at least a minimum of 7, which is more than what was there in demonetization. So...
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveYou had a huge variety, right? In demonetization, like for example, us on a static pool basis, we lost what, about 4%, 4.5%.
Savi Jain
analystYes, sir. You would be among the lowest in the industry kind of as low as maybe Bharat Financial or some of those -- the good ones. But I think overall, the average was definitely more than 5%. And...
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveYes, yes, I would say that's not far away estimate. But a lot of these things will be spread. You have the restructurings available, and you have -- of course, the gentlemen before talked about top ups and stuff going on. So I don't think it's good to have a systemic issue. And honestly, I don't think this is just going to be related to microfinance, it's going to be a -- the entire financial services is going to have to bear this, including banks and NBFCs and MFIs and MSMEs and every -- I mean, there'll be a few -- maybe the gold loan guys and stuff might not have deal with it because they are fully collateralized. But everybody is going to have to take a hit. The sooner you can accept that, the sooner you can move on.
Savi Jain
analystAnd also on this top-up loan that you were discussing with the earlier participants. Now we obviously share a lot of lenders with our borrowers. So they would be borrowing from, say, some of the larger banks or SFBs, et cetera. Now few of them are clearly very aggressive in terms of giving top-up loans to their customers, and therefore, these customers do not show up as NPA even for you probably because these guys might be paying you off from those loans. So how do you really discriminate and understand who is really a good customer or bad customer because if this is happening on a rampant scale, and -- because you mostly would be sharing a customer with at least 1 financial institution, right? So if it's happening on a very large-scale, then especially the smaller players would be suffering because of poor underwriting by the larger players?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveNo. I mean I don't think it has reached to that level. I don't think it has become a systemic issue or anything like that. But -- I mean I'm not saying it doesn't happen, I'm just trying to find the right analogy for you. But let's say, in the case of Arman as well, now if we borrow from SBI and have a repayment for Kotak this month, does that mean I have borrowed money from SBI to pay off Kotak? Well, of course, it does, right? I mean, that is our business. Nobody says anything wrong about it. So there are right ways to do it and wrong ways to do it, number one. Number two, I -- it's not like I have anything against top-off loans. Top-off loans done in the right way is -- although I don't know exactly how to distinguish what is the right way and a wrong way, I'm not a big fan of them. But if you fully disclose it and you are doing top-off loans, then you have certain level of criteria for doing it where at least the management level of a certain company feels it is the right thing to do and the underwriting standards are adequate, the positives outweigh the negatives, then go ahead and do it. Only thing I'm against it is that you use it to cover up your losses and kind of hide your problems. So that is the main issue that I have with the top-offs. Otherwise, there are companies who have always been with the [Technical Difficulty] anything against top-offs personally.
Savi Jain
analystAnd lastly, this -- in the last 5 years, we have seen 2 Six Sigma events. I mean when they occurred, they were called Six Sigma. But if the Six Sigma events occur so frequently, then they are not really Six Sigma. So what is your learning in terms of how you're going to build your business going forward? Because every once in 4, 5 years, something happens, which can really even jeopardize your very existence. So what is the broad change in strategy that you will undertake after this crisis?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveWell, Wimbledon took pandemic insurance and I always fantasize sometimes that what if I would have done that, I would replace a hero or something. Honestly, for demonetization, there was a lot of learning. As far as the pandemic is concerned, it was on such a global scale that -- I mean, rather than making something up, I don't know yet. I'm sure there are lessons to be learned and good lessons to be learned, but we've been just so busy firefighting here that maybe ask me next quarter.
Savi Jain
analystYes. I mean -- so pandemic, I mean, obviously, it will not be a pandemic, maybe it will be an earthquake or whatever. I mean, I hope not, but I'm just saying that if you're concentrated in 1 state, it's just -- you couldn't have done anything to have prevented it, and then you are just at the -- you're unlucky because you were -- like you said, you were present in Gujarat in a big way, and then you were -- so that kind of helped and sometimes it did not. So how do you future-proof this business of microfinance and MSME lendings. Obviously, geographical diversification is something that is there, so which I think you will continue on that path, right, irrespective what has happened?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveYes. Exactly. Exactly. Clearly, we have plans to expand into Bihar in certain areas. I mean, we had a wonderful plan, which all set out of the window. But there were certain branches in Haryana and places that we wanted to expand into through Western UP. And -- so of course, there were big plans for this year. So it's -- I mean what are you going to do? These things happen from time to time. Unfortunately, as you said, 2 kind of events one after another in 2016, '17, we had demont, and of course, after we had COVID. So unfortunately, these events -- I don't know if it's a coincidence they happen so close to other. Let's hope it's a coincidence because -- no, I don't think my nerves can take it happening every 3 years.
Savi Jain
analystYes, just a last question on this. So basically, the -- this is a brand that the entire industry has to face from time to time. So 1 way probably to tackle this is that you could have higher NIMs or eventually, you make very high ROEs in some years and then you don't make any ROEs. Obviously, the problem with that is the spread cap that RBI has. So is there any thought that you might go to RBI and say that now that things have -- this was a fallout of the AP crisis probably. So now that things are much more stabilized, there should not be any such spread cap and any benefit of efficiency or -- should be -- can be retained by -- and banks can still retain it, right? I mean, you guys cannot.
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveSo there has been attempts in the past to ask RBI for a relaxation of the so-called ceiling for the interest rates. And RBI in that -- in those cases, did not look at it too favorably, very honestly. Whether that stance has changed, of course that would have to be approached by NFID or some of the other industry associations, which, by the way, we have already approached them about the 2.75x cap. So they're looking into that closely because it was a really ridiculous formula, right? For every 1% decline, we have to decrease our rates by 2.75%. So it just didn't make a lot of sense. So RBI is looking into that, but usually asking the government, can we charge poor people more in interest is not...
Savi Jain
analystNo, actually, you're still charging lesser interest because see from the heydays of 28%, 29%, 30%, now the bigger banks are lending at 19%. So it's already come down to a very respectable level. So this is not...
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveTo my experience, lot of the government officials don't understand the nitty-gritty operational issues of microfinance or how expensive it is to do what we do. And as you say, every 2, 3 years, there might be a 0 ROE kind of a year. I have met lot of government officials in my career. And when you explain to them that what you do, they love the story, right? You are helping them with all of that stuff. Inevitably, the question will come off is how much do you charge. And then when 24% or 23% comes out of your mouth, you have lost half. It doesn't matter how much you try to justify to them about operational cost and credit cost and last mile delivery and maybe credit [Technical Difficulty] all of that stuff. In their minds, you are taking a fair advantage of the poor people. So that is -- they have come a long way. I think the center [Technical Difficulty] most of the higher state level officials understand what we do and why it's necessary to have these rates. However -- anywhere, we can always try. There's nothing wrong in asking. It's just that my opinion, when you're asking them to increase rates, they don't want a newspaper article saying that RBI allows charging poor people an extra 2%, right? That is a nightmare. So I don't think, they're going to allow it.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Saptarshee Chatterjee from Centrum PMS.
Saptarshee Chatterjee
analystJust 2 questions. One is, can you just talk about how much is the cycles, like proportion of customers in first cycle, the second cycle? And how is it in the case of Maharashtra?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveSo Maharashtra, we have a large -- so since we moved in there, like about 3-odd years ago. So there are a lot of first-cycle customers. Almost, I would say, about 6 -- 70% will be first-cycle customers in Maharashtra. Overall, if you look at our company side, about -- I would say about 50% of our customers would be first-cycle.
Saptarshee Chatterjee
analystUnderstood. And secondly, just a clarification. In the balance sheet, March versus September, there is 2 items, other financial assets and investments. So what is the increase, if you can give some flavor -- increase in other financial assets, what are these items? And in the investment side, these are primarily GSEC or mutual funds or what are these, basically?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveSo I mean, those are liquid funds basically. Liquid funds and highly liquid kind of risk-free kind of funds, which we put it in SBI or Kotak
Vivek Modi
executiveIt's bit of a treasury fund. It's a treasury fund.
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveSBI or Kotak or some combination there. As far as your first question, I don't know what he's referring to Vivek. Can you help him please?
Vivek Modi
executiveCould you kind of repeat this?
Saptarshee Chatterjee
analystYes. So basically, the other financial assets, which increased from INR 7.5 crores to around INR 12.7 crores from March to September, but are the basically items, if you can give some color?
Vivek Modi
executiveI think the other -- that would have -- okay, you're talking from March to -- March to September, right?
Saptarshee Chatterjee
analystYes, yes.
Vivek Modi
executiveSo this includes interest accrued but not received on the loan assets.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Srinath from Bellwether.
Srinath V.
analystJust wanted to get few data points. I just wanted to understand how the rural two-wheeler book had paid? Given it's in a pilot stage, it'll be very useful to kind of see the spell-tested data because if this product survives COVID then we can significantly scale it over the next 12 to 18 months. So just could you share some feedback?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveYes. So last month, it was about 93%, so slightly lower than our -- so it's a little bit on the lower side compared to the MSME, but still not too bad as far as compared to the urban side is concerned. So the check bouncing in the urban side has been -- I don't know if lot of you read the recent articles about data from NACH, N-A-C-H, is on average, about 40% of instruments on NACH on an overall level are bouncing, which is huge. I mean it's -- that means people are still in some level of severe disruption or I'm not exactly sure what's happening. Even where we are concerned, our pre-COVID bounce rate in the urban two-wheeler side was 20% and even in the current month, that number is around 34%. So significantly higher. But then when you show up at their door step, it seems that they -- we manage somehow convincing them to give the money. But it's kind of a weird phenomenon. I'm not sure exactly what's going on there.
Srinath V.
analystSo net-net, 1 would assume you're reasonably satisfied with the -- with -- 93%, 94% collection is actually fantastic. So at the right time, you would look to scale that business line, would that be a fair understanding?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveYes. Yes, absolutely. Right now is not the right time because it just seems that people have lost interest in buying 2-wheeler. So the sales are really low. It's been not a very good season, at least in the areas that we operate in. I know that is contradicting some of the articles which are coming from Hero and stuff about record sales and stuff taking place. So how to reconcile that with my own operations, I'll have to look at it in more detail in the next few days. But overall, it's not -- I mean, the last 1.5 years to 2 years have been really difficult for the two-wheeler segment.
Srinath V.
analystFair. And any other product that we piloted? And could you share how the credit performance has been outside this? I'm aware of rural two-wheeler, but outside that, if you have piloted any product? It's very useful to see the strength level.
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveNo, I don't think so. There's no other products that we have it on pilot right now.
Srinath V.
analystGot it. These 15 to 20 branches you had just mentioned to a previous answer. Just want to understand that we are looking to open in Q4 to kind of set up growth for next year. What kind of diversification -- what kind of area are we -- geographical areas are we looking to expand into? And are we looking to -- you are saying you want to kind of shut some branches. So if you could kind of give a branch outlook in terms of where are we expanding and where are we contracting from a Q4 '20 point of view.
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveSo right now, the consideration is areas of Rajasthan and western UP into neighboring states as well. So that is the -- so 15, 20 branches is not a very large -- long list. The idea is to hopefully concentrate on areas where the repayment rates are -- of course, that goes without say, but even our experience with Rajasthan and Western UP has been fantastic. Overall repayment rates have been 95% for the past few months, so look into those areas. But I think a lot of research and time and effort go into before selecting the exact branches and areas. We're not quite there yet. So we have a lot of work to do before we decide on the exact areas. I think we are about shooting 15 minutes over. So operator, maybe 1 more question and then we can end it.
Operator
operatorOkay. Sure, sir. We take the last question from the line of [ Vinay Ambekar ], individual investor.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeI am audible?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveYes. Yes, yes.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeYes. In the previous conversation, I heard a whisper about trade secret. So pardon me for asking this. Within whatever you can elaborate, can you talk a little bit about this digital collection initiatives that you said you had started? I mean did it -- in MFI or MSME? Or how has the performance been and how are you thinking about scaling it up?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveSo right now, what we have done is we have tied up with, I think, Twinlines and one more person, I forgot the name exactly. It's at the tip of my tongue.
Vivek Modi
executiveWell, that's a different.
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveIt's a different thing, yes. So 2 things that we are doing. One side is that there is a unique QR code that gets generated for every customer. And you can use any UPI-based app, either that be PayTM or PhonePay or anything like that or even your bank's app. And if you scan the QR code, the money will automatically get reflected into my bank account. And the customers' account will automatically get credited in the LMS system. So we also have mechanisms there the customer can pay via unique codes over a phone if you are trying to do collection efforts and things of that sort. We have also tied up with Fino's payment bank, wherein either the customer or the field officer can go to their nearest Fino merchant and deposit the cash directly and have it be reflected into their account directly. So those are the 2 things that we are doing. Let's hope the uptake is good. But I think this is a long-term view. I don't think you're going to see results in a few quarters. I think it's going to take a few years to permeate to the system. But overall, the -- at least the hope is that we can shift the customers at least partially to a non-cash based payment but not lose that high touch kind of model. So still do the center meetings and things like that, but have a lot of them pay the money on a cashless mechanism.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeRight, right. Because one of the services that you used to offer -- I mean, continue offering and MSME is also a doorstep collection. So you see part of it getting replaced with digital collections?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveI mean that's -- see, I think...
Vivek Modi
executiveRight now, the situation itself wants you to prepare yourselves for having this digital collection as a more available, not that want to replace the high touch model that we have on the microfinance or MSME. That will have to continue the way at least in the foreseeable future. But yes, it's -- as somebody earlier asked that how are we preparing ourselves for the next big issue? So I think this is one of the things which could be there as an offering to the larger set of customers so that we are prepared for something that kind of turns out to be worse than what we've already seen.
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveYes. So it's also another way that you don't want to be stuck in a position where if you cannot reach the customer through whatever reason, whether it be a pandemic or an earthquake or something, there has to be some backup option available. And the customers have to be trained and their culture needs to be changed, wherein you teach them that, okay we can come and collect it, but if we are not able to, then you need to transfer the money electronically by some method. So that will take some time.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeAll right. Second is, just to extend a point that you had made about balancing collections versus disbursements because the same field officer is doing both. And as you are likely to increase disbursements going forward, there could be lesser time spent on collections. During demonetization or just after that, there was a separate team that was formed, and I think Jayendrabhai sir was overseeing that to focus only on collections. So is there some thought around these lines in this current situation? Hello? [Technical Difficulty]
Operator
operatorSir, just allow me a minute. I'm just trying to reconnect the management.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeOkay.
Operator
operatorSir, you all reconnected, the questioner is still on. Please go ahead.
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveYes. Sorry, I think I got disconnected for whatever reason. Can you repeat your question, [ Vinay ]?
Unknown Attendee
attendeeI'll do that, yes. You earlier mentioned that the same field officer is doing collections as well as disbursements. And then how much time is to be spent on each activity is something that is a little fluid as of now. During demonetization, there was a separate team that was formed under Jayendrabhai sir to focus on collections so that they -- and that continued for some time until it was self-serving in that sense, the payback period, payback used to happen positively. Sir, is there some thought around having a similar approach in the current situation?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveAbsolutely. Absolutely. I think you hit the deal in the hammer. So that is the plan. We have already started recruiting on the MSME front because those repayment numbers are sort of stabilized, right? So whichever customers are there which are -- either have not started or started in no meaningful way, so those are the customers that we'll be targeting. So we are starting with a team of about 20 people in MSME and that will expand. And hopefully, the thought here is the same 1 that we had was, as long as the amount collected is more than what it costs, I think we'll continue having it. So that will be probably a long-term game. In the microfinance, we'll have it once the repayment rate stabilizes. So the current team is still continuing to make progress on a month-to-month basis. Once we see some level of stability, we can implement that RO structure, recovery officer structure on a branch to branch basis as well.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeRight. A clarification on disbursements. When you said that you'll probably reach, say, around INR 60 crores, INR 65 crores maybe by Jan or Feb or December, and also, you mentioned that you are giving -- the preference is to give loans to existing customers and you also said that currently, we are not doing top-up, we are doing -- we are only serving those who have closed their loans. So I would assume that you would, for the next 6 months say till March, you have -- we would have data available about -- which are the customers who are going to -- whose loans are going to get closed and then based on their performance history, you'll probably target them for disbursements? My specific point was that out of the 65 or whatever, this number that you're targeting, do you have some sense how much would be new and how much would be these kind of customers that you would end up by March?
Vivek Modi
executiveNot by March, unfortunately. My Chief Operating Officer will probably be better to give you those rates. But I think what we did was a very fair assessment of what we did. So reduce a lot of the burden, we ran kind of a preapproved kind of a scenario as far as our old customers are concerned and basically gave -- ran the eye mark and the credit bureaus on not on the request of the branches but from our own data on the HO, and we sent the list to the branches directly saying that here are the old customers who are maturing, and we have ran their credit bureaus, and these are the ones which are preapproved as far as the credit bureaus and stuff are concerned. And so their work becomes a little bit easier as far as the underwriting and stuff goes, right? So that's basically what we did. Now in terms of the month of August, almost all of the customers that we did were old customers. In the month of September, almost about 70% -- no, more than that, I think, 75% of our customers were old customers. But soon enough you're going to run out of that well as well of old customers. So you'll have to start concentrating on new customers as well. So I'm not exactly sure what that number is going to look like going forward. But I think overall, our reliance, of course, cannot go on -- for old customers go on for security.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeRight. Okay. Just a last question on this. Because I believe in the MSME, we have been primarily targeting new-to-book customers. So is there a thought where our late cycle MFI customers who have grown and with us, is there a thought to increasingly tap that database for the MSME pool? And how do you see any number forming in your mind? How much would that constitute or something?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveIt's a thought. But actually, the micro division, MFI itself is considering of doing the -- what I'm saying around...
Vivek Modi
executive50,000 loans
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveAbout 50,000 loans we are considering starting in the MFI segment as well. What has actually happened in the past when we started to do interdepartment kind of transfers is, and this is something that you will find when you are running businesses that MFI team members don't want their hard-earned fix cycle customers to go to the MSME division. So of course, there are ways around that as well. But -- so in the MFI book as well, we are starting a INR 50,000 product on an individual loan basis. So that will run through its own pilot states. Hopefully, we can launch that in December or January some time. As far as numbers [Technical Difficulty] I'm not exactly sure what that -- it won't be a very large number this year. But depending on how the pilot goes, it can be maybe 5%, 7% of the portfolio in the long run.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeThat's good actually because if the MSME division is catering to their own separate pool, and then you have within MFI larger customers getting some similar kind of offering then it may probably prevent a leak of these other lenders tapping these customers for their personal loan offerings, I would imagine, right?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveRight, right. So, anyway...
Unknown Attendee
attendeeWonderful, wonderful. Yes. Just 1 last data point, sorry. Within the 6.1% provision that you mentioned, would you have a breakup of how much is COVID specific extra provision that you've taken and how much is the normal standard provisioning that you would have made?
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveYes, Vivek has that.
Vivek Modi
executive[ Vinay ], that would be about 3.86% as the COVID provision, and the balance will turn out to be the normal standard ECL provisioning.
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveEven ECL will be pumped up COVID as well because...
Vivek Modi
executiveBecause the cycles -- in the ECL, you would have a higher cycle -- higher rate of provisioning for -- they had cycles or the...
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveFor the 30, 60 period.
Vivek Modi
executive30 period cycles. Hence, the ECL provision itself is bumped up. But the COVID provisioning itself stands at about INR 25-odd crores for both the entities taken together, and that turns out to be almost 3.9%.
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveSo that would be a part of the standard asset positioning. Actually, COVID provisioning right now would be considered as a standard asset provisioning.
Operator
operatorYes, sir, that's the last question. You may please go ahead with your closing remarks. Thank you.
Aalokbhai Patel
executiveYes. So no prepared closing remarks. Thank you, everybody, for joining. I think this has been a sort of a record that we have gone half an hour over and above what we typically do. But it was a nice experience, a lot of questions, had me thinking towards the right direction as well. So thank you for that. And hope to see you all next quarter, and hope you all have a happy Diwali -- or had a happy Diwali and have a great New Year ahead. Thank you so much.
Operator
operatorThank you. On behalf of Emkay Global Financial Services, we conclude today's conference. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect your lines.
Read the full transcript via the API
You're viewing the first half of this call. Get the complete Arman Financial Services Limited transcript — plus 251,000+ transcripts from 12,000+ companies, speaker segments, AI summaries and full-text search — through the EarningsCalls.dev API.
Get the API View API docs →For developers and AI pipelines
Programmatic access to Arman Financial Services Limited earnings transcripts and 251,000+ others is available through the
EarningsCalls.dev REST API. Plans from $24.99/month — full transcripts, speaker segments,
full-text search, and the recently-added /api/v1/transcripts/recent polling endpoint for ETL pipelines.