Arman Financial Services Limited (531179) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

November 17, 2022

BSE Limited IN Financials Consumer Finance earnings 58 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to Arman Financial Services Limited 2Q and H1 FY '23 Earnings Conference Call hosted by InCred Equities. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Jignesh Shial from InCred Equities. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Jignesh Shial

analyst
#2

Yes. Thank you, Aman, and good evening, everyone. On behalf of InCred Equities, I welcome you all to Arman Financial Services Limited 2Q and H1 FY '23 earnings conference call. We have along with us Mr. Jayendrabhai Patel, Vice Chairman and Managing Director; Mr. Aalok Patel, Joint Managing Director; and Mr. Vivek Modi, Group CFO. We are thankful to the management for allowing us this opportunity. I would now like to hand it over to Mr. Jayendrabhai Patel, Vice Chairman and Managing Director of Arman Financing Services Limited for his opening remarks. Over to you, sir.

Jayendrabhai Patel

executive
#3

Thank you, Jignesh. On behalf of Arman Financial Services Limited, I extend a warm welcome to our Q2 and H1 FY '23 earnings conference call. With me, I have Aalok Patel, Joint Managing Director; and Vivek Modi, Group CFO. We have also on the call representing from SGA, the Investor Relations team. I hope everyone has an opportunity to go through the results and presentation for the quarter and half year ended September 30, 2022, which was uploaded on the stock exchange's and the company website. In the past 2 years, Microfinance has successfully navigated this pandemic and is back on the track showing healthy demand. Additionally, the Reserve Bank of India's new guidelines is expected to help the industry grow even faster. During the H1 FY '23, the industry was focused on adopting these new norms on account of which the loan disbursement tightly subdued. However, the Microfinance business has emerged as one of the important tools for promoting financial inclusion and serves as the last mile of credit to those at bottom of the pyramid. And at Arman, we are focused on servicing the low-income underserved regions of the nation, promoting livelihoods and offering micro credit to socioeconomically backward people who have little to no access to the formal banking or financial services system. At present, we have a presence in 8 states with comprehensive branch network of 313 and a workforce of 2,620. Of all the states, Gujarat contributes 31.9% to our AUM on a consolidated basis followed by the Uttar Pradesh, Maharashtra, Rajasthan. Company has recently followed in 2 new states of Bihar and Haryana. We will continue to focus on extending our presence in newer districts in existing states while also exploring new states. On a consolidated basis, gross NPA stood at 3.3% and net NPA stood at 0.1%, showing an improvement of 230 bps and 100 bps, respectively, on account of improvements in collection efforts and lower provisioning. Cumulative provision stood at INR 70 crores, that is 4.9% of the consolidated AUM and 5.2% on book POS portfolio outstanding. Therefore, total provisions remained much higher than GNPA. Collection efficiency improved to 98.3% in October 2022 as compared to 95.3% in March 2022. Collection efficiency across all segments has shown improvement and aligned with the pre-COVID levels. This was mainly due to the passionate on-ground workforce continuous customer interactions and a customer-focused approach. Collection efficiency for October 2022 for various segments stood as follows: Microfinance segment, 98.4%; MSME segments, 98.1%; two-wheeler collection, 96.7%. Now coming to the borrowing profile and liquidity. As on 30th September 2022, company has total borrowings worth INR 1,419 crores. Of the total borrowings, 53.8% is through banks and NDFCs, 21.7% is through securitization and PTC route and 14.1% is through LCDs and the rest is borrowed through DFIs, ECBs and direct assignments. I'm happy to share that during the quarter, the company successfully raised INR 115 crores via allotment of CPDs and OCRPS on a preferential basis. The arrangement stand as follows: company has allotted 6 lakh 24,388 unsecured compulsory convertible debentures or what you call CPDs amounting to INR 77 crores. Some of the marquee investors include fund or funds controlled by Singapore-based Sixteenth Street Capital and USA-based Seven Canyons Advisers. Other investors include both domestic and foreign individuals. Company has also allotted 3 lakh 10,972 optionally convertible redeemable preference shares or you can call them OCRPS -- OCRPS amounting to INR 38 crores. These were allotted to individual investors and family offices. The mix of Tier 1 and 2 equity capital will be used to fund the targeted growth plans of approximately INR 2,500 crores with a healthy capital adequacy and a debt-equity ratio by leveraging our presence in the MFI, MSME, 2-wheeler and other loan segments, which will enable the company to achieve a sustainable growth momentum in the coming few quarters. As for Ind AS, company is required to split hybrid instruments into debt and equity. And therefore, the company's balance sheet network stood at INR 311 crores. However, fully diluted net worth, assuming full conversion stands at INR 362 crores. Also we have a healthy liquidity position with INR 376 crores in cash, bank balance, liquid investments and undrawn CC limits. Capital adequacy for Arman on standalone basis stands at 51.21%, I repeat, 51.21% and for a number of our subsidiary, stands at 20.51%. With the equity fund raised and new LOS LMS system, we will steer the next phase of our growth and expansion by harnessing the power of technology and innovations to create a smarter organization that will enhance customer experience. We will grow this business at a careful but steady pace by spreading out across states, building necessary capabilities and adding relevant resources. With that, I would like to request the operator to open the floor for any questions-and-answers session. Thank you all so much for joining. Thank you.

Operator

operator
#4

[Operator Instructions] First question is from the line of Viraj from Shah Investments.

Viraj Mehta

analyst
#5

Sir, what kind of AUM and disbursement growth are we targeting for FY '23? Any comments on this?

Jayendrabhai Patel

executive
#6

Comments on that, typically, we try to grow between 35% to 40% CAGR over the long run. So it will be somewhere in line with that. But on projected results for FY -- for next year.

Viraj Mehta

analyst
#7

Okay. And how do we plan to utilize the fundraise of INR 115 crores?

Jayendrabhai Patel

executive
#8

So as you know, in an NBFC, there are regulated ratios to maintain namely the capital adequacy ratio, and we were approaching close to that. And hence, was required for us to raise this excess capital. And the funds will be used just for onward lending so -- and to leverage on top of that to increase our AUMs.

Operator

operator
#9

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of [ Ranjana ] from Shah Investments.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#10

A couple of questions from my end. So the first one, I would just want to know if you can throw some light on the reduction of our MFI book. So we plan to reduce our MFI booking some 60% of AUS. Could you elaborate on the same?

Jayendrabhai Patel

executive
#11

We plan to reduce our MFI book by 60%.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#12

No, to 60% of AUS?

Jayendrabhai Patel

executive
#13

To 60% of AUS. You're talking of the [indiscernible] from something like 80% to brought down to 60%. Are you trying to say that?

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#14

Right. Yes, that's right.

Jayendrabhai Patel

executive
#15

No. I mean there is a long-term plan to diversify the product line into other ancillary products like micro enterprise that we have, which is about 14% of [indiscernible]. We have also -- have individual business loans, which is 2%, 2-wheeler loans is 4%. So the long-term goal is to get more into micro ancillary products rather than the JLG product, but we still very much plan to be in the micro retail segment serving the rural customers. But I think that is what you are referring to. Overall, as time goes on, I think more and more the Microfinance segment has been showing extremely good growth in the past 10 to 12 years. And going forward, we expect it to continue growing at least for another 3 to 5 years. Post that, there will be -- the expectation is that the other products such as micro enterprise and individual business loans will start showing more growth than the JLG based group loans. Now these are estimates, of course. The market forces will behave as they behave down the future, but that is our expectation.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#16

Sure. Sure. Sir, also, how do we see a 2-wheeler and MSME business panning out?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#17

They are doing extreme -- I mean, so we'll take one at a time. So MSME is doing extremely well. I think over COVID, it has performed really well as well. But it takes a very specific kind of customer. And if you're comparing like, let's say, a growth rate between group-based unsecured JLG lending versus the micro enterprise with much higher underwriting and everything, it's not very, very comparable. So the growth rates might be a little dwarfed by the rate of what Microfinance is growing. But still MSME stands on its own and is an extremely good and extremely compatible segment that we [indiscernible]. Now as far as micro -- or as far as 2-wheeler is concerned, that industry has been in the doldrums since COVID and even before that. I think if you look at the amount of vehicles sold in 2019 at somewhere around 21 million to somewhere around 13 million in the last 12 months. Overall, the volumes of 2-wheeler sales have declined drastically over the last 3-odd years. So we have not completely discounted 2-wheelers, it's hanging in there, but there are tough times in the past and probably tough times in the future as well for the 2-wheelers payment.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#18

Sure, sir. Understood. Sir, we have started dispersing loans under IDL segment. How do we see this panning out in coming quarters?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#19

So coming quarter, maybe it's too early to tell. But in the coming couple of years, the idea is that a lot of these Microfinance customers who have been with the company for several years, 5 to 6 years and have been Microfinance customers for 10 to 15 years even in many cases. They've rightfully so -- there is a requirement can we graduate them away from these group-based loans into individual loans. And the natural progression and evolution also is to get away from cash-based collection into cashless collection. So that is the goal overall. And I think it will take a couple of years to give good traction in this industry, but we are planting seeds right now as far as diversing away from pure JLG-based, group-based Microfinance.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#20

Understood. But then, sir, with these ideal loans, do we foresee any risk-based pricing model coming in play, which is not possible under JLG.

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#21

Risk in terms of what? You said pricing?

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#22

Risk-based pricing model, basically.

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#23

No. I mean a lot of these customers are -- have been with us and have some amazing track record even during COVID. So I consider these customers to be very, very safe. And let me also tell you that the repayment rate in this segment, although it's only 2% of the book, the repayment rate is 100%. We don't have INR 1 in overdue or default in this segment so far. It's a little early to celebrate, but we consider this as very low-risk customers. Vivek, you want to add anything?

Vivek Modi

executive
#24

Yes. So largely, at this stage, these are basically our own set of customers, who probably are dropping out of JLG and hence, it's about retaining the best-in-class customers with through product innovation. Over a longer period, since these would become kind of a full banking kind of customers, we might also kind of graduate over a period of time to a larger ticket size loans, which could be there. But those are like things in the future. At this point of time, it is more about retaining our quality customers with the IBL kind of [indiscernible].

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#25

Absolutely. So a lot of the studies that we were doing on our retention levels, we saw many of these customers kind of leaving after 3 or 4 cycles with us and the question was why. And the answer was that they were going for individual base loans from banks or SFBs. And these were our paying customers. So why should we lose them? We can service them just as well as any other bank.

Operator

operator
#26

The next question is from the line of Savi Jain from 2.2 Capital.

Savi Jain

analyst
#27

Yes. And you mentioned that there were some liquidity challenges during the quarter. Has that normalized now this quarter?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#28

Yes, yes. It's completely normalized. In fact, we are facing a reverse issue. I think largely speaking as we were approaching our CAR ratio, obviously, most banks do not wait for your debt equity or capital adequacy to go down to 15. So that was 1 challenge. Macroeconomics was another challenge. And frankly, we have not faced liquidity issues in our -- at least for the last 10, 12 years. But yes, for a month, 1.5 months, we did face some issues that has been largely solved that is to the recent fund rate. And it also gave us some time, fortunately to transfer and transition into our new LOS and LMS system. So all in all, we made good use of it as well.

Savi Jain

analyst
#29

Okay. This CCDs and everything for the rating agencies do they consider that as equity or...

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#30

CCDs is considered as pure equity, it's a Tier 1 equity because it's compulsory convertible. In case of OCRPS, it's a Tier 2 equity until converted because [indiscernible] convertible or you can redeem it as well. But yes, CCDs is considered as pure equity and OCRPS is Tier 2 equity. So it's like a hybrid debt.

Savi Jain

analyst
#31

So they will at least lose the CCD -- they will include CCD for -- give the benefit of CCDs for rating and the numbers?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#32

And some portion of OCRPS as well because there are multiple investors. And I think if you look at the balance sheet and as Jayendrabhai said in his speech also, under Ind AS, hybrid debt instruments have to be split between debt and equity. So the net worth you'll be seeing is around INR 311 crores, while fully diluted net worth, if you consider everything converting today would be INR 362, INR 363 crores or something like that. So already, there is a discount given because of the hybrid nature of these instruments in the net worth of the balance sheet under Ind AS itself.

Savi Jain

analyst
#33

And the individual loan that you were talking about, is it the same in MSME? What is the difference there?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#34

Similar, but the clientele is slightly different. So on one side, we are -- in the MSME side, we are finding cash customers, and it's a cash-based collection. On the individual business loan side, which are graduated Microfinance customers. So the underwriting might not be as stringent because we have 3, 4, 5 years of experience with them, but we have switched them to a cashless collection model. So as I said, Savi, we are planting seeds. Yes, there are some similarities for sure between the products, especially as far as ticket sizes are concerned on average. But the sourcing is different, and the repayment -- the collection methodology is different.

Savi Jain

analyst
#35

In the MSME loans, which we are doing, is this similar to what 5-star is doing with lower ticket size is that the right way to look at it?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#36

I'm not sure it actually does. 5-star's average ticket size is somewhere around INR 5 lakh, INR 6 lakh, if I'm not mistaken.

Savi Jain

analyst
#37

They are lower. But yes, they -- the only difference is they do secure or unsecured. Your yields are obviously higher than this, but is it a logical progression for you to move into higher ticket size than may be secured. Is that possible for you?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#38

Yes, absolutely. It's worth considering. The models are different. And with -- I don't know 5-star's model, but largely speaking, it's a secured asset which is difficult to repossess. Let me be -- so with the limited amount of research are done into it. Of course, there is a sentimental value of having your residence or your house mortgage. But in case of a default, very difficult to repossess these assets. So that is our -- that is at least my -- and I don't think that's a very big secret.

Savi Jain

analyst
#39

That's even Equitas says the same thing about the SBL customer. But I think the difference on the credit cost is simply for unsecured loan versus a secured loan, and even though it may not be technically possible to repossess, but I guess the credit costs are much lower just because of the fact that the kind of mortgage their house.

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#40

You are absolutely correct. And we have discussed this both at a Board level and individually as well. It might be something which is a natural progression for us, and let's see. I think certainly, I'm not a discounted as a viable division in the future.

Savi Jain

analyst
#41

I think the only difference is that the GDP per capita in your state is much lower than the Southern states. And I think that makes it more difficult to do it in North or in the rest of the country as compared to south of India.

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#42

The difficulty also lies in the fact of the paperwork and the legal work involved, especially if you talk about the rural areas, primarily mortgaging on -- in the rural areas at least is very difficult because the paperwork is very weak.

Savi Jain

analyst
#43

Provisioning, with respect to COVID, is that over in this quarter, no?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#44

Yes. Everything pre-COVID, which is assets dispersed prior to March 2020 is done and dusted, returned off or provided for it. So that's over with. Yes. So that's, yes.

Savi Jain

analyst
#45

But the provision is still seeing a little high is it because you're providing the standard asset to [indiscernible].

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#46

The asset size has increased, the standard asset has increased and also the fact that Microfinance is no longer under the 1% loan loss regime. You'll have to expect a couple of percent. So we are monitoring that closely. And thanks to the RBI regulations also, to a certain extent, it has been passed on to the customers as well through margin increases and rate increases. But yes, I think a lot of it is related to pre-COVID NPAs as well.

Savi Jain

analyst
#47

So what is the standard asset provision percentage that you're now using?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#48

I mean we are under ECL provisioning. So our provisioning at 5.2% and NPA, 3.2%. So in a layman's term, you can call it 2%, if you like.

Savi Jain

analyst
#49

On the standard assets?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#50

On the standard assets.

Savi Jain

analyst
#51

That's higher than what it was pre-COVID.

Vivek Modi

executive
#52

Yes, it is definitely -- sorry, it's definitely higher than pre-COVID. Again, the reasons for it being slightly higher is also the fact that there are pre-COVID book, which will be structured and are in standard buckets continue to have a bit of higher provisioning, but they continue to be in standard buckets. So from that aspect, also there is there. And overall, the management overlay has been created during the COVID sales will be there for some time, still kind of tapers off. And if we look at the entire ECL model based on the overall experience the last 5 years, and kind of we do the requirements.

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#53

I think as our auditor told us, there are no black swans in ECL, no black or no white swans, only history.

Savi Jain

analyst
#54

So why is it that we have been -- we released we share within the [indiscernible] numbers?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#55

Mostly write-backs. So a lot of these are write-backs in the stand-alone side.

Savi Jain

analyst
#56

Got it. So growth number for this year? We have number for this year and next FY '24?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#57

I mean, I wouldn't want to comment on the growth numbers this time [indiscernible] have a better idea for you.

Operator

operator
#58

[Operator Instructions] The next question from the line of Srinath V. from Bellwether Capital.

Srinath V.

analyst
#59

Am I audible?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#60

Yes, sure.

Srinath V.

analyst
#61

Just want to find out from a new perspective, has the new regulation kind of fully kicked in? Or do we need to wait for a couple of more quarters for the old book to kind of get flushed out and the old repricing? Are we likely to see some more NIM accretion over the next couple of quarters?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#62

Yes. I don't know. So I think it will take a few more quarters. But Vivek, I don't have that number of what percent of the book is, new regime versus old regime, but it will be a significant weightage at this point.

Vivek Modi

executive
#63

So at this point of time, probably we don't have a specific number to share with you. But by a simple back of the palm kind of a calculation, at least 60% still continues to be old regime because we were at about INR 1,100 crores in Microfinance when the regime changed. And right now we are at INR 1,200 crores. So when you come [indiscernible] prepayment [indiscernible]. So by that logic, largely in [indiscernible]. But since the average balance tenure of the loans as on, say, March 2022 would have been approximately 15 to 18 months. So it will take some time where it kind of completely weaned off.

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#64

As far as your NIM question goes, see, our cost of borrowing has been going up significantly also since the last -- because of the repo changes and stuff. So while we do expect NIMs to increase in the future, it will not be to such a large extent because it will be offset by some bit of absorption in the cost of borrowings.

Srinath V.

analyst
#65

Got it. After ending gains, but the larger part of the NIM accretion has already taken place in the last 2 quarters. Fair understanding. Is that a fair understanding?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#66

I would disagree with that. I would say about half of it is done.

Srinath V.

analyst
#67

Moving on just I want to understand how has been -- have you faced any feeding issues in implementing the new regulation? Of course, we have a significant edge given that we already do all of this in MSME. But from what I remember, those set of employees are agreed or to hire when you hire them in first place. So are you facing -- how is the on-ground situation on income assessment and documenting it and then kind of figuring out that I can't remember, again, 50% of there's some limit the government has given. So how is this whole process working on the ground? And how do you see that improving over the next 6, 8 months or 1 year or so?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#68

No, it's definitely a work in progress. I think, overall, in April, we had used our old system and kind of done a best effort job of evaluating that is continuously improving, and it has improved significantly with our new software conversion as well as far as inputting all the right kinds of information to assess income. Besides that, I think since we are capturing household indebtedness as a result of that, rejection rates have also increased. And I think that message has been consistent with a lot of the other MFI players as well so all in all, I think is the rejection rate has slightly increased because of this.

Srinath V.

analyst
#69

Got it. Just pinching a last question before I go, just I want to find out if you've opened any new geographies, any new micro markets. And if we have had some progress on going into lower density areas because of the flexibility in pricing. And also, have you disaggregated pricing because we have had a very different credit cost experiences over the last couple of years in different micro market trends, even from demand for today so are we looking at disaggregated yield structures in different markets based on your risk perception and so on?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#70

So we have not done that yet. That is part of the plan in the long run, maybe starting from the fourth quarter or the first quarter the geographic based pricing or risk-based assessment pricing. Now as far as the micro markets are concerned, no, I think the past couple of quarters have been challenging with a lot of different projects in our hands with RBI implementation, with software implementation with liquidity, capital raise and stuff. And obviously, the growth that we are looking at, which is ongoing. But yes, that is something to consider. I. think I can confidently more say about the differential pricing in geographies. As far as moving into these micro markets, you know we are never a first mover into any kind of a new situation. So that will be sort of slower. Let us see what the competition is doing and what their experiences are in some of these markets. Other than that, we recently moved into Bihar, planning to expand on that in the coming few months. And Bihar has been behaving wonderfully. So that has been a pretty decent [indiscernible] to a different -- into a new state.

Srinath V.

analyst
#71

It is running out of Uttar Pradesh team itself or you now kind of have a completely new setup for payments so on.

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#72

It will run out of UP team until Q4. After that, we'll split it from Q1 next year.

Srinath V.

analyst
#73

Congratulation for the great set of numbers.

Operator

operator
#74

Next question is the line of Yash Mandawewala from Mandawewala Family Office.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#75

Congratulations on a good set of numbers. Aalok, we've just -- most of the FMCG companies seem to be complaining about poor rural demand yet most Microfinance companies such as yourselves are reporting good collection efficiencies. So what is really happening on the ground? How is there this divergence of commentary on the same set of customers.

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#76

I mean, Yash, I don't consider myself an expert on macro or microeconomics. All I can say is that we have not faced so much of a difficulty or so much of a feedback from our operations or fields that people are facing any large-scale difficulties as far as economics are concerned or weak rural demand or everything is concerned. But maybe there is a lag effect, I don't know. But other than that, I wouldn't want to comment anything more on that.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#77

Maybe let's wait and watch. Just 1 more on the new software system. So is the implementation now completely done? And I know it's early days, but where are you seeing sort of large differences? Where are you seeing significant value add from the new software?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#78

No. So I mean, already, our PAT has reduced by about 30%, 40%. So that has been a big achievement. Overall, it was very successful and a lot of things have to go correctly. It is fully implemented now, and we are collecting large volumes of data. The risk controls have increased, skyrocketed overall with geotagging and everything. We are using digital signatures now. We have a tie up with legality, completely paperless. So it has a lot of different [indiscernible]. And yes, I think overall, it has already been a big success.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#79

Do you think in the end, it will lead to the loan officer being able to handle a higher volume of client -- customers?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#80

It could, but I'm not exactly sure whether that should be the goal because higher per person capacity also comes with its own set of risks when something goes wrong. So when the delinquency then stuff rise, one person is not able to manage such a large case loan. And the group sizes also have been overall in the industry going slightly lower as years go by. But what will help us in the future is moving more towards the cashless repayment. And in that case, yes, an FO will be able to handle more customers, but that will be a whole new model. Under the current model, I don't think that is our overall goal is to increase the case load for FO, although that might be an ancillary benefit down the road.

Operator

operator
#81

Our next question is from the line of Balkrushna Vaghasia from Axanoun Investment Management.

Balkrushna Vaghasia

analyst
#82

Many congratulations for the great quarter. So I want to know what is the average turnaround time -- customer turnaround time for Microfinance and MSME business?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#83

So for Microfinance, it goes state by state, I have the figures. I think it's approximately 4.6 days the last time.

Balkrushna Vaghasia

analyst
#84

For Microfinance?

Vivek Modi

executive
#85

Three days is the customary or the regulatory training that we have.

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#86

So it cannot be less than 3 days. And the previous software, it was at least 6 to 7 days. So we have brought it down to that much. In MSME, we have brought it down from 12 days to about 8 days, but there is still a lot of room for improvement there.

Balkrushna Vaghasia

analyst
#87

Okay. And what is the branch expansion plan for the working?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#88

So quarter plan is to open about between 15 to 20 branches. For Q4, we are still working on that, so you'll have to wait on that question for the next quarter's con call.

Balkrushna Vaghasia

analyst
#89

So 15 to 20 branches in Q3?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#90

Correct.

Vivek Modi

executive
#91

More like for the FY '24, right? So normally, we've kind of seen a larger branch expansion happening in the first quarter -- fourth quarter and the first quarter of the next year.

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#92

Exactly. So when we do our planning for FY '24, so a lot of the branch openings will happen in February, March, April, May time frame. But we don't expect a lot of business to come out of those in the current FY.

Balkrushna Vaghasia

analyst
#93

Okay. Okay. All right. So in terms of the average lending rate that before the new regulation and the after, I mean post the new regulation, what is the change in average lending rate in Microfinance that you are observed in your loan book?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#94

About 2.5% has been the increase.

Balkrushna Vaghasia

analyst
#95

2.5%? Okay. And in terms of MSME segment, 2, 3 years back when or maybe 4 years back when you started MSME segment, you say that, okay, I do the experience initially, and then I'm satisfied about scalability of the particular business, then we go with full force. So like are you satisfied with the MSME segment and you want to go on full [indiscernible] this? Or what do you think -- or do you want to scale this business now?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#96

We are very satisfied with MSME, and it is no longer an experiment. It is definitely a full-blown division. But as I answered the first question, I'll kind of give you the same answer is that we are growing and we are growing well, but it requires the specific type of customer in the MSME. The rejection rate is still about 70% in that division. So if you are going to compare apples-to-apples in terms of growth rate, for -- compared to micro and MSME, my lesson learned is it's not going to be very comparable. But we are still growing at good 20%, 25% at [indiscernible].

Vivek Modi

executive
#97

On a Y-o-Y business, what happens is, obviously, FY '22 September, we had just come out of the second wave of COVID. But still, if we use September '21 as a benchmark for both Microfinance and MSME, I think MSME, again, in our case, has grown almost 60% from something like INR 125 crores as of September '21 to about almost INR 200 crores today -- September '22. So I think MSME has been showing good growth generally, and can see good times going forward as well.

Balkrushna Vaghasia

analyst
#98

Okay. Okay. And which segment among all of your like Microfinance, MSME, individual loan and vehicle finance, so which is the most profitable for you, including the effect of NPAs as well?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#99

Definitely, if you compare just the bottom line margin, MSME is the most profitable, followed by Microfinance and followed by 2-wheelers. But I mean, these are very -- I don't want to say very different businesses. They are not very, very different businesses. But these are different businesses. On one hand, you have a better growth potential. On the other hand, you have a better margins. So we try to take the best of both worlds and do both the businesses.

Balkrushna Vaghasia

analyst
#100

Okay. And last question. For Microfinance, how many of your customers are unique to you?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#101

So that is -- I always give a disclaimer to that question. You need to me only applies to when I'm pulling the credit bureau report and I find it as no other financial institution where they have an active loan. So that is approximately 25%. But after lending them the money, if they borrow from somebody else, I have no track of that.

Balkrushna Vaghasia

analyst
#102

Yes, yes. That's for sure. And the -- what is the cycle-wise classification of the borrowers like first cycle, second cycle in Microfinance?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#103

Vivek, do you have that?

Vivek Modi

executive
#104

So about 65% -- 65% is booked cycle customers and it is about 68% as first cycle. Rest of it is second cycle and above. Exact breakout, unfortunately, I'll have to pull it out right. I mean I have an idea, but I don't want to give you wrong numbers.

Operator

operator
#105

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Amit Mantri from 2point2 Capital.

Amit Mantri

analyst
#106

First, congratulations on the good performance.

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#107

Thank you.

Amit Mantri

analyst
#108

So I just wanted to understand. So in the MFI book, what has been now the number on what percentage of the March 2020 book went bad? So on a static pool basis, what was the credit cost for the MFI book?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#109

10% to 12%.

Amit Mantri

analyst
#110

Okay. And so basically post COVID, which is FY '21 and FY '22 reversals, there, you didn't really have any significant credit cost, is it?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#111

Not yet, but we are expecting somewhere around 2% on post-COVID on an ongoing basis.

Amit Mantri

analyst
#112

Okay. Okay. Got it. And second question, now the book is almost close to INR 1,500 crores, and you eventually 1.5 years maybe look to get to INR 2,500 crores. So on the management side, management side, have there been any additions that you're making and plan to make going forward?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#113

We had a CRO who joined, Mr. Raghavan, Chief Risk Officer. Other than that, I don't know, of course, a lot of team members joined, not on a C-level position other than Raghavan.

Vivek Modi

executive
#114

But yes, we are looking at in terms of an HR perspective, also kind of moving from the regional management system to maybe a kind of a management where we kind of take the entire geographies that we work into various zones and kind of provide more bench strength in terms of the overall operations.

Operator

operator
#115

The next question is from the line of Hiren Kumar Desai, an individual investor.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#116

Yes, congratulation on a good set of numbers. The question is in this inflationary situation and one of the participants asked about FMCG sales being very low. And I mean, for some difficulty with that section of the society. So do we have a breakup of what portion of our loan is for business or livelihood earning or something like that? And what proportion of consumption?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#117

So technically, all of our loans in Microfinance and MSME both are for income-generating activities, which is not to say that once you give the money whether some of it winds up to consumer. But largely speaking, all of our efforts is to make sure it's for some income-generating activity.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#118

Okay. And the second question is after the usage of the software and as we move forward, do we hope to see some operating leverage in terms of OpEx coming down as a percentage of assets or income whichever way you look at?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#119

I mean, no. Sir, that is always a hope. And as Jayendrabhai would put it that cost-cutting and finding efficiency is always a constant endeavor. However, you will find us to be quite lean overall, how much extra lean that we can become, I think the idea is to always find [indiscernible]. If your goal is to become the leanest and the most cost-efficient company in the industry, you might get some good short-term results. What that means is you are not investing enough. Your people might get frustrated. Your retention might suffer and a lot of other things might happen. With the software, definitely, we are expecting to see efficiency of the FOs increase in terms of the number of disbursements they can make. And largely speaking, the second biggest goal was to reduce the overall risk in terms of operations and in terms of credit risk to the customer. So those were the large 2 goals with the software implementation.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#120

Last question, if I can sneak in is, while interest rates are rising, assuming that most of our customers borrow at a fairly high rate, how sensitive are we to the rate that we are charging? The question is in the rising rate environment, do you -- I mean, have you correlated to some past cycles or something like that to say, how it impacts our growth?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#121

Surprisingly, sir, they are not at all sensitive to interest rates. And largely speaking, they are able to absorb 1% or 2% here and there without any problem. And frankly speaking, not saying too much. Now any large-scale increases like 4%, 5%, obviously, it will be a problem. But generally speaking, for us, going from a weighted-average cost of borrowing of 11.5% to 13% would be a huge problem because the ROE will reduce by 1.5%. For them, it will make a difference of INR 20, INR 25 in their EMIs, which most people don't notice or don't care enough about. All they care about is timely availability of funds in the least hassle which causes them a least amount of disruption and hassles, if I can put it that way and a good level of service.

Operator

operator
#122

The next question as the last question from the line of Savi Jain from 2.2 Capital has a follow-up question.

Savi Jain

analyst
#123

Yes. Where does this equity take you in terms how many years of growth can be taken care of by the [indiscernible]?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#124

That's the million-dollar question. You have your own internal accruals. So depends on what kind of ROE we can generate and depends on what kind of ROA and internal approvals that we can get. If we are growing at our rate of ROE, then we don't -- we never need to raise. We can go indefinitely on our own internal accruals. But cases go up to INR 2,500 crores.

Savi Jain

analyst
#125

Yes. I mean basically, this equity is just kind of the 3 years of growth and the leverage increase has been taken care of. And now, you are at a level where it's a comfortable car. So a 30% growth rate and 30% ROE, you would not need to raise any equity?

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#126

Exactly. Exactly. So I mean 30% ROE is difficult to maintain. And if you are growing at 40%, if it takes us -- it will take us far. I don't think equity is a big, big concern for me at this point. It's not like care. This was just kind of a dig around and then 6 months later, I'll need to go back to the market again. So we should be -- I mean, at the very least, we should be -- given that there are no more surprises like COVID or anything like that, we should be good till at least INR 2,500 crores.

Operator

operator
#127

Ladies and gentlemen, that would be our last question for today. I now hand the conference back to the management for their closing remarks. Thank you, and over to you.

Aalokbhai Patel

executive
#128

Thank you, everyone, for joining. We hope that we've been able to answer all your queries. We look forward to the next interaction in the future. In case you require any further details, you can contact us directly or our Investor Relations teams. The contact information will be available on the presentation which is on the company website and on the stock exchange website. Thank you again, and have a pleasant evening.

Operator

operator
#129

Ladies and gentlemen, on behalf of InCred Equities, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.

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