AS Tallink Grupp (TAL1T) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
July 25, 2024
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Anneli Simm
executiveAll of those who have joined us today, welcome to Tallink Group Investor webinar, introducing the financial results for the second quarter of 2024. My name is Anneli Simm. I am the Investor Relations Manager at Tallink, and I am moderating today's webinar. Today, Mr. Harri Hanschmidt, the member of the Management Board of Tallink Group, will walk you through the second quarter results and key takeaways. And Mr. Paavo Nogene, the CEO of Tallink Group, will take you your questions after the presentation. Although we have already received a number of questions prior to this webinar, we encourage you to submit your questions also through the Q&A function of this webinar, and it would be also nice if you identify yourself when asking those questions. But enough said, I will now hand the microphone over to Mr. Harri Hanschmidt.
Harri Hanschmidt
executiveHello. Thank you, Anneli. Good afternoon from my side. My name is Harri Hanschmidt, I'm a Board member for Tallink Group. And I will be presenting today the second quarter financial results of the 2024 financial year. As Anneli mentioned, we will go through the results first, and afterwards, you can also ask questions from our CEO, Paavo Nogene. Before we get to the results, we take a look at the key facts about Tallink, it's just good to remind and also if there are new listeners. So Tallink Group is the leading European provider of leisure and business travel and sea transportation services in the Baltic sea region. We connect the capitals in the Northern Baltic sea area. We offer overnight cruises, leisure and business travel and also RoRo cargo transportation services. We have -- we own 14 vessels and we operate 5 regular ferry routes. We also do charters. In the end of the second quarter, we had 3 vessels chartered out. Just to remind, in the end of the first quarter, we had 5 services. And if you look at the like-for-like period comparing to the year ago, then we had 7 vessels in charter. We also operate 4 hotels, 3 in Tallink and 1 in Riga. And we have 21 Burger King restaurants in the Baltics. We also have 2 stand-alone restaurants called Nok-Nok and Flavore and we're happy to say that Nok-Nok received recognition and was accepted as a new entry in the Michelin Guide. Tallink had over 5,000 employees distributed between Estonia, Finland, Germany, Sweden, Latvia and Lithuania. And we offer shopping on board, the vessels onshore and online. We have strong brands, the Tallink brand, the Silja Line brand and also our Club One membership program. We have different routes in and as we are also active in chartering then we have a slide here for keeping track where the vessels are operating if somebody -- something has been chartered out or has returned from the charter. There are some differences between the first quarter slide. For example, our cruise ferry Victoria that operates regularly between Tallinn and Helsinki route does different operation in summertime for 3 months. From 31st of June to 31st of August, it operates together on the Tallinn-Stockholm route together with Baltic Queen. Also, Victoria does 8 very popular special cruises to Gotland this year to Visby. Also, there was a name change, the vessel that we operated under the name Star was named by Irish Ferris to Oscar Wilde and now renamed James Joyce. Also in second quarter, the Superfast 9 returned and is currently in layup in Tallinn. If you look at the second quarter results, we can see that there was a drop in revenue. So the revenues amounted to altogether EUR 210 million and on year-on-year were lower by 8.5%. There are multiple reasons for that. One is that we have less vessels chartered out. Also, there was a decreased passenger volume, especially between Finland and Sweden. And also we had an impact from Easter holidays being in the first quarter this year instead of the second quarter. The same reason also affected the profitability. We ended up with a EUR 46.6 million EBITDA and a EUR 6.1 million net profit. These results were lower than last year same period. The CapEx remained about the same level. And if you look at the table to the right, so we can see that passenger numbers was down 5.8%. so we ended with positive EBITDA and positive net result lower than last year. The total assets remained about the same. Total equity decreased by almost 5%. This decrease is because we record the dividend payment in the second quarter. Interest-bearing liabilities decreased. And the net debt was 5.5% lower. So the net debt between the first and second quarter decreased altogether by EUR 32.1 million and went from EUR 581 million to EUR 549 million. And if you look at year-to-year, the leveraging situation, then the net debt decreased from EUR 665 million to EUR 549 million, so altogether, EUR 116 million. So we are clearly deleveraging. Also, net debt -- net profit was affected by dividend tax of EUR 9.2 million, that was also recorded in the second quarter of 2024. If you look at the sales by geographical results, you can see that there was, in revenues, a slight growth actually from Estonia-Finland route by EUR 4.6 million and Estonia-Sweden EUR 0.9 million but we saw lower revenues from Finland-Sweden route by EUR 11.7 million. And other that is mainly connected to the charters, we saw EUR 13.6 million lower revenues. And the result is the Estonia-Finland remained flat, Estonia-Sweden and Finland-Sweden had weaker results and the other segment also EUR 7.7 million weaker results, and we ended up at EUR 35 million. If you look at our revenue structure, then this is quite regular normal structure, we have 48% sales from restaurants and shops, 28% from ticket, 12% from cargo and 8% from the charters. So the charter pie has decreased quarter-to-quarter on those year-to-year level. If we look at the bridge, then the restaurant and shop sales decreased by EUR 6.5 million, ticket by EUR 1.2 million. There was an increase in sale of cargo transportation by EUR 1.7 million and accommodation sales were also slightly higher, income from charters dropped by EUR 13.8 million, ending up in total revenue of EUR 210 million. The dynamics of the seasonality are also now very similar in the last 3 years. The first quarter is our low season where we transport about 1.1 million passengers. The second quarter is a little bit warming up but it's not yet the high season, so we saw 1.5 million passengers. And cargo on these quarters was the same level as last year. Revenue was slightly lower but from the dynamics perspective, quite similar to last year. And EBITDA, the EUR 34 million in the first quarter, EUR 47 million in the second, so half year, we ended up with a positive EBITDA of EUR 81 million. And the dynamics to the profit, we can see that the first quarter, we had a EUR 3 million positive profit. But here, I would like to remind that we had one-off positive effect from the successful sale of the [ fedre ] Isabelle. And the second quarter where we can see this year, EUR 6 million profit. We had a negative effect because we started paying dividends, and the dividend tax went to the second quarter, so EUR 9.2 million effect for the second quarter. If you look at the consolidated income statement, sales were slightly lower than last year same quarter but cost of sales remained on the same level. Marketing and administrative costs were also on the same level. We ended up with a positive EBITDA and the EBITDA margin was 22.2%. From the cash flow, although our net profit was lower, we can see that we generated a positive cash flow of EUR 56 million. If you take the capital expenditure and advanced maintenance of the ships it was EUR 4 million. We ended up with a free cash flow of EUR 51 million. Our debt financing was EUR 21 million, and the interest on the debt was about EUR 8 million. So the change in cash was positive EUR 22 million. Our total assets remain about the same level of EUR 1.5 million. That's mainly the vessels. And the interest-bearing liabilities, as I said, are decreasing. We are successfully deleveraging. Shareholders' equity dropped that was the dividend according to the payout. And we ended up on a very healthy level of 2.7x EBITDA. We have a slide about loan portfolio structure. So we have long-term bank loans of EUR 522 million as of 30th of June 2024. And we have 3 loan agreements outstanding, 1 syndicate loan and 2 ship building loans. The maturity dates are 4.5 to 10 years, and the loans are euro-denominated fixed and Euribor floating. We have not used overdraft, so we have unused overdraft of EUR 75 million, and total interest-bearing liabilities were EUR 620 million. This is all from my side, and I will give a word to Anneli and also Paavo, who will answer the different questions we have received by e-mail and through the Teams here. Thank you very much.
Anneli Simm
executiveThank you, Harri. We will now start with the Q&A session. But before we start, I'll hand the microphone over to Mr. Paavo Nogene for a few welcoming words before we kick off with the Q&A.
Paavo Nõgene
executiveYes, good afternoon also from my side. Generally speaking, the quarter 2 results reflect what is happening in the economy. We have seen a decline in the economy in all our core markets, and this also having the impact to our results. Same time, as Harri already mentioned, a situation with the charter vessels and operating vessels are different from the last year quarter 2. Last year, we had 7 vessels chartered out currently free and 2 vessels without current work. So all in all, as we also calculated the dividend tax cost to the second quarter, we can say that before the dividend tax our profit was half less compared to last year. But also to remind that most of the profit Tallink Group normally generates in the third quarter. And therefore, it's most important that we are doing as well as possible in July, August and September. But I'm happy to answer the questions. Anneli will read the questions, and I will give the answers as much as we can comment some questions.
Anneli Simm
executiveThank you, Paavo. And I will start with the questions. The first one is regarding routes. Is Tallink planning to open new routes? And as an example, are brought routes to Poland or Germany, Denmark or Penzberg.
Paavo Nõgene
executiveYes. Thank you for questions. We are analyzing all the time different possibilities to open routes or not to open routes. Main principle is that we need to be absolutely sure that this is profitable business. Why we closed down Riga-Stockholm route when the COVID started and we haven't started or reopened the Riga-Stockholm route, example, again, is that we are not sure about profitability, and we can see signs what we analyze also from the Stockholm or example, Helsinki-Stockholm, Turku-Stockholm routes. So we take all these aspects into calculations before we announce something new. And currently, we are not planning to open any new routes, beside, of course, during the summer period as also mentioned, we're making some special summer cruises to Visby, for example, which are very successful this year. All these 8 cruises, but yes, for regular service, 365 days per year, we don't plan currently to open any new routes.
Anneli Simm
executiveThank you. Does Tallink plan to do some kind of collaboration or buying some companies, for example, as speaking line date?
Paavo Nõgene
executiveIf we see it's attractive, if the price is right, and we see that this will give some new benefit for the Tallink Group, for sure. We're already for such kind activities. We are kind of like careful with going to buy up some routes or companies, which has been quite long time closed as actually this what our competitor did but not going to comment on our competitors' work. We are open for new opportunities. But again, we need to be sure that this give us some extra asset or a benefit to Tallink Group overall.
Anneli Simm
executiveThank you. What route are you planning to build new ships on?
Paavo Nõgene
executiveThis is a big secret.
Anneli Simm
executiveWould Tallink like to have its own cruise ship?
Paavo Nõgene
executiveWe have several cruise ships welcome on board, Tallinn-Stockholm, Helsinki-Stockholm and Turku-Stockholm and from 31st of August, also Tallinn-Helsinki.
Anneli Simm
executiveAre you planning to sell any ferry from the fleet?
Paavo Nõgene
executiveAgain, we sold this year very successfully 1 vessel, Isabella. If the time and price is right, we are always ready to negotiate. But we don't want to sell the vessels with loss and until we don't see that we really need to sell the vessels. We definitely want to get a price, which is right in our perspective. And if such kind of moments coming, we are, again, open for different negotiations.
Anneli Simm
executivePlease comment on the sale price of the cruise ship, Isabel?
Paavo Nõgene
executiveAll what we can say about the sale we said in the quarter report already after first quarter.
Anneli Simm
executiveIs there any news about the Infortar offered to buy Tallink shares?
Paavo Nõgene
executiveWe don't know more than it has been published via the stock exchange. What we can say is that we know that Tallink will stay in the stock exchange in Tallinn and Helsinki. There are no plans to change it. In other hand, we are happy that our main stakeholders want to have even bigger stake in Tallink Group, which means that they believe in the company and this is a powerful message for Tallink Group and Tallink Group employees. So we understand as much as it has been told in publicly that it's more for the institutional investors who maybe want to exit, make the exit from Tallink Group, and it's not for the retail, mainly so let's see how it goes, but we are happy if our main stakeholder of share will increase, which shows the trust for the company.
Anneli Simm
executiveThank you. What will the Board do in the long term to increase and maintain revenues?
Paavo Nõgene
executiveWe work daily basis. We work hard. Actually, if we take the second quarter result and also the revenue, which was slightly down from the last year revenue. If we at the layoff vessels and their potential revenue while being in the charter, we should be in the same level. So it's not a dramatic decline. This is more reason that we received back 1 vessel from Canada, which has been there 16 years. Of course, everyone need to understand that after 1 vessel has been in charter 16 years and we'll get the notification that vessel is coming back, generally speaking, about 3 months beforehand, it takes time to find a new job for the vessel and same happened with Romantika, the company who chartered Romantika for a long-term basis went bankruptcy and our work was to save the vessel and bring her back to home. Now we're working to find a new job for both vessels and when we succeed, actually, in that case, we will see that the revenue is also back in the same level as it was last year.
Anneli Simm
executiveWhat do you think of changing dividend policy and becoming first Estonian monthly dividend payer? Will this step -- would this step attract new shareholders?
Paavo Nõgene
executiveI think it will be a headache for the accountant department to pay out the dividends every month. We have seen that, again, our main stakeholder Infortar actually are the first company who're paying out the dividends twice here in Estonia from this year. So -- maybe this is something Tallink should consider as well. It will benefit for the cash flow, et cetera. But I'm not so sure that to pay out the dividends monthly basis is good practice, it's too much bureaucracy and less time for real work.
Anneli Simm
executiveHave you decided if Victoria will go back to Estonia-Finland route after August 31?
Paavo Nõgene
executiveYes. Victoria, starting Tallinn-Helsinki trips 31st of August after finishing the trips to Stockholm.
Anneli Simm
executiveIs there any way to stay -- say how long you will keep the ship and layup before changing the focus to divestment rather than chartering?
Paavo Nõgene
executiveWe're working with both scenarios and also the third scenario to use the vessels ourselves in our routes. But currently, the layup is less expensive than operating vessels ourselves. So we're analyzing it all the time. We have different negotiations as well to charter out or there has been also interest to buy the vessels. But as before time and price need to be right to make the decisions. And if you're going to make such kind of decisions, we will let you all know via the stock exchange release.
Anneli Simm
executiveThank you. Can investments around EUR 5 million per quarter be sustainable in Q3 and Q4? Any major nonmaintenance investments that you see coming?
Paavo Nõgene
executiveIt is kind of sustainable, 90% from our investments are the maintenance investments to the vessels. So we see that bigger investments can come next year during the first and second quarter to the drydocking of some of our vessels. But yes, the answer that Q3 and Q4 should be kind of like sustainable this EUR 5 million per quarter.
Anneli Simm
executiveGiven the current state of our economy and your reductions in net debt to EBITDA, what is the maximum dividend payout that you believe is reasonable? Is 70%, 80% possible?
Paavo Nõgene
executiveWe work hard to keep our dividend policy, which means that we started to pay out the dividends again this year after 5 years, we wasn't able to do it. So Management Board true wishes that we can pay out the dividends also next year. We don't have restrictions from next year or limitations from our banks, if you're talking about, is it 70% or 80% possible. Juridical it's possible, but it also depends what kind of investment plans we see in the coming years, and we need to make the decision taking into account all such kind of aspects. So let's come back for this during next year first quarter when we announce our 2024 results and then we also can say what we do with the dividends. But our aim is to continue dividend payments and make them back to be regular.
Anneli Simm
executiveThere is another question about dividends. Will you keep your dividend policy promise with lower profitability even if the net income doesn't cover the EUR 0.05 per share dividends?
Paavo Nõgene
executiveOur promise is to pay out at least EUR 0.05 if it's economically possible. This is how it is written.
Anneli Simm
executiveHow do you plan to improve the profitability of the Swedish routes?
Paavo Nõgene
executiveSwedish routes has been under the pressure since January. We didn't see such current pressure end of last year third and fourth quarter. We all have seen what has happened in the economy in our core markets, Finland and Sweden, and especially this decrease and decline came from the first and second quarter. Currently, beginning in the third quarter, we see that revenues are in normal level. Of course, during the summer, it's also easier to attract people for traveling. But currently, we can say that in July, the revenues in Finland, Sweden, example, are in kind of normal level. But let's see what the end of the year is bringing to us. Of course, the competition is there. But we believe that if you take route by route, Helsinki-Stockholm, we have a market share higher than our competitors. So this means that we're doing better, and our premium product is allowed by the travelers, Turku-Stockholm route, we made strategic change. We operating just with 1 vessel, the Galaxy is chartered out from that route. Therefore, the market share is much, much lower, but -- and also for that 1 vessel that has been competition issue because on Turku-Stockholm route, there are also 2 new vessels from third competition -- or second competitor, so market changing a bit and there are the mobility effect where some new vessels coming to the route and people want to go and take a look of them. So we need to work harder and we plan some investments to our Turku-Stockholm route Baltic Princess vessel during dry dock next year first half.
Anneli Simm
executiveWhat is the company's current fuel price risk management policy?
Paavo Nõgene
executiveThe policy is that we hasn't fixed currently in the third quarter any fuel prices. Rather, is the Marine gas oil or LNG. So we are buying the fuel market terms with the stock price TTF Rotterdam, I believe.
Anneli Simm
executiveThank you. What is the competitive situation on Tallinn-Helsinki routes? Are there any activities that are currently carried out that are actually unreasonable from a business point of view?
Paavo Nõgene
executiveIn Tallinn-Helsinki route, I think that there are no unreasonable activities. Tallinn-Helsinki route is the most important route for Tallink Group and from the results also you can see that we're doing very well on that route. Competition situation hasn't changed. We have 2 competitors in Tallinn-Helsinki route. And of course, during the summer 1 competitor adding the extra vessels, which is operating between Helsinki-Stockholm to come also to Tallinn, we don't see financially reasonable. And we -- our strategy has been that we keep our prices and not going to make huge discounts but we can see our competitors doing. So we want to keep Tallinn-Helsinki very stable route financial-wise and also market share wise. So we are kind of confident that we're doing right thing in the Tallinn-Helsinki route and our vessels are the most modern, our vessels are most green using the LNG. So we have competitive advantage in Tallinn-Helsinki route definitely. And we have been investing to that route more than EUR 0.5 billion in the last 7 years to build Megastar and MyStar. It has been a huge investment. But the space back to the investor source rather well.
Anneli Simm
executiveThank you. The following 2 questions have been already answered but I read them out anyhow. Please explain the reasons why Finland-Sweden route generate less passengers? And the second question is why you don't charter the 2 ships, which now you generate purely cost? The next question is what is the nature of EUR 3 million short-term intangible assets recorded for the first time in balance sheet?
Paavo Nõgene
executiveYes, this is the CO2 quota maritime industry was added to the emission trading system since 1st January this year, which means that we need to buy the CO2 quotas from the stock exchange. We're doing it on a monthly basis, and that's as we need to give these quotas to the government next year, then it stays in our balance sheet until then. And the number is increasing in the next quarters as well as we buy the quotas monthly based.
Anneli Simm
executiveAny comments that you can give for the demand activity situation in Q3 this year versus last year?
Paavo Nõgene
executiveI have said somewhere that if we -- if our passenger number will stay in the last year level in the situation where the economy in Europe and everywhere is then it will be very good result. July has been so far kind of good. We will launch the exact passenger numbers around 10 days of time. We will see some decline there but not nothing dramatic. We also see that some passenger mix has changed compared to last year. There are more intercontinental travelers who would travel in 1 way than cruise passengers, example, Asian tourists who coming from Sweden to Finland and is having the impact as well. So July has been so far kind of good.
Anneli Simm
executiveThank you. When should we expect news about the destine of Romantikan and Atlantic Vision?
Paavo Nõgene
executiveYes, as soon as someone will give us a reasonable offer, we are ready to sign the contract. So if someone want to have the vessel, please contact us, but as said, we have different negotiations. This takes time. Sometimes they succeed with the contract, sometimes not. We have been -- in last months also in the situations where we have been very close buy to sign the contract, but then something happening politically or economically and something, so postponed. So our team working hard to find work for these vessels. And in one day, we definitely can announce that they are doing something somewhere in the world.
Anneli Simm
executiveIf Galaxy's charter ends at the end of October, and no extension occurs, then to which routes could you possibly deploy the vessel? And would it make economically sense at today's demand level?
Paavo Nõgene
executiveSo we're talking here a lot today also about the competition, then we are not going to open these ideas here current at the moment.
Anneli Simm
executiveThank you. Local news flow from Rotterdam has been that the Silja Europa charter has been extended until 2026, yet you don't report this in the reports. Can you confirm the charter extension?
Paavo Nõgene
executiveCharter is not extended. This was published by some newspaper. Current contract ends 31st of December this year, but the partners have a possibility to extend it. And as normally, it will happen or not happen around in time frame to maximum 3 months before the end of current contract.
Anneli Simm
executiveThank you. The following 2 questions have also been answered but I will read them out anyhow. Any potential for new charters in the coming months, quarters? And what is the plan with the vessels that are not in charter currently, any potential buyers? Then next question is how would the environmental fees affect you?
Paavo Nõgene
executiveEnvironmental fees affect all the industry. Problem is -- the key problem is that the technology is not there yet to invest into some zero emission maritime fuel. So Therefore, we need to buy the CO2 quotas. We forward this price to our clients. Until today, I can see that -- I can say that we have done it successfully. Of course, the levels year-by-year going to increase if -- in current year, we need to buy 40% from needed quotas. Next year, it is already 70% and further 100%. So this brings again the question that what is the right capacity on different routes? How many passengers there can be? And with how many vessels we can operate? So for us, it's daily business, and we need to analyze everything. But yes, environmental fees making living more expensive until there are technology, which can replace the current technologies.
Anneli Simm
executiveThank you. Again, this question has been answered, but I'll read it out. So where do you see a need for new ships and when? And the next question is, in what conditions are the ships that are currently not in traffic?
Paavo Nõgene
executiveThe vessels, which are not in traffic are in excellent condition and are ready to sail out tomorrow if we announce that they are going to do something.
Anneli Simm
executiveAnd the last question is, do your competitors also have similar problems with Stockholm-Helsinki routes?
Paavo Nõgene
executiveWhat we can see from the data we have that our market share on Helsinki-Stockholm route is around 55%, which means that we are a market leader in the Helsinki-Stockholm route, which shows that even with much cheaper prices, they're still having the lower market share. So market generally is tricky and has been tricky since beginning of this year. Let's see how the next months will be. But of course, there are operating currently 4 vessels on -- between Helsinki-Stockholm on daily basis. And maybe this is too much after COVID and during the geopolitical situation where we are. But Tallink will continue with both Silja Serenade and Silja Symphony operations year-round.
Anneli Simm
executiveSo as this was the last question today, we thank everybody for attending and for the questions. We wish you all a good rest of the day, enjoy the summer and upcoming weekend. And we're looking forward to having you all on our third quarter webinar on October 24. Thank you, and goodbye.
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