ASR Nederland N.V. (ASRNL) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
August 19, 2026
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorGood day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the a.s.r. Half Year 2026 Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Michel Hulters. Please go ahead.
Michel Hülters
executiveThank you, operator, and good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for joining us today, and welcome to the a.s.r. conference call on our results for the first 6 months of this year. Now on the call with me today are Ingrid de Swart, our CEO; and Ewout Hollegien, our CFO; and Ingrid will kick it off with the progress of our strategy and the highlights of our financial results. Ewout will then talk about the development of our financial capital proposition and solvency position. And after that, we will open up for Q&A. . Now we have ample time planned for this call, but we will stop sharply at 10:30 the latest. Please observe a limit of 2 questions so that everybody has a chance to ask questions. And finally, as usual, please review the disclaimer that we have at the back of the presentation for any forward-looking statements that we may make. So having said that, Ingrid, the floor is yours.
Ingrid M. de Graaf-de Swart
executiveThank you, Michel. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us. It's a pleasure to welcome you to my first results call as CEO of a.s.r. I look forward to engaging with you as the investment community in building a constructive dialogue with our shareholders and analysts. And together with Ewout, I'm proud to present our strong first half 2026 results. So let's turn to Slide 2, showing our strategic progress. Over the past years, we have successfully pursued our strategy of profitable growth to create long-term value. following a string of smaller bolt-on acquisitions over some years, the transaction with Aegon Netherlands was transformational and has put us into various leadership positions. On the 2nd of July, the legal merger of the Life entities came through, and this marks the final step and a successful completion of the integration. At the same time, we've already started the next integration. The acquisition of Bovemij has been closed on the 1st of July. Now I will discuss the Bovemij deal in a minute, but it's clear that this deal is another proof point of a.s.r. as a disciplined consolidator in the Dutch Non-Life market. We also show discipline in the pension buyout market. The market has clearly become more competitive, particularly in larger transactions. But so far this year, we have announced 2 smaller transactions and importantly, only at terms that make sense for us. The progress we have made across the businesses gives us confidence that we are on track to deliver on our 2024 CMD commitments. Over the first half of this year, we report a record OCC and a record operating result. We also see strong commercial performance with continued growth in Non-Life and Pensions. Together, these results give us confidence in achieving our OCC target of EUR 1.35 billion for this year. And lastly, we continue to operate from a position of capital strength. That enables us to invest in value accrue to opportunities as both my and the pension buyouts. At the same time, we are committed to offer our shareholders an attractive return. And to that end, we announced the interim dividend per share of EUR 1.39, an increase of more than 9% and we completed the EUR 175 million share buyback, which we announced at the full year results. So we made significant progress so far this year. Let's turn to Slide 3 and look at the financial performance. Our OCC increased by more than 7% to EUR 773 million. This was driven by a strong performance in P&C, contributions from the pension buyouts completed in 2025 and the continued delivery of cost synergies. These items more than offset the increased investment in new technology and AI. The Solvency II ratio increased by 4 percentage points to 22%. This reflects strong capital generation and the resilience of our balance sheet in volatile market conditions. Our operating result rose by almost 10% to EUR 901 million. And as a result, our operating ROE reached over 15% constantly above our target of more than 12%. In Non-Life, the combined ratio for P&C and Disability was 91.6%, better than our target range of 92% to 94%. This reflects, amongst others, favorable came experience in P&C. Our organic growth rose 6%, supported by targeted price increases in group disability at the end of last year. In Pension DC, we have seen solid inflows and the annuity inflows showed positive momentum. This was driven by renewed focus on the customer journey and offering attractive retirement solutions. Overall, we remain well on track to deliver our organic growth ambitions for this planned period. Let's move to Slide 4 and look at our non KPIs and how we continue to create sustainable value for all stakeholders. As this slide shows our investment portfolio is already meeting its targets, both carbon footprint reduction and impact investments. We continue to make good progress in reducing emissions across the portfolio, and I'm pleased with that. However, I should also mention that the significant decline is primarily driven by improved and updated data regarding the government bond portfolio. Just to be clear, this concerns not our own data, but data from external data providers. Our sustainable reputation improved further in the first 6 months of this year, and we are pleased with the increasing recognition we get from society. Our other nonfinancial metrics are also progressing well. I'm pleased to see that our customer satisfaction measured through MPSI has already outperformed our 2026 targets. This reflects the investment we have made in both technology and service delivery. By using AI in customer interactions, we can handle routine tasks more efficiently and give our people more time to focus on what matters most, personal contact with customers and helping them when they need us. Lastly, our strong ESG profile continues to be recognized by a broad range of international sustainability indices and benchmarks. Let's move to the next slide and discuss the acquisition of Bovemij. Small bolt-on acquisitions are for many years already a firm part of our strategy to create value. The acquisition of Bovemij is a very good example of how we deploy capital in a disciplined way. This deal strengthens our #3 position in Non-Life and gives us a unique presence in the Dutch mobility sector. Through Bovemij, we gained access to the BOVAG ecosystem. And in addition, we will establish a joint venture with BOVAG for the distribution activities. This gives us a strong and embedded distribution platform in the mobility sector. Bovemij adds roughly EUR 400 million of annual premiums and further strengthens our #2 position in the Dutch motor insurance market while also reinforcing our leading position in Non-Life more broadly. The deal was closed at the start of July, and we expect the integration to take about 1.5 years. Actually, this year already, we have planned for the lead merger with our Non-Life entity. From a financial perspective, transaction fits squarely within our investment framework. We expect the deal to exceed our 12% return hurdle and contribute around EUR 25 million of run rate OCC after the integration period. And as mentioned in our press release in January, we expect the impact on our Solvency II ratio to be around minus 3.5 percentage points. And finally, I believe Bovemij is a good example of a broader trend that we may see materialize in the Dutch P&C market in the coming years. Beyond the 3 largest players, which together already account for around 65% of the market, there is a long tail of smaller insurers. For some of these companies, the investments required to remain compliant with increasing regulation, digitalization, data capabilities and AI may become increasingly difficult to absorb on a stand-alone basis. The minimum size for insurers to run their business in an economically viable way just continues to creep up every year. The Bovemij acquisition demonstrates that we are an active and disciplined consolidator. Over the past years, we have built a strong track record to successfully integrate acquisitions and realize their full potential. And we have the capital to continue to pursue attractive opportunities. With that, let's move to the next slide. And let me talk you through our business segments. Firstly, Non-Life, where we delivered another strong performance. Premium income increased by 6%, clearly above our organic growth target range of 3% to 5%. Growth was primarily driven by targeted pricing actions and both Disability as well as new volume. Premium growth is really strong in H1, helped by some single premiums and price increases in portfolios that mainly have annual upfront payments. So the premium growth in the second half of the year is expected to be somewhat lower. But on an annual basis, we still expect growth towards the upper end of the 3% to 5% target range. Our combined ratio for P&C and Disability came in at 91.6%, exceeding our target range of 92% to 94%. And P&C was particularly strong with a combined ratio of 89.9% which benefited from favorable claims development on prior years, and there were also some one-off expense benefits. Weather-related claims increased compared with last year, but we remained within our semiannual budget. In Disability, the combined ratio came in at 93.3%. This reflects the pricing actions in the second half of last year, particularly in group disability to address higher incidence rates related to psychological absenteeism. I should also mention that the uncertainty around the challenges remain and the backlog at the employee insurance agency has worsened and it's something that we monitor closely. We will reassess our assumptions as part of the usual year-end review and will not hesitate to take further actions where necessary. Lastly, Health continued to perform steadily. The combined ratio was 99.6%, while our customer base grew to more than 700,000 customers. Premium volume increased by 10%, supported by both pricing actions and higher benefits received from the Dutch equalization contribution. With that, let's move to the next slide and discuss our Pension business. In DC Pensions, inflows increased to EUR 1.5 billion in the first half of this year, and we remain well on track to achieve our medium-term target of EUR 8 billion in cumulative inflows. Supported by favorable financial markets or DC assets under management increased by 14% to EUR 34 billion. Annuities, our pension decombination product gains momentum. Inflows increased by 38%, driven by growing volume of maturing DC assets and an improved customer journey. Our focus remains on retaining these assets through a high customer satisfaction and competitive pricing. Based on current developments, we are on track to exceed our medium-term cumulative annuity inflow target of EUR 1.8 billion. In Pension buyouts, we remain highly disciplined. During the first half, we successfully executed the Kring Bavaria transaction, adding over EUR 200 million of assets under management. The Ecolab transaction representing a further EUR 150 million has already been announced for the second half of the year. We will maintain our value over volume approach and will only pursue transactions that meet our term requirements. While competition has increased, we remain confident in achieving our EUR 8 billion buyout ambition, although part of the opportunity may materialize beyond 2027. With that, let's now turn to our fee-based businesses, where acquisitions and cost synergies supported another strong performance. Fee income increased by 33% and driven primarily by the addition of human total care to our Distribution & Services segment. Human TotalCare operates in the growing market for occupational health and reintegration services. With absenteeism levels elevated, we see attractive opportunities across the broader employability value chain. The Human TotalCare contribution also supported the operating result of fee-based business, which increased by 32% to EUR 150 million. Next to the acquisition, this was mainly driven by the realization of cost synergies from the mortgage platform migration. In mortgages, production amounted to EUR 3.6 billion. Volumes were lower than last year as we see spreads tightening. Competition is particularly strong from banks, especially at the shorter end of the maturity spectrum. Nonetheless, we remain disciplined in pricing and only originate mortgages that meet our desired spread levels. Overall, our fee-based business continued to demonstrate their value, a scalable capital-led growth platforms for a.s.r. With that, I will hand over to Ewout, who will take you through our capital generation and solvency position.
Ewout Hollegien
executiveThank you, Ingrid. Great to have you all on the call, and I hope everyone enjoyed a nice summer bake. The CFO cannot be more happy when these results are not only strong, but also a very clean set of numbers. Let's move directly to Slide 10 and start with the capital wheel. This slide shows what we mean by putting the balance sheet to work. We continue to operate from a strong capital position. This gives us room to invest in growth, while the balance sheet remains robust. We deployed capital in a disciplined way that includes organic growth, optimization of the investment portfolio, the Bovemij acquisition and Pension buyouts. And every growth we achieve value over volume is the starting point. Our level of capital generation increased to EUR 773 million. Our business performance gives us good confidence on delivery towards the EUR 1.35 billion target for 2026. And capital return remains attractive as well with 9% interim dividend per share growth and the completion of the EUR 175 million share buyback announced at the full year results. So in short, the wheel is turning we invest in profitable growth. We grow OCC and we increased capital return. Now let's zoom in on the development of solvency on Slide 11. As this slide shows, the largest contributor in solvency development is OCC. OCC added 13 percentage points to the ratio. The market and operational movements had only a small negative impact of 1 percentage point, where the positive impact for mortgage spread tightening and real state revaluations were offset by negative impacts such as the downgrade of Belgium government bonds and the growth of the equity portfolio. After capital distributions, the ratio lands at 222%. Looking ahead, there are 2 relevant items to keep in mind. Those do not differ from what I've mentioned at the full year results. One is the Bovemij acquisition, which is closed in July. Two, is the removal of the DA as part of the legal merger of the life entities. And as you all know, we have chosen not to apply for the DA in the Pagenternal model for Life knowing that the DA has to be eliminated anyway when EIOPA 2020 kicks in, in the beginning of 2027. Combined, the impact of those 2 points is around 7 to 8 percentage points. And then in the first half of 2027, the implementation of the EIOPA 2020 review kicks in, and it is still expected, like by the full year to at around 10 percentage points. So overall, we remain in a very strong position with ample room to support profitable growth and attractive capital return. Let's turn to the next slide for further detail on our OCC. The main driver for a 7% increase in OCC was higher finance capital generation. This reflects the contribution from the pension buyouts that we closed in 2025. We also benefited from strong revaluation in equities and real estate over the past year, which are compensated by spread tightening throughout the fixed income portfolio. The Non-Life contributed positively with a EUR 55 million uplift. In P&C, performance was strong with a combined ratio below 90%. Disability showed a solid performance in H1, proving portfolio discipline and at the same time, knowing uncertainty remains given the situation at UWV. Next to the strong business performance, the increase also includes a lower business strain of around EUR 20 million. This was a result of an increased upper limit of our net GAAP cover in H2 last year. And though it does not make a difference for the full year, we see an outperformance from H1 to H1 due to this timing effect. So actually this half year, is a solid base to think of also going forward. Segment asset management shows an uplift of EUR 50 million, mostly driven by the migration of the mortgage portfolio in H2 last year. The increase in Distribution & Services segment mainly relates to the full contribution of Harts, which has been reallocated from holding to distribution and services after we acquired the remaining stake of 55%. For the Holding and Other segments, we see a couple of elements driving the EUR 22 million decrease. Firstly, as you know, we are investing into new technology and AI. Secondly, a modified treatment of the employees' visibility arrangement. Lastly, I had to say this no longer contributes to the holding segments. And before we head to the operating results. Let's look at the outlook for our full year OCC. The OCC of EUR 773 million per half year 2026, should be your starting point. Then if we add the EUR 594 million OCC from the second half of 2025, you should take into account a few elements. Combined ratio in H2 last year set within our targeted range. Growth of the business, increased investment return and cost synergies should provide an additional uplift -- and those are offset by headwinds from the impact of the introduction of the PIM to Aegon Life, the transfer of mortgages to BAWAG, the timing effect on the SCS strain as just explained, and additional investments that we are doing in AI and other technology. All of these developments combined should roughly be a wash. So that would keep the OCC for the second half a touch below EUR 600 million and the full year 2026 OCC north of the targeted EUR 1.35 billion. Let's turn to the next slide and talk about the operating results. Given that the most underlying drivers in the operating results are the same as I will focus on the drivers that are different from the OCC analysis. The operating result increased by 10% to EUR 901 million. The Life segment delivered a strong increase of [ EUR 70 million, ] mainly driven by a high CSM release, reflecting, amongst others, the higher release of CSM due to the capitalization of cost synergies in H2 2025 last year. Positive experience fans observed in pensions was offset by a lower contribution from associations compared to last year. And lastly, for Life, we realized a higher investment margin from the 2025 pension buyouts. The increase in operating investment and finance result is higher than the increase in OCC finance capital generation because the tighter that market spreads led to a lower liability liquidity premium and IFRS but does not impact the VA and the solvency. In Non-Life, the increase in operating results mainly reflect higher investment income. For the insurance results, the business growth is offset by a slightly higher combined ratio compared to last year. and the development of our fee base business and holding are equal to OCC. So let's turn to the next slide and talk you through our updated source sensitivities. Slide 14. As mentioned during the full year call, we would give an update on our sensitivities that also reflects the removal of the determining adjustments, which now actually already has been removed after the legal merger on the 2nd of July. And as a reminder, the DA was an Aegon-specific mechanism that corrected for mismatches between our own portfolio and the VA reference portfolio via the required capital. And what you now can see in our sensitivities is that they stay benign, and our sole resilience remains strong also after the removal of the determining adjustment. The current sensitivities are actually now more aligned with market practice. Let me now focus on the fee spread sensitivities since those sensitivities are mainly impacted by the removal of the BA. For government spreads and mortgage spreads, the outcome is quite intuitive. If strats widen, valuation go down and for both investment categories risk is low and therefore, limited compensation in recreated capital, net negative effect on source from spread widening the other way around from stretch tightening. For Credit spreads, the picture is different. Here actually leads to an uplift in the solvency.And there are 2 drivers for that. Firstly, in the European context, our fixed income portfolio has a relatively large allocation to mortgages, the VA reference portfolio as a relative large allocation to corporate bonds. So when credit spreads widened, the VA reacts more strongly than it would on the basis of our own portfolio. Secondly is the application of the IAS 19 for the valuation of the pension scheme liabilities for our own employees. The IAS 19 discount curve is based on the corporate bond yield curve. So why the credit spreads therefore also have a positive impact on our solvency. So overall, the sensitivities to our balance sheet remain very manageable and in real life, spread movements in fees, credits and mortgages have historically been positively correlated. That means a different direction in the spread sensitivities also provide a natural offset. Let's move to the next slide where we discuss our investment portfolio. This slide shows our robust and high-quality investment portfolio with over 80% allocation to fixed income assets, including mortgages, derivatives and cash. The fixed income bond portfolio covering government bonds, credit and alternative is a high-quality and well-diversified portfolio that I'm very comfortable with. We believe that more cases offer historically a very attractive risk return profile. The average loan to value is around 50% and credit losses remained below 1 basis points. So from a risk perspective, this is a very strong portfolio. As Ingrid mentioned, new mortgage production was lower. That's mainly due to the current interest rate environment which increases customer appetite for short-term maturities, where there is more competition from banks and resulting in lower spreads. Let's move to real estate equities, where performance was very strong. In the first half year, real estate revaluation were up almost 3%, and this was mainly driven by residential, which was up around 5%. And helped by the lowering of the transport that we discussed in fuller stages and remains the backbone of the portfolio together with our rural portfolio that also continues to show solid performance. In equities, next to positive revaluation. We used the recent geopolitical volatility to expand our portfolio a bit at attractive buying moments. And that is another example, we're having your own asset management and be really on top of the market creates real value. Let's look at the flexibility of the balance sheet on the next slide. This slide shows that we continue to have ample financial flexibility, and that is really supported by the composition of our balance sheet. Financial leverage is 21%, interest coverage ratio well above our internal limit. And on top of that, we still have significant debt capacity. There is room for more than EUR 2.5 billion RT1 and Tier 2 issuances. And as you can see on the bottom right-hand side, our debt maturity schedule remains nicely spread over time. So from whatever angle you look at it, the balance sheet gives us significant financial flexibility. Let's turn to my last slide and end with our HoldCo liquidity. At half year, the HoldCo liquidity position is temporarily elevated, reflecting the cash upstream needed for the Popema acquisition. The cash was already remitted before the half year closing date while the actual cash out took place the day after. The additional remittance came specifically from our well-capitalized life entities, and that's also reflected in the solvency ratio for a.s.r. Life, which still remains very strong. So OCC good, group solvency good, cash at holdco good, legal entities is also good. But could I say more? I think this is a good moment to hand it back to you, Ingrid for the wrap-up.
Ingrid M. de Graaf-de Swart
executiveThank you very much, Ewout. This brings us to the end of our presentation. Let me briefly close with the key messages. First, we have pursued profitable growth and strengthened our platform. The integration of Aegon Netherlands is now finalized, and the acquisition of Bovemij was completed in July. Those are important steps in creating a leading insurer in the Netherlands. Second, we delivered a solid performance across all business segments. Our OCC is on track to reach the EUR 1.35 billion target in 2026. Third, our capitalization remains very strong. The Solvency II ratio increased to 222%, reflecting strong capital generation and well positioned to pursue value-accretive opportunities. And finally, we will present our updated strategy and new targets at our Capital Markets Day on the 1st of December of this year. With that, we are happy to take your questions. Looking forward to answering them.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] We will now take our first question from the line of Cor Kluis from ABN AMRO - ODDO BHF.
Unknown Analyst
analystIt's Cor Kluis from ODDO. Congratulations with the results, especially I think the organic growth, the premium growth in Non-Life was quite high, better than expected. Could you elaborate a little bit more on that. So in Disability and P&C, could you split it in price increase and volume. How was the churn and are you satisfied with the price increases in Disability, especially given the VA situation. So that's a question on premium growth in Non-Life organic. Second question is about M&A. Yes, Ingrid you as new CEO, of course, doing acquisitions has always been an important part of a.s.r.. So you will probably also continue that in the future. Could you give your first views and context and way of looking to M&A is probably a continuing way of doing business, but your own view on that. And last question is about the VA. I get it -- of course, you were doing a bit Q3. Yes, could you give some comments about what's going on, how the government is acting what your interactions with the government indicate we get the backlog in our , et cetera? So that be my questions.
Ingrid M. de Graaf-de Swart
executiveThanks, Cor, for those questions. We will -- I will start with answering the question around M&A and able to take care of the P&C and disability questions that you post. And thanks for the compliments of Secor. We're also very happy with the clean set that we presented this morning. So have been part of this company for almost 7 years, and M&A has been an important part of the strategy and an important source of growth for years. I think that the Ag on the Netherlands as integration and deal was really transformational to a.s.r. And we are really proud that we completed the integration within the 3 years and delivered on all the targets that we promised. And more importantly, also, we're very successful in bringing 2 cultures together. I'm also very happy that while we have just closed down the integration and really completed it, we have already started the next integration of Bovemij. And I love the blueprint of Bovemij that well fits into what we have always said, that in the Non-Life space, particularly in P&C, there may be opportunities in the coming years. because of the 65% that's divided between the 3 biggest players in the market. There is a players. And we see now that Bovemij is, I think, perfect proof point of that it's quite's difficult for a smaller P&C insurer to stay economically viable to do the advances into digitalization and AI and to remain relevant to customers. And that's why I'm very happy that we were able to have such a nice deal together with BOVAG and Bovemij, and we are very keen to explore additional opportunities. So I would say, as expected, no change here, but looking forward to creating more opportunities. And the same goes for the financial investment return point of view deals, while we also always have looked at life and also funeral. They are also very keen and interested in by portfolios both in Life with back books that have predictable cash flows, but also in funeral. And we still believe that there is 1 big insurer that we think may come to the market at some point in time. And we will be keen to have a look at that, as you can imagine. And in the last couple of years, we have also required a range of smaller distribution companies, such as also Human TotalCare that we mentioned in our presentation today. And we also of continued interest to add those to our portfolio. So that's how I would look at it, looking forward to all the opportunities feeding forward. And with that, please, Ewout, can you do the PSC and income.
Ewout Hollegien
executiveYes. So on the premium growth indeed, we were very happy with the strong growth in Non-Life that we have shown. So 6% growth and we look underlying, we see a 4% growth in the PC market. So we were able to grow in the middle of -- actually the target range that we're having to and at the same time, having a very strong combined ratio, so definitely very happy with that. In disability, we grew even 8%. And what we see there is that the price increases that we pushed through as a result of the developments in group Disability, which I will answer after this question. . Actually resulted in less losing customers than we actually were expecting. And as a consequence of that, we actually saw that the increase in Disability rose to 8%. Good to mention is that we see the increase mostly in Disability in group Disability and also a bit in, but it also means is that we have more customers that actually do annual payments. So we do, as a result of that, expect that, that growth in Disability flattens a bit in the second half of the year. But with the strong growth that we are presenting today, we are having the confidence that we can land somewhere in the higher end of our target range. Then on Disability, definitely an important topic to answer as well. As you all know, in improved Disability, I think also the market is seeing in group Disability, we are observing elevated incident rates, which is mostly driven mental illness and also long coat, a broader market trend and something we also observed last year. That was also the main reason for repricing our business significantly in group Disability for the year 2026. And when we actually look today into our portfolio, we see that the payments that we are doing. So the claims that we are having is actually more or less in line with the actuarial assumptions that we are having. And this, in a way, proves the effectiveness of our portfolio discipline and also of the repricing. At the same time, and the net is already referring to that. We do see that situation at the UWV so the Dutch employee Insurance Agency is further deteriorating and that their backlog is also increasing. The risk that comes with that is that we might not have the full view on the inflow of disabled people as not everyone is assessed yet. And the second order effect can also be that reassessments are executed less because of this backlog. And this could mean compared to the past that individuals return less back to work, less often back to work and are also less often reclassified into a group which is not expected to return at all because they are lifetime disabled. And in that situation, actually, the payments are no longer covered by the insurer, but by the government. What we are doing to actually solve that backlog is that we, together with the insurance association are very close contact with UWV and the government of social affairs, and we see definitely solutions there. but it might require and we don't know that exactly time and also change in legislation. What we will do is actually bringing all those developments, the conversations that we are having, the risk that there might be some delay the inflow in the reassessments that we bring that all together as part of the annual review that we are doing on our actuaries assumptions in H2. And we will definitely look at this in a conservative as you know us, in considering further actions. And that's actually the situation where we are looking at today.
Operator
operatorWe will now take the next question. From the line of Andrew Baker from Goldman Sachs.
Andrew Baker
analystFirst one, just on the Non-Life OCC. I know you touched on this in your comments, but can you just give a little bit more detail on the year-on-year SCR development that you saw in 1 half 26. I guess what drove the differences year-on-year? I think you said the first half is a good base to project off going forward. How do we think about the second half then in '26 versus the second half in '25. So just picking a part of those moving pieces would be really helpful. And then secondly, are you able to give us a sense of the amount of investment in technology and AI that you're running through the holding company cost line in the first half. What type of investments these are in? How should we think about this level of investment going forward? And I guess when should we expect to see the benefits flow into the results.
Ingrid M. de Graaf-de Swart
executiveAndrew, thank you for your question. As a former CTO, I will take the AI and technology question. You should think about tens of millions. Ewout, can you take the LC question?
Ewout Hollegien
executiveAbsolutely. Absolutely. So on the -- so we already call it internally the nat cat question because it's a maybe to start with what we now see in H1 of 2026 is really kind of the normal level of what we should expect. What happened is that during -- given the continued growth that we had in the P&C portfolio, we actually saw in H1 of 2025 that the exposure levels temporarily exceeding the coverage assumptions underlying parts of our net cat program. As a consequence, we saw that additional consult capital was required during the first half of 2025 until the reinsurance program was adjusted at year-end. . So the subsequent update to that program released this additional capital requirement in the second half of 2025. As a result, we benefit from lower capital strain in the first half of 2026 compared with the prior year period and this created a positive year-on-year effect. But again, the level of H1 is normal. What it does indeed mean is that around, let's say, EUR 20 million, that's around the number. We expect around EUR 20 million less capital release or EUR 20 million higher strain in H2 compared to last year. And that was also part of the OCC bridge that I provided, that is included in that. That's 1 of the reasons that we expect more or less to land at the same level on OCC of -- in the second half of the year as last year. Hopefully, that helps, Andrew.
Andrew Baker
analystVery clear.
Operator
operatorWe will now take the next question from the line of Michael Huttner from Berenberg.
Michael Huttner
analystAnd I have two, one is on real estate and the other one on reinsurance. On real estate, I saw the -- you said in 3% in residential -- 3% in real estate, 5% residential, I think, and solid in the rule. In your 13% OCC increase, how much of the -- was that from real estate? Or is it somewhere else? And how much more -- could we expect some real estate in the second half? And then on reinsurance, you just said, you got negatives on or not negative, but the highest strain due to the high exposure numbers. Is there a benefit from buying more reinsurance? Or did you decide not to buy more reinsurance? Just curious.
Ewout Hollegien
executiveYes, thanks for those questions. On the real estate, so what we have as a kind of the total return assumption in real estate is a pretax return 5.5%. So every revaluation that is actually exceeding that number and the 5.5% is also including the direct yield. So everything that is excluding the other is outperforming those assumptions, it's not part of the organic capital creation, but is part of the market and operational developments. That's why I also mentioned in the kind of market and operational developments, there was some positive effect from the revaluation of real estate. . In the second half of the year, we are neutral in our view on restate. So we see still attractive direct yields revaluation more or less a neutral view. Then the second question in buying reinsurance. So the way we are looking to reissue is actually always in 2 ways. One is what is effective from a cost of capital perspective? So we assessed the reinsurance program from a cost of capital perspective. That's one element. And also what we like just as a.s.r. being predictable is that because of our reinsures program, we also have a performance that is -- that if there is kind of happens that our performance remains also strong in that type of situation. And with those 2 kind of criteria in place, we are actually happy with the reinsurance program that we are having today. So we don't foresee to further expand our reinsurance product. Maybe you can free up some solvency, but then it comes at a really high cost and from a cost of capital perspective that they're not really interesting.
Operator
operatorWe will now take the next question from the line of Farooq Hanif from JPMorgan.
Farooq Hanif
analystTwo questions, which may be more for Ewout. But just firstly, you gave that bridge on OCC. It sounds like a lot of the elements that neutralize OCC in 2H are not what you would apply to operating profit. So I'm kind of thinking that the expansion that you had an operating profit will that be more normalized. So if you could talk about some of the one-offs that we should not repeat in 2H for operating profit. And actually, just digging into 1 really large amount of detail apologies, but the other line in the life result, which went negative, I think that's where you mainly earn your DC fees. So can you explain what happened there and what we should expect in that line going forward?
Ingrid M. de Graaf-de Swart
executiveThank you. Thank you very much, Farooq for the questions. And I think like you guided already. These are typical questions for Ewout, I would say.
Ewout Hollegien
executiveYes. So I think you're right. So when we talk about the strain in P&C, the benefit compared to last year was not part of the IFRS operating profit that we presented. -- and the fact that will be normalized in H2 will also not be part of the operating profit. So net-net, one could say that, that amount of EUR 20 million is not normalized in an operating profit base. So you're definitely right on. And I think your other question was also relating to the operating profit and then mostly the other results what we actually see in the operating profit of the Life segment is 2 elements that is worth mentioning. . One is the -- is indeed the lower operating results -- of other results, sorry. And that has to do with the fact that in H1 last year, we had a couple of associations, so participations in the Life segment that's really made a strong performance and that landed in the other result, and that is not there in 2026, that is actually compensated by a positive experience varies. And the mostly on the kind of the experience mostly also have to do with the expense level that we assume on IFRS versus the expense level that we were actually seeing in the Life segment, and that resulted in the positive Xpeng. So there are actually 2 elements that are more or less offsetting each other lower contribution from participations, which was very high last year, with good strong experience variance, mostly driven by a little bit of mortality and the other part is expenses in the experience variance.
Farooq Hanif
analystAnd, sorry, just to follow-up as well quickly on that. So in Non-Life you also benefited you in the combined ratio from nonrecurring elements. What's the size of that?
Ewout Hollegien
executiveYes, that was EUR 5 million and the offsetting effect of the EUR 5 million was, by the way, in holding and other. So there was kind of the offsetting effect. So there was EUR 5 million benefit in Non-Life, EUR 5 billion lower result in the holding and others. So it's more or less neutral for the second half of the year. .
Farooq Hanif
analystSo you're implying that 1H is kind of a run rate in operating profit.
Ewout Hollegien
executiveThat's exactly why I'm so happy as the CFO that I not only present strong numbers, but also very clean set definitely yes, true.
Operator
operatorWe will now take the next question from the line of Benoit Petra from Kepler Chevreux.
Benoit Petrarque
analystYes. So actually, the first one is on the clean OCC. Could you give us kind of the clean run rate for H1? I think you had some prior year's provision release in on Life and also one-off expense benefits. So just wondering how much it is on a clean basis. The second 1 is on disability. So -- if I remember well, last year, you lost clients after the repricing put through in '25. Now the churn is quite limited in H1 '26. So are you kind of reaching a point where clients are becoming less sensitive and you could be more active on the pricing into '27. And on Disability given all what you said on the backlog and the repricing, do you think you can maintain a combined ratio in the range of 92% to 94% for the Disability business given what you know currently? And just the final 1 on the pension buyout. So you've done 2 small deals. I was wondering how you see the pipeline for the rest of the year on the Pension buyout.
Ewout Hollegien
executiveOn the EUR 5 million of -- sorry, on the OCC run rate OCC, that was the question. there was -- so the release that was mentioned was only EUR 5 million on the expense side, but we wanted to flag that because you actually see that the expense ratio goes down 1.2% in PBC. And that's a high number. And that's why we want to flag that EUR 5 million was kind of a more -- has to be seen as a one-off. But again, the compensating effect is involving and other. And with that, you can also see this as a run rate number. So the SCR strain is in a run rate number because of the net cap program or the right level, but also this is a run rate number. So that's on the OCC H1. And then if I understand your question correctly, on the pricing and whether we can push even more price increases to the market and that they will easily accept that. Well, that's -- it would be lovely if the market works like work that. I think in all fairness, we do see that it is a hard market. So you should -- can definitely as the margins that you want to achieve. And at the same time, there's also competition so also corporates can also go to the UW fee to insure themselves. And I think there, you will probably see the most competition out of it. What we have said is we see uncertainty, and as you can expect from us that we will address that uncertainty in a conservative manner and then it's up to the clients to decide whether or not they want to stay with us. That is the position that we are taking when it comes down to this business. Will that keep us in the target range somewhere around 94%? Well, when we look today, that's actually the case. But again, we have seen that uncertainty that I described on the -- given the backlog at the UWV. And that is something that we will assess in the second half of the year. But definitely, when we look today, we do see that the portfolio is performing in a solid way.
Ingrid M. de Graaf-de Swart
executiveThen the last question, Benoit aorund the buyer pipeline. We still believe that the market opportunity of EUR 20 billion to EUR 30 billion, is there. And we also think and see that a part of that is likely to materialize over a longer period than we initially anticipated. Market competition is increasing after EMEA entering the market, and we see that authorize willing to lay the game. And we also see that returns are coming down. However, we really remain disciplined in pricing and are very true to our value over volume principle and will not deploy our capital if we can't make our 12% hurdle right on these deals. We see room for us in the smaller midsized deals approved by the 2 announced that I mentioned before. And we still believe and expect to be able to take our fair market share of the market of the EUR 8 billion of the EUR 30 billion market in total, but we do believe that it will extend beyond 2027.
Operator
operatorWe will now take the next question from the line of Nasib Ahmed from UBS.
Nasib Ahmed
analystFirstly, on AI, where do you see the biggest benefits coming through within AI, which segments? I think previously you mentioned health as easy one. And then kind of related to that, the combined ratio what you mentioned there is 1.2 points of benefit from a reallocation of expenses. It feels like that's a run rate like you said. So combined ratio 92% to 94% seems like it's going to come down just the reallocation of expenses, maybe some may top you should be running a little bit lower than that range. Is that my correct interpretation? And then just last question on longevity reinsurance. Is there still more capacity to do that based on what you've got on the books?
Ewout Hollegien
executiveThe last part, I didn't get fully Nasib, but I will answer it. So the just the one-off was not 1.2%. It was a part of that 1.2%. So around EUR 5 million, I think that's around EUR 0.5 billion or EUR 0.6 billion. That was kind of the one-off that we saw in the expense ratio of P&C. So that is just to clarify that, sorry for not being clear. And whether or not that result in a kind of structural lower combined ratio? That's -- I think that's too early to say. It's something that we also will assess with respect to the Capital Markets Day. But in all honesty, and we also have that dialogue in the past. There's -- we do see that the Netherlands is a well-consolidated market. And at the same time, there is still a lot of competition and having a combined ratio at the low 90s is already very attractive on a return on capital perspective. So whether or not the combined ratio can be structural lower that's really a fresh market, not something to answer during this call.
Ingrid M. de Graaf-de Swart
executiveThen I will take the AI question. Thanks for asking such a nice question because I really like the subject, as you all know, I think. So you were mentioning already the health part of our business, that's the part where we started experimenting with AI used health as a nursery for the whole company. Why? Because we were in the middle of an integration with Aegon Netherlands, Health was not in that integration since Aegon didn't have any health. So that was one. And two, we were able to have a lot of direct customer contact there, so a lot of data. So we built some use cases there for -- especially in the customer contact area, and that's a very good area to start because there is a lot of customer contact. And we were able to really develop those use cases a bit further through. So we have seen that was your other question that when you combine AI with very well adoption by people because it's 30% around technology, 70% is about people, processes and also culture. We see if that -- if you do provide that in a correct way, and I mean a way that really creates value for businesses, that we see an increase in customer satisfaction and employee satisfaction. And we see costs go down. And that's a very important proof point that we have seen. And of course, as you might imagine, we have a lot of businesses outside of health that can benefit from the same. So we do see that there is a opportunity to really sell this from health towards the whole all the business segments within a.s.r. And we see that not only operational efficiency, operational effectiveness, is an important driver for towards the future, driven by AI but we also do see that customer experience also really benefits from AI, digitalization and automation. So -- as one would expect, we have a focus on creating long-term value and we see the combination of people with technology as an important 1 for this, and we truly believe that there is an accelerator for our strategy feedforward. If we can successfully combine the technology, AI and people components with each other. We have programs in place to drive this successful adoption and also built a lot of proof points within the company, and I'm really looking forward to telling you the whole story on the 1st of December of this year at the Capital Markets Day because there's so much to AI technology and how you can really place it in the middle of your businesses that it would be a shame to just have a couple of minutes more to talk about it.
Nasib Ahmed
analystPerfect. The last question was around longevity reinsurance, what's the capacity?
Ewout Hollegien
executiveSorry, that was the one I didn't get. So we are currently in the middle of setting to do additional longevity ratios also to give some context, sorry, is that we do see longevity reinsurance and as an important tool to optimize actually the risk -- the insurance risk that we have in our portfolio because in the whole a.s.r. book longevity risk is the largest insurance risk that we have on the balance sheet. And simultaneously, it also provides a balance sheet optimization opportunity against attractive costs. . When we look to the current portfolio, roughly EUR 50 billion of our liabilities has longevity risk in it. And that part of that risk is already being mitigated, let's say, a sixth the natural hedge that we are having between longevity and mortality because the funeral book that we are having, third something that we already have reissued in the past. And of course, we also think about this more going forward that we might add in the future additional Dutch funeral business and then you also want to have some mortality risk. Longevity is still on your balance sheet? I think with that in roughly EUR 10 million to EUR 15 million of remaining liabilities is really applicable for longevity reinsurance and that will be -- probably be separated into several tranches, if any. I think general rule of thumb is that the EUR 5 billion deal will bring around roughly 2% to 3% level of solvency benefits at group level, and that is currently still our stance, mostly driven by a lower risk margin. So it's actually where we are in the middle of assessing it. We see that the solvency benefits that we mentioned in the past,are still more or less -- seems to still more or less be the case, good risk management attractive from a cost of capital perspective, and we hope to give further clarity on somewhere in H2, whether or not we enter into a longetivity.
Operator
operatorWe will now take the next question is from Iain Pearce from BNP Paribas.
Iain Pearce
analystThe first one is just on the fee business. I'm just trying to get a feel for the underlying growth in the fee businesses -- there's been a bit going on in terms of resegmentation, HTC, the mortgage trends. I'm just trying to get a feel if you can give us some sort of feel for the underlying growth rates that you're seeing? And also on the operating expenses in the Asset Management segment, which went down year-on-year if you could give us, obviously, synergies as part of that, but is there anything we sort of need to factor in, in terms of the cost income ratio outlook for asset management. And then on the on the P&C segment, just trying to think about the impact of BOVAG on the combined ratio. Just looking at the OCC guidance sort of implications that might have a bit of a negative impact on the combined ratio for H2. So if you could give us any sort of feel for the headwinds that it might provide to a combined ratio going forward.
Ewout Hollegien
executiveYes, on the fee basis. So in detail, so we saw an increase in the result of our fee businesses. Actually, the 2 main drivers there. One is the HTC business that we acquired the remaining 55% stake as a consequence, it actually moved from a participation that was part of Holding and other fully to the fee segment. The total contribution in the fee segment on the OCC level, so net of tax is around EUR 15 million contributed to EUR 20 million.The other contributor is actually the synergies that we realized for migrating the mortgage portfolio to go to the a.s.r. platform and that resulted in the lower expense base that you are referring to roughly -- also roughly EUR 12 million is what we are seeing on a lower expense basis, roughly EUR 20 million of our contribution coming from that. So that's actually on the fee base business that we are seeing. I think the second question was on the kind of -- on the combined ratio in P&C, sorry, the combined ratio of Bovemij. So what we already mentioned during the full year, we don't expect material contribution from Bovemij in 2026 already. That's because we added actually a portfolio that needs to be repriced, but even more importantly, where synergies needs to be realized, so that end up with a kind of healthy P&C portfolio of Bovemij. As we integrate from end of 2026 onwards, you really will start seeing benefits kicking in from 2027 onwards in the full amount from 2028 onwards.
Operator
operatorWe will now take the next question from the line of Farquhar Murray from Autonomous.
Farquhar Murray
analystTwo questions, if I may. Firstly, thanks to the guidance towards nonlife premium growth kind of moderating back into the 3% to 5% range. A lot of that turns on the disability market. So my question there is where a.s.r. would be willing to kind of perhaps go below the 3% to 5% target range, particularly in full year '27 if it's not possible to address the kind of issues in terms of disability marketing and visibility on claims costs on which to build appropriate pricing. And then secondly, thanks to your earlier comments on M&A. Those are helpful. More specifically, do you think the opportunity set is opening up a bit more than recent years? And is that mainly at the kind of smaller end of the spectrum in terms of what you're seeing? And then finally, can you outline your thinking on business expansion outside the Netherlands. Is that still mainly for holidays?
Ingrid M. de Graaf-de Swart
executiveI will begin with -- thanks, Farquhar, for your questions. I'll answer the last 2 questions around M&A and abroad and then Ewout will take your first question. So starting with the broad still for Farquhar's question, a.s.r. is really focused on becoming the leading insurer in the Netherlands. I'm really happy with where we are today, but we do believe that we have a lot of organic growth opportunities, but also see there is further consolidation possible and will occur in the Dutch market, and we are more than willing to participate in that. So that's, I think, quite clear. We continue to believe that has not changed. That it's incredibly difficult to find a compelling business case for a.s.r. to buy another insurer outside of the Netherlands. So really focused on the Netherlands. And then to your question, around P&C and especially the longer tail, smaller insurance. Like I said, we are really happy with Bovemij being a blueprint. And I do believe that with the current revolution going on around AI technology, digitalization, also changing customer behavior. And the investment money that needs to be put into a business to successfully meet the standards that are nowadays normal for P&C players that's incredibly difficult for the smaller companies to do that on a stand-alone basis. So we are happy thinking that the footprint of Bovemij will have a -- how do you say -- we'll have new transactions in the coming time?
Ewout Hollegien
executiveFarquhar, on your question around the disability growth. And are we willing to accept growth below actually our targeted range? The simple answer is yes. And the reason is that we strongly believe in kind of the value of volume and that every business that you write needs to deliver on the right return. That's why I also mentioned we will definitely look at the whole situation more on the conservative side. And take into account in -- for example, in our price level. And if -- that means that, yes, we lose more clients and that we then will come below kind of the 3% growth in 2027 then that is what it is. We also kind of have to make a margin, and that is how we are always in the market and for the long run, we believe that is actually the right position also to have as an insurance company because that makes you also predictable for advisers and for clients. .
Operator
operatorWe will now take the next question from the line of Michel Ballatore from KBW.
Michele Ballatore
analystJust 1 question from me. In -- if we look at the good trends in the -- especially in the finance capital generation, both in Life, but particularly in Life. So how should we look in terms of the outlook on this line, I mean, how do you see this strength continuing in the next foreseeable future .
Ewout Hollegien
executiveI think if I understand your question correctly, how do we look to the trend on the finance capital generation in OCC? Yes. Okay. So no, we are -- what we see actually in the portfolio and also in H1 compared to 2025. One, and we saw actually spreads were tightening a bit. So then because of that, you see we have small spread tightening, and we are seen in mortgages, spread tightening coffees and also spread tightening in credits. That brings you a somewhat lower return, for example, compared to the full year 2025. At the same time, we saw positive revaluation in real estate more than expected. In our total return assumption, we saw good developments of equity markets. And that all contributes equity to a high inflection margin. So if we look going forward to our finance capital generation, we expect that, that will kind of develop in the same direction as we have seen over the year -- in the first half of 2026. So no really worries there. But it all -- by the end of the day, always depends a bit on how markets will develop.
Operator
operatorWe will now take our next question from the line of Jason Kalamboussis from ING.
Jason Kalamboussis
analystYes. Quick follow-up, if I may. The first 1 is on longevity. I mean, we will get more clarity maybe in the second half. Maybe you can do a deal. But looking at your solvency ratio 3 years out, it looks very high, building up quite a lot. So is that fair to say that actually longevity is not -- you don't need to do longevity deals at this stage. -- given your strong capital position. The second thing is a follow-up again is on the buyout market. Could you differentiate between EMEA and Athora? Because as far as I am aware, maybe I've missed it, but we haven't seen a lot of large yields as last year. So do you find that it also takes -- even though there is competition in pricing, it takes more time for the pension funds to take the decision? And are there also softer factors and pricing that could make that things come back to a.s.r.? Or do you think that at the end takes a lot more pricing, it will be more happier and a sort of battling it out and you focusing on the midsized deals over the next 12 months? And the third question is on Non-Life. Could you give us, I mean, specifically for the P&C combined ratio of 89.9%, what is the percentage benefit you got from the prior year reserve releases? Maybe it was given earlier, I'm not sure. I think that you said that expenses was minus 1.2%. But if I could have the PY also, that would be great. .
Ewout Hollegien
executiveThanks, Jason. You called it follow-ups, but I think there was 1 follow-up and 2 new questions that you raised. Let me try to give a clear answer to that. On the longeviity part. I think that's the duty where we are looking at today. So we don't need reinsurance from kind of a position of weakness there where we -- because we need. We are in a strong solvency position, and we only want to do longevity reinsurance because on 1 hand, it is a good risk management is. So an important risk that we have on the balance sheet, you can offload. That's 1 adamant that we take into account. But the second element, just as important. If you can do this against the right prices and you see that your cost of capital can become close to Sebo of such a deal, that makes it also from a balance sheet optimization attractive. And that is the reason that we are considering this. So it's just good balance sheet management, good risk management, and that's the main driver, not because we need sourcing. The second element on the Non-Life, how much reserve release. Well, that's a simple answer. So thanks for that is actually eligible. So there is -- this is a real strong underlying number. There's the EUR 5 million that we discussed with, which has had an offset of the holding, but it's a clean number that we present here today, which is very strong, and we are very happy with. And then on the buyout market and how that is developing. So indeed, we saw H2 -- H1 2025 for a.s.r., both winning quite some deals. H2 for have won a lot of deals, a lot of activity in the buyout market. H1 of 2026 is a bit less. And at the same time, we see deals happening and also ourselves actually have on 2 smaller deals. I think it described it very well in a way that sees that because kind of the main competitor being Athora in this market really want a lot of bigger deals. The appetite for smaller deals seems to kind of fade away a bit and that provided us the opportunity against the right return levels that we want to have to win those deals. And that is -- and I think -- so this is not because of pension funds are now thinking differently to market. It's just -- sometimes you have a bit more activity in the market. Sometimes you have a bit less activity, but H1 of 2026, there were still a couple of buyouts. And also when we look going forward, there's still a pipeline, and that's why we are still confident though it might take 2 more years that we will reach the EUR 8 billion.
Operator
operatorWe will now take the next question from the line of Michael Huttner from Berenberg.
Michael Huttner
analystOn, you spoke lots of times on funeral business. I just wondered, could you remind us who is the lucky competitor you might be looking at or any indication, maybe you can't say I don't know. And then we had a question on pension buyers. Can you talk a little bit a bit about the individual annuities. So your that's the one you're exceeding. Is that -- can you give us a feel for how much more growth there is because it's clearly not a closed block. It's linked to the DC growth. .
Ingrid M. de Graaf-de Swart
executiveI will answer your last question, Michael. So if you look at the annuity, so we have a big book of DC that's a cumulative accumulation business, and now we have the decumulation that's whether annuities come in. And what we do see is that if you have a very good customer journey and competitive pricing. And people are already used to your brand serves and happy with that, that they have experienced over the DC time of period that they have been a customer with us. We see that people really like to stay with a.s.r. because of the very good customer journey where we have invested in to the new standards that are there today. And then with that, I mean more digital, more AI, et cetera, or personal. And if you also have competitive pricing, people do stay with the -- with us because they liked during the accumulation phase, and they do also like us for the decumulation phase. And that's why we have indeed a very exciting increase of our annuities of 38. And also that we really think that we will exceed our target for this year.
Ewout Hollegien
executiveAnd funeral, so it's -- please be with me, Michael, that it's not really good to mention names in a call like this when it comes down funeral insurance. But to answer your question, of course, we are open to onboard close books of funeral businesses. So there are a couple of closed books of funeral business, and we are also more than willing to look more to open funeral businesses. And there are a couple of bigger plays where the largest players has 50% market share, probably that is not possible for us also from a condition perspectives to really be interested in, but other players would be of our interest. .
Operator
operatorThere are no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the conference back to Ingrid de Swart for closing remarks.
Ingrid M. de Graaf-de Swart
executiveThanks a lot and thank you all for listening in and also for your very nice and interesting questions. We enjoyed being with you this morning and are looking very much forward to meeting hope lots of you in London in the coming days. So with that, I would like to really look forward toward our -- the London engagement and meetings and hope you all have a very nice day with our clean set of results. Thanks very much.
Operator
operatorThis concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.
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