Astra Microwave Products Limited (532493) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

February 13, 2020

BSE Limited IN Information Technology Communications Equipment earnings 45 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

S. Reddy

executive
#1

Thank you, Steven, and good evening, ladies and gentlemen. And we welcome you to this Q3 conference call. I'm with my colleague, Mr. M.V. Reddy, Joint Managing Director. The results were taken on record by the Board of Directors in yesterday's meeting. We have shared the broad financial results with all of you. For the benefit of all of us again, I'll repeat some of the numbers. For the quarter, we did about INR 149 crores of net sales. These are after adjustment of various things, both in terms of the accounting standard and also the late delivery charges. And for the 9 months period, it is about INR 286 crores. Gross margin is close to about INR 61 crores for this quarter. And overall, for the 9 months is about INR 140 crores. Operating income is about INR 32 crores for these 3 months, and it is INR 49 crores for the 9 months period. Profit before tax is about INR 32 crores for these 3 months, and the first 9 months, it's about close to INR 50 crores. In terms of percentages, it is about 21% for the quarter and about 17% on the net sales. And profit after tax for the 3 months is about INR 23 crores, which is 15% of the net sales. And for the 9 months period, is about INR 36 crores, which is about 12% of the sales. These are the broad numbers in terms of the financial performance for this quarter and 9 months period. In terms of the breakup for the sales, for this quarter, out of INR 156 crores, defense and defense PSUs contributed about 16% of the sales, space program is about 39% and exports about 43%. And for the 9 months period, the corresponding percentages are about 18% for the defense, 45% for the space, and 35% for the exports. Few balance sheet items, which I want to share before we move to the question and answers. The cash and cash balance, along with margin money deposits, which are secured for the various bank guarantees kind of thing is about INR 75 crores. Advances paid to suppliers is about INR 90 crores. And in terms of the major liabilities, advances received from the customer is about INR 195 crores. Debtors is about INR 217 crores, out of which beyond 180 days is about INR 65 crores. The order book position at the end of December, stand-alone, is about INR 1,285 crores and orders booked during the current 3 month periods is about INR 426 crores. At the consolidated state, it is about INR 1,440 crores is the order book at the end of the 9 months period, whereas order booked for this 3 months period is about INR 491 crores. These are the broad financial numbers, which I want to share with you. Now we can move into the question-and-answer session.

Operator

operator
#2

[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of [ Nilesh Soni ] from IndiaFirst.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#3

Sir, I have couple of bookkeeping questions. Sir, can you please give the split of the order book segment-wise at the end of Q3?

S. Reddy

executive
#4

Segment-means in terms of the defense, it is about 18%. I'm sorry -- order book at the end of 9 months period, stand-alone. Overall, it is about INR 1,285 crores.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#5

And the split between? Yes.

S. Reddy

executive
#6

Yes, defense and defense base is about INR 192 crores. Space is about INR 282 crores. Hydrology and metrology is about INR 54 crores. Exports is about INR 751 crores, and others is about INR 6 crores.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#7

Okay. And sir, what all orders we are expecting in this Q4 and for, I think -- in this Q4 and for FY '21?

S. Reddy

executive
#8

Yes, Mr. M.V. Reddy will take it.

Maram Reddy

executive
#9

So in Q4, we are likely to get about INR 184 crores. So in that, defense about INR 150 crores. That is domestic, from the domestic sector. And the space, of course, not much is about INR 10 crores, and exports about INR 20 crores and meteorology, all put together, about INR 4 crores.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#10

Okay. This is for Q4, right, sir?

Maram Reddy

executive
#11

Yes.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#12

And sir, can you guide in same way for FY '21?

Maram Reddy

executive
#13

FY '21, we are likely to book about -- as on date, we have a visibility of INR 500 crores. And in that, again, in the -- from the domestic defense sector, about INR 270 crores plus INR 50 crores, about INR 320 crores, and then exports about INR 100 crores, meteorology about INR 30 crores.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#14

About INR 30 crores. And nothing space, sir?

S. Reddy

executive
#15

Space about INR 50 crores.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#16

Space about INR 50 crores. Okay. And sir, one more last question. What were the LDC for Q3 and 9 months FY '20, if you can share?

S. Reddy

executive
#17

Yes, 3 months, it is about INR 3 crores and for the 9 months, it is about INR 5 crores.

Operator

operator
#18

The next question is from the line of [ Anik Das ] from Mount Intra Finance.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#19

Hello?

S. Reddy

executive
#20

Yes, please.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#21

Yes. Sir, just a few update like space. On the space it seems the order is really small as of now. So in FY '20, we expect a significant slower the sales from space in that case, sir?

Maram Reddy

executive
#22

You mean FY '21?

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#23

Yes, FY '21, sir.

Maram Reddy

executive
#24

Yes, FY '21. Actually, we have a pending order, close to about INR 90 crores, which will be executed in the next year. But otherwise, in terms of order book, I don't expect a major order, except communications payload systems, which has contributed about INR 50 crores for the next year. And again, maybe FY '22, we will have a repeat production orders like what we got it in the last year. So next year, the order book from this space will not be much -- maybe about INR 50 crores, I'm expecting. But otherwise, we have backlog orders that can be executed for the next year, close to INR 90 crores.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#25

Okay, sir. And sir, in details like any -- apart from this order guidance, which you have given in FY '21, is there any other possibility, sir, where we can get like order on that? Is -- particularly in terms of like the new developments, which are taking place in terms of either Akash or anything, sir?

Maram Reddy

executive
#26

Yes. Like the Akash, in fact, I mean army, BDL is expecting order from army as well as some space, let's say, from army. So that order, probably we are likely to get by March. That is we are hoping so because if BDL gets by -- at least by September '20, I think we should be hopeful to get this order by March '21.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#27

Okay. So this is not factored in the defense INR 320 crore order, which we are expecting, sir?

Maram Reddy

executive
#28

No, it is not factored, as we are not sure of.

Operator

operator
#29

Next question is from the line of [ Sundar Bahubali ], an individual investor.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#30

Congratulations on a good set of numbers. And you had guided us that we'll reach a profit of about INR 50 crores to INR 55 crores this year, which we'll do. So congratulations on that. Also, I have a question saying, you had said that we are targeting to get the order book of 3x revenue. How soon can we get to that and see tangible results? And do we have the capacity to execute orders of more than INR 500 crores per annum?

Maram Reddy

executive
#31

Well, as far as the capacity is concerned, we built that capacity to execute more than INR 2,000 crores worth of business. But these orders, like as we -- as I mentioned in the last phone call, we have been participating in many major programs. It all depends on the timing of these contracts to be synched. And then also the budget allocation and all. So at this point of time, difficult to mention that when we're going to get major orders, but yes, we have been participating in major contracts, so that will have a good order book. So at this point of time, whatever I just mentioned, the guidance is from the portfolio, and most of them are repeat in case. And some contracts were, of course, seen from the R&D stage.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#32

But so when can we say that Astra can grow 15% to 20% for the next 5 years? If you have such a fantastic capacity, when can we expect growth to -- visible growth for the next 4 to 5 years of 15% to 20%?

Maram Reddy

executive
#33

So it all depends upon the timing of the contract, as I mentioned. So I think probably once these contracts are in -- one or 2 contracts we get it, that definitely will have a good growth in the company...

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#34

Which contracts, domestic?

S. Reddy

executive
#35

Many programs we have participated. So some of the programs, which I do not want to reveal here in this particular concall, but yes, there are some good programs, which we have participated, which is order of the almost about INR 400 crores to INR 500 crores kind of contracts.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#36

Okay. And why are debtors standing more than 180 days? When can we expect this to normalize?

S. Reddy

executive
#37

Debtors. So it is a mix of issues like there are certain items, which are supplied, which can be cleared only when the ultimate system is proven. That is number one. Number two is that some of the supplies, which are made to meteorology and hydrology sectors, where we are also responsible for installation and commissioning. And these sites are spread all over India. So there's logistics, which are to be managed. The cumulative effect of these things generally push for the release of the payments. And consistently, we are trying to see that 180 days is kept at a minimum as we continue to do that.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#38

So there's no issue on that front, right?

S. Reddy

executive
#39

No, there is no issue. In fact, whenever we find anything is not realizable, immediately we are taking care of that in terms of provisioning and all. Therefore, whatever the debtors we are showing in the books of accounts as of today, they are all clean debtors.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#40

So you had suggested that we will do INR 55 crores this year. Can you give a guidance on the revenue and PAT for the coming year -- for FY '20/'21.

S. Reddy

executive
#41

Sir, revenue also we have broadly mentioned in the last concall. Now we can confirm that we should be doing close to about -- in the range of INR 525 crores to INR 550 crores of top line will be there for the next year. And in terms of the profitability, it will be PBT level. It will be in the range of about 10% to 12% of the net sales for the company.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#42

10% to 12% of net sales?

S. Reddy

executive
#43

Yes.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#44

Okay. And any visibility on the HPR order?

S. Reddy

executive
#45

HPR order is in the TEC stage. I think in maybe another 3 months -- 3 to 4 months, we'll have a more clarity on that.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#46

Okay. And just one small suggestion if you can come out with the investor presentation with the order book and everything, it will be more helpful, sir.

S. Reddy

executive
#47

We'll do that. We are available. And we will try to share more and more information as we go forward.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#48

Also, any update on the Zuari stake buildup? Because again, one issue that the investors have is that we don't understand who is actual -- the actual promoter because this is what you had said last time also that whenever things are suitable you'll inform, but anything on that?

S. Reddy

executive
#49

As of today, we are managing. I think we are managing well. So let us be happy with the situation. Let us see how it develops.

Operator

operator
#50

The next question is from the line of [ Kirti Jain ] from Sundaram Mutual Fund.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#51

Sir, for the current year, we continue to expect around INR 480 crores, INR 500 crores kind of business, sir, or what is the expected revenues for the current year, sir?

S. Reddy

executive
#52

It will be around that, around INR 475-plus crores kind of thing.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#53

Okay. Sir, in the last quarter, it will be more of exports or how it will happen, sir?

S. Reddy

executive
#54

Yes. Last quarter, it is 50-50 between domestic and exports.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#55

Okay. So margins should be relatively little lower, right sir?

S. Reddy

executive
#56

Yes. In the last quarter, yes, because our mix is going to change. The margins are going to be slightly corrected compared to this quarter.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#57

Okay. Okay. Sir, when you guided about the next year growth, despite order backlog being quite strong, why we are guiding a double -- just 10%, 15% kind of growth, sir. Any particular reason, sir?

S. Reddy

executive
#58

Because -- most of the domestic projects, what we are likely to get -- or we got it, this is basically for 2 years execution period. So that only 50% or 40% will be executed in next year and balance will be FY '22.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#59

Okay. And also, the time -- sir, margin now? Sir, margin now has been relatively strong. Like we are doing a PBT margin of 20 percentage plus in the current quarter. Why we expect it to come off, sir?

S. Reddy

executive
#60

In terms of overall margin I said. Don't look at what has been matured in this quarter. If you look at...

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#61

Sir, YTD. YTD, sir.

S. Reddy

executive
#62

Sorry?

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#63

YTD, have INR 50 crores of PBT on sales of roughly INR 290 crores. So just say of -- at 20% margin, we've done.

S. Reddy

executive
#64

No. On INR 290 crores, we have done a PBT of about INR 50 crores. It is around 17%, right?

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#65

Yes, sir.

S. Reddy

executive
#66

So in the last quarter, it gets corrected because the mix is going to change compared to what is there as of today. As a result, the -- whatever the numbers we said, huh? Those things are likely to happen.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#67

Okay. So next year, like why we expect the margin to come up, sir, like from this current levels?

S. Reddy

executive
#68

They're not coming off. I have given a band of 10% to 12%. Even the current year where the end of 12 months period, it will be close to about 10% to 12%, or maybe slightly better. So more or less it is going to be same in terms of the percentage terms.

Operator

operator
#69

The next question is from the line of [ Anirudh Jain ], an individual investor.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#70

Just want to understand on our R&D process. So how we decide on some products, we want to do some kind of R&D? And whether we can able to pass the prices which we incur during the process to the consumer?

Maram Reddy

executive
#71

No exact question, I'm not -- I didn't get your question. So that R&D process, you mean to say that, are you in a position to execute these R&D projects in the time line of the customer? Or what exactly your question is?

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#72

Yes, so how -- whether customers tell us about do particular R&D on particular product or on R&D or we on our own go on...

Maram Reddy

executive
#73

Yes, R&D -- yes, I got your point. So we -- in our company, R&D is of 2 nature. One is that the -- again, it's the order which we received from DRDO or even ISRO and all kind of an organization. There is against this order, we develop -- design, develop and supply as per the customer's requirement. The second R&D is the proactive development, which we develop based on the requirement of the market. And that we will offer to the customers. So that is the second type of R&D. So we have both functions in our company.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#74

Okay. So we can able to pass the R&D cost to the customer? Wherever orders are coming from customer?

Maram Reddy

executive
#75

Yes. Actually, that is -- basically it's competitive tenders. It is not something like which they are coming to us on a single proprietary case. It is -- most of these orders are in a competitive tendering mechanism. So obviously, we have to compete against these players and we have to win those orders.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#76

Okay. Okay. I got you. Also, sir, on this export point. So can you just guide us on how we pan into ForEx risk and also comparatively the receivable days in exports must be lower. That is what my assumption is. So can you just guide us on that?

S. Reddy

executive
#77

Yes. In terms of receivables, what you said is correct. It ranges around 15 to 20 days kind of thing. Therefore, we don't see much of risk in that. Whereas imports, we estimate the requirements in advance, wherever it is possible, and try to cover it up with forward cover.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#78

Okay. Forward cover. And then also on the sector-wise if you can give us some light on which sectors are better in terms of margin for us?

S. Reddy

executive
#79

Well, actually, the domestic sector is better than exports, that much I can tell you. So I don't want to go in -- further in details.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#80

Okay. Okay. I got you. And just last question, sir. Is there any plan for promoter to increase the stake? So is it now in single digits?

S. Reddy

executive
#81

No, we don't see immediately any increase in the promoters holding happen.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#82

And just some light on this strategy with respect to the subsidiaries and changing?

S. Reddy

executive
#83

One subsidiary with Rafael, which is Astra Rafael Comsys. It is a joint venture company started to work for delivery of the order, which is about INR 140 crores. Presently, the OJT, that is on the job training, those things are happening. So it will have full revenues in the next financial year. That is about the JV. The other 2 are our own 100% subsidiaries, Bhavyabhanu Electronics and Aelius. Bhavyabhanu, largely it is for capital consumption. It is also doing well and Aelius, as you know, it is a young company. Okay. It is doing well.

Operator

operator
#84

The next question is from the line of [ Harish Shiyad ], an individual investor.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#85

This is regarding the PVC percentage we have achieved in the current 3 months and the 9 months. It was 21% and 17%, for the 3 months and 9 months. On the basis of exports of 43% and 35%. Still, we are saying that the fourth quarter will be 50-50 export and domestic. But then you are at 43%, you have done the 25%. So how it will come down to 10% to 12% by the year-end?

S. Reddy

executive
#86

Year-end. No, there will be, year-end, certain provisions, which we have to make. Keeping all these into account, we would like to estimate around that.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#87

Okay. But every year, you do the provisioning at the end of the year only? This is type of provision?

S. Reddy

executive
#88

Yes. Largely, yes.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#89

Okay. Okay. And the FY '21, we are targeting to INR 525 crores to 550 crores. What's the broad breakup between the domestic and export?

S. Reddy

executive
#90

Domestic would be around INR 300 crores and exports would be around INR 250 crores.

Operator

operator
#91

The next question is from the line of [ Sundar Bahubali, ] an individual investor.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#92

Sir, this number that you gave me in the earlier question, when I was earlier in the queue, you said 10% to 12% is what you're guiding, you can do better than this?

S. Reddy

executive
#93

No. If it is better, no, everybody is going to be happy, no?

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#94

Yes, that's what I'm saying. So it can be better, which is what -- this is the base that you're giving.

S. Reddy

executive
#95

Yes, let us wait and see. Yes.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#96

Okay. And second thing is, this order book that you've given INR 1,400 crores in the consolidated financials, this is including all the JVs?

S. Reddy

executive
#97

Yes, it is inclusive of the JV and JV order book is close to about INR 140 crores.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#98

And when you said you will do INR 525 crores revenues next year, this is including the JVs?

S. Reddy

executive
#99

JVs profit -- JVs' share won't appear as top line -- the share of profit or loss. So it does not include that number. JVs.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#100

So you're saying that 10% to 12% which you will do on INR 525 crore. So we add the JV profit to that?

S. Reddy

executive
#101

Yes. JV profit or loss, yes, it will be there.

Operator

operator
#102

The next question is from the line of [ Suresh Agarwal ], an individual investor.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#103

Congratulations for the fantastic results. But sir, why the promoter stake is reducing quarter-by-quarter? Actually in last quarter, around 2.9% or something has been reduced. What's the reason for promoters reducing their stake?

S. Reddy

executive
#104

See, at least in the recent past, in the last 2 quarters, there is no reduction in the promoters holding. We have done a reclassification at the end of last financial year. Because of that, some of the associates have been taken out from the promoters list. That is the only change happen.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#105

Okay. Then which mutual fund or anybody other is holding much -- a sizable amount of stake in our company?

S. Reddy

executive
#106

There are -- various shareholders are there. We have close to about 40,000 shareholders.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#107

Okay. So is there any program to increase the promoter shareholding in the recent -- coming quarters?

S. Reddy

executive
#108

No. In the immediate, no, there are no plans. As far as we know, there are no plans.

Operator

operator
#109

The next question is from the line of [ Pradeep Adikari ] from RCM Investment.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#110

Sir, I just wanted to know the order inflow details for Q3 FY '20.

S. Reddy

executive
#111

Yes. You want to have the details?

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#112

Yes, the breakup.

S. Reddy

executive
#113

Did you join late? I have given you in the beginning and I have repeated once. Maybe...

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#114

No, the order inflow details like in Q3 FY20 the order inflow that you have got like around. Yes. No, INR 492 crores is the YTD. In the Q3 the Amount of orders that you have got?

S. Reddy

executive
#115

INR 426 crores is the orders what we have got. Okay. In the Q3.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#116

Yes. INR 232 crores is for Q3, right?

S. Reddy

executive
#117

Yes. Q3 is about INR 293 crores is orders what we have got in that defense. And for PSUs, it's about -- hold on here, hold on.

Maram Reddy

executive
#118

Hold on. There is some -- see, in last quarter, we booked orders worth of INR 239 crores. Hello? From the defense sector, INR 71 crores, from defense sector INR 71 crores.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#119

INR 51 crores?

Maram Reddy

executive
#120

And space -- from defense INR crores. Space INR 83 crores and exports INR 84 crores.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#121

Okay. Okay. And sir, just one question. This year, this quarter also console order book contains the order book of the JV?

Maram Reddy

executive
#122

No. This order, whatever I said, it is not included in that. So the consolidated like whatever we mentioned, INR 1,450 crores, that is including JV order book. Otherwise, stand-alone, we have close to INR 200 crores, INR 260 crores.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#123

But like, sir, if we do that arithmetic, it's coming to INR 140 crores, INR 150 crores of JV order book, right?

Maram Reddy

executive
#124

Yes.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#125

But sir, just wanted to confirm. Earlier, we have got a -- I mean in a public conference call, you said, we've got a 30 million order book for the JV. USD 30 million order book.

Maram Reddy

executive
#126

Yes. JV order book is other order, which is we could take into that close to $30 million. We said, we got it. But there, we have segregated into 2 segments. Yes, if you add all that, probably it's what, close to INR 202 crores.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#127

Okay, okay, okay. And sir, my last question is that for FY '21, we are assuming something like close to INR 320 crores of defense orders inflow. Defense and defensive PSUs. So if you can just specify which areas we will be getting it from?

Maram Reddy

executive
#128

For FY '21, I think the major orders, like, again, we expect some orders from the missile sector as well as radar is the one which would contribute more orders. Many orders are like in the pipeline. So those orders and from the radar sector, probably we should get around close to INR 150 crores. And then EW also, we have about INR 50 crores. Missile -- from missile electronics group, we are likely to get around INR 120 crores. And exports, close to INR 100 crores we are planning to get.

Operator

operator
#129

The next question is from the line of [ Sundar Bahubali ], an individual investor.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#130

Any other JVs in the pipeline? Because you had mentioned that you were in talks with a couple of other JVs.

Maram Reddy

executive
#131

Yes, we are talking to one company for a different technology. But at this point of time, it is still in the discussion stage. Hence, we do not want to disclose any information about that. Probably in maybe another couple of months' time, I think we'll be in a position to inform in case if it gets materialized.

Operator

operator
#132

The next question is from the line of [ Harish Shiyad ], an individual investor.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#133

Sir, regarding the breakup of the orders and the revenue, I've been attending your call regularly, and last time also I said and today also somebody said, can't we give the press release along with the results, the breakup of the order received inflow and whatever sales you have implemented, so that it becomes very clear to the people. Lot of people get confused among each other, and there's a lot of confusion happening among the investors and the -- those who are attending the call. I would appreciate if we can implement the small press release about the sales achieved in a breakup-wise: export, domestic, the space and defense. The same way order in hand and order inflow. That will make things very clear to the shareholders.

S. Reddy

executive
#134

See, orders in hand and orders booked during the quarter is already given along with the results.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#135

No, that is only -- there are many questions coming on the breakup between domestic, exports, space, defense. So whatever -- anyway, you have this information ready with you while you are answering the queries from the call participants. So you can just that publish on the BSE, NSE website along with your results, as a type of a small press release 1 page, 2 page, whatever you feel like.

Operator

operator
#136

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of [ Suresh Agarwal ], an individual investor.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#137

December 2019 quarter, our sales was around INR 150 crores and our net profit was around INR 23 crores. In September quarter, also our sales was around INR 109 crores approximate and our net profit was around INR 21 crores. So why we are guiding to such a low PBT of around 10% to 12% for the whole year and the next year?

S. Reddy

executive
#138

See, the profitability entirely depends on the mix of the sales what we are likely to do. In the last quarter, we said the exports are going to be almost INR 100-plus crores and the rest is going to be domestic. The exports, the gross margins are very low. And hence there will be correction in the profitability in the last quarter. In addition to that, year-end provisions for certain expenditures are likely to come in. Therefore, we would like to guide around 10% to 12% for the overall year.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#139

Okay, okay, okay. So sir, like you have guided for around -- full year revenue of around INR 470 crores for FY '20, '21. Isn't it, sir? Am I correct?

S. Reddy

executive
#140

'20/'21, we said around INR 525 crores to INR 550 crores.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#141

So in quarter 4, we are going to...

Maram Reddy

executive
#142

This year or next? You're talking about FY '20 or FY '21?

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#143

No, FY '20/'21. This -- the whole year going on, like the year will be finishing quarter 4 2020.

Maram Reddy

executive
#144

It's '19/'20. No, it's not '20/'21. It is '19/'20.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#145

Yes, yes. Okay. '19/20, yes.

Maram Reddy

executive
#146

Yes, yes. So the '19/'20, we said INR 475 crores to INR 485 crores. That is what we have given that.

Operator

operator
#147

The next question is from the line of [ Parag Ashtak ] from ICICI Prudential.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#148

Sir, congratulations for a good set of numbers. I just wanted to ask you, there's some confusion. Next year, FY '20/'21, you are doing INR 525 crores to INR 550 crores revenue and 10% to 12% is PBT or PAT.

S. Reddy

executive
#149

PBT.

Operator

operator
#150

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of [ Suresh Agarwal ], an individual investor.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#151

What will be the tax structure for the -- like after this finance budget and before that lowering of the corporate taxes, how much tax decade we will be there in?

S. Reddy

executive
#152

See, we have moved into the new tax bracket given by the government. So the effective tax rate will be about 25.2%.

Operator

operator
#153

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of [ Rupen Mehta ] from RN Associates.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#154

Sir, I have a couple of questions. One is overall outlook for domestic business flow? I know you have quantified the likely inflow in FY '21 from different verticals, like defense, space, met department. So if I take a slightly longer time horizon, maybe the next 2 to 3 years, how do you see the pipeline shaping up? That's number one. And secondly, current order book is predominantly dominated by export, which traditionally enjoys lower margin. So by when do you see -- probably by, say, FY '22, FY '23, by when do you see the mix shifting in favor of more lucrative domestic business? That's it. Yes.

Maram Reddy

executive
#155

Well, as I already mentioned in the previous call. So the domestic sector, it all depends like the programs in the -- we have been participating in a couple of programs, which have got a good potential, like in the systems business. That is a lucrative business as compared to the subsystem business as subsystem business is always of the order of INR 70 crores, INR 80 crores, that kind of INR 100 crores kind of business. But once we get the systems contract, it will be of order of close to INR 200 crores to INR 500 crores kind of a business. So we've been -- we have participated in a few opportunities. And we expect this one or at least a couple of them should get materialized in years to come -- in a couple of years to come because it's going to take a long gestation period to finalize these contracts and all. So unless we get this kind of a system contracts, we don't get that kind of a business wherein you're talking about more in terms of the domestic as compared to the exports. So as the subsystem market is of this nature only, like INR 400 crores to INR 500 crores kind of business segment.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#156

Okay. Okay. So -- because export, currently, I think of the total order book, more than 50% is from export. So I mean as you rightly pointed out, depending on the outcome of the programs, which you have participated, the -- do you foresee a total change in trajectory of order book's mix?

Maram Reddy

executive
#157

Yes, definitely. As I said, if we are successful, definitely, the trajectory will be -- will then change.

Operator

operator
#158

The next question is from the line of [ Kirti Jain ] from Sundaram Mutual Fund.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#159

Sir, given the order flow, which will be built up in the FY '22. Can the -- and it is building in favor of domestic order flows. So can the margins improve from 10% to 12% in FY '22, sir? Directionally?

Maram Reddy

executive
#160

FY '22, actually, we have not given any figure as on date. We were only discussing FY '21. So FY '22, yes, there will be more visibility in terms of the domestic defense business as also from the space business, like whatever we bagged couple of contracts from space, those orders gets repeated in FY '22. So in terms of FY '22, definitely, the domestic business is going to take a major role.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#161

And also, sir, revenue growth momentum? Can it accelerate, sir, from this 10% to 15% growth range? Any chances are there? Because the order book will be of INR 1,200 crores.

Maram Reddy

executive
#162

Visibility is there, but it's too early to comment on that because we are only talking about FY '21. Maybe, I think after 2 quarters, probably, we'll have more clarity on the FY '22 business outlook.

Operator

operator
#163

Next question is from the line of [ Sundar Bahubali ], an individual investor.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#164

Sir, also one thing that I've been seeing that our order book was very poor about a year ago or 2 years ago, standing at INR 300 crores, INR 400 crores. So what has changed? Why was it so low and why it has become so high again? Any...

Maram Reddy

executive
#165

It all depends like in the market. As projects like -- the timing of projects and on. And of course, we bagged decent orders from export market segment. So that is a major difference as compared to the 2 years back what we booked orders. Though domestic, more or less, we've been maintaining 10% to 15% growth in terms of order book. But on the export front, we bagged decent order book -- orders in last couple of years.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#166

But I hope that we won't be going back to the days where we see an order book below like -- at such low levels of INR 300 crores, INR 400 crores. Is that a possibility? Because that is very worrisome.

Maram Reddy

executive
#167

Well, I think the projects what we know we could see and where we participated, I think it's not getting to the same situation. So as I said, it all depends like the government budgets and the program timings. So many of these projects should be allocated and then also based on the Tier 1 orders. So we had to depend on them. So it all depends like timing of the contract. But the visibility is good for next couple of years.

Operator

operator
#168

The next question is from the line of Govind Saboo from IndiaNivesh.

Govind Saboo

analyst
#169

Sir, I just wanted to clarify on the margin part. We are guiding INR 475 crores of revenue for FY '20 with a PBT margin of 10% to 12%, whereas in the first 9 months, we have already done a PBT of 40 -- I mean, INR 50 crores round about. So I mean, are we underguiding something or...

S. Reddy

executive
#170

No. See, as repeatedly said, no, there are 2 reasons. One is the mix is going to be entirely different in the last quarter. And there will be a provisioning requirement in the last quarter. These 2 things will pull down the margins. So that is the reason why we are guiding around 10% to 12%. It is good that if we can exceed beyond this. So as of today, this is what...

Govind Saboo

analyst
#171

But in that condition, we are assuming a very marginal PBT or maybe a 0 PBT or negative to marginally positive PBT in quarter 4?

S. Reddy

executive
#172

Definitely, not negative. The PBT in terms of absolute numbers, it will be close to about INR 10 crores to INR 12 crores kind of thing. So that will give you about 12%, or slightly more than 12%.

Operator

operator
#173

The next question is from the line of [ Anirudh Jain ], an individual investor.

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#174

No, my question has already been asked.

Operator

operator
#175

[Operator Instructions]

S. Reddy

executive
#176

Steven, if no more questions are there, let us close the call.

Operator

operator
#177

Sure. Sir, any closing comments?

S. Reddy

executive
#178

Yes. Thank you, ladies and gentlemen, for your participation. I look forward to talk to you again at the end of the financial year. Thank you.

Operator

operator
#179

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen...

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