aTyr Pharma, Inc. (ATYR) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

March 13, 2025

NASDAQ US Health Care Biotechnology earnings 60 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the aTyr Pharma Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded for replay purposes. It is now my pleasure to hand the conference call over to Ashlee Dunston, aTYr's Senior Director of Investor Relations and Public Affairs. Ms. Dunston, you may begin.

Ashlee Dunston

executive
#2

Thank you, and good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us today to discuss aTyr's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Operating Results and Corporate Update. We are joined today by Dr. Sanjay Shukla, our President and CEO; Ms. Jill Broadfoot, our CFO; and Dr. Leslie Nangle, Vice President of Research. On the call, Sanjay will provide an update on our corporate strategy, including our clinical program for efzofitimod. Leslie will discuss our research and discovery programs, while Jill will review the financial results and our current financial position before handing it back to Sanjay to open up the call for any questions. Before we begin, I want to remind everyone that except for statements of historical facts, the statements made by management and responses to questions on this conference call are forward-looking statements under the safe harbor provision of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements involve risks and uncertainties that can cause actual results to differ materially from those in such forward-looking statements. Please see the forward-looking statement disclaimer in the company's press release issued this afternoon as well as the risk factors in the company's SEC filings and included in our most recent annual report on Form 10-K, subsequently filed quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, and in our other SEC filings. Undue reliance should not be placed on our forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date they are made, as facts and circumstances underlying those forward-looking statements may change. Except as required by law, aTyr Pharma disclaims any obligation to update these forward-looking statements to reflect future information, events, or circumstances. I will now turn the call over to Sanjay.

Sanjay Shukla

executive
#3

Thank you, Ashlee. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us for our fourth quarter and full-year 2024 results conference call. At aTyr, we're on a mission to translate TRNA synthetase biology into new therapies for fibrosis and inflammation. Our lead therapeutic candidate, efzofitimod, is a first-in-class biologic immunomodulator that selectively modulates activated myeloid cells via neuropilin-2 or NRP2 to resolve inflammation without immune suppression and potentially prevent fibrosis progression. We're developing efzofitimod as a treatment for patients with interstitial lung disease, or ILD, a group of rare immune-mediated disorders that can cause chronic inflammation and fibrosis of the lungs. 2024 was an important year for aTyr as we completed enrollment in our global pivotal Phase III EFZO-FIT study of efzofitimod in patients with pulmonary sarcoidosis in major form of ILD, which is our lead indication. This is the largest interventional study ever conducted in pulmonary sarcoidosis, and we look forward to releasing top-line data from this study in the third quarter of this year. EFZO-FIT is a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled 52-week study. It consists of 3 parallel cohorts, randomized equally to either 3 milligrams per kilogram or 5 milligrams per kilogram of efzofitimod or placebo, dosed intravenously monthly for a total of 12 doses. The study enrolled 268 patients at 85 centers in 9 countries. The trial design incorporates a forced steroid taper with steroid reduction as the primary endpoint of the study. Secondary endpoints include measures of sarcoidosis quality of life and lung function. Patients who complete the study and wish to receive treatment with efzofitimod outside of the clinical trial are eligible to participate in an individual patient expanded access program, or EAP. The EAP was implemented primarily based on feedback from multiple study principal investigators or PIs whose patients requested to continue treatment once they had completed the study. These patients will receive 5 milligrams per kilogram of efzofitimod while in the EAP. However, PIs, patients, and the company remain blinded to the EFZO-FIT treatment assignments of these EAP patients. Additionally, we have now held 4 positive Data and Safety Monitoring Board or DSMB reviews for this study, all of which have identified no safety concerns and recommended that the study continue unmodified. The most recent preplanned independent review indicates that the study continues to track well from a safety standpoint. We remain confident in the favorable safety profile we have seen for efzofitimod to date, which we believe is the key value proposition of the drug. Finally, we'll get our first look at the blinded baseline demographic and disease characteristics of the patients enrolled in the study at the upcoming American Thoracic Society Conference, or ATS, which is scheduled to take place mid-May in San Francisco. In a poster, we will be able to get a sense of the profile of the patients enrolled, including baseline steroid dose and background immunomodulator use and how the profile matches the inclusion and exclusion criteria for the study. As part of our planning for the Phase III readout for EFZO-FIT, we recently held a Type C meeting with the US Food and Drug Administration or FDA. The main objective of this meeting was to discuss the statistical analysis plan, or SAP, for the study, including how the primary and secondary endpoints are assessed statistically. For the primary endpoint, we determined how steroid reduction will be analyzed in the SAP. As we previously discussed, we initially proposed that we measure steroid reduction based on calculating the average daily steroid dose between week 12 and week 48, which is the protocol-specified post-steroid taper period. We viewed this as a conservative way of measuring steroid reduction in the study. Based on FDA feedback, we will now measure steroid reduction as the absolute change from baseline to week 48. We feel this change creates a more simplified assessment to capture the potential steroid delta between groups. The statistical powering for the study remains intact, and we are pleased with the clarification around how we will measure steroid reduction. With limited clinical studies in sarcoidosis as a benchmark, we are pioneering a path forward to measure how we can potentially improve the lives of these patients. While we brought you up to date on EFZO-FIT, I want to take a few minutes to provide you with critical insights into the pulmonary sarcoidosis landscape in the US that have emerged from some of our early pre-commercial activities. We believe these findings support a potentially larger market opportunity for efzofitimod in sarcoidosis. Pulmonary sarcoidosis is a disease characterized by the formation of granulomas or clumps of immune cells, predominantly in the lungs. The current standard of care is oral corticosteroids, which may help improve symptoms in the short term but come with serious side effects with long-term use. And despite the use of steroids and other off-label immunosuppressive agents, many patients have disease that progresses with around 20% developing lung fibrosis, which can lead to organ failure and death. There remains a lack of safe and effective treatments available for these patients. It is typically reported that sarcoidosis affects close to 200,000 people in the US, with 90% of patients having lung involvement. A third-party claims analysis, which we conducted late last year, confirms that number and shows that the number of patients diagnosed with lung involvement similar to the population enrolled in our Phase III trial is 30% higher than previously estimated. Since the US epidemiology numbers most frequently referenced were published nearly a decade ago, we were not surprised that the population has grown. Furthermore, when we looked at treatment practices, such as the number of patients that require any treatment and those that are prescribed steroids, we saw that nearly 75% of diagnosed patients are prescribed steroids, which is well above previous estimates in the US and at the upper range as to what is reported globally. Furthermore, the claims also showed significant mortality and hospitalization rates, which speak to the high unmet medical need for this disease. When it comes to pricing, through additional payer research that we conducted, we continue to see positive feedback from payers regarding their willingness to reimburse for an on-label biologic in sarcoidosis. We are encouraged by the reimbursement landscape we've seen recently, where some rare disease product launches have included steroid reduction as part of the label and are priced at a premium. In sum, we believe the findings from these recent activities support the patients' and physicians' need and strong desire for a product like efzofitimod. We view efzofitimod as a potential frontline steroid-reducing agent in patients with moderate to severe disease, which could address 50% to 75% of all sarcoidosis patients. We previously stated that we estimate a total global market opportunity for efzofitimod in ILD at $2 billion to $5 billion, and our updated research supports a market where sarcoidosis represents a significant portion of that range. Some of these insights that we've discussed will be presented in 2 posters at ATS in May. This work has enhanced our understanding of the sarcoidosis market in the US in a way that will be foundational for preparing for some of our upcoming commercial readiness activities. Finally, as we start to plan for commercial readiness, we recently appointed Eric Benevich, who is currently the Chief Commercial Officer for Neurocrine Biosciences to our Board of Directors. Eric brings a wealth of experience in launching high-value pharmaceuticals, including, most recently, a product for a rare disease that has a steroid reduction component as part of its Phase III clinical trial and FDA approval package. We anticipate his contributions will be highly valuable as we advance efzofitimod to a commercial product. Now, let's turn to our second indication for efzofitimod, ILD-related systemic sclerosis or SSC, which is also known as scleroderma. SSC is a form of connective tissue disease where ILD commonly occurs and is the leading cause of mortality. Current treatment options for SSc-ILD are limited. And like sarcoidosis, they do not treat the underlying disease or improve quality of life. efsoconnect is a Phase II randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled proof-of-concept 28-week study to evaluate 2 fixed doses of efzofitimod, 270 milligrams or 450 milligrams compared to placebo. Patients are dosed intravenously monthly for a total of 6 doses. This study is currently enrolling patients with limited and diffuse SSc-ILD at multiple centers in the U.S. The primary endpoint of the study is lung function as measured by forced vital capacity, and key secondary endpoints include symptom control and skin assessments. We expect to release interim data from the study in the second quarter of this year. The interim data will focus on skin assessments measured at baseline in week 12 for approximately 8 patients, including patients on drugs and placebo. We plan to present findings for skin histopathology, including immune biomarkers and the modified Rodnan skin score, which will provide insight regarding potential changes in skin tissue. Skin manifestations in SSC highly impact the quality of life for these patients, and other therapies showing improvement in these measures have had limited to no success. This interim data may provide us with an early signal related to skin changes and may help inform the clinical development strategy for this indication. Because we plan to evaluate skin assessments in the interim data and do not plan to include any data related to lung function, we see limited read-through from this data to the Phase III top-line data in pulmonary sarcoidosis that we will present later this year. I will now turn the call over to Leslie Nangle, our Vice President of Research, to discuss our research and discovery programs.

Leslie Nangle

executive
#4

Thank you, Sanjay. While we have focused quite a bit on efzofitimod in the clinic, it will be useful to comment on efzofitimod's unique mechanism of action or MOA, as this is truly a first-in-class drug candidate. Since we started this program, we have greatly enhanced our mechanistic understanding of efzofitimod's immunomodulatory activity. And we are pleased to report that just yesterday, we published an extensive manuscript in the Journal of Science Translational Medicine, which outlines the MOA and all of the preclinical data generated for efzofitimod from concept to clinic. The article describes the foundational science, detailed preclinical studies, and discovery work behind efzofitimod. This includes how it is engineered from a splice variant of the terin synthetase HARS, which is enriched in human lung tissue and upregulated by inflammatory cytokines in lung and immune cells. It also describes its specific and selective binding to NRP2, which is a cellular receptor highly expressed by myeloid cells in active sites of inflammation. Through this binding it inhibits the expression of pro-inflammatory receptors and cytokines, thereby downregulating inflammatory pathways in macrophages. This mechanism can subsequently disrupt the cycle of chronic inflammation and fibrosis. This type of top-tier peer-reviewed journal requires extensive vetting by the broader scientific community, with multiple independent reviewers performing a comprehensive audit of all of the work that we have generated. This process itself demands the utmost transparency in our work. Therefore, we believe this publication validates the immune regulatory properties and extracellularly mediated mechanism we have demonstrated for efzofitimod as it relates to reducing inflammation and fibrosis. Furthermore, it considerably reinforces the basis for the application of efzofitimod in chronic inflammatory conditions. It strengthens the scientific rationale for our clinical program in ILD as well as encourages the potential development of other tRNA synthetase-based therapeutics for disease prevention. We are very proud that the novel science that drives efzofitimod is being recognized on the world stage. To publish this extensive body of work in such an esteemed journal is a momentous accomplishment for our research team and speaks to the nature of the high-quality work that aTyr produces. While we have focused much of today's conversation around efzofitimod, I want to remind you that the splice variant that forms the backbone of efzofitimod comes from our robust intellectual property estate, covering domains from all 20 human tRNA synthetase. We utilize our platform and unique drug discovery process as an engine to generate new pipeline candidates. With efzofitimod and HARS, we have demonstrated that this tRNA synthase fragment has a previously undiscovered extracellular function, and we continue to interrogate other tRNA synthetase fragments to identify roles they may play in cellular response and altered disease states. We currently have 2 preclinical candidates from other tRNA synthetase where we have identified their interactions with targets and therapeutic areas where they may play a role. Both of these candidates, ATYR-0101 and ATYR-0750, interact with receptors that affect fibrosis. We are exploring ATYR-0101 in both lung and kidney fibrosis, where we recently presented data at a Keystone Symposia that shows its ability to induce myofibroblast apoptosis through a novel antifibrotic mechanism. We are exploring ATR-0750 in liver disorders based on the strong connection to its target, which is FGFR4. We are really proud of the innovative work that we have done with efzofitimod and the advancement of the program to date. We look forward to replicating that process with some of our current and yet-to-be-discovered candidates. I will now turn it over to our Chief Financial Officer, Jill Broadfoot, to review our financial results.

Jill Broadfoot

executive
#5

Thank you, Leslie. We ended 2024 with $75.1 million in cash, restricted cash, cash equivalents, and investments. Subsequent to the end of the fourth quarter of 2024, we raised approximately $18.8 million in gross proceeds from our at-the-market or ATM offering program. Collaboration and license revenue related to the Kyorin agreement was $0.2 million for the year-ended 2024, which consisted of drug product material sold to Kyorin for the Japan portion of EFZO-FIT. Kyorin is our partner for the development and commercialization of efzofitimod for ILD in Japan, and we now have received over $20 million under this agreement to date, including milestones, where we are eligible to receive up to $155 million in additional milestone payments, which are primarily geared towards regulatory and commercial milestones for sarcoidosis. Research and development expenses were $54.4 million for the year-ended 2024, which consisted primarily of clinical trial costs for the EFZO-FIT and efzo-connect studies, manufacturing costs for the efzofitimod program, and research and development costs for the efzofitimod and discovery programs. General and administrative expenses were $13.8 million for the year that ended in 2024. Based on our current cash position, we have updated our financial guidance and believe our cash runway is expected to be sufficient to fund the company's operations through one year following the Phase III EFZO-FIT readout. We view this runway as important as it covers key upcoming inflection points for the company, including the Phase III EFZO-FIT readout and a potential filing of a biologics license application for efzofitimod in pulmonary sarcoidosis. In addition to extending our cash runway, we plan to use some of the ATM proceeds to help fund our commercial readiness plans. Now, I'd like to turn the call back over to Sanjay before we open it up to Q&A.

Sanjay Shukla

executive
#6

Thanks, Jill. When we assess our current position, we feel incredibly pleased with our efzofitimod program and are enthusiastic about the future. We're poised to seize an extraordinary opportunity, and our excitement for the rest of 2025 is unmatched. Our latest validating publication in Science Translational Medicine confirms our understanding of efzofitimod's mechanism of action. Our Phase III sarcoidosis trial has progressed through 4 successful DSMB reviews, bolstering our confidence in the therapy's safety profile. And new claims data from sarcoidosis patients suggest a growing multibillion-dollar market with little competition. Our journey began with our innovative biology platform, which advanced from the research to the clinical stage through transparent, seamless execution while upholding a high level of scientific and medical rigor. A groundbreaking advancement for sarcoidosis may be within our reach, one that could greatly enhance the company's trajectory and elevate aTyr to new heights in the biotechnology sector. We greatly appreciate your interest. At this time, we'll be happy to take your questions.

Operator

operator
#7

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Derek Archila with Wells Fargo.

Derek Archila

analyst
#8

Congrats on the progress. So just first question, just maybe, Sanjay, can you shed some light on how measuring the absolute change in steroid reduction at baseline now to week 48 versus the current way that you had set it up in terms of the average cumulative steroid dose, how does that impact the trial? I know you noted the powering remains intact, but I guess maybe just to remind us of the powering of the trial. And I have a follow-up.

Sanjay Shukla

executive
#9

Sure, Derek. So previously, as I mentioned, we were looking at the average steroid dose in that week 12 through week 48 period, basically taking the patient diary information from every single day they report their presence on then and dividing by the number. It's a fairly conservative way of looking at all the peaks and valleys combined with our steroid taper and that protocol that's occurring simultaneous to that treatment period. But after some feedback and discussions with the FDA, the view was to look at just the change from week zero to week 48. This is something that we're very happy with. I think, in many ways, this allows us to simplify the manner in which we analyze our data. It allows us to look simply at the starting dose essentially and the ending dose. Remember, during this period, we're trying our best to taper patients and continue to retape to 0. The assumption now is that many of those peaks and valleys, by the time the study ends, should allow us to potentially maximize the steroid delta that we see in these patients. With regard to powering, it remains over 90%, 90% powered that either 3 or the 5-milligram dose shows a stat sig steroid reduction compared to placebo. That has not changed. And with focusing now on the absolute change as opposed to percent change, we think that's also a better framework that's more relevant to patients and providers.

Derek Archila

analyst
#10

And then just a follow-up here. I know you highlighted in the prepared comments that there was investigator and patient enthusiasm for the EAP. So I just wanted to ask if you have any idea in terms of the percentage of the patients who are in the trial rolling over into the expanded access or a new program there.

Sanjay Shukla

executive
#11

Yes, it's a common question I get: how many patients? What's the percent? And I want to start by saying we have seen continued interest, growing interest. But the issue really here is that not all countries and not all centers can participate based on their local regulatory requirements. I've said this before: countries like Japan, for example, do not have a pathway to participate in an EAP-type program. So you'd have to subtract out all of those regions that aren't involved and then try to come up with a "crude measure of response, which is what I think a lot of investors want to do here. What I can say is that the interest is still very robust. I was just with about 30 experts recently this past weekend. There continues to be more and more interest in participating in the EAP. We have committed to helping patients who are performing well in the trial to roll into the EAP, but it's an individual site-by-state site decision because, of course, we are not in a formal open-label type extension. So very pleased with the progress. I think it's a great signal, a great interim biomarker, if you will. And we're going to continue to support those patients to move into that EAP. But again, to get into specific numbers and try to get into the math, it's probably not helpful. And just as a reminder, we are blinded. We're blinded to what these patients are on during the trial. So there's always a chance that all of these patients are on placebo and that they have been able to taper more or less off their steroids and it doesn't have anything to do with the drug. So people know me to be rather conservative in my messaging. I just think it's a great signal to see that patients who are finishing a trial want to remain in the trial. That, to me, as a former clinician, speaks very powerful to what something is happening during the trial.

Operator

operator
#12

The next question will come from Yasmeen Rahimi with Piper Sandler.

Yasmeen Rahimi

analyst
#13

Congrats on all the exciting progress and an exciting year ahead of us. I got 2 quick questions. One is around managing patients with steroid reduction that led to engaging with the agency to make this change from a sort of clinical perspective. Just maybe if you could kind of shed light on how that meeting came about and why the change makes absolute sense, but maybe the question would be why implement it now and the rationale behind it? That's sort of question one. And question 2, it's really exciting to see the baseline demographics from the study here upcoming at ATS. Could you maybe help us understand what we should be looking for? Obviously, it's a tremendous study with globally, lots of work that went into it. So just kind of help us framework on what are some of the measures that we should be looking closely to in terms of this patient population. And I'll jump back in the queue.

Sanjay Shukla

executive
#14

Great questions. I will take the first one and say that the market research is not necessarily really connected to this type of meeting. This is a little inside baseball biostatistics but typically before you lock your database, you have all the rules set up with the Biostats division. And as a former biostatistician, it's important that we really agree to all the pre-hoc analysis. I think far too many times in biotech, we implement rules, and then after data comes out, we start to do post-hoc analysis and cherry-pick and cut and slice the data. And I wish more biopharmas wouldn't do that. So we're very rigorous, and I like to be very rigorous around, hey, let's get everything pre-hoc organized down to the details exactly how do you want us to program and even look at some of this steroid reduction. But we have proposed something that I viewed as a fairly conservative way of looking at steroids and the average daily steroid dose upon interacting with the FDA here. Their view was this approach would be fine, the suggested approach where we're looking at just a simplified change from baseline. I'm not going to disagree with that. I'm going to go ahead and implement that approach because, as I said, I think this actually allows us to potentially maximize a signal at the end of the trial. Remember, there's a forced steroid taper component. Placebo patients will get the benefit of that reduction of the forced steroid taper. But now looking at the end of the trial, the clinical team and I view this as potentially a way to maximize a signal here because as I pointed out, all those peaks and valleys that occur over the course of the trial now should be adequately handled, observed and now we'll have a true measure at the end of the trial. Your second question was really around the baseline demographics. It's important to put this out. The community is really interested. They want to see data as quickly as possible. Many of our PIs have said, can we take a look at background immunomodulator use. We just want to see the data. We'd like to see what the average daily steroid doses, duration of disease, and things of that nature. So, these are all important things for us to show to the community, and we already have that data. It's just baseline data. So, why not put it out at a major medical conference? The important thing for investors to pay attention to is the average prednisone dose. I'll remind everyone in the last trial, the Phase II trial, we had an average dose somewhere in that 11 to 13 range. This trial, where we're enrolling patients with a slightly lower basement dose of 7.5 milligrams, I expect that prednisone dose may be maybe a little bit lower, but we want to take a look at that. And then that helps with all the investors that want to do the modeling with regards to how much steroid delta you want to see there. So it's important to get this baseline data out there, make sure we more or less enrolled per the IE criteria in our trial.

Operator

operator
#15

Our next question will come from Faisal Khurshid with Leerink Partners.

Faisal Khurshid

analyst
#16

I just wanted to ask in terms of the placebo arm. I guess, with the steroid tapering in general, I think in the past, you had said that patients would have to try to taper to 0 to 3 times over the course of this 48 weeks. So with this change now, like what happens if a patient is mid-taper at week 48? Like does that mean that they'll kind of have a steroid level that's sort of being impacted by this forced taper for what you're measuring for the primary endpoint?

Sanjay Shukla

executive
#17

Yes, that's a great question. So the first thing I'll say is with the relative length of the trial, our expectation is, in particular, in those placebo patients, we have adequate time here to unmask their disease and not only unmask the disease, but have, as you point out, several rounds of trying to basically retaper them. So we are still going to continue with that protocol in that manner. Now, you point out an example, I would say, maybe an extreme example that what if a patient in that last dosing period is actually trying to be re-tapered. So again, this is a very, very specific question for a specific circumstance. But typically, when you look at a change from baseline, it's not that you're looking at the point estimate on that day of that visit. Typically, what you're looking at is a trailing average of, say, 28 days. So that's, again, a very wonky biostats and programming question that you asked there. So in that case, if somebody is in an active taper, we have a look back there of those 28 days. That's occurring for all of the patients there. My view is most patients will have reached what I would call resting dose as a placebo patient and the resting dose of a potential epssotreated patient. And we'll know that over the course of those last 28 days. That's why we believe that this allows us to potentially maximize the differences you may see from the change from baseline within each cohort. Does that help?

Faisal Khurshid

analyst
#18

Yes, super helpful. And then if I could ask, how should we think about the durability of the drug's impact now that you're doing the analysis in a way that really emphasizes the end of the study?

Sanjay Shukla

executive
#19

I love that you asked that question because we were talking about this week. Durability is going to be really important with this trial. This is one way that it signals a potential durable response. I would say things like time to relapse and time to clinical worsening are other ways that you can look at it. I'll remind everyone that from our last data, the pooled analysis showed that these 2 treatment doses kept 93% of the patients in that small data set from relapsing in 6 months, whereas you saw 55% of the subtherapeutic and placebo patients relapse. So, as a comparison, that's an indication of durability. The way we're measuring this endpoint is certainly going to allow us a clue to see if the drug actually has a durable response. But we're also going to be looking at time to relapse as a tertiary analysis. Many of the experts, they really care about that. So that's something that I also think we can potentially see a statistical win on, albeit it's not a primary or secondary endpoint. But definitely, durability is something that we're bullish on right now with our therapy.

Operator

operator
#20

Our next question will come from Prakhar Agrawal with Cantor.

Prakhar Agrawal

analyst
#21

Congrats on the progress. So firstly, I think in the Phase I/II, for the 5 milligram per kg dose, the 1.6 milligram per day steroid reduction that was seen was during the post-taper period. So if can you remind us what you would see in the overall time period based on the new definition here? That's my first question. And the second question, maybe you mentioned that the powering remains intact, but did the powering decrease versus the initial assumption that may have been very conservative to begin with? And lastly, if can you comment on what the FDA says on FEV1 in the Type C meeting? Or was there any discussion around that?

Sanjay Shukla

executive
#22

Yes, I'll take the last part first. Little to no discussions on PFTs. I think this speaks to a much greater interest in steroid reduction and, frankly, the King's Sarcoidosis. So with regard to FEV1 specifically, that is an important PFT for obstructive disease, and many of these patients, of course, have obstructive disease. We'll look at that again as a tertiary endpoint. But my general sense is there's much more of a focus, and we have much more of a discussion around steroid reduction. You asked about powering. Again, the powering assumptions still remain the same. If anything, and I'm going to probably have to set some time aside with you and our biostatistician. The powering remains the same, over 90% powered. We may, in fact, be able to -- I've said before, looked for a 3 and 3.5 milligram absolute percent. Now I think it's probably skewing closer to 3 milligrams. So even with the same powering assumptions, this new way of analyzing the data may allow us to, as I said, potentially maximize the difference here, maybe not even as high a bar, slightly lower. But that's something that we'll confirm. And again, I want to keep the powering here at 90%. Your first part of the question, Prakhar, was, can you just repeat that again?

Prakhar Agrawal

analyst
#23

Yes. So I think in the Phase I/II for the high dose, the 1.6 milligram per day steroid reduction was for the post-taper period. So if you apply the same definition as the new endpoint, if you can remind us what would you see there?

Sanjay Shukla

executive
#24

Right. So we haven't analyzed it in that manner. What I can tell you is that the placebo population had the benefit of the forced steroid reduction in that trial. So if you just sort of qualitatively think about this, if you remove that and you just focus at the end of the trial, we knew that over 50% of the patients in those subtherapeutic doses were not doing well at the end of the trial. They have been rescued and managed at a much higher dose. So just from a qualitative standpoint, given the fact that we held the line and did pretty well with our 3 and 5-milligram doses and the placebo got worse over time, I think you can see that that number would grow, but we haven't gone back and back calculated that. It's a good question, but I think qualitatively, you could probably understand that, that delta would be certainly larger than 1.6.

Operator

operator
#25

Our next question will come from Gregory Renza with RBC Capital Markets.

Gregory Renza

analyst
#26

Congrats on the progress. Sanjay, maybe just spinning to efzofitimod and Scleroderma ILD. It's nice to see the detail on the 8 patients on the data set you'll be showing on the drug and placebo coming up soon. I'm just curious, as you certainly cautioned on not reading through to EFZO-FIT, of course. I just wanted to have you comment a bit on what you are looking for. What do you want to learn from the data set, especially as you talk about the white space with EFZO and other fibrotic diseases? to what extent could this data help guide the directionality there?

Sanjay Shukla

executive
#27

Sure, Greg. Thanks for the question. So absolutely, I think the focus on skin, as you can imagine, we're not really looking so much really at all for skin for sarcoidosis. The skin readouts represent an extremely high bar. Let me first start by saying scleroderma ILD patients, the primary morbidity that they really complain about and care about and, unfortunately, have not been able to address with any of the therapies is improving skin. None of the approved therapies made a dent in helping with clinical symptoms or quality of life. So we take this seriously. We also know it's a very high bar. Why do we think it's worth looking at skin pathology? Well, we saw a lot of neuropilin expression. And even our paper from Science TM that just came out has experts in other areas of inflammatory disease with refractory therapies very much interested. Scleroderma is an area where we see neuropilin expression in those skin plaques. So it makes sense for us from an experimental point of view to really interrogate what's happening there. Do we see any pathology benefit? Do we see any kind of impact? Again, no therapies are able to move the needle at all. Can we see something there with immune biomarkers? Now with that as a context, it's okay then in my mind to look at a small data set because if we do see something, I think it'd be pretty amazing. And I think it could open up EFZO's potential in a number of other systemic diseases, which is where experts continually ask me, can this be used outside of the lung? Our recent paper that just came out it has attracted more interest from other areas in rheumatology and dermatology. This is something that could be quite exciting for the therapy. So as of now, we're really focused on the lung as a franchise with efzofitimod. But you can start to see with the mechanistic validation that Leslie outlined in the Science TM paper, this really looks like an opportunity that, how do you best position efzofitimod. This is the first step, looking at skin, perhaps in scleroderma patients. So I think it's a fair fight right now to take a look here and see if we can actually move the needle. It may actually impact where we want to go with efzofitimod with regard to scleroderma patients.

Gregory Renza

analyst
#28

You're talking about patients that may not go on to an EAP, maybe not knowing what the drug is on, et cetera. You listed several reasons. So just curious, maybe you can share some nuances of the disease itself in that what is the potential to see steroid reductions or even going to zero without therapeutic interventions?

Sanjay Shukla

executive
#29

That's a great question, Greg. And I think what we are now really uncovering and want to really think about with the CAP is as patients start to get into longer-term therapy with efzofitimod. Again, I don't know what they were wondering to be off steroids many times for the first time in maybe a decade; this is just a welcome relief to them. So the CAP is something that I'm really proud of as we look to get more patients in the CAP how do we then potentially, if our drug is successful with the readouts, how do we then morph that into a more formal EAP or a registry? This is going to answer some of those questions where you start to or to say, okay, what is the drug doing long term? It's that durability question. I think it's both exciting, but it also opens up some questions around once we get into 18 or 24 months of good management of these patients, what are the implications for a drug like ours? How does it impact pricing? And how do we, as a company, prepare ourselves for what seems to be a larger market than anyone ever anticipated? So both exciting and challenging, but I think it's something that we look forward to knowing once we unlock and unblind from this current trial.

Gregory Renza

analyst
#30

And then maybe from a reminder standpoint, can you let us know about your current manufacturing readiness, not only for development indications but also for potential early commercialization and the early on needs?

Sanjay Shukla

executive
#31

Yes. We invested significant capital a few years ago ahead of time to prepare for a commercial readiness strategy with our drug supply and a launch readiness plan, and we made those changes from a clinical-grade partner to a commercial-grade partner. Now, we remain on track. That's going to be an important component of our submission. It's something the FDA CMC group certainly keeps tabs on where we are because if we have good data, we want to have the drug ready for these patients. As I told you, 20% of these patients, upwards of 20%, have significant morbidity and a potential mortality rate in certain age groups that are even higher than that. So these patients can't wait. So for us to be ready as a biopharma, we made those investments. If anything, right now, we have to look at this new epi data and say do we have to be ready to have this as a bigger opportunity? I can tell you that and I've said this to many of you, the interest from strategics, for example, is the highest, it's ever been because I think the market, even with some of those potential strategics we talk to, they are realizing it's a much larger market. We've had a hand in that by leading the way in sarcoidosis; we've opened up people's eyes. More data equals more publications and more understanding. We continue to lead that way with this claims database that we'll have some data around in the treatment landscape poster at ATS. This is going to fundamentally start to establish a burgeoning market of which we're really the worldwide leader right now with EFZO.

Operator

operator
#32

Our next question will come from Leon Cheng with Jefferies.

Liang Cheng

analyst
#33

This is Cheng on for Roger. So I just want to circle back to the statistical plan change. So, I'm wondering if you can give us any color on what the drivers from the FDA side are to change that statistical analysis plan to the current one. Anything more you see from your Phase I/II that's more supporting this current plan?

Sanjay Shukla

executive
#34

Well, I'm probably not going to comment what exactly is in the FDA's head because if I knew that, I'd have another career and -- but I think it's really about simplification. And if anything, what we proposed, we thought was rather conservative, as I said, lacking and bias approach. A simplified assessment was certainly always on the table. But when you sit down with the FDA and specifically the biostat reviewers, you listen to what they guide you towards, and sometimes you take it quickly, I will say that. So this is an approach. I think, again, as we are trailblazing here, creating a new path, some of this is working closely with the regulators there. So we may have ways in which we are thinking about analyzing things that from an academic or a clinical point of view make sense to us, but they're going to provide a little bit of that regulatory color. And again, if something is a little bit more simplified for them, like I said, we're going to go ahead and take that win. And we do see this as a more streamlined approach that, as I said, we think can help us.

Liang Cheng

analyst
#35

Maybe one more question on the upcoming interim analysis for the scleroderma program. So I understand there will be like 8 patients. So what's the distribution between different doses and placebo? I understand that that will be focused on a high bar of the skin analysis. So, I just wonder how that result would affect your ongoing plan.

Sanjay Shukla

executive
#36

I would imagine I don't have, obviously, the treatment assignments for these patients as of yet. We'll do that when we pull down on these 8 patients. But I anticipate they will include treated and placebo patients just based on the block randomization and how we enroll these patients. That's what I anticipate at this time.

Liang Cheng

analyst
#37

And how should we think about the results regarding any change in your ongoing clinical trial.

Sanjay Shukla

executive
#38

You're saying what are the assessments we'll look at with those 8 patients? Well, again, these skin samples will look at histopathology to see if there's any kind of fibrotic improvement. We'll be looking at immune biomarkers. We've seen, of course, in animals that the drug performs quite well, but now we have access at the cellular level to potentially see things. The one thing with sarcoidosis, not having the ability to biopsy the granulomas that wouldn't be ethical in the trial. This allows us in this trial to really look at what's happening right there at the site of inflammation with these patients. So, having access to the skin samples allows us to see if things are really moving right there in these patients. And, of course, there's also some clinical subscoring with something called the Rodnan skin score. Again, that's something that no approved therapies have improved. So this is why those rheumatologists in particular, are really interested to see if efzofitimod moves the needle at all in these samples. If it does, I think, as I said, it will unlock a number of other potential systemic opportunities in the rheumatology space.

Operator

operator
#39

Our next question will come from Dev Prasad with Lucid Capital Markets.

Dev Prasad

analyst
#40

Congrats on the progress. I have a couple of questions. One is on an expanded access program. I'm wondering whether you plan to use the data in BLA in any way. And secondly, will you have significant data from EAP prior to BLA submission?

Sanjay Shukla

executive
#41

Okay. So, the first question answers the second. The first thing is we're not slowing down our BLA timelines by wanting to really take a look at this data. Now, this is outside of our trial. So it's not housed in a database that we own. There are a number of investigators that they have the ability to if they wanted to pull together an investigator-initiated trial, that could be a possibility. I'm in discussions with some of them about potentially what that would potentially look like. Again, that would sit outside of our trial. So I want everyone to understand not slowing down the BLA time lines. And again, we updated our guidance today that we preserved not only the readout, our BLA timelines, but now effectively have more than a year of cash from our readout, our Phase III readout. So we don't want to slow anything down. Will there be any meaningful analysis from those EAP patients? Again, that depends on whether or not investigators want to have some data out, whether anecdotally or bundled together with some of the sites there. So stay tuned for that. I would love to actually have some data come out in parallel. I think it could potentially really help our BLA discussions if we show, in fact, long-term durable effects of EO. And then, of course, from a safety perspective, it doesn't hurt to have even some more data. So stay tuned. I do think that's something that could potentially really benefit us in 2026.

Dev Prasad

analyst
#42

Just one more. If you can talk about the next pipeline product and potential INDs, do you plan to evaluate Efzofitimod in other ILD diseases or will the path be to bring the next program like 0101 or 0750, into the clinic?

Sanjay Shukla

executive
#43

I think right now, we're enthusiastic to do both. I think efzofitimod clearly mechanistically now could have relevance in a number of other ILDs. And as I pointed out here, we're talking about upwards to a $5 billion market. When you get outside of sarcoidosis, scleroderma, ILD, RA, myositis, and ILD, these are all markets that incrementally, there's no therapy out there that would be considered above ours if we are successful here with sarcoidosis. There are a lot of legacy products, biologics, and other immunosuppressive agents. So I'm continually, for example, in discussions with those autoimmune ILD experts on how we could move into this is another big area that Efzofitimod could potentially work from a mechanistic standpoint. With regard to pipeline, 101 has produced some rather outstanding effects as an antifibrotic and what I would consider a true antifibrotic in that it is initially looking like it modulates myofibroblasts. So our goal would be to expand efzofitimod and look at other indications. I think there would be a significant demand in other ILDs certainly. And then with regard to our pipeline, we clearly have a first-class research team here that can generate outstanding discoveries. So moving 0101 and 0750 into areas like lung fibrosis, kidney fibrosis, liver disorders, that would certainly be in the cards here. And it's why I think this is a really big inflection moment for us as a company with this Phase III readout.

Operator

operator
#44

I show no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the call back over to Sanjay for closing remarks.

Sanjay Shukla

executive
#45

Well, I want to thank everyone for a number of great questions today, a lot of enthusiasm and interest that I can hear on the other side of the line. We certainly appreciate everyone's interest. It has been a journey for us. We're really proud of the work we've done. I'll just highlight one last thing here. Again, I go back to that publication. As a company here with 20 to 25 researchers, we're competing with companies, for example, like Roche and Novartis, places I've worked with thousands in research departments. So, to have a publication in science TM, I think this is our second one in the last 5 years. thousands of publications over the last 5 years in that journal. I can only count 5 companies who have had 2 major publications, and we made the cover this time with these discoveries. And of those 5, we're talking about major big pharma players with thousands of people. So a big shout-out to our research team here in San Diego, 20, 25 folks here strong under the leadership of Leslie, and we're producing discoveries and insights and really fulfilling the mission of translating this rather unique biology into meaningful medicine. So really, really proud of the work we've done here. I'll end with that. Look forward to seeing all of you, many of you on the road as we get closer here to Phase III readouts later this year. So thank you all for your interest.

Operator

operator
#46

This does conclude today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.

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