Axiata Group Berhad (AXIATA) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

May 25, 2022

KLSE MY Communication Services Wireless Telecommunication Services earnings 73 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Clare Chin

executive
#1

Good evening, ladies and gentlemen. My name is Clare Chin, Head of Investor Relations at Axiata Group Berhad. Thank you for standing by, and welcome to Axiata's First Quarter 2022 Results Briefing. Today, we have present with us that is Dato' Izzaddin Bin Idris, Group CEO; Vivek Sood, on my right, Axiata Group CFO; Dato' Idham Nawawi, Celcom CEO; Jennifer Wong, Celcom CFO as well as our representatives from our operating companies dialing in. As usual, there will be a short presentation followed by a Q&A session. Lastly, 2 housekeeping reminders, you will be unmuted throughout the presentation. Also note that we will end the call promptly at 7 p.m. this evening. So without further ado, I would like to hand over the conference to Dato' Mohammed bin Idris.

Mohd Bin Idris

executive
#2

Okay. Good afternoon -- good evening to all of you. Thank you for joining us on this call for the first quarter results. We had an AGM this morning and an EGM that followed for the PT Link Net Tbk acquisition. Happy to report that all resolutions were passed. But on the first quarter results that we announced yesterday, you can see that our first quarter results were affected by the foreign exchange -- unrealized foreign translation losses. I mean I don't have to emphasize that anymore to you guys. What it is, is a noncash element of ForEx losses. That's why we recorded loss of MYR 43 million. ForEx losses in total is about MYR 392 million. And this is stemming from the product losses at Dialog and Axiata itself. Dialog, it has a foreign U.S. dollar loan. Hence, the translation, like the losses that's been recorded because of depreciation of the Sri Lanka rupee. Underlying because quarter results, certainly very encouraging, driven by the operational -- improved performance across all cores except Ncell. Challenges in Nepal continues. On a constant currency basis, year-on-year revenue, excluding device grows by 7.8%. EBITDA margin is stable at 44.8%, and underlying PATAMI rose by 70.7%. Now a bit of the explanation there because there is no accelerated depreciation of 3G assets in '22, yes? So -- but I think the numbers are offset by higher tax from Cukai Makmur. We estimate that for the full year edotco as well as TowerCo would to pay something like MYR 100 million in total. We've made a provision of MYR 3 million in the first quarter. Now adjusted OFCF rose to about MYR 904 million. This is largely due to high EBITDA and CapEx. Our gross debt EBITDA is just a shade below 2.5 -- actually 2.49x, and this is the mother of all guardrails that have been observed because of the rating agencies sort of prescription, if you like. So -- and the higher cash flow is a result of higher EBITDA from Celcom/edotco. Happy to report that the good operational performance of Celcom continues. There are earlier concerns about the quality of the subscribers, level of bad debt and inventory management, that's all under control. So good job to the team at Celcom. Cash balance stood at MYR 5.8 billion, slightly below the year-end number of above MYR 7 billion, but that's attributable to the continuing CapEx investments we need to make in Excel. Company by company, if you look at the Celcom subsidiary maintaining cost momentum and EBIT is a bit distorted because of the known 3G accelerated depreciation in 2022, but there is also lower direct sales and marketing costs and PATAMI rose significantly, but offset from the high impact of Cukai Makmur. XL Group revenue growth, although there's a slightly higher OpEx spend in terms of higher sales and marketing costs due to the expansion of the distribution footprint. EBIT reduced by 12.3% as a result of the network -- next investment that we have to make. PATAMI was affected by the higher finance costs and one-off again and [indiscernible] sales in quarter 1 and the year before. Globally, the performance of moderate while intense competition led to aggressive competition. You can see that data revenue has gone up significantly by 14%. This is in higher intent with the higher data subscribers and usage, EBITDA rose about 4.9% attributable to lower direct and staff costs. But overall EBIT declined slightly because of higher utilization from the new spectrum that was applied last year. Dialog, yes, this is a story that featured prominently during the Q&A session at the AGM today. Shareholders were concerned about the developments in Sri Lanka. We've all read about what's going on there. Now the good news is operationally, Dialog seems to be doing very well, yes, or rather steady performance. You can see the strong growth across all segments of mobile, fixed broadband and TV. EBIT growth lagged by about 2.1%, rose about 2.1%. That's a result of higher direct anemic costs. But suddenly, it reversed into a loss of IDR 15.8 billion. Now this is impacted by the noncash ForEx made loss arising from the U.S. dollar-denominated debt. We will touch a bit more about Dialog and Sri Lankan economy, macroeconomic challenges and all that later on as considerations for 2022. XL, as I've mentioned, international long distance revenue came down by about 16.2%. That affected data growth, but not withstanding data growth of 19.8%, EBIT down by 20%, that's impacted by higher costs and PATAMI dropped slightly by 9.7% as a result of lower tax. Smart, this is a good description. In the past quarters, as Clare would tell you all, we keep using the same -- well, adjective to describe the steady performance on all metrics. So that's the good news. We continue to be able to consistently maintain the revenue growth, higher subscribers and usage. Heavy growth muted slightly at about 2.5%. Higher direct costs and D&A and PATAMI rose by about 23%, as a result of investment impairment of financial services. This is the [indiscernible] business in quarter 1 2021. So there isn't any investment impairment in '22, so a bit sorted by that number. Boost, steady growth in GTV. We're happy to report that GTV grew by about 25% to MYR 1.4 billion. As a result of higher offline transactions on the payments business, increased loan disbursement was credit resulting, in net loss of about MYR 48 million in the first quarter. That's because of the ForEx recognition in the year before. Boost life users are now up to 9.9 million and Malaysian merchants went up to 469,000 merchants. ADA, I'm happy to report that it continues to retain the revenue momentum. Year-on-year, revenue doubled to MYR 189 million, and this is driven by the improved contribution from the Customer Engagement business as well as the contribution from the e-commerce enablement business from the acquisition of Awake Asia. At PATAMI dropped slightly to about MYR 6 million as a result of higher opex, taxation and ForEx loss. And I guess the big item here as far as ADA is concerned, is staff cost. That's the feature of their P&L. They went through the same experience as a lot of tech companies staff churn, if you like, in excess of 30%, and that's a pretty high number to manage in terms of staff costs. Insofar as edotco is concerned, very strong operational performance driven by the acquisition of Touch Mindscape and organic growth in both colo and new B2S sites. Now just to highlight this, as of the year-end, as you are aware, we completed this transaction on 24th of December. So for the period 2021, we had to include the debt -- correspond the debt amount as a result of the acquisition, but we were not able to record or consolidate the EBITDA numbers. I'm happy to report the first quarter, the EBITDA is about -- sorry, about MYR 30 million if I'm not mistaken. So we continue to make sure that the revenue flow-through and lower staff costs continue. PATAMI is slightly impacted by the higher finance costs because of the acquisition of such Mindscape. The good news is tenancy ratio, and this is not a metric that we track, yes. And so far, concern has moved from 1.57 to 1.63x in the first quarter. Overall, we are confident of meeting the 2022 headline KPIs that we've announced, but mindful of risk sectors. We are rather cautiously optimistic for revenue at device growth and EBIT, but we think it will be in line headline KPIs. Risks for 2022 include macroeconomic challenges, especially in Sri Lanka, sustained global chief supply issues and regulatory uncertainties and I think so far, supply chain is concerning, it goes beyond chips, flowers, also restricted and Malaysia supply of chicken is also causing price of chicken to go up to MYR 11 per kilo if you go to the market, just so you know. Yes. So there are issues on Dialog for 2022 dividends because of the pressures on the translation loss and dividend trap, yes, because a lot of companies -- in fact, all companies, organizations in Sri Lanka are unable to remit U.S. dollar. So the good news is as the key shareholder -- majority of shareholder of Dialog, we are providing the necessary support to the Dialog team. The vision of 5.0 continues. We are executing for next as the integrated annual report to describe our efforts for 2021, but this will continue in 2022. Various acquisitions are made. The PLDT towers by edotco, happy to report that we should be completing the transaction in phases because the handover of the towers will spread between this month, June, September and year-end. So if you like, the debt that will be consolidated will be over a period of time. And I think the point to note here is that whilst we have made an acquisition, 100% of all the towers, we've always been in talks with several parties to take a stake in this SPV that holds the tower assets in Philippines. That's the first thing. We hope to make appropriate announcements shortly. So that will enable us to degear ourselves from the, call it, the debt that was raised to buy over these assets. The second bit is, it is a stand-alone acquisition in the sense there has no recourse. There's no support that Axiata has to provide to edotco. And they set up with SPV to make this acquisition and hopefully, we'll be sub-funding. As you know on 9th April, we announced the successful announcement of the digital bank license, 1 of the 5 digital bank license has been issued by Central Bank. And in measure, we've completed the acquisition of Hipernet Indodata as part of our enterprise proposition. We've announced the Link Net acquisition. The shareholders today has approved this acquisition. The 1 of the 2 vendors, one vendor is CVC, the vendor is PT -- PT First Media. That's a subsidiary of Lippo. They are going to be shareholders on 6th of June. Once that due is completed, we will have an obligation to undertake a mandatory thing we will offer. And hopefully, we can complete the mandatory takeover offer in the third quarter. Celcom Digi merger, another question that was prevalent during the AGM. As you know, this is the first time a major transaction of this nature, MYR 60 billion in value that's been done understandably, and it took a bit of time to try to evaluate the issues to make sure that it is not anticompetitive. We have been engaging with MCMC on the statement of issues that was issued on 1st of April. And we hope to conclude this soon. And hopefully, we can complete the whole acquisition by the second half of this year. We've also announced today -- launched, rather, our net zero carbon road map. We're committed to achieving net zero emissions no later than 2050 with a near-term target of 2030 to reduce operational cover emissions by 45% from the 2020 baseline. So we should take 2020, baseline basically using 2020 as a anchor year, if you like, and moving on to improve the carbon emissions by 45% by 2030. In fact, based on the [indiscernible] we've done for Scope 1 and Scope 2, the company issues a tally up to 1.2 million tons of carbon oxide equivalent CO2 in small, GCO2e. And we've also announced today the key objective strategy for Climate Action, which includes carbon emissions, reduction avoidance and removal. I think on this one, I think we need to be mindful that when it comes to reducing and pursuing a net zero coverage road map, there'll be investments that we need to make. But at the end of the day, if we are serious about climate concerns on climate issues, this is something that every other company should pursue. The threat is real. And the point I'm trying to make is that the investment we make will be much more if we have to do it in 5 years, 10 years down the road. But that's how we see the investments in maker as climate action is concerned. Now on that note, I would like now to hand over to our new CFO, Mr. Vivek Sood.

Vivek Sood

executive
#3

Thank you, Dato. Very good afternoon, evening, to all of you. Let me start with the results. Firstly, the reported numbers. The year -- the quarter on a year-on-year basis for the revenue growth of 6.7%, EBITDA growth of 7.7%. On quarter-on-quarter, a drop of 6.3% on revenue, EBITDA minus 4.7%, partly because of the seasonality. Quarter 1 is generally lower than quarter 4 and also on account of translation of productive from the operational currency to our reporting currency, and so that's the impact on the revenue. Profit, as Dato mentioned, is being impacted because of the unrealized ForEx losses. Most of it is unrealized. I think it's around MYR 14 million, which was realized and large part of it, around MYR 390 million, large part of it comes from the depreciation of LKR, which happened around the closer end of March -- between December and March, the LKR depreciated by around 31%. And that's correspondingly resulted in loss on PATAMI of minus MYR 43 million. On an underlying basis, the business grew 7.8% ex-device and 7.4% on EBITDA. Margin remained fairly stable, in fact, better than previous year by around -- at around 44.8%. Underlying PATAMI grew by 17.7% and EBITDA contribution from all OpCos except Ncell resulted in overall profit improvement during the quarter compared to last year. If you look at the numbers on the left, most of the OpCos showed a high single-digit or double-digit growth coming in during this quarter on a year-on-year basis. On a quarter-on-quarter basis, except Dialog and edotco, there was a marginal dip across all the ons. As far as our initiative on costs are continuing, which we saved around MYR 241 million in the quarter, out of which a large part of it came from CapEx saving, around MYR 163 million, and around MYR 78 million coming from OpEx savings. EBIT growth, strong growth compared to last year at 44.5%, mainly coming on improvement in EBITDA to the extent of 7.4%. But in addition to that, EBIT improvement also came to the last year, specifically in Celcom had accelerated depreciation impact in quarter 1, which wasn't present in this particular quarter. And that improvement translated down to higher PATAMI of around MYR 317 million translation improvement of 7%. So just to give you a perspective on the movement from last year to this year, mainly [indiscernible] as I mentioned earlier, also on account of the impact of extended depreciation, which was around MYR 194 million last year during the first quarter. As far as the reconciliation between the reported numbers and underlying numbers, the largest part is around MYR 404 million is account on ForEx and derivatives impact coming in this quarter, essentially on account of unrealized translation losses for ForEx movement. If I look at the adjusted OFCF, the adjusted OFCF is basically EBITDA minus adjusting for the lease liabilities. So if you look at on adjusted OFCF from last year on MYR 710 million, we improved MYR 904 million, mainly coming out of the improvement in EBITDA and also lower CapEx during this first quarter compared to last year on the same quarter. By OpCo, a significant part of the improvement comes from XL, and that's essentially on account of the CapEx which is a matter of phasing issue, I would say, or a timing issue, then will saving coming out of the OFCF, but still fairly strong cash generation during the quarter of around MYR 904 million. As far as balance sheet is concerned, I think one of the concerns raised by some of the investors has been on our ability to support the expansion of the growth plans we have. As far as this point is concerned, I think the balance sheet still remains fairly strong at under 2.5x debt to EBITDA -- gross debt-to-EBITDA and under 2x on net to debt to EBITDA was around MYR 5.8 billion cash. The borrowings are around 45% in local currency remaining around close to 55% in foreign currency and mostly USD with around half of it has been hedged as we speak. The good news is about most of the borrowings have been on fixed interest rates, even though interest rates are going up, the impact has not been that significant so far. And the other point is that our tenure of our debt has been fairly normal, more than 65% of our debt, more than 2 years maturity. So I think balance sheet has been fairly stable with cash balance around MYR 5.8 billion March end. Yes. Let me quickly run through performance of each of the OpCos. On a year-on-year basis, Celcom grew 5.2%. On a quarter-on-quarter basis, there was a bit minus 3%, and that's mainly on amount of one-off revenues coming in, in last quarter of 2021. As far as EBITDA is concerned, Celcom did see the impact -- I mean 3.6% improvement on EBITDA really coming because of the lower cost of sales and devices in the first quarter of this year. Translated into improved FCA at around MYR 598 billion million, around 16% improvement and also translating into improved profit for the -- of MYR 160 million in quarter 1 2022. We did consider in our accounts around close to MYR 23 million effect on account of Cukai Makmur. We estimate the full impact for Axiata for the year would be anywhere between MYR 80 million to MYR 100 million for the full 2 years. XL, good revenue growth on a year-on-year basis, around 7.9% though coming out of the expansion activities, specifically on distribution or network, translating to lower improvement on the EBITDA as compared to the revenue improvement. As I said earlier, phasing issues of CapEx translated into FCF of around MYR 1.9 trillion and slightly lower profit because of higher finance cost -- net finance cost. Most of the debt in Indonesia has been on floating, which we are trying to move to fixed. And also last year, we did have some one-off gain coming out of sale of picocell which is in building solutions in quarter 1 last year. I think the performance impacted by intense competition in the market and intense competition comes from the fact that all the operators did acquire spectrum last year, and there has been a fair amount of high growth happening on the data consumption in that particular market. Having said that, still the improvement coming in the revenue of around 2%, a much stronger outcome in the eventually EBITDA improvement. That's largely coming on account of lower direct costs as well as staff costs during the quarter. However, EBIT getting impacted because the higher D&A driven from the additional amortization from the spectrum, which was purchased last year. FCF remains fairly stable with CapEx in line with what the plans are, translating into improved profits by around 16.1% over last year at around nearly MYR 400 million. Dialog. I think this has been on operations which has got contradiction, operationally extremely good performance with revenue growing at 16.6%, contributed across all lines. However, impact came from ForEx and also on account of the OpEx mainly coming because of the -- because large part of the OpEx in Dialog is also U.S. denominated and effect of the inflation in that particular market. Rise in D&A effectively on account of the investments made last year, resulted in an overall loss of LKR 15.8 billion for the quarter. And if you exclude the ForEx impact, it was still a strong performance and profit of around LKR 4.3 billion for that particular quarter. So I think in terms of performance operationally, good performance, but the headwinds on account of the current macroeconomic factors is something which impacted the results, and this is something which we are watchful, will have impact during this year on overall performance of [indiscernible]. Ncell. I think this is one market where we've struggled. This quarter was impacted by lower international long distance revenue, which is something which we expect overall deterioration in the long ILD traffic. However, the business was also impacted because of the regulation introduced in lowering the interconnect rates, which had an impact on revenue as well as profits because of the lowering of the rates, the company has no choice but to also lower the on-net rates reducing the margins on the voice business. So I think we still struggle there with -- while there is an improvement happening on the data monetization side, but it is not sufficient enough to take care of the lower international traffic as well as impact on the voice side. Having said that, I think the company does continue to manage its spends reasonably well, in fact coming on account of EBIT coming mostly on account of the increased investments on the network side, which we've taken last year to expand our coverage ratio. FCF, lower, mainly on the continuing spend on the spectrum and activating that spectrum, which was bought last year, but only pretty much flat compared last year. Smart, I think, as Dato said, has been a fairly stable business for us, continues to show improvement year-on-year. Quarter-on-quarter impacted because of mostly because of seasonality but remains fairly steady when it comes to the EBITDA and EBIT line. And similarly, I think the profit improvement happened because of the overall improvement in top line and increase in the EBITDA. Let me go to the digital businesses quickly. Boost showed a good improvement on the revenue. Quarter-on-quarter, does see a dip mainly on account of one-off revenue, but through the partnership last quarter with Mastercard as well as carrying out some of the government-led initiatives. So that's not been there in the quarter 1, but still revenue has been growing compared to last year. EBITDA has been quite flat coming to last year. FCF, I think there's not much of CapEx in the business. And profit has been marginally lower. Because last year, there was some one-off products, which was recognized on account of the investments made by [indiscernible], which was not there this year, resulting in lower profits compared to last year. Having said that, the business is still working on improving the profit lens with contribution, which is a gross margin seeing improvement when compared to last year. ADA remains strong when it comes to the performance overall. Revenue continues to be growing at a fairly fast pace, more than 100% improvement on the revenue line compared to last year, but marginally lower on a quarter-on-quarter basis. And that's more of seasonality because our marketing budgets do not come up from the enterprise customers during the first quarter of the year. EBITDA translating into strong growth in EBITDA and also profit margin is lower because of the translation losses coming from the operations, which are mostly on U.S. dollar operations and slightly higher taxes in some of the margin markets where they have been making profits. On edotco, strong operational performance with around 19% growth, partly contributed by the addition of Touch Mindscape and also organic build mostly in Bangladesh during the year. And that basically translated into a strong EBIT growth of 34.5%, mainly on account of the lower staff costs. PATAMI grew at 3.5%, mainly on account of higher borrowing costs essentially coming out of the debt-funded acquisition of Touch Mindscape. The improvement on the good news has been the improvement coming on tenancies that have moved up from 1.57 in '21 to around 1.63 in 2022. I think there are still strong orders on new tower builds, specifically in Bangladesh, which should continue to deliver a good performance during the year for [Technical Difficulty]. Moving forward, I'll hand over back to Dato.

Mohd Bin Idris

executive
#4

Thanks, Vivek. I think as far as our headline KPI is concerned, we are cautiously optimistic for the revenue, ex-dividend growth in line with our -- what we've announced as our headline KPIs. The guidance for CapEx whilst it's not a headline KPI, we indicated MYR 7.1 billion. Out of this, about MYR 1 billion is attributable to edotco. And again, the business is very different 6 months after -- sorry 9 months takes to put up a tower [indiscernible] after commission, you will get the revenue. So a slightly different consideration as far as is edotco is concerned, yes? Now the consideration for 2022. As I said earlier, on macroeconomic, inflationary pressures, increased energy costs, high interest rates, currency volatility, all this put pressure on our financials. Impact of M&A transactions, I think this is key. The execution is always key to try to crystallize and extract the synergies from the acquisitions that we've made. We as leader for Axiata and so on have sustained global chip supply issues exacerbated by the Russia, Ukraine war. This has increased our costs, geopolitics as well, and this is going to continue to pose us a challenge. Increased taxes -- potential increased access, high inflation in ForEx challenges in Sri Lanka and we are watching it specifically. The good news is the government has put in place an incredible -- sorry, the President has put an incredible government in place. These are people with experienced significant IMF and so on. So we hope that is going to help provide a real lifeline to businesses and the people of Sri Lanka. As I've said earlier, we continue to provide the support for Dialog to make sure that we can continue to provide the quality of service to its customers, connecting, as you all know, is key engine in any markets and Sri Lanka is no different. And especially in times like this, when people need to be connected. So at the same time, we are prioritizing the CapEx to just critical ones, especially maintenance CapEx in Sri Lanka. So there is no sort of undue pressure on the balance sheet and cash flows of [indiscernible]. Okay, in due course, things in Sri Lanka will then fall back, so that business can come back to where it used to be. Just a bit on net zero growth metric we launched this afternoon, three objective strategy. First, to accelerate decarbonization of our network operations. Scope 1 and 2, as I mentioned, 45% from the 2022 baseline. That's going to be done through enhancing energy efficiency, increase renewable energy consumption from self-generation or purchase electricity. The second strategy is to reduce energy emissions under Scope 3. And this is the big challenge because Scope 3 are third party sort of responsibility. But what we do is we're going to track our suppliers, operational carbon emissions as we progress, and we believe this will contribute to positive event impact across our value chain. And of course, the objective strategy is to contribute positively climate actions to carbon removal and enable avoidance through technology and digitalization. And this is going to be done by us decarbonization futures to enable efforts across society. So that's something that we've announced and hopefully, we will be able to make an impact for this. So that in a nutshell is the presentation for third quarter results as well as on some net zero carbon road map that we've launched today and I hand over now to Clare.

Clare Chin

executive
#5

Thank you, Dato. Thank you, Vivek. So we'll move on to the Q&A session. [Operator Instructions]. So as usual, we are also joined by our colleagues from other OpCos, Celcom, CMO, Allan; XL, we have CFO. Pak Budi; edotco, CEO, Adlan; ADA CEO, Srini ; Boost, CEO Sheyantha as well as Dr. Hans, Group EVP. So feel free to direct your questions to them as well, if you wish.

Clare Chin

executive
#6

So let's move on to the Q&A session. We have the first question perhaps coming from Foong, CIMB.

Choong Chen Foong

analyst
#7

Yes, I can -- okay, I just got myself unmuted. Firstly, for Celcom, if I look at the service revenue, it fell by about 3.5% Q-on-Q, going from 4Q to the first quarter of this year, looks a little bit softer than what the -- what your peers reported for the quarter. So I appreciate if you can give us a bit more color as to the trajectory. Was there a pickup in competition for Celcom or perhaps the MVNOs, any softness in terms of the performance there? Secondly, on Dialog in Sri Lanka, apologies if this was already covered earlier. What has the revenue you expect in May so far from the economic crisis? And with regards to the U.S. dollar-denominated debt that they have, when is that due? And then third question for Boost. Now that it has won a digital banking license, what do you expect in terms of the earnings trajectory and any change to the breakeven time line that was previously guided? Yes, those are my three questions.

Vivek Sood

executive
#8

Okay. Here's the advantage of chairing this session. I can direct the questions now to Dato' Idham and second one to Vivek and the third one to Sheyantha. Sorry, guys. I have been doing a lot of talking today. So give chance to everybody else.

Mohd Bin Idris

executive
#9

Thank you, Foong, for the questions. Yes, it's slightly softer. If you see it across -- compared to the other -- couple of reasons. Of course, in Q4 last year, we had a very good quarter. So there was quite a good quarter that we have compared to the industry. And then what also happened in the -- towards the beginning of the -- towards the end of last quarter or the beginning of the first quarter, we have seen also the competition responding to our offer to the market, which we decided not to respond just yet, because we think whatever that we offer is still very, very competitive. But I think that cost slightly softer than the rest. However, some of the latest trends that we see in the past couple of months that we're seeing that whatever the decisions that we have made to hold on to our own tactics and strategy is -- was the correct decision. So yes, it is. It is due to some of the response from the competition, but we decided not to respond just yet.

Vivek Sood

executive
#10

Okay. Any comments on the MVNO ones?

Unknown Executive

executive
#11

On the MVNO, there's nothing out of the ordinary that I've seen at this point in time, but when the competition responded to our offers, that's the Celcom but also touched with the offer from the MVNO as well.

Mohd Bin Idris

executive
#12

Okay. Vivek, take on the second question on the...

Vivek Sood

executive
#13

Yes. So I think as far as our revenue is concerned, I think it's still holding well across lines of businesses. So we have been very okay. I think where we're seeing a bit of a challenge is the platform cost and our ability to pass on the effect of inflation to the consumers. And the reason for that is the in Indonesia -- in Sri Lanka, we require the regulatory approval on any price increase. As far as debt is concerned, we have around close to MYR 144 million of debt, out of which close to MYR 72 million is the shareholder loan given by Axiata which is for a period of 3 years, but that can be managed because it is between the two companies. In addition to them, the balance there have what we call single gain loan where there is a payout every quarter of around $18 million.

Mohd Bin Idris

executive
#14

1-8.

Vivek Sood

executive
#15

1-8. $18 million. And that's -- the next one is to be paid in July this year. But the good news is that we've been having discussions with IFC to step in. And IFC is -- it's in the final stages of discussion would provide around $150 million of long-dated debt for us in Sri Lanka, and that should basically take away major impact on account of realized losses coming in Sri Lanka. So I think that's the good news.

Mohd Bin Idris

executive
#16

Sheyantha, do you want to take the third question on the digital bank plans, breakeven time line in so far as Boost is concerned compared to the previous guidance that we have given to the market?

Unknown Executive

executive
#17

Yes, yes. So Foong, thanks for the question. I think in terms of earning trajectory overall, the digital bank obviously helps us because it -- if you think about our earnings trajectory, the primary lever is really our lending business in terms of growing our top line and also flowing through the bottom line. So the constraint in that has always been how much of funding we can source and the digital bank gives us the ability to deposit rates, right? So from a 3-year perspective, the trajectory shifts to a much higher trajectory than it would have been had we not got the license. Now having said that, in the short term, yes, there will be some start-up losses because as opposed to our existing lending business, we have to build some infrastructure, et cetera, obviously, in the bank that is needed to operate a bank. So in year 1, there may be some losses that were not originally forecast in our trajectory. Having said that, a lot of the investments we would make our CapEx, so a lot of that will be depreciated over time. So net-net, what I would say is it definitely puts us on a higher earnings trajectory. I think that was the question. In terms of the immediate profitability, I think there may be some losses, which we will have to bear next year. But I think the good news is that a lot of the infrastructure that we have already is in place in our lending business. So if you really think about core banking systems, some of the additional infrastructure, a lot of that would be CapEx. So net-net I don't see a very, very significant impact. But overall, I think the key point is it really puts us on a very, very much higher earnings trajectory over the next 3 years than would not have been the case if we didn't get the license.

Mohd Bin Idris

executive
#18

Very good. Thank you. Foong?

Choong Chen Foong

analyst
#19

Yes, if I can follow up with two questions. Firstly, maybe for Sheyantha again. When -- just to clarify, when you mentioned some startup losses in year 1, are you referring to year 1 of commercial operations or this next 12 months before you start your operations? So that's question number one. Secondly, for Celcom, just going back to the earlier -- I mean, the comments in the PowerPoint about the enterprise business. Just wanted to get an understanding of the contribution from BridgeNet Solutions and -- in front and -- in the quarter? And how do you expect enterprise to grow and what contribution to revenue are you targeting over the next 2 to 3 years?

Mohd Bin Idris

executive
#20

Sheyantha, first.

Unknown Executive

executive
#21

Yes, a very short answer. Yes, it's a year 1 of commercial operations, I was referring to.

Unknown Executive

executive
#22

Thanks, Foong, for the follow-up. Yes, at this point in time, our enterprise revenue is that predominantly our mobile enterprise plus the connectivity revenue. The two acquisitions came in, yes, they contributed to about MYR 30 million, about perhaps 15% of the total enterprise revenue. Currently, enterprise revenue is around 12% to 13% of the overall Celcom's revenue, and we hope to see this grow to about 15% and north of 15% reaching 18% in the next couple of years.

Clare Chin

executive
#23

Okay. Next, we have an in [ Hong Yin Hao from Ninvest ].

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#24

I think Isaac from [indiscernible] first. Yes. Yes.

Clare Chin

executive
#25

Hong, do you want to go ahead first, since you...

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#26

Right. Right. Sure. Okay. So I guess one question is on Dialog's. Given that the uncertainties of the economy is right now in Sri Lanka, would the group expect any impairments into that segment? And also, I noticed that Dialog actually raised additional MYR 72 million drawdown of dollar loans in the first quarter of 2022. Would that further strain the balance sheets of the group and also incur furthermore ForEx losses? That's all.

Vivek Sood

executive
#27

So I think first question on the impairment, I think we've done a number of analysis as part of the quarter earnings. We still think there is enough -- based on that, there is still enough headroom available for us to have any short-term impairment coming in. So I think we are closely watching it, but there is sufficient headroom to -- for avoiding any impairment. As far as drawdown is concerned, I think the MYR 72 million is mostly to replace the existing loan, which I talked about, which was the syndicated loan, and this is where Axiata [indiscernible] shareholder loan to pay down the existing syndicated loan, which has been due every quarter around MYR 18 million. So overall debt to EBITDA has actually come down for Dialog. Having said that, yes, the March exchange rate was around 292, which is currently at 361. So there would be further impact coming in quarter 2 on account of the translation of the loan into the local currency.

Mohd Bin Idris

executive
#28

Does that work in [Yin Hao]?

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#29

I see.

Clare Chin

executive
#30

Yes. Okay, Isaac from [indiscernible].

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#31

Two questions for me, please. First one is on the -- both on Dialog actually. First one is in terms of the operating costs. Can we just roughly know how much of it is U.S. denominated? And on the local denominated costs, what are the cost inflation should we expect comparing on a year-on-year basis? That's question number one. Number two is on the accounting related. Can you just share with us what's the average exchange rate that you're booking for the Dialog's revenue for the Sri Lanka Rupee? Because if I compare the revenue in ringgit year-on-year based on the report, it's still very firm. So I was wondering what's the exchange rate? And to follow up, last question, what's the book value for Dialog at the moment?

Unknown Executive

executive
#32

So let me start with the first one. I think around 43% or 45% of the OpEx for Dialog -- operating cost is in USD mainly for the network IT, P&C, the content cost for their TV business. So I think that is the U.S. dollar exposure on the OpEx side. And on the CapEx side, around close to 80% of the CapEx is U.S. dollar. As far as the inflationary impact is concerned, currently, the inflation in the market is around 30%, mostly driven by the increase in food price and energy. So the effect for us would be largely on account of energy and increase in staff costs relating to the effect of the overall affordability, which should be there. At this point in time, we are seeing around close to 13% to 14% impact coming on to gross side kind of due to inflation. As far as the ForEx is concerned, you're right. On a P&L line, you do not see that kind of a big impact on account of cost deposits because it's only averages. But as I said earlier during the presentation, on a quarter-on-quarter basis, the impact was around 30% depreciation, which at this point in time is around 63% depreciation. So the impact is largely coming on the balance sheet side, not that much reflected into the operating expenses yet.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#33

How about the book value for Dialog Axiata?

Unknown Executive

executive
#34

We have that on the book value, MYR 1.5 billion.

Clare Chin

executive
#35

So basically, there is sufficient headroom in the carrying value. So we -- at this point, we see a low risk of impairment issue on this Dialog. Sorry, the next question coming through from JP Morgan, [ Aishwarya ].

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#36

Can you hear me?

Mohd Bin Idris

executive
#37

Yes, loud and clear.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#38

Aishwarya from JPMorgan. So I had a question on the debt maturity profile. Could you share a little more color on that? And also regarding your borrowings, most of them are in USD, like a majority of the warrants are denominated in USD with 32% still unhedged. So is there any plans to convert that in RM debt going forward? And also, I wanted to know about what you think about the anticipation of interest cost and the rising interest rate environment? So yes, that's it from me.

Vivek Sood

executive
#39

So as I said in the presentation, the debt maturity around 65% of our overall debt is more than 2 years of maturity large part of our debt, which is really the debt which is really the U.S. dollar debt is actually 2026 and beyond that MYR 1 billion is 2050 maturity. So I think most of our debt is from fixed interest with long duration, which is the debt. As far as the average maturity if i look at is around close to 9 years. As far as the borrowing's concern, I think, yes, we have around 55% -- or nearly 50% on USD borrowing. We do have unhedged position. If I look at the natural hedge around 50% of that is hedged because there are markets where we have US deposits to use naturally. Now the question we want to convert into ringgit. I mean, obviously, we don't want to convert into ringgit because the payments are all in dollars. However, if we do look at our hedging on a periodic basis. At this point in time, I think the overall view is that this is a short-term impact and the cost of hedge is fairly expensive in the market and not much of it given the duration is gone. Not much of it is going to be impacted on a realized cash flow basis. It's more a mark-to-market impact, which will be coming into the P&L. Your last question was on the higher interest rate expectation. I think we do expect interest rates to go up. But I think, as I said, around close to 60% of our debt is on fixed interest rate. If the interest rate has to go up, we would not have that material impact because of the fact that we have fixed interest locked in.

Mohd Bin Idris

executive
#40

Yes, Aishwarya. Aishwarya, is it okay?

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#41

Yes. Yes. Makes sense. Just a quick follow-up on that. Are you also planning to increase the leverage in the future to fund -- like keep the dividend to the shareholders at the same run rate?

Vivek Sood

executive
#42

I don't think we would be borrowing money to pay dividend. And I think that would be the last thing we would do. I think we are on the leverage of some of the M&A transactions, which we are currently carrying out. So those will be -- that would be effect. But most of these M&A transactions also come with the cash flows and EBITDA on those acquired entities.

Clare Chin

executive
#43

All right. Thank you. So our next question comes from [ Rahman from Kazan. ]

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#44

First of all, [Foreign Language]. My heart goes out to you guys because this is a very challenging macro situation. My question relates to Dialog. And the first question is, what's the plan to minimize the impact of unrealized ForEx losses so that Axiata still has room to maintain dividend payments for 2022? And second question relates to operationally in Sri Lanka itself. Are there any -- what's the plan to ensure continued inflow of revenue given the backward situation is volatile? And also to continue delivering connectivity services, right, because the country has got power cuts at the moment, and I'm sure that affects network quality as well. So these are the two questions for me.

Mohd Bin Idris

executive
#45

Sure. Rahman and some to you as well last few days or so. On -- so first, the ForEx losses Yes, unrealized ForEx losses are that by nature, they're unrealized. And in our minds, it's just accounting treatment. I understand where you came from because the unrealized are high, profit comes down. Therefore, there's no reserves to pay dividends. We are rather -- well, I wouldn't say banking on, but if the second BG merger goes through, we would record a gain of about MYR 13 billion. And it goes through this year, we would have the reserves to pay the dividends that we have undertaken. Yes. So I mean the good news is in Malaysia, we can use retained earnings to pay dividends and like other countries, other jurisdiction. So if the concern is dividend, we believe we will have the reserves to do that. Yes. The unrealized ForEx losses will remain and unrealized transaction loss. At end of the day, it will pick of minimizing the impact of unrealized ForEx losses as Vivek alluded to, this relates to our dollar loans. And if you own dollar loans and maturity beyond 2 years, hedging cost is going to be expensive. And it's no way situation with the providers of hedge structures and swaps and caps and collars and what have you. So we rather -- because it's not a pressing matter, but hopefully, the merger goes through then we record the reserves to pay the dividends Yes. Vivek, do you want take on the questions on Dialog?

Vivek Sood

executive
#46

Yes. I mean I think we -- as Dato' said, I think dividend payment, our challenge would be the selling payment because they still have a fairly strong profit generation, if you exclude the unrealized losses. The challenge we will have is to convert the dividend into dollar or ringgit to get it to the -- at our group level. So I think that's something which we will have to work on, at this point in time looks like a difficult situation. Operationally, I think Dialog has been doing fairly well when it comes to running our network and ensuring that the quality of service is provided to the consumers and they're taking initiatives around moving to batteries, lithium batteries and also converting some of the towers to solar towers, I think something like 3,000 towers in all they have half of them, we're looking at moving into lithium batteries, which would reduce the requirement of diesel or something by at least 3 to 4 hours. So I think that's something which is being invested. We see all the advantage on a short-term perspective to give consumers the quality of service, but also long-term benefit of having that into place. Secondly, obviously, given that there's essential services, they are able to organize diesel for running the generators and ensuring all the towers uptime remains, the network uptimes remain strong. Having said that, there would be some impact in some of the markets, which has an impact on overall uptime percent, but it's still not something which is alarming. So I think the management and the team there is working very hard to ensure the network and the quality of experience is provided to the consumers in these difficult times. I think the priority as far as we are concerned, is at this point in time is to conserve cash, and that's what kind of is being focus. So CapEx also, we are looking at more on a case-to-case basis where the need is versus the blanket budget to invest onto a network, but it is being looked at case to case ensuring necessary capacities are provided in places where it is required.

Clare Chin

executive
#47

All right. Thank you. Okay. We'll move on to the chat. We have a question from Izzati from Macquarie. How much of shareholders' loan Axiata plans to advance to Dialog for the full year 2022, just support Dialog? Is there an estimate?

Vivek Sood

executive
#48

So I think we have an approval from the Board of providing 90 million shareholder loan. So far, around 72 million is being drawn by Dialog. Having said that, as I alluded earlier, we are actually in the process of finalizing around $150 million loan from IFC, and that should be coming in place by the middle of June. Once that happens, then there would be paring down of the shareholder loan as well as accelerating the syndicated loan to be carried out by Dialog. And having to me, this is a great effort from the team in these difficult times to be able to manage to get IFC to step in long-dated funding for Dialog. So once IFC comes in, I think the shareholder loan would be slowly paydown, so would be other syndicated bank loans would also be paid down.

Mohd Bin Idris

executive
#49

Is that it?

Clare Chin

executive
#50

Yes. Yes. Okay. Thanks, Vivek. Basically he is on the chat group. So we'll move on to the other question from AIA, [indiscernible]. With the purchase of PLDT tower assets, we saw gearing increase. If the acquisition of Link Net goes through, it has gone through EGM today, gearing will increase further. Is Axiata comfortable with this? Any plans to degear in the immediate term?

Mohd Bin Idris

executive
#51

Okay, nice, interesting. Very good question. I think the -- first of all, the point Ahmed I mentioned earlier on, is that was able to raise the funding for local banks to buy over the assets to fund the acquisition. So that's in pesos, which matches revenue. Secondly, of course, also good time to grow U.S. dollars to raise equity to fund this excise. Now what I must put on record is that at the outset of this process, what PLDTs has under taken, there were 16 bidders, very big international names, infrastructure funds, tower companies and so on. And it all boiled down to last year the party. So yes, gearing will increase. But the point is we are in discussions because when these parties realize that they're not in the running, they approach us and wanting to take a stake in the SPV. So we plan to degear, first of all, at that level, to make sure that the gearing level is comfortable at edotco, it's Currently 100%, we're quite flexible between 51% and we were all the way to from selling down from 0% to 49%. So then we will still control these assets. Yes. If the Link Net goes through gearing will increase further, in the signal, we alluded to the fact that gearing will go up to 1.4 from 1.17. Now as Ahmed mentioned, in the era, I mean that's -- that's assuming 100% debt, yes, then we're comfortable with that. However, with the Celcom BTMU merger, two aspects, first, we will get MYR 2 billion from the consideration that DG will pay us as the vendors of the business of Celcom. Secondly, there is a MYR 2.4 billion shareholder loan that has Axiata has extended to Celcom that shareholder loan will also be repaid. And so we would have MYR 4.4 billion cash to, well, reduce the debt. So we continue to look at how to monetize some of the investments we made. We don't go as well because edotco identified certain focus areas and noncore countries, that it could monetize its investment. I think the challenge is if you look at current situation, if an asset or business is in distress, whatever that may cost the business to be in distress, that valuations will be very soft. So we run to the time in such a way that we can capture the sort of right valuations, yes? And so far as the negotiations will be in this concern, when they stake purchased this agreement, you mean stake purchase as in the equity stake and service agreement, I think the -- both are currently ongoing. We are subjected to an NDA that Celcom has signed with DNB. So we're not allowed to make any comments on that. Suffice to say that we acknowledged take 9 30th June that the minister has reaffirmed. So we're looking towards completing the negotiations to ensure that we will, first of all, have a chance to purchase the equity in DNB, the same time, make sure that the service agreement -- the commercial terms of the service agreement or the low reference access offer document agreement is -- will enable us to offer -- provide affordable, high-quality 5G services to the consumers. I think I'll pause there and I invite that at down to add on basically if need be.

Unknown Executive

executive
#52

I think that's why complete within the NDA that we have to abide to -- but there's any at all that is just to say that we are in the process. We're still in the process in terms of looking at this. We will follow the process and to see where it leads us.

Mohd Bin Idris

executive
#53

Yes, but I'm a lot [indiscernible] the Chair of Celcom.

Clare Chin

executive
#54

So the next question is from [ Paul ] from CLSA. Any updates on the Celcom DG merger?

Mohd Bin Idris

executive
#55

As I mentioned earlier. The process has taken a bit of time. Understandably, it's the first of this kind and the size and magnitude of the transaction at MYR 50 billion, and CMC has issued a statement on the issues. To us, as you know, that was on 1st of April, isn't it? Yes, easy to remember the date, right? And we responded. They've come back and we're responding here. So that's part of the process that's ongoing as part of this merger exercise. We are optimistic that we should be able to close this because of the responses we are giving -- we have given because the last assumption was yesterday to MCMC in response to the statement of issues. So the way it works is the MCMC raises the statement of issues, highlighting concerns, areas of concerns, we would have to respond to suggest how we're going to need to get these concerns. And if they accept that, then use that, they -- it will come. I mean I don't want to put words in their mouth, but that's our understanding of the process. So we are targeting to complete by the second half of this year. The good news is the planing has started a long time ago. I'm feel very optimistic that the integration team are still raring to go very, very upbeat about the Board exercise and sticking to the time and some challenges in terms of keeping up the momentum. But I'd like to think that the two teams are planning very, very well together. So hopefully, we get approval and we can roll out the integration to ensure that day 1 will be seamless.

Clare Chin

executive
#56

Okay. Very good. That looks like the last of the questions, unless we give maybe another 10 seconds if there's any last mile new questions.

Unknown Executive

executive
#57

[indiscernible] 10 seconds and last minute.

Mohd Bin Idris

executive
#58

[indiscernible]

Clare Chin

executive
#59

No, no. Okay. So perhaps, Dato' if there is any closing remarks?

Mohd Bin Idris

executive
#60

Yes. Again, we are very upbeat about the operation performance of Dialog's in the first quarter. You can see the results. The underlying PATAMI is very encouraging. And we of course, concerns -- have concerns about the -- what is in store for the next 3 quarters. But we believe this is a business that has been proven again, resilient to challenges such as lockdowns, pandemic. And even in Sri Lanka today, it is an essential service, to the point that whilst others have challenges getting diesel supply. The government needs to also prioritize for Dialog to get the supplier, to make sure the quality of service is maintained for the consumers. So there are concerns, as I have alluded to just now. Considerations, if you like. Supply chain issues being one. The rest of it are high interest rates and so on. We plan for that in 2020 when we took on the USD 1.5 billion debt locked in interest rates. And of course, that's the bit that's unhedged because you can't hedge a 10-year and 30-year exposure. It's not practical if at all possible yes. So balance sheet-wise, we are happy with the balance sheet, the capital structure. We're comfortable with the debt levels we are taking stock of the acquisitions that we're making to make sure we can extract the value. The teams are upbeat about making sure that the local acquisitions in the last 6 to 8 months, the tower assets in edotco, the tower business of Touch Mindscape and now the PLDT assets as well as the London assets from XL 1,000 towers. So it's about now sort of taking stock and in fact expect value make sure we can take advantage of economies of scale. And hopefully, the synergies can be realized sooner rather than later. So on that note, thank you for your attention and your attendance this afternoon. It's been good seeing all of you. And summer ahead for those of you who is celebrating, lot of open houses in the last minute. Unfortunately, we don't have one for corporates this year, perhaps next year, but we're having a stop rider on Monday. Anyway. So thank you again, and see you all.

Unknown Executive

executive
#61

Thank you.

Mohd Bin Idris

executive
#62

And thank you to the team that's been on the call Allan, Srini [indiscernible] and everybody out there. Thank you.

Vivek Sood

executive
#63

Thank you, everyone.

Read the full transcript via the API

You're viewing the first half of this call. Get the complete Axiata Group Berhad transcript — plus 256,000+ transcripts from 12,000+ companies, speaker segments, AI summaries and full-text search — through the EarningsCalls.dev API.

Get the API View API docs →

This call discussed

For developers and AI pipelines

Programmatic access to Axiata Group Berhad earnings transcripts and 256,000+ others is available through the EarningsCalls.dev REST API. Plans from $24.99/month — full transcripts, speaker segments, full-text search, and the recently-added /api/v1/transcripts/recent polling endpoint for ETL pipelines.

More tools for stock research

OptionsBell: an unusual options activity scanner that tracks options flow across all US stocks and emails you when large trades appear in Axiata Group Berhad or any ticker on your watchlist.

StockMarketScan: a stock screener with alerts: 24 pre-built screens refreshed every 5 minutes, watchlists and email notifications. Both offer API and MCP access and fair monthly pricing.