Baker Hughes Company (BKR) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

September 8, 2020

NASDAQ US Energy Energy Equipment and Services conference_presentation 34 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

John Anderson

analyst
#1

Good morning and welcome to the start of the Barclays Annual CEO Energy Power Conference, which is coming to you virtually this year instead of Manhattan, where we expect to return next year. Kicking off the conference once again is Mr. Lorenzo Simonelli, Chairman and CEO of Baker Hughes. Mr. Simonelli has been CEO of Baker since the merger with GE Oil & Gas in 2017. Baker has really transformed itself since then with arguably the most diverse business mix in OFS, being a provider of integrated oil products, services and digital solutions. We view Baker's business as having more longer-cycle exposure, one of the few companies with a direct exposure to LNG. He's reestablished its international and presence in recent years and stayed above the fray in North America by avoiding the more commoditized businesses. The company is also an enabler of the energy transition with its TPS solutions for LNG, exposure to emerging hydrogen trend and other emissions-focused technologies like Lumen, Avitas and Flare IQ. Lorenzo, thanks again very much for kicking off the conference this year, though it's under vastly different circumstances, as we all know.

Lorenzo Simonelli

executive
#2

Good morning. It's great to be back for this year's Barclays energy conference. I'd like to thank Barclays and Dave Anderson for the invitation to speak again this year. Although like others, we're working to navigate the many challenges created by the COVID-19 pandemic, it's an exciting time at Baker Hughes. We're focused on reshaping the company and capitalizing on the changing energy landscape. Last year at this conference, we unveiled our strategy to become an energy technology company and evolve our portfolio towards higher value and differentiated opportunities along the energy value chain as well as more industrial and chemical end markets. Today, I will update you on our progress and how our strategy is accelerating in response to changes in the macro environment. Before I begin, please note the disclosure around forward-looking statements that I may make today. As always, you can refer to our latest SEC filings for further details. Now let me address how we see the macro environment today, how we see it changing, and how we are positioning Baker Hughes to win as energy markets evolve. The outlook for global oil and gas markets remains highly uncertain in the near to intermediate term due to factors impacting both supply and demand. On the demand side, we expect the economic impact as well as potential behavioral changes stemming from the COVID-19 pandemic to remain a drag on demand for the foreseeable future. On the supply side, excess capacity remains a material overhang as LNG cargo cancellations continue and the OPEC+ countries maintain their highest level of excess capacity in the last 20 years. Given these dynamics, we are prepared for future volatility and remain cautious on the outlook for both global E&P spending and project FIDs in 2020, and likely, 2021. In summary, the market and macro outlook we provided on our second quarter earnings call remains intact. Looking beyond the current supply/demand imbalance. We believe the biggest story for the energy markets is the broader shift unfolding in energy investment and consumption patterns and its longer-term implications. Due to a combination of factors that include greater energy efficiency, slower economic growth and higher demand for cleaner energy sources, the growth in capital investment for hydrocarbons has downshifted significantly from prior decades, while growth in renewable sources of energy is accelerating. More importantly, we believe that these trends are still in the relatively early stages and are poised to widen fervor as demand for lower carbon solutions helps the energy transition gain momentum. Around the world, a growing percentage of the population as well as governments and policymakers are committing to a reduction in the future carbon emissions. Despite the growing commitment to a lower carbon future, we continue to believe that both gas and oil will play a major role in meeting the world's energy demand in the coming decades. As we have noted before, we are particularly constructive on natural gas and LNG as we see it as a transition fuel to and likely a destination fuel for a lower carbon future. As such, we expect natural gas demand to meaningfully outpace oil demand and expect gas to continue to take market share from coal. Overall, while the industry mindset will need to change in terms of investment levels and capital allocation given the subdued growth outlook for oil, we still believe investment will be required globally to maintain or modestly grow production levels in the decades to come. Against this changing backdrop, we believe it's critical that industry participants and stakeholders recognize this long-term shift and develop plans to pivot along the energy landscape. At Baker Hughes, we have been preparing for this transition. And now I'll share with you our vision on where we will take the company. We remain committed to leading the energy transition and focus on areas that are highly differentiated in order to generate better returns while also providing more stable earnings and cash flow. As part of this strategy, we highlighted a planned shift in our portfolio over time to leverage our current technologies to grow further in the gas value chain, expand in the downstream segment and increase our presence in industrial and chemical end markets. Importantly, since last year's conference, we have executed on our financial goal, generating over $1.4 billion in free cash flow over the last 4 quarters and driving margin improvement before the negative impacts of the pandemic took hold earlier this year. We have also made solid initial progress on our portfolio evolution, which I will elaborate on in a moment. I am pleased with the solid progress over the last year, particularly given the disruption created by the pandemic. However, we believe that the changes currently facing the oil and gas markets and the rapid growth in demand for lower carbon solutions by our customers warrant an acceleration of our strategy. These trends over the last few months have reinforced our view on the opportunity to build a unique energy technology company, a company that can provide outcome-based solutions to the broader energy markets as well as utilize our core competencies in energy and apply them to industrial and chemical markets, a company that can provide solutions and technology to decarbonize existing infrastructure as well as enable the growth of a new frontier of lower carbon solutions. We are in the very early stages of capitalizing on our potential in these areas and are having a number of constructive conversations with large integrated oil and gas companies to help them reduce their carbon footprint. As you know, many companies are committing to aggressive carbon reduction goals, and Baker Hughes has multiple technologies that can offer immediate help. For example, we can offer upgrades on existing turbines to reduce carbon emissions as well as a range of products that can detect, monitor and reduce methane emissions. We're also scaling up our remote operations technology for multiple applications, which can be utilized to reduce fuel consumption by significantly lowering travel requirements. These solutions can all be installed quickly and help lower carbon emissions in the near term. For longer-term projects, we have multiple product lines that are utilized in carbon capture and storage operations and key technologies that can be deployed in the hydrogen value chain. We intend to build upon these capabilities so that we can offer a broader suite of carbon reduction solutions to multiple industries. In order to accelerate our transition to an energy technology company, we have developed a 3-pronged approach focusing on transforming our core, investing for growth and positioning for new frontiers in the energy space. The first of these strategic pillars is transform the core. This includes multiple work streams we have been working on over the last year as well as new initiatives that are geared towards transforming the core of our business to drive higher profitability and returns. The most visible aspects of this transformation so far are the recent restructuring and cost-out initiatives announced earlier this year and some of the recent portfolio actions. On the cost side, we are currently executing a rigorous cost-reduction program across our product companies, targeting $700 million in annualized savings by year-end. We are utilizing this program to simplify our operations and planning to make all of these savings structural in nature. In terms of portfolio actions, we have recently agreed to sell noncore businesses like rod lift and specialty polymers, and we'll continue to evaluate the portfolio. In addition to divestitures, we have shut down low-return and noncore product lines in the U.S. like full surface, onshore drilling and completion fluids, cased-hole wireline and frac plug operations. Given the pace of commoditization across some product lines, in order to achieve our return requirements, we intend to make additional rationalization efforts going forward. These actions will be primarily focused on our OFS and OFE product companies and will consist of divesting or exiting noncore product lines or operations in certain geographies where the market structure may not allow for adequate returns. As we make these changes and target ways to meet our margin return objectives, we are also evaluating new business models and intend to change the way we go to market in many cases. For example, we are exploring more direct sales and channel partner models in a number of products and geographies where this type of relationship makes sense for both us and our customers. We see the opportunity to develop these models for several product lines in North America as well as in other countries around the world. For certain product lines in some geographic regions, we believe it will be more cost-effective and efficient to sell our technology directly to select partners who will be responsible for sales and on-site service to the end customer. For some product lines that have become somewhat commoditized, we are also evaluating the use of alliances and partnerships to improve our returns and capital efficiency. The other major component of our transform the core initiative will be the expanding use of digital technology and remote operations. As we have noted on recent earnings calls, we view the proliferation of remote operations for drilling and completions as a potential step change in cost productivity and performance for oil sales services industry. We see the possibility for more than a 60% reduction in personnel at the rig site through digital enablement and automation and greater use of multiskilled field technicians to provide support at the rig. As customer adoption and acceptance increases, so does the willingness to de-man the wellsite. This allows Baker Hughes to reduce costs by scaling productivity and centralizing key personnel in fewer locations, helping customers to reduce site costs and to minimize HSE risk. It also presents the opportunity to dramatically improve our own operating efficiency and resource allocation with less travel and more efficient well planning and execution process. While over 70% of our drilling operations are now utilizing remote capabilities in over 30 countries, there is still quite a bit of room for margin improvement. Recognizing the full benefit of remote operations will take some time as we run these initial jobs with some redundancies. As our remote offerings mature, market activity improves. And as customers increase their comfort with fewer people on the rig, we expect to see a notable impact to our margin profile over time. Outside of OFS, we also see digital and remote operations as a key enabler to further differentiate our TPS services business. During the pandemic, we have utilized digital and remote technology to run virtual string and gas turbine tests and have the capability to extend its impact further, particularly in our services business. Our i-centers in Florence, Houston and Kuala Lumpur currently monitor more than 900 machines and have accumulated more than 15 million hours of equipment data. This enables us to deliver a wide range of remote support for field activities, including during installation, outage and upgrade activities and remote combustion system optimization. Through the use of currently available technology and more that is under development, we can reduce the number of field engineers required to maintain and operate customer facilities as well as the number of site visits per year, driving meaningful cost savings and better productivity. TPS services is also uniquely positioned to offer upgrade and technology services to our installed base of over 5,000 gas turbines and 8,000 compressors globally. These initiatives can lead to crew optimization, enhanced equipment performance, and contribute to further emissions reductions and controls. Overall, we believe that remote operation opportunities will positively impact the margin profile of our TPS services business in the coming years. The second of these strategic pillars is to continue investing for growth. Given subdued upstream outlook, the primary growth opportunities we see within our existing product footprint are the broader industrial sector, chemicals and nonmetallic materials. On the industrial side, we see the opportunity to develop a solid industrial platform by leveraging the strongest core competencies within our TPS and Digital Solutions segment. This platform will be focused on delivering energy efficiency and process solutions, targeting adjacent non-energy industrial sectors. We have the capability to build on our portfolio of turbines, compressors and valves within TPS and combine it with our condition monitoring and other leading technologies within Digital Solutions. We intend to deliver outcome-based solutions to a range of industries, including power, mining, food and beverage and pulp and paper. Although most people are aware of the strength of our rotating equipment products, Bently Nevada condition monitoring maintains a strong presence in upstream as well as downstream and chemical sectors. Bently Nevada has over 60 years of condition monitoring experience, with over 6 million sensors installed on mission-critical machinery worldwide. We see the opportunity to further capitalize on synergies between these 2 businesses to offer unique solutions in a range of non-energy markets. In addition to industrials, we remain focused on driving growth in nonmetallic and chemical sectors. In 2018, we acquired Polyflow, expanding our capabilities in onshore flexible composite pipe and nonmetallic technologies. We also recently signed a JV agreement with Saudi Aramco to develop nonmetallic materials for both the oil and gas and broader industrial sectors. Due to the lower carbon footprint associated with nonmetallics, we believe this segment provides significant opportunity for expansion as well as synergies with our upstream and chemicals businesses. In chemicals, we see opportunities to grow internationally in the downstream segment and potentially into other adjacent specialty chemical market to complement our current capability. With our investment in new plants in Singapore and Saudi Arabia, we are positioning our chemicals business for further growth across the Middle East and Southeast Asia. We see further opportunities by leveraging our strength in artificial lift and production chemicals with our growing competencies in remote operations and AI to provide a comprehensive production solution. Importantly, we plan to execute on these growth initiatives with a stringent focus on returns and a continued emphasis on free cash flow generation. The third pillar of our strategy focuses on positioning for new frontiers. As the energy landscape continues to change, we have spent considerable time on evaluating the key growth areas associated with energy transition and analyzed where Baker Hughes can capitalize on these opportunities. Overall, we see a range of options for our technology, but see the greatest potential in carbon capture, hydrogen and energy storage. Importantly, we are committed to taking a disciplined approach and focusing on areas and business models that can provide strong financial returns. Baker Hughes is uniquely positioned to benefit from opportunities in carbon capture. CCUS is a critical solution to help meet the Paris climate agreement goals and to achieve decarbonization of the oil and gas sector. While we are still evaluating multiple concepts and business models, we have exposure in several areas within the CCUS value chain. These include post-combustion capture, compression, subsurface storage and long-term integrity and monitoring. In hydrogen, it's very early days and technology is evolving, but many believe that the opportunity to use hydrogen as a zero-emission fuel source has significant growth potential in the coming decades. Similar to CCUS, we believe that Baker Hughes has the potential to participate in multiple areas along the hydrogen value chain. For example, we are active in generation, where we have reconfigured our NovaLT turbines so they can run on 100% hydrogen. We recently completed testing with Snam for the world's first hybrid hydrogen turbine designed for natural gas transportation infrastructure. In addition to generation, we believe our compression technology will have applications in hydrogen production in addition to storage, liquefaction and transportation. Finally, as renewable energy continues to grow, energy storage will play an increasing role in energy systems. Our initial focus is on liquid air storage and compressed air storage, which leverage on our core Turbomachinery technology. Underpinning these new frontiers will be an increasing reliance on monitoring and digital technology. Our goal is to utilize these capabilities to enable our products and services in these emerging areas. In addition to our partnership with C3.ai, we will focus on core digital technologies that will be critical to delivering high efficiency and productivity solutions in areas such as remote operations and demanning, edge computing and additive manufacturing. Our commitment through this downturn is to maintain a strong balance sheet and deliver free cash flow. In the last 2 years, we have demonstrated our ability to generate strong free cash flow and return capital to shareholders. We will maintain this commitment going forward as we look to transition our portfolio, evaluate growth opportunities and explore new energy frontiers. We have also remained disciplined in our capital spend, limiting net CapEx to 3.5% of revenue since the merger in 2017. This cash generation ability and capital discipline has helped to support our investment-grade rating. We are taking action to maintain the financial strength of Baker Hughes. We are investing in restructuring to deliver $700 million in annualized cost savings, reducing our capital spend by over 20% and exiting underperforming product lines. Our balance sheet is one -- the utmost important. During the second quarter, we executed an opportunistic $500 million debt issuance and drew on our U.K. short-dated commercial paper facility. These actions supported our already strong liquidity position. And at the end of the second quarter, we had over $4 billion in cash, a $3 billion undrawn revolving credit facility as well as access to commercial paper and other uncommitted lines of credit. We continue to view our financial strength and liquidity as a key differentiator. Now I'd like to spend a few moments on social responsibility. Baker Hughes is one of the ESG leaders in our sector, holding a AAA rating by MSCI, the leading ratings agency. We have made great progress on our carbon emissions reduction commitment, reducing carbon emissions by 31% compared to our 2012 baseline. We remain committed to achieve net 0 carbon emissions from operations by 2050. At Baker Hughes, we are committed to inclusion and diversity. While statistically, our workforce is more diverse and more global than our industry's average, we recognize that we have more work to do. Now more than ever, HSE is of the utmost importance. We made significant improvements in HSE performance and engagement during 2019. We increased our number of perfect HSE days to 161, reduced our total recordable incident rate by 12.5% and concluded more than 1 million HSE observations and leadership engagements globally. Lastly, ethics, compliance and transparency are core to the way we work. This year, we expanded our data reporting and set multiyear sustainability targets to help us manage and track progress. Our corporate responsibility report is prepared in accordance with the GRI core standards and the UN Sustainable Development Goals. We view ESG as a key lever to transform the performance of our company and our industry. In conclusion, I'd like to leave you with a few thoughts. Baker Hughes is committed to creating an energy technology company that will evolve and help enable the energy transition. We will do this by transforming our core, investing for growth opportunities and positioning for new frontiers. We are committed to making this transition in a disciplined manner that prioritizes free cash flow, returns above our cost of capital, paying our dividend and maintaining our investment-grade rating. Our priorities are aligned with our shareholders. Finally, we are building a company with a commitment to our sustainability framework that prioritizes people, planet and principles. We are strong believers of diversity and inclusion in the workplace, reducing greenhouse gas emissions and maintaining a culture of ethics and compliance. Thank you very much for your time today, and thank you again to Barclays and Dave Anderson for the invitation. I look forward to seeing you all again soon.

John Anderson

analyst
#3

Great. Thank you very much, Lorenzo. Appreciate the presentation. So transforming the core, it's actually -- when you showed the list of all the different divestitures you made, it's actually quite remarkable how quickly you've made those changes.

John Anderson

analyst
#4

Now you've done -- you're undergoing this big cost-out program. Is that sort of directly related to this transforming the core? And I guess what I'm just curious about is, what's the criteria, as you're going through kind of business by business of determining whether something fits or whether it doesn't, what are you looking for? Is it the growth market? Is it the profitability? Is it sort of the end market? How are you sort of thinking about that? If you could walk us through your -- the way you kind of process this.

Lorenzo Simonelli

executive
#5

Yes, Dave, sure. And this is really consistent with what we've shared before and also last year at this conference. And we are focused on returns. We're focused on businesses where we can accrete margin. And also, they have a continued role to play in the future of the energy transition. And so we look at the return, hurdling, the cost of capital. We look at the margin growth opportunities as well as the also opportunity that the market has for revenue growth as well. So it's really a number of elements. And to your point, I think we've done a terrific job over the course of the last year, really staying committed to taking the right actions, continuing the portfolio transformation. And we're going to do that as we go forward. The landscape is obviously continuously changing. We see some areas that are more commoditized than others. As I mentioned in the prepared remarks, most of the activity will be taking place in OFS and OFE. But it really comes down to, again, where we can't meet the growth and also the margins and returns that we expect. We will stay focused on where we can. And that's how the portfolio will continue to transform.

John Anderson

analyst
#6

It sounds like you've got more work to do there, which is going to be very interesting. So clearly, you're really kind of changing kind of, really, almost the very nature of Baker Hughes and you're -- particularly when you're talking about the energy transition. One of the things I was kind of fascinated about is you had recently made an announcement with Snam about some of your new design in your turbines with hydrogen. Can you just kind of talk about the potential for maybe a recapitalization of some of this equipment in the market if we do start transitioning up to hydrogen, and when do you think that could be? It just seem like it's all buzzwords right now. I'm just kind of wondering, when do we -- when do you start seeing orders for that type of business as it develops?

Lorenzo Simonelli

executive
#7

Yes. Dave, I think it's true. You are hearing a lot about hydrogen. And look, it's something that's evolving. There's clearly an opportunity there. And when you look at hydrogen as a fuel source for the future, there's the growth potential, but it will take some time to actually come to bear fruit. We've been very proactive in taking some first steps. And as you rightly said, our NovaLT can already actually drive itself on 100% hydrogen. We've worked with Snam, Europe's largest gas network operator, to really successfully complete a testing for the first -- world's first hybrid hydrogen turbine. And when you look at today, across our rotating equipment, we already have 1,000 units of hydrogen compressors installed across multiple applications. So it's early days. Technology is evolving. But like many, we believe that there's an opportunity for hydrogen play a role in 0 emissions. And I think we're taking the appropriate steps to have our technology ready and applied to that.

John Anderson

analyst
#8

So maybe we can pull back and kind of think about maybe the next 18 months. Obviously, the market's undergoing quite a bit of upheaval right now. Each of your segments really has different end markets and kind of a different cyclical exposure. Can you just talk about how you see those different segments kind of recovering kind of over the next 18 months? Like which one will we see first? Which one could maybe take a little bit longer to come back?

Lorenzo Simonelli

executive
#9

Sure. And maybe to start off with, for the second half of 2020, the framework that we laid out on our second quarter earnings call holds true for the third quarter and for full year. There's no material change to the outlook that we provided. As we go into 2021, let's break it down by the major platforms. From an Oilfield Services perspective, we think international activity is likely to be down on a year-over-year basis next year given the slow-moving nature of most markets and the expected exit rate of 2020. We could see some modest improvement in the back half of '21, but we still don't think that will be sufficient to actually make the full year positive. North America, difficult at this stage to really look at the short-cycle nature of it and uncertainties around oil prices and other dynamics. However, if you look at 2021 for the OFS, we feel good about our cost-out efforts and that having an impact on operating income, even if revenues are down next year. On the TPS side, again, for 2021. Although orders will be down year-over-year for TPS this year, we still expect to see revenue growth due to a couple of reasons: the equipment conversions cycle. Again, we've got a good backlog with roughly 2 years for TPS that will come through. And also based on the deferrals and some of the contractions that we've seen in our service business in 2020, we would expect that to come back. So again, from an operating income dollars perspective, we see positive momentum in 2021. And the rate will be mixed based on some of the mix we see between equipment and services. On Oilfield Equipment, no surprise. We've had declining orders this year. And we think that there'll be lingering weaknesses in the short-cycle businesses going into 2021. Although still early to say, but again, we don't anticipate a big recovery in the Oilfield Equipment side for 2021. So we're taking the appropriate cost actions and continued restructuring. On Digital Solutions, again, early to call for '21, but we do anticipate some continued softness in the oil and gas and aerospace end markets. But the other end markets will improve. And therefore, we'd expect revenues to grow versus 2020 and for margins and operating income to improve on Digital Solutions.

John Anderson

analyst
#10

You were talking about remote operations, which I think is kind of one of the more interesting things that's come out of COVID and really kind of the push for the remote operations. Can you just talk a little bit about how the economics are going to work? Maybe that's an evolving thing right now. But I'm just curious, if you're taking people off the rigs and you're saving money, how do you capture some of that rev? How do you make sure you capture the profitability, I guess, from providing those services to your customers?

Lorenzo Simonelli

executive
#11

Yes. Dave, as I mentioned, first of all, we see that remote operations are a key part of our digital strategy for Baker Hughes and to really help drive further cost reductions for us and our customers on improving productivity and ensuring safety by reducing person-to-person interactions. We're at the early stages. It's going to take some time to recognize the full benefit. Right now, you still have multiple operations with redundancies that are taking place. But over time, as customers become more confident and also see the reliability of remote operations, we'll be able to see those cost savings come out and also the productivity being achieved. And thinking through the economics, I think we need to focus less on the price of a contract and more on the structure of the commercial agreement and look to drive more performance-based contracts. And so we see it being margin enhancement for the OFS platform, but also for TPS as we see remote operations continuing to be used there.

John Anderson

analyst
#12

Yes. I would think so. And maybe just one last final question, Lorenzo. Can you just give us an update on the C3.ai partnership you got going on there? You've already commercialized 2 applications there. Can you just kind of give us an update as to kind of where everything stands and kind of maybe if there's anything in '21 that we should be kind of looking out for from this partnership?

Lorenzo Simonelli

executive
#13

Well, I can say we're really pleased with the partnership that we formed with C3 and excited about the opportunity that it provides us, both internally from our own application of artificial intelligence, but then also as we go external to our customers and being able to provide them artificial intelligence. We've already provided 2 releases of external products, and we've got production optimization as well as reliability. Most recently, we actually secured a contract with a Canadian oil company to deploy production optimization. And we think that there's multiple opportunities as we go forward. Similar to remote operations, the application of AI is at its infancy. But we see an expanding aspect of capabilities, algorithms being used as we go forward. And the nice thing is, is that it's also compatible with a lot of our measurement and sensing product lines in DS and also with the condition monitoring. So it's really an integrated element as we go out to provide new services and capabilities to our customers.

John Anderson

analyst
#14

Well, definitely looking forward to keeping up with that. Lorenzo, thank you very much for your time. I have to say, having covered Baker Hughes for a very long time, this is not the Baker Hughes that I knew when I first started off as an analyst. You've done a remarkable things here at Baker Hughes. Each year, it seems like we're just getting a different snapshot of kind of how different the company has become and all the changes that have taken place. So we're certainly going to keep following you. And really appreciate your comments today. Thank you very much.

Lorenzo Simonelli

executive
#15

Thanks, Dave. And we're creating the energy technology company.

John Anderson

analyst
#16

Okay. Thank you. Have a good day.

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