Balfour Beatty plc ($BBY)
Earnings Call Transcript · March 11, 2026
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Philip Hoare
ExecutivesGood morning, everyone. Welcome to those of you that have joined us here in the room at Deutsche Numis, and hello to everyone online. My name is Philip Hoare, Group Chief Executive of Balfour Beatty. And over the course of the next hour or so, Phil Harrison and I will talk you through our great 2025 performance. But first, what a way to start. That video for me, that film epitomizes everything that is great about Balfour Beatty, the complex projects that we work on around the world, the depth of our end-to-end capability, the great customer relationships that we enjoy. And when you hear the stories from Richard, Amber and Wayne, what a fantastic legacy that they are working on. You can see, can't you, the pride that comes from them. And so this is a great organization poised for the future and look forward to telling you more about that. But before I do, I just want to say a huge thank you to all the staff and employees of Balfour Beatty. It's you that makes this happen. It's you that delivers the great results that we're going to be talking about today, and it's you that will take this organization into the future. So thank you. We really appreciate everything that you do for this company. Now let me talk to you about the highlights of the great results. I think for me, this is really captured in 3 things. Firstly, we are improving across every single part of our organization. Secondly, we've got great momentum into the future. And thirdly, my first 6 months in Balfour Beatty, what I see is a great platform for future growth, and I have great confidence in the future. So let's turn to those results. We delivered against our full year expectations across all key financial metrics. And what that did was allowed us to improve earnings per share by 9% from '24 into 2025. Our order book stands at a record high GBP 23 billion. And it's not just the size and scale of that order book, it's the great quality work that we see within it and the resilience that, that brings to our business. And of course, when you take everything together and look at our overall capital allocation strategy, we're really pleased to announce this morning a GBP 200 million share buyback, returning value to our shareholders. So a great position. And of course, Phil will take you through the detail of that in just a moment. But let me introduce you to something new. So over the course of the last 6 months, I've had a fantastic opportunity to work across the length and breadth of this organization from the Northwest of the United States through the U.K. and our business with Gammon in Hong Kong. And what I've learned from that is incredible. Those deep customer relationships that we enjoy, the fabulous talent and end-to-end expertise that we have across the business. But what I've really seen and able to triangulate from my own experience is some real opportunities to improve this business. So let me introduce you to the next chapter of growth, the next chapter of profitable growth for Balfour Beatty through 3 words: Evolve, Energize and Explore. Evolve is all about how we're going to strengthen the core of our business. And this is in meaningful tangible ways. Firstly, through a group-wide margin improvement program driven by data that will allow us to systematically move margins forward. The second is by a relentless focus on operational excellence, making sure that every project we deliver, large or small, is delivered to the best of our ability and in line with our expectations. And finally, of course, it's about investing in our people. People are the lifeblood of this company, and our ability to continue to invest in people and create great careers is going to propel this business into the future. The second pillar is all about Energize. So this is about accelerating profitable growth. Now this is about doing this in a disciplined and focused way, remembering the stable platform and great governance that we have across this organization, but really taking advantage of markets where we have that capability and where we have good customer relationships. So for me, this is about expanding and accelerating growth in the U.S. market, and I'll come on to talk more about that in a moment. It's about leveraging the high-growth opportunities that we see in U.K. energy and defense. And it's fundamentally about getting closer, deeper customer relationships and extending the range of capabilities that we sell to those customers as well as bringing new capability to those organizations. And then finally, Explore. Explore is all about shaping what's next. It's about being agile and dynamic for the future. It's about being responsive to changes in the markets that we have, but it's also about thinking ahead and exploring adjacencies where we can propel growth into the future. And finally, it's about making some really disciplined investment choices in terms of what we look at for whether that be on technology or on other things as we move forward. So Evolve, Energize and Explore the next chapter of profitable growth for Balfour Beatty, and I look forward to coming back later in the year and telling you more about that. But for now, let me hand you to Phil, who will take us through the detail of the numbers.
Philip Harrison
ExecutivesThanks, Philip, and good morning, everyone. I'm very pleased to present these results today. 2025 has been another strong year for Balfour Beatty. We delivered against the targets we set out a year ago. And as we look ahead, there is real momentum in the business. We are confident in delivering further margin growth and long-term value for our shareholders. Let's kick off things with the numbers. Revenue increased by 8% to GBP 10.8 billion. This was driven primarily by growth in U.S. Buildings and Power Transmission in the U.K. Profit from our earnings-based businesses increased by 16%. Strong growth in U.K. Construction and Support Services more than offset the write-down in U.S. Civil, which we disclosed at half year. In Infrastructure Investments, disposals were a highlight. We generated proceeds of GBP 120 million and gains of GBP 36 million. That said, higher military housing costs pushed up the division's predisposal operating loss. This offset most of the improvement from our earnings-based businesses, limiting group PFO growth to 2%. We remain fully focused on completing the work needed to conclude the monitorship by the 6th of June this year. If all goes to plan, we expect investment returns to return to a more normalized level of profit in the second half and for the full year in 2027. Profit for the period climbed by 5% to GBP 239 million. Together with our ongoing share buyback, this drove a 9% increase in earnings per share to 47.6p. Our order book is looking very healthy, up by 23% to GBP 22.7 billion. The directors' valuation of the infrastructure portfolio reduced by 15% to GBP 1.1 billion, mostly driven by our disposal program. Average net cash increased to GBP 1.2 billion, thanks to a big working capital inflow. With this strong performance, the Board is announcing a final dividend of 9.8p, bringing the total for the year to 14p. That's a 12% increase, marking another year of double-digit growth. We're also committing to GBP 200 million in share buybacks for 2026. Let's turn to Construction Services. Overall, PFO grew by 8%. U.K. Construction had an excellent year. If we leave out insurance recoveries, profits were up by 22%, and we surpassed our long-standing 3% margin target a year earlier than planned. This was down to better operational performance and a lower risk contract mix. We also received an GBP 11 million insurance recovery in the first half of the year tied to an ongoing project. Looking forward, we see further scope for improvement. We expect U.K. Construction margins in '26 to go beyond the 3.2% achieved in '25. In U.S. Construction, PFO was GBP 25 million. Strong growth and operational delivery in Buildings was offset by cost overruns and schedule delays on the Texas Highways project. The second half was much better. Buildings continued to grow, Civil stabilized, and we beat our August forecast. For '26, we're expecting more revenue growth from Buildings and for the delayed Texas project to complete this year. PFO will start to recover towards historic levels in '26 with further progression in '27. At Gammon, revenue was 30% lower, reflecting less activity at Hong Kong Airport as our 2 major projects move towards completion. PFO only reduced by GBP 2 million as improved margins and operational performance largely made up for lower volumes. For '26, we think Gammon's PFO will be broadly in line with '25. Moving on to Support Services, which shows the group's broader growth themes. In Energy, Power Transmission growth is strong, and we've got excellent long-term visibility. In transport, our road and rail businesses are aiming for medium-term growth, but will likely stay broadly flat in the short term. In '25, revenue increased by 18%. Power revenue has nearly doubled over 2 years, beating our original plan. Operational delivery across the division was strong with PFO up 31% to GBP 122 million and margins at 8.5%, pleasingly above our target range. In '26, we see more revenue growth coming from power, and we're focused on keeping PFO margins above 8%. Many of the power projects driving this growth are still in their early stages and will move into main construction over the next 12 to 18 months. This portfolio gives us a genuine opportunity to further improve margins throughout the rest of the decade. Operational excellence remains our critical focus to deliver this margin improvement. Now let's look at the order book. Our high-quality order book rose by 23% to GBP 22.7 billion, with growth across all 4 divisions. U.K. Construction jumped by 44%, thanks to Sizewell C and Net Zero Teesside orders. Our disciplined contracting approach is key with 88% of U.K. construction orders on target cost or cost-plus terms. In the U.S., the order book rose by 18% in dollar terms with growth in both buildings and civils. Gammon benefited from robust orders in civil and buildings projects, especially in the Hong Kong's Northern Metropolis, a key growth area for the business. Support Services went up by 25%, driven by rail and power. And beyond the order book, we've got a deep pipeline of selected work yet to contract, including Rolls-Royce and more power schemes. We expect these to move into delivery phases within the next year. Moving over to our Infrastructure Investments business. In Investments, the loss before disposals was greater than we expected, mainly because of higher monitoring and legal costs in military housing. As we've mentioned before, we agreed with the Department of Justice to extend the monitorship to the 6th of June this year, and that's still our target. If we hit it, we expect PFO in '26 before disposals to be a small loss, returning to more normal profits in '27. The business took advantage of a favorable market, making strong disposals in 2025. We sold 12 assets for GBP 120 million, resulting in gains of GBP 36 million, above our guidance and helping us to commit to a strong buyback in '26. Each deal achieved a 2 to 2.5x cash multiple and was at or above directors' valuation. Looking ahead, we expect disposal gains of GBP 5 million to GBP 15 million in '26, reflecting last year's elevated activity and the maturity cycle of our assets. We'll stay disciplined in both valuation and disposal timing, aiming to maximize value. Net interest income was GBP 8 million lower year-on-year as a one-off impairment write-back in '24 didn't repeat. On the next slide, we can take a look at the portfolio valuation. The directors' valuation dropped by 15% to GBP 1.1 billion, mainly driven by 3 factors: first, the disposal of 12 assets for GBP 120 million; second, higher discount rates in H1, reflecting long-term interest rate changes, which reduced value by GBP 62 million. And finally, strengthening against the U.S. or sterling strengthening against the U.S., reducing value by GBP 53 million. Returns from equity invested remained strong. During the year, we acquired 2 U.S. multifamily housing assets and continue to see a range of investment opportunities across our markets. For instance, at the start of this year, we completed the refinancing of our Carson Army Housing. The Army extended our concession by 25 years, giving the project another 48 years to run. This raised GBP 444 million to redevelop 750 houses, which our U.S. businesses will deliver. With our continued confidence in these and other investment opportunities, we expect equity investments in the portfolio to rise towards GBP 50 million in '26. Now on to cash. Our cash performance this year was exceptionally strong, with average net cash up by nearly 60%, thanks to superb work from all the teams. Operating cash flow was nearly GBP 300 million and working capital increased by GBP 400 million, driven by revenue growth in U.S. Construction and power. And of course, rigorous cash management. Our working capital ended up at 17% of revenue this year, and we expect it to remain pretty steady as we head into '26. Looking a bit further ahead, we think it will sit somewhere between 15% and 18% in the medium term. CapEx went up by GBP 21 million, reflecting equipment purchase in Texas Roads and the expanding U.K. power business. On pensions, we've just concluded our triennial negotiation with the trustees. We're all very pleased with the outcome, which includes a one-off GBP 30 million payment this year. This puts the scheme on a strong sustainable footing, and we don't expect any more deficit contributions going forward. We've also agreed that once the defined benefit section moves into surplus, the excess may be used to meet defined contribution obligations. This could mean a net annual operating cash inflow of around GBP 10 million from '27 compared to the GBP 24 million deficit outflow seen in recent years. And finally, we believe our strong record of cash management will carry on, with average net cash in '26 expected to be between GBP 1.3 billion and GBP 1.5 billion. Moving to our long-term capital allocation framework. This remains unchanged. We invested GBP 77 million in the business, including 2 new investment assets as we keep investing in projects that we believe meet our ambitious return targets. We received GBP 120 million in disposal proceeds and delivered strong cash performance. The Board is recommending a 12% dividend increase to 14p, and we're upping this year's share buyback to GBP 200 million. As many of you know, I'll be leaving the business later in the year after a decade as CFO. I thought it'd be a good chance to reflect on the financial progress I'm most proud of. Looking at the P&L. We can see the progression of EPS, not only the improvement in results, but also the consistency and reliability in the post-COVID period. This is partly thanks to the fundamental changes we made to our governance and risk processes, which have strengthened the group's risk profile and equally to the strong performance of our teams. The group is well positioned to deliver further growth supported by our GBP 23 billion order book, which has doubled over the last 10 years and the additional pipeline we've discussed. Our investments business has also been a key part of the group's success over the past decade. We've invested GBP 400 million and realized GBP 1.6 billion of value while keeping the valuation nearly flat. We aim to carry on with this model of value creation while optimizing our strong portfolio. So what does all this mean for shareholders? The group's strong cash generation and transformed balance sheet have enabled us to commit over GBP 1.2 billion to dividends and share buybacks, reducing the share count by around 30%. This approach, which prioritizes investments in the business before distributing surplus cash to shareholders remains unchanged. With the growth we're forecasting, I expect to see significant shareholder returns continue well beyond '26. Let's wrap up with the outlook for '26. After strong growth in '25, we're expecting solid PFO increases next year, mainly thanks to improved margins in U.K. and U.K. Construction and higher support services revenue, which should drive high single-digit growth. In investments, we expect a small underlying loss in '26, aligned with planned completion of the monitorship in June. Disposal gains should land between GBP 5 million and GBP 15 million. Net finance income is forecast at GBP 28 million to GBP 32 million, and the effective tax rate should be close to statutory levels. And as I mentioned, average net cash is expected to be between GBP 1.3 billion and GBP 1.5 billion. In summary, the group heads into '26 with considerable strength. Our financial position is solid and the strategic investments made in previous years have set the stage for future growth. The momentum in earnings is expected to carry on beyond '26, giving us confidence in continued progress over the medium term. And with that, I'll hand you back to Philip.
Philip Hoare
ExecutivesThank you, Phil. I'd just like to take a moment actually to publicly acknowledge the great job that Phil has done for this company over the course of the last 10 years. I think you could see that track record, that visible track record of success. And Phil, we really thank you for everything that you've done for the business. Thank you. So absolutely. So look, this has created a really strong and diversified group. We have a really stable platform to continue the growth momentum that Phil just talked about. When you look at the order book strength and look at its distribution across our focused geographies that we operate in, when you look at the strength and the underpin of the great infrastructure investment business that we have at GBP 1.1 billion. And then when you look at the real momentum that exists in the core markets that we operate in from U.K. transport, defense, energy and U.S. buildings, I think we are well poised to move into the future. What's really key for me, though, and I've seen as I've traveled across our business is that, that deep end-to-end expertise, I think, is a real differentiator for Balfour Beatty. Our ability to work across the whole life cycle of a project from sitting down with our customers at inception and thinking about how a project will be delivered all the way through construction and then into operations and maintenance, underpinned by our ability to raise project finance and to be part of that overall story, I think, is an incredible differentiator for our business and places us uniquely to capture some of the opportunities that will be there in the future. So let's move on to talk about that. So firstly, let me start with the U.S. The U.S. represents a significant growth opportunity for Balfour Beatty. When you look at our performance in the previous year, our revenue is up by 28%, our order book up by 18%. And that has come from a clear disciplined approach to how we win work in that market. Two key areas of that for me. The first one is all about how we land and expand in geographies where we're already strong. So take, for example, our business in Florida. We are really strong in Orlando. We've moved some of those operations into Tampa, an adjacent city where actually the demand for the expertise that we have is high, and that allows us to safely and in a disciplined way, continue to grow our business. And that happens in each of the states that we operate within. I think there's also a really significant opportunity to continue to leverage really strong customer relationships. So where we might operate with a customer in one part of the U.S. that has a national footprint, how do we work to expand across the rest of the country? And I think we've seen some great evidence of that. We're also seeing some really big opportunities in some fast-growing markets. So let me give a bit more color to that. The first of those is the rising demand for data center expertise. When you look at the map on the slide there, you can see the states that we're strong in, where we've got deep CT capability colored as they are on the chart. But you can also see the massive expansion, GBP 250 billion market over the course of the next 5 years. And you can see where that investment is happening on the states marked with a star. Now we have a 20-year-plus track record of delivering in data centers focused around the shell and core of those buildings. The opportunity to expand from the strong footprint that we have in Washington State and in Oregon, we've recently won a new project in Virginia, and there are opportunities emerging across Texas, Georgia, Pennsylvania, all areas where we have real strength as a business. So this is an example of where we can take those customer relationships, those deep relationships that we've built over many years and move that around the U.S. to drive growth. And I think this is a really significant opportunity for Balfour Beatty moving into the future. It's actually similar when I look at the aviation market. So when -- again, when you look at the investment in aviation over the next 5 years, around about GBP 140 billion you can see where that investment is happening and where we are aligned to capitalize on that. We've got an incredibly strong track record of delivering airports in our U.S. business already. But actually, this is one skill and capability that really does travel. And so our expertise of working on airports in the U.K. as well as delivering in Hong Kong, we're able to take that capability, move that around the world and help us deliver more strongly. It creates a fantastic CV or as we say, in the U.S., a resume in terms of how we grow that business into the future. So great, a great opportunity for us. Turning now to the U.K. The U.K. markets, we are laser-focused in terms of where we operate. U.K. Energy, U.K. Defense, U.K. Transportation. And you can see from those numbers on the slides just how big those market opportunities are, GBP 70 billion in Energy, GBP 15 billion in Defense and GBP 85 billion in Transport over the course of the next 5 years. And it's not just about the future opportunity is it, it's very much about what we're winning and delivering here and now. And this year, we made significant additions to our order book through the likes of the Main Civil Works Alliance at Sizewell, adding GBP 3 billion to our order book moving forward to the relationships that we're developing with Rolls-Royce, winning our second project, which will appear in our order book soon. And then finally, in Transport, again, winning across the rail environment and in roads and being close to our customers has enabled us to extend the long-term relationship that we already have with Warwickshire County Council into the future. Some great wins that underpin the strength of the business moving forward. But one of the things I absolutely love about this visibility and commitment to investment is that it allows us to do what we really want to do, which is about investing in skills for the future. And you can see from the numbers on the slide that 9% of our workforce are in earn-as-you-learn positions. And that's all about creating new job opportunities, creating skills for the future and leaving a legacy as Balfour Beatty as this country moves forward. So a fantastic platform for us to continue to grow in. So turning now to some details on those markets. Let's start with U.K. Power Transmission. This is a great opportunity for us moving into the future as well as a core part of our order book today. GBP 600 million delivered in 2025, GBP 1.6 billion in our order book and a strong clear pipeline that will move into construction of between GBP 6 billion and GBP 8 billion into the future. When you look at the graph on this slide, it's incredible, isn't it? The U.K.'s demand for safe, clean, secure energy is high. And you can see how the power transmission need is reflected in the growth that you'll see over the course of those 5 years. We already enjoy a 25% market share in this space, and you can see that growth opportunity moving forward. One of the things that's critical about this is Balfour Beatty's differentiated position in this market. We've invested in the skills and capabilities needed on that end-to-end approach. In this case, from design through into manufacture, as you saw on our video earlier, all the way through to construction and sitting alongside our clients step by step as we deliver those programs of work with them. So a great opportunity moving forward for our business. Secondly, let's turn to power generation. So this is a story of long-term secured workload. We are a trusted delivery partner in this space. And you can see how we've taken our long presence at Hinkley, supporting our clients to deliver the first nuclear power station in a generation, how we've taken that experience and knowledge and are beginning to apply that as we start works at Sizewell C. That's a great story. It's also great momentum as we move this business into the future. And as I look forward, opportunities around net zero, we're currently delivering the world's first carbon capture gas turbine plant at Net Zero Teesside, working very closely with our customers to do that. We see a number of other opportunities in the pipeline. And with the government's commitment to quadruple U.K. nuclear capacity by 2050, I think, again, we are really well placed to work with our customers to deliver that vision. So U.K. power generation, really solid order book moving forward, but also plenty of opportunity into the future. Turning now to Defense. We are well positioned in a complex market. This is about delivering infrastructure in defense, and there are high barriers to entry, which we meet the requirements of. So as well as a strong pipeline into the future and a good order book through some deep customer relationships, we see significant opportunity where we are well differentiated. We are clearly a U.K.-domiciled company. And so our ability to work in this space is higher than perhaps some of our international competition. We've invested heavily in the skills and capability needed to be able to deliver this type of complex infrastructure. And in addition to that, we've made a number of investments to ensure that our platforms are secure and safe. So a growing market with high barriers to entry, which we are well placed to grow into the future. Turning now to U.K. Transport. Transport remains an attractive and resilient market with significant size as we move into the future. This is an area of business I know well. It's a market that I grew up in. And so I'm passionate about our ability as Balfour Beatty to be able to support this market as it pivots and changes over time. But we have a really strong, stable platform to continue to deliver against a strong order book, and we see opportunities into the future. In particular, we were well -- we were very pleased about the government's announcements on their commitment to Lower Thames Crossing and the opportunity to bring private finance to support the delivery of that project. And in the future, as roads pivots away from capital investment to infrastructure maintenance, we're again well placed with the great capability that we have within the organization. On major projects that we're delivering across rail, we are well placed to continue to work closely with our clients to deliver on their key milestones, and we look forward to continuing that success as we move forward into the future. So attractive and resilient market where we are well placed to continue to operate. Let me turn now to Gammon, our joint venture in Hong Kong. We have a strong reputation and are renowned for high-quality delivery. And actually, when I visited our business there last November, one of the things I was really struck by was the strength of the relationships we have with our customers. In fact, one of our customers said to me, people like to live and work in Gammon-built buildings because of their renowned high-quality delivery. And that's a fantastic accolade, isn't it to have from any client that we operate with. But we've seen real momentum in the market, our 18% increase in our order book in 2025, driven in part by the expansion of Hong Kong into an area called the Northern Metropolis. And that will see long-term investment in that from an infrastructure perspective and a buildings perspective, the 2 areas of the markets where we're strong. One of the things that fascinated me about that particular trip to Hong Kong was the level of investment in technology driven around improving productivity. And I saw some great examples there where I believe we can apply that across our wider business. So Gammon in a good place for the future. Now let me turn to infrastructure investments, and I'm pleased to say that this is an improving landscape across the board. And I wanted to just pick out 3 examples of that. So firstly, within the U.K., the government's creation of a new body called NISTA, which brings together something called the Infrastructure Projects Association with Treasury and strategy for the first time, a joined-up approach to thinking about how we'll deliver infrastructure in this nation, including how we'll look at driving up productivity and how we'll introduce private finance to fund and support some of those programs of work. We're working really closely with NISTA. And last week, I held a roundtable with industry leaders with NISTA and the cabinet office to work out how we will work to best affect the delivery of that program, a great opportunity. And as I said, Lower Thames forms a key part of that. We are also putting our capital to good work. And I was really pleased with the 20-year deal that we announced with Kent County Council to install electric vehicle charging points on their road network, not just a sustainable solution, but also great use of our capital moving forward. And then finally, and Phil mentioned it, the refinancing at Fort Carson, extending our relationship there by 25 years, but also bringing significant investment to provide new homes and refurbish existing homes for American service men and women. What a fantastic opportunity for us to provide a great service to those customers. So a changing landscape and one where we are flexible and agile to respond to it. So finally, what does this mean for you? What does this mean for our business? I think that we have a powerful platform for growth. Our strong 2025 performance is clear as is the momentum that we're building into 2026. We have a significant and high-quality order book, which we're really pleased with and know that we can capitalize on and deliver. And when you couple that with our disciplined approach to governance, selecting with real focus the right projects to work on as well as our robust balance sheet and a consistent capital allocation framework that Phil described, I think we're incredibly well placed to deliver long-term shareholder value well into the future. And of course, I'm keen about unlocking the next chapter of growth; Evolve, Energize and Explore, how we'll take Balfour Beatty's profitable growth story into the future. And I look forward to coming back later in the year to tell you much more about that. So thank you very much. Phil and I are looking forward to your questions.
Philip Harrison
ExecutivesThank you, Philip. So we're going to take Q&A in the room first before going to the phone. So if you've got a question, please raise your hand. The mic will come around and far away. Thank you.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsThank you so much, Philip and Phil, for this presentation. If I may, 2.5 questions from me, please. Broadly, you sound like you want to grow in construction, the order book will allow that. I'm talking really first at group level. How do you plan to balance construction growth with improving the margins? And the second question is basically the same, but a bit more focused on the U.S. where your track record on margins is generally low, although I appreciate it's the type of contracts you have there. It sounds very ambitious in terms of U.S. Construction growth. Is it more buildings? Or do you think transport could have opportunities as well? And what sort of margin improvement do you think is achievable in the U.S. Construction in particular? And lastly, just thinking about data centers, you had a slide about it. How do you specifically differentiate or win data center projects relative to the likes of Turner or Skanska of this world who are also competing for those?
Philip Hoare
Executives[indiscernible]40:42 Okay. Great. Thank you very much for the question. So I mean, I guess, let me start with that balance, I guess, between growth and margin improvement that you mentioned. We see the opportunity for both things. You've seen the strength of the order book that we've described and what that means for the future as well as some of the opportunities that we've outlined. I think you also heard Phil talk about the position that we have moving forward in terms of completing the challenging project that we have within the U.S. And so we expect margins there to return to a more normalized level towards the end of '26 and beyond. So in addition to that, the approach around Evolve is all about strengthening the core of our business. And so when you take those factors together, I believe that we can drive that top line as well as improving the margins in the business. I think secondly, when you look at the U.S., a significant proportion of our workload in the U.S. is through our buildings business. And when I talked about that sort of land and expand approach, that is working really well for us, and that's what we expect to continue to do. I think from an infrastructure perspective, it's a clear case of remaining really focused and disciplined about what we select to bid within the capabilities that we have within the organization. And then finally, on data centers, data centers is a big opportunity. It's around about 6% of our U.S. portfolio at the moment. But actually, we see significant growth. And I'm sure when you look at peer companies in the U.S. market, as I'm sure you do, you will have seen that a number of them have had significant growth off the back of the data center market. And that opportunity is there for us as well.
Joe Brent
AnalystsJoe Brent from Panmure Liberum. Three questions from me as well, please. Firstly, on U.S. monitoring costs, can you give us an indication of what they were in '25 and what they will be in '26? And presumably, the budgeting assumption is nothing in '27. Secondly, on PPP sales, clearly, the guidance is that disposal going to be a bit lower in '26. At what point do you expect that level of disposals to increase again? And thirdly, maybe Part A, Part B. I'd be interested in Philip's perception on the U.K. margin and where that can get to because I know what Leon's thoughts were on that subject. And part B is, Phil, you talk about U.S. margins back to the history. Could you just tell us what you mean by history?
Philip Hoare
ExecutivesOkay. I'll let Phil take the answers to most of those questions. But perhaps I'll start with the comment about U.K. margins and where we think that can move to. This is about taking a really disciplined approach in the core markets that we work in across energy, defense and transport. And we gave some guidance around where we see further full year in '26 on an improving margin story. So we're going to really focus on continuing to drive in that way. And I'll come back to you later in the year to talk about Evolve, Energize and Explore. Perhaps you want to take the monitor [indiscernible]
Philip Harrison
ExecutivesYes. Let's -- disposal gains. Clearly, we've said for '26 between GBP 5 million to GBP 15 million. I think for '27, you should think about something similar. And then clearly, as we move into '28, we'll reassess that. But I think that's -- because we've had very strong growth of disposals this year. So I think that's the way to look at that. U.S. monitoring costs, what we're thinking about there is that a clean '27, you should see our investment business between GBP 15 million and GBP 20 million PFO. And clearly, we posted GBP 31 million loss this year. So I think you can work out the kind of magnitude of the monitoring and legal costs from that. And then on U.S., look, we've -- our margins there have been in the 1.1%, 1.5% level previously, 0.6% in '25. I think we've got the ability, as we've always said, to get towards 2%. And I think with Philip's focus on operational excellence, I think we'll try and try and go over that as well. But first of all, let's get back to the 2% and then move on from there. And I'm sure a lot of the programs that we'll initiate this year and next year will drive that.
Jonathan William Coubrough
AnalystsJonny Coubrough from Deutsche Numis. Thanks for the presentation and also the cinematography at the start. Can I ask firstly start on the Evolve, Energize and Explore. You mentioned implementing a group-wide margin improvement program. It would be good to hear a bit more detail about what that could look like, whether it's price focused or cost or a bit of both. And then in terms of the power growth opportunity within Support Services, you set out the GBP 6 billion to GBP 8 billion pipeline. I think in the past, the presentation slides have included the opportunity to get to GBP 1.5 billion revenues a year. Is that still the correct level? And in order to get there, how many more engineers would you need in-house? And also in terms of the steel pylon fabrication facility, it would be good to hear what the capacity of that is versus where it is today? I presumably it's quite a high gross margin.
Philip Hoare
ExecutivesYes, certainly. So let's start with Evolve, Energize and Explore. So I have the advantage of having run a group-wide margin improvement program previously in my previous role. And so I think I know what it takes to drive that. And it's not about one thing, Jonny. It's about being really focused across the whole of the organization and taking a really data-led approach to that program. So that's what we're looking to put in place across Balfour Beatty. And as I said, I'll come back later this year to talk about a bit more detail about where we're really focused on that. I think secondly, on the power growth. I mean, let's be clear, on the GBP 6 billion to GBP 8 billion pipeline, it's a bit more than pipeline. We're delivering the first part of those schemes, and we expect those to move into construction some later this year and then through '27 and into '28. And so that projection around GBP 1.5 billion plus in terms of revenues from that, I think, is realistic and something that we can expect. And then in terms of the Painter Brothers fabrication facility that we have, we have a full order book for at least 3 years within that facility. We've recently put some investment into that to improve production outputs, and we're confident that we have a great program moving forward.
Philip Harrison
ExecutivesYes. We've invested in Painter Brothers over the last 3 years, new machinery, an expansion of that. So I think we've made the right investments to capture the market. The other point I would make is that in terms of the growth of power, let's not forget some of this does move left and right depending on the government. So we think it's there. Timing, as always, is the key thing that we'll have to keep an eye out on.
Jonathan William Coubrough
AnalystsAnd while I've got the mic, Phil, thanks very much for your tenure at the company. I think the numbers speak for themselves. I mean, Howard was pointing out at the start of the turnaround, you spend a week in the U.K. turning around this business, then you fly off abroad at the weekend. And during that time, you made a very timely disposal of the Middle Eastern business, which apparently left all the liabilities there, which you thought was worth mentioning. But best of luck for the future, and thanks very much.
Philip Harrison
ExecutivesWell, thank you, Jonny, and thanks to all of the analysts and investors who have helped me as well. So a lot of this is down to listening to investors and yourselves. So thank you very much for your support over the last 10 years.
Robert Chantry
AnalystsRob Chantry at Berenberg. Obviously, echo Jonny's comments, especially the contribution from analysts, which I think was pretty instrumental along the way. So 3 questions from me. So I guess 2 on the U.S., one on infrastructure. So firstly, in the U.S., can you just give more clarity, I guess, on risk management in data centers? So are they different terms, more aggressive, kind of shorter time scale? Is there any kind of specific factors to be aware of going heavily into U.S. data centers? I guess secondly, you look at the U.K. margin profile, 3.5% in construction, kind of 8.5% in Sports Services, then you look at U.S. at 0.6%. Are there any areas of the U.S. portfolio you're either in or you're not at the moment where you see a genuine potential to get a better structural margin for Balfour in those markets rather than 1.5% margin on a civil project, et cetera? And thirdly, sorry, infrastructure options. You had a great chart on your 3 highlights of your 10 years, Phil, looking at the amount of capital in, the cash out and the portfolio valuation in infrastructure. Could you just talk about, I guess, the opportunities to deploy fresh capital in the next 3 to 5 years, what type of scope, sectors, kind of the dynamics around where that business goes from here on a kind of multiyear view?
Philip Hoare
ExecutivesOkay. I'll let Phil take that last question in a moment. Perhaps I'll pick up on the 2 on the U.S. I mean, look, from a data center perspective, this isn't something that's new to our business. We're really focused on delivering the infrastructure that supports that. So the shell and the core of the building and the associated infrastructure. And U.S. buildings, that is really the core of what we do. And so we've been delivering data centers for over 20 years. We have really strong relationships with some key customers that you would recognize. And this is about taking those relationships and expanding it into other parts of the U.S. So I don't believe it adds significantly to our risk profile because we're used to operating in that environment. It's an expansion opportunity, if you like. I think secondly, on the U.S. margins, we know we need to improve U.S. margin performance. And we've talked about some of the factors that have been a drag, particularly this year on U.S. margin. So coupled with that disciplined approach to the projects that we select moving forward to the land and expand in capabilities where we're really strong to recovering from the difficult positions that we've had that we've talked about. I think when you take all those factors together and the growth opportunity that sits in the U.S., we should expect to see improvements as we move forward. And finally, do you want to talk about capital deployment?
Philip Harrison
ExecutivesYes. Look, I think we've got some very good opportunities. I think Philip talked about the U.K. government and their view of how to expand that. I think we are in active conversations around Lower Thames Crossing. Remember, we funded and operated project financing for the M25. So this is something we know and we have deep experience about. So I think we're very interested in seeing if we can make that work. We talked about the EV sector. This is something we talked about previously. We were very big in street lighting for councils. We see on-street charging similar. Kent is a huge win for us, 10,000 sockets. That's one of the biggest councils actually to deliver that. And we've got plans ahead to do more of that. So I think there's -- we can deploy capital into that area. And let's not forget the U.S. I think there is a pent-up demand in military housing that has to be satisfied. There's still probably half the housing stock that the military has, needs redevelopment and rebuilding. So I think that's a positive. And we are seeing areas around structures that people want to put in place as well, build bridges, et cetera, that we're engaged in talking about. So I think we've got a good level of different opportunities to look at. But we'll stay disciplined. We've still got to get the returns that we think justify us putting the capital in. But we feel there's strong things in U.K. and U.S. now. Previously, I would say, over the last 5 or 6 years, we saw less opportunity in the U.K., but I think that's changing.
Robert Chantry
AnalystsYes.
Graham Hunt
AnalystsIt's Graham Hunt from Jefferies. And yes, I echo those sentiments, Phil, it's extremely impressive performance over the past 10 years, and I think the share price performance speaks for itself. Can I just ask 2 questions? Firstly, if I could go back to Slide 21 on the Transmission market. Just would be interested to understand a bit more about your -- the moving parts there that take you to that 2030 number. As you say, it's extremely impressive growth that you're projecting there. But how much is secure for the market, do you think in terms of the frameworks that we've seen from your customers and what's committed versus you mentioned there's some flexibility in terms of what the government does and sort of what's the range of outcomes there? And then second question, I guess, going back to the U.S. and that infrastructure portfolio you mentioned on the -- shortlisted on the I-77 South. Just interested to know a bit more about your ambitions there in the U.S. Express Lanes market.
Philip Hoare
ExecutivesPerfect. Okay. So I guess turning to Slide 21. Just to be clear, that graph on the left-hand side is the market growth and so not our projected revenue, which would obviously be fantastic, wouldn't it if we were delivering those scales of revenue in the market. But just to give some clarity on where we are. So GBP 600 million delivered this year, GBP 1.6 billion in our solid pipeline, i.e., work that is contracted and secured as we move forward. And then the GBP 6 billion to GBP 8 billion, the reason we talk about that is pipeline is because the way that these programs of work are delivered is there's a Part A and Part A is we work with the customer, we develop the scheme, we finalize the cost and with a really clear design proposition. And then we move into Part B, which is the construction. We only recognize that Part B in our order book once we actually sign Part B. So at the moment, we are working on the first phase of those programs of work. And the reason why Phil added a note of caution to that is because sometimes it can take longer or shorter to go into Part B. And so that's really why we said what we said. But this is a great opportunity because we are already working on the development phase of those programs. Turning to U.S. Infrastructure and I-77 as an example. So Phil mentioned again, the roads PPP market in the U.S. is really significant. And when you look back over the last 10 years, probably back to about 2015, you'll see that there's a huge number of opportunities that have come to market and being secured in consortia. And we're now looking at what does the next 10 years look like in terms of those investments. And we see this as a lower risk opportunity to both deliver and deploy capital. And so hence, the I-77 and potentially further opportunities moving into the future.
Philip Harrison
ExecutivesI think more questions in the room. So Becky on the lines, have we got any questions there?
Operator
OperatorOn the conference call, so I'll hand back to Philip for any final comments.
Philip Hoare
ExecutivesThank you so much...
Arnaud Lehmann
AnalystsArnaud from Bank of America. Just a couple of follow-ups. Philip, you mentioned acquisitions. I don't think that means geographic expansion. That's probably IT systems or AI. Could you maybe develop? And just can you confirm, I'm guessing the answer, but you're not going to Australia and you're not going to Canada in terms of your construction activity. And obviously, I joined the other sellside in terms of congratulating Phil. Can you give us an update on the CFO transition? When do you actually plan to go on holiday somewhere nice.
Philip Hoare
ExecutivesSo I'm not sure I mentioned acquisitions at all, Arnaud. So I don't know whether you're trying to leave me there. But look, we want to deploy capital in the best way that we can to maximize shareholder returns. And as we look at Evolve, Energize and Explore, we'll make decisions. But certainly, we see fantastic growth opportunities in the U.S., in the U.K., where we're really focused and in the end markets we've described. So that is our area of focus.
Philip Harrison
ExecutivesLook, I'm fully committed to the transition to Myles. We'll make it as good as we can. There's -- I think we're in a great place, in great shape. So I've got no concerns about that. My wife says I have no hobbies, so I'm going to have to continue working. So there's my job ad. So -- but we'll make sure that Balfour remains in a very good position.
Philip Hoare
ExecutivesAnd I'll just add, Phil has been a tremendous support to me onboarding into the company as well. And he's used the word discipline every second sentence. So I've definitely got the message, but we're very well positioned as we move forward.
Philip Harrison
ExecutivesAnd we do now have one question on the phone.
Operator
OperatorWe have a question from Nicolas Mora from Morgan Stanley.
Nicolas Mora
AnalystsJust a couple of questions. First one on the cash flow. The performance has been, again, extremely strong. Do you see a bit of a structural change in the way you are able to sign up contracts, maybe a little bit more prepayments, a bit more milestones on some of the large projects? Anything you could say on that and going forward would be useful. And second, on the U.S., we've seen quite amazing acceleration in order bookings over the past now 18 months in a market which for the vast majority of your peers, not listed one, but overall, has been a bit more muted. I mean, how are you managing to gain so much market share basically in the market overall, U.S. non-resi, which is basically flat overall for the best part of at least '25? That would be it.
Philip Hoare
ExecutivesOkay. Thanks for those questions, Nicolas. And I'll take the one on the U.S. and perhaps, Phil, you can pick up the one on cash flow. So look, I mean, I think the secret to our growth in the U.S. is about sticking to what you're really good at. And the ability to grow in buildings over the course of the last 18 months or so has been about focused, disciplined approach and doing what we know how to do really well. And so that is what's triggered the 28% growth in revenues that we saw as well as the large increases that we've had in our order book.
Philip Harrison
ExecutivesYes. Nicolas, I think -- I don't think it's a structural thing that we're going through at the moment. I think it's a mix for us. U.S. typically, you can get higher mobilization and advanced payments just in that marketplace. And clearly, we had revenue growth, quite a substantial revenue growth in the U.S. I think one of the other things is we've taken advantage certainly in power to get a lot of advanced payments because we've got long lead times in power at the moment for gear, cable, et cetera. And also, we need to prime our own division in terms of pylons. So we've been able to take, I think, the right constructive approach with the customer to get that preloaded. So that's probably the 2 things. We do see, as we go forward, I think our working capital as we now see it is going to operate in the between 15%, 18% of our revenue, which is a new norm. Now of course, I've got it wrong every single time that I've said that. So hopefully, I'll get it wrong again, and it will actually be 17% and upwards, but that's where we are at the moment.
Operator
OperatorThere are no further questions. So I'd like to hand back to Philip for any final comments.
Philip Hoare
ExecutivesGreat. Thank you very much. Well, look, thank you for spending the time with us here this morning and online. I hope what you've heard is a story of improving performance across our business, great momentum through our order book and the opportunities that we see in front of us and being poised for future growth in the company, future profitable growth for Evolve, Energize and Explore. And I really look forward to coming back to you later in the year and talking to you more about that. So thank you very much, everyone.
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