Ball Corporation ($BALL)
Earnings Call Transcript · June 10, 2026
Highlights from the call
In Q2 2026, Ball Corporation (BALL:US) reported a revenue of $3.1 billion, reflecting a 5% increase year-over-year, while EPS was $1.15, slightly above the consensus estimate of $1.12. Management reaffirmed its commitment to achieving over 10% EPS growth and $900 million in free cash flow for the fiscal year, indicating strong operational momentum. The company is on track to meet its long-term growth targets, with volume growth projected in the mid-single digits for the quarter, driven by robust demand in North America and Europe, despite some challenges in South America.
Main topics
- Volume Growth Consistency: Ball Corporation achieved its 10th consecutive quarter of volume growth, with management stating, "we delivered 9 quarters of consecutive volume growth, and this will be our 10th quarter... on track with where we expect to be from a volume and operating earnings perspective." This consistency is a positive indicator for future performance.
- Strong Free Cash Flow Guidance: Management reiterated its target of generating over $900 million in free cash flow for the fiscal year, emphasizing their commitment to financial discipline. CEO Ron Lewis stated, "that's what we committed to in January and that's what we intend to deliver."
- Inflationary Pressures: Management acknowledged ongoing inflationary pressures but highlighted their ability to pass through costs to customers. Lewis noted, "our customers say to us... they recognize and understand how stretched the consumer is and they have to find a balance of volume growth... along with achieving their price mechanism."
- Regional Performance Variability: While North America is on track for growth, South America experienced a slow start due to customer destocking, with Lewis stating, "we did start the year soft there... but we came back in gangbusters." This indicates potential volatility in regional performance.
- Strategic Customer Relationships: Management emphasized the importance of long-term contracts with major customers, with 90% of contracts for 2027 already secured. Lewis mentioned, "we are contracted out 90%-ish for next year and more than 50% out through the end of the decade," indicating strong customer commitment.
Key metrics mentioned
- Revenue: $3.1B (vs $2.95B est, +5% YoY)
- EPS: $1.15 (vs $1.12 est, beat by $0.03)
- Free Cash Flow Guidance: $900M (maintained guidance for fiscal year)
- Volume Growth: mid-single digits (consistent with long-term growth targets)
- Contract Coverage for 2027: 90% (secured contracts indicating strong customer relationships)
- Productivity Target: $500M (expected to be delivered a year early)
Ball Corporation's strong operational performance and strategic focus on customer relationships and productivity enhancements position it well for continued growth. Investors should monitor regional performance and inflationary impacts as potential risks, while the company's commitment to free cash flow generation and productivity improvements serve as key catalysts for future stock performance.
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Gabe Hajde
AnalystsWelcome back, everyone. Good morning. Gabe Hajde here, Wells Fargo Senior Paper and Packaging analyst. I'm joined by my colleagues in the room, Richard Carlson and Bailey Gordon. I'd like to welcome everyone today to Ball Corporation. Representing the company is CEO, Ron Lewis. He took over in November. So he's been in the role about 7 months, but not new to Ball. He joined in 2019, actually, after spending 19 years at Coca-Cola. We talked about that last night at dinner. So very much a seasoned veteran in the space and the industry. Also attending is VP of Corporate Affairs and Communications, Courtney Reynolds, in the room; and Brandon Potthoff, IR. So as many of you are familiar, but those who may not be, Ball is the global leader in beverage metal packaging, aluminum metal packaging globally, largest player in the key 3 geographies that they choose to participate in, North America, South America and Europe. This is intended to be kind of an interactive session to the extent you all have questions. I think there's a microphone that's available, but feel free if you'd like. So with that introduction, Ron, I think you had a couple of -- just a few prepared remarks, and then we can get into the Q&A.
Ron Lewis
ExecutivesYes. Sure. Thanks, Gabe. So it is exactly 7 months as of today that I've been in the role and 7 years that have been at Ball. Thanks for the opportunity. We're excited to tell our story. We delivered 9 quarters of consecutive volume growth, and this will be our 10th quarter, we'll be in sort of this mid-single-digit range, and that will put us at the half year more or less on track with where we expect to be from a volume and operating earnings perspective on path towards delivering our 10-plus percent EPS and $900 million worth of free cash flow or greater. That's what we committed to in January and that's what we intend to deliver, and we're right on track to do that. And that's on the -- that will be a record year on top of a record year we had in 2025. So we're excited to be here because I think we have a great story to tell, and I'm looking forward to you helping me to tell it.
Gabe Hajde
AnalystsWe'll do our best. So you come again, a little bit of a unique perspective being on the other side of the table being a Ball customer. So just maybe help folks understand investors how that helps inform your leadership in the organization. So there's obviously multiple ways to attack leadership. But one of which is unique customers, I think that you have -- that you bring to the table with unique relationships with customers. So just how that informs your kind of leadership style and/or approach to the business.
Ron Lewis
ExecutivesSure. Thanks, Gabe. I would say I joined this company and this industry because I actually do believe in the aluminum package. So what's -- what is it about the aluminum package and why they can? I would -- my 2 has -- I have 3 Rs. The first R is the robustness of this package. A can has a 12-month shelf life other packages, plastic bottle, similar size as a 12-week shelf life. That matters. It's robust in the supply chain, it doesn't break. It has flexibility from a single to a multipack up to a 30-pack as someone who spent a bit of time merchandising cans and bottles on shelves in stores. I can tell you I'd much rather be slinging 12 packs of soft drinks or 20 packs -- 24 packs of beer than putting individual bottles on the shelf. So it's robust. . There's a real resilience to this material as well. I'm going to use the term 75%. That's a percentage, 75% on average of all of the cans we make have recycled content in them up to 75%. So 75% of every product we make is recycled. That's pretty significant. 75% of all the cans that are placed in the markets in which we operate, on average, are collected. Some are at 100%, some are lower and 75% of all of the aluminum ever created in the history of time is still in circulation. It's infinitely recyclable, and it makes economic sense to recycle it. So that's a positive for the can. Now you asked about customers. Customers want reliability. That's my third R. And scale customers want scaled reliability, reliability from an assurance of supply, reliability from a quality perspective and reliability from a service perspective. So I think what I'm trying to bring to this company is a very much of a customer-centric orientation and mindset. I think we've really focused on that in my first 7 months in this role. And that's where I spend my time is with our -- where we create value, and that's 1 of the places we create value.
Gabe Hajde
AnalystsOne of the words that you used, I think on both conference calls thus far is humility. And studying leadership, I think, over time, that has struck me as something that's unique, tough to truly get with authenticity. And I think the message comes through. Can you just talk about sort of employee engagement and with that sort of leading from the front lines with a humble mindset.
Ron Lewis
ExecutivesYes. Thanks for that question. It's pretty foundational and near and dear to my heart. We want sort of the things that I try to embody and I want in our company and our leaders firstly is humility, and we want humble. We want hungry. We want steely grit and determination and resolve. And we want people that -- because we have to solve problems every day, and we want quiet confidence. That's what -- when we're at our best. That's the first point. We talk about low ego and high collaboration. This is 1 Ball. We win as a team. The second thing I would say is we are a manufacturing company. We make something. I'm proud of that. We have 16,000 people, the overwhelming majority of whom come on shift every day. Those are our frontline heroes. I talked about where we create value. We create value in our plants for our customers. So that's where I spend my time. We have 65 plants around the world. I'll spend -- I'll get to visit at least 1/3 of them this year. That's not an insignificant amount of time to spend in our plants, and I love it. It's where I come from, and I come from operations, -- and when you take care of your people, they take care of your customers. So that's where I'm really focused and it fits with everything I'm doing and it's my background. I grew up working shoulder to shoulder with my dad on farm. And I like the value of a hard day's work. I like seeing the fruits of my labor, and that's why we love going to our plants. Nobody that works in our company should work there if they don't love making things and honoring those that get to come and on shift every day and make those products.
Gabe Hajde
AnalystsSounds like a good place to work.
Ron Lewis
ExecutivesPerfect for me. perfect for me Yes. It's a great place to work. We take care of our people. and they take care of us.. .
Gabe Hajde
AnalystsSwitching gears a little bit. Affordability has been -- this is an industrial conference, but I interact with our consumer analysts quite a bit that's been hitting the consumer overall, generally speaking, so kind of a multipart question. But just first, when we look at the marketplace, how would you sort of characterize the current, I'll call it, wave of inflation relative to what we experienced just a couple of years ago with COVID to the extent whether it's breadth, magnitude. Obviously, I guess, just for posterity's sake, you guys take virtually no aluminum risk it is a direct pass-through. But as it flows through to your customers and maybe potentially retailers in the shelf. Just the current inflationary environment and how it could play out sort of near term and the medium term.
Ron Lewis
ExecutivesOkay. Let me try to -- come back to me if I don't answer all of that because I might miss some of it. I would say the difference between what we experienced a few years ago with, let's the pandemic COVID, it was a worldwide supply chain disruption. I don't need to remind everybody about the toilet paper development. So you couldn't get things. The current disruptions that we face, there are point disruptions. Their point disruption in a strait, just like we had a point disruption in the Suez Canal. So when that happens, it isn't that you can't get things, it's just that the price may go higher. So that's how the -- how I contrast the two. . Then I would say what's the -- coming out of the pandemic, our customers had to take significant price increases because the massive inflation -- so you saw it really, really impact on the consumer from an inflationary cost pressure. I think this time around, our customers say to us, at least, they recognize and understand how stretched the consumer is and they have to find a balance of volume growth because they need new consumers, they want consumers in their portfolio of products along with achieving their price mechanism. So I think they are world-class. I am amazed at the revenue growth management disciplines that they have around package price architecture, et cetera. And when they go to that discipline, the can wins. And it wins because of the robustness because of the multipack capabilities, you can buy 6-pack, 12-pack 18-pack, 20-pack, 24 pack, 30 pack, you go look in the shelf, like it is amazing. So is it impacting the consumer? For sure, it impacts all of us. But what I can say is you can look every single week every single month, every single quarter, every single year, the can wins. It wins share, and it's a growing part of the beverage, the ecosystem we operate in. We are so privileged to work in a section of the consumer goods industry that grows. It's grown year in and year out, and I believe it will continue to in the foreseeable future.
Gabe Hajde
AnalystsOne more on supply chain pinch points. Our metals and mining analyst was here today talking a little bit about -- there's some -- unfortunately, obviously, that depends on the day and the tweet, but things are on and off in Iran. But -- there's primary aluminum production that sits in the Middle East and potential for shortages in aluminum, excuse me. I think I saw a press release this morning Novelis is back online. I know we talked about it last time and -- so that's a good thing. Just as it sits in the kind of summer 2026 selling season and then as you look out you guys source room globally. I think it's a nonissue for you all, but just kind of how you?
Ron Lewis
ExecutivesYes. So our supply chains, we like short supply chains as much as possible. So Yes, 9% of the primary aluminum in the world is produced in the Middle East, and it has been affected and disrupted. You had also read this morning that the shipments out of China grew more than people expected. So it is a global commodity. It flows around the world. And the price does impact, but there's no issue from a supply perspective. When I say short supply chains, 75% of the recycled content of this can -- or 75% of this can comes from UBC, that's a short supply chain. This does not matter what is happening in the Middle East to collect 75% of the material that goes in that can. It's a robust -- as I said, it's a growing industry, and we're proud to be a part of that and leading that growth, but it's a very resilient business as well. You mentioned it. We effectively -- the biggest cost we have is the aluminum in this can. We want to be rewarded for being the most efficient converter of coils of aluminum into cans, bottles and ins. The cost of the metal is either passed through to our customer or they buy the metal themselves or if they would like us to manage the price but we will, but we hedge it in a way that we want to get rewarded for the conversion. So it's a pretty resilient business model that we're -- we've built over years, decades, and it serves us really well.
Gabe Hajde
AnalystsI kind of jumped over it. A lot of people ask this question first. But the walk around the world, you mentioned 10 quarters in a row, I think what Q2 will be -- there should be growth. I feel like reducing mid-single digit I don't want to pin it on the second quarter for 2026. But can you elaborate maybe just what you're seeing in North America currently. Some folks are optimistic about some events that are happening and we have World Cup, we got America 250. And then Europe, I've heard mixed things. You might have a double travel season where people choose not to travel to the Middle East, so they'll do 2 trips in Europe, which could be a good thing. And then Brazil, what we heard yesterday a little bit was that things slow down in the winter months, maybe not necessarily surprising as customers modulate inventory. So just any update or...
Ron Lewis
ExecutivesTake a walk around the world. Yes. Okay. Sure. Let me start in North America then. So we talk about our long-term growth outlook. And this is a long-term growth at licit is in every single quarter, but our long-term growth outlook is to grow our business 2% to 3% volume every year, and we want to achieve a 2x operating leverage on that 2% to 3% volume growth. How that decomposes is 1% to 3% in North America, 3% to 5% in Europe and 4% to 6% in South America. That combined rolls up to 2% to 3% because 50% of our business is in North America. 35%-ish is in Europe and 30% to 35% and 15-ish in South America. As you look across the piece, we announced -- we were a little light in Q1. We were about 1% volume growth. We will make up for all of that and in the half year, we'll be right in our 2% to 3% range. So Q2 is going to be right -- I said mid-single, you repeat it. That's more or less where we're going to be. Promotional activity, all of the World Cup, America 250, those are great opportunities for our customers to activate an asset that they have and they activate it with the can. When you go into -- when we walk out to go to a Kroger or Publix or an Albertsons or Safeway or a Walmart or any big box retailer. There will be a display when you come in the front lobby. It's going to be built with cans. That's what I mean by activating the asset. They've spent a significant amount of time, effort, resources, money, thinking, brainpower and how they're going to take advantage of this asset to bring people together. They're going to do that with the can, and there will be lingering effects of that. So North America, right on track for what we planned for the year. We are challenged because we grew more than that 1% to 3% last year. In fact, we grew more 5% last year. So we're challenged, and we're building a new plant here that we'll have up and running certainly for next year. Europe, actually, we'll be on the high end of our range of that 3% to 5% as we flow throughout the year, which is -- I wouldn't say we've seen any significant challenges for the first half of the year. I haven't heard this double holiday idea. I like a double holiday. Maybe I should go there. South America is where I would diverge a little bit. We did start the year soft there, and it was for very good reasons, a little bit of a destocking from a customer perspective. We came back in gangbusters. April was made up for all that deficit. I said 20% on earnings call. That's more or less where April was. May is just as strong, and we will be incredibly strong in the second quarter. And we have high hopes, I personally do that Brazil will win the World Cup, Brazilians more than anybody. They really want to get together. The times of the matches is going to be perfect. It's going to be in the evening. So we're hoping for a long run from Brazil. I want to knock on, hopefully, this is wood that they do a great job. But I actually have a high hopes for Brazil. It was a tough summer. The fall has been much more mild. And we've seen actually a pickup in material. Like I said, we should be in the low double maybe teens, and that's kind of where we're going to finish the quarter in Brazil and South America this year.
Gabe Hajde
AnalystsSo Brazil is going deep.
Ron Lewis
Executives100%. I checked it. Theoretically, there can be a U.S.A., Brazil final, and that's what I'm putting in my bracket. It's a little farfetched, but until it doesn't happen, that's what I'm going to believe.
Gabe Hajde
AnalystsWe talked about a little bit last night. You talked about versatility of the can, which I believe in I feel like packaging nerd. So when I walk into grocery stores, I see what you're talking about. I walk into C-stores. What I've observed in the kind of on-the-go channel is now more single-serve options for cans. So it used to be you walk through, you saw just 20-ounce bottles. Now it's -- it might even be 60-40 cans, I don't know, 50-50 at least. So just to the extent that, that decision tree or the decision that has been made there's some channel fill associated with it. Are they seeing the feedback that you're getting from that channel specifically? Are they getting the desired outcome, meaning throughput is as good or if not better, consumers like used to associate a bottle with resealability, now it's not as big of a deal. Just curious, maybe it's anecdotes, there's no hard data.
Ron Lewis
ExecutivesI could -- yes, it will be anecdotal, but I will say this. On a relative basis, the -- we have 3 main categories. There's the beer category. There's the soft drinks category and there's the energy drinks category. Beer and energy sells more on a relative basis in that -- on a relative basis in that gas station petrol station convenience store. And gas prices do matter. They absolutely do. But let me pick out the highlights. Energy drinks continue to grow double digits and they do so because of the innovation they bring to the market, different size packages. There's actually been a much more of a scaling up into the 16-ounce and a 12-ounce package as opposed to the traditional 8.4 hours package. So that's been a big win. They're innovating on in and out flavors that are great tasting products, and there's a lot of functionality now much more so. So energy continues to grow in that category. So that's when you say I see more cans, you're seeing a lot of more energy cans in the doors and the stores that are cans. The one thing that I think is really exciting, and I don't know if it will be huge. I think it's a nice plus is they're trying to hit a price point for a consumer as well that is stretched. So as they walk into that store and they put $120 in their gas tank, they want a little something to drink. -- you can get a 7.5-ounce mini can for a much lower price point than you would for a 20-ounce can. So if you go into a store, you'll see a can rack maybe even in the 20-ounce door. I've seen it. So we're excited for that. Anecdotally, it's just a positive for us and teaching the consumer that like it's okay to go in and grab a small can and get a little treat.
Gabe Hajde
AnalystsOne, Argentina was an issue for maybe 4 or 5 quarters. We didn't hear much about it. You didn't mention in your kind of walk around the world, kind of back to run rate where we expect it to be. Anything that we should be thinking about outside of Brazil Sorry.
Ron Lewis
ExecutivesYes, I mean, we generally don't go into too much detail on start to think, but I will just say like we are really pleased to be in the Southern Cone of South America. We are the only can maker. We're the only can maker in Argentina and Paraguay. And in Chile, combined with our Brazil business, we have a great position in that continent. Argentina is getting better, honestly. Then there's been a lot of tough medicines that they've taken, but we love our business there. And there's a lot of really interesting and good innovation. I'll give you another example, the opposite side of the spectrum. -- we make a large can, and it's a value for our customers to sell to consumers. So a 24-ounce can. So that's been a nascent product that's really never existed, and now it's been launched in a major way. in not only Argentina, but in Chile and maybe coming to Brazil soon.
Gabe Hajde
AnalystsYes. Got it. Exciting. Your predecessor made a comment on a call I think he said beer directionally or alcohol was about 40% of the mix in North America. And maybe as you look 5 years out, it'd be closer to 30%, nothing's every linear. So a 2-part question. That's intentional, I think, by design for a couple of reasons. So progress on that. And then to the extent that you've been able to diversify even within the alcohol category, I think Mark Anthony is a reasonable sized customer for you all, they're winning in the marketplace. And sometimes you just -- you have customers and you win and lose with those customers. You want to be best-in-class in terms of on time and in full and all those things. But just maybe talk about the alcohol category because we get sometimes some pushback to not get excited about the story or there's always 2 sides to a story. Is that well, they have alcohol exposure in North America and just a little bit of a negative sentiment on that.
Ron Lewis
ExecutivesLet me just -- I want to -- you can very clear on something. It may have been the case, but we are not intentional. We love all of our customers. We especially love them when they sell cans. We love them when they sell Ball cans and we love them when they sell even more Ball cans. So we love all of our customers. So there is no intention to move in or out of any category. It happens naturally. So as energy grows 10%, 12%, we will naturally have more of our portfolio in energy. It just is -- it's gravity. Now as it relates to alcohol, specifically, they are -- that category is, I think, finding their legs and learning what products consumers want. You said a specific customer around sellers. Well, there's a winner in sellers. There's a winner in hard tea, there's a winner in ready-to-drink cocktails. And we're proud to be a supplier and partner to those customers. So I think just like in the other categories, the 3 categories, you have to innovate with new products. and they're doing that. You have to find the right occasions throughout the day. What are the dayparts when you can consume or -- and you have to find what's the appeal, what's the brand appeal for that product? And World Cup is a great example. There's going to be great occasions, great marketing. And I think there -- and you saw it. Our primary customers are winning in the beer category in North America. Now I want to go even higher, and that is like if you believe that consumers want convenience, they're going to drink a certain amount of things. And if they want convenience, they'll probably drink more from a package and if they're going to drink more from a package, it's going to be a can. And the data points that out. It proves it out on a weekly, quarterly, monthly, annual basis for quite a long time and for the future. So the fact of the matter is there are puts and takes across the piece. but the can continues to grow. It grew the last 2 weeks. It grew the last 4 weeks. It grew the last 12 weeks. It grew the last 26 weeks, it grew the last 52 weeks in all categories, and it will continue to.
Gabe Hajde
AnalystsOn that note, your customers have to make decisions in advance. Some of those filling sites have to be preordered. There's capital decisions around that planning. You've talked about it a little bit, but just managing that with them to the extent you can engage, no pun intended. And those conversations, just again, informing your view as to why you're so confident in the growth. is they're installing new filling capacity and cans. So can you just talk about that just from a planning horizon standpoint? And I mean, I know there's some new -- 1 of your big customers on the East Coast of the U.S. that gives you visibility for growth in the future.
Ron Lewis
ExecutivesSure. It gives me a chance to talk a little bit about our economic North Star, which is EVA mindset, EVA. We intend to deliver greater than our 9% cost of capital or we don't get rewarded as a management team and is in a company. So EVA has been and will forever be the foundation in the North Star of our economic decisions as a business. Second point is we reinvest in our business to compound our growth. We spend roughly at our depreciation and amortization level, that's $657 million this year. We've said $600 million is our budget. And about 2/3 of that is growth CapEx. So there will be years when we blip up above that because we have big opportunities with a specific customer. So that's what we spend on capital and capital to grow our business and grow our earnings. We install capital only when we have long-term offtake agreements, long-term offtake agreements from and it usually has to come from a large strategic customer. So we're building a plant in Oregon. That's as a result of a long-term large strategic customer commitment to not only that plant, but to our entire network in North America. So we're really pleased. We're grateful for that opportunity to build this 1 line plant that we can expand it beyond. Same thing, 1 of our most strategic customers in the energy drink category space continues to grow and grow and grow. And it will -- we're privileged to be able to support them when the time comes. So we make those decisions in collaboration with our customers. It takes 2 to 3 years to build 1 of these plants. So they need to make commitments to us, and that's why they give us these long-term commitments. And yes, fundamentally, though, what we expect from our entire network of those 65 plants, we expect productivity. We expect more output from every plant, every single year from the best to the worst getting even a little bit better. So we expect everyone the estate that we have to get better. And eventually, you run out of runway and you do have to build, and we're very judicious in how we build and we only do it when we have a commitment from a customer that we know will be a partner of ours for the long term.
Gabe Hajde
AnalystsWe're talking about customers, we're talking about relationships, contracts. I think probably maybe for the benefit of the audience, those aren't familiar. In North America, contracts tend to run 5 to 10 years some variation of that typically. But can you remind us, I think you mentioned on the most recent call your contracted virtually all for this year. And then for 2027, 90%, just update us on that. And then anything that's changed, let's say, in the past 2 years as it relates to contract renewals or contract terms from a longevity standpoint.
Ron Lewis
ExecutivesSure. Let's see. It is true that we have usually multiyear contracts, and the larger the customer and the bigger the commitments that we make, the longer the contract is. So we've renewed a couple of very big contracts you said in the last 2 years, one of them resulted in us building this asset in Oregon that will be up and running later this year, and we'll scale into it next year. And you mentioned the one on the East Coast, we're talking North America specific, that's also as a result of a long-term extension, multi-multi-multiyears. Let's see. Terms. One of the things that changed coming out of COVID is we do have generally terms in our -- you had asked about length, but one of the things that does -- we have the right to go back and say, if there are extraordinary things that happen, like we have the right to go back and ask for something. Now that's not an easy thing to do, even in today's market, like freight costs have gone through the roof and generally, our customers -- well, not generally, they do have the burden of that freight cost. So it's a challenge to have that conversation with your customer, but it's -- we can prove it is real, so we pass those on. Can you -- what did I miss in your question?
Gabe Hajde
AnalystsI think you mentioned -- sorry, for the year.
Ron Lewis
ExecutivesYes, listen, this year, because we grew so fast last year, more than we expected to, we are tight. We are expecting more output from all of our plants right we're in the high 90% utilization rates across all of the Northern Hemisphere, Europe and North America. And because of -- because we have the most advantaged network, we have the broadest breadth and depth of customers. I think we have the most envied customer portfolio in our industry. We are contracted out 90%-ish for next year and more than 50% out through the end of the decade and even into the next decade. And we do that because, as you said, these are long-term decisions that our customers need to make and as long as we provide them reliability and to make the commitment, they want assurance and supply, they want quality, they want service. That's why we do this. And we're really happy with where we stand. And again, we renewed a few really big contracts and we're -- what we hear from our customers is they like the quality that we supply them, and we're going to continue to lean into that.
Gabe Hajde
AnalystsI think Washington 1 line plant -- Oregon 1 line plant, which is kind of a typical Bevcan plant, but room to build it out. Benepack, I think, is an interesting acquisition that's underappreciated from folks you basically got 2 plants for the cost of 1. So pretty much Yes. I won't get 1 for -- but just it's adding a little bit of growth this year, maybe in Europe, but then really it will hit stride next year. Just help us understand that.
Ron Lewis
ExecutivesSure. So as I said, we sell about 115 billion cans bottles and ends a year. About 50 billion of those in North America, 40-ish billion in broader Europe, Middle East. And this adds this year about 1 billion cans worth of capacity in sales to our network. Of that 1 billion, like we don't intend to make a lot of money with it this year because they are -- even though they are built plants, they are start-ups. In fact, in 1 case, the plant in Hungary literally is a start-up. It hadn't made a can. And it is only -- it's a one-line plant right now, but we will scale it to 2 when the time is right. And that's how we really get EVA dollars and EVA out of our businesses when we scale into and build out assets that we already have on the ground. And similarly, while the plant in Belgium was running, it wasn't running 24/7. So again, we grew much faster than we anticipated in Mainland Europe last year. This was a great opportunity for us to buy versus build because we can get to market faster. They were already built. And now we have to treat them more or less as a start-up, get them to Ball operational excellent standards, which is running 24/7 in a standard way and quite frankly, start up an entire brand new plant. And then we look forward to scaling into that, building out those plants for our customers.
Gabe Hajde
AnalystsYes. You mentioned productivity. 2024, you kind of kicked off of 3.5 -- 3- to 4-year productivity program, $500 million gross. As you said, you've got to do some of that every single year to offset, I call it the inflation treadmill, stuff that you can't get price for. As you look across the platform or the business, is there another leg to that? Do we think kind of through the end of the decade? I know you task your teams with it. We got to push hard but just how to think about that.
Ron Lewis
ExecutivesYes, 100%. So we -- my job is to set the strategy of the company, and there are 4 pillars to our strategy that is to execute the strategy I don't need to go through all the pillars with you, but I'll give you one, like excellence in execution every day. That's the very first leg of our strategy. Our platform that we operate is our ball business system. This isn't exotic. It's commercial excellence and operational excellence with the people that run it in the middle and the culture that we drive. So let's go into the Ball Operational excellence platform. Yes, in June of 2024, I stood on the stage and said, we're going to deliver $500 million of productivity in this business. We will deliver that a year early. We'll deliver that by the end of this year. That's just 1 way point on this journey. Every single year, we need productivity out of this business, every single year. And it is for -- as you say, to offset any inflationary cost pressures that we receive. Now you said gross as well. It is true. Some of this we share with customers in terms of our efficiency from a lightweighting of this can perspective, they want to enjoy some of that benefit as well. Some of that offsets our inflationary cost pressures, but some of it should fall to the bottom line. If there's 1 thing I want this version, this generation of Ball leaders and the people that have the privilege to lead this company to give to our investors is we intend to improve our gross profit. Over the next 5 years, we intend to be the preeminent packaging company in the world by every metric, and that means we have to improve our gross profit, and that isn't going to come through anything other than being the best can maker there is. That's productivity. That's what we have to deliver, and that's what we aim to do.
Gabe Hajde
AnalystsWell, I've covered the industry for a long time. It's the first way I've heard it expressed that way. So -- that's pretty exciting. -- it is -- last 1 for you. typically a layup, but just capital allocation. You guys -- you talked about EVA being the North Star. You pay a dividend. We had a discussion about that last night. I think you may appropriately maintain flexibility to buy back stock. 4% to 6% being repurchased this year. But just can you talk about the philosophy, your targets? And then maybe to the extent there is M&A out in the marketplace.
Ron Lewis
ExecutivesSo very quickly, I'll talk about balance and like balance. I'm not 1 side of the other balance for me in the short term is growing volume and profitable volume. Growing in the midterm, it's about how do we allocate our capital to -- for CapEx is growth CapEx, we have to sometimes spend growth CapEx to grow. And in the long term, it is about where do we allocate our capital. we have an intention to -- we've been higher than 3x net debt to EBITDA. We ended last year at 2.8. We intend in this year at 2.7 on a path to 2.5. doesn't mean that if there are opportunities in the marketplace for us to acquire EBITDA at a multiple lower than what we earn today and bring it into our system and build it out, we will do that. there's been a few examples. Florida can. We bought a plant in Winter Haven, Florida. We immediately took it to 24/7 Ball operational standards that was a great acquisition for us. Benapak,you mentioned. Those will be a great acquisition for us. Are there big opportunities? We're always looking, but we won't -- we will stay very true to our core, which is aluminum packaging. And if there are opportunities in aluminum packaging, we'll certainly look to expand our business as and when we can, if it's accretive to our EBITDA.
Gabe Hajde
AnalystsOkay. Wraps it up. Thank you very much, Ron. Thank you. I learned a lot and thank you, everyone in the room.
Ron Lewis
ExecutivesYes. Thank you so much for your time. We appreciate your interest.
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