Barry Callebaut AG ($BARN)

Earnings Call Transcript · April 16, 2026

SWX CH Consumer Staples Food Products Earnings Calls 91 min

Highlights from the call

Barry Callebaut AG reported its half-year results for fiscal year 2025/2026 on April 16, 2026. The company experienced a revenue decline of 6.9% year-over-year, with recurring EBIT decreasing by 4.2% to CHF 316 million. Management raised volume guidance, now expecting a decrease of 1% to 3%, while lowering EBIT expectations to a mid-teens decrease in local currencies, reflecting ongoing supply chain disruptions and competitive pressures. The company generated strong free cash flow of CHF 802 million, improving its leverage to 3.9x debt over EBITDA, down from 6.5x a year ago.

Main topics

  • Volume Guidance Improvement: Management raised volume guidance to a decrease of 1% to 3%, indicating a potential return to positive growth in the second half of the fiscal year. CEO Hein Schumacher stated, "I expect those to, over time, of course, to come back."
  • Cocoa Bean Price Impact: Cocoa bean prices have decreased significantly, falling by 53% in just 8 weeks, which is expected to positively impact chocolate demand. CFO Peter Vanneste noted, "Lower cocoa bean prices are certainly positive for the future recovery of both the cocoa and the chocolate markets."
  • Service Level Concerns: Service levels have been below industry benchmarks due to operational disruptions and a focus on too many initiatives. Schumacher emphasized the need to "restore service levels and on-time in full performance that we are now measuring consistently every day."
  • Focus for Growth Strategy: The company is implementing a 'Focus for Growth' strategy to concentrate resources on key markets and segments, aiming to restore customer service and operational fundamentals. Schumacher stated, "By intentionally reducing the number of priorities on the table, we will free up time, energy and resources."
  • Free Cash Flow Generation: Barry Callebaut generated strong free cash flow of CHF 802 million, which contributed to a significant reduction in leverage. Vanneste highlighted, "Leverage came down to strongly to 3.9x, and that's significantly below the 6.5x we saw in February last year."

Key metrics mentioned

  • Revenue: CHF 3.9B (vs CHF 4.2B last year, -6.9% YoY)
  • Recurring EBIT: CHF 316M (vs CHF 330M last year, -4.2% YoY)
  • Net Profit: CHF 106M (vs CHF 64M last year, +66% YoY)
  • Free Cash Flow: CHF 802M (Strong cash generation during peak buying season)
  • Leverage Ratio: 3.9x (vs 6.5x last year)
  • Volume Change: -6.9% (vs -10% in previous quarter)

Barry Callebaut's half-year results reflect both challenges and opportunities. While revenue and EBIT missed expectations, the company is positioning itself for a potential recovery through its Focus for Growth strategy and improved cocoa pricing dynamics. Investors should monitor the execution of this strategy, the impact of Middle East disruptions, and the competitive landscape in the Gourmet segment as key factors influencing future performance.

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Sophie Lang

Executives
#1

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Barry Callebaut's Half Year Results Presentation for 2025/ 2026. I'm Sophie Lang, Head of Investor Relations. And today's session will be hosted by our CEO, Hein Schumacher; and our CFO, Peter Vanneste. Our presentation today will start with Hein's initial reflections and observations then Peter will go into the half year results and the outlook. And finally, Hein will conclude with a preview of the focus for growth plan. Following the presentation, we'll have a Q&A session for analysts and investors. Please do limit yourself to no more than 2 questions. Before we start, take note of the disclaimer on Slide 2, and I'd also like to inform you that today's session is being recorded. With that, I hand you over to our CEO, Hein Schumacher.

Hein M. Schumacher

Executives
#2

Thank you, Sophie, and good morning, everyone. It's my pleasure to be speaking with you as part of my first results presentation here at Barry Callebaut and I'm now approaching my first 100 days, and I wanted to start by sharing my initial observations and reflections before I hand it over to Peter to cover the results. So far, I've been in a listen and learn mode and spending a lot of time across the business to gather a broad range of perspectives from our people. And I've had the opportunity to visit a number of our factories and offices around the world and gain insights into our operations and the culture of the company. What has stood out most to me is the passion, the expertise and the resilience that defines this organization. I've also met with several of our key customers, which has sharpened my understanding of what truly matters for them and how we can support them on their growth journey. Back in February, we formed the Growth Accelerator coalition, which is a diverse group of around 30 deeply experienced colleagues, talents from around regions, functions and nationalities. And this working group from within is designed to advise, challenge and co-shape our path back to volume growth. And through a series of focus sessions, this group has developed a unified view of where we stand today, identified key bottlenecks that hold us back and is helping define a set of high-impact priority initiatives. And collecting these insights from across our organization is enabling me to shape a clear and decisive action plan that will sharpen our strategic direction and set our key priorities. Now I will come back to that later in more detail. But first, let me share some initial observations. Over the past years, the company has been navigating a very turbulent period marked by transformation, significant industry volatility as well as supply disruptions. The Barry Callebaut next-level program was launched with all the right intentions. However, the sheer number of initiatives proved too ambitious for the organization to absorb at once and particularly against the backdrop of unprecedented industry disruption. And frankly, without sufficient course correction in priorities, this created a perfect storm. Now that said, several important steps were taken on the next level. because the program did deliver savings of around CHF 150 million, and these enabled much-needed capability investments in core fundamentals such as digital, quality and supply processes. But at the same time, these savings were more than offset by the impact of volume declines, higher operating costs, particularly from the cocoa market and supply disruption as well as from a more competitive environment. And the combined effect was an organization that it become overstretched and quite internally focused. And with too many quality incidents, the business also began to lose market share. And as a result, we find ourselves in a position today with clear improvement areas that need to be addressed. I'm calling out 3 areas: First, our manufacturing network, we do have capacity constraints in key growth areas with site upgrades that are still work in progress. A lot has happened, but it's still work in progress. It has contributed to quality incidents with longer recovery times due to limited business continuity plans and we have made progress on the next level without a doubt, especially in strengthening quality foundations, but more work is to be done. And our service levels are currently below industry benchmarks. We need to improve. Second, our digital transformation, a good direction, but initiatives were decoupled from core business priorities and the scope was very broad. We moved very quickly before co processes were sufficiently stabilized and before our data and operating systems had reached the required level of maturity. And third, our operating model and the organization Historically, Barry Callebaut was highly decentralized and the intention of NextLevel was to introduce a greater degree of centralization and standardization and that was the right direction. But in some areas, for example, in customer service, we went too far and probably too quick. In others, we ended up with a hybrid central regional model, and that has created an ambiguity and accountabilities. It added complexity to the organization and a limited regional empowerment, where essentially, the customer is where the market is, and where we need to drive local decisions. Because I believe that food is fundamentally a local business. And our region should define the what, whilst global functions should support the how with scale, expertise and obviously, consistency. And that makes the value of the corporation essentially bigger. Now importantly, while there is work to be done, as I said, we are building from a position of strength because Barry Callebaut has strong and solid foundations, and I'm confident that we can return to growth and reinvigorate ourselves as a reliable industry leader. Because we have a truly unique market position with leading relationships, strong customer relationships and a strong portfolio with benefits from our integrated end-to-end cocoa and chocolate model. Very important for our group. And in turn, this gives us deep expertise across R&D, innovation, cocoa and sustainability and these are capabilities that are highly valued and appreciated by our customers around the world. And my conversations with CEOs of our largest customers have reinforced this view. And they see Barry Callebaut as an important partner and they want to grow with us. They expect us to step up and play a key role in unlocking and supporting their growth agendas. And let's not forget that we operate in a fantastic category with strong underlying fundamentals. And as a market leader, we are well positioned to capture significant long-term growth opportunities. And underpinning all of this is our people, as I said in the very beginning, people with deep commitment and passion for what we do. And that's critical to ensure that we can fully deliver on the fundamental opportunities ahead. Now bringing all of this together, clearly, we have strong foundations from our unique market position to the depth of our expertise, and that positions us to win in this industry. And at the same time, to fully deliver on the opportunity ahead, we must refocus behind a reduced set of priorities to stabilize key fundamentals as well as to step up execution. And in turn, if we do that well, it will unlock sustained profitable growth and it will reinvigorate better [indiscernible] as a reliable, innovative global leader. And that is the objective of our focus for Growth action plan. And I will share a preview of the plan later. But before I go there, let me hand it over to Peter to walk you through the first half year results. Peter, here you go.

Peter Vanneste

Executives
#3

Thank you, Ran. Good morning, everyone. Let me walk you through the half year performance. First, and I'll start with a short summary. Cocoa bean prices have decreased strongly in H1 and especially in the last few months, and this is surely positive for the recovery of the chocolate demand. On volumes, we saw a sequential quarterly improvement to minus 3.6% in the second quarter, supported by double-digit growth in Asia and continued momentum in Latin America. Recurring EBIT decreased by 4.2% and strong cocoa profitability was more than offset by the impact of lower volume, supply disruption and a highly competitive overcapacity environment. In [ Gourmet, ] margins were pressured with the context of the very rapid drop of bean prices, and I will come back to that a bit later in the presentation. Despite the decrease in EBIT, however, we grew recurring profit before tax and net profit, thanks to lower finance costs and income tax. And very importantly, despite the peak harvest and heavy cocoa buying season, we generated strong free cash flow and further deleverage to 3.9x debt over EBITDA. Let me get into some details now. Starting with the cocoa market. The cocoa bean prices have decreased very, very rapidly, falling by 53% in just 8 weeks in Jan and February and closing at GBP 2,057 at the end of February. And that's driven by good main crop arrivals in West Africa over the past few months, and favorable recent weather conditions that are supporting output for the mid crop. At the same level, the market is still seeing some demand softness. So global stocks have replenished to healthier levels. Overall, this means we expect a surplus this year for the second year in a row. Importantly, the structure of the cocoa futures markets has also improved significantly. We now have a carry structure meaning that the cost of buying spot cocoa today is cheaper than buying cocoa in the future. This means it is less cost preferred industry to carry physical stocks and it's indicative for a more stable outlook. In the short term, given that this is demand-driven surplus, we expect bean prices to remain in the GBP 2,000, 3,000 range. That said, we continue to monitor the markets very closely as the demand recovers and thus we assess potential supplier risk linked to El Nino and potentially speculative volatility as we have seen in the past. Over the medium term, depending on supply and demand dynamics, we believe prices could move back into the GBP 300,000 to GBP 5,000 range. Lower cocoa bean prices are certainly positive for the future recovery of both the cocoa and the chocolate markets. We're seeing indications of this through our forward bookings. As you know, we contract several months in advance for our customers and in recent months, we've seen a greater willingness to book further out again. At the end of February, our futures booking portfolio was much, much higher than at the same time last year when cocoa bean prices were spiking. At the same time, our customers have priced through to their end consumer. As a result, consumer pricing and the rate of end consumer volume declines have started to stabilize. In the most recent quarter, Nielsen Global chocolate confectionery volumes decreased by 6.3% with plus 13.7% pricing. And importantly, we're now seeing our customers gradually shift their focus back to its category investments to stimulate growth. And I'll just quote a few examples. In North America, Ferrero launched their Go All in promotion from April 1 backed by a $100 million investment. It marks their first portfolio-wide campaign and largest marketing commitments in the company's history. Another example is Hershey is boosting media investments by double digit this year with the new quarter 1 media campaigns on Reese's and Hershey, the first launches of this nature. We're also seeing increased interest in innovation from our customers. In half year 1, we saw a significant increase in number of projects in Western Europe for [ Toviva, ] our non-cocoa chocolate offering as well as a growing traction on Vitalcoa, our high flavanol solution, especially in AMEA. Beyond these benefits, the magnitude and the pace of the decline in the cocoa bean prices, as mentioned, just now more than 50% down in the last 8 weeks, helps, of course, the demand and the cash front but has also created some challenges on the short term as well and mainly on profitability. And there's 5 key impacts I just would like to highlight. First, in the past few months, we've seen very favorable margin environment for cocoa. In half year 1, this helped to offset some headwinds we saw in chocolate. Looking ahead, we expect this cocoa margin tailwind to normalize in the second half as market conditions have become less favorable. Second, as we just saw from the Nielsen data, demand has been down for some time. And given the high prices that have been put into the market in the past. This has resulted in some industry overcapacity, which is intensifying competition with more aggressive pricing and commercial actions. In this competitive environment, we've seen a temporary margin effect in Gourmet. The Gourmet business typically works with a 3 to 6 month price list where forecasted sales are covered and then a price list is determined. Given the unique speed now we've seen of the cocoa bean price decreases in half year 1, the result was a long position in a declining market, creating a high price list with not all players following the same approach. And this impacted our volume and profitability through the need for some short-term commercial investments. Also, next to that, there's a more technical effect related to the shift between EBIT and profit before tax due to lowering financing costs. The opposite, if you want, of what we've seen last year. This is a reversal of the finance cost pass-through, again, as we saw last year, and we now have lower finance costs as the bean prices come down. And it also means then a lower pass-through at the EBIT level. But it is importantly, it is neutral at the profit before tax level. Finally, there's also a BC specific headwind in supply disruption. We had operational incidents in North America in the [ [indiscernible] ] factory, resulting in some volume losses and higher operating costs. Before we move to the half year 1 figure specifically, I'd like to spend also a moment to highlight potential implications from the Middle East situation. As many, many industries, the primary impact for us is on the supply chain side. It includes shipping disruptions, increased transit times resulting from port closures or limited container availability and of course, as we all know, there's a sharp increase in energy prices. In some markets, fuel rationing has been introduced combined with higher freight and insurance costs and all of that is adding complexity and costs across our supply chain. Next to the supply side, we've also seen some regional demand effects. Within AMEA, the Middle East and North Africa cluster represents about 10% of the volume there. This cluster has a specific high gourmet exposure and is experiencing therefore, disruption to imported premium products. Clearly, HORECA food service segments are negatively impacted by the tourism levels in those areas as well as the closure of the schools, offices, rules on working from home and so on. Beyond directly in the Middle East and North Africa, we also see an indirect impact in India, where we have an important business where LNG imports are disrupted and constraining the energy availability for food manufacturers, commercial kitchens has been impacting their operations and, therefore, also ours. Overall, this obviously remains a highly dynamic and uncertain situation that we are monitoring, obviously, as per the latest developments every day. Now let me get into the numbers in a bit more detail, starting with volume. Overall, the group saw a sequential volume improvement in the second quarter to minus 3.6%, meaning we landed the first half with a decrease of 6.9%. Looking to the left of the chart by segment, food manufacturers continue to be impacted by negative market dynamics with our customers adapting behaviors in the context of high prices and lower demand. And there was the supply disruption in North America that impacted this segment for us. Gourmet, while more resilient. Our competitiveness was temporarily pressured by the high price list in a sharply declining bean price environment, as I just explained. Also -- and also here, there was some impact of the same high closure we saw in the first quarter. Global Cocoa declined as a result, mainly of a negative market demand, especially in AMEA and secondly, also due to our choice to prioritize higher profitability segments, which did have its impact on volumes in certain areas. This business, the cocoa business saw early signs of market improvement in the second quarter with a sequential volume improvement of minus 5.2%, so significantly better than in the first quarter. Now moving to the right-hand side of the chart, to global chocolates. Globally, we've seen chocolate volumes declined by 5.1%, which is ahead of the 6.5% decline of the market as reported by Nielsen. In Western Europe, we saw a 4.2% volume decline as demand continues to be impacted by market softness. Central and Eastern Europe declined for us by 3.6%. And way better than the market as our local accounts saw solid growth, especially in Turkey. North America decreased by 12.6% impacted by a strongly declining market as well, but as well as the network supply disruption we've seen from the temporary closure in [ St high ] in the first quarter. Importantly, though, North America saw recent months improvements as the business is rebuilding inventories and meeting increasing customer orders. Latin America grew by 1.5%, well ahead of the market, driven by a strong momentum in Gourmet that we've seen multiple quarters in a row now. Finally, volumes in AMEA grew by a strong 8.5% and reached double-digit growth in the second quarter, driven by strong market share gains in China momentum with key customers in India and additional business that we secured in Australia. Moving to EBIT now. Recurring EBIT decreased in local currencies by 4.2% to CHF 316 million. The EBIT bridge on the page shows the respective moving parts. Cocoa, first of all, the green block on the chart saw strong profitability in half year 1, given a more favorable market environment, margin environment, sorry, and market volatility where we're able to capture the volatility and increases of the prices and the decrease of the prices that we have seen. In half Tier 1, this has helped to offset some of the other headwinds that we're facing in chocolate. The impact of the half year 1 volume decrease was meaningful. This is clear when we look at our EBIT per tonne as well, which increased by 3%, whereas our EBIT in absolute declined by 4%. So the impact of volume was meaningful in the first half, and this is something that we'll see turning around in the second half. Next, there was an impact of the intense competitive environment and particularly within Gourmet. As I explained earlier, our high Gourmet price list and long position in the context of this very rapid decline of beam prices required temporary commercial investments. In addition, supply disruption resulted in higher operating costs to maintain service and deliver products to our customers. Finally, we also saw the shift between EBIT and profit before tax that I explained as a result of a lower financing cost year-on-year and therefore, a lower pass-through on the EBIT level. And this effect will get bigger in the second half of the year. While our recurring EBIT decreased, it's important to note, we were able to grow the absolute profit before tax and our net profit. And to be more precise. As you can see on the left-hand side of this chart, our recurring EBIT in local currencies was CHF 14 million lower than last year. This is the minus 4%. In the middle, our profit before tax increased by CHF 2 million or plus 1.3% as a result of a CHF 6 million decrease in financing costs in local currencies driven by our actions to reduce debt and, of course, in the lower bean price environment. To the right, our net profit increased even further by CHF 42 million or by 66%, given significantly lower income tax expense compared to what we saw last year. Recurring income tax expense decreased to CHF 29.6 billion versus the CHF 69.4 million we saw in half year 1 last year. This corresponds to an effective tax rate of 21.4%, which mainly resulted from a more favorable mix of profit before taxes and much lower nontax effective losses in some of the countries. Free cash. Free cash flow delivered strongly in the half year at CHF 802 million across the 6 months despite the peak buying season that we're having always this time of year. Now when we look, as always, at the moving parts behind this cash generation, we saw -- and that's the dark black bar, we saw CHF 1.5 billion positive impact from the cocoa bean price this half year. Bean prices decreased significantly in half year 1, especially in the second quarter, as I mentioned. And this has benefited us during the peak buying period, particularly in non-West African origins, which do not have the same forward contracting model as IV cost in Ghana have. There was a -- next to that, a CHF 472 million negative impact on operational free cash flow, as you can see in the green bar. This has all got to do with the bean buying season. Half year 1 is always operationally like that with a negative cash out for the bean buying given the timing of the Coca-Cola harvest. This was offset, however, partly by continued operational benefits from actions on the cash cycle reduction that we explained largely already in the previous communications. We continue to do so with our efforts to diversify our origin mix reduce forward contracting and so on. As a result, actually, our inventory was now this time of year in February, 10% lower than February last year. So that also helped to generate the cash. up to this level. And finally, there was a CHF 183 million CapEx investments, as you can see in the yellow bar in the chart. Leverage. Leverage came down to strongly to 3.9x, and that's significantly below the 6.5x we saw in February last year and also well below the 4.5x we saw last August despite, again, the seasonality we always have in half year 1. With an important net debt reduction of CHF 2.5 billion, enabled by the strong cash flow that I've been talking about before. So leverage landed at 3.9x. But in fact, if you would exclude cocoa bean inventories from the net debt, and I'm talking only cocoa bean inventories, so not even correcting for cocoa products or chocolate stocks, our adjusted leverage RMI would be 2.7x. This progress mostly came from a lower inventory value given significantly lower bean prices, which is about 1.3x leverage in this decrease. But also through the actions to reduce our inventory volume, as I talked about, which made up about 0.6x in this reduction of leverage. In terms of gross debt reduction, we repaid EUR 263 million term loan in September '25. So a few months ago and [ EUR 191 ] million in February on the short end. We've also reduced significantly our commercial paper and bilateral facilities over this time. Obviously, all of this has been an important contributor to the lower net year-on-year finance costs that we've seen in the first half already. And we will certainly continue to focus strongly on the deleverage in half year 2. It remains a key priority. We want to end much lower than where we are even today. So with the further actions that we're defining on the cash cycle will bear further fruit going forward. this could be -- and this will be partly offset to some degree because of the safety stocks that we will be watching and potentially reinforcing a bit in a few key segments. Again, back to the support we need to have on the service levels following some disruptions that we have seen over the last months. So before I conclude the half year 1 section and staying on the financing. Earlier this week, we signed a EUR 2 billion sustainability-linked borrowing base facility. The borrowing base is linked to our underlying inventory asset base and represents an important step in the diversification of our funding sources. The facility strengthens our funding flexibility, particularly in periods of prolonged higher or lower bean price environments. It increases our agility and the list of our capital structure and our ability to actively manage financing costs more in sync with cocoa price moves. Just to share a few additional details. The facility comprises of a EUR 1.6 billion of committed financing, complemented by an uncommitted tranche of EUR 400 million which is providing additional liquidity flexibility. So moving now to the outlook of the fiscal year. We've updated our guidance, reflecting our focus on volume and deleverage while taking short-term action to protect our market share and drive growth. We have first raised our expectations on volume. We now expect a decrease for the group between minus 1% to minus 3%. And this implies a return to positive growth overall in the second half. We've also raised our guidance on leverage. We now expect net debt over EBITDA below 3x using a working mean price assumption of GBP 3,000. So with the continued tight focus on this and further progress despite our updated profit assumptions. At the same time, we have lowered our outlook on EBIT. We now expect a mid-teens decrease on a recurring basis in local currencies. And this reflects short-term actions to protect market share and prioritize growth in the context of the rapidly declined cocoa bean prices. Important to note that a significant reduction in financing costs in half year 2 is an important factor in the reduced EBIT guidance. We expect to recover more than half of the absolute decrease in EBIT at the profit before tax level. Clearly, this outlook is subject to potential impact from the ongoing disruption in the Middle East that I commented on a little bit earlier. Now before I hand back to Hein, I want to take a moment to explain the half year 2 moving parts on EBIT. Our return to positive volume growth will be a clear tailwind for half year 2, of course. However, this will be offset by a number of factors. One is short-term actions in global chocolate. We are prioritizing restoring Gourmet following this unique and temporary long position impact that I talked about. We're also taking some temporary customer-centric interventions to restore surgical service levels, and Hein will talk about it a bit more later, but action is needed to stabilize supply after a number of incidents that we've seen. Customer centricity is our #1 focus going forward, and we're taking action to reclassify lines, increase spend on staffing, maintenance and quality. Second, as already discussed, cocoa profitability is expected to now normalize in half year 2 following an exceptional half year 1. Third, we are taking further actions to reduce finance costs. This means significantly lower year-on-year pass-through in finance cost at the EBIT level, while neutral on profit before tax. And finally, we have the uncertain and volatile situation in Middle East, which is bringing additional cost and supply chain disruption depending on how it will evolve further. Finally, the uncertain and volatile situation in the Middle East brings additional costs and supply chain disruption. And I will now hand over to Hein to share more of our focus for growth.

Hein M. Schumacher

Executives
#4

Thank you, Peter. Now let's talk about focus for growth. And this has been shaped, as I said before, by the insights and learnings from our growth accelerator coalition that I mentioned earlier. And at this stage, being in the company now for 2 months plus, the plan is directional as we continue to refine and deepen our assessment of the actions as well as the opportunities ahead of us. And I'm looking forward to sharing the full detailed update with all of you in early June. And in the meantime, I wanted to be transparent and therefore, share the direction that we are heading in. Now before we go into details, let me start with why focus is so critical for Barry Callebaut. Because what really struck me when I started engaging with the team on our business portfolio is actually how concentrated we are. As you can see here on the chart, a few examples. So if we look at our top 7 markets represent 56% of our total volume. And of course, if you would extend that to 10 markets, the concentration increases even further. Similarly, with customers, our top 7 global customers are approximately 1/3 of our volume. In our Gourmet branded business, our top 7 brands or top 7 propositions generate 85% of our volume. And on the sourcing side, 90% of our coca is sourced from our 7 origin countries. And finally, although we operate around 30 specialty categories around the world, the top 7 represent approximately 90% of the growth opportunities that we see today. So as we focus on stabilizing the fundamentals, which we talked about and focusing our resources behind reduced priorities, getting these top 7 really right already moves the needle meaningfully. And this is why focus sits at the heart of our growth agenda for the future. Now turning to our Focus for Growth action plan. We do see that compelling need to increase focus across 3 areas. First one is commercially. So concentrating on a defined set of distinct growth opportunities and prioritizing key markets and segments where we see the greatest potential. Second, operationally by restoring fundamentals. I talked about that, and particularly in the areas that matter most for our customers in terms of reliability, quality and service. Customer centricity is absolutely vital. Third is organizationally by prioritizing a reduced number of the most impactful initiatives and restoring that customer-centric winning culture and by driving focus, restoring fundamentals and putting the customer firmly at the center of what we do, our objective is to reinvigorate the company and return to sustained profitable growth, and market share gains and, therefore, unlock strong financial performance going forward. Now let me share some details on each. I'm starting with commercial focus. And we are defining a clear and distinct set of growth opportunities. where we will intentionally concentrate our resources and our attention. And this starts with markets. And as we discussed earlier, our top markets truly move the needle, not only in terms of volume but also in profitability. Let me start with the U.S., our largest market, representing approximately 70% of our revenue and ensuring the right level of focus and execution in such markets is critical to deliver growth. But also other markets stand out with clear growth potential, for example, Brazil, where we have a meaningful presence, Indonesia, India, Peter talked about that and China, where we're experiencing strong growth right now. And it is therefore clear that our resources need to overproportionately support these priority markets, a distinct set. And importantly, this focus must be actionable, value-added defining a set of focus markets within AMEA rather than spreading our retention across that vast region thinly. The same logic applies with Gourmet and specialties, where we need to concentrate on the right segments and opportunities. And I will come back to that in some detail in the next chart. In cocoa, in itself, we see clear opportunities to unlock growth by increasing our focus on high value-added powders, whilst ensuring that we have the right growth capacity, of course, in place. So across all of these areas, a key enabler will be strong innovation platforms. Not many, but a few strong platforms that will allow us to lead in the market and that we can leverage across the portfolio to drive growth, greater level of differentiation versus our competitors and of course, to support our customers around the world. Now let me talk about Gourmet such an important segment for our profitable growth, and we are reintroducing here a clear brand hierarchy and customer propositions. Callebaut, masters of taste, that will continue to be our group commercial identity. And then we have a clear brand tiering after that to serve the different customer needs with a greater impact. And as you can see here on the top of the pyramid, we anchor the portfolio around our super premium global brands, led by the Callebaut Signature Collection and Cacao Barry. Now Callebaut brings over a century of Belgium craftsmanship and unrivaled bean to bar expertise and Cacao Barry brings 2 centuries of Cocoa Origins master and French Phase heritage important brands on top of the pyramid at a higher price level, strong quality focus. Now beneath that, our core Gourmet portfolio is firmly positioned in that premium segment with the Callebaut core section. And here, the focus is on delivering consistent quality, reliability and strong performance for professional customers in their day-to-day operations. Complementing these, we continue to develop strong regional propositions. Typically, one per region, such as Sicao, Chocovic or Van Houten in Asia, for example, ensuring that local relevance. And across all these tiers, our brands are supported by end-to-end services from the chocolate academies that we have around the world to innovation and technical expertise. These help our customers to succeed. And the objective is simple and clear, a more focused gourmet portfolio with clearly differentiated propositions and price tiers that enable to serve our customers better. and it will allow us to allocate resources more effectively and drive the profitable growth in this important segment. Now let's turn to specialties. Our plan here is to be a bit more selective, focused on a defined number of margin-accretive specialty categories that we believe we can integrate in the company, and the core of the company and by doing that, scale them first regionally and then globally. And while the final list is currently being defined. We already see clear and compelling opportunities in a number of areas, such as filled and baked inclusions, which you find in products like ice cream, where we have a very strong presence in that segment. But also both chocolate decorations, including toppings for bakery applications and fillings and coatings, for example, solutions with reduced sugar functionality. And once this prioritization is finalized, the intent is to bring these selected specialties much closer to the core on the regional responsibility including, therefore, a tighter system integration. At this moment, they're not that fully integrated in our operating system. And that means we will invest behind them to ensure there is sufficient growth capacity, clear ownership, P&L ownership within the region and stronger category management. And we believe that this more focused approach will allow us to scale what really works. It will simplify the specialty portfolio, and it will concentrate resources where we see the strongest combination of growth, margin expansion and, of course, customer relevance. Now moving to operational focus, where the clear goal is to restore some of the fundamentals. And Peter talked about the disruptions. Our #1 priority is to restore service levels and on-time in full performance that we are now measuring consistently every day, every week, every month. I'm absolutely determined to get us there and to improve on that particular KPI. And as I mentioned earlier, a combination of transformation complexity, industry disruption that we've had and many operational incidents. This has taken our focus a bit away from the basics. And as a result, service levels have been below cost industry standards. Now that's something that I'm keen to turn around for the company. We have to get this right. Now beyond service, we also need to ensure that our network, our factory network is fit for purpose, both for the portfolio that we operate today, but also where our customers will go tomorrow. And at the factory level, we see currently mismatches between line utilization, so specific line utilization and the overall capacity available in our network. So in the short term, that means we will make targeted and tactical adjustments to unlock available capacity. On the midterm, in the long term, we will invest selectively behind those growth capacities that I talked about when we talked about the focus areas, for example, ensuring that we deploy there for our capital towards the right opportunities. And finally, restoring the fundamentals also means strengthening the core processes and enablers of the organization, very much the intention of next Level, and we will build on that. we do need better data visibility, more effective end-to-end decision-making on a number of processes. And therefore, the priority for us is to focus on the core process as the company first, get them really right, such as the overall demand and supply planning processes, customer service processes and, of course, the quality and the usability of our data. We made strong progress, but now we need to finish it behind those few big priorities. Going into more detail, there are a few areas where we need to focus operationally. So North America, as I said already, this region contains our largest market in the U.S., and we need to get it right. And as Peter has described, we've seen broad supply disruption across the network, and that resulted in longer lead times for our customers and capacity constraints in several high-demand product categories. Network investments under next level were there, but some of them were postponed given the macro backdrop. Now there's an immediate need to stabilize the network and rapidly improve service levels. Focusing over the coming months on increasing staffing and adapting shift patterns at relevant sites as well as targeted initiatives to stabilize critical facilities, particularly across maintenance, quality, infrastructure and planning processes. In parallel, we are reclassifying and redeploying existing product lines across the network to better utilize the available overall capacity. We are developing a midterm plan to future-proof the network in order to sustainably support future growth. On emerging markets, here, our focus will be on a select number of key growth markets, large markets, though, but where we have a meaningful presence already and where we intend to invest to support evolving customer needs. Think of countries like Indonesia and Brazil. On this, we will update you in much more detail in June. Service and OTIF, on time and full, we are taking targeted actions not only in North America but also in Europe to immediately improve reliability and to step up our safety stocks in selected categories. Peter talked about that. This will stabilize our key business processes and in turn, it will improve customer service in the months to come. And then finally, core processes. I talked about digital efforts before. We need to focus our digital efforts and investments behind those core processes, such as planning as well as customer service. Driving better data visibility and transparency, and this will, therefore, strengthen these processes and, therefore, increase service levels for our customers. Now turning finally to organizational focus. Our objective is to reestablish that winning culture with customers at the heart of everything that we do. While refocusing the organization, as I said, on a set of impactful initiatives that truly matter. And a key priority here is to increase the empowerment and accountability of our commercial regions. Because these regions are the closest to our customers and our markets, and they should clearly drive what needs to be done to win locally. And of course, supported by global functions. They provide the how. They provide the scale, the expertise and the consistency behind those core processes that I talked about. By doing that, we need to be, therefore, more disciplined on prioritization. Because the organization, as I said, has been overloaded by a significant number of initiatives during a time of also intense industry disruption. And that, in itself, dilutes the focus and the execution capacity. So by intentionally reducing the number of priorities on the table, we will free up time, energy and resources. And this will allow us to focus on what truly matters. That's what we're going to do in the next couple of months. Before closing, let me briefly highlight some of the initial steps that we have already taken as we start to put the focus for growth strategy into action. We've reduced the executive leadership team. I had a team of 20 we've reduced it to 12 members. This creates a smaller, more agile and more importantly, a more commercially focused leadership team in the company, which will enhance the speed of decision-making that we need. We also removed the global transformation office related to Next Level. and we significantly reduced our consultancy spend for the months to come. And this reflects a shift away from a separate transformation office towards a more integrated business ownership and execution. And as such, we have fully integrated the remaining Next Level initiatives into our global functions as well as into our regions. And that has stopped a stand-alone program tracking savings, for example, and therefore, we're now much more focused on the bottom line delivery and therefore, the net impact of these changes. We've also strengthened our global customer account alignment and the global 7 accounts that I've talked about before are now reporting directly to me. And this is designed to reinforce regional execution actually, but also to accelerate the deployment of global innovation where it matters most for our customers. Now these are early but important steps. Obviously, there's more to come, but the momentum in the company has started. So that concludes my preview of Focus for Growth. and we're not reinventing our strategy, as you've seen. What is different is the level of focus, the level of energy and depth supported by clear choices and strong resource prioritization. So to summarize, our priorities are clear: drive focus and discipline and put the customer back at the center of everything that we do. And I'm confident that our unparalleled industry leadership that we have and our truly unique business model will provide that strong foundation to sharpen that customer focus and return to profitable growth. I'm looking forward to coming back to you in early June with a more detailed plan and to share our financial ambitions in parallel. And in the meantime, this concludes today's results presentation, and we are delighted to now take your questions. And with that, I will hand over to the operator to open the Q&A.

Operator

Operator
#5

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Alex Sloane from Barclays.

Alexander Sloane

Analysts
#6

I'll have 2, please. I guess, overall, you previously guided to double-digit PBT growth in fiscal '26 based on today's guidance. Is it fair to assume you're now expecting PBT in constant FX to decline at sort of mid-single-digit rate for this year? And I guess if that's the case, within that potential 15%-plus downgrade, how much do you see '26 specific or transitional versus perhaps more structural and put another way, how much of that do you think investors should reasonably expect to sort of bounce back in fiscal '27 would be the first one. And I guess the second one, somewhat related, but in terms of the commercial investments that you've talked about to restore competitiveness in Gourmet, can I just say, does this purely relate to price gaps or in Gourmet? Are you also potentially suffering from some of the service level issues highlighted at the beginning of the presentation?

Hein M. Schumacher

Executives
#7

Thank you, Alex. For the first question on the -- on PBT and this year's guidance, I'll let Peter answer. I'll come back to some of the points on structural as well as take your second question on gourmet. So Peter, first on PBT.

Peter Vanneste

Executives
#8

Yes. So Alex, thanks for the question. We will have a significant reduction of finance costs over the year, up to -- so CHF 50 million to CHF 60 million versus last year, which means that a very significant part of the gap that we see on EBIT will be offset towards the PBT level. So profit before tax will be down for the fiscal year, but to a lesser extent than EBIT because of that recovery on the finance cost.

Hein M. Schumacher

Executives
#9

And Alex, I think a few remarks on the structural nature of the guidance for this year. Look, there are a few things that I would call pretty temporary. These are, for example, the gourmet positions that you talked about. The other one is supply disruptions that we have seen as well as the volume declines that we've seen in the first half. I expect those to, over time, of course, to come back. Some of that will go faster than others. But more structurally, and Peter talked about that, our finance cost with a lower bean price, overall, the finance cost are not as high as in the EBIT definition, but they will come back and they will be neutralized on a PBT and on a net profit level. So some aspects are structural and some are temporary, but I wouldn't call it overall a rebasing of the company. I think your second question on Gourmet. Yes. So we had long positions out there and in Gourmet, which is partially a price listed business. We are seeking to retain market share. Obviously, we're going to drive volume. I think that's super important for us. We have, of course, fixed cost, but also we want to retain our customers after having had some years of disruption. So we're very keen to put the customer right front and center for everything that we do. So that's something that we're investing in. But if you look at Gourmet, yes, there have been disruptions also for Gourmet. Some of that in the North American part, but some of that in Europe, obviously, from somewhat longer time ago, but we're still sort of rebuilding capacity, and we're still rebuilding customer service. So this is something that we're now going to do on an accelerated pace. All the key factories are under hypercare. We've added some resources to make sure that we can deliver. We're also pushing some tactical investments through the sites because the customers have evolved their portfolio needs. We were a bit behind. We're stepping that -- we're really stepping that up and going fast after that. And therefore, I'm quite confident that in the second half of the year, overall, as a company, we are going to return to growth, and that will then sequentially improve the volume picture by quarter including Gourmet, which of course, is an important profit segment for us. Next question, please.

Operator

Operator
#10

Our next question comes from Jorn Iffert from UBS.

Joern Iffert

Analysts
#11

The first one would be please on the reinvestment needs to restore customer server levels. For how long do you think it will last that this is more pronounced? And do you think despite these reinvestments, there could be operating leverage benefits for EBIT in fiscal year '27? So just to get a feeling for the time line here? And the second question, please, a technical one. into the core segment, I assume it is, in particular, the spread, not the combined ratio, which was beneficial in the first half, I mean, what do you expect as a more normalized profitability on the current bean versus [indiscernible] powder spread going forward from here?

Hein M. Schumacher

Executives
#12

Thanks, Jorn. I'll take the first question. Peter, you can take -- if you would take the second one, that will be good. On the -- on the investments, look, as I said, there's a few different types of investment here. And so the first one as I said, it's around evolved customer needs of what they need in their portfolio. And I think whilst we have an overall capacity that is sort of sufficient given, of course, the volume reductions that we have and the existing capacity that we had on a line basis, the capacity wasn't always keeping pace with the changes of what customers really wanted. And therefore, we're doing a number of tactical investments predominantly in North America to keep pace and to satisfy the evolving customer needs. Some of that is in compound production. Some of that is in inclusion, for example, we need to step it up there. And so that's part number one. And that's partially CapEx. But of course, with all -- with quite a number of changes that we're doing and these are happening literally to date, that was in North America in the last couple of days and witnessing firsthand of what we're doing to step up that customer service and change portfolio. So that's number one. And that, of course, comes with some extra cost. The second one, given the disruptions that we had, we absolutely want to make sure that food quality and food safety is paramount. So yes, we are investing a bit extra also in manual operations to secure that. We've had incidents over the last couple of years. We simply cannot repeat that. the reputation of the company is essentially what safeguards the value of the company. So I'm very, very keen to focus on that as well. And then thirdly, as I talked about, investments when it comes to the loan positions that we -- and we already mentioned that a few times, the long positions that we've had on cocoa and the impact on price listed business. So we're making here the right trade-offs, but we want to stick with our customers and we prioritize volume and we prioritize market share now. and that's the third area of investment that we're making. I mean those are the main ones. But clearly, again, customer centricity and stepping up our efforts to evolve our capacity to that, to the exact needs of the customer, that for me is really a priority. Now and that's pretty short term. But I think in the midterm, that means that we will -- we need to continue to evolve our network, our supply chain through changing needs. And I think we can do that. And obviously, more to come on that in June. Peter?

Peter Vanneste

Executives
#13

Thanks for your question on cocoa. We've seen a strong EBIT growth on cocoa in the half year on year-on-year in local currencies. And very much linked to the fact that we're able to profit in cocoa and benefit from a more favorable margin environment and also the market volatility considering the speed of the market movements we've seen some time ago already with higher better, higher powder prices, and we were able to capture that. We expect this to normalize in half year 2 going forward because the butter ratios have continue to drop in line with the terminal market evolution. Butter is now below powder, butter and trading at a discount actually to CBE, which means that some of those benefits that we've seen linked to that volatility and the whole market that we captured in half year 1 and to some extent, a bit as well in half Q2 last year is at least for the short term, not coming back. And then, of course, we'll see how the market evolves further to be more specific about that.

Operator

Operator
#14

Our next question comes from Ed Hockin from JPMorgan.

Edward Hockin

Analysts
#15

Thank you, Hein, for your review on your focus for growth strategy that I look forward to learning more in June. But on the focus for growth strategy, what I wanted to clarify a little bit following on from the last question, is on some of these initiatives you've outlined on capacity investments on focus and scaling of innovations, whether these are a refocus of existing resource or whether these are incremental investments? And within that, how we're thinking about the cash flow, should we be, therefore, presuming that CapEx is higher for longer? And of your higher safety stocks in H2 that you mentioned, should we also expect that this is something longer lasting. So will you be holding inventory levels as a norm going forward? Or is this specifically an H2 comment? And then my second question, please, is on your volume outlook for H2 and the return to volume growth the industry, as you noted, is currently tracking minus 6.5% volumes. So to return to volume growth in the second half of the year, can you try and help me to bridge that? Is it that the industry volumes, you should expect some improvement in the second half of the year. how significant contribution should the actions you're taking in gourmet have? Is it some reversal of shrink flations or some reversal of the temporary in-sourcing that you've seen in previous years. Just if you could help me bridge that between the current industry volumes and improved picture for your volumes in the second half?

Hein M. Schumacher

Executives
#16

Thank you,. And let me take first go at it and Peter, please add where you see fit. So I mean, first of all, this is not about incremental resources. I talked very much in focus for growth around galvanizing and rallying our people, and that is people's component, but also indeed capital expenditure as well as costs behind less initiatives. We're choosing essentially 6 to 8 initiatives in the company right now to focus our resources on. We've been looking at many, many process improvements as a company over the last couple of years, ranging from HR processes to supply chain processes, to essentially covering absolutely everything. What I'm really keen now is to focus our resources behind those processes that touch the customer first. And that is planning. So demand planning, supply planning and making sure that we link up with our customer seamlessly and that we optimize our planning processes. So that means also digital efforts behind that. So that's the #1. Number two, customer service. Over the last year, customer service has been pretty much standardized, and in some cases, been moved from a decentral model to a more centralized global shared services model for customer service. That was a decision taken. It didn't always go well. So we absolutely have to nail it now and be there for the customer, make sure that, that customer service process runs extraordinarily well. So this is not about incrementalism. No, it's about from everything that we were doing under the -- next Level program is to choose those things that are meaningful and impactful and putting our people behind those. So that's very much the mantra. Not an extra, we're not going to expand on that. When it comes to capital expenditure, also for this year, we're not increasing the guidance. We have redirected some of the capital expenditures spent through the tactical investments that I talked about. And on the medium term, whether that's going to lead to a higher level, I'm going to come back to in June. However, we are very, very committed to deleveraging the company, as Peter has talked about. So that will remain an important priority. We will live within our means, but at the same time, I want to make sure that we spend the CapEx behind tangible, thought-through, thorough growth initiatives in a select number of markets, in our most meaningful segments. Gourmet, I talked to a few specialty categories, for example, and then, of course, in customer processes related to our food manufacturing segment. So more focused, clear and not incremental. So that, I think, hopefully answers your first question. When it comes to the volume picture in the second half, a few comments, Obviously, with lower bean prices, what we're seeing is that customers ordering for longer, that's clear, and that's helping the volume picture for us. We also see that customers, and we said that in the presentation, customers themselves are going for growth. And we've seen a number of initiatives from Hershey's, for example, we've initiatives from Nestle. And I think that's really important. We're seeing -- we are seeing an enhanced growth picture in some of our key markets. in ice cream, for example, in North America, we're seeing overall an increased demand picture. And again, I think the lower bean prices help. At the same time, and I think this is very important for us. When I talked about our efforts to restore growth, we believe that we are in the recent -- the very recent months, we are growing a bit ahead of the market with a reinvigorated focus on growth. And if we keep the pace we make those necessary investments. We restore our processes and our credibility and stability. I'm actually very convinced that we will continue to do that in the very near future. So that's going to help us. So with less disruptions, we should see some growth. There's one important caveat, and that's, of course, the situation in the Middle East. At this moment, I mean that's the latest on this morning, we believe that in the next week or so, business activity in the Middle East will resume somewhat, but obviously, it's very, very volatile. So that's something that we need to manage. So that's more on a high-level basis. I don't know, Peter, if you want to make some further comments on...

Peter Vanneste

Executives
#17

I'm risking to repeat a lot of what you said.

Operator

Operator
#18

Our next question comes from Jon Cox from Kepler Cheuvreux.

Jon Cox

Analysts
#19

I have 2 questions really. One, just on what's happened in the last couple of years and what you're doing now to sort of maybe unwind some of that maybe it went too far -- now I think under the first program, you laid off about 20% of your workforce and did a couple of factory closures and that sort of stuff. Just wondering, should we assume that maybe you're going to unwind the staff by about 10%, so maybe going back a little bit or halfway from what you've done as an add on that, do you think there's anything more needs to be done in terms of the factory network? Or is it more, as you mentioned, it's more about quality issues and maybe some lines are not working as well as you want to? So first question. The second question, more on the top line outlook. I'm quite surprised that we're not really seeing volumes recover, given the fact that cocoa prices have declined and now there's a lag and so on and so on. But in terms of, I'd imagine the whole industry saw chocolate in various places. Are you worried that maybe structurally, the chocolate market has changed in the last few years maybe with GLP-1s and we see various data points suggesting that maybe chocolate demand volume growth won't come back to that, on average, 1% or 2% we've seen historically, maybe it's going to be closer to flat going forward. Any thoughts on that sort of long-term chocolate market outlook?

Hein M. Schumacher

Executives
#20

Thanks, jon. I mean, first of all, on the -- next Level program. As I said, in the plan, on the focus for growth plan, look, I think that the next level program, again, the intention is to standardize more in the company to reduce our cost by progressing our network into fewer, bigger sites into doing more with digital, intentionally definitely the right program. But what I'm saying is -- therefore, we will build on that. And I have no intention to unwind necessarily what was going on. But I feel that efforts in the company were quite diluted. We have lost a lot of people. We have had quite some incidents and disruptions, and we have let customers down and customer service. So hey, I'm just very keen now to restore that confidence. Go back behind the number of core priorities. So that means that we're not going to unwind, but we're going to face and pace it. We'll go deeper going to finish a number of initiatives, and we're going to do it well, but always with the customer in mind. So yes, we will continue to evolve our network, and that may end up in less factories. But before you close the factory, you need to make absolutely sure that the volumes that you provide to a customer from that factory are then, of course, transfer to another place, and you can help the customer to succeed. So I'm very keen to progress. But again, in a thoughtful in a thoughtful manner. There's no point in adding necessarily resources. As I said, we are making some selective investments now in the supply chain, particularly in North America as well as in quality assurance. But overall, I do not foresee that we're sort of adding cost on a structural basis. That is definitely not the intention and I don't want to talk about unwinding. I want to talk about focus, and I want to talk about fewer, bigger and better with a strong focus on operations, discipline and customer centricity. I think when you talk about volumes, actually, we are pointing towards a volume recovery in the second half. So of course, progressively, quarter 2 was a little bit better than quarter 1 in terms of volume, still negative. But going forward, as you sort of follow the algorithm, we're guiding to minus 1 to minus 3 and that means mathematically that we're going to have to see a positive territory in half 2. Now where does that come from? And I talked about that lower bean prices. Yes. from our end, a better competitive position, strong focus and of course, with the caveat that I already talked about in the Middle East. But overall, we are actually seeing good signs of restored volumes. So in that sense, certainly on the midterm, we're looking more positively. On GLP-1, I think, yes, I mean several of our customers have also talked about that. And I just wanted to highlight that quality chocolate, the more premium style chocolate, we believe that's actually benefiting in some cases. We're seeing that also in interest for our gourmet product. So I think, yes, look, there will be some impact, but at this point, it will not be significant for the company.

Peter Vanneste

Executives
#21

And maybe just to add, there's some reassurance, of course, from the past on the market rebounding. I mean it's -- the market pricing has been significant, of course, this time, but also a few years ago on the back of COVID, there was a 20% pricing up in the market. And you could see the chocolate category bounce up well after that. And maybe last, as you said yourself, I mean there is this lag, right? We had ourselves for the first time now, a quarter in Q2 where our pricing was negative year-on-year. So we had a peak pricing plus 70% a year ago. We had still plus 25% pricing from us to our customers in quarter 1. Quarter 2 was the first quarter where it started to come down. So there is this lag that the market needs to cycle through before it starts hitting the consumer.

Hein M. Schumacher

Executives
#22

I think, Peter, there's also -- and I think that on your question or the question before, I want to come back on 1 point which are inventory levels. You've obviously seen inventories coming down and that's partially been priced, but also operationally, our inventories are showing a healthy development. what I do believe for the -- towards year-end, again, tactically and particularly on what I call the runners in our portfolio, gourmet products that are pretty standard we are increasing the inventory levels somewhat to make sure that we have a very positive start into the new year. I believe, by the end of last year, the inventory levels were very, very low, and it hampered us a bit in satisfying customer needs and with -- again, with the positive signs that we are seeing in the market, we believe there is room, again, tactically and in a few areas to increase the safety stocks a bit to safeguard service, again, a major priority for us going forward.

Operator

Operator
#23

Our next question comes from David Roux from Morgan Stanley.

David Roux

Analysts
#24

I just want to come back to the -- to Alex's question on the guidance. Can you perhaps quantify how much of the cuts in the PBT guidance was attributed to the investments in Gourmet, Middle East conflicts and then other factors? And then my second question is on global chocolates. On the food manufacturer client cohort specifically, do you see any need or any risk here that you need to invest in pricing? I appreciate there's a mechanical cost-plus model with this cohort of customer, but I mean how robust are these agreements? And then just my follow-up question on Global Chocolate is where do you see manufacturer inventory levels at the moment?

Hein M. Schumacher

Executives
#25

Take the first. I'll come back on the food manufacturing.

Peter Vanneste

Executives
#26

Yes. So David, the first question on the moving parts on EBIT and then and then PBT overall and versus the guidance that we put into the market. Overall, as we said, there's a -- still for the full year, there's a positive on cocoa, considering the high and the strong benefit that we took on the volatility and the increases of the market in the past, normalizing half Q2, as I mentioned. Now if we look at the where the delta comes from in terms of the negative impacts, you could basically argue that about 70% or 2/3 is triggered by this very rapidly declining bean price, which had an impact on, first of all, our financing costs that pass-through has reversed basically on the EBIT line. Secondly, the impact that we've seen on Gourmet, where our loan position and high price lists forced us to do some commercial investments to secure the volumes that we have. So 2/3 is really coming from that rapid decline of the bean price. The remaining part, basically, there's 2 components. One is volume, that over the year will still be slightly negative. And secondly, some of the increased costs that we are taking to manage the -- through the supply disruption and making sure that we can deliver our customers despite some of those disruptions that we've seen. So this is basically the different blocks that you should be considering within our guidance.

Hein M. Schumacher

Executives
#27

When it comes to the Food Manufacturing segment, you're right. I mean, most of our contracts, they follow the price of cocoa. So I'm not overly -- from everything that I'm seeing margin-wise and so forth. I don't see major volatility in that, I feel pretty confident about the segment going into the second half. And we will move with customers and, of course, based on the contracts that we have. So when I talked about the major impact from the loan position, and that is more related to price listed businesses. When it comes to global stock levels, as I said, I think there are some -- we see customers buying a bit longer. I can't comment on exact stock levels, I'm not long enough here to give a really educated answer on that, but it's a fact that at this point with the current beam prices, there is room for some increases globally. That's all I can say at the moment unless Peter, you would have further comments?

Operator

Operator
#28

Our next question comes from Tom Sykes from Deutsche Bank.

Tom Sykes

Analysts
#29

Firstly, just on the capacity expansion that you're putting into North America and your comments to the earlier question around longer-term demand. I mean if you're investing into compounds, which is the majority, I believe, through your food manufacturing business you not just signaling that there is a permanent reduction in [ AK ] demand, even if it's not chocolate demand, and that's coming from compound growth rather than cocoa content, if you like. And then just on Gourmet, where was your gross profit per unit be tuning versus 12 months ago? And are you saying that you're going to be cutting that even more? Because if you do have this shift towards more compounds and we're in a sort of excess capacity, I suppose. Are we not just going to see a rebasing of gourmet pricing. And indeed, is it still going down?

Hein M. Schumacher

Executives
#30

Thanks, Tom. I mean, first of all, in investing in North America, as I said, I think the network overall probably didn't keep sort of the pace with the evolving customer needs. So I think it's more that we were a bit behind. And we are very, very keen to fill in some of the blanks. We have very good relationships with many customers, obviously, in North America. We are the market leader. But I want to make sure that for particular needs and indeed, that could be compound production that they don't go to alternative suppliers. So what we're doing is we fill in tactical needs, and I believe that, that will strengthen our position with customers significantly. At this point, with the bean price where it is now, we don't see compound necessarily growing faster than chocolate. We see -- we're seeing some movements that chocolate is actually back, and we're seeing some customers going back to chocolate. And again, with the current bean price, I believe that is overall probably even beneficial for them. We're sort of at that inflection point. So no, I don't think that compound will continue to always gain. I think what is more important for companies like us is that we're agile and that we can fill in the blanks for of the portfolio that customers need and they will have a need for compound for particular parts of what they -- in their portfolio, and they have a need for chocolate. And of course, there's the volatility of the bean price. So what I think what is important for us given our role in the industry is that we are agile, that we have the ability to supply what is needed. And that is exactly what we're going to do in North America with a number of shorter-term investments. So that's, I would say, for the next 4 to 5 months or so. I want to come back in June, as I said, with a more midterm picture for North America as well as coping with growth in a select number of large emerging markets, and I'm talking that mainly Brazil, Indonesia, for example. India, we have ample capacity. We can continue to grow. I mean, we've done that double digit. And I feel that's going to happen, that's going to go -- that will happen going forward. But I want to choose a few of the bigger markets where we have an emerging presence where I think we can succeed but where we have some bottlenecks that we need to resolve. So I hope that answers the first question on investment. On gourmet profit, I wasn't exactly sure on the precise question, but if I -- I would say there's no rebasing on profitability as such. As I said, there were long positions out there. and then you need to determine what you do. What is your priority? And we feel that retaining customers, driving growth whilst at some point, these positions will unwind, there will be -- and we will be returning to normalized profitability on Gourmet. That's at least what I'm seeing going forward. But in the meantime, we want to make sure that we keep the customer connection that we can compete in our geographies, and that's what we're doing.

Peter Vanneste

Executives
#31

And maybe just one addition because I think I might have understood in your message that for compound production, we need entirely new setup of factories, which is not the case, right? We can produce from our existing factories. There's a few interventions you need to do in terms of [indiscernible] . But overall, I mean, we can convert our lines. So it's not that if any move happens to compound that is an entirely new network that we need.

Operator

Operator
#32

Our next question comes from Antoine Prevot from Bank of America.

Antoine Prevot

Analysts
#33

So I have 2 questions, please. First, so on [indiscernible] So within gourmet chocolate. I mean, could you quantify the volume growth of coatings versus field chocolates and especially considering that now CBE is more expensive than cocoa butter are you seeing maybe some pressure there overall, especially as coatings pretty good buffering volume for the past couple of years. And second, on Gourmet. So could you quantify a bit how much of your chocolate profit comes from the [indiscernible] sides? It's about 20% of your volume, but I would suspect it's much higher on the profits. And considering the reinvestment and like the price that you are doing in price change here going into like 2? How quickly do you expect situation to improve their own volume?

Hein M. Schumacher

Executives
#34

Thank you, Antoine. Well, I think Peter takes the second question on the composition of the profit, if I got it [indiscernible] right. I think on your first question, overall, on compound by the way, we call it a coatings. We saw flat growth in the first half with a double-digit growth for particular super compound products. Don't forget that I'm talking about investments in compound. And yes, we need to follow the customer, but we are the meeting, actually the leader actually globally in Cacao Coatings. And we have quite a few R&D projects with many of our customers on the way to continue to compete in that well. So if you -- if I sort of take a step back, as a company, what we are offering, we're offering the chocolate solution, we're offering the cacao coatings but also non-cocoa solutions. And in that sense, we are partnering with Planet Foods. We have a -- we're working on what we call [indiscernible] which is an cocoa product, which also has its own cost structure, and we will continue to invest in those type of alternatives. So we're very keen to provide the whole portfolio. Now again, flat growth in the first half with particular double-digit growth in a subsegment called what we call super compound products.

Peter Vanneste

Executives
#35

Yes. And on gourmet, yes, it's about 20% of our volumes and it's over proportional in terms of our profit split we're not really disclosing a lot of details on it. But as you mentioned, it's a lot more accretive than the FM business. Volume wise to 20%. We're still -- it's still actually -- despite the challenges, it's still performing relatively better than the FM business. So as we speak. And also in H2, I mean, we will invest, as we said, some of that long position, but it does mean that we'll be cutting even more -- we expect actually a positive evolution in our business in chocolate, both on the FM and the [indiscernible] and the Gourmet side going forward in the second half. Yes, I think that's where we are on the Gourmet side and everything else, I think we said before, we do expect, as it is linked to the very steep decline of the bean price, we do expect this to be a temporary phenomenon.

Operator

Operator
#36

Our next question comes from the [indiscernible] from Goldman Sachs.

Unknown Analyst

Analysts
#37

My first question is just around the end markets. It would be really helpful to get some context from you around how you're expecting them to progress from here. You've got pretty good visibility on the order book it seems. How much of this is kind of because your customers are innovating, having to bring out new products to kind of support that volume growth? And how much of it is that you think that consumers are adjusting to the price levels of chocolate products right now? And kind of along those lines, are you starting to see any appetite from your customers to reduce prices or increase promotions, increased pack sizes to kind of -- to get the volume coming back in the market? And if there's any regional context as well, that would be so helpful. And then just switching tack, just thinking about your service levels. Can you perhaps contextualize where they are versus history? I know that it's been quite volatile. There's been a lot of disruption. But if we think about where Barry Callebaut used to be, say, 5 years ago, are we -- how significantly below that are we? I know that the company is below industry levels. But any kind of indication of the delta would be really helpful.

Hein M. Schumacher

Executives
#38

Thanks, Sam, for your -- for the questions. First, I would like to talk a bit about the market and the -- and our customers and what consumers are doing. Let me just make a few points here. So first, and some of it will be repetitive. I hope you don't mind. But obviously, there has been -- have been lower -- there are lower bean prices, and we're seeing a flattening as well over the future curve. So there are some early signs, as I said, of market stabilization for our customers. So customers are therefore also willing to book further in advance. As I call it, these are longer positions, and there is some room for higher inventories overall. I think we're seeing that customers are pricing through to some extent. Obviously, that's a customer decision. I don't want to go too deep on that, but I'm very encouraged by what I'm seeing with some of our large customers and particularly North America. Ferrero, and we said it in the presentation, they launched their go all-in promotion lasting from April to July, and that's backed up by significant investments. They've made a very public statement about that 100 million investment. The Hershey -- sorry, that was Ferrero, Hershey also making significant media investments in this year. with a very big launch around Reese's and Hershey. It's a first launch for them since a number of years that is sort of at this magnitude. So we're seeing restored confidence, obviously, the margin profile will help given the lower bean prices. So these are, I think, very positive signs for recovery going forward. We're also seeing, therefore, some increased innovation interest from our CPG customers. And as I said, that we do across the whole portfolio, we're seeing, particularly in Western Europe. We're seeing interest in the non-cocoa solutions as for ChoViva, the brand that I talked about before. but also the high flavanol opportunity, the high-level innovation in AMEA, and this is gaining really good traction in Japan as well as in China. So if I sort of summarize lower bean prices, so therefore, long customers going a bit long, Secondly, very specific big initiative from some of our large customers that will help the market. And third, we're seeing if we are focusing our efforts behind scalable innovation platforms, we believe that, particularly on a regional basis, we're seeing increased interest. So these are, I would say, these are very positive signs. And therefore, we believe that the second half we can return to a growth picture. On customer service levels, look, yes, I look back to a number of years ago. And particularly in the last 1.5 years or so, we have been below our historical averages. I don't want to call out one customer service level because you need to drill down a little bit. and customer service can, for example, become low if your portfolio is not exactly the customer needs. So are you -- can you deliver against an unconstrained demand? That's a question. And in many cases, we haven't been able to do so, and that's why we're making these investments. The second one is due to disruptions, do you need to cancel contracts or cancel deliveries that the customer has asked for. So in some of our key segments, we've seen customer service levels even somewhat below 80%. They are now improving fast. And again, that's where we're laser focused on to get them to the highest possible level now. And I think that's something that we do progressively well. So without calling particularly percentages too much, I would say we weren't at the level that we were a number of years ago. due to disruptions due to many process changes due to the whole transformation impact. We're now going back to fewer initiatives restoring customer service on those areas where we really need it and preparing for a midterm picture. And obviously, I'd like to come back to you in June on what that looks like. I think that, that concludes the overall, if I'm not wrong, this was the last question?

Operator

Operator
#39

Correct. We currently have no further questions. We don't have no further questions.

Hein M. Schumacher

Executives
#40

Thank you, everyone, for spending time with us this morning. We are looking forward to come back to you in June with a full update on the Focus for Growth program and to have more interactions with you in the next couple of days as well as after the June conference. Thanks a lot and speak soon.

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