Bharat Electronics Limited (BEL.NS) Q3 FY2026 Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

January 28, 2026

NSEI IN Industrials Aerospace and Defense Earnings Calls 67 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

Operator
#1

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to Bharat Electronics Limited Q3 FY '26 Earnings Conference Call hosted by Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Ms. Teena Virmani from Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited. Thank you, and over to you, Ms. Virmani.

Teena Virmani

Analysts
#2

Good evening, everyone. Thanks, Shikha. On behalf of Motilal Oswal Financial Services, I welcome you all for Bharat Electronics Q3 FY '26 Results Conference Call. I would like to thank the management for giving us the opportunity to host the call. From the management side, we have with us Mr. Manoj Jain, Chairman and Managing Director; Mr. Damodar Bhattad, Director, Finance and CFO; Mr. S. Sreenivas, Company Secretary. Without taking much time, I hand over the call to Mr. Manoj for his opening remarks. And after that, we will open the floor for Q&A. Over to you, sir.

Manoj Jain

Executives
#3

Thank you, Madam. Good afternoon, everybody. So I will just briefly summarize our financial highlights up to Q3 for the financial year '25-'26. So till Q3, we have achieved revenue from operations of INR 17,302 crores as compared to INR 14,538 crores, which was up to Q3 of last year with an overall growth of 19%. The profit before tax increased to INR 5,171 crores up to Q3 as compared to INR 4,242 crores up to Q3 last year with a growth of 22%. The profit after tax also increased to INR 3,845 crores as compared to INR 3,183 crores up to Q3 last year with a growth of 21%. The EBITDA has increased to 30% up to Q3 as compared to 28% up to Q3 last year. The earnings per share also increased to INR 5.26 up to Q3 as compared to INR 4.36 last year, same time. And order book position as on 1st January 2026 is INR 73,015 crores. And as on 28/01/2026, as on today is INR 73,450 crores. And order acquired till 1st January 2026 is INR 18,100 crores, until today is INR 19,300 crores. This is the brief highlights of our financial performance up to Q3. So now the floor is open for question and answer.

Operator

Operator
#4

[Operator Instructions] Is from the line of Mr. Umesh Raut from Nomura India.

Umesh Raut

Analysts
#5

Congratulations for very good set of results. My first question is pertaining to the guidance for FY '26 now given that we have received -- reported about 19% sales growth in first 9 months, and we have received closer to INR 19,300 crores of orders. So are we revising our sales growth number upwards? And considering that there is also a finalization of NGC order, which is remaining with the shipbuilders. So are we anticipating any spillover of order from NGC from this year to FY '27, which we were assuming earlier during Q2 call?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#6

Yes. So regarding guidance, as we told, we are consistent about our guidance. So whatsoever guidance we gave at the start of the year, we are maintaining that, and we are confident that we will achieve or exceed this guidance. Regarding NGC, yes, we told after Q2 also that there is a chance of spilling over orders to next financial year. Now also, we are quite hopeful that maybe around INR 3,000 crores to INR 5,000 crore deal we may get before March end. And remaining these -- remaining orders may come in Q1 and some of them may be Q2 of next year. But definitely by next year, Q2, we will get all the orders of NGC order because it is split across multiple line items and separate order we are expecting for those line items. So that's why that is our final thought right now that around 20% to 25% of the orders we may get before March and remaining orders in Q1 and Q2 of next year.

Umesh Raut

Analysts
#7

Understood. So are we including the NGC orders in our guided number of INR 27,000 crores for FY '26?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#8

Yes, this at around INR 3,000 crores to INR 4,000 crores is included in that of '25, '26 because we expected this conclusion because mostly at GRSE level -- GRSE and GSL level, it is already concluded with government. So they are now in the stage of final negotiation and other things for these line items, including specs finalization. Some of these type of technicalities only are going on. So we are confident that before March, we will get INR 2,000 crores to INR 3,000 crores minimum this year, and that is included in this INR 27,000 crores guidance, which we have given.

Umesh Raut

Analysts
#9

Understood. Second question is on the margin side. If I look at this quarter margin, it was closer to 30% at the EBITDA level. I think other expenses are down by about 15% vis-a-vis our 24% top line growth. So any one-off in other expenses that we had in third quarter? And for 9 months, our EBITDA margin is closer to 29%, which is much higher than guided number of 27%. So are we expecting major outperformance in terms of EBITDA margin for full year '26?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#10

No. As of now, we maintain the EBITDA margin of 27%, what we have guided for the current year because it's a composition of products which we sell. So up to December, what you have sold and from January to March, the composition will be slightly different. So we maintain the EBITDA margin of 27% only for the current financial year.

Umesh Raut

Analysts
#11

And pertaining to specific third quarter about other expenses declining by 15% year-on-year?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#12

Other expenses declining? Just a minute, I'll just look into it and tell you so we can move on to the next question, I'll just brief you on that. Somebody else can ask that question. By the time we are just getting the data. We will reply while replying to his answer, we will reply on this also.

Operator

Operator
#13

Thank you, Umesh. the next question is from the line of Jyoti Gupta from Nirmal Bang.

Jyoti Gupta

Analysts
#14

Great set of numbers. I think on similar lines, I just wanted to know EBITDA margin improved sequentially. What's your outlook for margin stability through FY '26 and into FY '27? Are there any headwinds from input costs or manpower expenses that we should expect for FY '27? And also can you elaborate on the key drivers behind this margin expansion? Was it product mix, cost efficiencies or prices?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#15

FY '26, as we told, we are maintaining the margin of 27% -- EBITDA margin of 27% for the current year. As far as the next financial year is concerned, we'll be giving our guidance when we meet next time. So we'll be giving the guidance for '26, '27 later on. Presently, we maintained the EBITDA margin of 27% for the current financial year. As regards to composition, it has -- different product mix is there. That's how it plays to this slightly higher EBITDA margin in the up to December. But overall, for the current financial year, still we maintain the EBITDA margin of 27%, yes. Okay. And regarding this manpower expenses, as you have told, we are not anticipating much change in the manpower expenses, which is around 14% typically of our turnover. We will have more or less similar figures only. And as told earlier also, it is -- pay revision or the labor codes, et cetera, are not going to affect us too much because we are more or less aligned with the labor codes also. So that as well as the pay revision, which may affect for 3 months, something extra, but because of our increased turnover and other parameters, we are not seeing much change in our manpower cost as a percentage of turnover. And the key driver for better EBITDA margin typically is product mix, but definitely the indigenization, which we are keep on increasing. Our value addition is becoming more and more. We are -- our material cost in our overall turnover is reducing, although marginally slightly, but it is on the reduction side only. And that is mainly because of more and more indigenization, more and more involving our MSME friends. So because of that, a little bit more push on positive side for the EBITDA margins are there.

Jyoti Gupta

Analysts
#16

Sir, one more question in terms of execution phase, which is seen in the defense electronics, are there any delays in project deliveries due to supply chain constraints or approvals? And if so, how is BEL mitigating those, in case there is anything for future products that you see or anything currently which is there?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#17

No. Supply chain management is the real job of companies like us, definitely. We are closely watching it, closely monitoring it at various levels. And overall, what we had seen last year, last year to this year was much more comfortable for us. And next year to follow, it will be much more better, definitely. So this year also, we are targeting around 95% of our items we will deliver on time. That is our internal target. And next year, we wanted to make it 100%. There are some supply chain-related constraints because of some of the items, especially semiconductors and some rotary joints or some other critical items which are not manufactured in India. So there are some supply chain management-related challenges, but we are foreseeing them a bit before and trying to mitigate that a bit early so that overall delivery to our customers is not affected.

Operator

Operator
#18

The next question is from the line of Amit Anwani from Prabhudas Lilladher Capital.

Amit Anwani

Analysts
#19

I'm audible?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#20

Yes.

Amit Anwani

Analysts
#21

Yes, so my first question, sir, with respect to the orders. So this year, since [indiscernible] is quite strong, we will definitely be doing more than INR 27,000 crore type top line. And even on order inflow, we have guided INR 27,000 crores. So just wanted to understand you have been, of course, highlighting about at least 13%, 15% growth even for next 2, 3 years. Just wanted to understand, apart from QRSAM, which is expected, to sustain growth, you will be needing more than INR 30,000, INR 35,000 crores kind of intake. So does that give you confidence that we are going to have this kind of intake? And are there any medium to large orders which you are expecting in next 12 to 18 months, which kind of ensures that you win more than INR 30,000 crores, INR 35,000 crores next financial year to sustain growth?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#22

Certainly, once we have committed to you that we are going to have a growth of more than 15% year-on-year. So that we have taken care of for next 3 to 4 years, at least what all the expected orders in pipeline based on that and the conversion time lines, based on that only we have given this confidence of this commitment to you. So there are so many projects in pipeline for next financial year other than QRSAM, and we are closely watching that. And definitely, it will be more than INR 25,000 crores, which we are seeing minimum other than QRSAM. So QRSAM itself, we are hopeful that we may get by this year itself, means by Q4 itself, still we are more than 90% confident of getting that now itself. Some few percent chance only to spill over to Q1 of next year, but we are putting all our efforts to see that QRSAM also comes this year itself. So that will give me around INR 30,000 crores, INR 32,000 crores additional orders in my kitty. But in addition to that, minimum INR 25,000-plus crores additional are already pipeline in next financial year. So we are confident that we'll have a steady growth of more than 15% in years to come.

Damodar Bhattad

Executives
#23

As regards to somebody has asked for query on other expenses from quarter-to-quarter and from what is the result for the reason for decrease. Actually, cumulatively, the other expenses have increased only. For quarter-on-quarter, last year, the provisions were slightly more because of which the other expenses have decreased now. It's due to provisions decreased current year. Quarter-on-quarter, there's a provision decrease. Overall, cumulatively for 9 months, its -- total other expenses have increased only.

Amit Anwani

Analysts
#24

Yes. Right, sir. So one clarification on NGC. You said we are accounting for INR 3,000 crores to INR 4,000 crores, which is roughly about 25%. So that INR 10,000 to INR 12,000 crores will be probably coming in H1, the remaining portion, right? Is that the right understanding for NGC?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#25

Yes, yes, yes, correct, correct. We will try to get it in Q1 of next year, but it may spill over to Q2 maximum. So in H1 of next year, we are hopeful to get remaining around INR 10,000 crores to INR 12,000 crores in next year.

Amit Anwani

Analysts
#26

Right. And lastly, since we had very strong margins, and even the utilizations must be going up. So what stops us to revise the guidance? Because the ask rate for guidance at 27% for 4Q is only 25%. So are we expecting the product mix to be not favorable in 4Q or maybe next year as well? Because I think comfortably, we can do more than 28%, 29%. So what is stopping us to not revise that since we have already completed 9 to 10 months of the financial year?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#27

See, overall guidance for the current year has been given at 15%, okay? So quarter-on-quarter, we have not given. There are some quarters where the performance...

Amit Anwani

Analysts
#28

The EBITDA margin, I was saying, yes.

Manoj Jain

Executives
#29

EBITDA margin, 27%. EBITDA margin, yes, it will be around -- because see, again, as we told, it's about the product mix only. So product mix has been more favorable up to December and maybe slightly lesser favorable from this time on. So we feel that the EBITDA margin will be maintained around 27%.

Damodar Bhattad

Executives
#30

It will not go below 27% that much we are ensuring...

Manoj Jain

Executives
#31

Yes, yes, yes.

Damodar Bhattad

Executives
#32

I can assure you, it will not go below 27%, which we started our year with. And we are continuously going towards that only. There should not be any doubt in the minds of you that it will be below 27%. That much we are ensuring.

Amit Anwani

Analysts
#33

Yes. Sir, last question on the EU deal. There has been a talk about defense cooperation in that document and kind of synergy between the Indian players and export to Europe. So any assessment you have done that leads you to some kind of product exports in Europe?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#34

It is too early to tell that right now. But definitely, it is opening up a new market for us. And there is one more thing, a new research -- joint research opportunities also because I think they have told that there is a big research fund also available with EU, where they want to have some joint development. So there definitely companies like BEL, who are R&D focused and technology-focused company, we will have good tie-ups for good joint research and where we may expect some funds flow also from a research point of view. And research would definitely generated some more business. So we are expecting more and more business from them. But today, we have not quantified that. Maybe when we meet in April, by the time we will quantify how much more is there. And based on that only, we will give you the better guidance for next year.

Operator

Operator
#35

The next question is from the line of Amit Dixit from Goldman Sachs.

Amit Dixit

Analysts
#36

Congratulations for a good set of numbers. A couple of questions from my side. The first one is essentially on recently, we have been hearing a lot of shortage with respect to semiconductor chips as a result of which the prices have gone up significantly in the market. So are you also seeing any impact of that in your bill of materials? And can you quantify for us what percentage of COGS would the semiconductor chips comprise?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#37

No, Semiconductor chips are a very important component of BEL designs, no doubt on that. But knowing there's a shortage of chips and especially sometimes one particular type of chips are in shortage, we had already made design efforts to make alternate designs. So based on that, today, we are not feeling that hit on because of shortage of chips. So we are -- our designs are now much more generic, I should say like that. So we are not foreseeing any major challenge for us because of availability of chips or chip shortage. And overall, I think the chips we are having almost, total type of semiconductors are around 2,000-plus type of -- different type of semiconductor, other chips are there in our total project portfolio. And of course, we are there indigenizing a few of them. And a few more, we are expecting government to come out with some plans with the help of other start-ups and others. And overall, we see that chips should not become a bottleneck for us in years to come. So we are coming out with that type of plans of indigenizing those chips. So firstly, we want to start with some critical chips. We have already done some investment for microwave-related important chips. So we have designed our own chips to avoid these type of shortages and these type of dependencies. A few of digital chips also fabless designs we have done. And all the fabs which are coming in India, we have signed an MOU with them and early engagement already started with them to leverage on the strength of the manufacturing in India. So with these type of things, we are confident that chip-related issues or surprises should not affect well that much. That much only I can tell you at this point of time.

Amit Dixit

Analysts
#38

Sir, as a percentage of COGS, how much would the chip cost be, just a broad estimate?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#39

Out of the BOM, bill of material, let us say, bill of material is 100. So in that 100, around 20% to 30% typically will be semiconductor chips typically because remaining are some assembly, some other components, mechanical components, testing, all other things put together are there. But semiconductor chips -- specialized semiconductor chips are of the order of this percentage.

Amit Dixit

Analysts
#40

Okay. Wonderful. Sir, second question is with respect to the execution in this quarter. So what would be -- I mean, if you can break down the revenue broadly into the execution by platform, that would be great.

Manoj Jain

Executives
#41

Previous quarter, means Q3 or you are asking about Q4?

Amit Dixit

Analysts
#42

Sir, Q3, Q3.

Manoj Jain

Executives
#43

Q3, [Foreign Language] major orders we have executed in Q3. Up to Q3 is mainly -- up to Q3, we have executed mainly LRSAM project, HimShakti project, Battlefield Surveillance project, Lynx Fire Control solution, Akash Army, LRUs for LCA Mark 1A, all the digital LRUs and Shakti EW System. These are the major orders which we have executed up to Q3, which the 7 projects itself would have accounted for around INR 5,000-plus crores.

Amit Dixit

Analysts
#44

And for Q4, what are the major platforms for execution?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#45

Plant for execution in Q4 are, again, LRSAM, Akash Army, HimShakti, Arudhra MPR will be added in the kitty. D29 EW system we will supply a bit more because last time it was -- Q3, it was a bit less number. Now around INR 500-plus crores we may supply in Q4. BMP-2 upgrade also now we will supply a big number. And LRUs for LCA definitely will continue. So this is around INR 4,000 crores to INR 5,000 crores comes from these 6, 7 major projects in Q4.

Operator

Operator
#46

The next question is from the line of Harshit Patel from Equirus Securities.

Harshit Patel

Analysts
#47

My first question is on the Akash Missile program. While it is under execution wherein Bharat Dynamics is the lead integrator and we supply to them. Why you haven't included Akash next generation in your near term or the next 1-year pipeline? What would be the size and probable time line for this large project?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#48

Okay. So as you have rightly told, the Akash project, which we are executing right now is called Akash Prime, lead bidder was BDL, and we are doing production of that items and some testing and other integration, some other trials, et cetera, were done. We are hopeful of executing more than 90% of that order before this financial year itself. Akash NG per se is the next-generation Akash for which trials are already completed. Now the process of AON approval will be put up. And that's why we are not that much confident that by next year and we may get, it may spill over to next to next year. So in '26, '27, we may not get the confirmed order of that. But definitely, '27, '28, we have planned that. If we are lucky, we may get in the Q4 of next year. But we know the process takes its own time also. So AON and then approval, then RFP issuing to BEL. This one will be issued to BEL only, not BDL. So hoping maybe Q4 of '26-'27, else it will be in '27, '28 only, we may get the order for this.

Harshit Patel

Analysts
#49

Understood, sir. Just a small clarification. You said we will be the lead integrator for Akash NG and not BDL, right?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#50

Sorry, sorry, sorry. It is not we will be, we want to be, okay? Because it is from Air Force, this -- [Foreign Language] sorry, sorry, we will be, sorry. No, no, no. Air Force is we take. Army is by BDL...

Unknown Executive

Executives
#51

Correct, correct.

Manoj Jain

Executives
#52

So Akash Air Force. This is Akash NG right now the requirement is from Air Force. So that's why we are the lead bidder for this. For Army also, we want to be, but as of now, Army Akash is handled by BDL. Army -- Akash Air Force is led by BEL. Of course, for QRSAM program, Army and Air Force, both, we are the lead bidder. So that's why there is some small confusion happens sometimes. But Akash NG, we are the lead bidder, and that's why it will be handled by BEL. And back-to-back, we will have arrangement with BDL for the missile portions.

Harshit Patel

Analysts
#53

Any size of this program you can indicate?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#54

As of now, because, again, once AON is done, then only the exact configuration will be finalized because the configuration or the requirement keeps changing. So how much quantity they want based on that. But based on the present discussion, it is of the order of INR 2,500 crores to INR 3,000 crores as of now. But when AON will be done, before than that, they will have their own internal assessment about exact quantities, which are required. So it may vary, maybe generally on the plus side only typically. So right now, the estimate is between INR 2,500 crores to INR 3,000 crores.

Harshit Patel

Analysts
#55

Understood. Sir, secondly, there seems to be a lot of delay in the order placement for Shatrughat and Samaghat electronic warfare systems. Since these 2 have been in the development stage for a long time now. Any particular reason for the slow movement in these 2 programs? And when do you think this will finally get -- I mean when we'll finally get this order?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#56

Okay. Let me tell you, Shatrughat and Samaghat, both projects, there were small delays because of the rigorous trials, et cetera, but that phase is over. Trials were over, trials were successfully concluded. The lead person is DRDO and well supported by BEL. After that, RFP was issued to BEL. We have given RFP response also. So case is moving very, very fast. Cost audit also is done. So we are hoping out of the 2 programs, maybe one of the programs, we may get this year itself by Q4. Otherwise, definitely, they are in H1 of the next year, both the programs. But we are still trying because things are moving in a really positive way, very, very fast way right now. So we are expecting one of the program, the Shatrughat, we may get order by Q4 of this year itself. Otherwise, of course, both the programs, definitely by H1, we are going to get. That much I can assure you.

Operator

Operator
#57

The next question is from the line of Hardik Rawat from IIFL Capital.

Hardik Rawat

Analysts
#58

Congratulations team on another solid quarter. Sir, I wanted to get an understanding of -- based on our guidance of roughly INR 27,000-odd crores, and this was prior to the EP getting approved. What -- now we're looking at a balance of around INR 8,000-odd crores of inflows that are to flow, which systems -- in our expectations, what programs are going to constitute this INR 8,000 crores of balance inflows?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#59

Mainly [Foreign Language] LCA order from HAL, we are expecting very soon any time because we have done conclusion of price also. So we may get that. That is our biggest order in this quarter for us. As I told you, NGC and the Shatrughat, these 2, we are hoping to get by this year itself. And remaining orders are there, 2, 3 more bigger orders of around INR 1,000-plus crores. We are confident we will cross INR 27,000 crores without QRSAM, definitely.

Hardik Rawat

Analysts
#60

Any -- if you could indicate the size of these 3 major orders that you mentioned? I understand that for NGC, you mentioned INR 2,000 crores to INR 3,000 crores in this current year. But for Shatrughat and the LCA LRU that you spoke about, any indication as to the size of these orders?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#61

Shatrughat will be around INR 3,000 crores. And LCA order also will be around INR 2,400 crores plus roughly.

Hardik Rawat

Analysts
#62

My second question was with regards to the provision write-backs that you mentioned in this quarter. What could be the size of these provision write-backs that you've done? And...

Damodar Bhattad

Executives
#63

Provisions write-back, what you have done is overall, INR 256 crores, INR 256 crores.

Hardik Rawat

Analysts
#64

Got it, sir. I have more questions, I will get back in the queue.

Operator

Operator
#65

The next question is from the line of Kavish Parekh from B&K Securities.

Kavish Parekh

Analysts
#66

Congratulations on a great set of numbers. My question is with respect to the QRSAM project. So could you please break down the total project cost into key components and who will be the key suppliers for the same? For instance, missiles go to BDL. It would be great if you could quantify the same and also mention what would be the order values for vehicles, launchers, et cetera? And how much of the content will be handled by BEL in-house?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#67

QRSAM is a very complex project, consisting of various big, big subsystems. And missile is, of course, the largest subsystem and missile will go to BDL from BEL. So BEL will place an order, once we receive the order, we will place an order to BDL about the missile. And missile order itself will be around -- roughly around 30% of the total order value, roughly, I'm telling you. So that will be there. And we will see what else we can share with you, but remaining orders will be executed by BEL. And definitely, we have our large ecosystem of industry partners for QRSAM program. So we jointly with them definitely will execute the remaining portion, which is around 70%, you can say, will be executed by BEL with other industry partners of BEL. And BDL is, of course, the largest partner in that way because the missile comes from him. Of course, in missile also some of the subsystems we will jointly make, some of the electronic subsystems also will jointly make. That is the agreement between BEL and BDL. So overall, this program will definitely give a boost not only to BEL and BDL, it will give a major boost to all the major industries in India.

Kavish Parekh

Analysts
#68

But within that 70%, could you quantify how much would be handled by BEL in-house?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#69

As such, we don't want to quantify that at this stage because once we receive the confirmed order with exact quantities, then only we can say this much portion is going to L&T or this much portion is going to other vendor, et cetera, like that. Today, we cannot tell you that. But definitely, it is based on the approved vendor list of DRDO, because it is a DRDO developed project where some vendors for some line items also are defined by DRDO. And as per the configuration list given by them only, the orders will be placed among those approved vendors, which DRDO has finalized. Overall integration definitely will be done by BEL and overall offering as an integrated system will be done by BEL. So that is as per the agreed philosophy between BEL and DRDO. It is as per the LATOT document, which is signed between BEL and DRDO, that type of arrangement is there, and that is common to all DRDO projects. So in every DRDO projects, in the LATOT document, they will quantify the total configuration list of major subsystems. And those subsystems, we have to take from those vendors. In QRSAM program, because it is a very large program, DRDO and BEL jointly have developed not only single vendor. In most of the line items, we have developed alternate vendors also. So because of that, we hope that any surge capacity which is required for this program will be sufficiently handled. So this is done as per the configuration list, which is finally given by DRDO to us. Based on that only, we will give this individual line item or some modules related orders to different stakeholders.

Kavish Parekh

Analysts
#70

And following up on QRSAM, once the project enters execution in FY '28 or '29, I understand the execution will be spread over 4 to 6 years. What sort of a margin impact do you anticipate here considering a large part of the program sort of gets outsourced?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#71

No, no, it will be more or less similar like Akash, which we are handling, something like that only, outsourcing will be more or less similar in QRSAM program. So we are not making -- we cannot -- we are anticipating what type of margins will be there in this program, definitely. And when we will come out with year-on-year guidance, at that time, we will see how much QRSAM which contribute to that. And based on that only, we will give you the overall guidance in that year projections.

Kavish Parekh

Analysts
#72

Lastly, sir, on exports, any key export opportunities that you see over the next 12 to 18 months?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#73

Definitely, export opportunities are there in all the areas of BEL's operation, and we are doing a focused attempt to increase our export turnover from presently 3% to 4% to 5% in near future and overall 10% in the long term. So that is our plan or vision. Some -- few orders which we are expecting in Q4 are related to satellite communication equipments, communication equipments, the TR modules, which we are regularly getting from France, the data link projects and operationalization of our coastal surveillance systems for various countries. So these are some of the major leads, which will convert into a reality in Q4.

Kavish Parekh

Analysts
#74

Understood. Sir, on the nondefense side, I think the medium- to longer-term guidance or aspiration is to have the mix split in, say, 10 to 90 between nondefense and defense. Any key incremental opportunities that you see on the nondefense side to be materialized over the next, again, 12 to 18 months?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#75

Certainly, as you also told, right now, our nondefense is around 6%, 7% type of thing only, which we want to definitely cross 10% plus in near future. And long term, our aim is to make it to 15% and beyond. So for that, continuous efforts are being done, especially in railway and metro segment, we have got good leads. KAVACH program is going in the right direction. Our CBDC program also is coming to almost a finishing touch, and PSD, Platform Screen Doors, we have got some orders and some more good leads are there for us. So that is related to rail and metro. In addition, we have got very good leads and very good orders related to airport authority, means aviation sector. From HAL, we received the order, from airport authority, we have received orders, and many more orders are in pipeline related to airport authority related to radars, related to our air traffic management system and other related subjects. So these 2 itself will give us a very good lead in nondefense. And space will be partially defense, partially nondefense for us. So that also will give some contribution for nondefense segment for us. So these 3 are the main sectors where we are aiming right now big leads. And of course, our cybersecurity business, data center type of business also will give us reasonably good nondefense leads. So put together, these, we are confident that in near future, we will try to cross 10% of our turnover through these nondefense leads.

Operator

Operator
#76

The next question is from the line of Mohit Pandey from Citi.

Mohit Pandey

Analysts
#77

Sir, first question is on the data center opportunity. So if you can elaborate on what exactly is our offering here? I understand earlier this year an order has also been won, right? Yes.

Manoj Jain

Executives
#78

Yes, yes. Orders what we have won is a few hundred crores, which is not our aim. Our aim is to quickly get a few thousands of crores in this data center business. And main aim is that we wanted to give a secure data center solution and combined -- not only as a data center as a combined value-added solution with AI, cybersecurity and other components built into these digital platforms. So we wanted to give a comprehensive package around the data centers. So that is our aim, and we have done some good beginning right now, but still a long way to go to reach a sizable portion of around -- our aim is minimum INR 1,000-plus crores next year onwards from data center type of business. So that is our aim and a few hundred crores is not sufficient for us. So we are working out a unique solution, because data center, there are so many private players, so many other OEMs are there who are directly selling these solutions. So our solution should be unique. So we are working on how to make it unique. We are working out with some start-ups also in this domain, who are having some unique ideas in these solutions, especially AI-related, some unique ideas are there, which can be exploited through the data centers. So we are working out various combinations with them and hopeful to get unique solutions in this domain for BEL to sustain.

Mohit Pandey

Analysts
#79

And who are the target customers here? Are these government data centers or -- yes.

Manoj Jain

Executives
#80

Yes, yes, mostly government only, state government and central government related activities only. We don't want to go to the general public, general private, general OEMs, et cetera. We are having good leads in various state governments also.

Mohit Pandey

Analysts
#81

Sure, sir. Sir, second question is on margins. So I wanted to understand if commodity cost movements around copper, aluminum, silver, et cetera, what kind of impact they may have on our margins in the coming quarters, if at all?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#82

No, we are not anticipating much because of these metals. Because firstly, our is a semiconductor or electronics company where material of these variety doesn't impact us that much. Maybe overall in our materials, maybe 5% or so maybe coming from so-called materials for us. So I don't see any major change for us as a company. MIDHANI or some other company, definitely, it may affect, but not BEL. BEL is more affected by semiconductor. And that I already explained, semiconductor, we have come up with our own plans to mitigate the risk.

Mohit Pandey

Analysts
#83

Yes. Understood. Sir, also with regards to semiconductors, and overall, are there -- what kind of price variation clauses? Are you able to pass on any unexpected increases to end customers? Is that possible in our business?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#84

Yes, we are having the ERV clauses. So exchange rate variation clauses in most of our orders with our defense forces. And that indirectly covers all the semiconductors also.

Mohit Pandey

Analysts
#85

Understood, sir. Understood. And sir, last question again is on margins. So I understand most of the defense orders are currently on nomination basis. And my understanding was for most orders, margin profile would be similar. But -- so just wanted to understand how product mix impact? Is it because indigenization levels are at different levels across different products? Or how should one understand that?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#86

Yes, Indigenization levels also are different. Some of the products, we have IC content of around 50% to 60%. In some of the projects, it is 80%. Some of it is touching 90% also. And secondly, some of the projects, we are doing value addition of the order of 30% to 40% means we are assembling a card, assembling system, subsystem, system and then making a system of system. In some of them, we are system integrator only. So in the system integrator projects, our own value addition will be less, so our own margins will be less. So that's why as told by Director of Finance also, our product mix is really big, and it is a big AI algorithm, which finally decides what should be our margins in this year based on the products which we are going to sell this year. It is a very, very complex equation. Let me tell you. It is not very easy to comprehend with 350-plus products and products of products or systems and systems of systems, calculating exactly what will be the final margins for me is really a tough exercise. And that we do typically every quarter only, we can't do every day. It is a very, very complex. So based on that only, we give you an indication about what will be my margins this year.

Mohit Pandey

Analysts
#87

Sure, sir. Sir, and last question is, overall, on an aggregate basis, what would be the indigenization level now? Any ballpark number that is possible to share?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#88

Again, I told you it is varying from 50% to almost 90% or 90-plus percent in some of the programs, it is like that. So average, you can say 50 plus 90 divided by 2, so around 70%, 73% maybe the overall indigenization level.

Mohit Pandey

Analysts
#89

Thank you so much and congratulations again.

Operator

Operator
#90

The next question is from the line of Dipen Vakil from PhillipCapital.

Dipen Vakil

Analysts
#91

Congratulations on a great set of numbers. Sir, my question is, so first, can you provide us with the breakup of your current order book? So you have an order book of close to around INR 73,000 crores. So what would be the major orders in that order book?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#92

Yes. Certainly, I will tell you. As on 1st January 2026, the major order book consists of electronics uses because we got the order for 10 years requirement for them. Then LRSAM, BMP-2 upgrade, Akash Army, Ashwini Radar, MPR Arudhra Radar and EW Suite for Mi 17 V5. So these 7 projects will constitute around INR 20,000-plus crores. So major projects are these. And out of that first project only is for 8 more years now. Remaining projects like LRSAM is hardly now 1, 1.5 years more we have to execute. BMP-2, all other projects are typically for next 2 years, we will execute also.

Dipen Vakil

Analysts
#93

Got it, sir. Sir, and for the smaller value orders, so the less than INR 1,000 crore orders that we get on a recurring basis, what is the likely execution period for those smaller orders? Like is it like within executed during the same year? Or what would be the general idea for that?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#94

No. Those orders typically are 12 months to 18 months, typically, sometimes only 24 months, but less than 24 months, definitely, these smaller orders typically are.

Dipen Vakil

Analysts
#95

Got it, sir. And the INR 7,000 crores, or INR 7,000 crores or INR 8,000 crores additional order inflow, so you gave us 2, 3 names on the major acquisitions that are pending. So are we confident -- can we -- is there a chance to surpass on the INR 27,000 crores with the help of emergency procurement and the smaller value orders? Or I think INR 27,000 crores is on the upper end side of a guidance?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#96

No, no, no, that much again, I can assure you, INR 27,000 crores, we are going to cross. How much more, that depends upon the last minute surprises in the Q4, whether we will get some more bigger order out of this in Q4 or they may spill over to H1. So that is the only suspense for us. But we are confident based on large orders movement as well as so many more small orders are in pipeline for us. So we are going to cross INR 27,000 crores. That much I can confidently tell you. How much more, today, I can't tell you. And if at all, we don't cross too much, it will be in the H1. That much will be there because the good progress is already done on these major leads for us.

Operator

Operator
#97

The next question is from the line of Atul Tiwari from JPMorgan.

Atul Tiwari

Analysts
#98

Congrats on yet again, very strong set of numbers. Sir, my question is on your bid for AMCA project in consortium with L&T. So where we are in that process as of now? And when can we expect some kind of definite movement and selection of the partner who will make progress for AMCA?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#99

As you may be knowing, and I think the last time we told, I believe, that we have partnered with L&T for that and L&T is the lead bidder. So right now, it was only the EOI response. So EOI response we had submitted. All the EOI responses are evaluated by a high-power committee in MOD. We are confident that we will be one of the selected bidder. And soon, we will get RFP. Hopefully, my estimate is around mid of February, we may get the RFP and then they may give us some reasonable time to respond to the RFP. And as of now, I am confident based on the strength of BEL and L&T, that we will be the strongest bidder in that particular RFP. That much only I can tell you. But exact English or RFP also, I don't know. So what will come in RFP. But based on the strength of BEL and L&T, we are confident that we will be the strongest bidder for this program, and we will get this program.

Atul Tiwari

Analysts
#100

And sir, my second question is on prospects for large orders. So QRSAM and NGC order we know. But except for these 2, what are some of the larger orders that we can expect over the next 2, 3 years?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#101

There are multiple such programs definitely are there for us for next 2 to 3 years. But one of the largest program where we are working right now with good investment is that Kusha program, which is the indigenous S400. So there, we are working and we will expect something like QRSAM type of order only when that project fructifies. So it may take almost 3 years roughly to get that order. So maybe around '28, '29 or so, we may get that big order. But in addition, there are some INR 3,000 crores or INR 4,000-plus crores, some 8 to 10 big programs, which we are expecting next year, and next to next year. So there is a long list of those programs, and we are confident we may get a sizable portion of those programs in next to next year. So we have our own plans of total type of leads for these programs to maintain this growth of 15-plus percent. And good progress is there on all those programs. Many of the programs, the R&D phase is already over. Now it is in the paper evaluation and processing-related things only are going on. So we are having very good confidence to get them in next 1 or 2 years.

Operator

Operator
#102

The next question is from the line of Sumit Kishore from Axis Capital.

Sumit Kishore

Analysts
#103

Two questions. The first one is again on other expenses. For the 9-month FY '26 and 9-month FY '25 period, could you please quantify what is the extent of nonlinear provisions in the other expenses? That's my first question.

Damodar Bhattad

Executives
#104

Other expenses for the 9 months has increased from INR 1,158 crores to INR 1,280 crores, okay? In that, major reason is provision towards doubtful debts, which is around INR 110 crores is the increase. It is INR 709 crores current year as against INR 598 crores last year. So INR 100 crores is the provisions increase on account of -- I mean, other expenses increased by INR 100 crores because of this provision. Major is that only.

Sumit Kishore

Analysts
#105

And that is the provision for doubtful debt is -- are there any other large provision, what is the total provision?

Damodar Bhattad

Executives
#106

Total provision is INR 709 crores for the 9 months ended December.

Sumit Kishore

Analysts
#107

So actually, then the other expenses have gone up even lesser than the 10.5%...

Damodar Bhattad

Executives
#108

Mainly due to the provisions only whatever increase we are seeing is on account of provisions. It was INR 1,158 crores last year, INR 1,280 crores current year and INR 110 crores is on account of provisions. So it's almost same.

Sumit Kishore

Analysts
#109

Massive operating leverage which is playing out. Yes, quite good. The second one is on other income. The other income for the 9-month period down about 16%. So how is your cash position and what element of treasury income decline is there? Or so what is explaining the other income decline?

Damodar Bhattad

Executives
#110

Other income decline, interest income is slightly less as compared to last year. Interest income has decreased from around INR 472 crores to INR 416 crores. As you know, generally, there has been a decrease in interest rates also. Average yield has also decreased on the deposits. So that is one major reason on account of that. So that is why the other income has slightly decreased. In addition to that, last year, there was some FE gain, which is not there because the rupee has depreciated current year.

Sumit Kishore

Analysts
#111

And what is your cash position at the end of -- cash and bank balance as of 9 months FY '25?

Damodar Bhattad

Executives
#112

Cash position is reasonably good at INR 7,000-plus crores.

Operator

Operator
#113

The next question is from the line of Vikash Singh from ICICI Securities.

Vikash Singh

Analysts
#114

Sir, just wanted to understand our R&D CapEx, which we are doing this year. And given we are participating in so many programs, how should we look at our R&D expenditure going forward as well? Because obviously, this should go up. So if you could give us some insight into it?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#115

Yes. This R&D CapEx, I mean R&D expenditure, total, R&D expenditure has 2 components. One is revenue and one is CapEx, CapEx requirement of the R&D community, the test instrument and other infrastructure. So put together itself, we call it as a total R&D expenditure for us. That last year, it was INR 1,468 crores or so. This year, our target is crossing INR 1,700-plus crores. So -- and next year, it will be more than INR 2,000 crores. So overall, now we wanted to have almost 20-plus percent increase year-on-year on our R&D expenses because we know the overall requirement of indigenization is increasing. Overall requirement of new technology development is increasing. We are also diversifying into new and new areas and these new areas require more R&D resources. So we are keeping on increasing our R&D budget as well as our R&D manpower also. So today, we are having more than 3,200-plus R&D engineers. In last 1 year itself, we have added almost 700 to 1,000 R&D engineers in our R&D manpower. And we will continuously increase further, diverse R&D areas where we are working. So overall, we know -- you also may be knowing that BEL is an R&D-focused company with a 3-tier R&D. So definitely, we are going to increase our expenditure or technically, it is an investment, not expenditure. R&D investments, we are going to increase in a very, very sizable way, minimum 20% year-on-year growth investment we have committed now. It will be more than 20% only, I can assure you.

Vikash Singh

Analysts
#116

Noted, sir. And sir, just one question, just a repeat of a previous participant. In terms of AMCA, I know we are usually 3 people who are there. In case of whatever the order comes, if we -- so what percentage would be supplied by us? So let's say, what is the percentage that probably would have already been settled between you 3 people who are bidding for the AMCA, right?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#117

The thing is -- let me tell you, AMCA right now, there are multiple consortiums. So 5 or 6 or 7 consortiums have participated in EOI. Hopefully, in RFP may be issued to 3 or 4 only because they cannot evaluate too many fellows. So I'm guessing that. But after RFP, then there will be L1 discovery -- technical evaluation and then L1 discovery. We are confident of qualifying technical, and we are confident that we will be L1. Once we are L1, between BEL and L&T, we have arrived at some work share arrangement between both of us. L&T has back-end arrangement with the third partner. So that -- his portion, some of the execution will be done by the third partner. Our portion as of now, we are free to work with that third partner or not. But right now, the commitment is between L&T and the third partner, not directly between us and third partner. But seeing the project progress, seeing the strength at that point of time, we may share some of our work share also to our third partner. I hope I have answered your question.

Vikash Singh

Analysts
#118

Yes, sir. Just wanted to know the currently work share percentage is divided without the third partner is divided, what percent is yours?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#119

It is more or less 50-50 because we told 50-50 is the overall investment, 50-50 will be the more or less work share between both the lead bidders. So L&T and BEL, it is more or less 50-50 because investments and everything has to go together only. You can't have investment more and that work share less. So right now, more -- everything is 50-50.

Operator

Operator
#120

The next question is from the line of Bhalchandra Vasant Shinde from Motilal Mutual Funds.

Bhalchandra Shinde

Analysts
#121

Congrats for a good set of results. Sir, in overall scheme of things in larger programs, post FY '27, what is the visibility mix? Like what kind of a pipeline we are working so that we'll be able to maintain INR 25,000 crores, INR 30,000 crores kind of order inflows over the next 3 to 5 years?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#122

These all projects, I can't tell you today because some of the projects are multi-vendor also. Many projects are definitely nomination basis because of our continuous efforts, which we have done over the last 5-plus years to develop the critical technology modules for those programs. So we are confident overall. There's a big list of projects for us, in that list of almost 30-plus items are there, which are minimum INR 1,000-plus crores business for us in the next few years. So that is a big list. And we have done a reasonably good R&D already for them. And as I told, Kusha is one such program where we have done very good investment further, and we are hoping it will be another QRSAM for us. So these type of 2, 3 big programs definitely will take care of a big order book at the end of the year. And then this smaller INR 1000, INR 2000 crores, INR 3000 crores, INR 4000 crores worth of orders, definitely will take care of our overall growth of more than 15%.

Bhalchandra Shinde

Analysts
#123

And sir, whenever new orders like QRSAM, Kusha program starts executing, is it fair to assume that our margins will have some dilution because there the indigenization component will be at the lowest level and over a period of time, you ramp up in the indigenization?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#124

No, no, no. Let me tell you, these programs are 100% indigenous. The QRSAM or Kusha programs are 100% indigenous, except the ICs and other things, semiconductors. So overall indigenization level in this program is good. However, because this program, we will play a slightly higher-end role, the system integrator role. So the profit actually will be shared by large industry partners, MSME partners also. So we may have slightly lesser margins in this project. But overall projects will be very good profitable for company and for our MSME and other partners. So definitely, that's why we told we have a logical mix, some projects, we are working as a system integrator. Some projects we are working from ground up like at component level or subsystem level also. So our value addition varies from, I told you around 40%, 45% to something like 10% to 15%, depending upon the type of program. So because of that, our EBITDA margins, et cetera, that's why I told it is a complex equation. And that's why average only we told last year is 27%. And this year also, we are sticking on to 27%. Next year, April, we will come back to you with our guidance for next year based on that year product mix and what type of products are there and what type of value addition in each product, which we are anticipating in those programs. So based on that, we will decide. And let me tell you, in these programs of QRSAM, Kusha, et cetera, because they are 100% indigenous, definitely, it will be much more cost effective for us as well as for our users.

Operator

Operator
#125

The next question is from the line of Prathamesh Rane from Elara Securities.

Prathamesh Rane

Analysts
#126

Am I audible?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#127

Yes.

Prathamesh Rane

Analysts
#128

So congratulations on great set of numbers, sir. Just 2 questions from my side. What would be the Uttam radar update for 97 numbers? And of -- and when would we expect the order?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#129

Uttam Radar right now as a radar is handled by HAL and the subsystem level, the AAAU level only, we are one of the vendors. So -- but decision about how many of Uttam Radars will go or not, whether in this 97, full 97 will be Uttam Radar only, that decision is being taken by HAL in conjunction with our DRDO friends, means ADA. So ADA and HAL jointly are deciding how many of these 97 numbers order will be supplied with Uttam, how many will be with foreign radar or a mix of these 2. We are not a party to that. Once HAL finalizes the configuration, at the time only they will ask for a bid for this AAAU, which is the most complicated subsystem or most costly subsystem of this. And then only we will come to know and we will quantify. As on today, we have not added that in our kitty of this immediate market leads because we are not sure about configuration finalization by HAL still. So the day they finalize and then they issue RFP, after that only, we can plan.

Prathamesh Rane

Analysts
#130

And one last question on 52 military satellite order, what would be BEL scope in that?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#131

As of now, military satellite, we are not in business. So we are in the prototyping or coming out with some unique solution. So we are tying up with some of the start-ups and some of the even foreign OEMs also we are tied up. So we are coming out with a unique proposition for these military satellites, and then only we wanted to bid. So right now, it is a bit early to tell how much of this share we will get. But we have done reasonably good progress in coming out with a unique solution for this jointly with our start-up and other industry partners. And once we offer that solution to our military friends, then only we can quantify how much of this share can come to us. Today, it is a bit early to commit. Madam, it is already 5:05...

Damodar Bhattad

Executives
#132

So we will take maximum one last question, madam.

Operator

Operator
#133

Okay. We'll be taking one last question, Sir.

Damodar Bhattad

Executives
#134

Yes.

Manoj Jain

Executives
#135

Yes.

Operator

Operator
#136

Okay.

Damodar Bhattad

Executives
#137

Please.

Operator

Operator
#138

Okay. So the next question is from the line of Balasubramanian from Arihant Capital.

Balasubramanian A

Analysts
#139

Sir, indigenation in [indiscernible] airborne systems, what specific components are still imported? And what is the road map for substitutions? And how we are leveraging DRDO partnership to accelerate indigenous development in sensors, radar and EW systems?

Manoj Jain

Executives
#140

Yes, DRDO is continuously developing sensors, EW systems, et cetera. But as you have told already that airborne system, there is a challenge of testing, certification, et cetera. So it takes its own time. If some of the subsystems are already proven in some foreign platforms, then we are tempted to use them also till our own indigenous systems are matured. But I can tell you more than 70% to 80% of airborne sensors are now of indigenous origin. But definitely, a few are still of foreign origin because they are already tested somewhere in some other platforms. So those particular systems, which are already inducted there, which we are also taking, there, we are going at module level indigenization. So that activity is going on. And definitely, all airborne subsystems, we wanted finally to be only indigenous. We are maybe around 70% or more already indigenized, but there is still some gap which we are bridging either by efforts of our own, ours plus DRDO, ours plus DRDO plus other industry partners. So there is a slightly more complicated or slightly more complex problem in airborne segment, and we are trying to attack it jointly and various programs are going on at BEL, at DRDO and at our industry partners also.

Operator

Operator
#141

In the interest of time, that was the last question. I would now like to hand the conference over to the management for closing comments.

Manoj Jain

Executives
#142

Thank you all. As you have seen till Q3, we have gone reasonably good, and I hope we have met the expectation of you all. And as we started the year, we want to see that year-end will be with the figures which we had committed to you, means revenue growth more than 15%, EBITDA margin, definitely more than 27%, order inflow, INR 27,000 crores plus. R&D investment, although we told INR 1,600 crores, but I am confident we may cross INR 1,700 crores, but at least INR 1,600 crores plus, definitely, we are going to be there. CapEx, INR 1,000 crores and defense, nondefense business of 90:10. So these are our guidance as future, and we are hopeful to exceed that only. That is a brief summary from my side.

Operator

Operator
#143

On behalf of Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.

Manoj Jain

Executives
#144

Thank you. Thank you all.

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