Bharti Airtel Limited (532454) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

November 3, 2021

BSE Limited IN Communication Services Wireless Telecommunication Services earnings 62 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, I'm Rajitha, the moderator for this webinar. Welcome to the Bharti Airtel Limited Second Quarter Ended September 30, 2021, Earnings Webinar. Present with us today is the senior leadership team of Bharti Airtel Limited. I must remind you that the overview and discussions today may include Certain forward-looking statements that must be viewed in conjunction with the risks that we face. [Operator Instructions] With this, I would like to hand over to Mr. Gopal Vittal for the opening remarks.

Gopal Vittal

executive
#2

Thank you very much. Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for joining this webinar to discuss Bharti Airtel's results for the quarter ended 30th September 2021. Present with me on this webinar, I have Harjeet Kohli, Kamal Duva and Rajiv Sharma. Let me start with a quick review of recent events that have impacted the industry. As you're aware, the government announced similar reforms that will help preserve cash flows and enable the industry to drive investments. There have also been substantial steps taken to simplify the way we do business by cutting back on several needless approvals and easing the customer onboarding processes. We welcome these steps and remain committed to meeting the vision of a powerful Digital and Connected India. The second important event this quarter has been a rights issue. We've had a very encouraging response. Our issue saw subscription of approximately 1.44x, overbid by both public and promoters. We thank all our investors for believing in the Airtel. Airtel is well poised to benefit from the huge growth we're seeing in digital adoption across 4G, 5G, home broadband, data centers, digital services, payments and much more. On to our performance. Our overall portfolio of India mobile enterprise and homes in India as well as Africa has delivered strongly this year -- this quarter. Consolidated revenues for the quarter grew by 5.5% sequentially to reach a little over INR 28,300 crores. Our EBITDA margins improved over the last quarter from 49.1% to 49.5%. Let me now briefly touch on each of our businesses. In our broadband business, we've seen strong customer growth of close to $0.5 million, a level of net additions that is the highest ever in a single quarter. Our overall customer base is now at 3.8 million. The focus on high-quality urban homes, our local cable operator partnership model and Airtel Black continue to drive our strategy around home broadband. We expanded our infrastructure in the quarter and added over 1.1 million home passes. Our innovative digital partnership model with a local cable operator has truly been a game changer for us. Our presence has now expanded to 436 towns. In order to accelerate growth and improve the experience at our stores, we've now started to in-source all our retail stores. You may recall that 1,400 of the 2,000-odd stores that we had were earlier in a franchise model. We hope to conclude this in-sourcing process by the end of this fiscal year. We believe fiber-to-the-home is a very large opportunity, and we'll continue to step up investments to take our network to 2,000 towns across India with 35 million home passes in the next 3 years. In DTH, we now have a presence in 18 million homes with an ARPU of INR 148. Private DTH players are seeing users, particularly in the Hindi belt move to free dish. Some of the Hindi general entertainment channels with good content are now being offered for free, and this has impacted our performance somewhat. Yet we are positive about the DTH business from a medium-term perspective. The opportunity to convert from cable is massive. There's also a big opportunity to leverage the advent of OTT content and deliver a unified and connected experience through Airtel Extreme. Our go-to-market efforts by bringing in all Airtel services through the unique and differentiated Airtel Black will allow us to create value for customers and drive growth. Let me turn to the Enterprise business. For the quarter, Airtel business clocked revenues of just under INR 4,000 crores, a sequential growth of 5.4% on revenue and 8.4% on EBITDA. Our margins improved to 39.9% this quarter. I'm personally excited about our enterprise product portfolio, which allows us to capture future growth opportunities. I will talk more about this later today. Last time I spoke to you about our focus on going both wide and deep. Wide to tap into the 80% of customers who account for only 20% of our revenues; and deep in those accounts, we have solid presence in, so that we can sell many more products and raise switching costs. As a result, our focus on new product acceleration continues. We're also excited about the data center business and intend to step up investments to INR 5,000 crores in the next few years. Our unique ability to differentiate by providing resilient connectivity, coupled with our strong relationships with customers across both domestic players as well as hyperscalers, gives us a real solid competitive advantage. Let me now finally comment on the mobile business. Our performance here in this quarter has been strong. Despite a substantial tariff increase at the lower end of the market, we were able to grow our mobile net additions at $2.2 million and 4G customers at $8.1 million. This underscores the strength of our strategy to focus on quality customers. Given that bulk of the tariff increase has flowed through into revenue, our ARPU improved to [ 153 ], an increase of INR 7 in a single quarter. Our revenue market share at the end of quarter 1 was well over 35.6%, a lifetime high. We continue to believe that mobile industry ARPUs are not sustainable and should improve to 200 in the near term and 300 ultimately in the longer term. This quarter, we launched our second version of the Mera Pehla Smartphone cashback program. This program is applicable across 175 devices with a price of less than INR 12,000. While this will certainly create buzz and preference for the Airtel brand in the marketplace. Our experience suggests that this will not have a meaningful dilutive impact on ARPU or profitability, something that we have thought about carefully as we designed the contours of the program. I would now like to step back and share my excitement at the 4 critical moats that Airtel has. You will find some detail on this in the form of a few slides that has been uploaded on our website today. The first moat is around payments in our retail payments bank. Today, Airtel Payments Bank has a customer base of 115 million with a monthly transacting user base of over 31 million users, an annualized GMV of over USD 17 billion and a merchant base of over 8 million. Revenue is close to INR 1,000 crores on an annual basis, and we are now EBITDA and PAT positive this quarter. One reason we believe this business is a strong moat for Airtel is that when a customer's bank account number is also her mobile number, there is much lower churn. Our monetization model for the payments bank can be broken down into 3 broad categories. First, transaction income driven by our ability to participate across the value chain; second, interest income; finally, fee income, which originates from our ability to cross-sell. Let me elaborate on these. Unlike other players in the market, we think of the India opportunity through a multi-segment way, across 3 different parts: Tier 3 and Beyond Markets; Digital Users, particularly in urban areas; and finally, the B2B segment. Let's start with Tier 3 and Beyond Markets. Here, our strength is the ability to leverage our distribution. And with 0.5 million business correspondents, we are well ahead of anyone else in the market. To put this in context, our total payment bank distribution is 2x that of the total ATMs and bank branches in the country. I believe that we have not just a first mover advantage, but an only mover advantage that allows us to offer our customers a full stacked digital account here. It is this advantage that has enabled us to get to leadership in the remittance market. Remember that this market is growing rapidly. In fact, it's estimated to grow at 70% over the next few years. A second big opportunity here is Aadhaar Enabled Payment Systems, which allow customers to use Aadhaar authentication for various banking activities. This segment is expected to grow upwards of 45% CAGR over the next 4 years. We're also driving financial inclusion by being a key player in the distribution of various government-sponsored schemes. The second opportunity is the digital user. Here, we're well placed as we can leverage the 180 million-plus customers we have across our digital assets. We offer a plethora of services such as lucrative interest rates, gift cards, digital gold, fast tag, telecom recharges, payments and debit cards. Our large merchant base of more than 8 million allows us to drive both engagement and monetization. This is one area that is now seeing solid traction and you will hear more about this in the coming quarters. The third segment is B2B. With the growth of e-commerce and the need for cash management across a very distributed geographical footprint. We have a unique advantage to our large retail footprint. $100 billion in cash is digitized monthly, and cash management charges are estimated between 0.5% to 1% of the collection amount. As a result of this multisegment view of the market, a critical metric we focus on is what we call the take rate. This rate is a conversion from GMV into revenue. On the take rate, we are at 0.74% and which is amongst the highest in the industry. This shows our relentless prioritization of monetization over what we believe can otherwise become a mindless attempt to grow GMV through discounts and cash backs. As you can see, we're just getting started. And with the bank breaking even, we believe that the realization of this massive opportunity is now a natural right given our strengths. The second exciting moat I see is around our enterprise business with its robust future-proof portfolio, which I referred to earlier. The reason this business is such a strong moat for Airtel is the tremendous stickiness that we have with our customers for our services. The fact that customers trust us with their data, the enormous respect they have for our governance and privacy are all intangible but priceless sources of competitive advantage. As of date, we have only disclosed the broader revenue numbers for this segment. Today, let me provide a little more color to allow you to understand the robustness of our overall portfolio. Our revenue in the Enterprise business has 3 component parts. The first component of revenue is voice services. This part of our portfolio has been under pressure. And this is the same for all players in the industry. Our profitability is at par with the industry. And our focus here is to continue to grow market share, given our relationships with customers while preserving profitability so as to generate cash. The second revenue component is connectivity and connectivity related solutions. This includes all our services around connectivity, data centers, security -- cybersecurity like Airtel secure, software-defined wide area networks, IoT and connectivity-based partnerships such as bundled routing solutions. Here, there is healthy double-digit growth, and our margins are better than any of our competitors. In this segment, we have a 31.7% market share in data and a 44% market share in mobility, and this is as per Frost & Sullivan. We believe that we are very well poised to see further consolidation of customer spend in enterprises as we move towards 5G. The third component of revenue is CPaaS, Communication Platform as a Service. This part of our business has been the fastest-growing part of our portfolio at very strong double digits. In this segment, our profitability is well above the industry average. This part of our business has now become meaningful and accounts for almost 15% of the total enterprise business. Our CPaaS business plays to our strengths of combining our network and digital strengths. With the launch of Airtel IQ, we are very well poised to win this rapidly growing market. We plan to sharpen our offers and focus on bespoke solutions to accelerate share. We also now want to expand this across the globe through a wide coverage of our sales teams located in all parts of the world. The third moat is our quality customers in high-value homes. We say this because our portfolio plays squarely to the premiumization that will continue to unfold in India. Last quarter, I spoke to you about our view of the Indian consumer market opportunity. Let me quickly refresh your memory. We see the market in 3 parts. The bottom segment has about 400 million users, comprising of farmers, rural traders, et cetera, who are largely users of feature phones today. They're looking for basic connectivity and a satisfactory experience that is hassle-free. This is a segment with the lowest level one. The second segment is almost 500 million migrants, gamers, young students, blue-collared workers and traders. We call them aspirers. We see a 2x shift in ARPU when the feature phone users switches to a smartphone. Simultaneously, we see a lowering of churn. We have built powerful analytics using data science to drive this switch. We've also honed to a fine science, the underlying drivers of churn. Within the company, we have what we call the 10 commandments of churn, each of which is based on a very granular understanding of customer behavior. Then there are potentially 50 million odd high-value homes in India. They comprise of executives, self-employed professionals, businessmen, et cetera. These are customers who want to feel special. They desire a simple, convenient experience and they're concentrated in the top 25 cities of India. The first point of entry for us is postpaid. Here, again, we see a doubling of ARPU when someone switches from prepaid to postpaid. One of the lesser known secrets of our business here is our family proposition. This allows the customer to add a member of their family and share data with them on the same plan. Today, a majority of our postpaid customers are on the fine family plan. Churn years, miniscule and switching costs very high. Right at the top of the pyramid, we see ARPU tripling when a customer moves from a simple postpaid plan to being a part of Airtel Black. The primary benefit of Airtel Black for us is that it raises switching costs for customers and provides genuine value to our customer. It is this overall focus on premiumization and quality customers that has allowed us to raise ARPUs even in the absence of tariff hikes over the last 5 quarters. As I said earlier, given the natural structure of our portfolio, we are in a pole position to win. The fourth moat is our capabilities in the digital layer that is riding on our underlying platform to drive meaningful digital services revenue at a negligible CapEx and OpEx. There are 4 capabilities we have here, and I've talked about this in the past. Let me briefly provide some texture to each of them. First is data. We've made significant investments over the last 2 years in our data infrastructure platforms, in data science and in data analytics. One such investment has been in an integrated CLM customer life cycle management view which allows us a 360 view of our customers. This is what helps in the premiumization approach I talked of earlier. It also helps us to drive other digital revenue streams. Second, payments. We're now doubling down and accelerating payments through leveraging the unique strengths of the telco, authentication, distribution, security and digital scale. We recently launched Airtel Safe Pay and Bank Wala SIM. You will see more innovation from us addressing the urban digital users in the coming months. Third, distribution. Today, we have state-of-the-art capabilities in the form of real-time messaging vernacular campaigns in an omnichannel view, all with real-time metrics across our entire portfolio of customers. Our new integrated CLM has replaced the earlier business-led view with a much more cohesive and simple customer view based upon clearly identified cohorts. This is what helps drive the next best offer through strong digital intelligence across both our core business and also digital services. Finally, network. We've made substantial investments in the digital layer through cutting-edge tools that leverages AI and ML. Let me give you an example of one such tool. This tool provides us with network and customer insights that helps us identify the right site for deployment. In addition, it gives us precious insights on where we need to get more customers at an individual site with a clear set of hypothesis on why they have been unabled. It is this very granular understanding that allowed us to get almost 40% of incremental 4G net adds in the last 12 months from specific locations that we target. A second homegrown tool leverages AI and ML to troubleshoot and fix network experience. It is these 4 capabilities of data payments, distribution and network that is now helping us generate digital services revenues that are increasingly meaningful. We have 2 sources of revenue in the consumer side: Subscriptions or commissions; and AdTech. On the B2B side, our source of revenue is really SaaS line. Subscription and commissions work of our underlying assets, Wynk Music, Airtel Thanks and Airtel XStream. In AdTech, we now have integrated all our assets across our digital assets, DTH and Media [ Dart ] vehicle such as Ringtones. We have over 140 brands already leveraging our platform and growing. Let me turn to B2B. Our biggest bet here is Airtel IQ, which is expected to be a platform for all kinds of cloud communication services, voice, video, streaming and eventually even workforce management. Every one of these services has used our Airtel, and we now have over 175 customers on this platform. These customers range across the biggest internet companies, banks and many more. As you can see, we are increasingly thinking of our business as an ecosystem. We believe we are in an exciting phase in our digital journey. In these last few years, I have learned that moving the business as large as ours from an offline view of the world to an omnichannel digital world takes anywhere between 3 to 4 years. The good news is that we commenced our journey 5 years ago. I've also learned that you have to be focused on asking the right questions. The 3 quick questions we ask ourselves all the time are number one, what problem are we solving?; number two, how do we get the right talent to solve this problem?; And number three, how do we ensure that their paths are clear so that they can get it done. This is easier than it sounds, it needs leadership result, it needs a collaborative culture of inclusion and, above all, it needs a flat, agile and decisive way of working. The good news is all of this plays squarely to our strategy of winning the best quality customer, giving them a brilliant experience and doing this by building compelling digital capabilities. I want to end with a few words on ESG governance and the balance sheet. The company remains aligned with the Paris Climate Accord, proactively implementing clean fuel-based power solutions for our towers data centers, switching centers and other facilities. We remain committed to society, our customers and employees right through the hiring time of the pandemic. We've always demonstrated the high standards of corporate, financial and operational disclosures. Our classification of revenue and costs are in line with our best global peers. More importantly, with the additional color on the payments bank this quarter, we've shown our commitment to maintaining the highest standards of disclosure. At the right moment, we will give you more color on our digital services in terms of disclosure. A final word on the balance sheet. The balance sheet continues to be robust with healthy and improving cash flows. Our leverage ratio is under 3, and we remain committed to being financially prudent and yet growth focused. An important highlight that I do want to underscore is that in the past quarter, we reduced our bank debt to 0. We will continue, of course, to evaluate all options to maintain a comfortable leverage profile and optimize associated costs. In sum, our performance of the recent quarter has been strong because of the resilience and depth of our portfolio. In every one of our businesses, we're at a lifetime high in terms of revenue market shares, the most critical barometer of our competitiveness. Our strategy and choices are dictated by our view of the market and the way we can tap into that opportunity. These choices are simple and cohesive. It is these choices that has enabled us to build an Airtel of the future, which is well positioned to win. Thank you.

Operator

operator
#3

[Operator Instructions] The first question comes from Mr. Nicolas Baratte.

Nicolas Guy Gabriel Baratte

analyst
#4

Yes, I have a very broad question about the moratorium, the AGR and spectrum moratorium in terms of how could that change the shape of the income statement or the balance sheet in the coming quarters in terms of either cash spectrum fees or other cash expenses or value of the spectrum capitalized or recognized on the balance sheet, what type of accounting changes could we -- not accounting changes, changing the numbers could we expect to see -- at which point, in which quarter because of the moratorium?

Gopal Vittal

executive
#5

Thank you. Kamal, Harjeet, do you want to take this? Kamal, do you want to take this or maybe Harjeet, you can add.

Harjeet Kohli

executive
#6

Nicolas, this is Harjeet. Can you hear me?

Nicolas Guy Gabriel Baratte

analyst
#7

Yes.

Harjeet Kohli

executive
#8

Yes. So I think, look, your question is very valid. So if you look at the moratorium that the industry enjoyed for the last 2 years. And that is why this particular quarter, close to about $1.2 billion moved from accrued interest, which was sitting in other liabilities to debt side because we haven't paid that. So your question will mean for the 4 years that we have. As an example, if we have INR 100, which we should have paid every year, each year has a differential amount of interest attached to it. As the year ends, that interest should have been paid, but it has not been paid, it will move to the debt. So all of these 4 installments, you will see depending upon the early cycles, a movement of accrued interest, which is not paid, which will move to debt. And the debt which stands outstanding continues to stay there and accretes new interest. So it's sounding more complicated, but net debt for your purpose, the broad [indiscernible] is as follows. On a yearly basis, we have about INR 85,000 crores to INR 90,000 crores of government liabilities, let's say, about $11 billion. And different interest rates are applying to each tranches of our outstandings. You can take a thumb rule of 8%. 8% of this about $11 billion is the yearly interest kitty. That should ideally be into the P&L amorted out. But given that it is not paid, it'll move to debt.

Nicolas Guy Gabriel Baratte

analyst
#9

Okay, Harjeet. So basically, that will only impact capitalized debt on the balance sheet or accumulation of -- okay, at 8% accrual rate. Okay, good. My second question is before the September quarter, we've had the Indian mobile ARPU sort of fairly flat ex-ICU at INR 145 per month, let's say. And then, of course, in the September quarter, this very nice increase to 1-5-3, 153. So is it possible that 153 totally reflects or not totally reflects the various tariff increase that you have announced or affected in the course of the quarter or, let's say, from June to September between the low end of the spectrum, the corporate rate and so forth where you've actually changed a number of fee structures there? Is it possible that we do not see or we do see the total impact of that in the 153 ARPU in September? Or should we expect something else, something more in December?

Gopal Vittal

executive
#10

So Nicolas, I think if you look at the last 5-odd quarters, net of the interconnect, which is -- which peeled off, we have grown our ARPU by almost INR 10, INR 11. So there has been a secular movement. It's not much because really big bump in ARPU will have to come through tariff increases. But we do see the impact of the premiumization of our portfolio that we have some ARPU increase that we've been seeing over the last 5 quarters. This quarter, obviously, the increase was largely on account of the tariff increase that we put in at the lower end of the market. And I would say a bulk of that has now flown through into the quarter because most of these plans are 28-day plans, and we began it towards the back end of last quarter. So to that extent, they've flown through.

Operator

operator
#11

The next question comes from Mr. Vivekanand Subbaraman.

Vivekanand Subbaraman

analyst
#12

This is Vivekanand from AMBIT Capital. Gopal, thanks a lot for giving additional color on Airtel business. So my specific question here was with respect to the 3 cuts that you made on the enterprise business. The second segment, which is connectivity and connectivity related solutions. You said that it is now -- or rather you are looking at it now more like a SaaS business. And so just wanted to understand your thoughts on how we should look at growth here, the role of 5G and possible insights on hunting versus farming?

Gopal Vittal

executive
#13

Yes. I think Vivekanand, I think what I was referring to is actually 3 parts of the B2B business. One is voice services, which I said is kind of broadly declining. We have good margins there, and we are using that to actually generate cash. The second part is really what you referred to, which is connectivity and connectivity based solutions. This is not SaaS models. I mean these are basically everything to do with connectivity, different forms of connectivity, thick pipes, thinner pipes, SD-WAN, data centers, bundled routing solutions, Airtel Secure, which is really our cybersecurity, the [ SUC ] model that we have, it's an annuity model that we have to actually monitor cyber security threats all over the world, coming in and attacking Indian environment, IoT and so on and so forth. The third revenue stream, which is what I call CPaaS, which is Communication Platform as a Service, is really the parts where we are moving more and more towards the SaaS model. This part of our portfolio is about 15%. It's growing very rapidly, very strong double digits. And I think we are in a very good position there because we also have a large pool of global sales force all across the world. For example, we just launched our streaming platform as part of Airtel IQ. And by the way, we have several conversations running into several multiples of tens across the world for the streaming platform. We have Airtel IQ, which was a voice-based platform, many Internet companies, banks and many more already on it. This is a SaaS-based platform. So all of these are SaaS-based services, and this is what we're calling Communication Platform as a Service. And we have many more things coming there. I referred very briefly to a distributed workforce. We have one of the largest distributed workforce almost 50,000 people who we need to manage and many of them are not employed in our roles. These are people who work with our partners and our associates. But yet, we need to make sure that they deliver the best experience. For example, if you order a sim, you go online and order a sim as a postpaid customer, we will make sure it's delivered at your home. If you order a broadband connection, we'll again make sure that installer shows up in your home and actually delivers it and so on. All of that orchestration of the entire work that is done, which is the workforce management, routing, scheduling, analytics, real-time information of calling into that customer, all of that is something that we have home built for our own use. And we believe this is also a part of Airtel IQ that will finally take the market as well. So that's really what I mean by the SaaS side of the third revenue stream on the enterprise business, which is Communication Platform as a Service.

Vivekanand Subbaraman

analyst
#14

Okay. That was quite clear. Just 1 small follow-up. You've made certain investments in start-ups like [ Vahan ], which are very specialized in nature and can help you supplement your SaaS offering. Is there a thought process of utilizing some part of the growth capital into, say, acquisitions that can be bolted on to your platform and you can monetize better than the start-up.

Gopal Vittal

executive
#15

Yes. I think that option remains. I think the specific example of Vahan is a very good one where actually they've joined our accelerator program, essentially, what they do is they try to solve the problem of identifying temporary workers in the gig economy for people like, let's say, Ola, Uber or Zomato or Swiggy or any one of these people in. And using our data, they are able to do a much better job because we pretty much know who a migrant is. We've got a whole bunch of models that can tell you who's a migrant. We have about 40 million odd migrants in our network based on their calling patterns, their usage patterns, the -- and a whole bunch of other things. And that helps them actually solve that problem. So to that extent, it also gives us a lot more texture on our segmentation which goes back into CLM. So most of these companies that are joining the accelerator model are those who we see a strategic importance to improve what we are doing in our own strategy. At the same time, they see an advantage because it helps them actually get a larger scale and it helps them actually get -- to accelerate whatever it is that they're doing. These come to be a very, very low values because they're seeing strategic significance, but the option of actually investing more that once we know them well, and once we understand them, it's always something that we can exercise at our end.

Vivekanand Subbaraman

analyst
#16

Okay. Understood. My last question is on the recent OpenSignal report. That seems to indicate that your network lead versus peers probably has narrowed versus, say, 6 months to a year ago. So Gopal, what are the ramifications of this on your network positioning and any thoughts that lead into the CapEx intensity discussion?

Gopal Vittal

executive
#17

Yes. I think that at the end of the day, I think this is a treadmill and you have to constantly keep getting better. In the recent past, there was more spectrum bought by some of the operators. So to that extent, some operators would have got relief in terms of the quality of their experience, especially as they've rolled out large networks. I think the fact is that there is still -- This is a continuous improvement exercise. The investments that we are making in capacity solutions, in coverage, the big investment we made in our sub-gig band to actually cover through sub gigahertz across the country, both in rural as well as improve indoor coverage has been a big step in improving experience. We're also spending a lot of -- we're putting a lot of attention on cashing at the edge on a number of tools to digitize the way that they operate in order to improve the experience, the perception of what drives experience is something that we are increasingly clear on what drives experience. It's often not just about speed because if you're using -- let's say, you're doing a browsing session, you don't need too much speeds. But if you're downloading a big game, then you do need speed. If you're playing a game online, you need lower latency. So there are very different applications that are there. And much of that understanding is what we try and use to improve the perception of experience amongst customers.

Operator

operator
#18

The next question comes from Mr. Manish Adukia.

Manish Adukia

analyst
#19

Manish Adukia from Goldman Sachs. A couple of questions from me. The first question on the smartphone cashback offers that you announced last month. Can you talk about just some initial traction of what you're seeing on this. And I know you touched upon it in your initial remarks, but just some more color on what the traction there is? And what is the customer segment that this particular product is being targeted at or rather what is the objective that you are trying to achieve with this offer? And maybe some color you can provide on also your competitors launched last week and your thoughts on that? Second question, when the company had announced rights issue in August, the Chairman had mentioned that the company believes there's a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity in the industry, and did you expect to -- and that you expect to win market share across all your key segments, including wireless. And now does that thought process changed at all with the announced relief measures by the government last month or do you still anticipate to continue to gain market share in your wireless business despite potentially cash flows of one of the competitors now becoming better than they would have.

Gopal Vittal

executive
#20

Yes. I think on your first question, Manish, it's a bit premature for me to comment because we've just about launched it. So I mean, devices are chained once in 18 to 24 months, given that it just literally happened a couple of weeks ago. It's too tiny -- too few data points for us to really make a meaningful pattern out of it at this stage. So I would just say that I have been traveling, I've been to around 5 or 6 circles. I've been to Rajasthan, I've been to UP, I've been to AP, Bengal. And I've seen that the buzz in the market amongst the trade is quite high. So there's a sense of excitement about the scheme. A lot of this is about the -- how this kind of plays out over the course of the next, I would say, 60 to 90 days. So perhaps I'll be able to give you a little more texture on the next earnings call. On the competitive device that was launched, I mean, I'm not going to comment much, but I just suffice it to say that smartphones generally are seeing a lot of cost pressures, input cost pressures. Chipset costs have gone up a lot. Memory could -- there's memory shortage, so memory prices have gone up. Screen prices have gone up. And as a consequence, overall smartphone costs have gone up because of the -- prices have gone up because of the input cost being high. And therefore, what we've seen in the market in terms of the competitive launch is, again, early days for us to comment. I don't know whether this is going to be a -- there's going to be really upgrade feature phones in a massive way. But at this point, it's too premature for us to see. The second thing that I would say is that the target audience for our intervention is really to upgrade from feature phones. The devices that this offer is targeted at are those which are less than INR 12,000. These are basically the entry-level smartphones, which typically range between -- used to range between INR 7,000 and INR 9,000 or INR 6,500 to INR 9,000. But now given the input cost pressures, most of these prices have gone up to around 9,000 to INR 12,000, so anything below INR 12,000. There are about 175 devices where it's applicable for, and we hope that it will give us some upgradation. Of course, as I was saying, given that the prices generally have gone up, let's see how -- what it does. On the point on the rights, I don't think anything changes. I think the fact is that the equity raise that we have done is really -- has been done in order to actually use this once in a lifetime opportunity to accelerate our investments on networks, on data centers, on home broadband and, of course, also look at softening our leverage somewhat. So it's a combination of all of that and nothing changes. I think the operating cash flows of the business are strong. We will continue to invest for growth, and we will also be sort of prudent in how we look at it. So I wouldn't say anything changes. I think the opportunity, like I talked about in my opener, is large. It's exciting over the next few years. whether it's premiumization, whether it's the feature phone, the smartphone upgrade over 100 million devices just on our network alone. Postpaid, which could be a -- historically has not seen much traction in the last 4 years, given the very depressed pricing on prepaid. It's now beginning to see some traction in the last few quarters. But if you look at markets like Brazil and so on -- or Philippines even, postpaid tends to be 50%, 60% of their business. So there's no reason why postpaid on a secular basis should keep at the levels that is, but it should keep growing. And then, of course, there's the convergence side at the top. And all of this, I think, adds to the premiumization and the growth opportunity.

Manish Adukia

analyst
#21

Another question that I had was just on your free cash flow profile. Now we are seeing that ARPUs are improving for the business. You've again moratorium on both spectrum in ETI, which probably means that over the next 3, 4 years, free cash flow profile of the business should look significantly better than what it has in the past, even creating the continued elevated CapEx levels. So where will this free cash flow largely be deployed? I mean, are you looking to return it to shareholders or we supposed to see any cash in the core business that you have?

Gopal Vittal

executive
#22

Well, look, I think, firstly, let's just understand the conditions of the moratorium. As far as the moratorium is concerned, the -- if you choose to take the moratorium which we have, the interest that is payable on the moratorium is converted to an NPV and you have 1 of 2 choices, One is to defer the payout at the end of the 4-year period or to actually pay it every year in the anniversary period that comes in or to convert it into equity, all options are still open. The decision on converting to equity has to be taken in January. But the other 2 decisions are decisions that can be taken every year. The reason I want to make this point is that at the end of the day, we don't want to see this deferment as an opportunity for us to be fiscally not prudent. I think we have to be prudent. We have to make sure that the business continues to be lean, continues to invest where the growth is. We believe there's massive growth in data centers and broadband, in the enterprise business, in our digital assets and, of course, in rolling out 5G networks. At the same time, we are conscious of our leverage profile. We could have easily pulled the plug on the rights issue. We didn't do it because we wanted to ensure that despite the deferment, we were comfortable on our balance sheet. And I think that just tells you how we think. We want to make sure that we have enough cushion and room for growth. But at the same time, we want to balance that with tremendous fiscal products. I think that's the way we are looking at it. Harjeet, anything to add on this?

Harjeet Kohli

executive
#23

No. I think Gopal you were fairly comprehensive. The only small quick addition, which I can do, Manish, to your question is globally, there will be a free cash flow profile, which you can see now over the last 2, 3 quarters as it keeps growing with India opportunity, the tariff hikes, et cetera. The focus remains to what Gopal said, we have very modular small sort of 40/50 installments available in DoD profile, whether it's deferred or originally scheduled as a rear end, et cetera. Each of these is a potentially prepayable opportunity. So in the near term, the focus remains to find a higher cost, smaller slice, wherever we can get a chance, repay that, lower the debt profile. Globally, we are sub-3. But India, we are still over 3, 3.5. So there is opportunity to work on further reduction, knowing very well that some of the non-routine requirements, whether it's 5G or whenever it happens and the upfront payments will be rights funded in a way because we have got deferred calls available. So the sum and substance of what your question was whether dividends need to be worked through or retire the debt. The immediate-term focus is to manage the debt a little more, reduce high-cost debt.

Operator

operator
#24

The next question comes from Mr. Aditya Bansal.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#25

This is Aditya Bansal from Nomura. A couple of questions from my side. Can you share some color on the traction that we are seeing on the bulk data plans? And any plans to transition from daily data usage plan to bulk data with lower monthly usage? Secondly, it seems we are seeing healthy methods even on the B2B subs. What would be driving this? Is it M2M or new product launches? And how would the ARPU profile differ on different services that we are offering on enterprise?

Gopal Vittal

executive
#26

Aditya, on the bulk data plans, the simple answer to your question is that, no, there is no traction. I think the -- it is at a high premium to the daily plans. And so this is not same traction. I think we will look at rationalizing these plans at the right point, give us a variable levels of traction because we believe in actually simplifying the price portfolio and making sure that we have a clean and simple pricing structure in the market. On B2B, we're seeing growth of IoT. First of all, I think we are almost at 44%, 45% market share in IoT now based on the cost and solid [indiscernible] added market share even in this quarter. We've built our own M2M platform. We were earlier in conversation with many players. I've heard a lot of feedback from the back Aditya. We were in conversation from -- with several players around the world to actually use the M2M platform of theirs, but we found that it was: a, expensive; and b, not as agile and flexible as we wanted it to. So we spent a bunch of time around 9 to 12 months, actually building it out. We have a very, very strong platform, meets every single need, actually has releases coming in every 2 weeks. This platform is getting more and more agile and scalable, and we think that this is infinitely elastic to actually pick up any number of customers on IoT. So that's one tailwind that we're seeing. Of course, the ARPU for M2M individual devices are low because the amount of data consumption is also low, typically, they use less than 1 MB a month. So it's large accounts. So you typically have, let's say, 200,000 M2M connections distributed across the country or maybe 0.5 million M2M connection distributed across the country. This could be cars, electric meters and so on and so forth. The other base way we do see traction is our B2B corporate mobility plans where we have a strong reason to win because people really value our privacy, our security, our transparency and essentially trust us with deep relationships and long-standing reputation that we've built over the years. And finally, I think the other place we're seeing traction in B2B is on the SaaS-based platform, which is the Communication Platform as a Service, both IQ and so on, where we are now onboarding more and more customers as we speak. Almost -- I would say most of the tech companies, a number of the banks, some manufacturing entities, this is really like scaling up quite nicely.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#27

Thank you, Gopal. Lastly, on our peers is beefing up content through various sports ride beams. So what are our thoughts here? And are we looking at upcoming IPL or something like that?

Gopal Vittal

executive
#28

I would say it's premature to talk about that. But from our perspective, I think just to -- if you look at our content strategy, and I recall having this conversation maybe a couple of years ago, we -- they were a little confused a few years ago, probably about 5 years ago, where we were confused about what we want to do with content. I personally spent a lot of time almost 4 weeks meeting many content players across -- producers of content across the industry, particularly in Mumbai. And I think we really had to really take a deep hard look at ourselves and say, what do you really want to do. And I think we've come to the conclusion that we're not in the business of actually producing content. We're in the business of aggregating content and monetizing the content through the subscription of our digital layer with the scale that we're able to build. And that is across screens by the way. So that is really what we will do. The good news in India is that you do have must-provide, must-carry, particularly on the large screen. On the smaller screen, anyone who buys it will ultimately want to monetize it. And like we've done with Hotstar. We've done a deal with them where we are -- their content is available to our customers, and we bundle it with our with our services. So I think we don't see the value, at least we did not see the value in putting in several thousand crores into producing content. In a model that the monetization is always going to be a challenge, particularly in a market only in India. If you're doing it globally, it's a different matter. But if you're focused on India then content monetization through the small screen is not as easy. And you can see that struggle that all OTT companies in India, particularly the long tail are actually going through.

Operator

operator
#29

The next question comes from Mr. Pranav Kshatriya.

Pranav Kshatriya

analyst
#30

This is Pranav Kshatriya from Edelweiss. I have a question regarding the CapEx. So if you look at the CapEx has been pretty sticky. Last quarter, the explanation was that since you have used some of the spectrum that has been rolled out for which the CapEx was high. This quarter, it was slightly higher than the previous quarter. So how should we see the CapEx for this year? And for FY '23, should the CapEx trajectory be going up or going down? And what is the nature of the CapEx? Is it more to do with the fiberization? Or are you preparing for 5G readiness? How -- what exactly is the nature of this CapEx?

Gopal Vittal

executive
#31

I think, Pranav, taking the last part of your question first, I think we've given a broad guidance about our CapEx for the year. I think that pretty much stays. We did see a bump up on CapEx because some of the 900 band spectrum that we had. There were material shortages in quarter 1, and a lot of that actually started coming in into quarter 2. So we did see a bump up. The contours of this CapEx are actually across 3 or 4 areas. There's a substantial amount of money that's going on to transport. This is really ready for 5G, fiberizing our towers, making sure that we put enough fiber on the ground. The second part is really model the CapEx on the radio side where a lot of it has really been on the 900 band, new radios that we had to buy. Some capacity bolstering but largely on the new -- on the 900 band because with this traditional spectrum, we didn't need as much of radios on the capacity side. The third part is core, obviously, just grows with whatever you're growing, but that's a modest amount of CapEx that goes there. And we've not seen as much data growth because with the lockdown, we saw a big jump. But as the lockdown started easing and people went back, some of the usage actually dropped. And then, of course, there is the non-wireless side of the portfolio, which is our data centers, our home broadband, our enterprise business. All of that also consumes CapEx. So I don't think the overall numbers change. I think it's just a question of a little bump up. But that said, I think we are watchful. And one of the reasons that we mentioned that we have raised money through the rights issues that we don't want to hold CapEx back for growth. I think we are very clear that we want to grow market share and grow. And so if we find that, that opportunity is there, we will put in the requisite CapEx. But at this point in time, our sense is that the numbers will stay in line with the guidance that we have provided. And for next year, we haven't yet provided the guidance.

Pranav Kshatriya

analyst
#32

Okay. A small follow-up for that. So if we are looking at 5G, how should -- what is your view on 5G? I mean are we looking at a more staggered rollout of 5G considering the spectrum auction will happen sometime possibly early next year? Will -- considering the 5G device penetration is still low, although incrementally, we are hitting 15%, 20% mark. Now overall basis, I think it's still much smaller proportion. So should we see a more staggered 5G rollout or it can be more like how it happened to 4G, which was almost across the length and breadth of the country.

Gopal Vittal

executive
#33

I think it's a bit early for me to comment on it for various reasons. Firstly, I think we have been indicating to the regulator that because this matters right now with TRAI. TRAI needs to give out recommendation to DoT, which is after which they will kind of finalize. And our recommendation has been to make sure that they look at all the spectrum bands, not just 1 spectrum band, because you need to look at all spectrum bands to see what is the totality of spectrum that will be available in India. Much of it is sitting with the defense. So that has to be unlocked to make sure that we are able to, as operators understand, what should our spectrum strategy be. This will be spectrum in the 600 band and the 700 band, of course, the spectrum was very high priced. We had 3 failed auctions. Those need to get substantially moderated in terms of price. Then there's 3.5 gigahertz where a lot of the spectrum is lying with defense, how much spectrum is going to be available is another question. Then of course, there's a millimeter wave. So all of this spectrum will need to be put on the block. And I don't know whether that can happen soon. I think it will take some time, as I understand it, but we will wait and see when that consultation gets concluded. Then it comes to DoT and then, of course, the spectrum will put on the block. And DoT in the recent reforms has suggested that every year, they will keep auctioning spectrum. The second thing I want to say to you is that the 4G and 5G in the short term, and when I say short term in the next, let's say, 2 years to 3 years, will be a little different from the way 3G and 4G work. In the case of 3G, the difference between 3G and 4G was dramatic. Dramatic in terms of experience. And by the way, because voice -- you could run voice on 4G where the capacities are much lower. The fallback going on to 3G was always going to be a poorer experience for customers because it's old 3G that comes back and so on and so forth. And of course, the capacity on 3G are much lower because of the nature of the technology. In the case of 4G, there are -- 5G, there are 2 ways you can run it. One is what's called non-stand-alone and they are this called stand-alone. Stand-alone -- most networks across the world have moved to non-stand-alone. Non-stand-alone basically uses the 4G layer as the uplink and the 5G layer is a downlink. So 5G comes as an overlay on 4G. And that changes the experience and gives you a great experience. Now we all know that the nature of the mobile industry is modular. We know where the customers are. We know where the devices are. And so you can decide where to actually deploy, based on that approach. So I think it's -- there are many moving parts. We'll have to see how this actually plays out, one in terms of timing, the spectrum auction. And finally, what's the uptake on devices. In the next 3 to 4 years, you will see 5G more or less on a ubiquitous basis or more or less in most key cities. But in the immediate short term, I don't know. I mean we'll have to see what happens and when that auction happens.

Operator

operator
#34

The last question comes from Mr. Tarang Agarwal.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#35

Hello. This is Tarang here from [ Oldbridge ] Capital. Just wanted to understand, as you grow your enterprise data center business, is there a preference to any particular source of power? And how are your customers looking at it? Is there a preference there or some sort of an apprehension from the point of view of the source of power that's being used.

Gopal Vittal

executive
#36

No, I think this is a good question. I think we have almost all of the hyperscalers now in our portfolio as customers on data centers. And we are very clear that based on the Paris climate accord that we have signed up, that more and more of the energy that's used has to be green energy. Most of the large data center units are already green for us. We invested in back-to-back power arrangements using solar power to drive those data centers. And this is something that is only getting better. And we intend to disclose this as well as part of our sustainability initiatives in the coming quarters.

Operator

operator
#37

With this, I will now hand over the proceedings to Mr. Gopal Vittal for closing remarks.

Gopal Vittal

executive
#38

Well, I just want to thank you for dialing in. And for all the participants, Happy Diwali. Thank you very much for being with us.

Operator

operator
#39

Thank you, everyone, for joining us today. Recording of this webinar will also be available on our website for your reference.

Harjeet Kohli

executive
#40

Thank you.

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