Bilia AB (publ) (BILIA) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
November 24, 2020
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Kristina Franzén
executiveThen I wish you all welcome to this telephone call regarding the announcement that Bilia made during yesterday evening. My name is Kristina Franzen and I'm the CFO for Bilia. And together with me, I have on the line...
Per Avander
executiveYes, Per Avander, welcome and hello, everybody, Managing Director for Bilia AB.
Kristina Franzén
executiveI would like to ask you all to put your phones on mute for a while. And then myself and Per would give you sort of a brief of the situation, and then it will be possible for you to put questions. But please, if you put your phones on mute in the meanwhile to have a clear and loud line available as possible. As I start then, yes, just to brief you on what actually happened. Bilia did receive last week, Thursday, November 19, a notice of termination of the dealer agreement from Volvo Cars. The dealer agreement, which was terminated, was for Sweden and Norway. It's for all our Volvo dealership, and it has a notice period of 2 years. The termination as such concerns both the Car Business and the Service Business. And the reason for that is that those -- both businesses are both included in the same dealer agreement. During this notice period of 2 years, the business will be conducted as before. So it's business as usual during this 2 years notice period. So that's a little bit about what has happened. And before I let Per in, I would again ask everybody to mute their phones. So everybody mute their phones.
Per Avander
executivePlease.
Kristina Franzén
executiveThere is still a lot of noise in the background. Thank you for helping us all.
Per Avander
executiveThank you. Yes. I'll take over from Kristina for a while. We are a little bit surprised, and we haven't had any dialogue with Volvo before we got the termination. We have today a fantastic customer satisfaction. And the customer, they love Bilia, both when we sell the car and when we repair the cars in our workshops. And we have seen all targets we have got from Volvo as a dealer. We have got one reason why they terminate the contract. Volvo like to have, in the future, smaller dealers. I'll talk about the termination. We have 1 contract in Sweden and 1 contract in Norway. And in the contract, it included -- it's include vehicle contract and a service contract. For the service contract, we have a block exemption in Europe. So we will applying again immediately as we meet all criteria for a new contract in the Service business. And Volvo can't block Bilia. So we see in the future, we will have a new contract for the Service business, the most important. If you look at 2019, 75% of the profitability is coming from the Service business and 25% from the Car business, including the used cars. And the used car is more profitable comparing to the new car business. The new car contract, it's terminated. And the end of the contract will be in November 2022. And I see for the future, we will have a discussion and negotiation about the future. But what will happen, I can't see it today. If we look a little bit what happened in the short and the long perspective, long term and short term. In 2 years, it will be business as usual, but we prepare if we don't get the new contracts for the new car business. We have a lot of locals for the new car business. Maybe we can put in other brands we have in the Bilia Group. We can terminate some rental contracts we have for the real estate, or we can put more efforts in the used car business. As we have communicated since 1 year ago, we have the Netbil. It's a new effort of older used cars. And we have in long-term target of 25,000 used cars in the Netbil business. If we don't sell new cars in long term, we will have a -- in the future, we'll have lower risk in stock of new cars in stock and demonstration cars. We have lower capital tied up. So it -- in the long term. It is a transformation in the car industry for the moment. It can be the direct sale for the manufacturers. It can be Internet sales or traditional sales, what we have today. Advice from a salesman, test driving and everything, we get an offer. What will happen in the future, I can't see, but maybe it will be 30%, 40% of direct sales, maybe and 13% of net sales in the future and the rest at traditional sales. But it's not easy today to speculate what will happen in the car industry in the future. But we can see it's a transformation. Yes, Kristina, back to you again.
Kristina Franzén
executiveYes. And I think you mentioned in the beginning there, Per, that we have also initiated discussions about future cooperation with Volvo. So that has not yet started. I mean it's only 2 business days since we actually received the termination. So we have an agreement to start discussions, but they have not yet been started. That means also, of course, that there are some things that will develop over time in terms of how our future cooperation would be set up and outlined. So let's see. Per, should we then check if there are any questions?
Per Avander
executiveYes.
Kristina Franzén
executiveFrom those of you listening in. So please feel free to put your questions.
Mika Karppinen
analystThis is Mika from Handelsbanken. Can you hear me?
Kristina Franzén
executiveAbsolutely. Mika, we hear you.
Mika Karppinen
analystDo you expect that the sort of you could be selling some new current dealers some related assets to Volvo in this process?
Kristina Franzén
executiveLet's see if we heard your question. Was your question whether or not we would be able to sell some of our asset like equipment in our facilities to Volvo? Was that your question?
Mika Karppinen
analystYes. Or -- yes, or retail stores or something like that?
Kristina Franzén
executiveYes. I think when it comes to the Service business, we are continuing that business, as Per pointed out. So it means from that perspective, we would, of course, keep that. And that is sort of the majority of the fixed equipment. And when it then comes to facilities and what type of equipment that would be there, there has not been any discussions with Volvo around that. But I think Per, do you want to?
Per Avander
executiveYes. Yes. We see in the future, we will have a contract for the service. So we need all equipment we have and tools and everything and our mechanics in the future. If you talk about the rest of the business, the new car business, I see we will change the infrastructure we put in used cars, maybe to change, close down some of the smaller facilities and use the other brands we have in our portfolio. And maybe in the future, Volvo asks us to help them to deliver cars and get the provision for that. And as I said, we have a lower risk in the future, if you do that in new cars in stock and demonstration cars. So we are not there yet. And some of our real estate, we have short-term contracts for them. So we maybe can cancel the contracts as well.
Kristina Franzén
executiveAnd we did get the question on the earlier conference in Swedish. If we were convinced that we would actually continue to get authorized on the service side, and there, we -- is that we are convinced and that we would continue to have that type of authorization going forward.
Mika Karppinen
analystDo you think that the sort of Volvo is willing to build also their own service network? Or are they just chasing the sort of the new car related retail ambitions? What's your feeling?
Per Avander
executiveI couldn't hear you. Can you take it again, please?
Mika Karppinen
analystI said do you think that the sort of Volvo is willing to build up their own new sort of service network? Or are they just looking for getting over the taking over the dealers -- the new car dealership operations?
Kristina Franzén
executiveSo your question is, do they only want to have the new cars? Or would they also set up their own Volvo workshops, right? That's your question, Mika, right?
Mika Karppinen
analystYes. Exactly.
Per Avander
executiveYes. Yes. It's not so easy because we have 600 mechanics and body and paint shops mechanics in Sweden. And then we have a couple of hundreds in Norway. It's not easy to do that in 2 years. To build up the network for workshops and to have the right knowledge and the technology of each new Volvo is really complicated. So to build up that in the whole Sweden is not easy for them. So -- and we can compete because we were convinced that we will get the new contract. So we can compete with them. And we have a good relation with our customer today. The customer satisfaction is higher in average in Sweden of Volvo dealers is one example. So the customer like to go to Bilia today. So to start from 0 and find new customer is -- it will cost a lot of money.
Kristina Franzén
executiveIt's probably a question to put to Volvo for those that have the opportunity, right, to see what their strategy is?
Mika Karppinen
analystYes. Yes.
Kristina Franzén
executiveWe have not received any information about the reason and how they think going forward.
Mika Karppinen
analystOkay. Then concerning the sort of the used car business, have you been -- of course, the sort of new car business has been an important part of sourcing operations for your used car business as well. So how are you going to handle that going forward?
Per Avander
executiveYes. We -- when I talk about Netbil, it's an auction and is an outlet for used car. And we launched now Västerås, a new facility for Netbil used cars. So we are going forward with the concept we have. And in the other conference we had, we got the question about how can we find used cars when we don't sell new Volvo in the future? But today, 75% to 80% of all new car we sell from Volvo is fleet business. And often, you have a finance company behind. And so you don't get the used car as traditional sales we had for 10 to 15 years ago. So what we are doing today we have a cooperation with Volvo Finance Bank and buy some cars from them. And for the other finance companies, it's a sort of an auction, and we bid for the cars. So it's the same today, and it will be the same tomorrow. And sometimes, we have a purchase department. So we buy cars from private person as well. So the same in the future. If we sell the new Volvo or not. We will find the used cars.
Kristina Franzén
executiveThank you, Mika. Are there any questions from anyone else on the line.
Erik Oberg
analystOne question from Erik Oberg through DNB. I'm a little bit confused regarding the gross profit stemming from the new car sales for Volvo. You mentioned SEK 80 million in the press release. But how do you define that?
Kristina Franzén
executiveLet's see you -- is your question, what type of costs is included there, right?
Erik Oberg
analystYes. I mean gross profit, in my view, the revenue minus cost of goods sold.
Per Avander
executiveYes.
Erik Oberg
analystBut have you included any other OpEx in this figure?
Kristina Franzén
executiveYes, there is. So you have the rental cost in there, and you have the people cost. So what you don't have included there is actually a share of, let's say, the common overhead costs.
Erik Oberg
analystOkay. So this is more what an EBITDA excluding overhead, all right?
Per Avander
executiveEBIT is around SEK 65 million, you can say, 2019. So in EBIT, if you take the -- I can't say the word in English [Foreign Language] SEK 80 million is around SEK 65 million in the EBIT, we can say.
Erik Oberg
analystCool. So that is after cost for premises, personnel directly related to this?
Per Avander
executiveYes.
Kristina Franzén
executiveYes.
Erik Oberg
analystOkay. And what is the gross figure then? I mean, revenue minus cost of goods sold? What's a reasonable margin there?
Kristina Franzén
executiveI don't think we actually -- no, no, we actually thought this was more relevant because this is sort of what we will lose for -- as a coverage of our fixed costs. So that's the reason why that is submitted and not the other one.
Erik Oberg
analystYou mean the coverage for the overhead costs?
Kristina Franzén
executiveYes. So that is the EBITDA. Yes.
Erik Oberg
analystOf course, you have a lot of fixed costs already burdening this figure in terms of premises, personnel, et cetera, if I understand?
Kristina Franzén
executiveYes. I think some of the majority actually of the personnel cost is also a type of variable cost, right? As such because you have a salary that is also not fixed in that sense. Then of course, premises would be the largest item where you have a typical fixed cost. But as Per said before, we would, of course, look into that and see how we can moderate with the facilities. Also move around and also then see short term, if there is a need to actually look at the termination for those as well in terms of closure of the leasing contracts. Any other questions?
Unknown Analyst
analystYes, [indiscernible] here from Bloomberg News. Can you hear me?
Kristina Franzén
executiveHello. We hear you.
Unknown Analyst
analystGood. Yes. I just wondered about -- you said in a statement that you expect to meet your financial goals. But it seems like this is quite a substantial part of your revenue. So just wonder how you can be so sure about that?
Kristina Franzén
executiveYes, we have different financial targets. And I think when it comes to the margin and the financial ones, we see that those are are clear for us. Then we have the growth target, and that is, of course, where we look specifically into that now to see how we would make sure that we continue to also have a growth. And then let's see one-time what that means with the loss of this specific sales, if that is what will come out long-term then after the discussion?
Per Avander
executiveYes. So yes, for 2 years, it's a business as usual. So we have to speed up, to acquire more and follow our strategy we have for growth more of the same brands we have in the countries where we are today is 1 example. Another is if we can achieve the target of 25,000 more used cars we communicated it 1 year ago is another. So we have 2 years now to change a little bit.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. So it's based on the assumption that you will kind of mitigate this contract loss with other partnerships?
Kristina Franzén
executiveOr other businesses. We also say that that target is for a number of years. So it's not easy individual year. So we have the ambition to continue to deliver on those targets. And then, I mean, we measure those over a number of years. So that's a long-term development. Are there any other questions?
Unknown Analyst
analystThis is Peter from [indiscernible]. I would like to ask a question if Bilia is still owner in Volvo Finance? And what -- and if that is the case, what will happen with that ownership?
Per Avander
executiveYes, we are still an owner. And it's too early to say what happens there because we don't know what Volvo will do in the future or if they will sell the cars for themselves in the future, or they will have other dealers in some of the cities where we are today. Or they will have a discussion with Bilia for the future with maybe a new set up. So it's too early to see what happened with the Volvo Finance Bank.
Kristina Franzén
executiveAnything else from anyone? No further questions. No. It doesn't sound like that, then I would suggest that we would end the call here now. And of course, myself and Per are available if there are any question that comes up later either via phone or, but we will come back to you if there is anything that you would like to add to the question list. Yes. So thank you for listening.
Per Avander
executiveThank you very much. Thank you.
Kristina Franzén
executiveThank you. Have a nice day. Bye-bye.
Per Avander
executiveBye.
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