BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. (BMRN) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
November 17, 2020
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Paul Matteis
analystGreat. Thanks very much, everybody. Happy to be here on this panel for the next 30 minutes with the BioMarin management team. With me is Brian Mueller, who's the Executive Vice President and CFO; and also Hank Fuchs, who is the President of Worldwide R&D. I'm sure most people listening here know the team quite well. I think we're just going to start and have Brian make some introductory remarks on the recent BioMarin quarter and a few pipelines updates and than we will get into Q&A. So, Brian, thank you, again, and please take it away.
Brian Mueller
executiveHi, everybody. Thank you, Paul, really appreciate the opportunity to participate today. As you know, we recently shared our third quarter 2020 results where we provided a number of updates. On the financials, we tightened our GAAP net income guidance and improved our non-GAAP income guidance for 2020 and we slightly adjusted our total revenue guidance for the full year, mainly due to the delay in the potential approval of ROCTAVIAN. We're optimistic that longer-term data with ROCTAVIAN will ultimately lead to a potential approval, should the data be supportive and that the growth in revenues and profitability would, therefore, come back in 2022 and accelerate in 2023. Despite the headwinds encountered this year, we do anticipate earning meaningful non-GAAP income in 2021 as well as positive operating cash flows from our base business. On the regulatory front, we anticipate some exciting updates beginning in early '21. With ROCTAVIAN gene therapy for the treatment of hemophilia A, we look forward to sharing top line 1-year results from our Phase III data from all 134 patients in early 2021. Based on the dramatic bleeding control observed to date with ROCTAVIAN, we are optimistic about the approvability path forward, but obviously, the Phase III results will be paramount to determining time lines. We plan to submit the marketing application in Europe, in the second quarter of 2021 and share the 1-year Phase III results with the FDA as well. With vosoritide for the treatment of achondroplasia, applications in the U.S. and Europe are under review by health authorities and are in process for the potential approvals in 2021. With the CHMP opinion expected in the second half of 2021 and the U.S. PDUFA action date planned for August 20, 2021. Based on the highly statistically significant results observed in children with achondroplasia treated with vosoritide, we're optimistic that vosoritide will be the first pharmacologic therapy approved in this indication. On the heels of ROCTAVIAN and vosoritide reviews and the potential approvals and the continued commercial expansion of Palynziq for phenylketonuria, which present large global revenue opportunities for the company. Our earlier-stage pipeline is also moving forward. BMN 307 gene therapy for PKU is in the clinic with a total of -- with a goal of achieving normalized fee. We're also completing preclinical studies with BMN 331 gene therapy for hereditary angioedema, our third gene therapy product candidate in another large market opportunity. And finally, earlier today, we announced a preclinical collaboration with Deep Genomics in their artificial intelligence drug discovery platform to identify oligonucleotide drug candidates in 4 disease indications, rare disease indications, with high unmet need. Under the collaboration, we hope to identify and validate target mechanisms and lead candidates that BioMarin can advance into preclinical and clinical development. That's a brief snapshot to bring everybody up-to-date since our Q3 results update just a couple of weeks ago. So Paul, I'll turn it back to you for Q&A.
Paul Matteis
analystAwesome. Thank you very much, Brian. So let's start with vosoritide. And I think it'd be helpful to set the stage to understand some of the context behind the recent FDA update. So NDA was accepted with this 2-year data caveat. I would guess it would be helpful if you guys could kind of clarify the back history of that? I know there is this AdCom, did they ask for your placebo-controlled data just come from a few clinicians? Or was there also some FDA buy-in on this at the time as well?
Henry Fuchs
executiveWell, there's maybe a little FDA buy-in. The question got proposed to the advisory committee about the duration of controlled clinical trials. This actually followed, I think, a presentation by the FDA to the pediatric advisory community that was mentioning that one of the key considerations for the enrollment of children in clinical trials as prospect for benefit. And so when the discussion turned to the advisers, on the one hand, some is good, more is better, was one piece. And on the other hand, the denial of children at second year of placebo in the interest of corroborating something. I don't think led to a unanimous belief by the advisory committee that wisdom said it must be 2 years. And in fact, there was quite a lot of discussion about how you think about that scientifically and biologically. And I thought Dave Cooke, from Hopkins, did the nicest job of sort of thumbnailing the issue of consideration. The issue of consideration of length of the clinical trial has to do with the durability of effect, and that's informed by the fact that an unrelated treatment for unrelated conditions growth hormone for nongrowth hormone deficiencies, you get a growth spurt at the beginning but it then tails off as duration goes on. And the biology of that, while maybe not precisely understood is clearly different than the biology of vosoritide. And so he -- so Dr. Cooke pointed out that the considerations to make are, what is the clinical evidence of obtaining that speaks to durability? What's the biomarker evidence that speaks durability? What's the preclinical evidence that speaks to durability? And what we put in the application to address these considerations are the clinical evidence of durable effect of CNP, which are -- come from 2 different places. One is the study that we have where we've treated patients for 4.5 years, and they've gained an additional 9 centimeters of growth compared to a really well described natural history database, showing no attenuation of benefit. This is actually reviewed fairly carefully with the FDA at the pre-NDA meeting. A second piece of human clinical data comes from the natural experience, genetic experiences in which patients who have overexpression of CNP are unusually tall, like 7.5 feet tall. So you can't -- CNP doesn't wear off. You can get to 7 feet tall and it's obviously keep working. The third -- another line of evidence comes -- so that's the human clinical evidence. The biomarker evidence, the cGMP response after 2 years is similar to the cGMP response after the first dose. And then finally, preclinical data, same story, you can take an achondroplastic mouse, mate it with an overexpressing CNP tall mouse and the genetic -- the result of that crossmatch is normalization, which you, again, can't get if there's a nondurable effect of vosoritide. So we think that in the amalgam when the FDA finishes reviewing all those pieces, they'll see the need -- they'll see the lag -- the need for the second year of data is much less. Now as an insurance policy, we have that second year of treatment data for 110 patients, actually, 55 of the patients, those who were in as placebo, right around the corner. We unblinded the 1-year version of the study a year ago, so you can imagine the 2-year data are available imminently. And so we have it in our hip pocket if they want it. We don't really think that they're going to need or want it. Why they chose to mention it in the filing letter? They usually complain about something, and that was...
Paul Matteis
analystIs that normal? Usually, there's some sort of review issue outlined in the acceptance letter with that?
Henry Fuchs
executiveThere can be. It doesn't always -- I mean with Valrox, there wasn't anything. But we -- like with Vimizim, they said, we disagree with the sponsors choice of endpoint. We wanted a responder analysis. They went to the advisory committee, wanting a responder analysis. They pointed out to the advisory committee, we required a responder analysis and then it completely disappeared after they said -- so I don't know which -- it feels more like the Vimizim one than anything else.
Paul Matteis
analystYes. No, that's really interesting. So just to clarify, Hank, the issue or the theoretical concerns around in tachyphylaxis doesn't stem from growth hormone off-label use in achondroplasia, it comes from growth hormone's used elsewhere in short stature populations, is that right?
Henry Fuchs
executiveGrowth hormone everywhere other than in growth hormone deficiency.
Paul Matteis
analystOkay. Okay. Okay. Got it. Got it. And so for the 2 data, coming up next year, right? Can you just kind of walk through what that readout might look like? I guess, I would have -- I would guess you'd map it out or kind of superimpose it next to some published natural history studies?
Henry Fuchs
executiveWell, I mean, let's understand what the data -- what the population is, and therefore, what it could tell us and how we use it. Now the Phase III trial that we're calling the 1-year trial actually had at least a 6-month run-in, not on placebo or vosoritide. Some patients were run-in for 12 months, 9 months, 6 months. So you have a group of people who are untreated. So you have -- the understanding height for 6 months, 7 months, 8 months before they even get randomized. Then you have their height when they're randomized and then you have their height 1 year after placebo. So some of these people will have had no treatment for -- well, everyone will have had no treatment for 18 months, and some of those people will have had no treatment for 19, 20, 21 months. So you have a control arm. And then you have the people who are treated with vosoritide for 24 months now, 2 years later, they were randomized originally. And so you have their 24-month data. And what we should be able to do is to compare like what's the last 6 months of growth compared to the first 6 months of growth when you cross over or the first 6 months of observation when you're on placebo. And I think what that's going to show is that the bang that you get initially, both in the people originally randomized to vosoritide as well as those people who are delayed randomized to vosoritide, that initial bang is going to look similar to the bang that you get in the month 18 to 24. I think that will knock this issue out of the consideration.
Paul Matteis
analystYes, very good. Do you -- would you be surprised if the FDA changed course and had another AdCom?
Henry Fuchs
executiveThe odds of me ever being surprised by the FDA ever again is...
Paul Matteis
analystI know you were going to do that. Yes, but they said they're not planning on having an AdCom. Isn't that kind of weird, right? I mean, again, with Vimizim, right, it was about 14 to 2, like the AdCom was great, right, it gave you a forum to make your case?
Henry Fuchs
executiveTwo? I thought I was one, but I'll defer to you. And the funny thing about the one, also a different guy from Hopkins, and he said, I'd have voted forward if they had, had a biomarker with biopsy data from the growth plate. We're like what are you talking about?
Paul Matteis
analystYes. Yes. Yes.
Henry Fuchs
executiveSo I regard that one as unanimous anyway.
Paul Matteis
analystOkay. Okay. Fair enough. And just to clarify, has the -- has this durability existential question come up at all with EMA? Or do they just not really seem concerned?
Henry Fuchs
executiveIt's come up. It's not in the existential category. It's more in the -- geez, you've got a lot of data. It would be nice to see that.
Paul Matteis
analystRight, right, right. Okay, okay, great. Maybe one more vosoritide question for Brian, and that is really just -- can you talk a little bit about your launch prep? And are you already talking to a lot of physicians that treat these patients? How much overlap is there with the existing sales force focused on another genetic medicine?
Brian Mueller
executiveYes, that's great. Thanks, Paul. Great question. So yes, we've been assessing and engaging with the achondroplasia market for some time in our vosoritide preparations. Similar to ROCTAVIAN, although we can't market or talk to patients before an approval, there's some safe harbors that do allow us to talk to payers. And then, of course, physician and disease education. So a couple of things of note, when we think about the potential launch of vosoritide. So first of all, larger patient population than the ultra-orphan diseases that we grew up upon, right? We're talking about over 20,000 potential treatable patients within BioMarin territories versus the MPS disorders where it's low single-digit thousands of total patients in the world. So still a larger market opportunity. Also, earlier diagnosis, which is, I think, a key dynamic to think about when we think about achondroplasia and vosoritide as a potential treatment. Again, different from our base business that we grew over the last 20 years. Much of the marketing -- sales and marketing efforts to launch Naglazyme and Vimizim were in the areas of patient identification, helping physicians and the healthcare system understand mucopolysaccharidosis, look for symptoms, do the diagnostic test and try to get through diagnosis. Achondroplasia is typically diagnosed much earlier, often in utero. So to have that earlier diagnosis in the marketplace is different for us in terms of how we grew. And then I think the last thing I'd say, which is going to take a bit more work that we're going to work on this year in advance of the PDUFA date, is establishing a medical home, helping to establish a medical home for Achondroplasia patients, they are treated in different areas and Hank might be able to elaborate, but ped endocrinologists, some just pediatricians, geneticists, so using our BioMarin network that we've built over the years of establishing that medical home will be important. And yes, we'll get leverage in a couple of ways out of our existing commercial infrastructure. First of all, just the operations. We've built this global business. We sell our products in over 70 countries. It's that same commercial and G&A infrastructure that we'll use to lodge, hopefully, both ROCTAVIAN and vosoritide because these are all different diseases, very specialty and because of our high-touch business model, there will be incremental investments for each of these products, but we'll get some leverage out of just the rare disease infrastructure that we've built as well.
Paul Matteis
analystOkay. Okay. Great. Very good. Let's switch gears to ROCTAVIAN and maybe just getting ahead of the 1-year data in the beginning of next year. Hank, from your engagement with regulators, what do you think the EMA is hoping to see? How would you describe a good output? Factor VIII levels that are in the kind of standard error of 6 months and a curve that qualitatively looks like durability, like I feel like it's so arbitrary. We'd be curious what your view is.
Henry Fuchs
executiveI think it's just really just bigger sample size in all the things that come from bigger sample size. So like more knowledge about what the proportion of patients who are going to have an initial favorable response, more knowledge about what the distribution of the responses is at 26 to 52 weeks so that there can be more interrogation of whether there are discernible patient factors that contribute to outcome. I don't get the sense from the EMA that they're troubled by uncertainties or in precisions, but more that they are comforted by 134 patients is a bigger number on which to make a confident decision for something as novel as this. So I don't know that there's a specific single parameter to point to other than 134. That's going to be an interesting...
Paul Matteis
analystCan you tell us more about just an update data set rather than say, again, the whole durability component of this necessary?
Henry Fuchs
executiveWell, they're not unrelated to each other. I think they'll feel when they see the whole curve and the 134 patients, and you recognize that some people have been treated for longer than a year. In some cases, some people have been treated longer than 2 years. All that, I think, is going to go into the EMA brain. They're not so statistically wired. So that I think they're a little bit more what's the pattern? What's the picture? So we feel pretty good that the 1-year data could scratch the EMA's itch without any real reservations. But we have to see what the data are. We have to win.
Paul Matteis
analystYes, yes, yes. Okay. All right. I'm going to try to now ask a question that's even more speculative and maybe unanswerable, but I guess what -- now on the flip side, what is the FDA looking for, right? So like for a hypothetical product, let's say, has 35% Factor VIII levels at 1 year, and then that goes down to 20% at 2 years. I've noted 25% or 15%. Is that, like is that -- like does the FDA want to just understand their ability? Or do you think they're actually trying to draw a line and be confident that the clinical benefit is going to persist out to a certain period of time?
Henry Fuchs
executiveThe way they phrase it is -- in the CRL is given the differences in Phase I and Phase II and the variability that's been observed, we're uncomfortable projecting the trajectory of the result after week 26 in the small number of patients. And it hasn't appeared that they have a specific criteria around that to some part of your question, but rather feels more like they just want to characterize it well. There are so many unknown unknowns in the gene. If you go to any gene therapy talk these days that are, the big phrase is the unknown unknowns. And I think the magnitude -- the amount of the unknown unknowns are a little bit hot handcuff, the review team such that while it appears very reasonable that it's likely that there will be durable expression of the transgene product. Given the number of unknowns, they felt better about waiting until there were 134 patients worth of data. And they put that marker out to say, and we feel even better about it at 2 years. Now we've been conservative in communicating to all of you, 2 years, obviously, we're going to work with them to see what we learned from the 1-year result without any promises. And I think it really, just for them, boils down to we just want to make sure that we see what happens a couple of years after treating gene transduction.
Paul Matteis
analystYes. Fair enough. And it sounded like, I don't know if you present this or wait for it to all be filled out, but it sounds like by the time you have the 1-year data for all patients, you'll have 2-year data for a bunch of patients. Is that something that you might describe to Wall Street and also take to the FDA too to see if that could be enough at that point?
Henry Fuchs
executiveWell, for the whole bunch it is an unquantified number, and it's not 133, and it's not 67. It's a lower number than that. And because all studies have these hockey stick enrollment curves, and so we won't really have at least 2 years data on the majority of the patients for at least closer to a year from now. And again, whether that's enough to scratch the agency's itch? I mean I think in broad terms, what they're talking about is the initial launch and then the glide path afterwards. And I think that a solid glide path would be an important finding a better initial launch once we tighten the steroids would be a better finding, but we and they have not put specific parameters around it. I mean, obviously, the #1 specific parameters, we got to win on ADR. Assuming we win on ADR, then we get into these other questions.
Paul Matteis
analystYes. Okay. Okay. Maybe taking a step back, Hank, one of the things that other -- and look, everyone again is just purely speculating, but one of the most common speculations I've heard about Valrox is hey, this wouldn't have happened if it wasn't hemophilia A. If it was this rare disease with nothing approved, the FDA wouldn't have been this kind of nit picky with how much data they had and the expression kinetics and stuff. So I guess, one, do you agree with that? And two, the other gene therapy programs that you're pursuing are in PKU and [ HE ], 2 diseases with an incumbent standard of care. Does the experience with Valrox kind of change the way you think about the best opportunities for gene therapy? Like does it make you more inclined to go to places that have nothing? Or how do you think about all of that?
Henry Fuchs
executiveWell, the -- I think it's easy to point to treatment conditions for which there's no treatment to call that pure unmet need, but for hemophilia patients who having 40% of the patients on Hemlibra having breakthrough bleeding. They're bleeding 1 to 2 times a year or more. They have challenges. The bleeding rate at the Q4 week interval is -- it's not 0. And in fact, you really need to be closer to Q1 to even get the 40% bleed-free and the ABR of 1.5. So there clearly is an unmet need in hemophilia. Maybe it's not as large as if there was nothing there, but benefit is in that unmet need space and benefit exceeds risk. Now I do think though that the bigger picture of all this is that the agency is more comfortable with larger sample sizes, pure and simple. And so the program that we undertook is a fairly large sample size program, 134 patients. We thought we were in the groove to get on track with an early application for approval. We had a lot of interaction with them. They had published a guidance document. We had no reason to expect that they're going to move the goalpost until they move the goalpost. So I don't know, I guess, you can say, you can't blame us for trying other than the $8 billion of market cap loss that we experienced. You can't blame us for trying. But I do think we're going to get back on the bicycle here fairly shortly. And with our very large and very robust study, we'll answer the questions that are coming up during review. And I think that the -- you hear people with the agency talking about the unmet need quantum. I also think that we're really talking about that low sample size applications is where this gets sort of magnified. I think the absence of available therapy consideration starts to diminish when there's a much larger end.
Paul Matteis
analystCould it just be a safety thing? Like you see what happening with Audentes, you see a lot of clinical holds in this space. From my seat, it's really hard to try to make a guess based on some preclinical data or a company's arguing that their capsid is the best on why something is or isn't going to be safe as you get to bigger samples? Could that just be the piece of this year?
Henry Fuchs
executiveThey haven't really pointed to a specific hypothesis about the safety. I mean, the theoretical ones could be steroid-related side effects, which could increase as we use more steroids. But so far, that hasn't been a key consideration. And integration is a theoretical safety issue. The only tangible thing that they pointed to as a safety outcome in the review was that some patients have breakthrough bleeding on Valrox, which isn't a problem of Valrox, it's the hemophilia that caused that. And the fact that Valrox doesn't work 100% in every patient. No drug works 100% in every patient. It'd be like saying, if you still have a headache after you took an aspirin, then that's the toxicity of the aspirin. That literally is the only safety issue they brought up as far as that goes, so.
Paul Matteis
analystRight. Yes. Right. Okay. And can you remind us -- I remember one of the potential explanations for the different Factor VIII levels in the Phase III and the Phase I/II was it was hypothesized due to timing of steroid dosing. In this data set we'll get in the beginning of next year, is there a subpopulation of patients for whom this timing of steroid treatment was modified after the initial interim?
Henry Fuchs
executiveBasically everybody after the interim had a much greater attention to the detail. So I think the time from dose to steroid use, the time from ALT rise to steroid use, the number of breakthroughs on tapering will all be favorable relative to Phase I/II. Now whether that all -- whether that translates into anything good was what the unblinding is going to be about.
Paul Matteis
analystYes. Yes. Okay. Okay. Great. Brian, maybe another question for you as we get towards wrapping up here. And that is really with multiple kind of moving parts of the pipeline, specifically vosoritide, right? It feels like it's the more relevant one. And then also the pandemic, where's BioMarin's head right now in how to guide in 2021 and think through things? Yes.
Brian Mueller
executiveYes. No, thanks, Paul. We're spending a lot of time working through this right now, especially looking ahead to next year. So big picture because we believe ROCTAVIAN will be just a delay. And that we do plan to -- and hope to get approval for vosoritide in the second half of next year. Big picture, our long-term growth prospects and the commercial opportunities from those 2 potential new products have not changed. It just shifts to the right a bit. So what that means, in the meantime, especially in light of, as you mentioned, some of the other headwinds we're experiencing at the moment and we talked about some of this a couple of weeks ago on our Q3 call, but the absence of ROCTAVIAN revenues in the near term, Kuvan U.S. loss of market exclusivity just happened in October. And then the impact of COVID-19, which there are sort of 2 levels to that. One, is the weekly infusion that most of our enzyme replacement therapy products require was disrupted significantly early in the pandemic, although we've put in mitigations. Since then, pivoting to home infusion, alternative clinics, some clinics opening back up. So the weekly demand has largely stabilized, not quite back to baseline, but largely stabilized, but the impact we're going to feel from COVID into next year is going to be new patient starts. So whether it be patients pursuing new diagnosis or new therapies less aggressively during a pandemic or just healthcare resources being prioritized to the pandemic. We're going to continue to experience some revenue weakness into next year from COVID-19. So what we said is we're expecting -- we've been growing revenue substantially over the years, and we're planning on substantial revenue growth, but in light of those headwinds I just mentioned, we'll expect revenues next year to be roughly flat to this year. And so what that means when you look at -- through the rest of the OpEx lines and the dynamics of our P&L is that we'll likely revert to GAAP net losses again next year, but importantly, we do plan to earn positive and meaningful non-GAAP income, as I mentioned in the beginning, and positive operating cash flows. So to sum it up, I'd say, holding the line on revenues, operating expenses roughly flat as well. That's how we'll be able to continue to maintain that positive non-GAAP income, but importantly, making sure that we're resourcing the launch of vosoritide, getting ROCTAVIAN to the finish line, supporting the base business and then continuing to fund the early-stage pipeline. So a bit of a holding pattern until we get back to that rapid growth we were hoping, but holding the line and still having the healthy base business and building out the pipeline in the meantime.
Paul Matteis
analystOkay. Great. And I think we have time for one more question. So I will bug Hank with one more clinical question, if that's cool.
Henry Fuchs
executiveVery cool.
Paul Matteis
analystSo what do you think would be -- so if you look at your PKU preclinical data in the ENU2 mouse, it looks awesome. I think homology's preclinical data look pretty good, too. I'd be curious, if you agree? Their clinical data, what do you make of it so far? And what's the read-through onto your program, if at all, as it relates to the ability to get enough expression to lead to broad dietary freedom?
Henry Fuchs
executiveDose too low, need more. Got to get to a much more effective level of fee reduction for diet liberalization to be even plausible or meaningful. And it's -- I'm a little puzzled by the doses that they appear to select appear to be doses that are lower than the dose that was incompletely effective. So that's an interesting strategy, certainly going to favor safety. Although even that wasn't crystal clear from the lower dose. So I'm a little confused by the game plan there. I think for us, normal fee, normal diet is kind of the coin of the realm because we can get more than half of the population down in normal fees with liberalized IO with Palynziq. So if you want gene therapy and inherent uncertainties of gene therapy and the prophylactic steroids, you're going to have to do better than the current standard of care. So I was struck by how marginal their data were. Now maybe they can't make more or maybe they're concerned that more is going to be toxic, and we'll just have to see where we get to in terms of total dose for ROCTAVIAN. I mean for 307, the good news, we have a lot of capsid experience. So in so far as the big safety problems that people have been observing are pretty much capsid-related initially. We feel pretty good about that. Now if we have to go to a higher dose, that will be a new zone for us.
Paul Matteis
analystYes. Yes. Okay. Very good. Well, thank you both for joining. Really appreciate it.
Henry Fuchs
executiveSure thing, Paul.
Brian Mueller
executiveThank you, Paul. Appreciate it.
Paul Matteis
analystThank you. Have a good one.
Henry Fuchs
executiveYes. Cheers.
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