Boston Scientific Corporation (BSX) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
February 25, 2021
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Danielle Antalffy
analystGreat. Good morning, everyone. Thank you so much for joining us for our Annual SVB Leerink Healthcare Conference. I'm Danielle Antalffy. I'm one of the senior med tech analysts here at Leerink, and we are very lucky to have with us, from Boston Scientific, CFO, Dan Brennan; and also Head of Investor Relations, Susie Lisa. So Dan, why don't we -- first of all, thank you for joining.
Daniel Brennan
executiveThanks for the invite.
Susan Lisa
executiveThank you.
Daniel Brennan
executivePleasure to be here. Look forward to this every year.
Danielle Antalffy
analystIt's not often that I talk to Bruins' fans, so -- but I make an exception for you, Dan.
Daniel Brennan
executiveThat's -- I'm touched.
Danielle Antalffy
analystAll right. So let's not talk hockey. I won't get off topic. Let's talk 2021 guidance. And Boston Scientific did provide a wider range than normal for 2021.
Danielle Antalffy
analystCan you walk us through what scenarios would need to unfold when you're thinking about the low end versus the high end, and any context you can give? You did give this guidance a few weeks ago, so sort of any context you can give around how things have unfolded since you gave guidance.
Daniel Brennan
executiveSure. I can do that. So on February 3, we gave our guidance, and we discussed the expectations for COVID impact in Q1, similar to what it was in Q4, although a bit inverted, right, because Q4 tailed off. We had talked about October, we grew a bit. November, we were kind of flat, and then December was really the driver of the down quarter. And then the goal in our guidance was that, it kind of reverse in Q1. The January would be the worst, I think we would come out of that as we move into February and March. And then Q2 would be better than Q1. And then the second half would return to what we're calling more normalized volumes, where you might see some growth versus 2019 in procedures. So I won't comment specifically on the first quarter other than to say, we all read the same headlines around vaccines and declining case counts. Obviously, the weather in the Southwest and the like and our goal when we gave guidance was to have a wider range to consider those potential puts and takes. So it's -- obviously, there are puts and takes in the quarter, but by giving a wider range, we hope to capture those.
Danielle Antalffy
analystGot it.
Daniel Brennan
executiveAnd then in terms of what would put us at the higher or the lower end of a range, I mean, simply put, it's COVID in the short term, right? I mean it's -- that's why we have a wider range, is COVID. And longer term, when we get kind of back to the more fundamentals, hopefully, in the back half of this year relative to growth versus '19, then you'd have -- the execution on our launches and our new products, I think, rise to the top, and we're looking forward to that.
Danielle Antalffy
analystOkay. Got it. That's helpful. I want to ask a high-level question. So you guys had a number of years of outperformance, but BSX has had a tough stretch here over the last few quarters. COVID did not help that, of course, but you also had the LOTUS program that was terminated. That was a key focus for investors. Maybe -- in my view, maybe a little bit overdone. I think that you will still be very much a player in TAVR. We can talk about that later, though, if we get to it. But I guess one of the questions that there is, is whether anything has fundamentally changed at Boston Scientific from an R&D productivity perspective? I mean Boston Scientific has earned the reputation of being one of the most prolific R&D engines in large-cap med tech with a lot of success on both internal and external development. And I mean maybe you look at LOTUS as a case study, what went wrong there that was -- the Sadra acquisition, you made that acquisition, gosh, was it like a decade ago or something like that? So hindsight's 20/20, but what could you say at Boston Scientific could have done or should have done differently? And how will you implement changes to ensure that the R&D engine's back on track for this future?
Daniel Brennan
executiveYes. You referred to it as a prolific engine. And I would say that, that engine is alive and well and positioned firmly on the tracks. The culture of innovation that we have is strong. We spend a lot of time as leadership ensuring that's the case and that it remains strong. And the way you opened with COVID, you're certainly correct. COVID has not been a friend to Boston Scientific. We don't have a lot of COVID tailwinds as a company. That's okay because we all believe we're approaching a post-COVID world. And where it's all about fundamentals, pipeline, innovation and execution, and I think that's where the Boston Scientific culture and team shines is in that environment. So specific to LOTUS, the discontinuation of LOTUS Edge was based on complexities associated with the delivery system, given the additional time and investment required to develop and reintroduce an enhanced delivery system, we made the decision to retire the entire LOTUS platform. And so we've made that. That decision's behind us. But I don't think it casts any different lens on the innovation culture at Boston Scientific. When you look at all the other R&D capabilities and things we've done as evidenced by multiple new products, launches in 2020 and here in 2021 around WATCHMAN FLX, the work we've done in single-use scopes, around EXALT-D, LithoVue, Spy Discover and our MedSurg, endo and neuro franchises. we've got new launches in both of our neuromodulation businesses in WaveWriter Alpha in SCS and Vercise Genus in DBS. We've got ACURATE neo2 launching in Europe. We've got LUX-Dx and DirectSense in our CRM franchises. And we've got a new generation of SpaceOAR in our Uro/PH. So I would say for those that are -- that would cast doubt on the innovation culture, I think we -- it's firmly alive and well and on the tracks.
Danielle Antalffy
analystOkay. That's great to hear. Can I ask 2 quick follow-up questions there? The first one, I'm not sure if you're going to be able to answer, but would you have terminated the LOTUS program if you guys did not have ACURATE as well?
Daniel Brennan
executiveAll of that goes into the decision-making process that we had, so I wouldn't comment specifically on what all the factors were. But obviously, it's nice to have another valve. We had a dual valve strategy, and now we're focused on ACURATE going forward.
Danielle Antalffy
analystOkay. Got it. And I actually forgot my second question, so lucked out. I might remember it later. So all right, so let's shift gears to long-term growth guidance. And you guys have talked about this, so hopefully, we can dig into it a little bit. But with LOTUS, the LOTUS program terminated, can you help bridge us to the 6% to 8% long-term sales growth guidance from where we were in 2020? And I know this is almost impossible to do, but if you can, like, shine a lens on sort of what underlying growth might have been in 2020 were it not for COVID, if that's a good place to start or use 2019 as a base? Just help us get there now that you do have a delay in getting a TAVR device to market.
Daniel Brennan
executiveI think, Susie, you've answered that question a lot. Why don't you take that one?
Susan Lisa
executiveSure. Thanks, Danielle. And I guess, maybe to start by pointing out the track record, right, including '19, even with some pretty significant headwinds that I'll go into, we ended up growing just over 7% organically, and that was consistent with that 7% organic growth rate in the prior 2 years as well. So kind of what are the pieces of that 6% to 8% and why do we think ex-pandemic, that's who we are. First, you start with the underlying markets that we address, and we think those ex-pandemic are kind of 5%, 6% growth market, strong demographics with an aging population, increasing incidence of disease and disease prevalence. Obviously, you also have emerging markets growth and improving standard of care. And then overall, what our portfolio is trying to do is drive interventional techniques that help shorten length of stay and accelerate recoveries, and we think that's consistent with broader trends in healthcare to move away from open surgeries to interventional procedures. And then within that, I think that we've proven that our innovation and that category leadership strategy combined position us to be able to continue to grow above market. Again, I mentioned the historical kind of 7% growth rate, and that was without a significant contribution from TAVR broadly, and particularly in the U.S., pretty minimal. And I think we see really good long-term opportunities for higher-growth markets like the BTG Interventional Medicines business. We continue adding things like the ambulatory ECG market opportunity for us with the Preventice acquisition, and all the same while we're reducing our exposure to lower growth markets like drug-eluting stents and CRM, which were just about 25% of sales in 2020. So I think another way to think about it is, if you're looking at -- we've talked about that flat to plus 5% growth for '21 versus 2019, right, and the headwinds that we faced in 2019 that we no longer face in 2021, I would say is our lessening paclitaxel headwind from FDA as you continue to see longer-term data sets that -- with that. And then we've got a new launch in the U.S. with Ranger Drug-Coated Balloon and NTAP and Eluvia. You also don't have the mesh withdrawal headwind that we worked through in 2019, and we believe we're back on kind of stronger footing from the spinal cord stim market slowdown that you saw in '19. And then the headwinds that you do face in 2021, right, do include CRM and drug-eluting stent price pressure and slower growth markets. And then you have the LOTUS withdrawal, and we talked about that being sort of a $50 million headwind. But then you have lots of other tailwinds in '21 and beyond to get to your 6% to 8% growth question. And in the near term, it's things like WATCHMAN FLX and POLARx and EXALT-D and the strength of that fully-integrated interventional medicines business from BTG and new launches in -- as Dan talked about, new launches in spinal cord stim and in deep-brain simulation, exciting other launches in EP, et cetera, et cetera. So I think we feel good about the picture overall, both for '21 and then beyond.
Danielle Antalffy
analystOkay. All right. That's helpful. And I personally think the product story is the story at Boston Scientific. So hopefully, we can get to operating leverage and capital deployment at the end of the convo, but I actually want to stick with the product story, if that's okay. And just going back, I now remember what I was going to say about LOTUS. I was going to ask you, is the right way to think about that. You guys, I imagine, terminate programs all the time. This just happened to be a very high-profile one that had gotten a little further -- that happened a little later in the life cycle than normally would have been. Is that like kind of the right way to think about it?
Daniel Brennan
executiveI think that's fair. Obviously, we -- it's part of managing an overall global portfolio. And so I think that's a fair commentary.
Danielle Antalffy
analystYes. Okay, okay. All right. So just on the products, so you -- Susie, you alluded to the Preventice -- or mentioned Preventice and BTG. Just looking at the Preventice product offering, can you talk a little bit about how additive and complementary that is to Boston's product portfolio? And I'm most interested in 2 things: number one, to hear how it strengthens Boston's competitive positioning; but then also number two, is this the type of acquisition to look at as COVID has sort of raised awareness around remote monitoring, sort of what might be a more permanent shift in delivery of health care, was this an offensive acquisition in that regard?
Susan Lisa
executiveSo I'll start there. But I think, Danielle, we have -- this was a very long view investment for us, right? We had initially taken an equity stake back in 2015 and so Preventice is as an example yet again of our venture capital portfolio at work. And I think we are really excited about the thought of sort of the broader scope and capabilities of diagnostics and services that complement the HeartLogic Heart Failure Diagnostic that we have on our implantable defibrillators, right, that can -- it's the only FDA-approved alert for an impending heart failure event. And then with our recent launch into the implantable credit monitor market with LUX-Dx. And so we see the synergies of kind of addressing patient needs from the beginning, when you need your ambulatory ECG test all the way to maybe your next step is an ICM, ultimately, potentially to needing an implant or an ablation type of procedure. And from a sales synergy standpoint, our EP reps are very narrowly focused on a handful of EPs, but go a mile deep with them. And the Preventice scheme, alternatively, is kind of a mile wide and an inch deep, covering a broad range of implanters, and that's what will help with our ICM rollout, because it's not always an EP doing that implant. And conversely, we think we can make introductions with our strong relationships and help drive Preventice penetration. So we see that ECG and ICM kind of diagnostics market is a $2 billion market growing double digits. Preventice has a broad portfolio, some unique features about offering all 4 testing modalities in 1 device, which is attractive to payers. And so we're really excited about the long-term opportunity and see this accretive to growth. And then we talked suffering through a little bit dilution given where it is in its life cycle, but then accretive by at least $0.01 in '22.
Danielle Antalffy
analystOkay. Got it. All right. And then shifting gears to BTG, so that acquisition, I think, was made at this point. Was it 1 year, 2.5 years ago? I can't remember.
Daniel Brennan
executiveAugust of '19.
Danielle Antalffy
analystOkay. Yes. Okay. So how has the BTG acquisition so far stacked up relative to your internal expectations, again, if this is possible, but ex-COVID? And have you seen anything that surprised meaningfully through the upside or downside as it relates to BTG, whether it's execution, product portfolio, what have you?
Daniel Brennan
executiveYes. This is one, Danielle, that actually has had -- COVID has had less impact on that franchise. So when you look at the interventional medicines business overall, it grew high single digits in Q3, and it grew 12% in Q4. And this is a book of business that's in and around $400 million, so it matters. I think some people have struggled with that acquisition over time, just with all the other pieces of it, the Zytiga royalty, the spec pharma business, and so now with all the accounting done, what we basically have is the gem that we were looking for as part of the acquisition. And it is, again, in and around $400 million business that grew double digits in BTG's hands. I just gave you the numbers for Q3 and Q4, which I think bodes well for '21 and beyond for that business. And it came with $175 million of synergies all cost and revenue synergies on top of that, and the price was a little bit north of $2.6 billion when you subtract what we got for the other businesses that we divested. So those comps feel good to me, particularly with where we are with that business. And I think for me, it's a bit analogous to when we acquired the AMS business for our urology division, and it really helped transform and drive a big category leadership strategy for urology. And I think this is going to have the same impact on PI. In addition, PI has a lot of great launches and new products of their own. We can talk more about Eluvia and Ranger from a drug-eluting stent and a drug-coated balloon perspective, but the addition of that business really strengthened our oncology portfolio, arterial and venous are doing well. I'm hard pressed to think that PI won't be either one of the fastest or our fastest-growing division here in '21 and maybe beyond. So I'm even more excited now about the acquisition than I was back in August of '19.
Danielle Antalffy
analystOkay. That's great to hear. All right, switching gears to WATCHMAN. So this has been your highest growth product. You do have a competitor that will release clinical data at some point later this year, presumably will come to market in the U.S. later this year. Can you talk about how we should think first about the mid- to long-term growth trajectory of WATCHMAN when we factor in the potential competition, but then you also are pursuing indication expansion. So help us sort of frame the, "I care less right now about the very near-term," and more, call it, over the next 3 to 5 years, given those 2 dynamics.
Susan Lisa
executiveYes. Thanks for that focus, because I think we see a really long runway for growth and continue to have a tremendous focus on building out the body of clinical evidence and expanding indications, as you said, Danielle. So we have discussed in kind of a core indication, right? We're still probably low to mid-single-digit penetration. And kind of every percentage point penetration into that market, which is nonvalvular afib, high-risk of stroke and then not well controlled on oral anticoagulants, that every percentage point or so is about $250 million. We've talked, longer-term, about $1.5 billion market opportunity for the left atrial appendage closure market by the '24 time frame and $3 billion by 2026. And as you start to layer into the latter years of that time frame, you're starting to include potentially some benefit from the OPTION study, which is a head-to-head study on a new patient population who have afib, they get an ablation procedure to treat it. They're typically a younger patient population. They're cured of their afib, but then they're told to go get oral anti-coags, stay on oral anti-coagulants for the rest of their lives. So we think it's a motivated younger patient population that'll really seek out an alternative to reducing risk of stroke and coming off oral anti-coagulants. That's OPTION. And then longer term, even beyond that '26 time frame, is an even larger patient population where we're launching the CHAMPION study, which looks at first-line therapy versus DOAC. For OPTION, it's probably 300,000 or so patients alone, post afib ablation in the U.S. alone; and CHAMPION, you get some really, really large numbers, but that's even beyond that $3 billion market opportunity. And I think what we've seen in addition to that clinical work were at FLX springs in terms of the ease of use, the 100% seal at 12 months, the tremendous safety data, it's fully -- there's no longer any tines for tuning. It's essentially a ball and easy to place in the NAC like a cork in a wine bottle of the left atrial appendage. I think that is encouraging existing positions to increase their usage and then also new physicians at existing centers to adopt the therapy as well, given that ease of use. And a big part of our messaging ahead of competition, in addition to the move to consignment which we can go into, is sort of why risk the switch given the performance, the ease of use and then just the data that you've seen with FLX in terms of its efficacy and safety profile.
Danielle Antalffy
analystYes. So my next question was going to be around the competitive moats. And you touched on those, Susie. So walk us through those. So one is consignment, how does that drive -- or add to the competitive moat that you're building around it and maybe a little bit more about how you'll be differentiated versus the competition? Of course, we haven't even have the data yet, so let's see what the data says but...
Susan Lisa
executiveYes, I think we do need to see the data. But recall, again, their study is randomized to our older generation device and the PINNACLE FLX data that was the IDE that was used for approval is the one where you had I think 98.5% success rate and then that 100% rate of seal at 12 months and very, very low adverse event rates. But the work we've been doing since launching in 2015 in terms of market development, direct-to-patient outreach, direct-to-refer outreach, software tools to help drive that as well as to help hospitals manage patient's initial referral to implant to 45 days post when you come off your oral anti-coagulants, all that work as well as launching a next-gen and continuing to support the practices, while I think, having a very measured rollout and a focus on training and outcomes, I think, has, we believe, engendered a lot of loyalty there. And I think FLX really is a differentiator. Again, I think we'll at least make it worth asking, is it worth the risk of shifting to a 2-part device that may be a little more complex that I'm less familiar with. And then consignment, what we aim to do with that and we're successful is that we were able to, because of the success of the customers of FLX lock up, we could get volume commitments. We could get share commitments. We could get extended duration. And then all of that, in many cases, at a slight price premium, and I think that points to the strength of the product. So consignment is the industry standard. I know there's a lot of confusion around it, but I think by moving to that, we removed 1 potential tool in the Amulet arsenal, and we think we're in really good position for competition. But it is much more so about market penetration, market growth and expansion.
Danielle Antalffy
analystAgree. Got it. Okay. All right. Can I ask a question on CRM? I know this is a slower growth business and -- but CRM is still relatively meaningful. I think it's still double-digit percentage of total sales, something around, what is it, 15-ish percent? I'm just making that up off the top of my head, but...
Daniel Brennan
executiveYes. A little more than that, yes. Yes.
Danielle Antalffy
analystOkay. Okay. It feels like this business has been a bit of an underperformer of late, tell me if I'm mischaracterizing that for sure. But can you talk about whether anything's fundamentally changed within the CRM market from a growth and/or a competitive perspective for Boston Scientific? I don't know if this is for you, Susie or Dan.
Daniel Brennan
executiveI can take that one, Susie. So in terms of the overall CRM market, if you look over time, it's generally a flat market. There are times when it's down low-single digits. There are times it's in up low single digits. But in general, I would characterize that as a relatively flat market. Over the past few years, as a general rule, we have eked out some low single-digit growth overall in that franchise from share gains on the high-voltage side and either holding share or ceding some share on the pacing side, particularly with the advent of the leadless pacers that we don't currently yet have in our portfolio. We'll be in the clinic this year, but we don't have one on the market. And so that's largely playing out as expected, except that the slight change we had this year is as opposed to saying, we're going to outgrow that market and eke out some growth. We said, you know what, we're probably going to be in line with market. So whatever we get in defib, because defib is obviously a much bigger market than pacer, will probably be offset in the share that we cede in pacers. And so we're largely thinking of that as a flat market and us being flat in that market. So that's overall where we are with that. Not a surprise, it's factored into the 6% to 8% that Susie talked about earlier, so it's not a surprise. We do have LUX-Dx, the implantable cardiac monitor, which is a probably an approaching $1 billion market that we think we're going to do very well in and are currently doing very well in. So there are opportunities there. And the Preventice acquisition as well is part of that to be able to -- and Susie went through that. So I think there's reasons for some cautious optimism about the opportunities there, but it isn't one that we look at in the overall portfolio and say, this one's going to be accretive to that 6% to 8% we talk about. We realize that others will have to be above that range, and I think we have the portfolio in place to do that.
Danielle Antalffy
analystUnderstood. Okay. So probably not a fair characterization to say it's "underperforming," then. Just maybe relative to what you've done historically?
Daniel Brennan
executiveYes, I wasn't going to correct you, but yes. I think it's performing in line with our expectations.
Danielle Antalffy
analystYou should correct me.
Daniel Brennan
executiveIt's performing in line with our expectations of how we laid them out.
Danielle Antalffy
analystOkay. Got it. All right. So I think we do have about 5 minutes left. So Dan, I do want to ask you about operating leverage. You've had a few years, of course, ex-COVID, I'm tired of saying that, honestly, but -- of meaningful improvement. Can you talk about where -- or maybe like using the baseball analogy, what inning Boston Scientific is in from a margin expansion perspective? And what are the drivers from here of incremental margin expansion? Does it all come down to pipeline execution? Or is there more that can happen beyond that?
Daniel Brennan
executiveSo baseball analogy, I'm not sure what inning it is, but I think you should probably stay in your seat in the stadium because there's still a lot of baseball left to be played, Danielle.
Danielle Antalffy
analystAre we doing the wave?
Daniel Brennan
executiveI don't -- I'm not -- I don't think you've had your crackerjacks yet. I think there's plenty of baseball left to be played. And it really -- it gets to the foundation of the culture of the company. And you look back, going from 18% to 26.1% over the time frame, 2019 was 26.1%. Obviously, COVID has kind of put a stick in the spokes of that there in 2020, but we were very clear on our guidance that we gave on February 3, that our goal for the second half of this year is to get back to north of where we were in 2019. That was a question we've gotten a lot over the last 6 to 9 months, so hopefully answered, with the goal of being north of 26.1% operating margin in the second half of '21. And not for nothing, that coincides with what we believe is more normalized volumes. And so they -- it's highly correlated. There's no substitute for a durably consistently growing top line. And when we've had that, for the many years prior to that, the team has done a great job of continuing to expand operating margins. I think the one change you might see is gross margin had done a lot of that heavy lifting over time. And we had invested in SG&A and things like the emerging markets and other areas where we were a bit late to the party. With the gross margin of 72.4%, which was the component when we were 26.1% overall operating margin in 2019. I don't think we'll get back to that this year. That's okay, because the SG&A world, I think we have more than enough opportunity to offset that and get back north of that 26.1%. We have the plans in place. We have some COVID-specific things in the manufacturing world, like higher freight expenses and some protocols in the plants to keep all of our employees and team members safe. So those -- I believe those are temporary. Those are not going to be around for the long term. So as the team has done for many years, it's about managing the trade-offs within the P&L and making sure that you deliver consistent operating margin expansion. And as we look at the second half and beyond, that's our goal. And I think we have a good track record of having done it.
Danielle Antalffy
analystOkay. Perfect. And last question, we only have like a minute, but you topped that, so I'm going to ask this question. Is there anything you believe that investors underappreciate about the Boston story? When I asked this question 2 years ago, I think the answer would have been the MedSurg business, and it feels like people pretty well appreciate MedSurg at this point. So what would you say today? It could still be MedSurg, but I'm just...
Daniel Brennan
executiveNo. I think it's actually -- it's broader and more high-level now. I think it's simple. Since the beginning of 2020, COVID has certainly impacted our financial performance. But as we get to a post-COVID world, which I think now is measured in months and quarters, not years, as we would have potentially thought back in the March time frame last year, the BSX team is energized for the future. The culture of innovation and winning spirit, as I mentioned, is alive and well, and we're focused on achieving historical goals of consistent top-tier revenue growth and operating margin expansion.
Danielle Antalffy
analystOkay. Well, that is a perfect place to end, I think. So everyone, thank you for joining us. Dan, Susie, thank you so much.
Daniel Brennan
executiveThanks, Danielle. I appreciate it.
Susan Lisa
executiveThanks, Danielle. Take care.
Danielle Antalffy
analystBye.
Daniel Brennan
executiveTake care.
Read the full transcript via the API
You're viewing the first half of this call. Get the complete Boston Scientific Corporation transcript — plus 251,000+ transcripts from 12,000+ companies, speaker segments, AI summaries and full-text search — through the EarningsCalls.dev API.
Get the API View API docs →For developers and AI pipelines
Programmatic access to Boston Scientific Corporation earnings transcripts and 251,000+ others is available through the
EarningsCalls.dev REST API. Plans from $24.99/month — full transcripts, speaker segments,
full-text search, and the recently-added /api/v1/transcripts/recent polling endpoint for ETL pipelines.