BTS Group Holdings Public Company Limited (BTS) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

February 18, 2021

Stock Exchange of Thailand TH Industrials Ground Transportation earnings 34 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Pornprasert Kumwingworn

executive
#1

[Foreign Language]

Daniel Ross

executive
#2

Thanks [indiscernible]. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome once again to the analyst conference for the third quarter this year. We'll start off with a review of some of the sustainability recognition that the group has received once again. Since the last quarter, we were very proud to have been included in the S&P Global Yearbook and the only company within the transportation and transportation infrastructure sector to be awarded a Gold Class following up also on the leading position given by DJSI. There are some other domestic and international recognition here. I won't go through them all, but needless to say that BTS Group continues to emphasize the importance of sustainability within its business model. If we now switch over on to the quarterly results. Some of the highlights, starting with the P&L. Operating revenue, THB 8.8 billion, down 2% Q-on-Q or down 15% year-on-year. Recurring EBITDA THB 2.7 billion, down 28% year-on-year and up 33% Q-on-Q and net profit of THB 1.7 billion, down 32% year-on-year and up 120% Q-on-Q. You see a clear pattern there in terms of the year-on-year numbers are still quite down between 15% to 30%, but the Q-on-Q numbers turning to positive, showing -- demonstrating that the momentum and the recovery is turning in our favor. On the financial position, our balance sheet remains strong. Cash and liquid investments of THB 20.1 billion. Indeed, that's stronger, significantly stronger than 3 months ago when it was at THB 12.3 billion. And low leverage reflected with an adjusted net debt-to-equity of 1.21. And again, once -- that's down from a high leverage of 1.31 last quarter. So a stronger Q-on-Q position on the balance sheet also. In terms of the cash flow, it's a similar pattern really that we've seen for several years now where we've been talking about increased leveraging, financing the investment in our Mass Transit and the transportation expansion. There's no difference that for this 9 months, you see increase in long-term loans and debenture of about THB 19 billion, investing in Pink, Yellow and Green Lines of about THB 18 billion. One difference that we have seen in the last 9 months, however, is that we've raised cash from the sale of land and also a stake in VGI in the amount of almost THB 13 billion, showing our ability to tap in on some long-term assets and investments that we've made over the years at times of need. On to the P&L summary on the next page. Operating revenue, as I mentioned, THB 8.7 billion, down 2% Q-on-Q, but down 15% year-on-year. The year-on-year numbers there, you can see in the bottom right-hand corner in the chart, the key contributor to the downturn year-on-year is THB 1.1 billion from the Media business. As you know, that business is much more exposed to the cyclicality and the consumption weakness. Mass Transit, if you can see it, actually pretty much flat year-on-year, showing a very good strength there as a result of not relying on ticket revenue, but actually getting most of the revenue from operating income and development income. Recurring EBITDA was 28% down year-on-year to THB 2.6 billion, but up 33% Q-on-Q to THB 2.0 billion. Net income, THB 1.68 billion, down 32% year-over-year and up 120% Q-on-Q. The margins for this quarter, 18% for operating profit margin, EBITDA, 30% and net profit margin, 18%. All of those up compared to the previous quarter as a result of that recovery in the business that we mentioned. For the third quarter, our operating revenue breakdown is at Mass Transit 89% and Media at 8%. Switching over to the cash flow statement. We started with a THB 3 billion cash balance at the start of the year and ended up with a THB 5 billion cash on the 31st of December, so a slight improvement there. What's happened in between? Well, CFO has represented a drain of cash of around about THB 15.7 billion. Adding to that, cash flow from investing is also draining cash of THB 6.4 billion. The key contributors are investments in the Pink and Yellow Lines of THB 9 billion. There were also about THB 8 billion worth of investments in subsidiaries, associates and joint ventures, but mainly for the Mo Chit Land acquisition as well as investments in Kerry Express, U-Tapao and the motorway project. Offsetting that was cash received from our sale of investments. It was actually from essentially a land sale, which is the Bayswater land in the first quarter of this year as well as net cash received from sale of investment in financial assets of around THB 3.4 billion. So where did we fund that shortfall from in the financing cash flow, to see a THB 24 billion use -- cash provided primarily from leverage, essentially, THB 20 billion is from leverage, about THB 15.7 billion is from long-term loans related to the Pink and Yellow line, but there was also an THB 8.6 billion issuance of green bonds, so net THB 3.6 billion debenture issuance this year. And then in addition to that, as I mentioned earlier, we received cash from investments in subsidiaries from the sale of investments in subsidiaries, THB 8.1 billion, mainly from the sale of VGI shares and the company was to continue to be able to pay a dividend payment of THB 3.9 billion in May and August 2020. So this obviously doesn't include the dividend payment paid in February, leaving with us a cash balance of THB 5 billion. And if you add the liquid investments, that would take us to a healthy position of around THB 20 billion cash and liquid investments. Now for the segmental portion, I'll hand over to [ Jane ].

Sataporn Vongphaibul

executive
#3

Thank you, Khun Daniel, and good afternoon, everyone. For segmental performance, we will start with the Mass Transit business on Page 8. In the third quarter of fiscal year 2020/20 (sic) [ 2020/21 ], we recorded total Mass Transit revenue of THB 7.8 billion, remained stable year-on-year, and the bar chart on the bottom left-hand side shows that 81% of total Mass Transit revenue was from revenue from development of new lines of THB 6.3 billion comprising of THB 5.1 billion from construction revenue for the Pink and Yellow Lines, which decreased by THB 0.5 billion year-on-year and another THB 1.3 billion was from services income for the provision of E&M works and the train procurement service for Green Line extensions, which declined by THB 0.9 billion year-on-year as we enter in the current stage of development. O&M revenue accounted for 17% of total Mass Transit revenue or THB 1.3 billion. This represents a growth of 42% or THB 392 million from last year. This was mainly due to the full operation of the Northern Green Line extension in December 2020. And on the cost side, Mass Transit cost also fell by 4% or THB 297 million to THB 6.6 billion from lower recognition of services costs for the provision of E&M works and the train procurement service for the Green Line extensions. And during this quarter, we recognized an increase in Mass Transit-related interest income of 11% or THB 72 million year-on-year to THB 718 million. This was largely on account of interest income from receivables related to the Pink and Yellow Lines. And share of profit from investment in BTSGIF for this quarter stood at THB 130 million, declining by 37% or THB 77 million from last year following the impact from the COVID-19 pandemic. Recurring EBITDA for Mass Transit business -- recurring EBITDA margin for Mass Transit business increased to 26.7% from 22.8% in the previous year due to higher O&M recognition as well as higher Mass Transit-related interest income. Now moving on to the Media business. Media revenue in this quarter was THB 674 million, decreasing by 63% year-on-year, mainly due to the deconsolidation of MACO as well as the impact from the COVID-19 pandemic. Out-of-Home Media accounted for 68% of total Media revenue or THB 458 million, dropping by 62% or THB 747 million, largely due to the deconsolidation of MACO and also the impact from the pandemic. While Digital Services business contributed 32% of total Media revenue or THB 216 million. This was mainly from a decline in project management revenue as well as the online advertising following the low demand on advertising and marketing spending. And on the cost side, Media cost stood at THB 300 million, dropping by 63% year-on-year or THB 508 million. And the last one is the Property business. Total Property revenue in the third quarter stood at THB 57 million, a decrease of 50% or THB 56 million from last year, chiefly from lower commercial revenues and property costs also decreased by 11% or THB 10 million to THB 79 million. And in the third quarter of this fiscal year, we recognized share of loss from investment in U City of THB 1,289 million compared to a share of profit of THB 1,279 million in the previous year, mainly from: first, the recognition of U City's impairment assets of THB 1,429 million; second, no repeat recognition of the gain of THB 1,118 million from the sale of Mo Chit Land in the third quarter of fiscal year 2019/'20; third, the decrease in revenue from total operations as a result of the impact of COVID-19 pandemic, being partially offset by a gain from U City's disposal of all ordinary shares in 9 joint ventures to Sansiri in November 2020. Now moving on to the financial position. As of 31st of December 2020, our total assets stood at THB 206 billion, increasing by THB 33 billion or 19% from 31st of March 2020. The increase was mainly from an increase in other financial assets and right-of-use of assets of THB 25 billion from the adoption of TFRS 9 and TFRS 16, an increase in receivables related to mass transit projects of THB 26.4 billion, an increase in investment properties of THB 4.7 billion, mainly from the acquisition of Mo Chit Land in October 2020 as well as higher cash and cash equivalents of THB 1.8 billion. But the increase was partly offset by a decrease in current investments in derivative instruments and other long-term investments of THB 20.7 billion from the adoption of TFRS 9, lower trade and other receivables of THB 3.7 billion, largely from receiving the last installment on the sales of Mo Chit Land as well as a decrease in advance to contractors and for acquisitions of assets of THB 1.1 billion. Total liabilities stood at THB 133 billion, increasing by 26% or THB 27 billion from 31st of March 2020. This was mainly from an increase in long-term loans from financial institutions of THB 15.6 billion due to the drawdown of syndicated loans in relation to the Pink and Yellow Lines, an increase in other financial liabilities and lease liabilities of THB 7 billion from the adoption of TFRS 9 and TFRS 16 as well as an increase in net long-term debentures of THB 3.5 billion due to the newly issued THB 8.6 billion green bond by BTS Group in November 2020, partially offset by the partial repayment of THB 5.1 billion from the first tranche of THB 9.5 billion debenture and THB 7 billion debenture. But the increase was partly offset by a decrease in trade and other payables of THB 1.2 billion. While total equity as of 31st of December stood at THB 73 billion, increasing by 8% or THB 5.8 billion, mainly from an increase in surplus from the changes in the ownership interest in subsidiaries of THB 4.5 billion and a controlling interest in subsidiaries of THB 2.7 billion, mainly as a result of the decline in our shareholding in VGI. However, the increase was partially offset by a decrease in retained earnings of THB 1.4 billion, mainly from the special dividend payment in May 2020 and also final dividend payment in August 2020. And our leverage position remain low adjusted net debt of 1.21x from adjusted net debt of THB 88 billion in this quarter. So now I will hand over to Khun Pornprasert for business update.

Pornprasert Kumwingworn

executive
#4

Thank you, Khun Sataporn. Good afternoon, analysts and fund managers. For the business update, I would like to start with our latest transaction in December last year. Following the sale of 3 land plots in Thana City to the joint venture company, which comprised of Saha Pathana Inter-Holding with 41% shareholding, Noble Development, 40% shareholding and BTS Group with 19% shareholding. The company recorded net gain of THB 1.6 million. The main objective of this transaction is to increase cash and liquidity of the company during this challenging situation. Next on Mass Transit update. In December last year as well, the remaining 7 of 16 stations of Northern Green Line has begun the operation. So our total network, total of Green Line network already cover 60 stations and 67 kilometers, including the Saint Louis station, we just began the operation earlier this month. Moreover, the Gold Line Phase 1 also began the operation in December last year as well. And next for the Pink and Yellow Lines. The construction of both lines are underway with around 70% completed, and we expect some station to open later this year, and the full operation is targeted in 2022. And we have the good news on 9 of this month, February 2021, the cabinet has approved the extension of the Pink Line monorail, a distance of 3 kilometers. The Pink Line extension will be from Si Rat station to Muang Thong Thani's area, and you have 2 station, MT-01 and MT-02. The construction of this extension is targeted to take over 3 years, to complete in 2024. And these are the update on Mass Transit. So I will hand over to Khun Waritha for Media update.

Waritha Boonanegpat

executive
#5

So for VGI key business update in this quarter, I would like to separate into 2 parts. First, our payment business in the past quarter, Rabbit LINE Pay introduced app-to-app top-up service, which provide more convenience for Rabbit LINE Pay users by seamlessly connecting Rabbit LINE Pay mobile app with the 3 mobile banking applications, including SCB EASY, K PLUS, and KMA, which are also continue to experience strong user growth with 13.9 million Rabbit Card, increasing 10% year-on-year and 8 million Rabbit LINE Pay users, increasing 15% year-on-year. And next for our logistic platform. So mainly, which I introduced a new product development with Kerry Express called Driver Handover, which provide product samplings to be delivered and handled and fleet in consumer by Kerry Express couriers. This has allowed the company to grow along the lines of the e-commerce market, which is anticipated to grow rapidly and become a main business in Thailand. Since we acquired Kerry Express in 2018, we already have launched product synergies, which is currently including 1 million [indiscernible] stickers, 600,000 smart samplings, 500,000 Driver Handover and 1,100 [ points there ]. And for the next slide. On 24 December 2020, Kerry Express successfully listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand under the trading ticker, KEX, with the initial public offering of 300 million shares at THB 28 per share. Kerry Express as a result had a proceed of THB 8,111 million. In which this IPO was strongly supported by institutional investors who oversubscribed for 6,900 million shares. And on the first day of trading, Kerry Express share price opened at THB 65 per share, significantly increasing by 132% from IPO price and reached the highest price at THB 73 per share and market capitalization of around THB 89 billion. All in all, this successful showcase of Kerry Express IPO emphasize, which I outline in our strategy in providing the full marketing solution to create more effective campaigns for their clients and partners. And that's all for our VGI business update this quarter and half. I'd like to hand over to Khun Ton to update on Property.

Ton Jiropas

attendee
#6

So thank you, Khun Waritha. So for U City business update, the global hotel industry continued to struggle with the effect of COVID-19. Lower occupancy rates continue to lessen revenue and profitability. As you can see, the occupancy rate dropped by 40.5% year-on-year. Moreover, from November 2020 onwards, a second outbreak occurred and several European governments have implemented further control measures. As a result, the hotel business has been apparently affected across the entire industry. Most of the company hotel needed to be temporarily closed once again. This resulted in a significant decline in occupancy, income, profit and free cash flow from the hotel business. For the hotel status update, 35 hotels were temporarily closed in the fourth quarter of 2020, while 36 hotels were expected to reopen in April 2021. Next, in order to reserve liquidity, U City proposed to dispose some of the company's assets and subsidiary. The listed asset can be found on set news release on 15th of December 2020, 30th of January 2021 and 16th of February 2021. As a result, U City asset impairment from the decrease in the value of U City affected by COVID-19 situation for a total of THB 4,290 million. For the project under development, the restoration of the Customs House Roi Chak Sam project is progressing and is expected to complete in 2025. And the next quarter is the Unicorn project is progressing as planned with 27% completed and expected to complete in the second quarter of 2022. And that's it.

Pornprasert Kumwingworn

executive
#7

Okay. And then we will hand over to BTSGIF for business update.

Siriphen Wangdumrongves

executive
#8

Thank you. Good afternoon, everybody. Today, I will present the financial performance of BTSGIF for the third quarter of fiscal year. The third quarter total income of the fund was THB 806 million, down 36.8% year-on-year, but up 9.3% Q-on-Q. The income from investment in this revenue was THB 805 million, down 36.6% year-on-year, mainly from the impact of COVID-19 outbreak, but up 9.3% Q-on-Q, mainly from the relief of COVID-19 situation when compared with the previous quarter. Total expenses of the fund were THB 16.9 million, down 7.5% year-on-year and 13.8% Q-on-Q. The decrease was mainly from the decrease in fund management fee and no book-closure expense for distribution to unitholder as they had not been charged yet. Year-on-year decrease was partially offset by the reversion of the incentive fee last year. Net investment income was THB 789 million, down 37.2% year-on-year, but up 10% Q-on-Q. In this quarter, the fund recorded loss of investment of THB 2.96 billion from first, devaluation in the fair value of investment in NRTA of THB 2.9 billion; from the impact of new wave of COVID-19, resulting in the decrease in the forecast performance of business started in next quarter and next fiscal year; and a decrease in the remaining period of NRTA seconded in the recognition of the investment cost for Suksa Station from renowned assets at Wittaya station of THB 65.7 million. Changes in net asset resulting from operation were minus THB 2.17 billion, adding back assets liquidity from loss on investment of THB 2.9 billion, total distribution available to unitholder will be THB 724 million or THB 0.125, down 42% year-on-year, but up 3.3% Q-on-Q. For the performance of 9 months, total income of the fund was THB 1.7 billion, down 56% year-on-year from the decrease in income from investment in NRTA. Total expenses of the fund were THB 57 million, down 17.7% year-on-year, mainly from lower fund management fee and that also explain for distribution to unitholder together with no [ ATM ] expenses. Net investment income was THB 1.6 billion, down 56.7% year-on-year. The funding for loss on investment of THB 2.2 billion from first devaluation in the fair value of investment in NRTA of THB 2.1 billion and secondary commission of the investment cost for several station of THB 120 million. Changes in net asset resulting from operation is minus THB 599 million. Next slide is the income from investment in NRTA. In the third quarter, farebox revenue was THB 1.17 billion, decreasing 35.7% year-on-year, but increasing 2.2% Q-on-Q. Year-on-year decrease came from the decline in ridership from the impact of COVID-19 pandemic by 37.4% year-on-year, but was partially offset by the increase in average fare by 1.1% year-on-year from the removal of the discount on stored value card since April 2020. Q-on-Q increase came from the gradual recovery of ridership from the relief of COVID-19 pandemic by 2% Q-on-Q, but was partially offset by the increase in average fare by 0.2% Q-on-Q. For the O&M costs, O&M costs were THB 362 million, decreasing 33.6% year-on-year and 10.8% Q-on-Q. Year-on-year decrease came from the reduction in cost and partly explained from the [ bonus ] payment this quarter and lower allocation from BTS started extension -- expansion. Second, CapEx. There was station improvement of THB 10.5 million this quarter. And third, utility expense from lower ridership resulting in less electricity consumption and lower security expenses. Q-on-Q decrease came from lower employee expense from the low [ bonus ] payment this quarter but was partially offset by higher CapEx from station improvement of THB 10.5 million. Income from investment in NRTA was THB 805 million, down 36.6% year-on-year, but up 9.3% Q-on-Q. For next slide, for the 9-month performance, farebox revenue was THB 2.9 billion, decreasing 46.5% year-on-year as a result of the decrease in ridership by 48.2% year-on-year, mainly from the impact of COVID-19 situation, but was partially offset by the increase in average fare by 2.1% year-on-year from the removal of discount on stored value card. The O&M costs were THB 1.2 billion, increasing 23.2% year-on-year, mainly from the reduction in first CapEx. In this period, there was AFC system update of THB 32.9 million and station improvement of THB 15.6 million; second, the reduction in employee expense from lower [ bonus ] payment and allocation costs from the opening of Green Line extension; and third, lower utility expense for reducing operating hours during the COVID period and lower ridership resulting in less electricity consumption. Income from investment in NRTA was THB 1.7 billion, down 55.9% year-on-year. Next slide is the balance sheet of the fund. As of 31st December 2020, total assets stood at THB 51.4 billion. The main component were investment in NRTA of THB 50.3 billion, decreased by THB 2.9 billion from the previous quarter. Investment in securities and cash THB 875 million and other asset of THB 184 million. Net asset value was THB 51.3 billion, equivalent to THB 8.8598 per unit. As of 31st December, the fund had deficit of THB 5.5 billion, increase from deficit of THB 3.4 billion from the previous quarter from the loss from valuation. Next is the core network performance. In the third quarter, ridership was 39.4 million trips, representing 62.6% of ridership last year, down 37.4% year-on-year mainly from the impact of COVID-19 situation. Compared with the previous quarter, ridership rose by 2% Q-on-Q from the relief of COVID-19 pandemic during this quarter. Q-on-Q increase is lower than expectation, mainly because of the temporary closure of BTS operation from March during October '20 and the impact from new wave of COVID-19 situation since December last year. Average retail ridership in the third quarter was 516,000 trips, down 33.4% year-on-year, but up 3.7% Q-on-Q. Average fare in the third quarter was THB 29.6 per trip, increasing 1.1% year-on-year and 0.2% Q-on-Q. Year-on-year increase was mainly from the removal of the discount on stored value card to be the same fare as since April 2020, but was partially offset by higher proportion of mass ticket with generally cheaper average fare compared to other transport ticket. For 9 months, ridership decreased by 48% and average fare increased by 2.1% year-on-year. Next slide is the distribution. The fund announced the capital return for the third quarter of THB 0.125 per unit. Book-closure date is on 1st of March and payment date is on 15th of March. Note that the fund has retained a fleet of THB 5.5 billion as of December. Thus, there will be no dividend payment in this quarter. For the update of the Suksa Wittaya Station is the name of this station was changed to Saint Louis Station. It was begun the operation on 8th of February. However, it was not completely finished. The forecast of the work was 84% in December and 98% in 8th of February. There are remaining works such as the construction of walkway B, construction of a building wing or past innovation work and innovative work in front of [indiscernible]. The construction is expected to be finished at the end of March. That's all for BTSGIF. Thank you. The next one is the Q&A.

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