Bushveld Minerals Limited (BMN) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
September 26, 2023
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorGood day, and welcome to the Bushveld Minerals 2023 Interim Results Presentation. I'd now like to hand the call over to your host, Craig Coltman, Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead, sir.
Craig Coltman
executiveThank you, George, and good afternoon, and welcome to the presentation covering our interim results for the 6 months ended to June 2023. I'll soon hand over to our Finance Director, Tanya Chikanza, to talk through the period under review. But first, a few words on where we are with some of our initiatives we spoke about on the recent quarterly call. First of all, the improvement measures implemented at Vanchem early in my tenure are starting to bear fruit, evidenced by the increasing monthly production numbers. Since the implementation of these initiatives, Vanchem performance has improved. Producing 160 mtV in July and then a further 10% on top of that for August achieving 175 mtV. The average for July and August production represents a 63% improvement over the monthly average for the first 6 months of the year. August is also the highest production month since Bushveld Minerals took over the asset in 2019. Importantly, these measures were implemented safely without injuries. Now we want to see these initiatives be maintained sustainably over a longer period and for Vanchem to achieve the monthly rate of 180 mtV by the end of 2023. We maintain our revised production guidance of between 3.7 to 3.8 mtV, supported by improved operational performance at Vanchem. On the financing side of things, we continue to target the closing of the Orion transaction by December 2023, while the Southern Point Resources deal will put as much strong financial position, for us going forward. On that note, we have received in the order of $8 million in working capital funds, which forms part of that transaction. I'm happy to answer questions on these and any other matters at the end of the call. But first, I'd like to hand over to Tanya to run us through the first half year results. Tanya?
Tanyaradzwa Tsitsi Wendy Chikanza
executiveThank you, Craig, and good afternoon, everyone. For the half year to end June, we produced 1,784 mtV of Vanadium. Which was 9% higher than a year earlier. We also continued to sell down inventories, resulting in 2,096 mtV being sold in the period. Cost per unit sold was $33.4 per kgV. This represented a 12% decrease relative to the prior year, primarily as a result of higher sales volumes and a weaker Rand to the U.S. dollar exchange rate. Adjusted EBITDA profit was down 34% to $10.3 million due to a lower realized price, an increase in cost of sales and other operating costs. This had an effect on operating cash flows, which were negative $0.9 million. Taxes paid, as a result of the negative operating cash flow, the group ended the period with negative free cash flow of $2.7 million. We ended the first half of the year with $3.7 million in cash and cash equivalents. We are making progress on both the restructuring of the Oral convertible loan note and the Southern Point Resources transaction that Craig has just mentioned. Completion of these transactions will help strengthen the company's balance sheet and contribute towards the reduction of debt. Craig has already covered most of the points outlined in this slide. I will, however, weakly touch on the key ones. Given the ongoing improved operational performance in Vanchem and stability in Vametco, we have maintained our group production and cash flow guidance. Furthermore, the decision has been made to bring forward 8 days of maintenance for the Vanchem kiln in order to improve the Kiln's performance. As a result of the shutdown, we anticipate production of circa 130 mtV for the month of September. Moving on to Vametco. July's production of 132 mtV was affected by unexpected high rainfall levels which necessitated the plant stoppage due to constraints in the Barren Dam and the Sulphate Recovery Plant. Since then, production has been ramping up and during the month of August, Vametco produced 215 mtV. While progress has been made on the SRP performance in Barren Dam levels, Vametco has experienced reliability challenges at the leach plant. We are making progress in resolving the issues, however due to this event, Vametco is expected to produce 180 mtV in September. But from October, production is expected to return to the 200 mtV monthly run rate. Lastly, our efforts to maximize capital inefficiencies, reduce costs and simplify our business, we have reassessed the merits of pursuing the mining right application associated with Brits project. And concluded that we should not be pursuing it. With the Vametco's life of mine conservatively estimated in excess of 30 years, the company wants to focus its efforts on what we only have as secured assets. Turning to the income statement. The waterfall chart on this slide refers to those factors that impacted adjusted EBITDA in the period. The positive contribution from the increase in sales volumes was offset by the impact of lower Vanadium prices and increase in overall cost, resulting in the $5.3 million decrease in adjusted EBITDA to $10.3 million. I will go into more detail on the costs on the next slide. While an operating profit of $2.1 million was reported, this was $4 million lower than the prior year due to the lower realized sales prices, offset to some extent by high sales volumes. As you can see, other big contributors to the $12.5 million net loss were the increased finance costs of $7.1 million, primarily due to the interest on the Orion Production Finance agreement and Orion convertible loan notes. The $3.4 million in other losses related to the fair value loss recognized on the Mustang convertible loan notes and the additional funding provided to [sell ]. So jumping into the cost side of this. The group cost per unit sold for the half year including sustaining capital expenditure was $33.4 per kgV. This represented 12% improvement relative to the prior year as a result of the higher sales volumes of 2,096 mtV, which I mentioned earlier. Fueled by the inventory sales and a weaker exchange rate and partially offset by the increase in cost of sales and other operating costs. Cost of sales increased due to several factors, including an increase in volumes sold, increases in use in prices of raw materials, higher maintenance costs at both Vametco and Vanchem, due to plant breakdowns during the period. And higher energy costs due to the increased prices as well as an increase in diesel usage, due to the unscheduled power disruptions at Vanchem. Other operating costs increased by $2.2 million due to items such as higher distribution costs on account of the higher sales, an increase idle plant costs and the write-down of work-in-progress inventory in Vanchem of around $1.3 million. Looking at the cash flow and capital expenditure. In the 6-month period, the group had a cash outflow from the operating activities of $0.9 million, compared with operating cash inflow of $8.7 million a year ago. This outflow, along with capital expenditure incurred of $4.3 million, the $2.2 million payment of finance costs on the Orion production finance, were the main factors behind the decrease in overall cash and cash equivalents to the $3.7 million. Capital expenditures was almost half of the prior year period as in 2022, we marked the end of a substantive capital investment phase, during which we had to do extensive refurbishment and optimization of Vametco and Vanchem and constructed the BELCO electrolyte plant. Turning to debt. Total debt, excluding lease liabilities of $87.9 million increased by $4.8 million compared to the previous year, primarily due to the capitalization of interest of $6.3 million. Proceeds received an additional funding from Nesa and the IDC of $1.3 million. All of this was partially offset by the repayment of finance cost to the Orion PSA of $2.2 million. Net debt increased by $11.1 million compared to the prior year, primarily due to the factors I just mentioned and the decrease in the cash and cash equivalent balance of $3.7 million to $3.7 million. The funding from the Southern Point Resources transaction will provide the opportunity to regear the balance sheet by retiring either entirely or partially certain existing financing instruments. In [indiscernible] on the proposed investment by SPR, we briefly here just summarized the recently announced funding of Southern Point Resources that I just referred to. This transaction proposes the injection of fresh capital into the business, which will provide the necessary near-term working capital assist in reducing overall debt and support the business in meeting its short- to longer-term capital expenditure and optimization requirements. While there are several components to the proposed investment, I'll briefly summarize the main ones. First, our new partner, Southern Point Resources have provided us with an interim working capital facility of ZAR 150 million, around $8.1 million, direct towards -- directed towards the Vanchem plant and alleviating Bushveld short-term cash flow constraints. Second, Southern Point Resources will purchase 50% of the subsidiary that owns Vanchem. As well as 64% stake of Mokopane Greenfield project combined for $25 million. Thirdly, Southern Point Resources have agreed to provide $12.5 million as an investment in an [Indiscernible] Topco. And for the new marketing arrangements, including a $25 million to $30 million trade finance facility and our Southern Point Resources will carry out all the marketing and sales of products for Bushveld. This is expected to occur over 5 to 17-month period as and when the existing arrangements with our current partners expire. We also have the opportunity as part of this partnership with SPR to evaluate the business case to recommission Vanchem Kiln 1. From a Going Concern perspective for the group, the group's ability to continue the Going Concern is dependent on its ability to complete the refinance of the Orion convertible loan notes and completion of the remaining transaction aspects with SPR. The current cash flow forecast indicates that the group require additional liquidity to fund the complications and activities during the next 12 months. We have identified and are proactively exercised levers within our control which will provide the group's liquidity. Importantly, the transactions with SPR will result in a significant injection of cash into the group and will represent a major step towards resolving this issue. Thank you. I'll now pass back to Craig.
Craig Coltman
executiveThank you, Tanya. I'll briefly provide some color on the priorities for the second half and then we can open for questions. We've announced two significant financial transactions in recent months with both Orion and now Southern Point Resources. We have a deadline of December for Orion, and we hope to make significant progress on some of the Southern Point Resources transactions by that time. As Tanya mentioned, we are today maintaining our production guidance of 3,700 to 3,900 mtV for the year. And moving forward, we want Vanchem to get to a sustainable rate of 180 mtV per month and for Vametco to operate at the Circuit 200 mtV level for the rest of the year. In order to improve the group's profitability, I will be focusing on various cost contained initiatives in parallel to the two initiatives above. I'll now pause and open the line for questions.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] First question today is coming from Marina Calero calling from RBC Capital Markets.
Marina Calero Ródenas
analystI just have a quick question about operational performance. You have improved materially in the third quarter. With the knowledge you have now on the progress that we've made today, what would you say are the steady-state production levels for Vametco and Vanchem?
Craig Coltman
executiveSure. The line is really bad on this side. I tell you what I heard and maybe, George, you can assist us. It was around operational performance. And I think the question was around what do we think the steady state of operation is for Vanchem and Vametco. Did I hear the question correctly?
Marina Calero Ródenas
analystYes, that's correct.
Craig Coltman
executiveSo the immediate steady state for us for Vanchem is 180 mtV. That was the target for our turnaround initiatives. It was sad for us in August that we did 175 mtV and not 180 mtV because we lost 2 days due to power outages. Had that not been the case, we would have got to 180 mtV. I would be pleased if we could sustainably do 180 mtV for the last 3 months of the year. We are looking at other initiatives as well, potentially different all synergies with the [high sell steel], that's the new owners of -- by SPR. When those synergies start to bear fruit, we'll be looking at numbers north of that. But until we implement those additional initiatives, steady state in the short term between now and the new will be 180 mtV for Vanchem. Over Vametco, we've just finished some of the work on the temporary arrangement with the SPR and freeing up some more headroom of the Barren Dam and a few other initiatives there, which again, steady state for that would be between now and the end of the year, 200 mtV. We will, in parallel to that, run an exercise on a pre-feasibility study to determine what needs to be done to take it up to the next level. But only once we've done that investment appraisal analysis to determine if it's worth spending additional CapEx to get numbers north of that, will we change our steady state. So in the short term, 200 mtV for Vametco. I hope that answers your question.
Operator
operatorWe'll now go to Nick Chalmers from ARC.
Nick Chalmers
analystQuestion on the convertible loan note refinancing. What are the key remaining hurdles that need to be overcome before that restructuring closes? And given that the -- at least the equity component of that 7-point transaction is, to some degree, contingent on that CLN refinancing closing. Can we conclude that you're targeting completing the first parts of that transaction by the end of this year? Or is there a risk that, that moves into next year.
Craig Coltman
executiveTanya do you want to take that, please?
Tanyaradzwa Tsitsi Wendy Chikanza
executiveNick, all hands, Nick, are on deck to complete this transaction this side of Christmas. The Orion transaction is due end of December this year. So it's important and just that [ tweaking ] that we have shown there. I mean I think a couple of points, obviously, a Going Concern that we talk about is really around Orion. So it's important that we do complete that beside. And I think that's something that the market is quite aware of. And then the [teeming] of the pricing that SPR will come in with a $12.5 million at the same price as Orion, any way, links those two. Orion is an important partner to our business. And therefore, even as we do the SPR transaction, it's important that we are walking alongside each other. So the thing that we're really focusing now is documentation with both Orion and with SPR as far as the second aspect, the 50% disposal to Orion and then the equity component.
Nick Chalmers
analystOkay. sorry, as far as the SPR transaction goes then, is it -- do you envisage the equity component of that, the $12.5 million and the sale of 50% of your interest in Vanchem, are they sort of going to happen concurrently?
Tanyaradzwa Tsitsi Wendy Chikanza
executiveThey're all happening in the same side of this year, yes. We're working on everything at the same time. I can't give you specific around the exact date to say this one is happening today. The next one, tomorrow [indiscernible]. It's being worked at the same time, Yes.
Craig Coltman
executiveIt's absolutely correct. We're working on everything simultaneously. But in terms of the sequencing of those events, what we like to see is the sale of Vanchem happen first, and that's absolutely aligned with SPR, followed thereafter with the Orion deal and shortly thereafter the SPR deal for obvious reasons because of the alignment of the share price. So we are working simultaneously but there's no reason why the Vanchem sale can't happen in advance of the Orion deal and the SPR deal. The last two need to happen very close together, but there's no reason why the other one can't happen sooner. And that's what we'll be pushing with the SPR guys. Thank you, Nick.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] We'll now move to Thomas Martin calling from BNP Paribas.
Thomas Martin
analystFirst of all, just a quick clarification. What's the Orion maturity date originally in November? And has it been moved back a month? And so -- any reasons around that?
Craig Coltman
executiveTanya, do you want to clarify that? It's actually December.
Tanyaradzwa Tsitsi Wendy Chikanza
executiveYes. So actually, it's a technical point, Jonathan, that we did enter into the transaction in November. But in terms of the cash actually flowing and therefore closing of the deal, it flows into December. And so the last possible date we can paint is actually -- I think, it's 31 December 2023.
Thomas Martin
analystOkay. And -- just another one there. I think you mentioned in the announcement today, some reliability challenges at the leach plant. Apologies if you covered this just at the beginning of the call. I missed the first part. Is there any further detail around about those reliability issues, material cost to rectify -- yes, any material cost to rectify there?
Craig Coltman
executiveAny other question?
Thomas Martin
analystSorry?
Craig Coltman
executiveYou have another [Indiscernible] question? You're coming through very [ funky ] on the side.
Thomas Martin
analystOkay. Sorry. Let me see if I can talk right into this microphone in case that's any better. I think there was a mention of reliability challenges at the leach plant in today's announcement. Apologies if you discussed this at the start of the call, I was tied up for a few minutes at the beginning of the call. So I didn't catch it, if you discussed it. Could you give me any further information just around about those reliability challenges? And is there any material cost required to rectify those?
Craig Coltman
executiveYes. Thank you. So when we talk about the leaching plant process, it's from the time it ends at the Kiln. So it's the regrinding, the leaching and the filtration process, that whole process. We -- there are a couple of maintenance issues to leach itself, which have been dealt with. But what we found is the supplier, I think it was July, August, when they had a short shutdown period, we aligned the inside of the mill didn't do a proper job and they came back in end of August, early September, to redo the lining of the mill, not at our cost at their cost. So that's been resolved now. And we're good to go with the entire leaching plant process to get back to the 200 mtV. So a little bit of maintenance on the leaching, but the big activity was on the relining for the second time in 2 months on the mill, but that was done by the supplier at their cost because they didn't do a proper job the first time around.
Thomas Martin
analystVery clear. Final one, just you mentioned the cost saving initiatives. I wondered can you say any more about that? Is it limited to operating cost savings? Or do you think there might be the scope to also make savings on the group administrative cost side? On the overall group administrative cost, not just the asset level costs.
Craig Coltman
executiveI got you. No, no. Everything is in scope. Everything is in scope, the operating cost of the operation and very much the activities that are in the corporate center, whether it's costs, labor, every single activity is in scope for consideration and cost curtailments.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] Our next question is coming from Sergey Raevskiy from SP Angel.
Sergey Raevskiy
analystQuick question. One is on your target for production at Vanchem and Vametco and for your monthly rate of 180 mtV, 200 mtv. Just wanted to see like how did you -- if you risk those numbers, how confident you are in those targets? And what sort of maybe the top risks to those numbers as in like maybe reliability of power supply? How much of a cushion there if you run into some of those, again, power supply issues or maybe like weather issues, how confident are you in those numbers?
Craig Coltman
executiveYes. Thank you. I mean I think the numbers are realistic. If we get massive headwinds that are external factors, whether it be labor unrest or power, we're at risk. But we do everything we can to mitigate that risk. We've got a really good relationship with the authorities at the Vanchem local municipality. So that is minimal risk. We've got a really good stakeholder engagement plan with the community, and that's well managed. Again, that risk is not eliminated, but significantly mitigated. I think the plants have been under-maintained in recent times, and we see some volatility, and that's something we're going to rectify with the proper plan maintenance system. So there's always an element of risk. Having said that, when we gave you the market guidance early August, we were at the time thinking of having an approximate 3-week shutdown for Vanchem in September. That didn't materialize for various reasons, and we kept that plant going. It was a calculated risk because the pill needs to be realigned every 12 months as a part of the planned maintenance system. We sweated that asset to 18 months. And in September, we found some real hotspots coming up on the Kiln, we shut it down for 8 months to realign approximately 6 meters of a Kiln. We're waiting for the final report of that short shutdown. But the view from the team is that we can now go on to Q1 until we have the next shutdown. Which means that although we've lost 8 days in September, we're unlikely to have a need for the 3-week shutdown in October. So we call back just about 2 weeks. So there's a small element of headroom or for contingency, but not a lot. So I think it would be prudent to say we are, based on the current data and the current outlook, realistic to achieve that market guidance. I hope that answers your question, Sergey?
Sergey Raevskiy
analystYes, it does. I appreciate it. And another one is probably for Tanya. It's about -- if you can give us the guidance on sort of movement in working capital for the second half and for the tax that you expect to pay, I mean given the [relative prices] are compared to the first half, I mean one should be expecting a lot of tax payments. But if you can give us this guidance that would be really helpful.
Tanyaradzwa Tsitsi Wendy Chikanza
executiveThanks, Sergey. Well, obviously, you see -- you saw what our units sold came in -- our cost for the units came in at. what we are seeing in the market at the moment is variable prices, whilst they remain quite firm in the U.S., which is where most of our sales actually take place. We are seeing softer near-term prices in Europe and in China. So that's obviously has an impact as far as our working capital is concerned, coupled with the CapEx that we still expect to spend in the second half. I think that's sort of -- that really is the big guide. The treasury is always quite -- it's quite tight with what we have -- what we're seeing with those softening prices. But I'm happy to say that you saw that 47% of our sales are actually in the U.S. So that gives us a little bit of a buffer.
Sergey Raevskiy
analystAnd so just to clarify, sorry, just to follow up. So you expect another like sort of negative cash flow from working capital in the second half? Or are you going to like destock and you have some kind of balanced or maybe some positive working capital change?
Tanyaradzwa Tsitsi Wendy Chikanza
executiveIf you think about where our stock was at the beginning of the year, which is where you see the sales with greater high sales because at the beginning of the year, we actually were down a lot of our stock from the previous year. And then started doing the production. So our stock, we don't have excess stock that we have in keeping. Maybe if you just take into account that we actually had some of the shutdowns activating August and the one we're having now we don't have that excess stock that we're going to expect to sell into the market to change the scenario that I've just stated to you. So the big [ gap ] obviously, we're very big on cost containment and just managing direct units sold per unit sold aspects, but the prices at the moment they are looking soft. And I think that's the guide that you need to be taking from that.
Operator
operatorThank you Mr. Raevskiy. As we do not have any further questions at this time, I will turn the call back over to Mr. Coltman for any additional or closing remarks. Thank you.
Craig Coltman
executiveYes. Thank you very much. While these results reflect a difficult period for the company, I'm confident the actions we have taken already in the second half and achieving the key priorities we've laid out today will result in a much improved focused business going forward. Which should then start to feed into much better financial numbers. Thank you to everyone.
Operator
operatorThank you very much, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, that will conclude today's conference. Thank you for your attendance. You may now disconnect. Have a good day, and goodbye.
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