Canatu Oyj (CANATU) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
August 25, 2026
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Maximilian Slawinski
executiveHello, everybody. Ladies and gentlemen, dear investors, let me shortly introduce myself because we meet in many cases, for the first time. My name is Dr. Maximilian Slawinski, and I'm since May, the new CEO of Canatu. I'm part of the semiconductor, automotive and new energy industry since almost 2 decades. My first 100 days at Canatu have been progressed and they have just confirmed my hopes to join the company, leading in one of the most emerging segments in the entire deep tech industry. We will present today beside our H1 results, some remarkable achievements the company has been able to perform within the last 100 days. You most probably heard already yesterday about our great news of our recent reactor order from FST. The first, since ours stock, the first since almost 3 years and most important, even ahead our new plan to target more than EUR 100 million revenue by 2030. We will furthermore present today our Polaris program. We published already our management reorganization, and I will go a little bit deeper into this today. We will present our new strategy towards targeting more than EUR 100 million revenue by 2030 based on a focused and fast execution and organically strong, growing and profitable markets. as well also presenting our vision for 2035. A third pillar of our Polaris program will explain our implemented cost measures, securing a disciplined cash management with a streamlined Canatu including headcount adjustments. I believe that today's presented achievements are testimony what Canatu -- what Canatu team is able to improve and transform in a short amount of time. As a result, of energized team willing to win. I hope you'll come to the same conclusion as me. experiencing this company just performing a pivotal moment for future success. So let's start. Where is Canatu already be world class. I think Cana has proven already in the past that we are able to industrialize products and to mass manufacture them based on our dry deposition technology. And I think good examples are about 1 million sensors we delivered in the automotive and defense industry as well as more than 5,000 inspection membranes, fall-free since 2021. This is a strong foundation. We also are short before entering new markets, promising strong growing new markets, in particular, of course, the CNT pellicle market as well as heaters for advanced ADAS systems. Canatu is very strong in industrializing the property tuning of CNTs. And this property tuning is resulting in physical properties responding to the most important challenges of the industries we are targeting. And last but not least, Canatu has established very deep and long-term relationships to global leading companies, which I have to say is in that magnitude, remarkable for a company compared to Canatu's size. Here, the company is already world-class. Nevertheless, that's not enough. and Canatu needs to improve. Canatu needs, in particular, to improve in the execution to hit its commercial ambitions. And therefore, we need to be more focused. We will present today a strategy reducing the complexity of our company, the complexity of our operations. We had in the past too many balls in the air, and we have to catch the most valuable ones. We have to invest all our resources into scalable product road map execution instead of engineering projects. Canatu needs to be in future, more customer focused and less research driven. And last but not least, the allocation of our development resources needs to be based more on commercial metrics. Therefore, we introduced the Polaris program, our transformation program of the company. We already published the changes in governance. We have now 5 people executive management team fully staffed from next week onwards. We recruited Bernd Meier as CMO and Walter Braun, a CTO to experienced international executive with a strong track record in our target industries. We changed the old new business development department more to a fellow office with a stronger focus on our IP strategy. We established new departments to support top line growth, in particular, business development to tackle the OEMs of our end markets as well as new product management functions in the business units. to accelerate that revenue as well as focused strong on productization. The project management will go back into R&D in the future. And last but not least, the business units will have the project ownership of our most important R&D projects. With respect to the strategy, we are clarifying our business models. The Semiconductor business unit will remain a product business in the inspection product line. In the semiconductor manufacturing segment, so the bigger part of the TAM, we will focus to be an equipment and technology provider. The former Automotive business unit, which is now the robotics, mobility and Defense business unit, will be a pure product business with a clear focus on strong growing markets in automotive, robotics and defense. The medical business unit remains a product business. We have prioritized on our road map based on the value we deliver. A strong indicator for this is the euro per square centimeter value. We introduced to evaluate the value our products deliver, and we stopped selling engineering services. In the OpEx adjustment, we are planning to reduce the headcount up to 17 full-time employees. We will limit our yearly CapEx until 2030 to less than EUR 6 million per year. We are introducing the revenue per employee in 2030 as a new KPI, and we will discontinue low-value R&D projects. In the first 100 days, we started to successfully sharpen our company, remaining, of course, an innovation leader and building a structurally high margin business. We will focus in future stronger on top line and scalable top line growth. What remains is our commitment to achieve more than EUR 100 million in revenue by 2030, and we had the vision to grow with more than 20% per year CAGR until 2035. Let me shortly talk about our executive leadership team. This has been restructured. The company is now led by a 5-people executive management team. We could add to the team, Walter Braun and Bernd Meier, two very experienced executives from the semiconductor equipment, semiconductor device and robotics industry. I strongly believe that their experience, their track record and their management skills will improved the company significantly. I also strongly believe that the newly introduced matrix structure within Canatu will increase our resource allocation and resource efficiency and our product and business focus. The business units will in future be internal customers within the company. In particular, owning the business cases and the business unit strategies, while the operational leadership will sustain the executive management and the business unit leaders in their daily work. [indiscernible] remains is, of course, our core. Canatu's DNA is a dry deposition technology. It's a strong competitive moat. And as mentioned, we have proven already in the past with about 1 million sensor delivered in automotive and defense market as well as more than 5,000 inspection membranes that we are able to industrialize and produce products, differentiating products based on that technology. Along the 3 business units, we work in different business models, including manufacturing partners, enabling us to integrate up to OEM level. Our backbone remains our strong patent portfolio, where we will even more aggressively grow the number of patents and families in the future as a backbone also enabling us to commercialize, of course, royalties and fees in the future. Our 3 business units are tackling from different directions, I would say, very hot markets in our society. For sure, the most discussed market and maybe also the most interesting market is the artificial intelligence market. As you know, artificial intelligence is not working without memories, GPUs and CPUs. And and our pellicle technology is a big part manufacturing these devices and boosting the manufacturing these devices in the future. When we think about humanoid robots, we also have to talk about [indiscernible] and sensors, and we are pretty fast LIDAR and other solutions as well as tactile sensors. This is an example when you include who mandate AI, how 2 different business units at Canatu to tackle the same end market. A similar situation we have in autonomous driving. We talk a lot about the ADAS [ features ], but of course, an autonomous car needs also memories, GPUs and CPUs. Also here, again, 2 business units are part of the same end market with different positions in the supply chain. We do successful business already today in the defense market, and we target to expand this. Also here, beside our R&D business unit, GPUs and memories will be important in future [ defense ] solutions and Canatu is, of course, targeting to be part of the semiconductor manufacturing industry. And last but not least, medical diagnostics. Here, we are even integrating up to full solution provider. And again, semiconductors will help in the analysis of diagnostics and improving its efficiency. So it shows our business units deliver from different perspectives to the most important end markets of society without increasing the complexity of Canatu. Let me shortly explain the [indiscernible] just mentioned disciplined portfolio prioritization. I mentioned in the beginning that we allocate in future our development resources, in particular with respect to commercial indicators. Here, you see an example how we will prioritize in future our product road map. You see that we fully focus on the highest C&T per square centimeter value we identified for our most promising products. And on the other side also focus strongly on high growing end markets. As you can see, extreme high value we expect to deliver in the hormone testing market as well, we already proved to deliver an inspection filters. While in the R&D market, we have even a wider portfolio, a wider end market spectrum, an extremely organically strong, growing markets, in particular, when we think about robotics and industrial sensing. About our markets. I know it has been already evaluated a lot of times. And here, I want to highlight, first of all, the semiconductor market. On the right side, you see the advanced node market starting from 7-nanometer and below in the [indiscernible] structure. You see that the 2-nanometer and below segment is just a minority part today. But it will dominate the advanced node market in the future. And here, in particular, is a strong opportunity for CNT pellicles. As these structures demand high NA, high wattage and more number of layers in the manufacturing. A small market today, but with 25% CAGR along the next 10 years, a very, very strong market in that segment in the future. Underlining our growth ambitions, not only until 2030, but even until 2035. A similar picture for the autonomous driving market. The ADAS market is already big today, but dominated by ADAS Level 1 and 2. Just starting is ADAS Level 3 and 4. While our heater solutions might be an add-up in ADAS Level 1 and 2, they become a crucial aspect to increase the safety of ADAS Level 3 and beyond. And again, we talk about the segment growing with almost 20% CAGR in the next 10 years. Again, underlining the just mentioned long-term growth ambition. How does this strategy translate into shareholder value? We just drafted here the most important milestones. We already achieved in the past important milestones in the R&D and semiconductor segment. And we just achieved another very important milestone yesterday with our third reactor order to be achieved. But of course, the next important step in the semiconductor industry will be the qualification of the [ pellicles ] at the device side. That is -- that will be the moment the dry deposition technology, the CNTs based on the Canatu technology will enter the end market. And this, we will have to achieve with our customers as a next big step. In the medical business, we will pretty soon start the FDA pathway. And of course, in the R&D business, we will finish the development of the ADAS heaters and will, in particular, roll them out in the most autonomous car driving systems. With that, I will hand over now to Mikko for deeper dive into the financials.
Mikko Vesterinen
executiveThank you, Max. So let's start with the financial highlights of the first half. Our revenue was EUR 4.2 million, which is a low number that we acknowledge. But at the same time, we want to emphasize that our long-term potential and our long-term pipeline, they are intact. We did not lose any business to our competitors during the first half, and our competitive position remains as very strong. Secondly, our gross margin remains on a good level. And this we take as evidence of inherently good profitability of our business. We just need to scale up the revenue. And thirdly, what we want to emphasize is our strong balance sheet. It's debt-free. Our cash position remains good and these are very valuable assets in the growth phase and in the industries we are operating. In connection with the strategy work, what Max just described. We also updated our financial targets. So we continue to aim at more than EUR 100 million in revenue in 2030. But given the markets where we're operating, we are confident that if we reach this, we should target also a high continued growth thereafter. Therefore, we will -- we have a target reaching a minimum 20 percentage CAGR from 2030 to '35. Additionally, given the the decisions what we made during the [indiscernible] process, i.e., that we will operate with [indiscernible] model in the EUV pellicle business and that we will focus on scalable product businesses in elsewhere. We are confident that this growth -- we can make this growth happen in a very resource and capital-efficient way. And that means that we are targeting to reach average revenue per employee of over EUR 400,000 in 2030. And we do see that this can be done with less than EUR 6 million of average annual CapEx from next year onwards. This year, like we have previously also said will be a peak year of CapEx for Canatu. We currently see that CapEx this year will be maximum [ EUR 30 million ], so less than before as anticipated. And this is also a reflection of the change in our strategy. And the reason why we are peaking this year is the investments in the second factory and in the EUV pellicle scanner, which are exceptional investments for a company like Canatu. Then let's dive a bit deeper into the first half figures. Semiconductor revenue was EUR 4.0 million (sic) [ EUR 0.4 million ]. That was a result of lack of new reactor orders. But like yesterday announced, now we were able to close 1 new order, very big and important milestone. And the second big factor there behind this semiconductor revenue was 1 major inspection membrane customer who is working down their high inventory levels. It's not a -- we -- our position in inspection membranes, competitive position remains unchanged, very strong. And we expect that the demand for these membranes will pick up again once the inventory levels get back to normal level. This is also a reflection of the fact our product has been better than anticipated. It has a longer life than what we originally expected and the customer expected. In Robotics, Medical and Diagnostics, our revenue in the first half was EUR 3.6 million, and that was mostly a result of quality engineering projects. There, we had a potential due to make even higher revenue -- but due to the decision to refocus our resources the areas and efforts which we believe will create most shareholder value in the longer term, we did not continue some projects there. And that's kind of a short-term [indiscernible] in what we were trading for longer-term gains. Margins, gross margins remained good, although they decreased year-on-year basis, but that was a reflection of changes in the revenue mix in -- in terms of like profitability potential of these different businesses, there's no changes. Everything looks -- remains good. That said, operating expenses did continue to grow in the first half, and that was driven mostly by continued headcount growth. But now like Max told we are taking measures to -- also on that front. And at the same time, we also increased our investments in the R&D activity, especially on the medical side. And these new premises, meaning new factory also brought some new costs into our P&L. Investments, like I said, were high in the first half and then will be high in this year, but most of they are now done. So first half investments, capital expenditure amounted to EUR 10.5 million. With these investments, we have significantly expanded our capacity and also increased our quality control capabilities in a very meaningful way. Balance sheet cash position remains strong, as Maccelerate said. Then about the outlook this year, like we yesterday -- public information in connection with this reactor order. Despite this reactor order, we do see that this year revenue will decline significantly compared to the previous year, i.e. in '25, EUR 15.6 million back then. Long-term potential remains intact in all business areas. This decline this year is a factor or a result of things progressing. Of course, well, not everything is in our hands. It depends some things on our customers and further on their customers, that's beyond our control. Then obviously, we need to improve our own execution as well. That's what Max already highlighted. And further, like I said, we have made some conscious decisions that we do not continue certain businesses and certain operations, and that will bring some short-term pain this year. But [indiscernible] from the financials. Now I hand over back to Max to conclude.
Maximilian Slawinski
executiveSo to conclude. We presented today our Polaris program. And the Polaris program includes 12 major changes we implemented in the last 100 days within our company. This will be a foundation for the future success I strongly believe in. The company will focus even more on profitable top line growth underlined by the newly introduced CMO department. On the other side, we will improve our R&D execution efficiency with the CTO department as project management lead and business unit as project owners. With these measures, I'm confident that Canatu will succeed in building a EUR 100 million-plus revenue company by 2030 with a vision to reach levels up to EUR 300 million by 2035 based on the just mentioned 20% plus CAGR from 2030 onwards. Thank you a lot.
Mikko Vesterinen
executiveNow it's time for questions from the audience.
Unknown Analyst
analystIt's [indiscernible] from Inderes. Maybe first about the discontinued businesses and operations. Can you open up a little bit what business have been now discontinued? And what was the revenue, for example, last year.
Maximilian Slawinski
executiveSo the businesses we discontinued a part of the businesses were engagements where we sold a kind of engineering hours. So a project-based business where really permanently our engineers had to execute together with the partners paying for it. But of course, it had a lot of opportunity costs. So -- and these engineers could not focus on [indiscernible] on the product road map execution. And we stopped that activity to be in time or even faster with finishing our product developments and being able to hand them over properly in our manufacturing as we were not so optimistic about the scalability of that approach. About the financial impact I'll leave it to Mikko.
Mikko Vesterinen
executiveYes. Like you see and like said, R&D business. That's where most of these activities reside this stopped activities. So it grew still in first half very well with these engineering projects. But obviously, like the revenue mix in there will be like a different going forward.
Unknown Analyst
analystAll right. Now we know the FST reactor order has come in, but how about this another reactor customer and there is the SAT approvals are still ongoing. Can you say anything about the situation? How is it developing at the moment?
Maximilian Slawinski
executiveSo of course, it's not fully in our hands. And at the end, it's part of a bigger supply chain beyond Canatu to have that final approval. We also have to consider that due to the high loading situation, a semiconductor device part, the resources to engineer new technologies are very limited at the moment because A bigger part of the industry is on executing its order book. That's typically not always the best time to implement new technologies. Nevertheless, in the 100 days I've been here, I've seen reasonable progress in that, making me optimistic about that we will conclude that in a reasonable amount of time.
Operator
operator0 What kind of expectations do you have for the 2 FST reactors when those are going to start to generate meaningful recurring revenue for Canatu?
Maximilian Slawinski
executiveYes. So first of all, when a customer orders a secondary reactor, that's a strong sign. That's really a commitment that's -- that makes a big difference from my point of view, if a customer is [indiscernible] just having 1 reactor. So obviously, that is already a strong indicator for the [ brokers ]. Our partner FSC is doing in that segment. At the end, of course, again, it ends on their customer with respect to the reoccurring revenue. But from my point of view, that is then a matter of time. But that they're already expanding now in their manufacturing capacity at the end is, of course, a very, very good indicator. And obviously, there is a strong confidence at FST on a pretty soon market introduction underlined by that order.
Unknown Analyst
analystAnd how do you see the use of CNT pellicles in low [ NA ] productions? Now you were mentioning that 2-nanometer is the most important one.
Maximilian Slawinski
executiveFor me, there is a triangular. So you have the wattage of the EUV light source. You have the numerical aperture and you also have to think about the numbers of layers per wafer. So -- and there are different ways to realize advanced structures. We have to take into account that is also technically possible, for example, with a significantly larger amount of layers per wafer to have even in the today's standard technologies with normal numerical aperture and more wattage, these advanced structures. And at the end, what the Canatu technology or what the pellicles, the CNT pellicles do is improving the manufacturing yield, which, for example, would be also important when you have more layers, under today's numerical aperture because the yield costs become higher when the number of layers increase. And what CNT compared to compound is advanced is the the nature of being a pure carbon material and at the end, to make structure of CNT is similar to diamond. And that's the most robust material on the planet. And that is, of course, the promise of CNT to be an optically and from the robustness, advanced solutions to today's pellicle standards, metal silicides. But as it is with the change of standards in the semiconductor industry, when you look in the past, it's typically about a decade you talk, and it's not happening overnight. But if it's happening and if it's proving, it goes pretty fast. You have -- you can -- there are many examples in the past, for example, like the switch from [ deep ] to EUV, by the way. When you look how long ASML worked on EUV until it finally became a business that were almost 3 decades, if I'm not wrong. And of course, that patient is always needed when you're in the semiconductor business. But of course, a second reactor order from a customer. This is a very, very big commitment and the company seems to be very, very confident.
Unknown Analyst
analystYour competitors have also announced some pellicle production of their own. So how do you see Canatu's competitive position has developed this year?
Maximilian Slawinski
executiveWith the second reactor order from FSC, good. And that there are more companies working on CNT is, first of all, good. That's in the Canatu's interest that not 1 company from Finland, but a bigger amount of companies is working on the same material class CNT. Compared to our competitors, I think, in particular, in tuning the properties, which finally result in optics and reliability, our [indiscernible] technology is pretty advanced. So I think we have here a strong technological mode.
Unknown Analyst
analystAnd you now don't give any more like long-term EBIT margin target as previously, but can you say anything about your ambition level, if you go to the long term? Is it similar kind of profitability that you were targeting before? Or is it higher or lower?
Mikko Vesterinen
executiveYes, I think what we want to say that at this point of the growth -- growth like trajectory, we need to focus on the revenue growth. That's the key thing. The -- our business remains very profitable as evidenced by the gross margins. So like if we just are able to scale the top line, this will be a highly profitable company. There's no doubt about that. And also like -- I think you can like use this new target of reaching EUR 400,000 revenue per employee as a kind of like also indication of our profitability because that's quite a direct proxy of our cost base on this number of employees.
Waltteri Rossi
analystWaltteri Rossi from Danske Bank. A few questions as well. First, you state quite clearly, I think that you focus now on selling reactors only in the semi segment. So what led you to choosing this route compared to the previous kind of dual track.
Maximilian Slawinski
executiveI think for Canatu, it is favorable and also for its customers, if we choose a path and if we choose the business model, increasing the likelihood making the [indiscernible] position to standard CNT manufacturing technology. And with that decision, we are more or less opening via our reactor technology and the IP behind global access to this. In the alternative scenario, we would be more or less if we would do pellicles, we would be somehow a competitor or some companies which are not this business model will become potential customers. And with that, I'm pretty sure we increase likelihood to make our technology center in this. And our business model, so a combination of reactor sales and then, of course, reoccurring revenues I think, will pay off if it is a standard in particular, and it is the basis for that decision. Of course, it also requires less CapEx, no doubt about that.
Waltteri Rossi
analystOkay. And kind of relating to that, do you know if your competitors are they like all selling directly, basically, pellicles? Or are some of them selling reactors?
Maximilian Slawinski
executiveI wouldn't know reactor supplier producing membranes for pellicles. I think the companies I have met are integrated up to the pellicle level.
Waltteri Rossi
analystOkay. Then also a question on the second customer. and why they haven't accepted the reactor yet. So basically, -- is there something wrong or something that they're not happy with the customer? Or are they just not going to accept it until they need it? What's your kind of read on the situation?
Maximilian Slawinski
executiveSo as mentioned, first of all, each customer has different resources, investing into a qualification of a new technology. And in particular, if a customer is busy in its operation as an order book is extremely large that can easily prolong these kind of processes. So no doubt about our reactor technology is pretty new in the industry, and there is a lot to learn also by our customers, which then needs to be addressed. And together with the customers, to be achieved with respect to the parameter output. But I'm very confident, as mentioned, that this will finally proceed. It's only a matter of time.
Waltteri Rossi
analystOkay. And one last question, at least for now. Was there any recurring revenues in H1? And what is your expectation on the recurring revenues going forward compared to the reactor price and how much are you selling the reactors for now?
Mikko Vesterinen
executiveThere was many questions in one, but -- so the recurring revenues, what I think you are referring to the -- what we get from reactors, they are still in the future. In a big time, of course, we are like getting some recurring element -- recurring revenues from when we are selling like services and some consumables [indiscernible] reactors, but like, of course, the big thing will be that when these are tend into mass production, this pellicles. And then -- what was the other?
Waltteri Rossi
analyst[indiscernible]
Mikko Vesterinen
executiveThat we still like you not disclose.
Matti Riikonen
analystIt's Matti Riikonen, DNB Carnegie. A couple of questions also from me. First, I would like to return to the question which has been discussed already, which is the site acceptance test for the second sold reactor. So you said that you have made yourself some progress towards getting it accepted. So what exactly have you achieved? And what have you done?
Maximilian Slawinski
executiveSo these site acceptance tests are, of course, at the customer side. So you're safe means, of course, where the reactor is -- and these are connected to a list of parameters, which have to be achieved where we made progress. So we could make a mark on some parameters which were not served before.
Matti Riikonen
analystSo is there anything on your side that still needs to be done? Have you completed your part of the work that you can do in this time frame?
Maximilian Slawinski
executiveOf course, these set criteria are the output of an equipment and what the equipment puts out depends a lot where it's ending, for example, with clean room under which conditions and how it is operated. So at the end, all these criteria are a result of a combined work. So I think it's pretty -- in the sub-criteria, hard to say to isolate this is pure responsibility of Canatu or pure responsibility of its customers. It's always a joint effort.
Matti Riikonen
analystAll right. So if it's a joint effort, and you are basically ready to do your part and have done so in the process. Does it mean that the customer just don't feel the urgency to go through with the site acceptance test because there is no pressure for them to get the production running.
Maximilian Slawinski
executiveWhen we think about what the pellicles in general are for they are at the end improving the yield of an already existing manufacturing. That means there is, for example, not a hard time-wise milestone, where with a change to a new technology, you could not start to produce it without pellicles, for example, independent if it's metal silicides or CNT. It's not that the pellicle itself is the enabler to achieve, let's say, 2 nanometer. What it is doing is increasing the manufacturing output. And I can understand also from my experience in semiconductor device companies, when you ramp up a new generation with the lowest possible complexity, for example, may be leaving out pellicles in total in the beginning and then working in the second step on improving the yield. But yes, the customers have the option to decide on their own when they use pellicles or when they switch from one to the other pellicle technology. It will not change the device generation manufactured. So that's good and bad for us. So there is no hard deadline on the one side and also no pressure on the other side. That's true. But generally, I think that is positive that there is no time-wise killer criteria when to reach it. But of course, every day, you are working with the technology, achieving a lower yield. You have a competitive disadvantage because in the device industry, at the moment, everything is about manufacturing output, and that is what a yield improvement does. So I would believe those who manage to use CNT pellicle technology and finally achieve a better yield, has a significant competitive advantage, more profit and more revenue and that is what the GPU memory, in particular, memory, GPU and CPU industry is at the moment all about. So there is a very, very good business case for better yields.
Matti Riikonen
analystIn the risk statements related to the delivery of the second reactor and reactors altogether, you say that there will be a penalty if you don't meet your part of the agreement and the reactor doesn't perform according to the standards that you have specified in the sales agreement. But based on your discussion now, it seems that -- that is not the case. So the only reason that is holding up the site acceptance test that the customer doesn't have the resources enough to make it actually productive, so get it into the production, which signals that there is not such a great hurry to increase production of those pellicles that would be used in the production. So -- or is there any other excuse for this to take longer than -- it's been almost 2 years now since you delivered the reactor. So is it just not interesting for the customer to get it up and running because there is no need for the pellicles?
Maximilian Slawinski
executive2 years are, of course, in the semiconductor industry depending what you talk about even a normal time frame. So when you see -- so I worked, for example, many years in the silicon carbide industry and a device development in that, which was also fundamentally changed was typically for platform development never lower than 3 years. The hurry is -- so what the pressure comes from the misbalance between demand and supply. So there's far more demand in the device industry than supply. And everybody [indiscernible] it has pressure to increase output. And there are different supply is improving the yield. But no doubt about semiconductor manufacturing process is extremely sensitive and the long manufacturing chain and every change even in is that there are a lot of measures undertaken and tests undertaken before implementing a new technology, including the pellicle because worst thing what could happen is if you have even 1 week an issue with your lithography tool. And in particular, with the order book pressure, I can understand the customers being careful. Nevertheless, the -- yes, just the third reactor order is a statement from the industry. And when we look at the physics, when we compare it to today's standard material, the compounds, it is a big promise on improving the yields, in particular, when we reflect that also to the device road map. So we will in future have far more wafer starts in the area of 2-nanometer and below and that will result in higher wattage, higher numerical aperture and also more layers. In all aspects, we talk about yield being more critical, the robustness of pellicles being an even more important factor and also, of course, the manufacturing output in total. So these are promising trends.
Matti Riikonen
analystAll right. One of the questions before related to the consumable revenue. I think you said that you didn't record any consumable reactor revenue in the first half. Was that correct?
Mikko Vesterinen
executiveNot in the big time. Yes.
Matti Riikonen
analystSo basically, even if FST has already 1 reactor ready to produce, they didn't -- and therefore, you felt there was no need to deliver more consumables to them. So doesn't that suggest as well that there is no such a great hurry to get the production running even from the first reactor. And of course, you already explained that in the case of the second reactor that doesn't seem to be a great hurry to even get the site acceptance test. Or how otherwise would you interpret the situation that the production is not starting in any significant volumes even from the first customer with whom basically everything has been cleared for production.
Maximilian Slawinski
executiveSo of course, what the customers of FST do is only speculation we can do. But why, for example, pellicle material, while end customers are careful in changing the pellicle material is due to the sensitivity of the manufacturing -- device manufacturing supply chain. I think the fact that we received from FST, the second reactor order, underlines their confidence and obviously also is related to a forecast from FST requiring a capacity expansion. Otherwise, that reactor order wouldn't have come. And in particular, for the case of FST, I think just yesterday's milestone shows that there is, obviously, from our customer point of view, more advanced insight that they needed to place a second -- a further order and that it is a matter of time and not so much a question but more a matter of time when then the pellicles will be at the device manufacturers and then also reoccurring revenues for Canatu will be monetized?
Matti Riikonen
analystAll right. In your report, you mentioned that you made some progress in EUV inspection products -- what kind of -- what kind of progress did you actually make?
Maximilian Slawinski
executiveSo our today's product, inspection membranes. And we identified in that expection area opportunities to increase our share of [indiscernible] of the total inspection system. Without being able to disclose too much details, but there are more use cases than only this membrane use case in that area where we can expand the business.
Matti Riikonen
analystAll right. And if you say that your testing membranes lasted better or longer in customers' use, does that mean that you are also getting a price increase next time you are selling to them because your product actually has proven that it works longer.
Maximilian Slawinski
executiveWe can, of course, not disclose the price negotiation, but it has definitely proven that the value of what we delivered was higher than anticipated.
Matti Riikonen
analystAll right. Now when you talk about your CapEx, now you limit it to EUR 6 million on an annual basis, except for this year. Does that mean that you are not planning to build a new factory. So you think that the 2 factors -- the second one really soon this year, would be enough for your production also going forward.
Maximilian Slawinski
executiveIt implies that it is what we have in manufacturing infrastructure today is sufficient to achieve our 2030 target. So of course, we still have a CapEx plan. It's not 0. But of course, it's also a consequence out of saying for the pellicle market, we are an equipment business. This is, of course, having a far lower CapEx than when you would say you do the pellicles by your own. That is one result of that. And yes, you also also the allocation of doing only products with a higher euro per square centimeter were has, of course, an impact on the revenue achievable in the manufacturing line. When I say I will only develop and manufacture in our today's factories, products with a high or higher euro per square centimeter value. Automatically, the achievable revenue with installed capacity rises. And that is also a point of that. And the result of having no demand for extremely high CapEx in the next 4 years, let's say.
Matti Riikonen
analystAll right. But what does that mean in practice? What part of your production is now having a lower price per square sentiment so that you would kind of have the opportunity to reduce some production and increase the higher value per square centimeter production. I can't quite understand what is the low value-adding part that you want to get rid of?
Maximilian Slawinski
executiveWe had products on the road map, which we were in development, which would eat up a lot of capacity without achieving a lot of revenue. So without going into detailed customer projects, but of course, it makes a big difference, for example, if you have some square centimeters of hormone detection sensor or if you deposit carbon nanotubes on several square meters in markets which are also partly commoditizing. And these depositing CNTs on extremely large areas without having the visibility that these markets would value that with reasonable high prices, this we opt -- but that, of course, was a former manufacturing plant still part of which would have resulted in more CapEx.
Matti Riikonen
analystall right. Then finally, you have now downgraded your long-term targets for the second time within the year. And what makes you think that your current estimates for the future would be any more realistic than the 2 previous ones have been? So why should we kind of now believe that even the numbers that you are showing today net sales target, EUR 100 million by 2030 would be realistic and achievable. Because already within a year, you have changed the long-term targets twice.
Mikko Vesterinen
executiveYes. I think I would regarding the revenue target of reaching EUR 100 million or more. It's very close to what we said in the spring or what we said in the spring. While we made a slight change, it used to be like EUR 100 million, EUR 150 million. That reflects the changes what we made in this strategy that we focus on in this like reactor-based model and this scalable pellicle product businesses. So like what we've been stating now several times, and again, this time at the long-term potential is unchanged. We don't see that changes there. And like -- so we don't see a big change in the revenue targets.
Maximilian Slawinski
executiveAnd what increased yesterday, the confidence on the plan is that the reactor order we received, yesterday they came even time-wise ahead of the plan.
Matti Riikonen
analystAnd finally, if you are so confident on the EUR 100 million target in 2030, which is a long time forward, why don't you give kind of annual revenue targets or a range just to guide investors and analysts that the estimates would be even roughly correct? Why can you be so certain of the long term if you are not certain enough to give information to capital markets on the short term?
Mikko Vesterinen
executiveWell, I think it's -- we've been discussing this today as well, there are things which are not in our control. They depend on our customers and how they go forward. So timing remains in short-term risk in long term, we think that the kind of risk in a way is on a substantially lower level. Like Max said, it's that of a question of if, but when. This happens. And that's why we are confident, but we don't want to like put fingers in each year that this is how it goes because that is not fully in our hands. And then also like we need to like preserve our negotiation position towards our customers that we don't set to explicit targets, which can then be like counterproductive.
Matti Riikonen
analystYes. But if you give a range for net sales for short term and you make it wide enough, then it includes all the possibilities that you must have in numbers in your business plan. So why is it so difficult to guide the markets? Because I think the benefit of that would be that you wouldn't need to come with the massive profit warning in the middle of the year. Just to reset all estimates that have been produced that far. So I think the policy that you are running now is clearly more harmful to you as any kind of guidance giving exercise would be if the guidance range is wide enough to basically meet all roughly potential outcomes.
Mikko Vesterinen
executiveYes, let's -- we have not given a profit warning. We gave yesterday a pre-information about the profit and or the outlook for this year. And it's kind of like asset it will decline. It was not a profit for in, let's I want to clear that.
Matti Riikonen
analystYou might say a lot of technical things, but it was actually a profit warning in the true meaning of the case. So that you let the markets know that current estimates are way higher than what you foresee for this year. So regardless of what you call it, it was a really bad profit warning.
Waltteri Rossi
analystWaltteri Rossi from Danske Bank. One additional question. About modeling the revenues until 2030, does it -- would you say it still makes sense to try to model it based on number of reactors sold? Or should we focus more -- put more weight on recurring elements and roughly what would you say is the split between these reactors, hardware sales and recurring revenues in 2030?
Maximilian Slawinski
executiveThe majority of the planned revenues will be reoccurring. Either they are products or royalties and fees. So it will be not, let's say, not reactor. And what also is important until -- in this plan, until 2030, we have cumulated sold than -- minimum 10 reactors. So meaning 7 more to go. On the other side, this is an exponential curve. And I would be very happy if every time I have 100 days in a company, we achieved such a milestone. So this is, of course, very important, but the model includes to have minimum 10 reactors sold until 2030 and to have the majority of non-reactor sales revenue. So what would that mean? We have -- then, of course, when you have less dependent on reactor sales, it's less volatility, that is automatically leading to a less volatile revenue trajectory. And yes, with that, also an easier visibility than you have today. This is pretty clear. It's easier to forecast a product business than the equipment business.
Waltteri Rossi
analystJust to make sure I heard correctly. So 2030, more than 50% of sales would be recurring already at that point?
Maximilian Slawinski
executiveNot reactor business. So a product or, let's say, a license for royalties or fees revenue, yes.
Matti Riikonen
analystAnd by the way, is this semiconductors or also...
Maximilian Slawinski
executiveCanatu [indiscernible].
Matti Riikonen
analystReactors within like including all of these 3.
Maximilian Slawinski
executiveYes.
Unknown Analyst
analyst[indiscernible]. One last question. We have now talked a lot about your 2 existing reactor clients, but how is the sales pipeline for new customers developing?
Maximilian Slawinski
executiveGood. The perspective has opened with our decision to say, okay, we are an equipment company. I think that Canatu of course now very interesting in the EUV pellicle market for those who might have seen us before today as potential competitors. So let's say, opportunity widens with that. That's a starting point. And then there's a way to go to have a design in design win and orders. Sure. But overall, on the potential customer base, in particular, for the semiconductor business, that is an improvement. For the R&D business, as the naming implies, we are not seeing this any more on the long term as a purely automotive business. Automotive is, for sure, a big market and a market where we have a lot of experience and have already product successfully sold. But in particular, when we talk about the robotics market, that is a very, very promising market for Canatu? Because when you see our solutions are part of -- the solutions we have, which are part of the sensing are acting when you compare to other Tier 2 and Tier 1 companies, they do also now a new go-to-market with former automotive products. And we are following that logic as well. And also in Europe, the robotics market is other than the automotive market and organically strongly growing market. What the automotive market is, when you see the number of cars, it's always between 80 million and 100 million. It's in itself, not really strongly growing, which leads to the fact that you have in this transformational growth like in EV. And then like in EV at the moment, you suddenly have a commoditized situation with a stronger price competition. And by widening our perspective to robotics and defense, we are expecting to be positioned in markets which are not that price-sensitive, also not on the long run as they are organically far stronger and far longer growing, in particular, the robotics market. When you see the forecast for humanoid robots, relatively optimistic forecasts are saying in 10 years from now, it may be a factor of 10 bigger than the number of cars. And when you then see the bill of materials of these robots, for sensors, it's almost equal to the car, and that is a super interesting market for Canatu.
Mikko Vesterinen
executiveThank you. I think we are -- we have done with time. So I like thank you for the very good questions. And I'm just taking all the questions that we got online and most of them at least were covered already here by the audience. So, thank you.
Maximilian Slawinski
executiveyes. Thank you all a lot also from my side. Let's hope for further success in the future. Thank you for your trust.
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