Cara Therapeutics, Inc. (CARA) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
May 10, 2022
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Jason Gerberry
analystLet's get started, and we'll get all in. So good day, everybody. Thanks for joining us at the Bank of America Annual Healthcare Conference in Las Vegas. My name is Jason Gerberry, I'm one of the biotech analysts at BofA, and I'm pleased to be introducing Cara Therapeutics and CEO, Chris Posner. So Chris, thanks so much for joining us at the conference.
Christopher Posner
executiveYes, Jason, thanks for having us.
Jason Gerberry
analystYes. So great. So maybe I don't know if you wanted to coming off the quarter and 6 months into the gig as CEO of Cara, maybe what are your initial observations? And maybe just kind of set the agenda for the rest of the year, what you're most excited about?
Christopher Posner
executiveYes, Jason. Well, thanks. I mean I joined as the President and CEO in November of last year, and I was on the Board for about 3.5 years before and jumped in with 2 feet. I really believe in the mission. Starts with our mission, and we have our North Star us to be the world leader in chronic pruritus, and that's what we're set out to do. And -- we have -- as you know, Jason, we have 3 kind of critical priorities, and that's to launch KORSUVA injection, which we'll sure talk about during the session. The second is to continue developing our oral difelikefalin platform, advancing our programs, and we have 2 Phase III programs that we're very excited about that, Jo, I'm sure will talk to. And then lastly, it's really to maximize the platform itself and looking at other indications where pruritus is really implicated, and we have 2 really interesting proof-of-concept program. So from a strategic priority standpoint, it's clear, we're focused and it's about execution. I would also tell you we're excited about, too, is how we're managing our balance sheet. We extended the runway into the first half of 2024, cash runway. And we feel really good about continuing to advance on our priorities with a solid balance sheet.
Jason Gerberry
analystGreat. Maybe IV KORSUVA in the launch since it's the most topical part of the story. -- launched in April. You've got a commercial partner in Vifor. How does -- can you maybe talk a little bit how the partnership works and how much of a day-to-day insight do you have on how things are going versus just getting the end of the quarter. Here's how the performance was and what you need to reflect in your accounting. Can you just give us a little bit of a sense of how much of a line of sight you haven't and how things are going so far?
Christopher Posner
executiveYes, sure. I mean -- so first of all, it's been a great partnership. It's a really tight partnership. So we have obviously some governance committees like a joint commercial committee and a joint steering committee. And we meet on a regular cadence, but we don't just wait for those meetings to discuss things as a team. In terms of kind of the launch, Vifor is responsible for the commercial launch fully, Cara is not expanding commercial. We're not standing up a commercial organization or anything to do with that, Vifor's doing it. We launched in April this year, as I mentioned on the call yesterday, and things are really tracking to our expectations. I mean, we set out a couple of things with Vifor that we wanted to accomplish in April at launch. The first was around the product supply and ordering. And we're having dialysis centers now starting to order from the wholesalers. That's a great sign. We're actually having commercial patients now on product. So we feel really good about that first pillar of the foundational pillar. The second thing is around really motivating and educating nephrologists, and the Vifor team has a really good execution. They have a 100-person sales force. They've been out there full force doing product promotions since April. And what we've seen is they've reached nearly every nephrologist in their target list, at least once, and physicians are starting to prescribe the product. And I'll tell you, just anecdotally, real palpable excitement around this really novel treatment when they didn't have anything before. And the last thing I'll tell you about the early launch is around our patients. We think both teams think the patients could be a really critical driver for demand. And the Vifor team has really ramped up its patient pull-through activities. They announced a really first of its kind partnership with the American Kidney Fund, which is a patient advocacy group dedicated to raising the awareness of price because we feel that if patients talk to their physicians and nurses about pruritus as well as the solution called KORSUVA injection that could really help with the uptake as well. So net-net, we're really pleased with where we are after the first really 30, 40 days of the launch.
Jason Gerberry
analystYou have, I guess, more of a derm background, right? Dialysis is a unique marketplace, right? It's -- we've got dialysis centers. They're very guideline-driven from my sense. They're very economically focused because of the CMS bundle. Now in the first 2 years, you don't have to deal with that. So maybe you can -- how do you think about the first 2 years on the market, under this TDAPA reimbursement construct? I mean, I think there's only one analog and that would be Parsabiv. So is that a good analog in your view? I think the mechanism by which Parsabiv work was similar to a drug that was already on the market in Sensipar. So maybe there was a little bit more familiarity. But just curious how you kind of respond to that and how you frame that.
Christopher Posner
executiveWell, I mean you said it right, background is more in the medical dermatology field, but have been on the Board at Cara for the last 3-plus years prior to taking the CEO job. And this ecosystem, which you call end-stage renal disease is a rather unique ecosystem that's very different than the typical prescription market, that's for sure. What we see in terms of kind of the analog, I'll talk to that first. Parsabiv is a decent analog because it's the only drug to go through the sort of reimbursement that KORSUVA is and which is called TDAPA, as you know. And that means the product is reimbursed outside the bundle over the first 2 years. So Parsabiv is very similar to KORSUVA injection because we're both kind of going through that different reimbursement model. And there's a large incentive to prescribe the product for these dialysis organizations and nephrologists during the TDAPA. So it talks about the potential in these rather unique market dynamics of what a launch could look like. And Parsabiv obviously did very well during the TDAPA period where the analog kind of falls off the rail, so to speak, is the post-adapt environment. As you know, Parsabiv went into the bundle in 2021 after the TDAPA period ended. And what happened was that there was a generic equivalent called Sensipar, which is an oral version that went into the bundle with it, and it really brought down the weighted cost that was added to the funding for the bundle. So KORSUVA will go into the bundle after its TDAPA period, but there will be no generic equivalent or no oral equivalent that would be added into that bundle calculation. So we feel real good about kind of the longevity of the growth trajectory of KORSUVA injection.
Jason Gerberry
analystAnd how do you think -- if the bundle doesn't readjust, right, at a level commensurate with your net pricing for the product. How do you think organizations will price and value the benefit of alleviating that pruritus, right? It's kind of a tricky thing to probably put a price tag on, but these are very economically-driven organizations, as I understand them to be.
Christopher Posner
executiveBut they have a North Star too of treating patients. So if I look at KORSUVA injection, it's the first and only approved product to treat pruritus and dialysis patients. The current standard of care is Benadryl essentially antihistamines.And this is not a histamine mediated disease, so they don't really work terribly well. So there's a terrific unmet need. We hear that in market research, we hear that in the field. So as TDAPA expires in a few years and we go into the bundle, I have every reason to believe that CMS will recognize the utilization and add the appropriate funding to the bundle to ensure that the dialysis organizations are made whole. They're not in the business to lose money as well. So I think there's going to be some contracting that comes into play as well. But end of the day, to me, it's all about the value proposition because under your example, what happens if they don't provide funding, of course, there's nothing for these patients. Are they going to go back to Benadryl when it doesn't work? I can't imagine that.
Jason Gerberry
analystOkay. Fair enough. In terms of KORSUVA, it's a novel treatment for a lot of these practitioners do you think good in the early first few quarters, there's sort of trialing as you typically would see with the new medication as they get comfortable with the real-world experience in the safety profile, but I don't think there was like an extensive Phase IIb piloting program that preceded the market launch of this to help DOs get familiarized with it. So just curious how you kind of see that early acclimation process going?
Christopher Posner
executiveWell, I think there's going to be some trial and experience building, but a couple of things I'd speak to. One, the product was approved about 8, 9 months ago, last August, and we haven't done -- we've done a lot since then, right? The Vifor team has been out there in the community, educating nephrologists and working with the dialysis organizations talking about pruritus as a disease that needs to be recognized and needs to be treated and now the solution in KORSUV injection. So there's been a lot of market shaping work that's gone on over the last 9 months and good launches really start years in advance, right? And we've done that. I would also tell you in terms of kind of the trial period. I mean, these market dynamics are rather unique, right? I mean these are a very concentrated market with a captive patient audience. So the typical launch curves that I kind of draw out are typically S-shape, right? It takes a little time. I think here you see a more steeper launch curve given the dynamics of the market where you're really dealing with a few dialysis organizations. You're dealing with a very concentrated nephrology audience of around 4,000, and you have patients that are in the seat 3 days a week, 52 weeks a year. Those paint a picture of a stronger uptake curve. But to me, the combination of all the market prep and market shaping were couple of dynamics in the market, really talk about the potential. I mentioned yesterday, we're already seeing orders from the dialysis centers, and I think there's this pent-up demand.
Jason Gerberry
analystOkay. Great. Now my understanding is when you're in the TDAPA phase, there is still a co-pay that's associated with the treatment. And most patients are reimbursed through Medicare. As I understand it, even patients have commercial insurance if you're in dialysis for a certain duration of time, you flip over to Medicare. So in economically, a manufacturer can't cover the co-pay cost, obviously, then in that situation. So where is that economic cost going to be born on to? And just wondering to what tense it's a reasonably high-price list-price drug where those co-pay costs would go? And could that be a factor as investors think about early utilization.
Christopher Posner
executiveYes, you're right. I mean there -- this is a Medicare population predominantly, and it's an 80-20 split. So the patient has to bear 20% of the cost from end-stage renal disease for Medicare. The majority of these patients have some secondary coverage that would cover the co-pay, be it Medicaid or even a Medigap sort of insurance. So a majority of these patients will have supplemental insurance. And we also see in our research that a lot of dialysis organizations would absorb the cost of some of these co-pays if the patient has to bear that. So we'll see how that plays out. But Parsabiv kind of went through the same thing. And you're right as well, manufacturers cannot support patient co-pays given it's a government insurer.
Jason Gerberry
analystYes. Okay. So this is not a product that will track in some of the third-party aggregators on QVAR or Symphony. So how should investors generally be thinking about volume dynamics that you give? Can you talk a little bit about the metrics that you plan to provide in the upcoming quarters, just to help people track this and get a sense of how things are going?
Christopher Posner
executiveYes. So really, this quarter's call that was yesterday, I provided more qualitative color commentary on the early days of the launch. Moving forward, we're going to provide 3 critical metrics. The first is going to be total sales, of KORSUVA injection. The second will be the Cara's portion of the sales that will be in our P&L. And then the third is a great demand proxy. I call it out-movement data, and that's data going from -- and that's the units going from the wholesalers to the dialysis organizations. So we'll provide that in aggregate. Dialysis organizations or centers don't really tend to hold a lot of inventory. So we think that's a really good proxy for demand. That's what we'll provide in the early days to show some transparency on kind of the uptake of demand and launch.
Jason Gerberry
analystGot it. Okay. And maybe can you talk a little bit about ESRD patients. Do these patients often need to have a caretaker drive them to their dialysis centers, post treatment? Or is there any restrictions in the label regarding driving immediately after treatment?
Christopher Posner
executiveYes. Maybe, Jo, you can speak to the label and I'll address kind of the practicalities and what have you.
Joana Goncalves
executiveSo Jason, just as a reminder, in our clinical study, a few patients actually experienced [indiscernible]. When we look at the numbers of patients reported as we look at dizziness was about 7% of patients versus 4% or placebo. Somnolence was lower, 4% versus 2%. So overall, we expect that can be small proportion of patients who experienced dizziness and somnolence once they prescribed. So Chris if you want to...
Christopher Posner
executiveYes. And the key question, is this going to be a limit or how do patients kind of come into the dialysis and leave the dialysis.
Jason Gerberry
analystYes. Like are they monitored?
Christopher Posner
executiveI mean, yes...
Jason Gerberry
analystFor a certain period of time...
Christopher Posner
executiveThey are. At the end of the dialysis session, they're weighed again and things like that and obviously asking how they feel. But I think the critical point of that, the majority of them, almost 80%, have either a caregiver or a medical transport, taking them to and from the dialysis centers to home. So the majority don't drive themselves regardless...
Jason Gerberry
analystOkay. All right. And you kind of have a unique partnership dynamic where your partner owns dialysis centers. So how does that work in terms of -- is that a commercial advantage to have a partner when you think about the ultimate selection of Vifor as a commercial partner and how that could dictate how a product like IV KORSUVA gets put on protocols.
Christopher Posner
executiveWell, Vifor has a special joint venture with Fresenius, clearly a Fresenius accounts for nearly 40% of all dialysis clinics in the U.S. It certainly doesn't hurt in terms of uptake, I'm sure. But for us and really for Vifor, their sales force is focused on the 4,000 nephrologists across the U.S. as well as all the dialysis organizations, not necessarily discriminating just the Fresenius. So we have wide coverage, and we would expect a strong uptake across the board.
Jason Gerberry
analystOkay. And can you talk a little bit about the second half launch preparations for Europe? You've you got the recent approval and any commentary that you can provide just in terms of how you see the product being reimbursed in Europe? I know it takes anywhere 12 to 18 months, there's probably some unique differences to the marketplace as well in terms of how dialysis care is reimbursed?
Christopher Posner
executiveYes. Well, I mean, we're quite excited about the European approval called Kapruvia in Europe, and that was April 28, and the U.K. was April 29. So we're quite excited about the opportunity. You're looking at roughly 300 -- just to paint the picture, you're looking at roughly 300,000 dialysis patients in Europe. Roughly 40% of those would be addressable by KORSUVA injection. So it's a very sizable market. And again, the other critical element, similar to the U.S., there's no approved therapies in Europe or these patients. Vifor is commercializing -- Vifor Fresenius is commercializing ex U.S. And they've done -- I mentioned some of the market prep work that we've done here in the U.S. that we believe is critical to create the runway for launch. Same thing we're doing in Europe. So in pan-Europe, I mean, we were very active in Congress with CME programs, really elevating the awareness of this condition that needs to be properly taken care of. So all that market prep is working or has been undergoing and working, seeing really good tracking numbers from our awareness studies. So we should be in good shape to launch. In terms of the launch itself, second half of this year, we'll begin to roll the launch out country by country specific to when they get reimbursement. Obviously, that takes some time Germany, we anticipate will be the first country this year to launch. It's more of a free-pricing market, at least for the first year. And then some of the other Western European countries will follow. Reimbursement is unique country to country, and that will determine that. And yes, so we're quite excited again about the potential, the commercial potential in Europe.
Jason Gerberry
analystOkay. Maybe in the last 10 minutes or so, we can talk about Oral KORSUVA. This has been a program that arguably you guys haven't got a ton of credit for in the stock, probably in some of the prior Phase IIs people that caught up on the secondary endpoints around the responder thresholds. So maybe looking ahead, you've got a couple of Phase II readouts for notalgia paresthetica and PBC itch and -- how are you kind of framing expectations in lieu of kind of maybe investors focusing some on the responder thresholds and trying to just manage that expectation going into these readouts.
Christopher Posner
executiveLet me turn to Jo, maybe you can talk about notalgia paresthetica.
Joana Goncalves
executiveYes. So I think important to keep in mind these are Phase II proof-of-concept studies. And the intent is to show directionality and a signal. They're not powered to show statistical significance across all endpoints, especially second and exploratory endpoints. So I think that's important to keep in mind. The FDA doesn't expect to see statistical significance across all endpoints. So as we go into the results, I think it's important to -- for us that we are looking for a signal. As a reminder, the primary endpoint is the main change. So we're looking for a numerical separation between difelikefalin and placebo and a consistent pattern of efficacy as we've seen to date across the studies early onset, sustained effect.
Jason Gerberry
analystGot it. And in these typical hypothesis-generating signal-seeking type of studies. Can you go directly to a pivotal Phase III in certain scenarios? These are probably niche or underserved populations. So Help us think through the bridge to data and the registrational endpoints tend to be these responder thresholds. So if you come out with an outcome or maybe you don't have stats on the registrational endpoint is the next step of Phase IIb before you kind of jump into a pivotal? Or maybe how to think through some of those.
Joana Goncalves
executiveSo these are proof of concepts we are trying to understand the patient population, the placebo effects, et cetera. So we'll gather that information. We'll review the data in totality and then look to see what the next best path forward will be. And there's several ways that we can move forward, but we'll have those discussions internally and then decide and we'll certainly disclose that.
Jason Gerberry
analystOkay. And the plan is to move into Phase III with CKD itch and there's been some back and forth with regulators about Stage 3, 5 versus Stage 4, 5. And but I guess, ultimately, going to move forward with Stage 4 or 5, if I understand correctly. So how does that affect the addressable patient population and the market opportunity going from, like, say, a broader Stage 3, 5 to a 4, 5?
Christopher Posner
executiveYes, maybe I can -- I'll handle the commercial side of it and if there's a specific clinical questions. So I mean Stage 4 and 5, the addressable population is about 1.2 million patients. So it's a sizable number of patients that really, to me, extends our CKD franchise. We're already in IV or with IV and dialysis, that's roughly 0.5 million patients undergoing dialysis. You add in the 1.2 million patients in stage 4 and 5, we believe that forms a really powerful franchise. So from a commercial opportunity, again, no approved therapies in that patient population, similar same call points, right? These are the nephrologists that are currently treating the dialysis patients. They'll be the same call points as well for the oral formulation in Stage 4 and 5. So we're quite excited about Stage 4 and 5. We believe this drug will have utility there, and Jo is conducting the Phase III study in that patient population.
Jason Gerberry
analystAnd how much overlap in the 5s is there with your dialysis population that's kind of managed with IV KORSUVA and thinking about the 5s and how long are they 5s before they kind of become a patient that's going to end up in the dialysis setting?
Joana Goncalves
executiveSo from stage 5 until they get on to dialysis, it can vary approximately 1 to 2 years. And the factors that are important are what is the baseline GFR at that time? And then how quickly their kidneys are dysfunctioning. So based on those 2 parameters, it could be faster or it could be a little bit slower, but it could be between 1 to 2 years.
Jason Gerberry
analystGot it. Okay. So it sounds like this would not require more expanded commercial field force if you were successful in terms of commercializing even though it's a much broader patient population than say, where IV KORSUVA was utilized? Or do you envision that this would require a more expanded sort of sales effort? Just trying to get a sense of like, does this make sense as a partnership opportunity or something you use a company to go alone on?
Christopher Posner
executiveYes. I mean we own the rights, the worldwide rights to the oral difelikefalin franchise. So we have not partnered out any of the oral programs. And our intention is not to do that right now. So in terms of our commercialization of this as we progress this candidate through the Phase III, I mean you're looking at a very concentrated market to begin with. So you don't have to stand up a huge commercial organization you're looking at roughly 4,000 nephrologists that you would be targeting. It's a different reimbursement system. It's not in the capitated bundling system for these patients. So it would be a little different reimbursement. But I believe very strongly that Cara can stand up a commercial organization if we desire. We'll certainly look to maximize the value of this product, and I'd be receptive to partnerships probably outside the U.S. from this as well.
Jason Gerberry
analystOkay. Now maybe coming back to PBH and NP. Do you have a sense of what the historical placebo rates are? Just trying to get a sense, I know in some of the other Oral KORSUVA studies that placebo rates were probably a little higher than what you might have expected or maybe the Street was expecting.
Joana Goncalves
executiveYes. So there's a good data in these 2 areas. I mean, in the total paramedical we are the first company to conduct a study in this disease area. And PBT very limited designs are different. So not a good historical placebo response that we can use. That's why we do the top concepts to trying to understand the patient population and how they behave. So we'll wait for the data and get a better understanding.
Jason Gerberry
analystIs it -- I guess, safe to assume because it's sensory patient-reported outcome, I mean, at a minimum, we're talking probably at least 30%, 35% placebo response rate? Or is there something unique about these patients in the severity of their itch that you might think that there would be a reason to think there might not be as profound placebo effect?
Joana Goncalves
executiveIt's difficult to say what it will be, but I think what to keep in mind is the severity but also the duration of itch is important. And that sometimes helps to dictate variability. Patients have had a quite a long period of time and living with it 4 years, attention to be a little bit more sustained with less variability. So we'll wait to see what [indiscernible] it's difficult to tell now. Yes.
Jason Gerberry
analystOkay. And are those -- the trials designed in any way to minimize placebo effect?
Joana Goncalves
executiveYes. So if we look at, for example, the notalgia paresthetica based on what I've just said, we want people to come in with a chronic itch. And so one of the inclusion criteria that patients need to at least have had 6 months of chronic itch. So all go through the running period. It's important as well to make sure that patients coming in, have moderate to severe pruritus. And then also ensuring in the NP study, they're not allowed to be on any other medication in the PBC, they're allowed certain medications, but it has to be stable. So things like that helped to control for either ability that may occur.
Jason Gerberry
analystOkay. Can you remind me your IP position on Oral KORSUVA? And do you have any patent term extension that you can apply to extend the runway on Oral Korsuva?
Christopher Posner
executiveSo we have a composition of matter patent through 2027. And then we filed for the Hatch-Waxman as what we've disclosed and that would extend that for another 5 years.
Jason Gerberry
analystOkay. So 5 years on top of 2027, that would be for Oral KORSUVA? And does that apply for IV KORSUVA as well?
Christopher Posner
executiveDifelikefalin.
Jason Gerberry
analystOkay. All right. Beyond those populations, I suspect that you'll get those data and given where your resources are, I suspect that the focus would be decisions on further clinical studies. Is there any other applications that you feel like within the realm of pruritus as you think about where you want to leverage the portfolio and move your therapies into?
Christopher Posner
executiveWell, our goal was obviously to look for where pruritus is really heavily associated with chronic kidney disease and systemic dermatologic AD, atopic derm and the neurologic component, that's the notalgia paresthetica. We really wanted to demonstrate broad utility of difelikefalin regardless of the peritogen-causing the edge, and we've done that, right? We've got CKD. We've got an approval Jo is demonstrating the AD trial that it works in AD moving through to Phase III now. So we have the NP. So our focus right now -- we got a lot going on, so our focus is really executing the clinical -- the Phase III clinical programs in CKD non-dialysis dependent itch as well as AD, and then really looking at these proof-of-concept data, as Jo alluded to, that will come out this year, look at those and decide how we want to progress those. But that would really form -- kind of thinking about stacked indications that would really form a very -- a true pipeline in a product, in my mind. And then pruritus is implicated in other areas, and we'll obviously look at that. But I don't want to lose our focus on execution right now.
Jason Gerberry
analystOkay. We've got about a minute left, but maybe coming back to IV KORSUVA and it's the million-dollar question, so I saved it for the last one. But what is your internal operating assumption for how pricing rebates post TDAPA period?
Christopher Posner
executiveWell, I mean, we got to wait for what the funding is going to look like, quite honestly. So in our mind, again, it's will CMS, will provide more funding, how much? And that would determine how we think about with Vifor going to these dialysis organizations post TDAPA. Again, our confidence level, though, Jason, is such that it's so different than the Parsabiv analog and the post-TDAPA period being an innovative product with no competition, no equivalent. I feel very strongly that, that funding will be appropriate to cover these patients, and then that would dictate how we think about contracting post TDAPA.
Jason Gerberry
analystIs there any sort of information funneling to CMS that occurs during that period of time to really make a case for revisions to the bundle?
Christopher Posner
executiveThat's a work stream that is constant between Vifor, Cara as well as the patient advocacy groups, et cetera. I mean it's all about willingness to pay for innovation. So clearly, we want to ensure that the TDAPA period is carried forward post TDAPA where innovation doesn't get cut off. And if you think about the perversity of that, if they don't fund post TDAPA, that would discourage innovation. And nobody wants to see that. So there's constant work streams working with the government. And I think the good thing for me is that the government has signaled when they gave us TDAPA they want to continue to work with us during this TDAPA period. That's a really good signal to me. So we'll see how it plays out.
Jason Gerberry
analystWell, thanks so much for joining the conference.
Christopher Posner
executiveThank you, Jason, for having us, yes.
Joana Goncalves
executiveThank you, Jason.
Jason Gerberry
analystThank you, everybody.
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