Cara Therapeutics, Inc. (CARA) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
January 22, 2024
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorGood day. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to Cara Therapeutics Corporate Update Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]. After the speaker presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]. Please note that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to introduce Matt Murphy, Cara's Manager of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Matthew Murphy
executiveThank you, operator, and good morning. This morning, Cara issued a news release announcing the company's corporate strategy focus and update. Copies of this news release and the associated SEC filings can be found in the Investors section of our website at www.caratherapeutics.com. Before we begin, let me remind you that during this conference call, we will be making certain forward-looking statements about Cara and our programs based on management's current plans and expectations. These statements are being made under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and are subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially due to various factors, and Cara undertakes no obligation to update or revise these statements publicly as a result of new information or future results or developments. Investors should read the risk factors set forth in Cara's 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022, and any subsequent reports filed with the SEC including its Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2023. With that said, I'd like to turn the call over to Chris Posner, Cara's Chief Executive Officer. Chris?
Christopher Posner
executiveThanks, Matt, and welcome, everyone, to our corporate strategy update conference call. With me today are Ryan Maynard, our Chief Financial Officer; and Dr. Joana Goncalves, our Chief Medical Officer. Today, we have set Cara Therapeutics on a focused and differentiated path to deliver value in the near and long term. Our actions and sharpened strategy will make us a streamlined company, concentrating our available cash and resources on the program that we believe has the highest potential for success in the clinic and in the marketplace. We now have extended our cash runway into 2026 and with our unique focus on the late-stage notalgia paresthetica program, Cara will be leading the way in a prevalent yet unexplored and underserved medical dermatology condition. We expect prioritization of NP will allow us to execute all the program's expected value inflection points within our cash runway, putting us in a position to begin work on an NDA. I'll provide details on the exciting NP program and briefly touch on the decision to close the oral CKD program and our strategy to streamline the company. After that, we'd be happy to take your questions. Cara has an opportunity to become a pioneer in medical dermatology with our high-value late-stage program in notalgia paresthetica. NP ticks all the boxes for a breakout program for a growth-oriented biotech, a differentiated asset targeting a therapeutic area with no FDA-approved therapies and which we believe has a high probability of success. An unexplored condition with high unmet need, NP has significant commercial potential due to a sizable target population. No approved or effective therapies and no current competition in development. We estimate an addressable U.S. market of 650,000 patients who are currently in the care of a physician. And there could be more as we estimate a much larger population who are undiagnosed or undertreated. As I said, our strategic decision to focus on our NP program follows our belief in its high probability of clinical and regulatory success. Oral difelikefalin's mechanism is ideally suited for NP because of its neuromodulatory activity and antipyretic action. NP is a neuropathic disorder for which chronic pruritus is the hallmark. Our positive proof-of-concept data published in the New England Journal of Medicine has generated buzz in the dermatology community, attracting significant interest across treating physicians, patients and other stakeholders. This interest has driven rapid enrollment in our ongoing clinical trial. We are now tracking ahead of our internal time lines for our Phase II/III trial. The NP program is expected to deliver a succession of clinical milestones over the next 18 months. This includes data from the dose-finding portion of the Phase II/III trial in Q3 2024, final top line results for the first pivotal study by the end of 2025 and results from the second pivotal study in early 2026. We expect our clear strategic focus will now give us the resources to complete all necessary clinical activities for our NP clinical program with our cash on hand. We believe these value inflection points will put the company on strong footing, such as positioning us to begin work on an NDA if the final results are positive. To give us a runway to get there, we've decided to discontinue our Phase III program for oral DFK in advanced chronic kidney disease. I want to stress that this decision was based on the strength and potential of the NP program and our desire to prioritize resources for it. We remain confident in oral difelikefalin's mechanism in CKD and its potential more broadly. In light of our decision to discontinue the oral CKD program and focus on NP, we have also made the decision to implement a significant workforce reduction effective January 31. Overall, our actions to streamline the company, including the planned headcount reductions give us a sharp focus on value creation. This strategy is designed to take advantage of our strengths in identifying novel indications, designing creative clinical development programs and effectively managing our cash to create momentum for building a sustainable future. In conclusion, while the actions we are taking are difficult, we believe we are making the right cause necessary to put Cara Therapeutics in the best position to win in the near term and in the long term. Our strategy prioritizes our differentiated late-stage clinical program in NP, which we believe has the best commercial potential and a high likelihood of success. We are extending our cash runway into 2026. Our extended runway is expected to give us the firepower to complete all planned clinical trials and reach key value inflection points in the NP program. Focusing on this unexplored indication creates a differentiated opportunity to be a real pioneer in medical dermatology and the drumbeat of inflection points enabled by our runway will be the gateway to more options in the future as a sustainable growth biotech company. And now with that, we will be happy to take your questions. Olivia, please open the line for Q&A.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions]. Our first question coming from the line of Joseph Stringer with Needham. Your line is open.
Joseph Stringer
analystTwo from us. First, just briefly on the decision to discontinue the CKD program. Just curious, maybe if you could provide maybe a little bit more color on it. Just curious, you had a, I think, a planned readout coming up this year, but you mentioned it was mostly based on cash runway. Just curious if you had a look at the blinded data or any type of look at the data from that program? And I have a follow-up question.
Christopher Posner
executiveYes. Sure, Joe. So first, on the CKD trials, they remain blinded. So our decision to discontinue the program is solely based on our strategy to prioritize the NP program that we believe has the greatest long-term value. And so discontinuing the CKD program, Joe, we could extend our cash runway into 2026 and that was really important to us. It gives us the operating capital over 2 years to achieve the completion of this program and really prepare for the NDA.
Joseph Stringer
analystAnd then a follow-up, just a general question on the NP program. You mentioned the commercial opportunity. And I guess, maybe help frame for us and investors, where you see the potential of this program? What a positive readout would look like in Phase III? And is this something that you think you could develop on your own?
Christopher Posner
executiveYes. So Joe, let me tackle the commercial side of this, and maybe I'll let Jo comment on the clinical trials themselves. So like I mentioned, the addressable population is -- we estimate right now 650,000 people. They're currently under the care of a physician, namely a dermatologist. There are no FDA-approved treatments. So we have the opportunity to really be a category creator. And like I mentioned in my prepared remarks, it really ticks all the boxes of an innovative biotech company. So we're really excited about that. And I also mentioned the enrollment. The enrollment in our Phase II/III is going really, really well. I think it speaks to kind of the buzz that was generated with the New England Journal, and we continued to be very, very optimistic about that. Jo, let me turn it to you, maybe comment to Joe's question.
Joana Goncalves
executiveHi, Joe. So for a Phase III program, we would expect to show statistical significance compared to the placebo arm and our primary endpoint; as a reminder the primary endpoint is a 4-point responder analysis. So statistical significance versus the placebo investing point is what we would be seeking.
Operator
operatorOur next question coming from the line of Annabel Samimy with Stifel.
Annabel Samimy
analystJust wanted a little bit of clarification on the time line. You mentioned that you were enrolling the study more rapidly. Is there any possibility of changing the time lines to completion? Where are you in enrollment? And could you potentially complete the trial earlier than what you might have expected?
Christopher Posner
executiveSo in terms of the time lines, like I said in the prepared remarks, we are seeing excellent traction on enrollment. The current time lines would put us to Q3 2024 for the first readout of the Phase II portion of that -- the dose finding portion. And then we also mentioned we expect given those -- given the current time lines to see top line results within our cash runway, namely at the end of '25 or early '26. That's kind of where we are right now. Certainly, we'll provide much more updates as we kind of move through the enrollment, but that's kind of where we are right now.
Annabel Samimy
analystOkay. And then when you think about the clinical trials and being able to get through with the cash runway, do you have a good sense of the size of a Phase III trials already because I think the current Phase II/III is still -- still has some dose finding in it. So how is it that you get a sense of what the size of the Phase III could be?
Christopher Posner
executiveYes. We've made some estimates based on what we saw in the proof-of-concept study and based on what we expect to see in the Phase II study in terms of the treatment difference. So that's led us to make some estimates in terms of what we're going to go forward with in the pivotal programs. So that's how we kind of calculated that.
Annabel Samimy
analystOkay. And then one last question for me. I'm just going back to a question that was asked previously, is there any thought to, I guess, monetize this asset in any way or get a partner to work with you with this asset. Just given the potential size of the trial. But I mean, clearly, you have the runway. But is there -- it is quite a large market. So any thoughts about?
Christopher Posner
executiveYes. Well, specifically on our NP, I mean, Annabel, I think I mentioned a couple of comments before, our intent is not to commercialize this asset outside the U.S. So certainly, we'd be looking for partnerships, commercial partnerships outside the U.S., that's still going to be the intent. In the U.S., we have every intention to retain as much of the economic rates as possible. It's an indication that we feel -- we obviously have the expertise to commercialize upon, obviously, the Phase III data in the NDA and hopeful approval. So that would be our intent moving forward.
Operator
operatorAnd our next question coming from the line of Sumant Kulkarni from Canaccord.
Sumant Kulkarni
analystI have 2. The first one is, do you have any quantitative metrics you might be able to share on what might be considered successful on the dose finding part you expect to read out in the third quarter?
Christopher Posner
executiveSumant, let me give that to Jo if she could talk about the primary endpoint, et cetera.
Joana Goncalves
executiveSumant, so the dose finding study, just to remind everyone is a study to assess and to try and determine what dose to take forward. We wouldn't really be expecting to show any statistical significance here. It's really just to see a trend with the doses, so we can then take forward the most favorable dose and also just to be able to assess that treatment effect as well. So that's really how the study is designed. As you may recall, this is 200-patient study with 50 patients per arm.
Sumant Kulkarni
analystGot it. And then if your Phase III program were to mimic the safety profile you saw for the product in the Phase II program so far, would that be considered favorable enough of a benefit risk profile for the product to see real-world usage in NP, especially as no product is approved for that indication?
Joana Goncalves
executiveYes. I mean -- you may -- yes. You may recall Sumant, we had a really nice benefit-risk profile in our proof-of-concept study. We were very pleased with the data and the safety profile being very consistent with what we've seen to date, and that was with the higher 2-milligram twice daily. So very pleased with that and I think, of course, there will be a strong path forward into our Phase III program.
Operator
operatorAnd our next question coming from the line up of Oren Livnat with H.C. Wainwright.
Oren Livnat
analystI have a couple of questions. Just to back up first for more context around the decision to terminate the CKD program. I mean you said you still believe in the mechanism there, and there's clearly an unmet need. So can you just help us understand, did you potentially try to outlicense that program to secure enough funding just to at least get it through completion since it was relatively near term? Or did you just think that it wasn't worth commercially even pursuing at this point. Certainly you compare to NP. And then on NP, can you just clarify for the Part A dose planning portion in the third quarter, are you expecting to give us a full readout like you decided to do with the AD program, albeit hopefully successfully? Or is that just going to be an internal readout? And I actually have one follow-up, but I'll let you go.
Christopher Posner
executiveYes. Sure, Oren. So on the last one, yes, we will provide full transparency on the data for the NP program. On the first one around CKD we did explore -- I mean, we've been looking at opportunities for partnering the CKD program, but the possible timing and return really didn't make sense from a business perspective for Cara. We decided then to allocate our capital to the program that we believe has the highest probability of both clinical and commercial success. And bottom line, extending our cash runway was a very, very high priority and streamlining our focus on operations extends now a runway into '26, and that allows us to, on our time lines, our expected time lines to finish all the clinical trials for the NP program to prepare for an NDA. And so bottom line, Oren, given that the extending the runway was a key priority, a CKD partnership would have had to fund the development program and provide care value upon commercialization.
Oren Livnat
analystOkay. And just on the NP opportunity, obviously, you believe it's a much bigger market than the 650,000. First, can you clarify is that 650 -- is the vast majority of that in the dermatology space now in terms of treatment and diagnosis and treatment versus primary care? And if it's successful in Phase III, is this potentially a much larger primary care indication for this older population and thus, are you likely to maybe partner this thing or I guess, work in partnership to fully maximize this after a good data?
Christopher Posner
executiveYes. So I mean, right now, our estimates from our work suggests about 650,000 are currently being treated by physicians, namely dermatologists. So that's what we see right now in the work we've done. In terms of your question around primary care, I mean, again, these are mostly treated by dermatologists, given that this condition is really just beginning to gain kind of its recognition. And I've seen science drives recognition. And the New England Journal, I mentioned that before, is a really important kind of catalyst for this. So we'll continue to do some of the market research work to really kind of understand where the best opportunities for this program long term may be. But in the near term, it's certainly in medical dermatology. Dermatologists treat this condition, they see this condition. And like I also mentioned, there are no other assets approved by the FDA for this condition. So it's quite a unique indication that -- again, I used the word category creator. So I'm really -- and I know we're really excited about this as a company.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] Our next question coming from the line of Dennis Ding with Jefferies.
Unknown Analyst
analystThis is [ Anthia ] on for Dennis. Just wondering -- what are your thoughts around getting more value from Korsuva at this moment given the bundling dynamic?
Christopher Posner
executiveYes. So IV Korsuva is still being commercialized by the CSL. The TDAPA period will expire at the end of March. And then given the new rule or the new 2024 rule by the CMS, we expect, obviously, reimbursement now to be included in more of a bundled fashion. And like we mentioned in the previous call, I believe the Q3 earnings call, that we do not expect significant revenue contribution given these reimbursement dynamics. I mean bottom line is, obviously, it's got a lot of utility for these patients. But unfortunately, the way CMS has decided to deal with innovative drugs, it's simply not going to provide the reimbursement to catalyze real demand generation.
Operator
operatorAnd our next question coming from the line of David Amsellem with Piper Sandler.
Unknown Analyst
analystThis is Tim on for David. How are you thinking about strategic options? I know you touched on partnering the asset for NP outside the U.S., but what about an outright sales business?
Christopher Posner
executiveYes. So Tim, yes, so we -- listen, I mean, we've made a strategic decision to focus our resources on, we believe, a critical value-creating asset, which we think is going to have a significant long-term growth potential and really be the benefit of the company and the shareholders. So that's a decision we made right now. And we think it's the right decision from a value creation standpoint. So that's our sole focus right now.
Operator
operatorI see no further questions. Thank you at this time. I will now turn the call back over to Mr. Posner for any closing remarks.
Christopher Posner
executiveWell, thank you very much, Olivia. This is a new day for our company, and we look forward to sharing these updates in the quarters ahead on the fruits of this new focused corporate strategy. So thanks again for joining us, and have a great day.
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, that does conclude the conference for today. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.
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