Celestica Inc. (CLS) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
June 3, 2021
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorGood day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Celestica Capital Equipment Roundtable Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Craig Oberg, Vice President of Investor Relations and Corporate Development. Please go ahead.
Craig Oberg
executiveThank you for joining us for a discussion regarding our Capital Equipment business. On the call today are Rob Mionis, President and Chief Executive Officer; Mandeep Chawla, Chief Financial Officer; and Gregory Marvell, Vice President of Capital Equipment. As a reminder, during this call, we will make forward-looking statements within the meanings of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and applicable Canadian Securities laws, including without limitation, statements related to anticipated market trends as well as our strategies, targets, expectations and anticipated operating results. Such forward-looking statements are based on management's current expectations, forecasts and assumptions which are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual outcomes and results to differ materially from conclusions, forecasts or projections expressed in such statements, including without limitation, continued or further resurgences of COVID-19, and/or government actions in response thereto. For identification and discussion of such factors and assumptions as well as further information concerning forward-looking statements, please refer to the presentation materials accompanying this discussion available on our website, www.celestica.com, under the Investor Relations tab; our most recent management's discussion and analysis of financial conditions and results of operations, including the cautionary note regarding forward-looking statements therein; and our most recent annual report on 20-F and other public filings, which can be accessed at sec.gov and sedar.com. On this call, we will also discuss industry expectations and projections with respect to various sectors of the capital equipment market, included anticipated growth in end markets that require semiconductor components and wafer fabrication equipment spending as well as anticipated display manufacturing growth. These expectations and projections are based on and attributable to analyst estimates contained in external reports and publications identified in the presentation materials accompanying this discussion. See the section captioned Market and Industry Data of such presentation materials for a description of risks, uncertainties and limitations pertaining to forward-looking statements based on or attributable to such external reports and publications. We assume no obligation to update any forward-looking statement except as required by law. In addition, during this call, we will refer to our anticipated second quarter 2021 non-IFRS operating margin and adjusted EPS. These non-IFRS financial measures do not have any standardized meanings prescribed by IFRS and may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other public companies that use IFRS or who report under U.S. GAAP and use non-GAAP financial measures to describe similar operating metrics. We do not provide reconciliations for forward-looking non-IFRS financial measures. And we are unable to provide a meaningful or accurate calculation or estimation of reconciling items, and the information is not available without unreasonable effort. We are also unable to address the probable significance of the unavailable information. Forward-looking non-IFRS financial measures may vary materially from the corresponding IFRS financial measures. Unless otherwise specified, all references to dollars on this call are to U.S. dollars, and per share information is based on diluted shares outstanding. During this call, we do not intend to nor, in our view, will we disclose any material nonpublic information. Let me now turn the call over to Mandeep.
Mandeep Chawla
executiveThanks, Craig. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us on today's Capital Equipment roundtable discussion. Before we pass the call over to Rob and Greg to provide a deep dive into our Capital Equipment business, I wanted to address some recent developments and note that we have reaffirmed our Q2 2021 guidance. As discussed on our Q1 2021 results conference call, the supply environment is currently constrained, resulting in extended lead times for most electronic components. We continue to work very closely with our customers and suppliers by using advanced planning tools and effective resource management practices, largely mitigating the impact thus far on our business. I want to highlight a recent development in Malaysia. The decision by the Malaysian government to lock down nonessential public and private workforces is an important step to curb the recent rise in COVID-19 cases in that region. The Malaysian authorities consider Celestica's workforce to be essential. And therefore, our Malaysian facilities continue to operate during the lockdown, albeit at a reduced capacity. While our facilities in Malaysia are important to our operations, our diversified footprint is helping us to manage through the impact from this reduction in capacity. As of right now, the issues in Malaysia are not having a material impact on Celestica. However, the situation is fluid, and we will continue to evaluate and respond as circumstances evolve. As stated in our May 26 press release, we are reaffirming our Q2 2021 guidance, which we provided during our first quarter earnings call. We continue to expect our revenue to be within the range of $1.325 billion to $1.425 billion. As a reminder, for our nonfiscal portfolio, achievement of the midpoint of our revenue guidance range would represent revenue growth of 3% year-over-year. We also continue to expect second quarter non-IFRS adjusted earnings per share to range between $0.21 to $0.27. At the midpoint of our revenue and adjusted EPS guidance ranges, non-IFRS operating margin would be approximately 3.5%. This would represent the sixth consecutive quarter of year-to-year margin expansion. I would now like to turn the call over to Rob, who will open up the discussion on our Capital Equipment business. Rob, over to you.
Robert Mionis
executiveThank you, Mandeep. While the semiconductor space has been the subject of much attention from the investment community in recent quarters, here at Celestica, we have spent decades investing in the depth and breadth of our service offerings within our Capital Equipment business. As one of the largest capital equipment manufacturers in the industry, we believe that this is the right time to highlight the unique advantages and capabilities of our Capital Equipment business. Capital Equipment is an instrumental part of our overall strategy and key enabler for our ATS segment to achieve long-term segment revenue growth of 10% and target segment margins of 5% to 6%. Capital Equipment revenue is expected to exceed $700 million this year, a record for the business, growing over 30% compared to 2020. And its margins operate at the high end of our ATS segment target margin range. Recent semiconductor shortages highlight an important set of structural factors, supporting the strong growth and demand we are experiencing within the capital equipment space. And Celestica is ready to capitalize on these opportunities. Our market leadership position, built upon leading edge vertical capabilities and the global manufacturing footprint all reflect the level of investment and strategic focus our company has dedicated to this business. We believe that there is an opportunity for us to unlock significant shareholder value from our Capital Equipment business. And at the end of today's discussion, we hope that you have a better understanding of the differentiated nature of our offering. We have created a model that enables us to provide greater value than traditional EMS players in this market. We do not believe our business model is fully understood by the market. And as such, the more favorable financial profile and attractive growth prospects of the business are not fully reflected in our valuation. I would like to thank all of you for joining us today, and I would now like to turn the call over to Greg Marvell, Vice President of Capital Equipment. Greg, over to you.
Greg Marvell
executiveThanks, Rob. As Rob stated, we believe that Celestica's Capital Equipment business offers an incredible opportunity to capitalize on our years of investment and the secular trends that are driving fundamental shifts in the market. We spent the last decade building world-class capabilities, developing unmatched new product introduction expertise and establishing our market-leading competitive position through key investments and strategic acquisitions. The Capital Equipment market is in the early stages of an expected multiyear stretch of cyclical strength. In the last downturn, we optimized our cost structure while expanding capabilities and did not sacrifice capacity, quality or on-time performance. These operational improvements, in combination with very strong bookings, have resulted in a material increase in our market share over the last few years, and we're starting to reap the benefits as growth returns to the market. In addition, our differentiated model is leading to continued new program wins with our customers. As a result, Celestica's revenue growth in this space is anticipated to outpace the level of market growth expected by the industry this year. There are a number of macro drivers that underpin the current market dynamics in the semiconductor display space. In wafer fab equipment, we're experiencing very strong underlying demand as highlighted by the well-publicized shortage of semiconductors. The macro trends of continued digitization of the economy and increased connectivity are supporting growth and demand for chips, multibillion-dollar addressable markets such as the Internet of Things, 5G services and connectivity trends, within the automotive sector, are all projected to grow considerably over the next half decade or more. Other underlying dynamics, including remote work from home and learn from home trends, which have accelerated as a result of the COVID pandemic and spending growth in markets such as cloud computing, gaming and artificial intelligence are expected to bolster the demand for semiconductor for several years to come. These end markets are expected to sustain double-digit annual growth rates into the latter part of this decade, providing secular tailwinds for chip demand, which chip makers are already struggling to accommodate. Naturally, this bullish outlook for growth in end markets that require semiconductor components is expected to further fuel demand for wafer fab equipment. Chip manufacturers have announced plans to increase capital spending substantially over the next several years to support higher levels of production capacity. As a result, analysts estimate that the wafer fab equipment spending is expected to reach $86 billion globally, a more than 43% increase compared to an already strong 2020 year, where spending totaled $60 billion globally. In addition to broader supply chain shortages due to increased demand, advancements in chip manufacturing methods are also driving increased spending on wafer fab equipment, such as the proliferation of extreme ultraviolet lithography systems, which spending is expected to more than double by 2025. In the memory market, fundamentals remain healthy. We're seeing NAND inventories being depleted, with NAND manufacturers beginning to see pricing stability and even some recovery in pricing in recent quarters. Our recent quarters have seen a cyclical trough in demand for display capital equipment, the outlook is encouraging. We expect that spending will resume supported by a number of OLED technology shifts and key tailwinds propelled by mobile, TV and IT application advancements. The display market is expected to experience considerable growth over the next 4 years with an estimated 27% compound annual growth rate in 2025. Anticipated growth in OLED is supported by increased commercial adoption, growth in popularity of large-format panels and next-generation panels and the Internet of Things. In addition, an increased need for smart screen applications is driving mini/micro LED growth. As previously mentioned, we made significant investments in our Capital Equipment business over the last decade. I would like to take some time to talk about those investments and how they were instrumental in developing our key capabilities and value proposition for our customers. While we find ourselves in a great position to capitalize on today's tailwinds, this was a result of long-term, sustained focus on making the necessary investments in our NPI, geographic footprint, vertical capabilities and supply chain development. Celestica first entered the Capital Equipment business in 2011, with our acquisition of Brooks Automation's extended factory business. This acquisition provided us with a foothold into the capital equipment markets, with capabilities in complex manufacturing systems and integration services. The following year, we acquired Fremont, California-based D&H manufacturing company. This acquisition was a key investment towards supporting our vertical integration by enhancing our capabilities in precision machining and assembly. In 2013, Celestica made its first significant greenfield investment in our Capital Equipment business with our Johor, Malaysia facility expansion. With this investment, we significantly bolstered our low-cost, high-volume manufacturing capability, strategically located in close proximity to some of our key customers' factory sites. After 5 more years of consecutive annual revenue growth in our Capital Equipment business, in 2018, Celestica acquired Impakt Holdings. This acquisition was important on numerous fronts. It helped Celestica gain its strong foothold in the display market, allowed us to fully integrate a number of key differentiated capabilities, including fluid distribution systems, machining parts cleaning and expanded our strategic geographic footprint to serve key OEM customers and their end customers with facilities in Northern California and South Korea. Because of the Impakt acquisition, we have also received new bookings for our semi business from existing customers. Celestica's Capital Equipment offering consists of unique services and capabilities relative to our traditional EMS peers. As I highlight some of those key differentiators, I hope to convey why we believe that our Capital Equipment business is truly best-in-class. Our business is growing due to early involvement in NPI programs and the flawless launch to our volume manufacturing sites, supporting our OEM customers' diverse and evolving needs. The competitiveness of our offerings centers on meeting our customers' critical needs for faster time to market, continuous innovation, integrated solutions and increasingly, the flexibility and responsiveness to accommodate rapid increases in demand. We are able to accomplish this through a mix of unmatched design and NPI solutions in wafer fab equipment and display, deep expertise developing supply chain capacity and a strategic global geographic network provide timely and comprehensive services to our key OEM customers around the world. This set of capabilities, which is unique amongst our peers, places Celestica in a leadership position in the capital equipment market. This evolution has changed our competitive landscape as our differentiated model enables us to provide our customers with additional value relative to our traditional EMS peers, driving stronger margins and deeper customer relationships. I'd now like to zoom in on our key differentiators, which is our strategic geographic footprint. Our global network consists of 6 leading edge Capital Equipment centers of excellence across South Korea, Malaysia and the Western United States. Our facilities are located in close proximity to key OEM customers. In the U.S., we are located close to our customers to support local engineering and NPI programs, which are mostly transitioned to our Asia locations that are close to our customers' volume manufacturing sites. This combination allows for unmatched speed to market facilitating close collaboration and embedded relationships with our teams. This allows us to deliver our customers a far more comprehensive suite of solutions beyond simple, low-cost, high-volume manufacturing, which remains a value proposition of some of our competitors in the capital equipment market. Celestica has a wide array of service offerings within our 3 key capital equipment submarkets, semi, display and adjacent markets. The semi end market remains our largest submarket. Our business works with the majority of the leading semiconductor wafer fab equipment OEMs in the industry, and we remain a top solutions provider, leveraging our supply chain, engineering expertise and specialized vertical capabilities to deliver solutions with speed to market and at a competitive cost. Our solutions include U.S.-based engineering NPI team, which works with customers to finalize their designs as well as prepare the products to move our volume manufacturing sites leveraging our high level assembly and vertical capabilities. In addition, we've invested significantly in the development of established supply base in regions we serve enabling increased capacity for our customers. Our key capabilities in the display market are bringing us further opportunities enabling the 2018 acquisition of Impakt Holdings and the organic investments made in the years that have followed. The size and complexity of display equipment requires highly dedicated engineering expertise and specialized manufacturing assets. Display equipment is exceptionally large and complex, and we are able to design, manufacture and qualify a majority of the products in our facilities and quickly deliver to end customer locations near our facilities. As an example, the equipment is the size of a small house and requires over 50 trailer trucks to deliver 1 system, so proximity to end customers is important. Given that 2019 and 2020 were challenging years in the display capital equipment markets, our investment in Impakt is yet to realize its full potential. However, we believe that the fundamentals of the acquisition still hold and positions us to benefit from the reemerging growth in the market. In addition, we're leveraging some key vertical capabilities brought to us by the acquisition, which include fluid distribution subsystems and machine parts cleaning, which are driving future growth in these areas for both the display and semi businesses. Finally, I want to touch on some of our exciting adjacent markets, where we see meaningful opportunities to leverage our core capabilities to expand access to other markets, further diversifying our Capital Equipment portfolio. We are focusing our efforts, in particular, on categories with strategically advantageous characteristics, including large and rapidly growing addressable markets with higher margins and which are countercyclical to our core wafer fab equipment and display businesses. Some of the areas where we have strong proof points, such as robotics, automated warehouse systems, synthetic diamond manufacturing, automated or smart vending and other commercial and service equipment require the same capabilities and expertise as our core semi and display businesses. These businesses constitute a small but growing portion of our Capital Equipment portfolio, and we see them increasing as a percentage of our business in the years to come. In closing, we have highlighted the significant investments and acquisitions we have made over the past decade, and we have worked to build an industry-leading offering in the capital equipment space. We feel that our investments have placed us in a very strong competitive position with the ability to deliver unparalleled value to our OEM customers across a breadth of markets and throughout the value chain. This concludes the presentation portion of our call. I would like to thank all of you for joining us today to learn more about our Capital Equipment business. I would like to now turn the call over to the operator for Q&A with myself, Rob and Mandeep.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Ruplu Bhattacharya from Bank of America.
Ruplu Bhattacharya
analystMaybe my first question, I wanted to focus on the semi cap part of the Capital Equipment business. Can you help us size how much of the revenue is from lithography versus process control versus deposition, etch equipment, maybe not in dollar terms, but just in terms of the relative size of your business in these 3 categories? And where does Celestica have a competitive advantage? I mean is there one aspect that is more favorable and if you can just talk about the details on what type of equipment you're making?
Greg Marvell
executiveYes, sure. So in terms of end customer equipment, we really provide equipment to -- for all aspects of the semi business. We work with a majority of the major customers like Applied Materials, Lam, ASML. So we touch all the process technologies. In terms of the wafer fab equipment business itself, the equipment is very sophisticated. As you know, you can have an average tool price of between $10 million and $250 million, right, if it's a lithography, it's the higher end. But the modules that we support requires stringent specifications such as tolerances. And just, obviously, a lot of the equipment that we process and provide actually processes wafer line width that are less than 7 nanometers. And so incredible requirements for the -- both structure and the automation integration. Also contamination control, there can be no particles in these systems. So when we design and manufacture, I guess they have to very specialized factories to build in clean areas. And then also, all your supply chain needs to meet specifications in terms of outgassing and coding. And then the industry is copy exact. So when we do design and build with our model, we're able to build that product for quite some time. So we have 25 years history in this area, long-term relationships. And then the model itself is that, obviously, we support design manufacturing. We have key verticals. Our supply chain is -- so our verticals, every item that we manufacture, we have a vertical. So we've learned a lot about the manufacturing techniques, enabling us to take cost out of the product. And then our supply chain, we have developed key suppliers where we develop them ourselves. We have a large network of supplier development engineers, that develop the suppliers in regions close to our factories. So it enables faster time to market for us. As I mentioned, it serves as an industry-leading pipeline for our new programs because customers are coming to us with this differentiated model. And then the margins are better than the traditional EMS.
Ruplu Bhattacharya
analystGot it. No, that's helpful. Maybe for my follow-up, I'll ask you a question on the other side of the business, which is the display part. In terms of your business, are you more tied towards smartphones or TVs. And I think Rob had mentioned that this year, the whole Capital Equipment business is going to be about $700 million. I'm assuming most of that is semi cap, not display. But in the long-term, in steady state, do you think that the display segment can also get to like a double-digit percent of your overall revenue? And just in steady state, how do you see the mix of revenue between semi cap and display?
Greg Marvell
executiveYes. No problem. I mean we serve end applications. We serve mobile, TV and IT altogether. In terms of our business, semiconductors are always going to be a high percentage of the business. We are diversifying into display as well as adjacent markets. Those will grow, but semi will always be the largest portion of our business.
Operator
operatorYour next question comes from the line of Jim Suva from Citigroup.
Jim Suva
analystYou'd mentioned in your prepared comments about lead times. Can you help us understand what is typically normal lead times in this business? Because I assume it's quite longer than consumer goods or other things like that, given the complexity and uniqueness of it. So what's kind of normal? And then you mentioned you're seeing extended. What do you mean by extended? Can you quantify it? Is it like after a month or quarter or something like that?
Greg Marvell
executiveYes, sure. So with our semi business, lead times are typically in the 6-week range. But recently with COVID concerns, that's changed by about a month at this point. And then the display business is a little bit longer lead times, it's 10 to 12 weeks. Haven't experienced any adjustments in those lead times at this point for that product line.
Operator
operatorYour next question comes from the line of Thanos Moschopoulos from BMO Capital.
Thanos Moschopoulos
analystGiven the growth in the segment and the future growth you're anticipating, can you speak to how you're able to scale up the capacity? Does that scale up pretty linearly? Are there any points which you might have to contemplate more significant investments? And what's your current utilization looking like? If you can comment on that.
Greg Marvell
executiveYes. Sure. So right now, one thing that has differentiated us is that we have our own vertical capabilities that we've invested in, machining, cables, power, et cetera. And we've also developed suppliers. So when we exceed our capacity, we've developed them to leverage their capabilities, that we've developed with them. And so we've added a great deal of additional capacity in terms of supply chain. And then our sites, we are expanding largely with clean rooms and new space. And right now, we're sizing our business to accommodate not only all the market share gain that we're driving, but also anticipating the market growing, as we've stated and shown in the Gartner graph that we provided to you.
Thanos Moschopoulos
analystOkay. Great. And then in terms of the sourcing dynamic, are these typically, given the complexities, often sole sourced or do customers dual source as been the case in other verticals?
Greg Marvell
executiveYes. It's a -- it's really a combination. In some cases, we help design, build the platform, and then we transition from our NPI team to our volume manufacturing sites. So a lot of times, that's single source. There are some programs where the customer just needs to have business continuity requirements and needs the product to be built in different regions of the world. So they will outsource a portion of that share to someone else. But we -- right now, we have the highest percentage of share for all of our customers.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] Your next question comes from the line of Robert Young from Canaccord.
Robert Young
analystThe semi space, as I understand it, is highly cyclical. And so I was curious, I mean, despite the fact that you seem to be at the front end of a positive part of the cycle. I mean as you look forward, like, are there any strategies that you have to smooth that out in the future? Are some of these adjacencies strategies to do that? Maybe if you're looking out a couple of years, are we going to see another downturn in this segment of your business?
Greg Marvell
executiveYes. So I'll start by answering by saying the last downturn was 2019. And since then, the market has been growing. And as I described in the presentation, growth drivers such as 5G, Internet of Things, Artificial Intelligence are driving chip demand up for the foreseeable future. So we feel the future is very strong. That's one item. The second is we're growing market share tremendously because of this model that we have. If there's a year where maybe the business comes down slightly, we can adjust with this market share gain. And then you're correct, we are diversifying the business. That's why we wanted to get into display. It has a bit different cycle than semi. And then the adjacent markets, we're investing in this area. As I described earlier, we have proof points there, robotic warehouse systems and automated smart vending. We -- these are growing markets. They require very stringent manufacturing just like semi and display does. And so we're investing. We just hired an industry automation expert to help us drive the strategy in growth of that particular submarket. And he's on several committees within the U.S., but we're investing. We're investing in engineers to grow in that area. It's a small part of the business now, but we do see it growing.
Robert Young
analystOkay. And maybe for my second question, if you could talk about the margin structure between the 2 business, the display and semi cap, I think you said semi cap was at the high end of your 5% to 6% range for ATS. Would -- display sounds as though it's a business that would be at even higher than that given these large complex systems. Maybe if you could give some more color around that?
Mandeep Chawla
executiveYes, Rob. It's Mandeep here. Yes, you heard correctly. I mean the business is performing very well right now in aggregate Capital Equipment. So with the semiconductor business continuing to show strength and with the display industry, frankly, still not at deep demand levels, we are able to operate at the high end of the target margin range 5% to 6%. We are seeing that there's still an opportunity on the display side. So it actually goes to your previous question a little bit as well, where we still do have some demand drivers in front of us. And we believe that when the semi business and the display business are both at maximum strength that the business in combination can be above the 6% target margin range. So we're pleased with the margin trend right now, but with some more display concentration, we do have the ability to expand margins further.
Operator
operatorYour next question comes from the line of Paul Steep from Scotia Capital.
Paul Steep
analystMaybe 2 questions. We'll do the easy one first. Just in terms of just helping us actually understand the dynamics of the core business, could you talk to what bookings visibility looks like, not near term, but just the dynamics of it, how well you have bookings visibility on the business? And if there's any differentiation between semi and display? And then I've got 1 follow-up for [indiscernible].
Greg Marvell
executiveYes, sure. So right now, in terms of bookings visibility, in terms of just pure orders, we have -- in semi, it's -- we have a forecast that slot plan for 9 months, that it's rolling every month and we reviewed it with our customers. And then for display, it's 6 months, and we do the same. And then in terms of just new business, we've got a lot of new NPI projects that are coming to us because customers want to leverage this model. As we work on a new project, define which projects we're going to prioritize and go after, it really takes about 1.5 years to take a new program to book it and move it to volume.
Paul Steep
analystPerfect. And that's about the same for both segments, Greg?
Greg Marvell
executiveYes, yes.
Paul Steep
analystOkay. Fantastic. That helps give context. Last one is this. You're investing in the business. It looks like, obviously, returns on capital in this area of the business presumably are higher than other areas. What would be the gating factor to doing either a transformational or a bigger investment to further accelerate this part of the business?
Robert Mionis
executiveThis is Rob. I'll take that one. In terms of the broad company and the exposure that capital has within all of ATS, within all of Celestica, we're happy with the level of concentration we are -- that we have with Capital Equipment. So further investments from an inorganic perspective is probably not something we would be interested in doing. However, we are always interested in high ROI, high-return organic investments to further strengthen our capabilities and further keep ourselves differentiated from the rest of the pack, if you will.
Paul Steep
analystGreat. Sorry, just one clarification. I'll sneak in here on that, Rob. Just on -- you've talked about the adjacencies, which should we not think that you wouldn't look to do some type of an inorganic deal that would maybe help push the boundary of capital out if Greg and the team and Mandeep and the team could find something that fit or no?
Robert Mionis
executiveLet me say never. But at this stage of the game, that type of acquisition would probably be niche or tuck-in and would be capability based. When we recently took a look at the market in terms of expanding in some of the adjacencies that Greg mentioned, we made the decision that it would make more sense for us to organically build it based on the proof points that we have been able to establish for us is to go out and buy it. But those types of decisions are things that we often talk about as the business and as a leadership team.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] Your next question comes from the line of Paul Treiber from RBC Capital Markets.
Paul Treiber
analystJust trying to understand the TAM, the total addressable market in both semi and display a bit better relative to what you're doing right now. But can you speak to how much of that TAM do you currently have the capability of addressing or you're currently in that market? And then when you look at that sort of remaining TAM, both within semi and display, how -- what sort of the path organically -- sounds organically to try to address the TAM outside of what you're currently doing?
Greg Marvell
executiveYes, sure. So the TAM for outsourcing for both markets is typically 30% of the overall market. So if we're talking about a $75 billion market for 2021, it's in the 30% range. And then very similar for display. So obviously, there's a lot of outsourcing that's occurring. Our model is really differentiating us to go after the key platforms that we are negotiating and working with our customers. And as I mentioned earlier, we do have capacity at our volume manufacturing sites and in our NPI centers to grow the share moving forward. I'll just give you an example, 41 -- since 2019, 41% of our current revenue is from new market share -- excuse me, is from new wins or market share gains. And so we see that trend occurring going forward. And obviously, we're setting cells up for the capacity to meet that type of growth going forward as well as this market -- the semi market, as I explained earlier, is going to grow substantially based on what the Gartner information we showed you.
Paul Treiber
analystThat's really helpful. Just on the point about market share gains and new wins, I imagine the vast majority of customers are probably returning customers. How do customers typically evaluate the performance of your products and services? And do you know generally speaking, how this tends to stack up against competitors?
Greg Marvell
executiveYes. Yes. So that's a great question. As I stated in our presentation, we really have set up a differentiated model, particularly for high level assembly modules, which is the fastest outgrowing area, atmospheric front end system, vacuum systems. The NPI capability we've set up, the verticals and the supply chain are unique. Competitors do not have that level of service, in particular, in those 3 areas. So it's leading additional share for us. Customers are going to us because we've got a 25-year history with them. We've been performing, continuing to grow with them. And our sites are located in the right geographic areas, where their volume manufacturing sites are located. So it's been a great model, it's differentiated us. I would also add here that our competitors largely include subsystem companies, like I'll give you examples, UCT and Ichor. And not necessarily a build-to-print traditional EMS company. So customers are valuing our solution, and we're driving higher margins. And we're providing them the capacity they need at the right cost points that they require.
Operator
operatorThere are no further questions. I'll now turn the call back to Rob Mionis for closing comments.
Robert Mionis
executiveThank you. We hope that today's presentation has provided you with a better understanding of our Capital Equipment business and the differentiated nature of our offering. As I mentioned earlier, we're targeting to exceed $700 million of revenue in 2021, growing over 30% compared to 2020. It truly is an exciting time for our customers and our employees. Once again, I want to thank you for joining today's conference call. And we look forward to updating you on our progress soon. Stay safe.
Operator
operatorThat concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.
For developers and AI pipelines
Programmatic access to Celestica Inc. earnings transcripts and 32,000+ others is available through the
EarningsCalls.dev REST API. Plans from $24.99/month — full transcripts, speaker segments,
full-text search, and the recently-added /api/v1/transcripts/recent polling endpoint for ETL pipelines.