Central Puerto S.A. ($CEPU)

Earnings Call Transcript · May 13, 2026

BASE AR Utilities Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers Earnings Calls 35 min

Highlights from the call

In the first quarter of 2026, Central Puerto S.A. reported strong financial performance, with revenues of $248.6 million, a 43.8% increase quarter-on-quarter and a 26.7% increase year-on-year. Adjusted EBITDA reached $120.0 million, reflecting a 41.6% quarter-on-quarter growth and a 33.4% year-on-year increase. Management signaled a constructive outlook for 2026, highlighting ongoing market normalization and the potential for further revenue growth through increased contracted sales and operational excellence.

Main topics

  • Revenue Growth: Central Puerto's revenues surged to $248.6 million, marking a 43.8% increase from the previous quarter and a 26.7% increase year-on-year. Management noted that this growth was driven by 'higher contracted and spot revenues' and contributions from new generation assets.
  • Adjusted EBITDA Performance: Adjusted EBITDA reached $120.0 million, a 41.6% increase quarter-on-quarter and 33.4% year-on-year. The CEO emphasized that this reflects 'efficient operations and a better revenue mix' as the company benefits from new power generation assets.
  • Market Normalization: Management highlighted the ongoing normalization of the wholesale electricity market under Resolution 400-25, which has allowed Central Puerto to achieve a leading commercial position. They stated, 'We expect continued operational excellence and financial performance' as the market matures.
  • Capital Expenditure: Capital expenditures for the quarter totaled $301.0 million, driven by significant investments in the Piedra del Aguila concession and BESS construction. The CFO noted that this capital intensity is part of their strategic growth plan.
  • Acquisition of Patagonia Energy: Central Puerto acquired Patagonia Energy S.A. for $50 million, entering the oil and gas sector with significant potential in the Vaca Muerta formation. Management described this as a 'compelling investment thesis' with potential value unlocking of up to $600 million.

Key metrics mentioned

  • Revenue: $248.6 million (up 43.8% QoQ vs $172.8 million in 4Q '25, up 26.7% YoY vs $196.3 million in 1Q '25)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $120.0 million (up 41.6% QoQ vs $84.7 million in 4Q '25, up 33.4% YoY vs $89.9 million in 1Q '25)
  • Total Generation: 5,420 GWh (up 54.2% QoQ vs 3,515 GWh in 4Q '25)
  • Capital Expenditure: $301.0 million (includes $225.0 million for Piedra del Aguila shares)
  • Net Financial Leverage Ratio: 1.06x (compared to adjusted EBITDA of $367.2 million)
  • Net Financial Debt: $390.8 million (against last 12 months adjusted EBITDA of $367.2 million)

Central Puerto's strong first quarter results and strategic initiatives position the company favorably for future growth. The successful transition to contracted sales and ongoing market normalization are key catalysts to monitor. However, challenges in gas procurement and transportation capacity may pose risks to achieving their targets.

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

Operator
#1

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to Central Puerto's First Quarter of 2026 Earnings Conference Call. A slide presentation is accompanying today's webcast and will be also available on the Investors section of the company's website. www.centralpuerto.com/en/investors. [Operator Instructions] please note, this event is being recorded. If you do not have a copy of the press release, please refer to the Investor Relations support section on the company's corporate website at www.centralpuerto.com. In addition, a replay of today's call will be available in upcoming days by accessing the webcast link at the same section of the Central Puerto's website. Our host today will be Mr. Fernando Bonnet, Central Puerto's CEO; Mr. Enrique Terraneo, the company's CFO; and Mrs. Maria Laura Feller, Head of Investor Relations; and Mr. Alejandro Diaz Lopes, Head of Corporate Finance. Maria Laura, please go ahead.

Maria Laura Feller

Executives
#2

Thank you very much. Good morning, and welcome, everyone. We are joining you today from Buenos Aires with our management team to report on the results of the first quarter of 2026 and to answer any questions you may have. Before we begin, I would like to remind everyone that today's presentation, as referenced on Slide 2, contains forward-looking statements and non-IFRS financial measures, including adjusted EBITDA. These statements are based on management's current expectations and are subject to risks and uncertainty. Please refer to the full disclaimer in our slide deck and on our website for further information. The company has changed its functional currency from Argentine pesos to US dollars effective January 1, 2026, so applicable to 1Q '26 financial figures. For previous quarters, figures are presented in U.S. dollars converted from Argentine pesos using the reference exchange rate reported by the Argentine Central Bank at the end of each period. With that, let us move to the highlights of the quarter. Turning to Slide 3. The first quarter 2026 was a strong quarter for Central Puerto, characterized by outstanding commercial execution and continued progress in market normalization following resolution 425. Let me walk you through our key metrics. Adjusted EBITDA reached $120.0 million, representing a 41.6% increase quarter-on-quarter versus $84.7 million in 4Q '25 and 33.4% year-on-year growth versus $89.9 million in 1Q '25. This result reflects the full benefit of new generation assets, commercial contracting gains and the normalization of the wholesale electricity market. Revenues totaled $248.6 million, up 43.8% quarter-on-quarter versus 4Q '25 and up 26.7% year-on-year versus 1Q '25, driven by higher contracted and spot revenues, the contribution of Prigador Lopez combined cycle and the new solar farms added in 2025. Total generation for the quarter was 5,420, a 54.2% increase quarter-on-quarter, largely reflected by Oxion by solar and Amani. Total generation in the restoration of Central Costanera combined cycle units and the addition of new installed capacity. Capital expenditure for the quarter amounted to USD 301.0 million, including the USD 225.0 million transfer of Piedra del Aguila shares following the concession award renewal and USD 66.0 million in BSS construction and maintenance works. Our net financial leverage ratio stands at 1.06x with net financial debt of $390.8 million against the last 12 months adjusted EBITDA of $367.2 million. The fund investment credit outstanding balance is $105.8 million. On the credit rating front, we received an upgrade to GPA from Moody's Argentina. From a strategic perspective, the concession renewal of Piedra del Aguila for 30 years to January 2056 is a landmark achievement, securing a flagship hydro asset under a new long-term framework. Additionally, our BESS project at the Central Puerto facility is advancing well with 60% of site works completed, 32 concrete pads finished and Phase 1 of the 132-kilobit yard work done. Market normalization continues under Resolution 4025, and Central Puerto has achieved a leading commercial position in the newly established term market. More on that on the next slide. Moving to Slide 4. In the first quarter of 2026, Central Puerto achieved a decisive commercial breakthrough under the new market framework established by Resolution 400-25. Our contracting performance in the newly established term market, we could highlight that. Central Puerto held #1 market share in MAP, the contracted capacity segments for thermal and hydro [ fraffes ]. In [ AmateE ], the contracted energy segment for thermal and hydro, Central Puerto held the #2 market share. Overall, 44% of our 1Q '26 revenues were generated from contracted sales, demonstrating our ability to quickly capitalize the market opportunities. Turning to Slide 5 for the earnings summary. First quarter 2026 adjusted EBITDA came in at USD 120.0 million with an adjusted EBITDA margin reflecting efficient operations and a better revenue mix. The 41.7% quarter-on-quarter increase was driven by higher spot revenues from market normalization under resolution for 100 2025. The contribution of the BrigaderLopez combined cycle, which achieved its COD in January 2026 with an additional gas turbine closing the SSEC configuration, having 140 megawatts. Full quarter contributions from 2025 solar acquisitions, Cafaate and San Carlos and the solid performance of our wind farms. On the revenue side, the 44% quarter-on-quarter increase to $248.6 million reflected contracted revenues growing from new PPA sales from Brigader Lopez, active participation in MA contracting and contributions from Pedra delaguila. -- spot revenues improving due to market normalization, restored volumes at Central Costanera following its 4Q '25 maintenance and $8 million from self-procured natural gas. On a year-on-year basis, the 33.5% EBITDA growth and 27% revenue growth there score the structural improvement in our earnings profile. Moving to Slide 6 for a review of our generation and availability performance. Total generation for the quarter was 5,420 gigawatt, up 54% quarter-on-quarter. This significant jump was primarily driven by the maintenance works of Central Costanera, Mitsubishi and cements combined cycle units, which have been under maintenance during 4Q '25. The addition of Brigadier Lopez combined cycle, which contributed incremental generation since its COD in January 2026. Adding plus 229 megawatts to our installed capacity on a quarter-on-quarter basis. In the first quarter, Central Petro acquired 100% of the shares of Patagonia Energy S.A. or Vesa. For a total consideration of $50 million. [indiscernible] holds a 10-year conventional expectation license for the Aguada deltibato and Aguada de Bocar blocks in Ucan province, Vale through May 2031. The investment thesis is compelling for several reasons. The blocks cover over 27,000 oil-focused acres in the northern area of the Vaca Mortaplay, an area adjacent to blocks that have already derisked the black oil window of this world-class formation, low entry cost per acre and a limited exploratory phase plan with an existing oil treatment plant facility of 1,900 barrels per day already in operation. Solid geological evidence of unconventional hydrocarbon potential in Targo landing zones, assessed by qualified geologists based on existing conventional drilling data. Under our successful development scenario, this is a potential REG related investment opportunity of up to $600 million to unlock the potential value of these assets. We are currently advancing a derisking plan backed by international unconventional play experts. Our balance sheet remains solid, though the quarter was capital intensive due to the Piedra del Aguila concession transact. Total outstanding financial debt stands at $539 million against cash and financial current assets of foreign $148.4 million, resulting in a net financial debt of $319 million. Against our last 12 months adjusted EBITDA of $367.2 million. This yields a net leverage ratio of 1.06x. First quarter 2026 marks a pivotal inflection point for Central Puerto. Our results reflect sustained revenue, margin and EBITDA growth, driven by strong commercial execution, operational excellence, and the contribution of the new power generation assets incorporated through our capital plan over the past 2 years. Our 2026 outlook is constructive. We expect continued operational excellence and financial performance with BEES projects progressing towards their mid-2027 commercial present, ongoing market normalization providing further revenue upside and incremental contracting opportunities with large users and distribution companies materializing as the market matures. We remain firmly committed to delivering long-term value for our shareholders and we are excited about the opportunities ahead for Central Puerto. Thank you very much for your interest and confidence in Central Puerto. Operator, please open the line for questions.

Operator

Operator
#3

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Matias Cattaruzzi with AdCap.

Matias Cattaruzzi

Analysts
#4

I got 3 questions. First, in the first quarter, we observed that as [indiscernible] generation rebound flowed primarily into the spot market rather than into contracted PPAs, with PPAs volumes growth as we are seeing it would be more gradual right, for 2026. Could you share with us how the migrations towards more contracting and PPAs is progressing into 2026. And then I got another question on how do you expect self-procurement in fuels affecting [ Sepo ] going forward? Do you expect to access gas transportation capacity through the [ PeritoMoreno ] expansion or do you see a reliance on Cameco's Plan Gas going forward? And then I got a final question. Following the closing of the transaction, with Parana Energy. Could you walk us through the specific time line for the 2 shale pilots and have you been in conversations with other potential operating partners? Or does it involve a stand-alone development?

Unknown Executive

Executives
#5

Okay. Thank you. Thank you for your question. Going one by one. The first that you ask is related to the migration from the spot market to the contracted market. We are, in fact, in the first quarter and right now advance in that area. So for the first 20% that the regulation allows us to sell to the private consumers. We are fully contracted there right now. And so we are now keep going in the other 80% that we can only sell to the distribution companies. It is the regulation as is right now. So we are trying to -- we are starting to move in that 80% that we still sell to the spot market to negotiated with distribution companies. And right now, we are having a good advance with them and we expect that to have more news about that in next quarter. That is the first question. The second you mentioned, I think, it's related to the gas transportation. In terms of gas transportation, we participate in the TCS auction. We received it was an auction very competitive. So we have -- we received less than we asked we received around 400,000 [indiscernible] cubes. And we asked for 1.6 million. So we are still trying to get in the next round of the DGS auction more gas transportation there. And we are talking with distribution companies also to have more transportation. In terms of the gas itself, we are working -- right now, we are still in the plan gas with CAMMESA, but we are -- we had advanced conversation with all gas producers to start buying our own gas. So I think that in the next 2 months, we will have news [indiscernible] that. It's not easy because there is no producer is a [indiscernible] that is out of plan gas, pump up by using their own generation. So there is no private producer yet outside the plan gas, but we have an advanced conversation with some of them, and we expect news for the next 2 or 3 months in order to start buying the gas directly, not through CAMMESA. And in terms of of alternative fuels like diesel oil, fuel oil and LNG or import gas, we are working and we are right now buying our own fuel and gas we are having that said with CAMMESA. And the last one is the acquisition of PSA. We are as -- as Laura mentioned, we are working with a U.S. company in order to develop the the [indiscernible] phase for the 2 pilots, 2 or 3 wells that we are thinking on doing in order to confirm the resources there and work for the sense with the province. But right now, we don't have a fixed timing to comment. But we expect that this is going to happen perhaps last quarter or this year or the first of the next one because you need to bring all the drilling sets and that stay time right now like 4 -- between 4 and 5 months. So that would be the timing, but it's not fully closed yet.

Matias Cattaruzzi

Analysts
#6

I got a follow-up on generation volumes going forward in 2026. Do you expect contracted volumes to continue growing during 2026 or to stay steady as you've shown in the first quarter? And what will happen with the spot market generation as well?

Unknown Executive

Executives
#7

No. Yes. As I mentioned before, we expect to do -- to have -- to increase our PPAs, especially with distribution companies. That is the idea that we are looking for. As I mentioned, we are in the private PPAs with big industries, we are almost at 100% of our capacity right now, regulated capacity, but we have something to do related to distribution company, we can go up to that 20% when we start a negotiation with distribution company. So that is what we are looking for the next quarters.

Matias Cattaruzzi

Analysts
#8

Great. And do you have specific contract timeline of the new contracts, like they are a year contract, 2-year contracts?

Unknown Executive

Executives
#9

Yes. Normally, we are seeing, yes, 1 year or no more than 2 years, yes. This is for thermal. When you go to renewables, that could be perhaps bigger than that 3 years, 5 years.

Operator

Operator
#10

Next question from Thomas Pershing with Balance.

Unknown Analyst

Analysts
#11

Congratulations on the results first. I have 3 questions. I will go one by one if that's okay. Just a quick follow-on of the previous question. First, how much capacity do you consider can be payable contracted under energy PPAs with discos and industrial users? And how much have you effectively contracted to date and if do you see feasible to close PPAs with this call this year?

Unknown Executive

Executives
#12

You asked about capacity, not energy. So capacity, we are fully contracted right now. Our capacity are fully contracted. But previously, I talked about energy. So I think during this year, yes, we can have -- of course, this is one by one. [indiscernible] have the process itself but I expect to have a contract with these cost or perhaps the first ones during this year, yes.

Unknown Analyst

Analysts
#13

Okay. The second one, regarding the TGS transport capacity, how much additional capacity do you still need to fully cover your fuel needs once plan gas expire? And how challenging do you think this will be considering current bottlenecks in the system?

Unknown Executive

Executives
#14

Well, that's the question it says. I think it's very big to discuss perhaps in a few minutes. But you need to consider that we more or less consume perhaps between 10 million and 12 million mid to cubic day per day. But this doesn't mean that we need all this premium capacity because there is a lot of capacity in the pipelines, said in the wintertime. So we want to have the capacity that we need for the contract that we have and this is less -- much more less than the all gas that we consume. But as I mentioned, in the TGS bidding process, we asked for 1.6 million and we received 400. So I think we want to at least cover that 1.6 million to be -- to have firm gas during winter, which is the period that is important to have it. But the rest of the year is not -- the transportation is not a problem. So the problem is during perhaps 30, 45 days during winter. So in that moment, it's when we're going to need this additional film capacity. But 1.62 million, 2 million is what we expect to have.

Unknown Analyst

Analysts
#15

Okay. The last one regarding your recent acquisition in BacaMorta. Do you have an estimated CapEx for the 2 or 3 wells that are you thinking to develop?

Unknown Executive

Executives
#16

No, not yet, but it's normal. What we expect is the normal values that the industry have there is around 17 million per well.

Operator

Operator
#17

Next question from Theodora Asia with Sales Capital. I believe she's having some technical issues. We are going to go ahead with our next question from Marcos Ser with Alara. A few questions. Number one, could you explain more about the plans in Vaca Muerta? And second, leverage ratio guidance for December 2026.

Unknown Executive

Executives
#18

Okay. Well, in terms of Banca Marta first, our plan is, of course, entering in the area and trying to develop the area that we acquired. That is our plan. It's an area of 27,000 acres. So there is a lot to do there. So this is the first time that we're going to -- we enter in the oil and gas business. So we need to derisk the area to start understanding the business and this will be taken perhaps a couple of years. Of course, we're going to look at opportunities if I bear, but our fair focus is to develop this area. And it's an area that could be -- could place a rig there. So we need to work for the real also and to have the sense. So this is our main focus right now to to developing [indiscernible] We're going to see how it works and if we could enlarge that. In terms of leverage, it will depend on the opportunities. We're going to still see opportunities in M&A in our sector, in the energy sector coming from private or coming from government auctions. So that's the leverage ratio is going to depend on that opportunities that we can develop that opportunities and -- but we are not expecting gross 2.5 or that area to [indiscernible] times. Well, it will depend on the opportunities appearing and what we can get it or not.

Operator

Operator
#19

Our next question comes from [indiscernible] with Sunless Capital.

Unknown Analyst

Analysts
#20

Yes. Sorry. Yes, Internet in London is crazy. So just taking back to like the liberalization and spot market -- can you -- maybe you mentioned it, but I couldn't hear you well. Can you mention again what is the realized price in legacy energy and capacity, how you see going forward with PPAs. You mentioned the private ones, but I also saw there is something about CAMMESA potentially launching a small auction again? If you can...

Unknown Executive

Executives
#21

A lot of questions in one, but going on by one, in terms of prices, that's very -- there is no clear market right now. So we see each negotiation is by each. So depending on the timing, depending on if you are acquiring renewables, if you're acquiring hydro, if you're acquiring thermal, so it's not -- it's not easy to set a price for the whole market, but for sure, it are higher than the spot prices. That's good news. But it's depending on, as I mentioned, the counterpart, if you are acquiring hydro or depending on the technology, but are better, we are seeing better prices, much more better price than the spot market. In terms of new auctions or CAMMESA new auctions are coming. There are one option in place, which is the Almasi auction is an auction for batteries to a system in the oil country, not as the previous one that we win. It was related to [indiscernible] area to [indiscernible] area. This new option is for the whole country, and this 700 megawatts of capacity, battery capacity, and we are looking to participate there. We are developing projects to participate there. But they are CAMMESA talking about new capacity auctions, but it's not still launch it. They expect to launch some capacity auction thermal capacity auction for, I don't know, perhaps the second half of this year, but we don't have a precision about one [indiscernible] megawatts or a specifical regulation scheme that's not completely say by CAMMESA yet.

Unknown Analyst

Analysts
#22

I understand. And isn't that CAMMESA launching another thermal auction, Isn't that a step back? The whole idea of this liberalization was to move away from the CAMMESA PPAs and now they're doing it again?

Unknown Executive

Executives
#23

Well, more or less, because all over the world, the capacity auction is launched by the system regulator. It's not easy for distribution companies or private to go for capacity because it depends on the and a lot of the growth of demand, the whole system. So in Brazil, Brazil do the same, and it's as more free market that was in Argentina. So in Chile, and it's normal that the system regulator launch the capacity in advance, trying to look forward to the whole system demand and try to cover that. But it's not energy, it's capacity. So I didn't see as a bag because of the electricity there, she will still be contracted by private companies and the distribution companies. but the capacity is different. So I only see that capacity auction. No new PPAs related to energy. That is something that CAMMESA said that is not going back. But capacity, especially when you are trying to look the system for 3, 4, 5, 10 years in advance is something that the Citregulator have better understanding about the needs of the system in terms of capacity.

Unknown Analyst

Analysts
#24

Okay. And just to clarify on thermal spot legacy what is the realized price that you're getting at the moment because it's subject to this frac up?

Unknown Executive

Executives
#25

No,you say in the spot market.

Unknown Analyst

Analysts
#26

Yes.

Unknown Executive

Executives
#27

Well, it is a combination. You have a capacity payment and you have...

Unknown Analyst

Analysts
#28

No, I'm talking about this patch.

Unknown Executive

Executives
#29

. You talk about this patch the price -- the variable price that we receive is depending on what fuel we use. So to say something is around $40,000 per [indiscernible] Yes, with gas something for something dollars per megawatt, sorry. Is depending on the efficiency of the equipment, depending on the fuel that you use, but it's something around that.

Operator

Operator
#30

Thank you. This concludes our Q&A session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Fernando Bonnet for any closing remarks.

Fernando Bonnet

Executives
#31

Okay. Thank you. Central Puerto is in a growing phase marked by Perella concession extension, portfolio expansion, market normalization and diversification in the strategic sectors. Thank you, everyone, for joining and for your interest in our company. This result for this quarter have a great rest of the week and month. You may now disconnect.

Operator

Operator
#32

Thank you. This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.

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