Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
February 5, 2021
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals Limited Q3 and 9-month FY '21 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I now hand the conference over to Mr. Gavin Desa from CDR India.
Gavin Desa
attendeeThank you, and over to you, sir. Thank you. Good day, everyone, and thank you for joining us on Chambal Fertilizers and Chemicals Q2 -- Q3 and 9 month FY '21 earnings call. We have with us today Mr. Anil Kapoor, who is the Managing Director; Mr. Gaurav Mathur, the Joint Managing Director; Mr. Abhay Baijal, the Chief Officer; Mr. VK Gupta, the Vice President, Marketing; Mr. Rajveer Singh, Vice President, Legal and Company Secretary; and Mr. Anuj Jain, Assistant Vice President, Finance. Before we get started, I would like to point out that some statements made or discussed on the conference call today may be forward-looking in nature and must be viewed in conjunction with the risk the company faces. Chambal Fertilizers and Chemicals does not undertake to update them. The statement in this regard is available for reference in the presentation. We will begin the call with opening remarks from Mr. Kapoor. I would now like to invite Mr. Kapoor to share his views. Over to you, sir.
Anil Kapoor
executiveThank you, Gavin. Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us on this call. I hope that all of you and your families are safe and healthy. Let me quickly brief you about the performance of the company. We are happy with our operating and financial performance during the period of the review. On stand-alone basis, EBITDA for the quarter increased by 14% to INR 787.25 crores against INR 690.11 crores during the corresponding quarter of previous year. Profit before tax, before exceptional items, stands at INR 663.03 crores INR as compared to INR 506.99 crores during the corresponding quarter of the previous year. That is a jump of around 31%. Profit after tax, without considering exceptional items and onetime deferred tax, was INR 430.09 crores against INR 329.84 crores during the corresponding quarter of the previous year. During 9 months ended December 31, 2020, on stand-alone basis, we have achieved total income of INR 11,171.57 crores against INR 10,387.24 crores during the corresponding period of previous year. EBITDA, before exceptional items, for 9 months period was at INR 2,225.59 crores against INR 1,835.52 crores during the corresponding 9 months of the previous year. Profit before tax, before exceptional items, stood at INR 1,780.81 crores as compared to INR 1,231.35 crores during the corresponding 9 months of previous year, a jump of around 45%. Profit after tax, without considering exceptional items and onetime deferred tax, was at INR 1,160.26 crores against INR 816.54 crores during the corresponding period of previous year. Our performance was backed by increased volume of non-urea fertilizers with better margins and better performance in urea and other agri inputs. The company sold 12.63 lakh metric tons of DAP against 8.73 lakh metric tons sold during the same period last year. MOP sales was 2.66 lakh metric tonnes against 1.83 lakh metric tonnes last year during the same period. We have also scaled up sales volume of NPK/NPK(S) fertilizer and sold 68,000 metric tons of this material against 18,000 metric tonnes sums sold during the corresponding period last year. Just hold on. The huge outstanding subsidy was always an area of concern for the fertilizer industry. You must be aware that the government of India has made additional allocations of INR 62,638 crores for fertilizer subsidy in the revised estimate in order to clear the backlog. As per our information, around 1/3 amount has already been dispersed by the government of India to fertilizer companies. With this additional allocation, the outstanding subsidy as on March 31, 2021, will be at negligible levels. The fertilizer subsidy allocation in the Union Budget 2021 is also likely to be adequate to meet the fertilizer subsidy outgo during the financial year 2021, '22. The outstanding subsidy of the company as on December 31, 2020, was INR 5,825 crores. Out of this, the company has received INR 3,165 crores in January 2021. We expect the balance amount to be released before end March 2021. The release of subsidy will substantially reduce the short-term debt of the company, which will result in saving of finance costs and substantial improvement in the financial ratios of the company. We are encouraged by our performance. We have a very strong quality product portfolio and our connect in the pharma is very good. We have also an expansive distribution reach, presence in well-integrated markets and a lean balance sheet, which will give us confidence going forward. I, along with Gaurav, will be happy to take your questions on the financial performance of the company. Thank you.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Baidik Sarkar from Unifi Capital.
Baidik Sarkar
analystYes. Good morning, Mr. Kapoor, and congrats on a strong set of numbers. The incremental started -- yes, my question is the incremental subsidy released this quarter to the industry. It is a proud moment for all of us, and we should significantly clean our balance sheet. A question, starting April, does the subsidy account begin to expand again? Not perhaps in a measured way, but expansionary for sure? And what is the quantum of monthly release [ expansion ] given the budgetary allocation as we have today? What do you make of it?
Anil Kapoor
executiveSo what we understand that our opening balance of subsidy outstanding on March -- on April 1, 2021, will be at absolutely negligible levels. Now subsidy release will depend on our sales from point-of-sale machines. And I think the way government will move forward if we will revert back to the original design of POS, where when we raise the bills on a weekly basis, the government will start clearing the bills as and when they are due. So I don't foresee a backlog taking place, definitely in the urea sector. The subsidy provision is very much adequate for the urea sector. We will need to wait and see how it -- what happens in the non-urea segment. How the price movements take place and what is our subsidies provision which the government makes.
Baidik Sarkar
analystIn the same breath, are you surprised at the lack of noise around DBT, one would have assumed that this release was a precursor to DBT coming in. Your thoughts around that?
Anil Kapoor
executiveI am not privy to what the government is up to, but we are very happy at the turn of events which has taken place, Baidik. For a company of size of Chambal, to be literally approximately debt-free on working capital on April 1, will be a tremendous boost for the company. And you can all calculate the ratios at which we will be. We will have only long-term capital debt in our books and with very little working capital borrowing. Our performance ratios will be very good. Very happy to be at that stage. Now what has happened on DBT, I maybe -- I mean on a public forum, I am -- I will not be able to react on that what is my feeling, because you can't go by what I feel.
Baidik Sarkar
analystSure. Sure. So the year ahead, there's nothing much to be done on urea. So how should we read your growth plans for the complex and agri inputs business? Some numbers will help, and we'd also like to hear Mr. Mathur's views on driving earnings in the coming quarters.
Anil Kapoor
executiveOkay. I will request Gaurav to make a statement on what are the plans which Chambal has moving forward. So it will be a -- and let me, for all the participants, this is a very forward-looking statement which we -- or which Gaurav will make, so please bear with us. Gaurav, would you like to talk on what the plans of Chambal would be going forward?
Gaurav Mathur
executiveYes. Thanks, Anil. So thanks for the question, Baidik. Let me start by, first of all, saying that now, Chambal is a very big player in the phosphatic sector. And we are actively looking for backward integration. As some of you may know, we are already present in Morocco with the joint venture, and we are exploring, investing in a phosphatic capacity in Morocco with the objective of further improving our sourcing in this area. The second point I'd like to mention is that we have initiated the process of geographic expansions, and have plans in place to start operations in Maharashtra, Gujarat, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana and West Bengal. We have already opened offices and started placing our sales team. We are already operational in Maharashtra and Gujarat, and expect to be operational in other states within March this year. So well positioned to participate next year. As was mentioned, we continue our focus on our non-urea product segment, both in the fertilizer and agri products area. We are reasonably strong players in the agri products area and will target to focus and grow further in this segment. Our existing geography is also seeing growth in the phosphatic and non-urea sector. We've seen the order of 5% to 7% growth over the past few years, and we will continue to drive for a better share of that growth. As you know from the recent budget announcements, et cetera, the government of India is looking at disinvestment, and we believe that opportunity may arise in that sphere. And as Anil has mentioned, with the strong balance sheet that Chambal has, we will be well positioned to participate in that. Of course, we will continue to drive operational efficiencies across the entire organization and our manufacturing facilities. And last but not the least, we continue to see how we can add more value to our farmers through soil health, advice on usage and whatever else they may need through our advisory services. So that, in a nutshell, is our plan going forward.
Baidik Sarkar
analystThat's helpful. If I can just squeeze in one more question, our spread to the complex fertilizer business seems to have come off rather sharply. Could you gave us the range of what our gross profits per tonne in Q3 vis-à-vis H1? And importantly, how should we see this development over the next few quarters? Will the pressure continue? I ask that question because obviously, kharif acreage, which means a lot of importers are in the same space that you are. So is there a risk of earning contraction in the year ahead? I understand volumes might go up sharply, but if spreads come off -- I mean how are we looking at it?
Anil Kapoor
executiveBaidik, as you are aware, the asset prices have also gone up. So when the asset prices go up, we definitely make more money in our Moroccan venture. So in the past, also, we have received much higher dividend than what we have received in the recent past, that is one. Two, the DAP prices will definitely go up. We can see that happening in the marketplace. The MRP will go up. The MRP was 28,000 earlier. It gradually came down to 24,000 as the DAP prices fell. This is nothing new. This is commodity. This will happen. Prices will go up, prices will come down. It happens in every segment of commodity business. We will make sure that our margins are protected. There may be some swings in margin here and there. So that is part of the business. We should not get -- we have got a -- see, out of about approximately INR 2,400 crore EBITDA business, INR 1,700 crores to INR 1,800 crores is non-phosphatic business, where the returns are literally assured.
Gaurav Mathur
executiveThough that is on urea. In urea.
Anil Kapoor
executiveThat's in the urea business. It's a non-phosphatic business where the returns are literally assured. And as Gaurav has mentioned rightly, our focus will be on nonfertilizer business, which will drive profits for us. Be it pesticide sales, be it -- we have number of products which are nonfertilizers which we sell in the marketplace. We are a very large player in sales of ammonia. I don't know how many of you are aware that ammonia prices have gone through in the -- gone up in the international market. We will definitely focus on that also now. So we -- Chambal has number of avenues in which we can grow our profits and recover our margins. We may lose in one segment, we will recover in 3 others. We are large players in every segment of the market which work in.
Baidik Sarkar
analystYes, that's helpful. The expansion in the Maharashtra, Gujarat, A.P. and West Bengal is very good to know. So given the acreage expansion that's staring at us in the fiscal, is it conservative to assume a 20% kind of volume growth in the year ahead?
Anil Kapoor
executiveWe have just entered that market, okay? So those are difficult markets. And they are not easy, there are big established players in that market. To break and take market share from others in that market is not going to be easy. But we have a very strong network, and Gujarat and Maharashtra are adjacent states to us, okay? So we will also take our urea into those states, establish our brand through urea. We have a very strong dealer network in our segment, which we expect to grow in this segment. We used to be in Gujarat in -- way back. And then we moved out of Gujarat. We are reentering Gujarat. So we know the dealer networks fairly well there. I hope I've answered your question, Baidik.
Baidik Sarkar
analystAnd with it Y-o-Y as well as sequentially, I still have to understand what's helping us in this runoff? And is this sustainable?
Anil Kapoor
executiveSorry, I didn't understand the...
Baidik Sarkar
analystSir, my question was, there was a sharp rundown in our other expenditure this quarter on a sequential basis as well as a Y-o-Y basis. What's driving these runoffs and other expenditure? And given the environment coming back, should we expect these costs coming back in the fiscal? And also, I would like to understand what has led to this runoff in cost and other expenses?
Abhay Baijal
executiveBaidik, can I answer that? Just to give you some...
Anil Kapoor
executiveNo, no. Just stay -- I will -- before that, our interest cost will substantially reduce going forward. With the government releasing subsidy, our interest costs will be literally be only on the long-term capital and a little bit of short -- a little bit on the working capital for the -- for next year. So we have a substantial tailwind as far as interest cost is concerned -- reduction in interest cost is concerned. Now Abhay, what is this cost which Baidik is talking about?
Abhay Baijal
executiveYes, that's what I'll say, too, in other expenses, power and fuel are included, which is part of our direct margin to that direct fuel cost and material cost. So there is a little bit of confusion on how other expenses are treated. So what we have seen in reduction is basically the impact of the reduction in gas price. So it's going up and down, and that is part of the urea business where this is a pass-through cost. Now apart from that, the other costs that are included in that, they include freight and forwarding expenses, packaging expenses, insurance, and other stuff like insurance, as I said, repairs and maintenance and also some element of foreign exchange and movements, which can be plus or minus, depending on how the things come. So what has happened in this sequentially as well as from last quarter is there is substantial reduction in power and fuel cost, and some offset by some extent of increase in terms of freights and packaging costs because our volumes in DAP, NPK, MOP, et cetera, went down. So these are variable, to that extent that there is a power and fuel element in that. But if you strip that out, apart from that, they are fairly steady. And they will remain steadily -- relatively steady related to the volume of business that is being done. That's how I would like to answer, Baidik. If you get what I'm telling.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] We take the next question from the line of Pratik Tholiya from Elara Capital.
Pratik Tholiya
analystYes. And sir, congratulations on a very good set of numbers. So firstly, just one, firstly, on the subsidy side. Until last quarter, you were giving the subsidy a sheet -- a table in the presentation which will give us the subsidy outstanding and the subsidy received during the quarter. That sheet is not there in this presentation. So it would very helpful if you continue to maintain that. In the meantime, if Abhay, sir, can just help us with what is the subsidy received during Q3? And outstanding, I think you said it is INR 5,800 crores.
Anil Kapoor
executiveI will tell Abhay to give it. But see, as of March 31, 2021, there'll be any -- hardly any subsidy outstanding.
Pratik Tholiya
analystI know. I know, sir. I know. I...
Anil Kapoor
executiveIt may be a forward-looking statement. With that, one should not be bothered about subsidy outstanding of Chambal Fertilisers.
Pratik Tholiya
analystI totally agree, right? I totally agree. That's I think a big positive from the government side. But just to understand what -- how the movement has been during the quarter.
Anil Kapoor
executiveYes, I understand that was posted on our site. So can you explain what happened during the quarter? Abhay? Abhay, are you there, please? Yes. Now please say what was the subsidy received in December quarter?
Abhay Baijal
executiveYes, I'm here.
Anil Kapoor
executiveThank you. Say what was the subsidy received in December quarter.
Abhay Baijal
executive[indiscernible]
Anil Kapoor
executiveWe will include -- Mr. Baijal, next time, we'll include it. We will include it -- Abhay, we will include it in our numbers. And anyway, what I request is you please post it in your site. We can post it after the meeting today.
Abhay Baijal
executiveSure, sir. Absolutely. It will not be possible. We are not going to share another presentation, Mr. Kapoor, but sure, sir, we can include. If we don't -- you have number? Okay.
Anuj Jain
executiveWe keep record of the outstanding and whatever we have received in January. That much breakout we can give right now.
Anil Kapoor
executiveNo, no. He is asking last quarter, so last quarter.
Gaurav Mathur
executiveYes, I have already mentioned INR 5,825 crores was outstanding subsidy as of December.
Anil Kapoor
executiveThat is there in the presentation also.
Pratik Tholiya
analystSure, sir. I'll maybe take it off-line. Sir secondly, on the EBITDA margin, there has been a steady improvement this quarter. We understand that the urea volumes are flat and even the margins, we know it's fixed. So obviously, it is driven by the non-urea segment. Sir, if you could just help us understand how are these margins? How should we look at it going forward from here on, considering that the prices, like you also mentioned, is going up. So from an operational-wise, you did mention that IMACID will make some more money. But on the operational perspective, how should one look at the traded margins going forward?
Anil Kapoor
executiveIt's very difficult to tell, Pratik, what is going to happen going forward. How is the price increase will be -- what -- how will the price increase be taken in the market. But what I can share with the participants is that we have got some amount of DAP, MOP, NPK, NPK(S), with us at lower cost, so which will be used to average it and improve the margins in the first quarter, at least. By then, things will stabilize.
Anuj Jain
executiveSo the subsidy received in the last quarter is INR 1,085 crore.
Operator
operatorSorry to interrupt, but we can't really hear you very clearly.
Pratik Tholiya
analystIs it INR 1,085 crores?
Abhay Baijal
executiveAnuj, we will [indiscernible]...
Anil Kapoor
executiveWe will post it or -- take them off-line and tell that to you.
Pratik Tholiya
analystYes. Sir, that would be better. Sir, lastly, you mentioned about CapEx in the phosphatic segment, especially you are looking at something in Morocco. So any amount that you'll have frozen? And what sort of time line should we look at in terms of by when? Because you already have the raw material supply with us so our integration is what we would be looking at over there. So what sort of time lines are we working at?
Anil Kapoor
executiveWe will look at both forward integration and a greenfield site. We are -- we have -- there's a committee which has been appointed which is looking at all these options. And I think in the next few months, we should finalize our plans of investment. So as soon as the plans are finalized, we will come back to the stock market and keep them informed.
Pratik Tholiya
analystSir, but IMACID is a JV, right? We have the 3 others -- 2 other partners with us. So it will be -- the new clients are also on a JV basis? Or it will only through pure investment from Chambal side?
Anil Kapoor
executiveWe have not decided on that, whether it will be on IMACID or it could be a separate joint venture between Chambal and OCP. So we have not finalized that plan yet. But investment will make -- will definitely take place going forward. Hello?
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question is from Deepak Chitroda from PhillipCapital.
Deepak Chitroda
analystCongratulation on good set of numbers, sir. So my first question is about the CapEx which you talk about backward integration. So if I'm -- if my understanding is correct, so are we going to replace our existing import arrangement which we do from the open market and basically, ultimately, we'll have a lower import cost. And basically, indirectly, this will improve our trading margin substantially?
Anil Kapoor
executiveDeepak, as soon as our plans are finalized, we will come back to the stock market. Right now, we are all evolving stage at this moment. And for us to share anything which is not finalized yet is not fair. Right now, we are working the modalities.
Deepak Chitroda
analystNo problem. Sure. So sir, my -- the second question is about what would be our long-term sustainable working capital requirement? I understand, obviously, the onetime payment of the allocation -- extra allocation which we have got, that is going to wipe off our working capital requirement by March. But going forward, I am saying because we will have at least 4 or 5 months kind of a lean period or off-season demand, right? So during that time, we are not going to have a POS sales, basically. So definitely, we'll need to have some sort of working capital. So how do you think about that?
Anil Kapoor
executiveAbhay, would you like to answer that question?
Abhay Baijal
executiveYes. Deepak, I'll put it this way, the operating cycle for urea for at least 9 months from April to December, is just about 70 to -- 60 to 70 days. As far as the DAP is concerned and MOP is concerned, we are a little longer, 120, 130 days. They stretch a little bit by 30-odd days between April and -- between let's say, February and April and May. But then it comes back to normal. So it is only a 2-month to 3-month situation between -- and it crosses the balance sheet date, that's why it looks like this. So looking at what I'm saying, in a normalized situation, 70 to 80 days in urea. What is going to happen is that with the cash generation of the company by October, November, since I think the amount of subsidy given is adequate for urea. I don't foresee any amount that will be required for borrowing to keep the working capital sustained, that is one. As far as the DAP and MOP is concerned, there will be some small borrowings that may be necessary or that will be strategic that you take some kind of credit or something like that. But I would not expect that there will be a large amount of it. Certainly, around INR 700 crores, INR 800 crores, but not more than that. Nothing more than that.
Anil Kapoor
executiveAnd also, Deepak, Chambal generates approximately INR 1,400 to INR 1,500 cash, which is -- which till we go for a major expansion, is plowed into the business.
Abhay Baijal
executiveSo if we are -- if the CapEx happens post '22, then at least by October, November, we would have generated that kind of cash or 50% of that even after paying the loan installment in September. So that's why I'm saying, it's not more than INR 600 crores, INR 700 crores stretching up to October, November. So that is the kind of level you can think in terms of borrowing side. Of course, on the asset side, it will always be there. Hello?
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Pritesh Chheda from Lucky Investment.
Pritesh Chheda
analystSir, what is -- what will be your year-end debt? And what should be the next year's interest cost, assuming that the next year, the payouts by the government are a fairly normal payout cycle which they follow?
Anil Kapoor
executiveAbhay, would you like to answer that question?
Abhay Baijal
executiveYes. See, our 1 installment of repayment of loan will happen. So we are expecting around INR 3,800 crores, INR 3,900 crores of long term, which will be there in the books. I'm not anticipating very much in terms of short-term borrowings. And Mr. Kapoor has been emphasizing with the receipt of almost INR 5,800 crore, which we are -- which is planned by the end of the quarter. I don't think there would be anything that -- if anything, it would be about INR 100 crores, INR 200 crores max. So we are looking at INR 4,000 crores kind of indebtedness by the end of -- total indebtedness by the end of the year. And going forward, as you can see, you can make the calculation, we were at INR 9,000 crores -- hello? Hello?
Operator
operatorYes, sir, you may go ahead.
Abhay Baijal
executiveYes. So we have started with INR 9,000 crore, and we will end up with something like INR 3,900 crores differential, you can see what kind of difference will happen in the borrowings, in the rate of interest or the interest reduction. On an average, I mean I don't want to put it, but since you are all intelligent, I think you can calculate. Hello?
Anil Kapoor
executiveHello?
Abhay Baijal
executiveHello?
Anil Kapoor
executiveHello?
Abhay Baijal
executiveHello? Can you hear me, please?
Pritesh Chheda
analystI can hear you, sir.
Abhay Baijal
executiveSo did you get what I say?
Pritesh Chheda
analystYes, I heard the answer. The interest cost for us should be about 8.5% now?
Anil Kapoor
executiveNo, I'll just share with you, we are -- our cost of capital is -- now will be only long-term where we have borrowed on ECB, and that is a very competitive -- we never borrowed 8% ever in our life. Earlier also, we were borrowing at between 3% to 4%.
Pritesh Chheda
analystOkay. Okay. And sir, my second question is, you were answering to one of the participant on the profitability part next year where we have certain costs on the manufacturing, which will go up. So sum total, you believe that you will still be able to show the profitability growth, why are the volume growths in the non-urea side? And my other question was when you were referring to urea as fixed, that fixed is basically between 12% and 20% ROE, is the formula. So considering that formula also, we think that the profitability for us, which is the EBITDA profitability for us should be growing next year?
Anil Kapoor
executiveToo early to tell how the non-urea business evolves next year? We will be only...
Pritesh Chheda
analystI'm asking sum. Sir, actually, I was asking sum total at the company level.
Abhay Baijal
executiveAt the company level, see, interest at PAT level, the interest cost is coming down.
Pritesh Chheda
analystNo, at EBITDA level, sir. I was...
Gaurav Mathur
executiveAt EBITDA level, in urea business, EBITDA is more or less -- there will be some improvement in energy. So to that extent, there will be an increase in EBITDA.
Anil Kapoor
executiveThe EBITDA growth in Chambal will take place, as Gaurav has rightly mentioned, through expansion in geographical areas and expansion in non-urea business.
Pritesh Chheda
analystOkay. Okay. So directionally, sum total, the EBITDA will grow next year, a function of better profitability in urea, plus volume growth in the non-urea side.
Anil Kapoor
executiveI have not mentioned directionally. See, this is a commodity business. It will have to -- we will have to see how the rainfall is, whether it's El Niño, La Niña year. There are a number of factors which play in agriculture sector. So for us to be on a definitive statement that this will -- we grow by this much, this much, in agriculture, it's very difficult to forecast.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from Amar Mourya from Alf Accurate Advisors.
Amar Mourya
analystBasically, you have answered. Sir, you had indicated that you already received INR 3,000 crore of subsidy in January, right?
Gaurav Mathur
executiveThat's right, INR 3,165 crores is what -- the number I mentioned.
Amar Mourya
analystOkay. In total, you will receive INR 5,800 crore by the end of March?
Gaurav Mathur
executiveSee, what I mentioned was, approximately INR 5,800 crores is the outstanding subsidy on 31st December 2021. I made 2 statements, Amar. One is that substantial portion of this INR 5,800 crores, approximately the entire portion, barring from very small amount of bills here and there, but the entire amount will be received by March 31. And also, I made a statement that subsidy amount -- there will be a very negligible subsidy outstanding on the entire industry as on March 31. I hope that's clear.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Dhaval Shah from Girik Capital.
Dhaval Shah
analystCongratulations to the team. Sir, my question is for Mr. Mathur. Yes. Sir, given your background from AksoNobel and the API company just previous to this -- to joining here, now you are joining our company in the fertilizer business, where the -- like a lot of things have changed and things are very good. What sort of newness or valuation will you get to the already set platform in terms of your B2C experience at Akzo and Chambal being a great, very strong brand with a very high market share. So as is from a strategic perspective, where do we see this company, say, 3 to 4 years down the line? So one, you mentioned you're getting into -- getting -- converting company to more chemical, getting into phosphatic acid expansion, as you mentioned, which is in the planning stage. But how do we see this company?
Gaurav Mathur
executiveThanks. But just to clarify, when I mentioned about phosphatic, it wasn't about getting into the chemical business of phosphatic acid necessarily, but it was more about having a source of di-ammonium phosphate, right? So that's what we are looking at. In terms of what we see 3, 4 years, I think what we see overall that is happening in the industry plus the growth that we see in the market as well as the disinvestment plans that the government has, and the growth plans that I mentioned early on, so we really look to harness all of those together. We are in a position where, if I look at it, Chambal has significant strength, first of all, starting with people. We have an experienced team, which I would say is one of the best in the industry. We have strong, well-entrenched brands. The Uttam brand that we have is a good product portfolio. Our distribution has scale and a very strong dealer base. We have strong market discipline. Financials has been mentioned a few times, scale of operational, cost leadership, a number of strengths, and we are now one of the biggest companies in the private sector in the fertilizer industry. So we -- the play really is to leverage all of that and along the lines that I mentioned earlier, essentially.
Dhaval Shah
analystSure. Correct, sir. Yes. And sir, my second question would be in terms of our allocation of capital, which is now INR 4,000 is the peak debt. So should I assume INR 4,000 crore is the peak debt for Chambal, at least for the next 3 to 4 years, considering our all CapEx plans or working capital plans? How should we look at this?
Gaurav Mathur
executiveI think that's a question which is rather difficult to answer because it will depend on a number of other factors. But like Anil has repeatedly mentioned, based on the government policy on the subsidy and what we've seen actually happening, we would expect that our working capital would be -- funding would not be required. And thereafter, the peak debt depends really on the kind of investments that we make and the opportunities that we see. So to put a number on that, I would say, is a little bit premature.
Dhaval Shah
analystBut given our cash flow size, I -- our CapEx should be within that. I mean like so whatever CapEx we do, we're for sure not putting up another Gadepan-III kind of large asset. So the kind of cash flow we generate should be very much enough for any sort of CapEx you plan. Should we understand it that way?
Gaurav Mathur
executiveDhaval, we will be generating approximately INR 1,400 to INR 1,500 cash profit per year, okay? So in next 3 years, we'll be generating approximately INR 4,000 crores of cash. While there may not be an opportunity like Gadepan-III again, but were it to come, Chambal is well prepared to take that because there's INR 4,000 crore in cash coming in. We have -- we are -- the armory is full. We can make a substantial investment.
Dhaval Shah
analystYes, Yes. That's what my assumption was that the debt should not go up, like is it peak that number...
Gaurav Mathur
executiveNo, no. Debt will not. I do not think the government now intends to increase the subsidy. The way they have been very transparent in the budget and what they have done with FCI and fertilizer is remarkable.
Dhaval Shah
analystYes, yes. That's a structural change. Correct.
Gaurav Mathur
executiveThat's a structural change. And I don't think so government would like to go back to the old status.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Amit Doshi from Care PMS.
Amit Doshi
analystSir, with reference to this non-urea business growth, would it -- on one of your slides mentions about market share in various states that we have. So urea, ranging from 10% to 20% market share we have, except Rajasthan, where we have 30%. Now would it be fair to assume that non-urea business, it will be easy for us to capture the market share that we have for urea? For example, if we have 20% in Madhya Pradesh, then to achieve non-urea, 20% market share would be fair and then probably over -- getting over that would be a challenging task. Can you -- basically, I'm just trying to judge the growth potential of market share in the non-urea business.
Anil Kapoor
executiveSee, I think you have answered the question yourself, and I agree with your conclusion.
Amit Doshi
analystOkay. So in that case, I think majority of the places where -- I mean where DAP, MOP, we have kind of reached that kind of market share. Then so how confident...
Anil Kapoor
executiveThere are certain opportunities which will be there in -- which we have not explored. As Gaurav had mentioned, there's a 5% to 7% growth taking place in phosphatic fertilizer. So that definitely we will capture. We will definitely like to capture a little bit more than that when -- in -- of the business by taking some merchant share from -- trying to take some share from some other people. And geographical expansion is taking place and that will open some avenues for us.
Amit Doshi
analystOkay. Okay. So on the urea front, like geographical expansion is one thing, but on the production side, of course, we are operating at the optimal capacity. So then how do we plan to achieve that additional geographical expansion?
Anil Kapoor
executiveSome of the areas where we want to expand, we don't -- not necessarily will go through urea route. We'll just expand on the phosphatic and nonfertilizer route.
Amit Doshi
analystOkay. Okay. Okay. And I saw...
Anil Kapoor
executiveAnd as far as your fertilizer plant is concerned, we are working out on schemes at this moment, and some of them are being implemented, which is on energy saving schemes in the existing plants, which will improve the energy efficiency of the plant and thereby improve the profitability. So some of the schemes have been approved and some of the schemes we are working on right now.
Amit Doshi
analystOkay. Okay. No, but that would be -- improve the profitability, I'm more on the production because we are operating at almost full capacity.
Anil Kapoor
executiveBut actually, we are working out -- we are running right now approximate at full capacity.
Amit Doshi
analystHello?
Anil Kapoor
executiveYes. Production, we are working at full capacity.
Amit Doshi
analystHello? Can you hear me? Yes.
Operator
operatorWe take the next question from the line of Viraj Kacharia from Securities Investment Management.
Viraj Kacharia
analystCongratulations for a good set of numbers. I had a couple of questions, they are more strategic in nature. So if we look at our own history in the past, whenever we had a good balance sheet position, we were kind of into other non-agri ventures as well. And we kind of corrected and exited those and seen an improvement in our return profile as well. Now going forward, if we were to understand Chambal Fertilisers, would it be purely a play on agri-related ventures in the future as well? Is that how one should look at the entity in -- going forward? That's one. Second, just to add to that, post this government onetime clearance of past subsidies dues, as you said, our overall balance sheet position will be in a significantly better position. So with the urea, already -- we already have 3 plants up and running and at its full capacity. Incrementally, how should we understand use of that cash? Would it be largely in non-urea business only? Or will be still be open to bid for any of those divestment opportunities of urea plans of government? So that is the second.
Gaurav Mathur
executiveCan I answer that question, Anil?
Anil Kapoor
executiveSure.
Abhay Baijal
executiveSo Viraj fine, the 2 questions you've asked. So on the first one, yes, you're right. We've learned from some of the things that we have tried in the past, and that's always part of business as you do things and you learn from them. So our focus going forward is mainly on the agri sector. At the same time, if some significant opportunity emerges and it makes the right sense, at this point in time, I don't think we can absolutely rule it out. But our focus will continue to be on the agri sector. In terms of your second question, the investments, I think I did mention it that we are looking at an investment in phosphatic capacity in Morocco. And the -- with the disinvestment that we expect that government of India will do, as we have the wherewithal, therefore, to participate in that. And we have a strong balance sheet for that.
Anil Kapoor
executiveI would like to just mention to all the audiences, the investment which we are planning in Morocco is not even on the drawing board. It is on a discussion stage right now. And as and when anything materializes, we will come back and keep you people informed. So it's just on a discussion stage at this moment.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Madhav Marda from FlL.
Madhav Marda
analystI think the execution of the company, in the last 3 years, 4 years that I've been tracking it, has been absolutely rock solid. So congratulations on that as well. I think I just wanted to understand a bit on the disinvestment side. Basically, what would that mean? Like would we buy like a sort of inefficient fertilizer business like a urea or non-urea type of service around? Is that what we mean by disinvestment?
Anil Kapoor
executiveSee, as you are aware, there are a couple of -- there are few public sector undertakings at this moment. And government has announced that they will be divesting some of the non-core sector businesses. And if and when that were to take place, what Gaurav has mentioned is that Chambal will participate in that disinvestment and would like to take over one of them, if we can get it.
Madhav Marda
analystBut what were these assets? Basically like are they urea companies, are they fertilizer companies or...
Anil Kapoor
executiveI will not be -- I cannot mention anything at this moment until the government has finalized its plan.
Madhav Marda
analystOkay. And just the second question was -- which one of the earlier people has asked as well. I just wanted to understand that, like you mentioned, we'll be generating INR 4,000 crores to INR 4,500 crores of cash, say, in the next 3 years. Will our CapEx over the next 3 years be sort of within that INR 4,500 crore? Or can we look to do a bit more in case opportunity arises? Is there any thought process on that?
Anil Kapoor
executiveAt this moment, we have not decided on any major CapEx. So it all depends on the project profile. If it's a very, very interesting project, then we can always borrow a little bit. Our debt/equity henceforth will be quite low going forward.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Abhijit Akella from IIFL Securities.
Abhijit Akella
analystJust a couple from my side. First was a slightly longer-term question. With regard to the Gadepan-III kind of regulatory framework that we are under, I believe we are under the new investment policy for the next 6 or 7 years.
Anil Kapoor
executive8 years.
Abhijit Akella
analystSo -- 8 years. But from -- I guess, 1 or 2 years have already gone by, is that right?
Anil Kapoor
executiveYes. Yes. So going forward, 6 years, yes.
Abhijit Akella
analystSix years. So at the end of that, what I understand is right now, it's probably generating much better margins than Gadepan-I and II. But at the end of these 6 years, how should we think about the margin profile from there? Should it normalize to what the older 2 units are making?
Anil Kapoor
executiveWell, 6 years is a long period for anybody to conjecture. What would happen in the urea segment, whether the government comes up with the sort of an NBS in urea, it's a very difficult call. After all government got in an NBS in phosphatics. So our fervent hope would be that government comes in sort of an NBS in urea segment. I would like to mention to you that we are today operating the site -- at a site energy, which is very, very low, okay, with Gadepan-III operating today at one of the lowest energy consumption in the world. It's a very highly -- very efficient plant. So as a result of which our site energy itself is very low. So we would love to have sort of an NBS coming in fertilizer sector in the next 4 to 5 years. That will really open Chambal Fertiliser. We can face any competition in the world.
Abhijit Akella
analystGot it. Got it. Understood, sir.
Anil Kapoor
executiveThere is a -- Rajveer, I'm sure there's a presentation of Chambal Fertiliser which we have posted on our site. I mean, all the participants should have a look at that video and have a look at what chemical plant Chambal is operating today. It's a world-class facility. And post-COVID, Abhay, I'll request that you should take a team and let all the -- your investors, give them a walk-through in the plant.
Abhay Baijal
executiveYes, definitely. As soon as things open up on travel and people are comfortable enough to travel, we can arrange for 20, 25 people...
Anil Kapoor
executiveIt's really a world -- I mean it's a site which we are very proud of. And I would say Chambal facility is a world-class facility. We are second to none.
Abhijit Akella
analystUnderstood, sir. That's really helpful. The second thing I just had was on IMACID. What I gather is that there's probably been the loss of one significant customer for IMACID in India. And because of that, the volumes perhaps -- or the margins actually have come under some pressure. So now that phos acid prices are going up, how do you -- I mean, do you see IMACID being able to offset those volumes, recover those from other customers? Or is there a risk that we might actually miss this up cycle in the phos acid business?
Anil Kapoor
executiveAlternatively, IMACID can always go in for a tolling arrangement and make DAP. And there's a huge demand of DAP coming globally. So I don't foresee margins of IMACID coming down substantially. There's -- some amount of disturbance can take place. But I don't see any major changes.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Rohan Gupta from Edelweiss.
Rohan Gupta
analystSir, some accounting question or some mathematical questions, sir, from my side. Sir, we have Gadepan-I and II where we are still under the old regulatory regime, where probably our profitability per tonne or EBITDA per tonne are restricted at close to maybe INR 3,000 per tonne, even if you take the additional benefit, which the government has recently given us.
Anil Kapoor
executiveINR 3,000 to INR 4,000.
Rohan Gupta
analystINR 3,245.
Anil Kapoor
executiveINR 3,000 to INR 4,000. 3-4...
Rohan Gupta
analystINR 3,000 to INR 4,000, yes, exactly. Yes, right. Sir, with that, we have roughly INR 3,000 per tonne EBITDA in our Gadepan-I and II. And at Gadepan-III, I understand rightly that we are working probably at INR 8,500 per tonne, with higher energy efficiency benefit probably; we maybe even running at INR 500 to INR 700 per tonne higher. Sir, with both of these things, if I work it on the numbers, that gives me an EBITDA for 9 months of roughly INR 1,350 crore to INR 1,400 crore. Sir, that leaves me with almost INR 800 crores kind of EBITDA from the non-fertilizer -- non-urea. I understand that's primarily coming from maybe DAP and a little bit of value-added product. But still, sir, if I look at our non-urea volume, we have done roughly 14 lakh or 13 lakh tonne total. Sir, that leads...
Anil Kapoor
executiveRohan, your question is very complicated. My suggestion to you would be why don't you send us an e-mail and let us prepare your answer properly. [Foreign Language]
Rohan Gupta
analystSir, my only thing that -- sir, I'll just make it simplified.
Anil Kapoor
executive[Foreign Language] So conclude with your conclusion.
Rohan Gupta
analystRight. So if you -- sir, I know that you have stopped giving the breakup. I just want that what is the contribution from non-urea in our EBITDA. If you can give some ballpark number on that.
Anil Kapoor
executiveIf I start disclosing right now on public platform, my competition will kill me. If I disclose my margin, which I'm making, my entire cost allocation strategy, my entire costing strategy will go for a toss. So please don't ask me questions which I cannot share on public platform.
Rohan Gupta
analystSir, then probably, sir, I will take another help and another question around...
Anil Kapoor
executiveYou people are intelligent enough. You people can do the calculation. [Foreign Language]
Rohan Gupta
analystSir, we may be intelligent but, sir, somehow math doesn't work if we are making more than INR 5,000 EBITDA per tonne or DAP...
Anil Kapoor
executiveWell, I can't be making profit from air. Rohan, I cannot be making profit from air. Profit is coming from business, okay? So it is either coming from urea. It is coming from phosphatic. It is coming from non-fertilizer. There are only 3 segments we operate.
Rohan Gupta
analystFine, sir. Sir, second question on your capital -- I mean, CapEx plan. Sir, whenever -- and you have now definitely going to generate strong cash flows. Sir, will you look at any minimum -- do you look at, sir, any minimum?
Anil Kapoor
executiveLet me tell you about the CapEx plan. See, [ we have forecast ] CapEx for next year, okay. And we have created such a lovely company. We have already generated a profit after tax of INR 1,180 crores, boss. To all my participants who are there, you people have not even rewarded me for the investment which I have made. Government has cleared my subsidy. You said that -- a short-term debt-free company, literally a debt-free company. And you people first -- I will ask you a counter question. You people also reward the Chambal Fertilisers?
Rohan Gupta
analystSir, you must see the stock price. It has been rewarded very well, sir. The increase...
Anil Kapoor
executiveStill running at a price/earning of 7 to 8.
Rohan Gupta
analystSir, I'm sure that if you show us the growth plan of the company in next 3 years...
Anil Kapoor
executiveThere are so many companies which are operating at 60, 80, 100. I sometimes envy them. And I start -- I keep asking, Abhay, [Foreign Language]
Rohan Gupta
analystSir, I will say that if you show us the visibility where your company will grow at 25% compounding for next 4 years, I'm sure you're also going to triple your multiple from here.
Anil Kapoor
executiveI'd like to just share with you, Rohan. I took over this company in 2007. We used to have a PAT of INR 150 crores. Today, we are having a PAT of approximately INR 1,200 crores. We have grown 8x. So you calculate what is the CAGR of that. You are a good mathematician. So 8x, sir, in 12 years, what is the CAGR? CAGR...
Rohan Gupta
analystSir, at that time, the stock price used to be INR 40, INR 45. Now it is INR 250. So you can also see that there has been a significant...
Anil Kapoor
executive8x, Rohan, we have grown and we have patience. We will grow. We are businessmen. We are not going to let the money remain idle, but we will make sure that we will not make investment in businesses which we don't understand. That's a commitment, which I would like to make to everybody. In the past, we made some investment in businesses, which we did not understand. So we will -- we are committed now to make only businesses where we know what's happening.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Tarang from Old Bridge Capital.
Anil Kapoor
executiveTarang, where were you? You've come so late.
Tarang Agrawal
analystNo, sir. I was all here. There were just so many questions, right?
Anil Kapoor
executiveSo that means you must have heard all the answers. Now there must be hardly any question which you have.
Tarang Agrawal
analystYes, sir. So most of my questions are answered. I would just like to make a statement. When 5 years back you were betting on this journey to set up Gadepan-III at...
Anil Kapoor
executiveYou were my earlier investor. So you are sitting very pretty.
Tarang Agrawal
analystSir, that being said, sir, there was just so many uncertainties, right? We didn't know whether the plant would commission on time. If the plant would commission on time, we were not sure whether the market should be there. If the markets were there, we were not sure whether our principal debtor was committed -- honor its commitments, okay? And once all that happened, I mean, the execution like has been basically -- has been -- it's been really nice in the last 2 years. And the working capital intensity, which was very high, the subsidy couldn't have come in at a better time because almost 40% of your capital employed was at a negative carry, which gets released now. Okay. So congratulations and really happy to see Chambal come such a long way. That being said, sir, when we look at the plans that you have and the kind of muscle that you have on your balance sheet, historically, we've seen that phosphatic is not as capital-intensive a business as urea is. And non-fertilizer is even lesser in terms of capital intensity. So that being said, while I understand and you've enumerated your plans multiple times on this call, do we, therefore, envisage a significant or a decent amount of outflow coming into the shareholders in the near future?
Anil Kapoor
executiveTarang, we have already announced a sort of a dividend policy. And that we -- we will be honoring that. So we will have a sort of a consistent dividend, which we will pay to all our shareholders. Barring which, time will tell. As Gaurav has mentioned, let's see what the disinvestment plan is. And whether it's phosphatic play, NPK play, MOP, non-urea business, it's a huge business in India. And Chambal would like to grow in that business, go in for new geographies, expand in those geographies. There is plenty of opportunity for Chambal Fertilisers. You all will be -- people will be very happy 2 to 3 years from now when you see how we have progressed. Give us some time. We will grow. That is a commitment to the participants here.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Nikhil Rungta from Nippon India Mutual Fund.
Nikhil Rungta
analystCongratulations on a great set of numbers. Two questions from my side. First is, I won't be asking any number on the debt side or the CapEx side. I just want to know at -- till what level the management would be comfortable increasing its debt to equity.
Anil Kapoor
executiveSee, this -- we have not even discussed that internally, Nikhil, to be honest with you.
Nikhil Rungta
analystOkay. And the second.
Anil Kapoor
executiveThat's a question I can't answer at this point.
Nikhil Rungta
analystSure. Second is, say, 3 years down the line, where do you see share of urea, non-urea fertilizers and non-fertilizers in the total EBITDA?
Anil Kapoor
executiveThree years from now, I'm quite sure Gaurav would like to answer that question.
Gaurav Mathur
executiveSo Nikhil, we are initiating our expansion plans. And I think it's very early stages. So I think perhaps we'll be in a better position to answer this question 1 year from now, where we get a better sense of the new geographies, et cetera, that we're getting into.
Nikhil Rungta
analystOkay. But can you say the share of urea would be on a declining trend only?
Gaurav Mathur
executiveSee, as we grow in the non-urea segment, then it's a natural conclusion that if the urea segment is, by and large, based on our capacity, then as we grow in the non-urea segment, then the shift would take place.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Amish Kanani from JM Financial.
Amish Kanani
analystA lot of questions have been answered, and I know a lot of things you may not be able to share. So I'll just try my luck. Can you share what will you not do -- or how big the acquisition you will not do, which will impact our financials, in the sense that a lot of participants have got that comfort that we have come down from a debt/equity ratio from 2:1 to 1:1 now. So -- and...
Anil Kapoor
executiveLower than 1:1.
Amish Kanani
analystYes, sir. So the question is, sir, the appetite of the expansion come -- in organic opportunity can be very, very huge, sir. And the opportunities also is very huge. So in that context, sir, if you can give us some broad contour or maybe if not now, maybe by end of fourth quarter. What will we not do, which gives us a comfort that we will be focusing on profitable and high ROCE growth, sir?
Anil Kapoor
executiveGood question. We will definitely not do something which we don't understand. That is one thing which is very certain. We have made mistakes in the past. And I think there's been a very steep learning for us on that. Now what would be our debt/equity? What's the risk profile? As Gaurav has rightly mentioned, I think just give us some time. Let us just assimilate -- [Foreign Language]. We were also not expecting it. Let me be honest with you.
Amish Kanani
analystYes, sir. Congratulations to you, sir.
Anil Kapoor
executiveNo, congratulation to government of India. Let us not take credit for the money which has come. Money has come because of government of India wanted to be very transparent in the budgeting process, okay? I think you should congratulate the Finance Minister for that. As far as we are concerned, we will -- let us assimilate the money which has come. We will come back to you.
Amish Kanani
analystMaybe, sir. Yes. Yes. End of the year, fourth quarter call could be a good...
Anil Kapoor
executiveEnd of the year, fourth quarter call.
Gaurav Mathur
executiveIf I just add, I think you used the right phrase that we are not looking for growth for the sake of growth, but we will look for profitable growth. So it has to generate sufficient return on whatever investments we make.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Susmit Patodia from Motilal Oswal Asset Management.
Susmit Patodia
analystThanks so much, Anil, for delivering the phenomenal performance in the last year of your stay at the firm, and welcome, Mr. Gaurav. My first question is the risks to business are significantly coming down. Would it make sense to also cover the ECB exposure we have, especially considering the transition that LIBOR is undergoing? Just reduce the risks in the business further.
Anil Kapoor
executiveSee, as far as the ForEx is concerned, okay, there are 2 portion of that. One is the LIBOR, which I will let Abhay answer, how is he going to cover the LIBOR aspect. But till Jan of next year, we have already covered the LIBOR, okay? So we have fixed the LIBOR, and we are protected on that front. As far as the ForEx is concerned, the spread is concerned, our Gadepan-III is a dollarized business, as I had mentioned in the past also. So we have a natural hedge available. So whether rupee could weaken, we will -- our profitability in Gadepan-III will also improve.
Susmit Patodia
analystWhat if rupee strengthens?
Anil Kapoor
executiveWhat if rupee strengthens, then government -- our profitability will reduce. So I mean, that is -- see, when we started with this business, we were -- it was at a lower rupee. Now the rupee has appreciated. Has it -- what is your feeling, Susmit, because you come from Motilal Oswal? What is your feeling on the rupee going forward? Seriously? In the next 2 to 3 years? I mean, that will give us a direction on how to play this market.
Susmit Patodia
analystYes. They say that when somebody gives an answer it's not because they know but because they have been asked. So I don't want to get into that trap. I really don't...
Anil Kapoor
executiveNo, not -- I'm not giving you a trap, because it's a million-dollar question where the rupee will go.
Susmit Patodia
analystThat we want to enforce. My simple thing is that with this whole government subsidy risk going away, would it make sense to then reduce the other aspect of the other risk of the business? And frankly, no one knows where rupee -- I mean it can move to 40. It can move to 100. No one knows.
Anil Kapoor
executiveOkay. My only question is with the inflation, which we have in India vis-à-vis the global inflation, the delta of that inflation, to that extent, the rupee should be weak. If our inflation were to come down to 2% to 3% and the global inflation -- then the rupee can -- there would be a change. Otherwise, our exports will become -- that's my feeling. I'm not a finance guy. I'm an engineer like Gaurav, okay? We are hardcore engineers. Mr. Baijal is my finance head. So he coaches us on this subject. Okay. So my feeling is that gradually the differential in inflation, rupee should -- okay, there may be temporary phase because of certain inflows in FDI. The rupee may harden. But in the long term, the rupee should weaken, unless we get an inflation at 2% to 3%.
Susmit Patodia
analystRight. And what about the LIBOR risk. A lot of...
Anil Kapoor
executiveAbhay, would you like to share about the LIBOR risk?
Abhay Baijal
executiveYes. I'll just share. We are in continuous discussion with our bankers as far as -- there is another standard. It is called SOFR. At the moment, the documents of Asia Pacific Loan Management (sic) [ Market ] Association -- they are being transformed to take care of these changes because the benchmark is changing. So we'll have to see how it works. I think somewhere in the second half of the year before this runs out -- and there's also a lot of rumor that LIBOR could be extended by 1 more year. So at the moment, evolving issue. Maybe by June, July, we will know exactly how this will be played. So we will do accordingly. We are in discussions with our bankers. They have a clause which they have asked us to sign-on, which we will possibly later on, but not at the moment. It says that the variation in the benchmark should be allowed and so on. So as far as that is concerned, we are covered. As far as how we will play this, whether we'll fix it on SOFR or we will rebenchmark on SOFR or -- but we have taken care that we do not have wind-up cost. As Mr. Kapoor said, most of the derivatives on interest that we have taken will run out co-terminus with the finish of the LIBOR. So that we do not have any wind up costs on the derivatives. That much we'll ensure.
Susmit Patodia
analystSir, my second question is, as a country, we're still importing urea. And government is showing significant rational thinking towards the sector. Is there a chance that we could go beyond the 100% contracted utilization in G-III?
Anil Kapoor
executiveTime will tell. At this moment, the government has not allowed us to sell beyond 100%. We are in continuous discussion with government to allow us to sell beyond 100%.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Manish Mahawar from Antique Stockbroking.
Manish Mahawar
analystYes. Sir, in terms of Morocco, basically you have planning to -- maybe in a discussion stage to set up a plant or so. I just wanted to know what is the optimal greenfield capacity generally in -- globally in terms of our phosphatic side. And what will be basically CapEx requirement for a fully integrated plant?
Anil Kapoor
executiveSee, optimal capacity -- normally where the -- globally people who have put up plants are -- is approximately 400,000 to 450,000 tonnes of phos acid per annum and -- which translates to 1 million tonne of DAP granulation. And approximate cost -- very, very approximate right now would be to the tune of between $400 million to $500 million.
Manish Mahawar
analystOkay. Understood. Okay, right. And second, in this part, most of the -- historically, we have seen the industry in India, like most of -- I'm not seeing like any company is setting up a plant outside India for -- at least for a forward integration, right? Most of the company has a strategic investment in terms of raw material sourcing. So what is that thought process in terms of setting up a plant outside India?
Anil Kapoor
executiveFor what?
Manish Mahawar
analystThis forward integration is just in terms of a DAP. Generally, most of the companies in our industry has a tie-up in terms of raw material sourcing in India, right? And we are planning to set up a plant -- DAP plant, at least, I would say, phos acid plant which we...
Anil Kapoor
executiveSee, Manish, our logic is this way. Let me -- I'm an engineer. So Manish, I'll give you a little bit from a technical viewpoint. One tonne of phos acid requires approximately 3.5 tonnes of rock. And Morocco has the largest reserve of rock in the world. The quality of rock is very good, and it is ideally suited to produce phosphoric acid. In India, in fact, the majority of the rock, which comes, is from Morocco. Now it would be some -- no, there have been capacities which have been put up in India with import of phos acid. If you look at the freight component, we bring in -- the freight of phos acid to India is approximately $85 per tonne. And freight of DAP to India from Morocco is approximately $25 to $30 a tonne. Freight-wise also, it makes a lot of sense to import the finished products than to bring the raw material. It also makes ample sense to bring the finished product than to bring the 3.5 tonnes of rock, produce that phos acid in India, put up a granulation capacity in India. It makes ample sense where I get DAP from. And as we become global, today, most of our DAP players in India, they import phos acid. They import rock. They import ammonia. So they are only building a value addition to that small extent. What we are saying is, we will do that value addition in Morocco, bring the finished product and sell it in India. You tell me from a global perspective, which is a better model?
Manish Mahawar
analystYes. That's basically right what you're saying, but why the industry...
Anil Kapoor
executiveIt's a no-brainer. Let me be honest with you, Manish. It's a no-brainer. And with that thinking in mind, Chambal put up a plant in Morocco in 1999.
Manish Mahawar
analystRight. Right. Okay. And sir, second question, in terms of non-urea business -- non-urea fertilizer business, definitely, we have opened a office and there's some dealership in the other states where we don't have a presence earlier. And what type of -- if I ask maybe Mr. -- to Mr. Mathur or you maybe...
Anil Kapoor
executiveI was going to say let Gaurav answer that question.
Manish Mahawar
analystBasically, what could be our market share on a pan-India basis we are looking out maybe next 3-year down the line, or maybe 5-year down the line for this non-urea business?
Gaurav Mathur
executiveManish, we have just entered the market. So I think Anil also mentioned a comment earlier that these are difficult markets, and we're just making an entry. So I think it's a bit premature. I think in answer to another question, similar to this, maybe we'll be in a better position to give you an answer on that maybe in a 6 months or a year time from now. I think we need to first really understand the market and see the dynamics over there. There are strong players over there, very, very strong players. So it's a little early for me to make a mention of a market share.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Mr. Viraj from Securities Investment Management.
Viraj Kacharia
analystI just had 1 question. You talked about opportunities in agri. So would it be right to think that at least for the near term, focus will be first be on phosphatic and crop protection? And then probably, we may be looking to play a much more wider value chain in agri? And just add to that, usually, what we have seen in phosphatic is, while they also have -- make a significant investment in backward integration, but a larger focus is on more margin accretive products like NPK and the mixes and all, other than the more commoditized product, which is DAP. So when we are kind of looking at forward integration, do we have that -- will we -- would we be looking at the flexibility in terms of, say, switch from DAP to NPK kind of a product? So yes, these are the 2 questions.
Anil Kapoor
executiveSee, our territory is basically -- as Gaurav has mentioned, that we are entering into certain newer territories, where NPK is an important play. Chambal's bread and butter today is in the Northern India territory where NPKs are not so strong. DAP is very strong because potash is -- in cereals, potash is not used to that large extent, which in cash crops is used in the Southern state. Also, Southern states, the soil is not so rich in potash as -- in the Northern India, the soil analysis shows that the potash requirement is not a very large extent. With that in mind, North India has been predominantly a DAP country. Southern part of the country and Western part, mainly Maharashtra and South, there we have NPK and NPK(S). So when we -- today, globally, all products are available. We have imported NPK. We have imported NPK(S). We have imported DAP. So to that extent, capacities are available globally for us to import. Before we put in at all, we plan and put up our own capacity. There is no dearth of capacity globally.
Viraj Kacharia
analystOkay. And on the agri question?
Anil Kapoor
executiveWhat was that question, which you asked on agri?
Viraj Kacharia
analystYou said -- in the earlier part of the question, which I asked, you said that focus will be on agri, while we may probably look at any other opportunities outside agri on a selective basis. But when you...
Anil Kapoor
executiveGaurav, would you like to answer that? Yes.
Viraj Kacharia
analystSee value chain, what would be the -- yes.
Gaurav Mathur
executiveYes. So we have to sort of reiterate that our primary focus will remain on the agri business. And that's what we are really looking at. Was there anything else, Viraj, that we...
Viraj Kacharia
analystWell, on agri, what I just wanted to get in, what are the segments we may have a focus in the near immediate term? Would it primarily be non-urea fertilizers and crop protection? And then broadly in terms of a much more larger play.
Gaurav Mathur
executiveYes. So we have non-urea fertilizers. We have crop protection. We have micronutrients, right? So these are the various areas in the agri sector, which is non-urea ready. And we are really going to focus much more significantly on these.
Operator
operatorWe have one last question in queue. We take the last question from the line of Amit Doshi from Care PMS.
Amit Doshi
analystSir, on the -- you mentioned that you're in the talks with government for operating additional capacity in your units for urea production. So at the time when imports are increasing and companies like you coming forward to apply for additional capacity, why would government not allow -- I mean, what could be the reason which actually this step is helping them only?
Anil Kapoor
executiveI would not be able to answer that question. It is a government call. I think they need to take that.
Operator
operatorThat was the last question in the queue. I would now like to hand the conference back to the management team for closing comments.
Anil Kapoor
executiveSorry, I could not understand.
Operator
operatorSir, that was the last question in queue. Would you like to give any closing comments?
Anil Kapoor
executiveNo. Nothing much, except that it's been a good journey. And let me assure the entire investment community that Gaurav is a very competent person. He has had a very long experience in chemical industry. He is from IIT Kanpur. And we have full faith in him to take Chambal forward. And I've had a very long innings in Chambal. And I'm sure that Gaurav will take Chambal to greater heights. Thank you all for the journey I have had so far. Thank you.
Operator
operatorThank you very much. On behalf of Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals Limited, that concludes the conference. Thank you for joining us, ladies and gentlemen. You may now disconnect your lines.
Anil Kapoor
executiveThank you.
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