Cirrus Logic, Inc. (CRUS) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

June 2, 2021

NASDAQ US Information Technology Semiconductors and Semiconductor Equipment conference_presentation 33 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#1

Good afternoon. I guess, on the West Coast, it's still morning, so good morning to the folks that are joining from out there. This is Matt Ramsay from the semis research team at Cowen. And thank you, everybody, all the investors, for participating in our TMT Conference. And obviously, thank you to all of the management teams that are giving time to meet with both the Cowen folks and our clients. Really, really happy in this session to be joined by John Forsyth, the CEO of Cirrus Logic from, looks like sunny Austin, Texas. And John, really appreciate you and the folks at Cirrus joining our conferences as you guys do every year. And maybe I'll just give you a couple of minutes to set the table for the conversation, and then my team has prepared some questions, and I'm sure we'll get some from investors as well. But thanks, John, for joining us.

John Forsyth

executive
#2

Absolutely, Matt. Yes. Thanks very much for the invitation. I'm delighted to join you online. It is relatively sunny here in Austin. I've only lived in Austin for a couple of years, so I wasn't fully aware that May is actually monsoon month. So we've had all kinds of weather lately, but yes, it's beautiful just now. So thanks, everybody, for joining this. I think I've spoken a lot in our earnings calls about the path, I believe, Cirrus is on right now. And just to hit the high points on that, we are clearly, a very successful audio-focused company delivering mixed-signal solutions to some of the most demanding customers in the world in the audio space. But we're on a path, which is one of broadening the range of products we offer and the domains that we operate in, beyond audio to other areas of mixed-signal expertise, where we're able to bring our experience of solving really difficult signal-processing problems to other parts of the system, whether that's haptics or closed-loop controllers for cameras or power related, as I'm sure we'll get into. But that's become a really exciting vector for our business. It represents a lot of the additional growth that we see ahead of us this year and beyond. And it's an incredibly exciting time to be a part of Cirrus and serving the customers we're serving, where so many of our conversations are around taking our business in those new directions and expanding the way we serve our customers.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#3

No. Yes. Thanks for that, John. I think one of the things I wanted to talk to you about specifically, as you mentioned, and the company has actually segmented out now revenue by audio products and advanced mixed-signal products and other domains, which I think is a fairly instructive signal on where you guys see the growth coming from. And you and I have had conversations in the past about working with your largest customer with others being -- having the reputation for technology leadership, delivering on time to some pretty severe hockey stick ramp seasonally in products that you have to produce and then just having that reputation. And I wonder, as you're thinking about these new domains in mixed-signal, is this a Cirrus strategy, team getting in a room and saying, hey, you know what, we're pretty darn good at these things. Maybe we should go pitch so that we can do these things to the customer? Or is it the customers looking and saying, you know what, we had these problems over here, the Cirrus guys were really good at solving those problems. Maybe we should pull them into problem XYZ that we have over here? Or is it some combination?

John Forsyth

executive
#4

It's a combination of those. So I think you are dead as a company if you're not taking new innovations and new ideas to your customers. So we invest ourselves in a lot of new technology areas that we believe are addressing problems that we -- that our customers would like to solve, and we want to maintain a really healthy process and putting those in front of them. Now we have been steadily expanding the range of those so that they go beyond the audio space in really exciting ways. But at the same time, what happens as a consequence of that is you get engaged with a wide variety of people within your customer base and they start talking to you about, well, okay, that thing is interesting because I'm trying to solve this problem. And it's almost never what you actually thought the problem was, but the fact that you're then having that dialogue. And you have some technology, some shared view of the technology space that might address that problem is a great place to be. And one of our beliefs in the way we grow our business and the way we maintain a really, really strong customer focus at Cirrus Logic is cultivating really strong engineer-to-engineer relationships. We believe that's where most of the value is really created and where you can really zero in on what it is your customer is trying to do with that product. So we've seen it go both ways where innovations, which are really being grown in inside of Cirrus and then put on the table in our customers' labs have been really well received and that something comes out of that. But it's also increasingly the case, I would say, where we have this reputation within some of our largest customers for being very customer focused, very driven by reliable execution on some -- on hard problems, which is -- that's attractive. Most of the engineering teams we engage with have a brilliant idea for what it is they want to do. They just need the partners and the engineering resources who can -- who can show up and execute on that. So we're extremely protective of that reputation, as you would imagine. An enormous amount of care goes into everything we do with our largest customers because we -- that reputation takes a decade plus to build and could be lost very rapidly. So we just try not to get overextended, get in front of as broader range of teams as we can and make Cirrus committed proposals to solve their problems, where we believe we can do that and do it without missing a beat or causing them to miss bit.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#5

No, I mean it's very evident that -- and the closed-loop controller that's now shipping in pretty material revenue is the first step along that path. So some of the topics that we prepared to dig into with you today, you can hopefully help set the context for, where we are on this journey of growing the advanced mixed-signal business. In the last year or so, you started shipping the closed-loop controller, but at the same time, there was -- one of your large customers had taken a headset out of the box in the products that they were shipping and that masked some of the growth. If you do you have any context of like where we are among those 2 vectors that are kind of pushing and pulling against each other and what revenue growth you still expect from that closed-loop controller product, that would be great.

John Forsyth

executive
#6

Right. Well, on the closed-loop controller itself, I mean, we still think there's meaningful revenue growth to come there. You're right, some of that momentum was masked by kind of legacy audio content disappearing, but there's still a lot that can be done there. Some of that continued growth is going to come on the back of the existing products. So what we would expect, obviously, as we get into a second cycle of our customers' products that incorporate that device. That means our device will just be across a broader range of the products that they sell, which is great for our revenue growth. But additionally, the functionality that our closed-loop controller enables is -- and I always put the caveat to this, I -- not only do I never want to disclose anything about our customers' products. I'm on very safe ground because I do not know what our customers will do with their products in relation to this functionality. But it would be unsurprising to see that cascade a waterfall into the premium features that we're enabling with closed-loop controller to see that cascade into more and more of the models and the SKUs. And so -- and therefore, the blended attach rate of that component to increase in future product cycles, which again is very exciting from a revenue point of view. But then, of course, this is -- like this is a first step. This is -- we want this product in a new area for us. So as you would expect, we, right now, in Cirrus, have engineering teams working on multiple future iterations of products in that space. Both to address future feature needs and then also just to fill out the portfolio and expand the reach of that kind of product as broadly as we can.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#7

Is there an opportunity -- I mean we've had over the last, I don't know, 12, 18 months, this do-si-do around vocabulary around the closed-loop controllers. I'm just trying to -- is there -- do you see applications for your Android customers for similar types of products? Is there -- how would you gauge the level of interest? And that's maybe a delicate situation to try to, as you say, you don't know -- 100% know what the largest customer is doing with the product and what the road map is and that as you try to take that and apply that product line to a broader set of Android-based customers, is there a sufficient business there to make it worthwhile?

John Forsyth

executive
#8

That's not a primary focus for us right now, no pun intended. That's -- and that's as much as anything, a function of our belief that with limited engineering resources, we just -- we have the simplest prioritization algorithm imaginable, prioritize profitable growth. And if that happens to be at times increasing customer concentration, then it's still the most profitable growth path. So that's where we'll focus our resources. It may be the case over time, when we work very closely with a customer on a custom chip, though, I mean you really want to be respectful and classy about that and not immediately turn around and be seen selling it to a whole bunch of other people. So there's also a lot of judgment about the relationship and that goes into that thinking as well. But fortunately, I mean, that's actually not -- the biggest consideration is just, well, if we've got 1 or 2 engineering teams to put on future iterations of that, let's put them on the things which are going to deliver the biggest and highest probability of the biggest growth, revenue-wise, and that's a fairly straightforward decision for us.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#9

I guess the next phase of this content expansion and product expansion into mix is around the power IC domain. And over the last few quarters, a few bits of information have come out, and you guys have disclosed the content around the dollar in ASP for that product and have had made some commentary around the tax rates for that product into your customers' portfolio. You could just kind of recap where we are on that and your, I guess, confidence and visibility of that delivering sort of the next leg of growth for the company.

John Forsyth

executive
#10

Right. Yes. I mean -- and I think this is something where our picture of how that's going and how that's going to go through the next few quarters is kind of clarifying all the time. So I can probably color in a little more there. Yes. Just broadly, the power conversion IC that we talked about is a hugely exciting product for us in a whole number of ways. I mean, again, it's a new frontier for us in the high-performance mixed-signal space. Secondly, it's truly exciting functionally because it's not replacing anything. It's a brand new chip on the board, a brand new piece in the system that we and our customers believe is just going to be really valuable. And it's a very significant ASP increase for us. So you mentioned, as I said, like think of it as around $1 is -- and that's meaningfully more than we saw with the closed-loop controller adder, for example. I think as we've been getting into -- more into the ramp around that this year, it's given us more confidence about the attach rate -- the average attach rate. And I would, again, emphasize, not only -- I don't know, I mean, who knows exactly how it gets configured in our customers' devices or where in the portfolio it sits. What I would say is that broadly, what we are seeing in terms of our ramp would be consistent with a one-to-one attach rate on new devices. So if you put that together with the ASP value, we think that's an incredible tailwind for us to have from a revenue perspective through the rest of this fiscal year. And then again, keeping in mind that we have a kind of second tailwind going into future cycles when you've got new content that comes in and then as is in multiple generations of devices, that continues to give you a revenue bump from that perspective.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#11

Well, that's very clear. And it's good to see as we would progress closer to the behind-the-scenes ramp that those comments that you make are pretty consistent with what you've communicated in the past. If we stay on this advanced mixed-signal growth path from closed-loop to the power IC, you guys haven't announced anything further than that, but I would imagine there are additional product developments and opportunities in that vein that are going on to maybe exist different parts of the system, different product opportunities. And if you could just step back and characterize just the number of things that you feel like you have in flight, do you feel like this is -- I mean, is this 2 opportunities out of 3? Is this 2 out of 20? Just how are you thinking about the growth and the product development cadence that you're making in this advanced mixed-signal section of the business now?

John Forsyth

executive
#12

I think rather than kind of be numerical about how many opportunities we chase because that's -- I mean, there's a lot of gray area in that. There's plenty of things you investigate. There's plenty of things you put on the table with your customers, and they mentioned to you. And then some of them, you're a better fit; for another, you have to go a certain way down the track to go through that prioritization. I would say stepping back, though, I see the high-performance mixed-signal space as being our biggest growth engine as a whole for the company over the next few years. And that was the reason why we changed the way we break out our revenue in the last quarter, where we wanted our revenue buckets to be reflective, not just where we are now, but where we're going. Where audio, we believe, we can continue to grow that. But at the same time, just realistically, we are probably in most of the audio sockets or at least a very high proportion of them, where what we do really well will be sufficiently valued. So really high performance, great power efficiency and so on. So there's some opportunity to continue growing there. But really, the bulk of the growth or at least the bulk of the opportunity, we believe, is in the high-performance mixed-signal space. And that's something where, I think, over time, we can for sure see a path, without taking anything away from audio, continuing to progress that side of our business. But we can, for sure, see a path where the high-performance mixed-signal becomes half our business by revenue.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#13

No, that's helpful. I mean, it's clearly not just this year and next that we're talking about. It's multiple years into the future. I think that was the point that I wanted to make sure got underscored.

John Forsyth

executive
#14

Yes. Thanks. Yes, this is very much an important part of how I see the company's evolution and growth for the long term. So audio is clearly like that's been home turf. Really, our vision has always been to be the first choice for signal processing. So audio happened to be the domain where we were able to apply that expertise most profitably for the past decade or so. But we have grown a lot in audio and phones. We have expanded that beyond phones to adjacent categories where they are typically power and performance sensitive. There is only so much headroom for further growth there. The high-performance mixed-signal areas like power and the closed-loop control, we see a really good immediate opportunity to grow in those areas and phones because there's obvious adjacencies there. We're already engaged with those customers on those programs. It's a great place for us to expand our footprint. But those technology areas will also take us into other markets over time. And we just see -- when you start down a road of new things like the power conversion product that we're ramping. I think the team that did -- led the design work on that really got almost no downtime between completing the design work and the conversations about V2 and in fact, the design work on IP for V2, beginning with our customer because I think both ourselves and our customers there see a really, really rich path of innovation and value growth that we're excited about.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#15

Nice. No, it's -- I just wanted to make sure that we talk about the longer-term opportunities in that space. It is interesting though that audio has, as you mentioned, been the application that built the company into what it is today. There's a few things that I wanted to ask about. One is there's a road map to take many of your main audio products down towards the 22-nanometer node. And if you could give us a little bit of an update on that program and your visibility to -- I would imagine, given the investment levels being made, there's a pretty high visibility to revenue in those programs. Where are we today on the 22 development?

John Forsyth

executive
#16

Yes. Thanks. Matt, I might just step back for a second because not everybody always understands the dynamics of the migration to new technology nodes for us, especially when you're in the mixed-signal space, it's a little bit different from the purely digital space. So when -- if people aren't familiar with that, they sometimes want 22, but these guys are on 3-nanometer. That's not that impressive. Clearly, in pure digital products, just being on the most advanced node you can be on is ideal. The optimal node for a mixed-signal product will depend on the ratio of analog to digital in that product because the analog circuits typically don't scale nicely as you go down geometries. It's entirely possible that they get more costly with lower performance, for example, without a lot of investment in design work. So the optimal node for different products within our portfolio will differ. So for example, boosted amplifiers, where we've been delivering boosted amplifiers for a number of years now based on a 55-nanometer high-voltage process. That feels like a real sweet spot for us. We've got plenty more investment in that process and in that product line. Whereas the codec was the vehicle for migrating to 22 nanometer. And the reason for that is a very significant growth that we could see in the digital processing part of the chip. Now it's processing, which needs to be close to the analog side of the chip, so it makes sense for it to be integrated in 1 codec versus migrating to the SoC. But it's a significant growth in processing in the future codec parts that we could see, driving the logic to getting to 22 nanometer. So today, we have test silicon that instantiates all of the IP that we need to go build a codec product on 22 nanometer. We've got -- we've done a lot of development of some 22-nanometer products and have a really good dialogue with key customers around those. We don't have a go-to-market -- a firm date for going to market yet. But the nature of some of those customer relationships is such that we have a very high confidence that the demand is there, the spec is very collaboratively developed. There is -- there are other factors at play to do with just like how much new silicon any 1 customer wants in 1 product cycle. I think that somewhere we've got to intersect with the product cycles over the next 2 to 3 years to get the codec in there. But we're very excited about what 22-nanometer means from the growth of processing on our silicon within the system. There's an additional advantage, I think, that 22-nanometer can give us over time, which is the ability to make even more compact, smaller footprint devices as well. So it's obvious there were wearable categories of device, where -- which are so sensitive to the physical size of the chip that, that may well be a significant advantage as well.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#17

No, that all makes sense. There's a couple of things, that -- I think we have 5 minutes left here in this session, that I wanted to make sure to get to. One is there are a number of things that you -- the amplifier business, haptics, which I guess is an advanced mixed-signal now, but there's a voice biometrics opportunity for you in the voice and audio. There's an ANC opportunity, things that you guys have talked about in the past. And I wonder how you would characterize the visibility or the priority or investment in those opportunities to grow the audio business versus it seems like in the last couple of years, a pretty big shift towards focus in some of these new advanced mixed-signal areas. Is there still growth opportunity in audio from these things that I mentioned?

John Forsyth

executive
#18

There are. I mean, I think it's important to have a bunch of things in flight, and some of them turn out to be growing faster than others. So I think ANC for us, in the general market, has probably been less of a revenue driver than we expected and hoped, given the performance that we were able to deliver, although there are some brilliant products using our ANC technology. Whereas I think the performance of our boosted amplifiers has probably outstripped our expectation several times over at this point. There really isn't a -- if you are serious about audio at all in the general market in Android devices, then you are likely using our boosted amplifiers. That's an area -- and we've mentioned previously in our shareholder letter, just the rise of the importance, especially amongst Chinese OEMs of the DXOMARK rankings for audio and so on. We've seen that become a pretty significant vector of competition amongst many of those android OEMs. And so for us, I think that continues to be an exciting area for potential growth. Those customers are the ones that are most eager for whatever new functionality, whatever the leading edge of our amplifier performance is. And then I have mentioned elsewhere that I see that technology, out of all those you mentioned, which I think has a lot of relevance in some of other category -- device categories, which are internally starting to look a lot more like smartphones PCs and Ultrabooks being 1 of those, which are undergoing a kind of smartphonization of their architecture. And that is going to drive a desire for exactly the kind of really small high-performance-boosted amplifier that we've been delivering into smartphones. Only probably more of them per device. So I think there's still really good growth to come in that space.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#19

Yes, that makes sense. As you said, there's definitely changes with the education market and different things that are going on in the notebook space that somewhat more akin to devices that you guys have been in, in the past?

John Forsyth

executive
#20

I think so. Yes, exactly, exactly. And I don't -- I think that's a one-way street. I don't think you equip every school child with these devices and then don't get into some kind of steady replacement of those over time. So I think there's a new baseline for that kind of product.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#21

Last topic in the time that we have left, and it was, there was a bit of a reaction to the last set of earnings that you guys put out. And the -- I think the March quarter results were a tad bit underwhelming and to some people's expectation, you guys have -- the last 2 quarters had the good fortune of trying to go after maybe the best quarter in the history of Skyworks and in the best quarter in the history of Apple, and you had to report the next day. So that's always fun. But you and I had a conversation in the evening of the earnings around the -- some things that happened with the closed-loop controller and camera module yields and things like that, that to me, gave a lot more, I guess, context around the revenue drivers of the immediate term and the fact that maybe more confidence in the content being stable and all the sockets being stable that you guys have talked about going forward. If you could, to the extent you're able to talk about it, provide some color as to some of those dynamics. And are they all sort of sorted out on a go-forward basis?

John Forsyth

executive
#22

Right. So just ending with an easy one, Matt.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#23

Yes, yes, yes. We got to get it in.

John Forsyth

executive
#24

Okay. So just -- I guess, to put it in perspective, the December quarter, we had close to $486 million in revenue, which I think was our second biggest quarter ever, and that was up 30% year-on-year. So then in the March quarter, we were up 5% year-on-year at $293 million. If you take them together for the second half of our fiscal year, then those 2 quarters were up 19% relative to the equivalent 2 quarters of previous year. So I think the -- you only need to take 1 step back to see a really healthy revenue acceleration that fundamentally, we feel really good about. But it had an odd shape to it, which I'll acknowledge, and we came in below the midpoint of our guidance, which is -- I mean, it's a guidance range for a reason, but we certainly don't aim to do that, and that's not the plan when we give the guidance. So what happened? I think my reflection on it and what we've learned in the past few months is really that I think the fact that when we ship the closed-loop controller, we're shipping into module vendors, multiple module vendors. All of whom will -- they've got a yield curve to climb and some may run faster than others. All of which just means there's a fair amount of earlier building of the components that go into module vendors. And there may be some significant stack up of inventory at each of those because you don't know which one is going to run fastest. You want them more to be running as fast as possible and for sure not short of material. And so that really just meant that we've got a slight offset there where we had this quarter in December, which blew the doors off. But in reality, a lot of that material was lining up alongside stuff that other people sold in the March quarter. So I think that was really the shape of it. Most of the products we sell go directly on to the board. So we were a little unfamiliar with the mechanics and all the timing offsets around that. I think that's our first time through that cycle. I think, as we go through further cycles, that will position us better to communicate with our investors on what to expect around that -- those revenue times.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#25

No. No, I appreciate that. And the other thing, just to clarify, and I think you and I talked about this offline at some point is that with the new product you're expecting in the power domain, I would expect to have sort of that extra hop in inventory and uncertainty that you mentioned around yields. I imagine it would not be there. It's a more typical product for you guys if I'm not mistaken.

John Forsyth

executive
#26

Yes, that's right, Matt. So the power conversion chip that goes directly on the board, that doesn't get built into a separate module. So it's simpler and more akin to our other products from that perspective. We're shipping it directly to the CMs. So yes.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#27

Unfortunately, we have to cut it there. I know it's sort of broked in down on a topic there, but it's really exciting to see the opportunities that you guys have going forward in the mixed-signal domain and the automotive domain as well, and we look forward to hearing more about those over time. Thanks so much, John, for your time, as always, and really appreciate the partnership. For the investors on line, if you have follow-ups, you guys know where to find me and also Chelsea and her team in Investor Relations at Cirrus. So really appreciate the time, everybody, and thanks again, John.

John Forsyth

executive
#28

Thank you, Matt. It's been great having this talk with you, and we've been having a lot of great meetings with investors today. So congrats on the conference. And thanks a lot.

Matthew Ramsay

analyst
#29

Appreciate it.

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