Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. (COL) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
February 28, 2022
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorWelcome to the Inmobiliaria Colonial Full Year 2021 Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I'm now pleased to introduce Mr. Pedro Viñolas, CEO of Inmobiliaria Colonial.
Pere Serra
executiveThank you. Good afternoon. Good morning. This is Pedro Viñolas speaking. Carmina Ganyet I. and Carlos Krohmer are joining me as usual in order to present you the results for 2021. We're going to follow the presentation as usual. I would like to go through Page 6, which some fundamental highlights of this presentation. We understand that what's going on these days makes the outlook quite complicated for the economy as a whole and for real estate sector in particular. But we are quite pleased to share with you the results that we are presenting for 2021. I think that there are a number of outstanding issues that we achieved during this year that we would like to summarize in this Page 6. So maybe I will start with Point 2 of this page. We are finishing our year 2021 with NTA per share of EUR 12.04 per share. As you will see, this means a 7% increase compared to last year, and that's well above we are beating the analyst consensus. The growth, it's 7% if we compare an NTA with NTA. If we measure total shareholder return, we are talking about 9%. Well, we are -- this year, we already know more or less what our peers did. We are #1 in the list of our comparable companies. So we are at the very high end. Number 3, our EPS for year 2021 is EUR 0.246. We are reaching the high end of the guidance that we disclosed to the market a few months ago. In terms of comparable recurring earnings, we are achieving a double-digit growth. As we will see now in details, the GAV growth is also outstanding, confirming basically our approach, which is we have been focusing our strategy in positioning the company basically in prime. Basically, what we are sharing today with you basically is telling us that quality delivers. So basically, there is a superior return coming from this superior kind of position. You will see also that Colonial is going also through a relaunch of major acquisition program post successful disposals in previous years. We are also finishing 2021 with leadership regarding ESG strategies, regarding decarbonization. As an example, we are the only office company in Europe who has obtained A rating in CDP and also, as you will see later on an outstanding rating in GRESB, another benchmark in this area. In particular, we are the first company in IBEX35 index in the Spanish real estate arena to have transform fully the their green bond -- their bonds into green bonds. All of these results are the consequence of this delivery of superior performance based on the quality of our assets. And there are a number of additional things that I would like to share in this introduction. This year 2021 was good, not only looking backwards in terms of our returns, our NTA evolution, our growth in all of these indicators, it was also an outstanding exercise in terms of letting volume. As you know, letting volume is more an indicator of what's coming next in the future, that of what happened in the past, because its impact in the P&L, it's supposed to be happening basically going forward in the next few months or years. We finished 2021 with 170,000 square meters volume. This is an outstanding figure because this is the second highest in the history of Colonial. Our average speed or average activity would be like 100,000, and we are well above this figure. On top of that, number 2, we would like to flash that we are accelerating as the data will prove, second half of last year was much better than first half of 2021. So there is an acceleration in our letting activity throughout 2021. As a result of that, the group occupancy finished at 96%. Again, this is a very good number, not only in absolute terms, but also in relative terms compared to the peers in the market. And this is because basically, again, of the polarization that is happening in our market and the fact that we are so much focused in grade A kind of assets allow us to capture market share and maximum rental prices. The net rental income also showed a very good evolution with a like-for-like in excess of 3%, which again is at the high end of a comparable universe. We will also talk about our project pipeline and our renovation program, the 2 main contributors of future rents where we basically see pre-letting activity on track following, let's say, the best evolution. Our rental growth is also showing a good path. ERV growth is accelerating, and you will see that at the end of 2021, our rents that we are signing were 5% above the rents at the end of 2020. And last but not least, of course, the company is very well positioned to capture momentum in our cash flows through indexation. It's well known that we have all of our rents -- almost all of our rents index linked to CPI to the evolution of prices. Maybe on top of that, I would like to highlight that this is happening in a company that is showing ERV growth. That means in other words, that we are providing the right kind of buffer to capture all of this increase in rents coming from inflation. So in the end, I believe very good numbers in terms of NTA growth, in terms of EPS, in terms of ESG evolution, in terms of letting volume, in terms of occupancy, in terms of like-for-like growth, in terms of ERV growth and also with the pipeline and the renovation program showing good momentum. So this would be the headlines of our results for 2021. In Page 7, we see the data more specifically. So as I said, NTA for 2021 is EUR 12.04, 7% plus compared to year before, 9% if we include the dividend. The total NTA of the company is now EUR 6.5 billion, which is 13% above the previous year. The gross asset value is EUR 12.4 billion, that means a 6% like-for-like. In terms of group net profit, our profit is EUR 474 million. As you know, 2020 was mainly flat. We got between EUR 2 million and EUR 3 million of profit only. So we are increasing our net profit by EUR 471 million, net profiting now EUR 474 million. Thus, this is mainly due to the evolution of the valuation of our properties, which is very positive. On top of that, the recurring earnings are at the level of EUR 128 million. That means if we think in comparable terms, plus 15% then if we adjust because of divestments and because of assets that go into renovation program, then the evolution is a different one. The recurring EPS is EUR 0.246. We gave a guidance that was below that. I think that the end of the year was quite strong, and we achieved this significant number. And the net rental income, it's EUR 293 million. As I said, this is a like-for-like growth of 3.3%. It's worth noticing that in the case of Paris, this like-for-like 6.4%. Page 8, letting volume, 170,000. It's 75% more than the year before. It's the second highest number in our history. As I said at the beginning, if you look at this number, the second half of the year accounts for 110,000. So that is almost 2/3 of everything that was done during last year. So you can see a very important acceleration. This second half year delivered 100% growth in terms of letting activity. April occupancy is 96%. Again, worth highlighting that Paris is 98.4%, that also shows a very good performance. And as I said, the ERV shows also some growth, 5% for the year 2021, 8% for the last quarter. We are proud of our leadership in terms of ESG. We are finishing our 2021 year with 95% of our assets with Breeam certification, which is well above market standards. We are finishing last year, which are A rating in terms of CDP scoring, the only European office company, among the top 12 companies in real estate worldwide according to CDP. In terms of GRESB, it's 94 out of 100 again, a leader in listed offices in Western Europe according to GRESB and also the result of an evolution that shows a 54% increase in 4 years. And finally, the first company to go green in terms of financing, in terms of bonds, that was a major -- a recent major achievement. While we will now go into details, I will ask Carlos Krohmer to step in with the details in operations.
Carlos Krohmer
executiveThank you very much, Pedro. Let's go to Page #10, a quick overview on the market. On the left-hand side of this page, you see the vacancy in the CBD, 3% in Paris and 6% and 7% in Barcelona and Madrid. When we look at the high-quality share of this, we have almost no Grade A product in Paris and 4% of Grade A availability in Barcelona and Madrid. This faces a significant positive momentum in take-up in demand in Paris CBD, the take-up has reached a level above 400,000 square meters. This is a 55% year-on-year growth and what is more important is that this figure is even higher than the pre-COVID figure of 2019. Then Barcelona has had an extremely good momentum, 240% higher than the previous year, 330,000 square meters in the last quarter, close to 100,000 square meters have been signed in the market, 85% of the demand is -- has been closed in Grade A assets. And then Madrid has reached a figure above 400,000 square meter for the total market, it's a 22% year-on-year increase. In the investment market, the activity also has been quite positive, EUR 12 billion of transactions in the Paris market, the overall year, 60% has been office and focus has been on high-quality product. Barcelona has registered a record year, the highest investment volume in the last 14 years, EUR 2 billion of activity. This is 13% above the investment volume of pre-COVID of 2019, 70% of the transactions have been in CBD and 22@. And in Madrid, the investment volume has been EUR 655 million, lower than in Barcelona basically because of the lack of product, there has been not a good product in the market. However, on this activity, 60% of the volume has been assets concentrated in the CBD. After having done this overview of the market, let's go to Colonial operations. On Page 11, you see an overview of the main operating KPIs, all of them very good, very successful. Here, what you can see is that the last 2 quarters, each of them had more than 50,000 square meters, and this has led to a significant increase in every market, 137% more volume, more letting activity in Paris, 72% more in Madrid and 28% more in Barcelona. So all in all, 75%. If we analyze it further, let's step to Page #12, then you can see that it's 75% above previous year. If we attach the rents signed to the square meters. So in economic terms, we are even doubling the previous year. So we are not only signing more, we are signing at higher prices. So the total increase in letting activity has been in economic fronts, plus 114% and with a significant acceleration in the last 2 quarters of the year, and we are capturing new tenants. Here, you see some examples and also renewing with our tenants in the portfolio basis. Very important element, our renovation program. You know that we have a renovation program of more than 100,000 square meters. Paris has had extremely good performance. We have already let 28,000 square meters of the total renovation program of 32,000 square meters. This is quite a lot, so it's almost pretty done. On the 2 assets of the Madrid renovation program Cedro and Ortega y Gasset, we are close to have Cedro 100% let. As of today, it's 47% pre-let, and we are in conversations for the rest, and Ortega asset, we are having a lot of conversations. And in Barcelona, we are putting now the new products on the market, Torre Marenostrum and Diagonal 530. They will have also some Utopic Us offer. So there will be attractive hybrid products, and we are very positive on the outcome of this. They are just coming now on the market. On Page 14, let's look a little bit where we are signing. What you see here is every single market and the letting activity. And what you can see is that basically, we are signing in the city center. Everything is basically in the CBD. You see here with -- on the map, the different assets what we have been signing, the contracts and the maximum rents that we have been achieving, maximum rent EUR 930 in Paris. It is really the prime rent. Madrid EUR 35 and Barcelona EUR 28, we are setting really the reference for the prime rent. On Page #15, you see a little bit more of analysis of the second half. As Peter mentioned, in the second half, we have done 110,000 square meters. This is more than the entire volume of the last year. And more interesting than this, out of this 110,000 square meters, the immense part has been letting up of new available space. And as a consequence, we have increased our occupancy by almost 300 basis points in the quarter, so quite significantly. And when we look where we stand today, Paris has an occupancy of 98.4%. So practically -- not technically fully let and Madrid and Barcelona are at 93% as of December. Page 16, where is this 4% vacancy, what is behind this? And what you can see here that is pretty attractive product behind this. Out of this 4%, 1% corresponds to the renovation program in Madrid. As I said, Cedro, we are almost there to have it fully let, and Ortega y Gasset, we have a lot of conversations. Another 1% roughly is 2 assets of the Paris renovation program that has had also a lot of momentum. And then the rest, we have 1.6% of overall group vacancy in CBD assets in Madrid and CBD assets in Barcelona and then a small 0.5% in secondary Barcelona Sant Cugat assets. So we are very comfortable because it's a very attractive product that will be able to capture really the maximum market rents. With this, I step to Page 17. Here, you see the rental performance, release spreads and ERV growth quite good. I think the most interesting point to focus on is on the ERV growth. As you can see, the overall year, we had for the total year, a yearly growth of 5%, but we have had a quite significant increase in acceleration of growth in the fourth quarter. In the fourth quarter, the ERV growth of all the contracts signed has been 8% and the breakdown of this is plus 9% in Paris, plus 5% in Madrid, plus 10% in Barcelona, well above the cumulative ERV growth that we have in the 9 months before. And as always, what you can see, Paris is leading. Paris always is starting earlier. So Paris has started early with the growth, but we are seeing now quite important momentum in Madrid and Barcelona. And then we have delivered 2 projects of the project pipeline, they are totally finished and fully let and they will come full into our P&L from this year onwards. Here, we have achieved 2 things to highlight. First, a very significant rental uplift. In Diagonal, the asset before the project was at an average rent of EUR 14, now it's at EUR 28. So we have doubled the rent. And together with the quality of the assets and that having put in a blue-chip tenant with long-term contract with a 10-year contract, we have created 40% of capital gain margin on the total cost of this asset. So the acquisition price plus the cost is 100% what we have gained in excess of value is 40%. So we are at 140% of total cost. In Paris, we have finished and fully let the Marceau building. It's close to the [indiscernible] there, the building had rents pre-project below EUR 600. We are now well above EUR 900, 70% rental uplift and when we look at the final value vis-a-vis the initial cost we have doubled the value. So we have 108% capital gain margin, so quite remarkable. So delivering projects gives us a significant cash flow uplift and a very important value uplift also.
Carmina Cirera
executiveOkay. Thanks, Carlos. In this section, we are going to see the financial numbers of the operational performance described. I am in Page 20. The first one is the gross rental income. The gross rental income grows 2% like-for-like, especially in Paris with 3%. And especially this growth is mainly driven by prices, as you can see in these details, with Barcelona outstanding with 3.4%. So it means that the contract portfolio base is very well positioned to capture momentum, to capture ERV early growth and to capture, of course, indexation. If we look at net rental income in the next Page 21, the net rental income growth of 3.3%, increasing efficiency in Paris outstanding with a growth of 6.4% especially driven by the positive impact of the Hotel Indigo, which in 2020, it was fully impacted by COVID. And in this 2021 has been into operations. So it has been positively impacted in this net rental income growth with a total average in the 3 markets of more than 3% growth. Another important impact in our results is the valuation. I am in Page 22. So the update valuation shows a growth of 6% year-on-year like-for-like across all the segments, especially in Madrid with outstanding 7% like-for-like growth and I would like to highlight a significant acceleration of this value of the second half of 2021, as you can see here in the detail. So probably second half 4% out of the full year of 6% growth. Madrid second half of the year, 4% out of 7% like-for-like growth total year and Barcelona, 2% second half out of the 6% year-on-year growth of gross asset value. So consequently, we are delivering a very solid profitability results with enhanced quality of them with a total group net profit of EUR 474 million, basically driven by the 6% growth of gross asset value and a 3.3% growth of net rental income. Additionally, the recurring earnings in comparable terms would have been EUR 158 million, so more than 13% year-on-year. But due to the fact that we have sold, as you know, some nonstrategic assets, the recurring profit shows a figure of EUR 128 million, basically very impacting in terms of liability management, saving interest costs and, of course, increasing efficiency in our portfolio operations. So consequently, the EPS is increasing in comparable terms from EUR 0.27 to EUR 0.3043 per share. That means that results are reaching in 2021 the high end of the EPS guidance, basically driven by cost control and financing savings driven by, as you have seen, the acceleration of the activity in the second half of the year and of course, impacting -- being impacted positively, especially the last quarter of the year of the inflation of our total portfolio base. In the next page, you see in more detail the different impacts on our recurring earnings. So last year, we closed recurring net profit of EUR 138 million, EUR 0.27 per share. We have been impacted due to the positive like-for-like rental growth, a positive recurring EBITDA of EUR 10 million. On top, as you know, the different liability management and enhancing the capital structure, which have been impacted the results of more than EUR 6 million and the impact of project -- the additional interest in SFL, that will be -- has been impacted since August 2021 results. We have been also being impacted positively of EUR 4 million of minority and others. So in comparable terms, the recurring earnings would have been EUR 158 million, EUR 0.3043 per share but as we have disclosed in the last quarter results during the year, we have been offloading secondary assets, so with a negative impact in the comparable recurring net profit. We have been also accelerated renovation programs. So the total recurring net profit results into EUR 0.246 per share, 128 in the high end of the guidance we have disclosed during the year. In the capital structure, I am in Page 25. You know very well that we have been done several liability management, several buyback programs, improving the debt profile of our company with also issuing more than EUR 1 billion new bond issuance, extending maturity, lowering the coupon. So today, the spot cost of debt of the group is 1.4% in December '21. So we are -- we have a very solid capital structure with less than 36% loan-to-value, historical low levels with an average maturity of 5 years or more than 95% of the debt is fully hedged at fixed cost. More than 85% of the debt is maturing more than above more than 2025 years. And thanks to the profile of our portfolio. And thanks to the leadership on the ESG, as you know, we have been converted all our outstanding bonds, more than EUR 4.6 billion into green bonds. So today, Colonial is the first company in the IBEX-35 in Spain is the first company in the real estate that all the debt, 100% of the debt, meaning the bond outstanding and the bilateral debt is fully green. So all of the debt has been converted and has been received the support from the bondholders to be converted into green. So as a consequence of the increase of the net asset value, the gross asset value and the dividend that we have to release. I'm in page 26, our net tangible assets has been increased year-on-year of 9% in terms of dividends and NTA. NTA has been growing 6% -- 7%, sorry, year-on-year, highlighting the second half of the year with doubling the increase of value vis-a-vis the first half of the year of EUR 0.54 per share in the second half of the year plus the EPS. So the NTA at the end of 2021 shows a figure of EUR 12.04 per share, 13% year-on-year in absolute terms, which means that including the dividend that we have distributed during 2021, we have released -- we are delivering a total shareholders' return of 9%, well above our EPS.
Pere Serra
executiveSo thank you, Carmina. This is Pere again. And now I would like to cover a little bit the topic related to ESG. ESG Is a high priority for us. So it is for everyone, I guess. So I think that the most important is to come with some specific data or some specific achievements on this note to prove our wishes and what we do. First of all, we have been doing extraordinary efforts regarding decarbonization in recent years. To give just a simple measure, a few years ago, we're above 20 kilos of CO2 per square meter. We are now around 6 kilos of CO2 per square meter. That is a figure that is outstanding, I believe, in absolute terms. And if you look around and see where everybody does stand regarding this, I think that it's even more outstanding. This is part of our plan to become Net Zero by 2030, and we are working this direction, as you know, quite strong. Besides this, we have been obtaining the recognition of the market in our best practices regarding ESG [ no ]. As I said before, CDP has been scoring us with an A, and this is outstanding there are only 5 real estate companies in Europe with this score. There are only 12 real estate companies in the world with this score. In GRESB, we are at the 5-star level. We are at 94 out of 100, 97 out of 100, if we talk about our development portfolio, growing by 54% in 4 years. And the picture looks a little bit the same as we talk about VIGEO, where we are in the top 3% of almost 5,000 companies. That's the coverage of VIGEO. If we talk about sustainalytics, where we are around [indiscernible] in terms of [ recording ], which is top 21 out of 430 listed real state companies. We are at score A in terms of MSCI and finally with the score of 4 to 5 in terms of FTSE4GOOD rating. So I think that all of these is really outstanding. Maybe to finalize, Carmina just was commenting on this big important project that we've done in order to transform all of our existing debt and I stress, emphasize all of our debt into green debt. I think that this is a very interesting project. We just finished it quite recently. Now we are 1 of the only companies, which all of our debt, which is green, and now the interesting moment comes. So in the next future, we will see to what extent the greenium, the, let's say, the lower cost of our debt, it's there in the market. And to what extent our cost of capital can be reduced because of this we did our part of the work. Now the market is there, should be there to prove that we are very well positioned and in the right direction. And now let's go to Section #5, which is basically devoted to answer the question, what else can we do in the future? Where we can make more money where additional value can come from. And we are pointing at 5 different topics. The first 1 is a well-known point, which is the acquisition of the remaining part of SFL that we did not own and where we are now owners of 98.3%. As you have seen throughout this presentation, the performance of Paris CBD, and I would insist CBD, it's really outstanding. And the fact that we have had an additional exposure to this allows us to benefit marginally additionally from this. It's not only the evolution of the market itself is the fact that we are having 3 very important projects there that 1 has already been delivered recently, which is [indiscernible] that are extremely value accretive and we are now additionally exposed to that. And finally, the terms of the deal, we deal -- we did a transaction in SFL that now that we have new information about the NAV of that company by the end of 2021. Now we can say that this transaction is even more accretive, not only in terms of NTA, but also in terms of EPS. So if you look at our EPS, how much it can grow into the future, it will be accretively enhanced because of this acquisition of SFL. The #2 driver in our future evolution is our pipeline. Our well-known pipeline of 9 projects that account for EUR 1.26 billion. We've gone through this many times before. So basically, I will focus on the evolution. In 2021, we delivered Diagonal 525 and 83 Marceau in Paris in very good terms with a very important capital gain on total cost on both projects, 40% in the Diagonal 525 more than 100% in 83 Marceau. So now we are focused in delivering as soon as possible, a couple of projects in Madrid, Miguel Angel and Velazquez and at a certain later stage Biome in Paris later on throughout the year, Sagasta 27. Well, basically, news are that in the case of Miguel Angel, we are in very well advanced negotiations for 100% pre-letting of this building. So we will have -- we expect quite soon very good news in this building of Miguel Angel 23. In Velazquez 86, we are going into a multi-tenant strategy that's going quite well. Here, we're talking about conversations of 50%. To be honest, we are well above this 50% as of today, but we have to be prudent. That's why we talk about this 50% as of now. But conversations for this building are going very, very, very, very well in the current environment that we'll be going through. Biome just starting as we speak, but very high interest. So we remain confident in the evolution of this. So as you can see, the evolution of this, it's quite good. Looking more into the future, Mendez Alvaro a little bit too soon to talk about pre-letting activities, but very well on track in terms of the development of the project. Louvre Saint Honore both going very well in terms of development. And as you know, already pre-let in very good terms also. All of this means [ and ] [ static ] potential of EUR 79 million. And out of the EUR 79 million, EUR 28 million have already been pre-let. And as you can see, another chunk another important part of the next [ 23 ] it's already in advanced negotiations. So that's a very important source of future EPS that it's having the right progress. On Page 34, I would like to talk about the renovation program. Our renovation program sometimes has less visibility than the pipeline because it's, let's say, has less claim work, it's about working in our existing buildings, sometimes in part of our existing buildings in order to renovate them. And sometimes this kind of work, it's less visible to the outside community. But we work hard on 9 different projects for more than 100,000 square meters of GLA. And there, we are having very good news, too. In June 2021, we had a passing [indiscernible] of EUR 8 million in these properties. At the end of this year 2021, that has doubled to EUR 17 million. And on top of that, there are additionally EUR 13 million of rents that come out of the pre-letting activity in some of these assets. That means that this, let's say, second [ week ] of renovation program is already coming with EUR 30 million of secured rents that will add to our current EPS in the future of the company and still EUR 16 additional million more to come up to EUR 46 million that would be the total reversionary potential of this renovation program. So if we look at this EUR 46 million, and then we put them in the context of the EUR 70 million -- EUR 79 million that we see for our pipeline that makes quite a interesting number for the future evolution of our EPS. Driver number four, it's our acquisition strategy. Basically, as a coincidence, we are announcing today that we've just signed a purchase option with in France, they call it “Promesse d’achat contract in order to buy the Amundi headquarters in Paris. We are talking about an asset of around 40,000 square meters in the [indiscernible] Cartier of Paris. This is a very important transaction. It's an off-market transaction. We did not succeed in any auction. We made it in a different way. We are buying this from Primonial and the tenant is Amundi their well-known headquarters. We are talking about an asset which is the seventh largest office in Paris. You know of our strategy of sitting on this kind of horizontal super beat boxes as the right 1 to deliver the kind of strategy that we want for our buildings that can deliver efficiency, experience and sustainability in the future. On top of that, we are talking about a building where we have a 12-year contract with Amundi, which is super top tier client. So we are buying into a very good contract for the long term, of course, CPI [indiscernible] and moreover, with an exposure to an area of Paris in which we believe in an area in transformation, which is target by large companies and it's sitting next to 1 of the best transport hubs in Paris in a city. So it's part of our strategy in the long term, in which we believe a lot. This acquisition is to be finished now in the next few months. So we will enter probably into operation in the second half of the year. But I think that the main agreement has jumped been [ reached ] and that's why we are making this public this today. On top of that, we did the acquisition of the Danone headquarters in Barcelona by the end of last year. And we went through the disposal of some secondary noncore, around EUR 66 million always at the premium on GAV. So this is another source of income and value that will support our strategy well into the future. And finally, our fifth value driver is simply to talk about the potential of rental growth that our company has. First of all, reversion potential. You can see on the left of Page 36, the rental price reversion, which is coming from comparing market rents versus current passing rents at the end of last year. You can see the very important figures and even higher if we allow for price -- full price and occupancy potential. So strong reversion would be the first thing to be mentioned. Second, of course, particularly after today, for example, we just learned that CPI went up 7% in Spain this month and we learned not so long ago that in France, CPI will also substantially -- of course, we have all of our contracts, except for a couple of contracts with public administration in Spain linked to indexation without caps. So we expect a lot coming from this in terms of additional cash flow. You can see, as an example, the gross rental income with indexation coming from the window related to the first half of 2022. We are talking about EUR 135 million of annualized [ GRI ] with indexation that comes during the next few months. The third point on the right-hand side of this is also important. We are experiencing rental growth we finished 2021, the fourth quarter with an 8% ERV growth. I think that this is important because if you have indexation but if you don't have rental growth, you are anticipating this, let's say, growth in your cash flows. But in the end, you need a buffer to take full advantage of your reversion plus indexation. And for this, you need rental growth to be there. So basically, we are presenting a picture, a very attractive picture where we do have strong reversion plus indexation plus rental growth. All of this leads us to the typical picture that we've shown before. We are a company that without doing anything outside our company should be able to deliver substantial growth in our cash flows from the static passenger [indiscernible] of today of EUR 344 million to almost EUR 500 million into the future. So this is basically what we want to share with you today. Just to conclude, I think that we showed a very outstanding achievements in our activity. At the beginning of our presentation, I mentioned the super record that we went through in terms of letting volume, how this letting volume was being accelerated in the second half of the year, how this allowed us to have an occupancy of 96%. All of this with a net rental income above 3% in like-for-like terms, with ERV growth also accelerating. And all of this is translated into a value of the company that is growing substantially, the NTA of the company being now EUR 12 per share above consensus, 9% total shareholder return or 7% growth in terms of NTA above our peers with an EPS that is growing in more comparable terms double digit. But in any way, it's high end of the guidance that we mentioned. And also taking into consideration a non-financing returns for our shareholders. Well, all of these are, we believe, are very valuable point, very good achievements. On top of that, we always like to highlight that instead of [ leaning ] backwards, we look forward, are there any drivers that can allow us to make our -- to make more money for our shareholders in the future. Well, we've gone through a number of drivers that we believe that will allow us to deliver additional good results into the future. In this Page 39, maybe at the bottom, just to mention, we are today having a new guidance for our EPS regarding EPS 2022 in the range of EUR 0.28 to EUR 0.29 per share. To be honest, we want to be prudent in current circumstances we only have to need read newspapers now or watch TV to understand that we have to be prudent. And in this context, we are providing this guidance of EUR 0.28 to EUR 0.29. In the next general shareholders meeting, we expect the shareholders to approve a new dividend of EUR 0.24 per share. This is fully in line with our strategy, which is for our dividend per share to grow 10% as the EPS. So we'll basically have a strategy of delivering double-digit growth numbers in our cash [indiscernible] . And finally, we have a positive momentum [indiscernible] for real estate market and for prime [ City ] assets where we are mainly focused. So this is the presentation for today. Thank you. And now we are open for any questions that you may have. Thank you.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The first question comes from Florent Laroche-Joubert from ODDO BHF.
Florent Laroche-Joubert
analystCongratulations for your great results. So I would have maybe 2 questions. So the acquisitions you have done in Paris is a significant one. And we can see that the Amundi headquarter is, for example, went with 12 years contract. So my question would be, what is the [ shun ] terms of value creation for Colonial in the short term or major term or also what is the ratio in terms of asset management work for [indiscernible] that assets? So what will be your LTV ratio post acquisition? And do you have any further appetite for other acquisition in 2022? So that would be my first question. And my second question will be on your guidance for 2022. So you say that it is a prudent one. But could you be maybe more explicit or maybe [ on ] the main assumptions you have taken into account in this guidance. I don't know, maybe in terms of indexation of vacancy or maybe asset to enter the pipeline?
Pere Serra
executiveThank you. So I'll go through the 2 questions. But maybe on the second Carlos or Carmina, may come with additional details. Look, first, on the Amundi acquisition, I think that there are 3 levels of rationale. The first one, it's about the on terms of the acquisition, which, unfortunately, we cannot still disclose fully because we are bound to confidentiality clauses on this kind of typical kind of acquisitions, and we are still not at the very end. But the main reason, of course, in this kind of transactions is because we are seeing that we are buying in very good terms. The second rationale for this acquisition, of course, it's cash flow, it's sitting on a very secure long-term indexed cash flow for 12 years that we believe that it's going to be supportive for the KPIs of the company in the short term. But the third reason is more real estate-oriented we would not buy in just a contract that provides cash flow, and that's it. So basically, more long-term oriented, there are 2 things to mention. First, if we look at the characteristics of the building to what we like in our strategy, and we've gone very much in deep in the past about this is big horizontal assets that allow us to implement our strategy that it's not only about CBD location. It's about being able of providing efficiency, which means flexibility to the tenants, which is 1 of the main criteria in looking into the future. Second, experience. I mean everybody talks about doing lively assets. But we believe that without big layout with big platforms is very difficult to do. And third, efficiency, which again sorry, environmental efficiency, which, again, in this kind of buildings is much better in a [ tower ] to put an example. So it's a kind of buildings that we like, which is big horizontal and simple. The second rationale has to do about the location. We believe that, again, looking at the mega trends that are happening in our sector, I think that these kind of neighborhoods, super, very well connected sitting on top of 1 of the main train stations in terms of activity of people going by every day I think that we are talking about an area of Paris in which we believe a lot and we're going to experience substantial revaluation into the future. So as you will see, this acquisition of Amundi, it's a mix of beautiful terms of the agreement, sitting on CPI Index, cash flow for 12 years. Ration -- real estate rationale of the asset itself and on the location on the other -- do we contemplate any other acquisitions? Well, we've mainly shared our message in recent months that we saw the market more in positive terms more in order to invest and to divest. Having said that, we remain opportunistic. We don't lower our investment requirements. So we believe that we have to be more strict than ever. And maybe because of that, no, we can do less things that in other market circumstances. But anyway, we would be looking at other acquisitions that could make sense. Just before passing the word to Carmina for additional comments. In terms of guidance, the [ obsolete ] main message that we would like to give is that, at least in our case, we do it bottom up. So when we look at the guidance that we want to share with the market. We go asset by asset. We go with individual assumptions one by one, and that's the way we come to the final guidance. And then, of course, we can be more prudent or not so prudent and we wanted to be more prudent in this particular circumstance. So maybe, Carmina, if you want to add anything to this questions?
Carmina Cirera
executiveWell, no, I think you also asked about the debt and the fact that, as Pere mentioned, it's a very interesting yielding asset. As you can [ image ], improves our ITR improved our debt-to-EBITDA ratio, maintaining the levels of the investment-grade criteria that we have today in the range of 37%, max 39% on to value. So it will remain below 38% on to value in the high end of the investment grade in a very, say, interesting contract long term that provides. A very interesting ICR and improving debt-to-EBITDA and maintaining and reinforcing the rating and the [indiscernible]of our debt.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from [ Rob ] [ Burn ] from [ Templin ].
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. Great. Yes. So 2 questions, if I can. The first 1 on the ERV growth, and indexation and inflation. So could you maybe describe the impact that indexation had on the ERV or what other sources drove up the ERV and how it also translated into the 4% GAAP growth in the second half? So that will be my first question.
Pere Serra
executiveCarlos, is going to go through this one.
Carlos Krohmer
executiveYes. First of all, on the 2021 results, the CPI impact has not been a major 1 basically because of the structure of our contract portfolio, as we have guided here also an immense part of our -- of the windows of indexation of our portfolio fall into the first part of the year. And if you remember, in 2021, before the summer, the indexation rates, the CPIs were at 0 during the first quarter, and then they were going a little bit a little up. So there has been not really a meaningful impact of this in the year, a little bit of acceleration at the end of the year, but the main part of this -- when we look at the ERV growth, really, it's basically almost all of it full rental reversion. So really renewing or letting up spaces at higher rents and where does this comes from. This comes from, on the 1 hand, from the renovation program that we have really reshaped the space. And on the other hand, because we are signing assets in the CBD. So as a summary, really the CPI impact this year and this year's results is not really not at all material. And so I would say almost 100% of the ERV growth is pure ERV growth. On the other hand, what we are seeing now is as everybody knows. We are in a high CPI environment at the moment. And as we have shown, there are EUR 130 million of rental -- contractual rental volume that has an indexation window now in this first half.
Unknown Analyst
analystYes. Sorry, I might not have caught the full last part of your answer, but -- so what would you think the impact will be in 2022 of, let's say, the 4%, 5% indexation on your ERVs and values?
Carlos Krohmer
executiveForward-looking, forward-looking [indiscernible] 2022. This year, the impact on total gross rental income, it has been around EUR 1 million to EUR 2 million just -- it has been rose.
Pere Serra
executive2022.
Carmina Cirera
executive2022.
Carlos Krohmer
executive2022, it's difficult to say at the moment. We are now -- as you know, in France, the things are being reviewed quarterly. The contracts are being reviewed quarterly. And in Spain, we are now collecting the data. But what you can use as a guidance is we have provided the volume this EUR 130 million of rents, and we have provided where we have the latest available CPI data points.
Unknown Analyst
analystAll right. And then maybe just going back to [indiscernible] acquisition of the especially Amundi head office, I appreciate you can't disclose full details, but the simple amount of dividing 20 by 500 to just something with [indiscernible]. In terms of yields in the gross yields. Obviously, the [indiscernible] your portfolio is a [ place ] lower. So -- is there anything you could say with regards to, let's say, your hurdle rate on this? What's the kind of total return you're targeting from this building?
Pere Serra
executiveYes, Luca, the kind of returns that we are targeting, they always depend on the risk that we are taking. And for example, here, it's a very low end risk that we are having. But we usually like to look for a 5% IRR in terms of the, let's say, the investment requirement that we have for this kind of investments. And this can lead you to imagine the kind of yields that we may have. But basically, you will need to [indiscernible]. Carmina, do you want to add anything else?
Carmina Cirera
executiveNo. I think, well, it's confidential, but you know very well the transactions in the market, in the Paris market. And this is a very, I would say, a very interesting approach in terms of euros per square meter that we have reached in this agreement below the average Paris market for this area.
Pere Serra
executiveBut you were not far away now from what would be a regional expectation. In the end, as I said, the IRR for these kind of investments, we would like to underwrite above 5%, which is well the case in this and then I think that the rest, hopefully, in the future, we will be able to be more specific.
Unknown Analyst
analystThat's very helpful. And maybe if I can just squeeze in 1 more on the guidance. I think at the last result, you actually narrowed it down to [ 23 ], now it's actually a bit higher. What's the kind of [indiscernible] special release or a surprise in the fourth quarter that you still ended up more close to EUR 0.25?
Carlos Krohmer
executiveNo, I think that in the end of 2021, yes, a number of things happened. But basically, this acceleration that I was showing before, in letting activity. Also, CPI started to be -- CPI, for example, now we are all [ used ][ not ] it's very high numbers. But in fact, they did not happen at all in the first half of the year. they were happening in the second part of the year and basically in the last quarter. So in the last quarter, there was a combination of accelerating of the letting activity plus CPI indexation and all of these produced, let's say, this a nice surprise that maybe a few months ago was not so visible. I think that was mainly -- and now coming into the 2022, I think as I said, it's basically the simple extrapolation of what we have and known -- and know for every building and you know that we are a company that not only is showing ERV growth in our ordinary activity. But it's coming with additional product that we are delivering from our renovation program, from our pipeline. So it's only going through the spreadsheet that are leading us to this new guidance of 2029 is quite, let's say, automatic. As I said before, on the 1 hand, we want to remain prudent about the guidance. On the other, well, it's a double-digit figure in terms of increase compared to last year. So again, comparing to any peers, we are at the very high end. So that's where the number is coming from basically from thinking about CPI, ERV growth and delivery of renovation programs plus pipeline.
Operator
operatorNext question comes from Alvaro Soriano from BNP Paribas Exane.
Alvaro Soriano-De-Miguel
analyst3 questions. The first on the guidance. I don't know if it includes some income from Velazquez or Miguel Angel and of course, you have included or recognized some income from Amundi in the EUR 0.28 for next year?
Pere Serra
executiveYes, regarding the Amundi, yes, but basically on the second half of the year. So not immediately. And [indiscernible] the last case, I think that in very prudent terms because, as you saw in the slide, we are basically in conversations. So when we are in conversations, we, let's say, attach still a probability to this happening or not happening. So yes, a little bit of this but in the low end because there's actually no pre-letting. Basically, we believe that pre-letting is going to be there quite soon based on the nature of discussions that we have. But the reality is when it is today. That's why we were prudent in including this in our guidance.
Alvaro Soriano-De-Miguel
analystSo -- for Miguel Angel as well, a little bit of income recognition or not leading to the guidance?
Pere Serra
executiveI would say that not complete because again, until we sign, we don't want to give 100% probability. So for example, in the case of Amundi, we did include that because to sign the kind of contract that we signed and we are sharing today, we give this almost 100% probability. So in this case, it's only a timing issue that we are prudent about. In the case of Miguel Angel, although conversations are fully advanced and have, let's say, a high probability of derailing. We did not fully recognize on the rents coming from this. We are a little bit more prudent than this.
Alvaro Soriano-De-Miguel
analystOkay. So we can understand that, Amundi income kind of offset the loss from [indiscernible] building exiting or [indiscernible] exiting [indiscernible] in the second half of the year, right? That is also 1 of the rationales of this acquisition?
Pere Serra
executiveWell, I mean there's not a directly it's because we bought this because of that. But in a way, it's true that there's a source of income that now is [ disappearing ] from Natixis fr a while. By the way, in the future, we will share our plans for Natixis, which will be also quite exciting. But it's true that there is a cash flow that is [ disappearing ] in the short term. And there's a cash flow that is coming from this project. There's not a direct link casualty between this and that, but you are right in a certain way.
Alvaro Soriano-De-Miguel
analystOkay. And the last 1 from my side. Portfolio growth outstanding 6%, but half of it 3 percentage points is projects. So I don't know if you have like a sense or a number of how additional NAV growth we should expect or is yet to come from projects? And also on projects, I don't know if that includes also the renovation program or it's only the big projects like Biome Velazquez or even Miguel Angel?
Pere Serra
executiveI would let my colleagues if they want, but as far as I know, or I would say, our numbers are mainly related to the big pipeline, let's say, not the second [indiscernible] that I call now, which is very important, but it has no kind of has not the same kind of visibility. And in terms of NAV or NTA, sorry, yes, we are far away now from being able to provide a number of these. As you know, the typical number that we give is that if you go to the slide, which is Page 46. And there, you see the different numbers that are given. There you can see the total cost of our projects, and you can see the yield on cost. And therefore, there's an estimate of value creation, future value creation, which comes from the yield on cost capitalized at the market yield. And this is -- that's how much can we say about this? And just to emphasize that we have a look -- a careful look at this slide every time that we share just to reconfirm that the yield on cost that we see here it's confirmed as far as we know today. But that would be, let's say, the only way to approach maybe an answer to your question.
Carlos Krohmer
executiveAnd here, Alvaro, we are specifically guiding, as you can see. You can see in the third column of the 4 columns the current value, what is today crystallized out of the project portfolio that is EUR 2 billion and what we can expect further, we're giving here a guidance range of EUR 2.3 billion to EUR 2.5 billion. So if we go to the high-end range, it would be roughly [ EUR 1 ] on the renovation program, there's still also value to be crystallized specifically, especially in Spain, in Paris, a little bit of the value has been crystallized. And then please do not forget on the ERV side, there has not yet been really a value crystallization. The appraisers always takes a little bit of time that they want to see more consolidation of ERV growth. We expect forward going to see also ERV value growth crystallizing. So we are very confident on the NTA evolution going forward from now even more seeing the huge appetite for the type of assets that we own.
Operator
operatorYour next question comes from Fernando Abril-Martorell from Alantra Equities.
Fernando Abril-Martorell
analystWell, most of them have already been answered. So just only 1 with regards to the letting activity, which has been very strong in the second half of the year. I was wondering if you could give us some color with the beginning of 2022 and by market would also appreciate it?
Carlos Krohmer
executiveOn the letting activity, well, as Pere already highlighted, we are having a lot of conversations. Let's touch [ wood ] that everything goes well there on the projects. As I mentioned in the presentation, in the renovation program, [ Pere ] said, we are having a lot of conversations Biome, we are also having interest [indiscernible] we are close to hopefully sign the rest of the [ building ], so we would be at 100%. And overall, in general, this is a trend that continues in Q1. We see -- we saw a significant pickup of activity in Q4, and this is continuing. So we are having a lot of conversations and we are confident to release soon additional letting ups on the whole portfolio. Paris is working super strong. This is, I think, quite factual. You can see it here in the presentation. But I think the main news is that Spain has picked up -- catched up a lot during the end of the year, and we are having many conversations on different assets, so we are quite positive.
Fernando Abril-Martorell
analystOkay. So Carlos, just a follow-up. Is it fair to assume that you will reach another, let's say, 50,000 square meters in Q1 as well?
Carlos Krohmer
executiveI don't want to be so -- so [indiscernible] guide on a specific figure. But let's say, we have good feelings and what then the final figure is, we will see it, but we have good feelings.
Operator
operatorThere are no more questions. Dear speakers, the floor is yours.
Pere Serra
executiveSo thank you very much for your attention today. we are pleased to close year 2 of [ pandemic ] with these kind of results. I think that is particularly impressive if we think about the environment that we have to go through. Let's hope that the new environment that is surrounding also will not be just an additional problem for our for our performance. But so far, I think that we are very pleased of having the opportunity to share such good results with you today. So thank you, and have a good day. Bye-bye.
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