Corpay, Inc. (CPAY) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
August 31, 2022
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Christopher Svensson
analystWelcome to the Deutsche Bank 2022 Tech Conference. My name is Nate Svensson. I cover the payments and fintech space with Bryan Keane. And I'm very excited to be joined here by Charles Freund, the CFO of FLEETCOR. We're going to go over some questions that we prepared, and then open it up to the group for question-and-answer. So Charles, how are you doing?
Charles Freund
executiveFantastic, Nate. Thanks for having me.
Christopher Svensson
analystYes, thank you for being here.
Christopher Svensson
analystSo just to start off kind of high level, tell us about where you think the company is, big picture, how is FLEETCOR positioned coming out of the pandemic facing all the macro headwinds that we have. What are some of your key strategic priorities in the next months and years?
Charles Freund
executiveSure. So I'd say overall FLEETCOR is positioned about as best we've ever been. So through the pandemic, we've continued to expand our product set, our capabilities. As you can see in our results, sales continue to be incredibly strong. Retention is strong. So organically, the company is doing quite, quite well. Macro-wise, mixed bag, right? Fuel price has been a bit higher than we had thought. Interest rates are going up, okay. But basically, from the organic strength of the business, we feel really, really good. The strategic priorities for the next couple of years, we have a kind of a plan, a 3-point plan across all of our clients to increase the number of clients, to sell more, increase the revenue per client and then also expand into adjacent segments. So an example would be increasing -- more clients, right? We've expanded our digital capabilities, doing really well with that in fuel. We're going to bring that to other product categories, scaling channels that work so just invest more. In terms of more revenue per client, we're adding more features, expanding our networks and capabilities. We can increase the value proposition and charge more or capture more spend per client. And then in terms of entering new segments, getting into white-collar travel and the lodging segment, getting to urban dwellers with our toll products, et cetera. So in all these cases, that 3-point plan, and we're executing against that.
Christopher Svensson
analystGreat. That's great. And so I hate to beat a dead horse, but this question is going to come up every fireside chat that we have, and it's on macro. And you kind of touched on fuel costs, FX. But maybe you can just kind of call out some of the underlying assumptions going into your second half guide and if anything has changed with regards to your expectations for fuel prices, for lodging prices, for spreads or FX since you reported earnings last month.
Charles Freund
executiveSure. So when we went out with guidance, we had, I believe, $4.64 in fuel price for Q3 and then $4.29 for Q4. So we did model kind of a forward decline in curve. With that, we did expect, particularly Q3 fuel spreads to be higher as that normally is an offset for a declining fuel price. And basically, we're seeing that. Fuel prices have come down. Spreads have been quite good in the third quarter thus far. In terms of FX, the British pound and the euro are actually doing a bit worse than we thought, but that's more than offset by the Brazilian real that's doing much better. So on balance, we're fine there. And then in terms of interest expense, we assumed kind of a 2.2% LIBOR in Q3 and a 3.2% in Q4. So again, following that forward curve. Wait and see what the Fed does, right? We'll wait and see. But so far, things are lining up kind of as expected.
Christopher Svensson
analystGot it. Got it. That's helpful. And I think just sort of like looking at the results that you've had recently, and one thing that stands out is the strength you've had in bookings and retention. So bookings were up 36% last year. Retention is still really strong at 92%. So maybe you can go over some of the factors that are driving that strength, and what your expectations are on your ability to maintain that strength in the face of a potential economic slowdown.
Charles Freund
executiveYes. We're super focused on organic growth, which is basically just sell more versus what you lose in terms of retention. So sales-wise, we've made further investments. We mentioned digital over and over. It's been mostly limited to the fuel business, so we're expanding that into other areas. In terms of where we see real big strength, the lodging business way outperformed. And so in terms of coming out of the pandemic, you've got more people out on the road. They see the demand for the lodging product. Hotel prices are up. And so again, people want to save against that. So lots of demand there. We've had some robust airline sales. We mentioned the Delta app on the recent call but otherwise straight out airline sales being helped by our Levarti acquisition, which provides more software to the airlines to digitize their operations. So that's opening doors and getting things closed. We're super excited about that. Our Brazil business is just rocking and rolling. So we've continued to expand the value proposition by building out our network, offering ancillary services to our 5 million consumers there. And so that business has been up tremendously versus last year.
Christopher Svensson
analystGreat. Yes. So you touched on a lot of different products, service lines, et cetera. So hopefully, we can dive in a little deeper on each of those with the next set of questions. So moving to the fuel segment. Fuel revenue was up 7% last quarter, sort of aided by rising gas prices. But one thing that jumps out to me is I read the news, and I hear things about like refinery throughput and SPR releases and things that are beyond my purview as a fintech analyst, right? So maybe you can talk about some of the things that you're doing on your side to help stem the volatility in commodity prices and how you're going to help drive -- continue to drive organic growth in the fuel segment.
Charles Freund
executiveSure. So the 7% percent was actually organic growth. And so I think on a print basis, it was about 18%. So you can see the benefit of the fuel price. We've kind of modeled that business in terms of how much we invest in sales and lose it be kind of a mid- to high single-digit business going forward. And it's just a function of sales investment because we are overinvesting in a couple of other categories. And so in terms of that future growth, continue to do digital sales. And we are expanding into this EV category in kind of a big way, which we can talk about a little bit later. And so we're playing a little bit of defense with the fleets we have, but we're also moving into offense, which will help, again, grow that category.
Christopher Svensson
analystGot it. So let's jump into EV. So you mentioned on the last call, 4,000 EV clients in Europe. Just wondering, is there -- can you say what that number looks like in other regions like the U.S.? And if the U.S. is lagging behind Europe, which it likely is, how long does it take for U.S. to get to the levels that you're seeing in Europe? And maybe you can talk about some of your strategic plans in the EV space.
Charles Freund
executiveSure. So most of those clients in Europe are in the Netherlands. We do have about 1,000 maybe that are using EVs in the U.K. When I say they're EV clients, they may have 1 or 2 vehicles in their fleet as they're slowly migrating. Here in the U.S., it's less than 100, right? So we're well, well behind. It's easier for a country like the Netherlands to make a move. They're about 5% of population, about 3% of our land mass -- or no, sorry, 0.4% of our land mass. So it's just -- it's a tiny place. So when you're talking about coverage, range anxiety, things of that nature, it's easier them -- for them to build out the networks and then make the move. Here in the U.S., it's just going to take a long time. We've got issues around demand, right? All the EVs in the country are in a handful of states, some of which are really pushing hard like California. But otherwise, a lot of folks aren't overly interested or pushing it. It's going to take a long time to get EVs to the people. So we have supply chain issues and other things that are keeping it kind of slow, the infrastructure build-out, the grid, upgrades, et cetera. So it's just -- it's going to take time. But we're planning for that future, right? We're all climate-minded. And so we want to be helpful in that transition. And so we're building products to enable fleets to make the move to EV in a smart way, continue to control all their purchasing, manage their fleets with robust data and then shifting our revenue model a bit to be more subscription-based because that's what is important for the fleet manager. It's about the data.
Christopher Svensson
analystAnd so any -- I guess, just it comes to mind, any impact from the recently passed IRA bill where there's sort of more emphasis on EV build-out? Or is it just too soon to tell?
Charles Freund
executiveFar too soon to tell.
Christopher Svensson
analystGot it. Got it. So sticking with the fuel segment for a little bit. On the last call, you talked about tightening your credit underwriting standards in the fuel segment. So maybe you can dig more specifically into specific actions you're taking to tighten the credit underwriting, and if you have any sort of outlook on when credit might normalize for you in that segment?
Charles Freund
executiveAnd so in the fuel segment, we acquire most of our clients through digital channels. And we're trying to do that on an end-to-end basis, so not human involvement. There is still, but we're trying to minimize that, obviously, for efficiency. And so we've got kind of dials in, in terms of credit underwriting but also fraud prevention. And the tightening has really been on the latter. It's fraud prevention. When you have a commodity that spikes up in price, fraudsters come out, and they want to try to grab that more valuable commodity. And so what we did was we were looking at activity online and looking at suspected fraud. You don't know if it's fraud, right? You're trying to make sure you balance what you're letting in vis-à-vis the fraudsters and such. And so we tightened that up a little bit because we saw a lot of inbound traffic. So the credit policy hasn't changed. Credit scores, size, et cetera, that hasn't changed, all around fraud prevention. And we've done a nice job balancing that out vis-à-vis others. So in terms of going forward, if there is a recession, I think we're very well positioned. COVID taught us quickly how to pivot whether I'm changing my credit policy for new clients, I'm pulling in credit lines for existing clients, whatever it may be. And so we're prepared if that shows up. We haven't seen anything yet. But if we need to, we can pivot quickly.
Christopher Svensson
analystGot it. Got it. That's great. So moving on to the corporate payments segment. Obviously, B2B payments, hot space in the payments and fintech world. We saw great growth in 2Q kind of led by full AP outsourcing, in which I think grew 47%, which is great. So maybe you can dive specifically into that, talk about your strategy to drive more sales through full AP outsourcing.
Charles Freund
executiveSo for those that aren't familiar, full AP, it's basically we take the entire payment file, and then we pay all the vendors however they need to be paid, whether it's by check, ACH, virtual card, through a cross-border network, whatever it is. So it's basically a full outsourcing of your AP. That business has grown like a weed mostly because we're overinvesting in sales. I'm pushing more sales there than, say, fuel. So investing a lot. And we've transitioned our sales force. So instead of focusing on selling a point solution like a virtual card or a purchasing card or a T&E card, we're trying to lead with full AP. And we get the full payment file and then can execute and monetize whoever we need to. And so that has more stickiness when you have that full solution. So we're really, really focusing our sales force in that regard. Our more recent acquisition of Accrualify helps to build out that platform, particularly in the mid-market. And then down market, we've gone a market with Corpay One, and we've got some exciting things we're doing there.
Christopher Svensson
analystGot it. So I mean you just mentioned Accrualify. That was my next question. So what's specifically about that company excited you? So now you have their invoice automation capabilities. So maybe you can talk about why you decided to do that deal, what specific capabilities to bring in the table and where you plan to go with that relationship.
Charles Freund
executiveSure. So in bill pay, there's kind of 2 different things you need to do. You need to capture invoices and run them through approval workflow software and make sure it's ready for payment, and then I need to execute the payment. Mostly in the mid-market, we were predominantly on payment execution, leveraging then our existing proprietary virtual card and cross-border networks to monetize those payments. We had some software on the front end but not enough in the mid-market. More of our invoice automation was in the lower market. And you need more sophistication when you're dealing with mid-market clients. And Accrualify's a great business, super modern technology. And so we're bringing that into the front end, so we can use OCR and other data capture to get invoices into the system, work them through approval, and then we already have all the payment execution on the back end. So we think this is a great -- it's not big. It's a couple of million, small single-digit millions in terms of revenue, but we think it's going to really amp up sales as people are looking for that full solution.
Christopher Svensson
analystGot it. Got it. So we've talked a bit about the fuel segment, talked a bit about the corporate pay segment. So maybe we can talk about your efforts to sort of cross-pay -- cross-sell more corporate pay solutions into your fuel client base with things like virtual card and bill pay. So maybe you can talk of some areas where you're investing and sort of where you see the long-term fruit of your effort bearing out?
Charles Freund
executiveYes. So this is still super early days, but the way we've decided to go to approach this is we're signing up lots of clients each quarter and in the fuel business in particular. And they've not had an experience with us. So they've never seen what my fuel UI looks like. So our idea now is to take clients where it makes sense and onboard them directly to our full Corpay One platform, which has bill pay capability and FX capability and fuel card capability. So we'll bring them on, and they'll have the fuel card reporting and controls. And they'll have these other modules that should they want to use them eventually, they're there. So they're already onboarded. And that will enable us, we believe. It's less of a cross-sell and more just kind of an upsell of what you're already using. So that's kind of our new approach. We think it's -- basically, it will be frictionless because the new client has no experience in any other platform, but it will enable us to turn things on over time.
Christopher Svensson
analystGot it. So in one of your earlier responses, you talked about how excited you were about the business in Brazil. So it leads to the toll segment, right, and just incredible performance there. Results continue to accelerate. So what's driving that? Is it just pent-up travel demand in Brazil? So how is Beyond Toll impacting those results? And sort of where do you see the increased demand once the summer travel season kicks in, in the Southern Hemisphere going?
Charles Freund
executiveYes. So our toll business, it's phenomenal. I was down there a few weeks ago, and it's hard to believe the strength of the Sem Parar brand. It's kind of like you're going to go make a Xerox or you blow your nose with a Kleenex. It's -- if you use a tag, people just call it, it's a Sem Parar. They go to our competitors and they say, "Can I have your Sem Parar tag?" They say, "No, you can't." But nonetheless, so Sem Parar, a ubiquitous brand, one of the most well known in the country. We've built an incredible, robust -- incredibly robust distribution capability there. When we bought the business several years ago, it was 4 million tags, now over 6 million. So we're selling at toll posits. We're selling with field people. We're selling in malls and kiosks. We're selling through vending machines. We're selling at supermarkets with tags like a prepaid card kind of tag. We're selling online digitally. So we've built all this robust capability to reach the market. We've expanded the value proposition of the product to include not just tolls and parking but fast food and fueling, even access to condominiums, which is also a distribution channel and getting it out of your house. And oh, by the way, if you want to turn it on for fuel or other things, you can. So again, all of this, it's just basically anywhere you go. In your car, we're trying to simplify your journey using our tag. So it's super robust and a differentiated value proposition vis-à-vis our competitors, which allows us to get more ARPU. So really, really robust business, long runway there. Because of the strength of the brand, it's trusted, the relationships we have with 3.5 million consumers, 5 million consumer tags and another 1 million business tags, cross-selling into that group with ancillary products like auto insurance, things of that nature, we think it's a big opportunity. So we're piloting that now.
Christopher Svensson
analystGot it. And is there anything you can say either quantitatively or qualitatively on where you see the summer travel season going in Brazil or other places in the Southern Hemisphere?
Charles Freund
executiveYes, it's interesting. About 40% of all sales of tags happened in the fourth quarter, at least in the last couple of years. And then it's like 20%, 19% happened in the month of December. The reason is that's their summer, and folks are heading out to the beaches. And they need to travel on the highways to get there, so they load up on their tags and such. So always see very, very robust sales in the fourth quarter, which then leads to revenue in the next. So we're super excited to see how that goes. In terms of Beyond Fuel, which you mentioned -- Beyond Toll, which you mentioned, it represents about 10% of the revenue now of that business. So it continues to grow. But we're still a few years from where we want to be. We've got about 1,500 fueling stations right now. We want to get that up into the 5,000 to 6,000. So we have a few years of still build out of that network. And once we do that, we believe we'll have the network build-out between urban centers and the connections along the highways that will create the network effect to really amp up that volume.
Christopher Svensson
analystGot it. That's great. Moving on to lodging, again, growing at an exceptional rate. I think it was 42% in the second quarter. So maybe you can just start high level. What do clients appreciate about your solution versus the competition or status quo, particularly in an environment where hotel costs are rising as everyone who attended this conference can attest to?
Charles Freund
executiveIt's a -- so the lodging business, to give you an idea of the scale of this thing, so we're going to book somewhere between 35 million to 40 million room nights through our different programs. So it gives us enormous leverage in terms of negotiating with hotel operators. So we'll buy at circa 40% off retail on average and then be able to street it to our clients at, say, 20%, which is a great value proposition. And when I say off retail, that's not the rack rate you see on the back of the door here. It's what you're going to find at Expedia, at the hotel's website, any of the OTAs. And so we're getting a deeper discount there, good for the clients, particularly in this environment, but it has tremendous revenue per transaction for us. It is a phenomenal, phenomenal business. To your point, demand is up, and we're seeing that with our sales. And the volume recovery coming out of the pandemic is also quite helpful.
Christopher Svensson
analystGot it. And then maybe can you talk about some of the trends you're seeing in workforce lodging vis-à-vis airline lodging? And then I know you also have the insurance business as well. So any color on those 3 different segments within logging would be helpful.
Charles Freund
executiveSure. So workforce, sales are up. We are seeing a bounce back in terms of pandemic, right? Things are reopening. People are getting out on the road. But the airline recovery is far more pronounced. And I don't know if you guys do a lot of air travel. You're here, so I'm sure you have. I travel quite a bit. And you can see it at the airports. And so whether it's crew travel, distressed passenger, which you've seen a lot of news on that. So that volume is up quite a bit as well. I'd say geographically within airlines, it's mostly a domestic recovery and in Europe. Asia is still lagging a fair bit. They have been going in and out of shutdowns as we know. So that still has more room to recover.
Christopher Svensson
analystGot it. So I guess we talked about the distressed passenger app. So it bleeds naturally into the Delta relationship. So maybe you can talk about the new partnership, how that came about, sort of what value you're giving to Delta, what you see as the value they're giving to you as a partner and then go from there.
Charles Freund
executiveYes. So for those that aren't super familiar, the distressed passenger, your flight's canceled, you need lodging. If you've ever waited in those queues, I've had that pleasure and been like the 200th person waiting in line. You wait for an hour, and that's not really helpful. And so what we've done is we have an app. So if your flight is canceled, you can go use the app and go book -- get the hotel, and you don't have to wait in line. You just go in your bus, done. We've had this solution in place for a couple of other major airlines and some of our smaller carriers as well. And so Delta is new to the group. And so far, so good. So strong NPS scores for users. About 35% where they've rolled it out -- they're rolling it out domestically and internationally. Where they've rolled it out, about 35% of the passengers are using it thus far. So okay adoption. What we've seen in other majors is 70%. We'll use it. So we still can double, we believe, that usage or penetration even within the existing relationship. So very, very strong relationship, really good early results, continued roll-out globally. So super excited about that partnership and what it can bring.
Christopher Svensson
analystGot it. And so just a bit following here. Is there any other sort of industries where the distressed passenger app might have applications? I think it's sort of like cruise ships. I know it might be a little specific. But is there anywhere you've taken those lessons learned capabilities from the Delta partnership and what you're doing with other airlines and applying that elsewhere?
Charles Freund
executiveYes. And interestingly enough, it's actually in the insurance business we have. And so if you think of like a major hurricane or a disaster, major flood, right, comes through and wipes out neighborhoods or whatever, it's horrible. And people need housing for them and their families, and so we're bringing that same type of distressed homeowner kind of app and letting them book directly online. So that's something we're in the process of rolling out as well.
Christopher Svensson
analystGot it. Got it. So -- and I know this is sort of a smaller part of your business, but the gift segment of your business. I know on the last earnings call, you kind of talked about this pull forward in demand, companies wanting to get ahead of the holiday season, make sure that they don't run into any supply chain issues with the physical cards for holiday shopping and stuff. So can you talk about any additional trends you've seen quarter-to-date or since you've reported earnings in the gift segment, what you're excited about, potential headwinds and anything in that segment?
Charles Freund
executiveSo far, Q3 is fine. We actually saw a little bit of pull forward still out of Q4 but nonetheless, fine. We did have a big sale in that business, one of the largest fast food chains, which we hope to announce soon. So that's going to be helpful for next year and the coming years. What we've seen there is really more diversification into some of these other channels and services. So what I mean by that is, historically, it was plastic gift cards, right, at the point of sale at a location. We've diversified in kind of 3 ways. One is taking that gift card and enabling it to go into a digital wallet. And you may say, "Well, that doesn't sound super innovative. Everyone does that." But we do it for mass -- people do it for Mastercard and Visa and other. When you do it for proprietary cards, we have hundreds of different retailers. It's a different game. So we've been able to do that. And bringing that to the digital wallet, people see an increase in spend. Clients love it. Their customers love it, and so we're able to create a new revenue stream by providing that service. We also have helped them with distributing either physical cards or that digital wallet card through their e-commerce websites. And so you'll go to a website of a retailer, you say I want to order gift cards, whether they be physical or electronic. And it will actually be our back end. And we'll go through the ordering scheme, and so not only helping to process cards, but now I'm helping to distribute, which again, retailers love because they get the money upfront. And they get float on that. The third thing we've done to also help our retailers distribute cards has moved into the B2B space. So think about a sales force, a call center that may have spiffs and want to hand out prepaid cards as incentive programs, they now come to us, and they order in bulk. And so again, partnering with them to reach businesses, which we haven't gone directly to in this category, helps us distribute on behalf of the retailers, the win-win. So we're approaching new -- we have got new revenue streams and helping our clients distribute into new segments. So that's really fueling a lot of the growth there in that business.
Christopher Svensson
analystGot it. That's great. So I'm going to ask a few questions on capital allocation here and then maybe open it up to the group to see if there's any questions there. So last earnings call, you mentioned $6 billion to $8 billion in incremental capital at your disposal for M&A. So maybe you can talk about potential types of strategic targets you're looking at, what you're looking for in a potential M&A deal. Any color there would be helpful.
Charles Freund
executiveSure. So as it relates to capital allocation, we do take a pretty balanced approach. We have been quite active buying back shares this quarter, given the dislocation in our stock price. So I'd say quarter-to-date, we're at about 2.2 million shares bought back. As it relates to M&A, we look at it a couple of ways. One is around capability building. Accrualify would be a good example, where I'm just trying to accelerate time. I could go and build the software and take 3 or 4 years, or I can buy it and integrate it quickly. And so that's one thing we do, but we don't spend -- overspend in that. I'm not going to do a massive, massive dilutive deal for capabilities because I'm not sure what the synergies could be. In terms of then the other types of deals we do are more straightforward, build, scale synergies. A great example of that is AFEX, the cross-border business that we closed on last year. We've more than doubled the profit already in the first year. It's given us a playbook for integrating cross-border acquisitions in a very, very quick and effective way by porting them on to our existing platform and then closing redundant operations all around the world. That is now the playbook for an acquisition like Global Reach, which we've already announced but we have yet to close, which we hope to do in and around the end of the year. So those types of deals, so bigger, synergistic things which I have super clear playbook on how to get a return, we'll spend more on, right? The bigger accretive deals, smaller capability-building deals, and that's the balance that we're doing. So I'm either building capability for the midterm, or I'm getting synergies in a very, very quick way.
Christopher Svensson
analystGot it. So you talked about M&A. You talked about opportunistic share buybacks. Obviously, a big part of your growth strategy is driving organic growth. So how do you balance like investing more into the business versus putting money into M&A or share buybacks because it's obviously been a strength for you, and it's a key strategic pillar. So how do you balance those priorities?
Charles Freund
executiveYes, I would say we always start with our organic growth profile. Our midterm objective is in and around kind of 10% organic revenue growth. So what we do is we build the models, what level of sales investment do I need to make to generate absolute number of sales to then overcome any attrition that I might have to make my 10%. Now not every business is going to grow at 10%. Some are going to grow slower, and some are going to grow faster. And it's just a function of where do I place my sales investment. And that is a function of where do I think the opportunity is, what is the lifetime value of those clients, et cetera. So we play a portfolio game. Some things will grow faster. Some are slower just based on where I'm investing. So that's where we start. What we tried and you may say, "Hey, can you grow any faster than 10%?" We could if I invested more in sales, but that incremental investment tends to not have quite as good productivity. I hire a brand-new team of 50 or 100 salespeople, and they're brand new. They have to get trained. They have to build a pipeline. It's going to take time. And that is -- that starts to hurt my EBITDA margin. So if I invest too much, I can't expand my margins. And so that's how we balance it. I want to invest enough in sales to grow 10%-ish while still being able to expand my EBITDA margin through time. And once we do that, we figure out how much cash we're going to generate, and then we're off to either buybacks or M&A.
Christopher Svensson
analystGot it. And so I was a little aggressive or preemptive. I do have one more question for you since we have the CFO of the company here. We've got a few questions on the interest expense framework going into fiscal '23. So I know you gave some initial commentary on the call. And obviously, you're not going to guide. But can you walk us through some of the puts and takes that are going to influence that number, whether it's SOFR and LIBOR, whether it's hedges rolling off and whether it's impact from jurisdictions like Brazil? Anything you can give there would be helpful.
Charles Freund
executiveSure. So we've got about $7 billion of floating debt. Walk through real quick, kind of $3 billion Term Loan A, $1.9 billion Term Loan B. I've got about $800 million to $900 million out on our revolver and then $1.5 billion, [ 4 to 5 ] on our securitization. Securitization is kind of L plus 100. The Term A and revolvers, L plus [ 1 375 ], and then the Term Loan B is at [ 1 75 ]. We've got -- in terms of the hedges, we've got $0.5 billion rolling off in January of next year. That -- I believe that rate is around 2.4% LIBOR that we exchange for. And then we've got another $500 million rolling off in December of next year. We are generating interest income, which in the past hasn't been much, but has gone up. So we've got about -- got several hundred million, call it, $300 million, $400 million in places like Brazil and Mexico that are making higher -- paying higher rates. Brazil is circa 12. Mexico is running 7 or so. And we've got about $1.2 billion that we've got sitting in U.S. accounts, fluctuations in working capital and whatnot, where our bank partners have agreed to actually pay us interest on that. And so I'd say about $700 million of that is between 1.5% to 2%. And then about $500 million would be in and around kind of 50 basis points or so. It's because of the nature of the accounts and whose cash it actually is.
Christopher Svensson
analystGot it. That's helpful. So we have about 5 minutes left. We have a mic at the back. So if anyone in the crowd is interested in asking a question, just raise your hand, and they'll bring it over to you.
Unknown Analyst
analystSo you spent a lot of time talking about all the different businesses, and Nate did a great job walking through your portfolio. And you talked about the excitement of acquisitions. So when you pull it all together, what do you think -- what do you want investors to focus on the most? We know it's a great portfolio of businesses. But how do we get excited about -- like what should we focus on is what, I guess, is the basis of my question.
Charles Freund
executiveYes. Two things. So one, I mean, we are a historic compounder. We've got a great track record, and we build models to compound organically double digits and then supplement that with what some might call ruthless capital allocation to get into the kind of more the 18%, 19% cash EPS compounding. I would say that based on our track record, put COVID aside, we've done a pretty good job with that. So if you like something that's pretty stable, hard to push off plus or minus with a good track record, that's something you can count on. I don't want to say you can take to the bank. I never say that, but I just did. The other thing I'd say is don't miss the moats. So in all of our businesses, there's some level of either proprietary technology or really important proprietary networks, which give us data advantages and economic advantages. And it's really, really hard to replicate those things if you don't have volume. In some of the markets we operate, I'd tell you that the merchants would prefer we weren't there, but it's too late. I've got an established network. I'm bringing the volume. They can't get rid of me now. And so that's a really important distinction because although there are other networks you can use, when you own the network and the technology, it gives you an advantage. And when you negotiate directly with smaller merchants like we do, we can get really, really good economics.
Unknown Analyst
analystJust want to go back to the macro real quick. If you separate the fleet, obviously, the -- or the fuel price movements, have you seen any economic weakness yet in either transactions or sales channels or even in B2B in the amount of payment spend or the velocity of payment yet? And if you haven't, where do you expect the first signs of weakness will come from?
Charles Freund
executiveWe haven't really seen much yet. There's been a little bit in the small business fleet, local fleet segment. Not so much in trucking, but in the local fleets. So you might say if there's anywhere in our business where there might be some of that discretion, if any of that's discretionary, you might say that's a little bit, but really nothing material. I'd say the first place you would see it would be in airlines, right, moving cargo, or rail business, in lodging. We serve both of those verticals in that lodging space. You'd see it there first, and then you'd see it in trucking. So hey, once the goods get off the train and such, they got to get elsewhere. So hey, now the trucking thing you might see. But thus far, all is good beyond a little bit in the SMB fuel space.
Unknown Analyst
analystAnd when you give guidance, do you have to account for potential weakness in some of those areas? Or you wait till you see it before you guide them?
Charles Freund
executiveYes, I'd say we're kind of in a wait-and-see mode at the moment. We're really -- because we haven't seen anything, we are still seeing recovery actually coming out of the pandemic. We're seeing the inflation benefit in spend, although we can't really quantify it. We know it's there in our corporate payments business. Whether you're T&E, you guys are seeing it while you're traveling or whether you're buying goods for manufacturers and all the input prices are going up. So we are seeing some of that. It's really, really hard for us to see any kind of a recession issue in terms of volumes at this stage.
Christopher Svensson
analystGot it. We just have a few seconds left here. So I want to give you the last word. Before we started here, Jim, you and I were talking about how disorienting the market's been and low volumes, doldrums of August. Stocks go up a ton 1 day, down the next day. So for investors that might be looking to put capital to work, like just give us the pitch on fleet. And any last word you'd like to say before we go.
Charles Freund
executiveYes. Like I said, long-term consistent compounder, good moat for a defensive position, very resilient, diversified business. In our minds, pretty low valuation. We are aggressively buying back at this price, and I encourage all of you to jump on it.
Christopher Svensson
analystAll right. Well, thank you very much, Charles, and thank you, everyone, for being here.
Charles Freund
executiveThanks.
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