Corpay, Inc. (CPAY) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

May 6, 2025

New York Stock Exchange US Financials Financial Services earnings 58 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Good day. I'd like to welcome everyone to Corpay First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Today's call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Jim Eglseder, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

James Eglseder

executive
#2

Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us today for our earnings call to discuss the first quarter 2025 results. With me today are Ron Clarke, our Chairman and CEO; and Alissa Vickery, our interim CFO. Following the prepared comments, the operator will announce the queue will open for the Q&A session. Today's documents, including our earnings release and supplement, can be found under the Investor Relations section of our website at corpay.com. Now throughout this call, we will be covering several non-GAAP financial metrics, including revenues, net income and net income per diluted share, all on an adjusted basis. We will also be covering organic revenue growth. This metric neutralizes the impact of year-over-year changes in FX rates, fuel prices and fuel spreads. It also includes pro forma results for acquisitions and divestitures closed throughout the 2 years being compared. None of these measures are calculated in accordance with GAAP, so may be different than that at other companies. Reconciliations of the historical non-GAAP to the most directly comparable GAAP information can be found in today's press release and on our website. It's important to understand that our comments may include forward-looking statements, which reflect the information we have currently. All statements about our outlook, expected macro environment, new products and expectations regarding business development and future acquisitions or synergies are based on that information. They are not guarantees of future performance, and you should not put undue reliance upon them. And we undertake no obligation to update any of these statements. These expected results are also subject to numerous uncertainties and risks, which could cause actual results to differ materially from what we expect. Some of those risks are mentioned in today's press release and on Form 8-K and in our annual report on Form 10-K. These documents are available on our website and at sec.gov. With that out of the way, I'll turn the call over to Ron Clarke, our Chairman and CEO. Ron?

Ronald F. Clarke

executive
#3

Okay. Jim, thanks. Good afternoon, everyone, and thanks for joining our Q1 2025 earnings call. Upfront here, I plan to cover three subjects: so first, provide my take on Q1 results, along with the rest of year guidance; second, cover our recent M&A activity; and then lastly, I'll share a progress update on our 2025 top priorities. Okay. Let me begin with our Q1 results. We reported Q1 2025 revenue of $1.6 billion, that's up 8%, and cash EPS of $4.51, that's up 10%. Cash EPS would be up 18% on constant macro. The results really right in line with expectations, along with the environment coming in mostly as expected. Organic revenue growth in the quarter, 9% overall. Our two biggest businesses doing quite well: Vehicle Payments, 8% organic revenue growth; and Corporate Payments, 19% organic revenue growth. Operating trends in the quarter, quite good. Same-store sales finished positive, plus 1%. Our retention stayed steady at 92%, and sales or new bookings, way up, up 35% versus Q1 last year. And again, that's on the back of up 36% of sales growth in Q4. So look, despite really everything going on, the business performed as planned here in Q1. All right. Let me make the turn to our rest of year forecast. So first off, macro, the factors that affect us really setting up to be effectively neutral to our rest of year forecast versus our prior guide. So the forward curves for FX, fuel and SOFR have moved just a bit, but essentially zero out in terms of their impact on our business. Obviously, with that said, we do acknowledge that the overall macro environment is quite uncertain, but we're just not seeing anything yet that causes us to revise our forecast. Additionally, our revenue flash for April looks to be spot on our forecast. So as a result, we're pretty much maintaining our full year 2025 guidance at the midpoint as follows: so $4.420 billion in revenue guide at the midpoint and sticking with $21 in cash EPS. The slightly increased full year guide reflects the Gringo acquisition in Brazil, and that's net of the $6 million unfavorable spread shortfall we saw in Q1. So with this updated full year guide, we're still expecting full year organic revenue growth of 11% at the midpoint. Inside of that, Corporate Payments business expected to grow high teens to 20% for the full year. As it relates to tariffs, we're not a particularly sensitive tariff stock, that is we won't directly pay tariffs. Our businesses are services, not goods. Our International businesses in the U.K. and Brazil operate intra-country so not subject to tariffs. So the direct tariff exposure that we have is really limited to our cross-border business, where it does rely on our cross-border clients trading across borders. We have included a slide in our supplement that shows a bit less than 20% of our cross-border business will actually be affected by U.S. tariff policies. So look, all of this is to say that our business is not directly impacted much by U.S. tariff policy. But certainly, we're not immune to our clients being negatively affected by tariffs, and that could ultimately soften their volumes with us. Okay. Let me make the transition to our recent M&A activity. We have announced a couple exciting deals here in the last week. So last week, we announced a strategic cross-border partnership with Mastercard. So in that case, Mastercard will invest $300 million for about a 3% share in our cross-border business. That does value our cross-border unit in excess of $10 billion. Second, we signed a commercial agreement to be Mastercard's exclusive provider of cross-border services to their clients, to their FI clients. And we think this financial institution partnership could add about 2% to 3% incremental revenue growth to our cross-border business beginning next year. Secondly, just announced that we're making a $500 million minority investment into Avid. That's alongside their take private transaction with TPG. Many of you know Avid a leader in B2B invoice automation and payments, and they do serve pretty distinct verticals from our payables business. We're outlooking the investment in Avid to be accretive to our earnings in 2026 and really throughout the forecast period. Our agreement with TPG does provide us a call option to acquire the remaining equity of Avid down the road. So pretty exciting. So these two Corporate Payments acquisitions for sure strengthen our position in the space and do provide us the option to dramatically scale up our position over time. Lastly, we are looking a bit harder at divesting three of our noncore or less related businesses. Taken together, those three businesses could provide upwards of $2 billion of incremental liquidity if we are to transact. We'll obviously keep you posted. Okay. Let me make the turn to our 2025 top priorities. So in the February earnings call, we laid out four priorities for 2025, and here's a bit of the progress. So first, the portfolio. We said our goal was to expand our Corporate Payments business mix. We're doing just that with the Mastercard and Avid transactions. And in addition, we are still looking at some additional Corporate Payments targets in our pipeline. So the goal, again, fewer bigger businesses. Second priority, USA sales. We did have a good Q1 USA sales result. USA sales, up 25% year-over-year. We have staffed a new cross-sell team that goes back to our client base and the new Zoom sales team, both of those groups now live in the market. We have developed a new Corpay brand ad campaign that we expect to be in the market later this quarter to further support USA sales. Third, payables. So on the payables front, we did just go live with the enterprise client I mentioned in February. So far, so good. We do expect this single mega client will process over $30 billion in annual spend with us. So a significant opportunity. We do expect to launch our new payables product in the U.K. using our kind of next-gen tech this summer. So super excited to bring that product to our second biggest market. And then lastly, on the cross-border front. We're making a major push into this new segment for us, this institutional client segment. So think PE firms, asset managers. So we're doing that with our new multi-currency product. So progress is quite good. We've signed over 2,000 new clients already since launch, and we've aggregated $800 million of total deposit balances. So off to a good start. So pretty pleased with progress here against our four top priorities. So look, in conclusion today, again, Q1 financial results finishing really on plan, maintaining rest of year full year 2025 financial guidance. That's based on what we're seeing. We are expanding our Corporate Payments segment with additional acquisition targets still in front of us. And as you can tell, laser-focused on our 2025 top priorities and advancing them. So with that, let me turn the call back over to Alissa to provide some additional details on the quarter. Alissa?

Alissa Vickery

executive
#4

Thanks, Ron, and good afternoon, everyone. Here are some additional details related to the quarter. The first quarter was a good start to the year with our businesses exhibiting strong organic revenue growth of 9% overall, right in line with our expectations. Our print revenue of $1.006 billion was up 8% over last year. Normalizing for macro, Q1 revenue would have been $1.013 billion, slightly ahead of the midpoint of our guide. Our revenues were impacted by approximately $6 million of unfavorable fuel spread revenue compared to our February expectation as there was little volatility in prices in the quarter, which led to the fuel spread revenue headwind. Adjusted EPS increased 10% over last year to $4.51 per share. As Ron mentioned, performance drivers during the quarter were strong and were paired with solid expense management, fewer shares outstanding, partially offset by a higher tax rate. We completed the acquisition of Gringo in March, which had an immaterial impact on revenue and adjusted EPS. In summary, the quarter generated strong top and bottom line growth on a constant macro basis while maintaining strong margins and included significantly higher sales that should fuel growth over the balance of the year. Turning to our segment performance and the underlying drivers of revenue growth. Corporate Payments revenue was up 19% organically during the quarter driven by solid spend volumes, which also increased 19% organically in the quarter. Our Corporate Payments solutions continue to sell extremely well with payables revenue up 19% organically, including direct sales up 30% year-over-year. Within sales, we signed two new channel partners in the quarter. Cross-border sales grew 51% for the quarter compared to the prior year, and revenue increased 18% organically. We did see heightened activity throughout the quarter driven by FX rate volatility from tariff policy changes. But much of that early benefit was given back in March as uncertainty caused U.S. goods-based volumes to soften somewhat. Activity and volumes did rebound in April post announcement of the 90-day tariff pause. We've already migrated most of our GPS customers from the 2024 acquisition onto our Corpay platforms, with remaining migration planned to be completed by the end of the third quarter. This positions us well to cross-sell our sophisticated risk management solutions to GPS' customers. Clearly, U.S. trade policy and tariffs are challenges for our customers as they operate today and look forward. Cross-border is a global business for us, where we help customers pay for both services and goods. Services have been largely excluded from the tariff policy changes to date. So for the remainder of 2025, we expect tariff impacts to be relatively modest, unfavorably impacting our cross-border revenue by approximately $10 million to $15 million based on our assumptions. We've provided additional details on Slide 20 in our earnings supplement. Turning to Vehicle Payments. Our revenue grew 8% organically during the quarter, consistent with the fourth quarter of 2024. In Brazil, toll tags increased 8% year-over-year with more than 1/3 of our customer spending coming from our extended network. Active insurance policies increased more than 50% and car debts users were up 40%. We closed the Gringo acquisition in March, and we continue to be excited about the significant opportunity in the car debts space. Our app-based strategy, growth of offerings as well as consistent sales execution powered Brazil organic revenue growth of 22% for the quarter. In International Vehicle Payments, revenue grew 8% organically for the quarter. Consistent strong sales, array of products and channels, notably EV offerings throughout the U.K. and Europe, and continued geographic diversification are the drivers of these results. I'm delighted to say we have re-signed our existing reseller agreement with Shell for another 5 years to manage Shell fuel and EV cards in multiple markets across Europe. In U.S. Vehicle Payments, revenue growth was down 3% organically, but we continue to see improvement in new customer application approvals, growth in sales to our lower to mid-market customers and better retention. In the revamped U.S. sales organization, we are focused on standardizing performance criteria to manage sales with incremental investment and brand awareness to drive mid-market growth and leads. Lodging organic revenue growth for the quarter was down 1% compared to down 9% in the first quarter of 2024, so a big improvement over last year. Room nights increased 19% led by the workforce business, which was particularly active as a result of last fall's hurricanes and wildfires as well as improved new sales. Airline revenues were lower due to tough prior year comps and volume softness. To accelerate U.S. sales growth, we are focused on building a single unified Corpay go-to-market strategy by combining people, processes and measurement across U.S. Vehicle Payments, workforce lodging and most of our payables products, led by our Chief Revenue Officer. We are building scalable infrastructure and are seeing early returns with double-digit growth in bookings across each of these lines of business. We continue to gain traction in leveraging our product portfolio across our client base, propelled by our unified brand with meaningful growth in website traffic and a strong sales pipeline while also having sales representatives focused on cross-selling and upselling to our existing customers. In summary, we are pleased with the performance of our business to start the year. Now looking further down the income statement. First quarter operating expenses of $579 million increased 8% versus the first quarter of last year. As a reminder, we acquired three businesses in 2024: Zapay in March, Paymerang in July and GPS in December; and disposed of our merchant solutions business in December. The net impact of these transactions resulted in incremental operating expenses of approximately $40 million in the first quarter of 2025 over the prior year. Excluding the M&A activity and normalizing for lower FX rates, operating expenses increased approximately 5% versus Q1 of last year. The increase in operating expense was driven by higher transaction volumes and sales activities to drive future growth. Bad debt expense as a percentage of spend was 5 basis points, consistent with Q1 of last year. To better understand our operating performance, we evaluate EBITDA with and without the impact of add-backs, consistent with those adjustments and our cash net income definition to the extent they are operating expenses. We refer to this metric as adjusted EBITDA or cash EBITDA. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 55.2%, consistent with Q1 of prior year. Interest expense this quarter increased 7% year-over-year due to higher balances related to capital deployment, partially offset by lower interest rates and higher interest income due to higher deposit balances. Our effective tax rate for the quarter was 25.5% compared with 24.7% in Q1 of last year, with the change driven primarily by the mix of earnings. Now turning to the balance sheet. We ended the quarter with a balance sheet in excellent shape with a leverage ratio at 2.69x, which is down 6 bps from year-end. As we mentioned in the last call, we raised $750 million of additional Term Loan B debt and used the proceeds to pay down the revolver in the first quarter. We have over $2.5 billion of cash and revolver availability at the end of the quarter, which gives us ample capacity to pursue acquisitions. As Ron mentioned, we announced an expansion of our partnership with Mastercard to deliver an enhanced suite of corporate cross-border payment solutions, which includes Mastercard investing $300 million for an approximate 3% stake in our cross-border business unit. We expect this transaction to close in the second half of 2025. Our capital allocation in the quarter was limited as we spent $59 million on share buybacks associated with employee stock option exercises and $164 million for Gringo. Given the sell-off of our stock this year, we are buyers of our stock, but our first priority remains M&A. Meaningful M&A cycles are few and far between so we want to take advantage of them when they present, and the pipeline is very active. So now let me share some additional information on our updated 2025 full year and Q2 outlook. While the forward FX and fuel price curves have changed since our February call, the net effect of the macro factors on the rest of the year financial outlook is a wash. Here are the puts and takes. Fuel prices are now expected to be $2.96, approximately 9% lower. The U.S. dollar is now weaker against most currencies other than the Brazil reais. Interest rates are slightly better and tariffs have a slightly unfavorable impact to our cross-border unit. Consequently, we're maintaining our 2025 guidance and now adding Gringo, which adds to revenue but is neutral to cash EPS. Based on the current environment, we are maintaining our expectation of 10% to 12% organic revenue growth and $21 of cash EPS at the midpoint. There is currently a lot of noise about if and how the demand environment will change in response to tariff uncertainty and sentiment deterioration. Through April, we're not seeing any meaningful change in customer behavior, so it's difficult to handicap what might happen. What we do know is that the majority of our products are B2B and intra-country focused, generally not discretionary and provide a more efficient way to pay for what our customers are buying. There has been a lot of volatility with FX rates and the global economic outlook, but today, we're not seeing any meaningful impact to our business. If economic activity and the outlook change, we'll be nimble in adjusting our spending as warranted, but today, we are maintaining our full year financial estimates. For the second quarter, we expect print revenue growth of 12% to 14% and print cash EPS to grow 11% to 13%. On a constant year-over-year macro basis, we expect organic revenue growth of 12% and cash EPS to increase 18% at the midpoint compared to the second quarter of last year. We've provided additional details regarding our rest of year and second quarter outlook in our press release and earnings supplement. So now, operator, we'd like to open the line for questions.

Operator

operator
#5

[Operator Instructions] We'll take our first question from Tien-Tsin Huang with JPMorgan.

Tien-Tsin Huang

analyst
#6

Ron, you've been real busy, I know. I want to ask on the two deals, maybe first on Mastercard. Just give us a little bit more on your confidence level in getting this 2 to 3 points of incremental revenue growth out of the agreement. We've seen these kind of partnerships before. And of course, Mastercard's got a ton of reach with banks. But ultimately, the banks still have to promote it. So what kind of line of sight do you have into that, the energy that's going to get put into that to drive that 2 or 3 points?

Ronald F. Clarke

executive
#7

Tien-Tsin, good to hear your voice. So I think the opportunity is just so big. I think if Mastercard dedicated people get us introduced, that this thing will go. And I say that again because the clients of these Tier 2 and Tier 3 banks pay half of these payments in U.S. dollars. So I think when our people show up and can provide that kind of benefit, I think it's going to be big. I do think the question is how long. Remember in this space, there's a handful of us, independents like us. All the rest of cross-border dollars are done with banks. And so the size of the flows sitting there are just massive. And so this is for sure a marathon thing, but I think lining up with them creates just enormous opportunity over the cycle.

Tien-Tsin Huang

analyst
#8

Yes. It seems aligned with what the banks want to do in terms of monetization of front end. But yes, just curious on that. But that's good to hear. Just on the Avid one, interesting deal. Maybe the simple high-level question I'll let you opine on is just, is this a financial investment or a strategic one? I mean, I guess, it could be both. You have a call option. But to see you do have the minority deal in somewhat of a mid-market, I'm just curious how passive or active you'll be as an investor in Avid.

Ronald F. Clarke

executive
#9

Yes. It's a good question. Strategic for sure, right? We have said repeatedly, we want to be bigger in Corporate Payments and particularly in the payables portion of that. And so this is a terrific asset and stuff. And so for us, it's just seeing progress really on profit acceleration, which we got a bit of a line of sight into. And so we are super hopeful that the company will progress that and we'll be in a spot to acquire that company in a few years. So that's the primary basis that we're going into this.

Operator

operator
#10

Next, we'll go to Andrew Jeffrey with William Blair.

Andrew Jeffrey

analyst
#11

Yes, a lot of good stuff going on here. Ron, when you think about the Avid investment, and the option seems to be a great way to go about it, can you talk specifically to their network as well as your own AP business just around monetization rates? And I assume that strategic investment, as you term it, of this nature indicates confidence, ability to improve card attach and monetization. I know new sales are a big part of that, too. But can you speak to the monetization piece and your confidence in being able to drive card acceptance and/or ACH pricing?

Ronald F. Clarke

executive
#12

Yes. I think it's high. In some ways, Avid has done really even a better job than we have, right? Their revenue mix includes a fair amount of just stand-alone software fees. They've also advanced what they call kind of paid for or ACH+, getting paid for sending ACH. So I think that they've made great progress on that, and so have we. So I think, to your point, I think this is for us less about confidence in those networks because they're already both super scale. It's really on the buy side. The game is for both of us to sign up more spend, right, to run through that network and then, in their case, to realize some scale effectively to have the incremental revenue flow through at way higher margins. So those are really the two things that we're key in on, is really acceleration in buyer sales or spend and then really flow through of the increment into earnings. If they do those two things, we'll be over the moon.

Andrew Jeffrey

analyst
#13

Yes. That makes sense. And as a quick follow-up, you mentioned enterprise last quarter as a new thrust within the Corporate Payments business. Can you give us an update there in terms of pipeline?

Ronald F. Clarke

executive
#14

Yes, it's live. So I think what we said, first of all, it was a slight bit accidental, right, that we kind of stumbled into this thing 6 months ago, having been a middle market focus. So we did contract this one mega account, and we have gone live. So that is kind of starting to ramp. And so I think I said in the last call that I tried to hold the horses a bit at the corral to make sure that this thing works, gets out of the blocks, works well for the client. But we do have the -- I think we mentioned there's some big consulting firms that facilitated the introduction that have already kind of run out to a handful of incremental prospects. So I think what I said still holds. To the extent that we get success in this initial account and call that account referenceable, I think you'll see us start to move forward with additional accounts. So this is a big incremental opportunity in the payable space for us. Again, it's the size of it, right? Call it, 4 or 5 of these accounts are literally the size of our entire business today.

Operator

operator
#15

We'll go next to Ramsey El-Assal with Barclays.

Shray Gurtata

analyst
#16

This is Shray on for Ramsey. So my first question is on the AvidXchange investment. So in your press release, you mentioned that the take private transaction structure gives Avid the flexibility to transform and accelerate profit growth. And Ron, I know you hit on it a little bit, and I know it's still very early on in the process, but I was just wondering what kinds of strategic initiatives this could entail.

Ronald F. Clarke

executive
#17

Yes. It's really just a -- it's a scale question, right? The company is, whatever, 20-plus years old. They built the foundation with software. They've been in pay that we've helped them with for 20 years. And so I think they're getting to a scale now $400 million to $500 million in revenue, where we're looking for the increment, call it, the next $200 million to $300 million of revenue to just flow through at just a much higher rate, which I think it will. Because the foundation, like the network of suppliers, the tech, the sales structure, a bunch of the foundational work has been in place. And so I think it's literally as simple as that. If they can add more spend to the wheel here, we think the flow-through will be significantly better and margins will accrete. So that's, again, what we're looking for.

Shray Gurtata

analyst
#18

Got it. And then as a quick follow-up. Earlier in the call, you called out that outside of your cross-border business, any tariff impact would be indirect in nature. So I was wondering if you could help us think through what this indirect impact might look like in Vehicle Payments specifically. Would it be isolated to your OTR business or in particular geographies? And then could you potentially deploy pricing as an offset?

Ronald F. Clarke

executive
#19

Yes. I mean, I think probably like everyone on the call like who knows, right, when something is indirect, right? We're not going to pay tariffs directly. And so hey, we have all flavors of clients. So I think your comment is a good one that clients of ours that have goods as their business instead of services, so think an 18-wheeler who moves products around, could be more impacted than local businesses that do plumbing, right, or HVAC. And so certainly, our mix would affect a little bit what happens. But we just -- like everyone on this call, we don't really have any kind of view at all of how much any of these accounts will be affected. We just know that as a company that has a stock, we're kind of not in the gunsight of this. We won't pay tariffs. Again, we're mostly a services business. And really the only business with any kind of smidge of direct exposure is cross-border. And as we put a slide in the supplement that only about 20% of those flows are on goods, and two are from the U.S. And so even there the impact is limited. So really, it's just a function of what happens to the plan and to all the businesses out there. If they're hurt a little bit by it, we'll be hurt a little bit. If they're hurt a lot by it, we'll be hurt a lot by it. But we're not going to be hurt directly by it is our message.

Operator

operator
#20

And next, we're going to go to Andrew Schmidt with Citi.

Andrew Schmidt

analyst
#21

Ron, Alissa, congrats on all the progress here. I wanted to ask about the U.S. business within the Vehicle Payments. It sounds like you're pretty optimistic around the sales trends there. And maybe just comment around just the confidence in sort of driving improvement in revenue there as the year progresses, obviously macro aside. But would love to get some details based on the sales trends and initiatives you have there.

Ronald F. Clarke

executive
#22

Andrew, it's Ron. It's a super good question. So I'd say the -- it's a two-part answer. The first part is really retention. And so we went on the nausea with you guys about the great pivot of the U.S. vehicle business a couple of years ago and getting out of micro accounts and why and all that kind of stuff. And I can report that, that is now distant in our rearview mirror. And so what's come out of that, let me just quote this to you, that the retention rate for that entire U.S. business in Q1 of '25 are improved more than 200 basis points from Q1 of 2024. So the loss rate in that business used to be -- have a 9-handle, I want to call, low 9 to 9.5. And now it has a 7-handle. So that's the first message is obviously getting 200 to 250 points back prospectively, and we think that we'll even get a smidge better is the first point. And then on the second point, yes, the sales relative to the base is up. And the forecast that we have sitting here says that we think the first half is, call it, flat. And the second half is literally mid-single digits or better. So we're sitting here on this call telling you that we think there is a big pivot in organic revenue growth coming in that business here in whatever, in 60 days. And then if we get that, all of a sudden, our organic growth rate steps way up because that's a pretty big business. So I'd say our confidence is high because we're good at math, and we kind of captured the retention number already as we thought we would when we made that change. So we're finally, after this time, we're going to start to see some benefits from that decision.

Andrew Schmidt

analyst
#23

Got it. Yes, retention is a big lever. So that's good to hear. Every time we see macro fluctuations, we always get the question on sort of supplier acceptance trends within the AP business. It doesn't sound like there's been much variation based on the commentary. But maybe just talk about what you hear from suppliers in terms of payment choice, things like that, whether there's been any change on that front.

Ronald F. Clarke

executive
#24

Yes. It's a good thought. So no is the answer. That number is basically flat. It's kind of remaining flat. And I think it's just what you'd expect, which is payment certainty. Suppliers want to get paid, right, and not default, and payment speed are of high importance. So any supply that runs good margins like service businesses, like as an example, that run 50%, 70% marginal cost basically, they love card products because they're certain and they're fast. And so I think the answer is we're not seeing really all that much different. And so back to the comment, same thing I said about Avid, that our payables business goes as spend goes. If we can keep growing the buyer side and increasing spend, we think, if anything, we'll take up the monetization as we add more ACH plus ourselves into the network. So we're not seeing really any downtick there yet.

Operator

operator
#25

[Operator Instructions] We'll next go to Sanjay Sakhrani with KBW.

Sanjay Sakhrani

analyst
#26

Congrats on this Avid minority ownership. Ron, could I just follow up a little bit on the acceleration of the sales at Avid? Like how exactly will you guys be involved in that? Will you actually like sell the product, have your sales -- I'm just trying to think about that part of it. And then just on expenses, obviously, there might be some redundancies between what you guys do and they do. Is there any plans to sort of get involved on the expense rationalization there? And just one final one. Just what are the terms of the call option in 2027?

Ronald F. Clarke

executive
#27

That was kind of a three-parter there, Sanjay, if I was listening. So let me see if I can go back and remember part one. So one, hey, our involvement in Avid sales. You got a good guy, in my opinion, running the place, and you've got some good leaders there with Mike. And so I think our role is that we've been a part of the idea side of, okay, maybe being helpful in terms of priority and where to point and sharing some practices that we think -- and some investments that we think may help them perform better. But we wouldn't have made this investment if we didn't have some confidence that they could do it. In terms of synergies in this early hold period, Avid is going to run kind of as Avid. But clearly, we thought about and sized what I call our second bite which would be if, in fact, we get a few years out and we like the profit growth, profit acceleration there. There's a pretty whopper incremental synergy, right, through combination, to your point, whether it's the merchant networks or the tech side or other things. So we would really plan to two-step that. It will run mostly kind of as it is. We'll be helpful where we can. And then if that day comes that we try to buy the rest, we'll get the second bite. On the terms front, we're basically going to kick the can and provide that detailed disclosure in our Q, which will be probably later this week or Monday. We'll lay out more of the details of the thing. But yes, at the high level, what you said is right, which is we've taken a minority position along with TPG and management and basically have the option a couple of years out to buy the rest of the equity. So we'll fill in the details a different day.

Operator

operator
#28

Next, we'll go to Andrew Bauch with Wells Fargo.

Lemar Clarke

analyst
#29

It's Lemar on for Andrew. It's good to see the progress that you're making on the payables front in terms of moving upmarket to the enterprise segment and that one client win that you called out and the intention to, I guess, expand into the U.K. this summer. I guess with the noise around tariffs and the incremental macro uncertainty, maybe just give us an update if there's been any kind of like revised thoughts around kind of like the scale of that expansion over the coming months.

James Eglseder

executive
#30

Sorry, can you repeat the last part of that? You kind of broke up.

Lemar Clarke

analyst
#31

No, I was just asking if with the incremental macro uncertainty and kind of like the comments that you made around the tariff implications on cross-border, if there are any revised thoughts as it relates to the scale of that expansion, whether it be moving upmarket to enterprise or the U.K.

James Eglseder

executive
#32

Okay, the payments expansion in the U.K.

Ronald F. Clarke

executive
#33

Yes. I'm sorry, I'm struggling hearing the question. But I think you're asking, hey, in the payables group, we're happy about the enterprise, the adjacent enterprise space and prospects there. And then going to the U.K., I think it's yes and yes. Like we said, we've gone live for the first account. This partner has introduced us to the next set of people, and so this is really just walk before you run. We want to make sure the thing is working and we're doing well. But the size of the step that we could get, if it's successful, is large. And then the U.K. thing, again, is an intra market thing, right? We're taking a product that's here and it's going to help clients in the U.K. So there won't be really specific any tariff impacts of that. It's really a product that will be used by U.K. businesses for purchases there. And then to the extent that they have cross-border payments there which, again, 2/3 or 3/4 of those will be into the continent of Europe or in Asia or other places, so yes, we don't think that that's going to have really any bearing on the launch. We're just excited to stand up a super important business in a second market that adds TAM and leverages like all the assets, all the clients, all the people and stuff that we have there. So that's really what we're trying to tell people, is we're going to make this a way bigger business.

Operator

operator
#34

And next, we'll go to James Faucette with Morgan Stanley.

James Faucette

analyst
#35

I wanted to turn to another topic really quickly, Ron. Curious to hear about the performance of the hedging business in Q1. And anything you can give us on how it has performed since then during the month of April and early May? I'm just wondering if it's fair to think about that business as a beneficiary of sustained heightened market volatility. And can you give us kind of the puts and takes on that dynamic and any other impacts on tariffs on that segment specifically?

Ronald F. Clarke

executive
#36

Yes, that's a good question, James. So on our cross-border business, Q1, good. I think we reported a high teens revenue growth against the prior year. And the sales, I think, grew 50% in the quarter over Q1 the prior year. So we're selling the stuff like crazy. In terms of April, we did look at the flash. Gangbuster is maybe the adjective I'll use. The April flash of cross-border is way ahead of our budget and our forecast and significantly ahead of the prior year. And yes, there's no question that certainly in April, that it's been a beneficiary of the uncertainty of what the heck is going on. And so to your point, what's the sustainability of that is less clear. But yes, through 4 months, the business is truly rocking. With that said, I don't know how clear we were, but we did -- Alissa and I did have $10 million or $15 million out of the second half full year guide to just be a bit conservative if the post-pause tariff world is not super attractive. We want to make sure we went into the second half a bit conservative. But frankly, we don't know. I just wanted to put it on the table that we decided to trim a bit the second half in the event that tariffs are mean looking to us.

Operator

operator
#37

And next, we'll go to Trevor Williams with Jefferies.

Trevor Williams

analyst
#38

If we could go back to the organic guide. Ron, you've given some kernels on this over the course of Q&A, but we're at 9% organic in Q1. You're keeping the 11% for the year. It sounds like a lot of that acceleration is coming from U.S. vehicle, but if there's anything else that you could point us to. And I hear you on kind of April running in line. But just with everything on the macro, how would you frame the level of confidence in the full year and the specific drivers you guys have baked in today versus 3 months ago?

Ronald F. Clarke

executive
#39

Yes, Trevor. Good question. High would be the answer. So kind of interesting. We expect Q2 that we're sitting in, and again, we've had a look at April already, I'd say we think probably closer to 12% at the midpoint. So I know it's a big step. Hey, we just printed 9%. And although I think we printed -- what did we print in Q4? Is it 12% in Q4? So 12%, 9%. I'm going to say, Trevor, 12% here in Q2. And surprisingly, the U.S. vehicle one is not the big contributor, the big step. The strangest thing is that the gift business, which was super soft in Q1 versus the prior year, is going to be super strong here in Q2 against the prior year. And so then when you go into the second half, what you said is right. Then the lift is we think the U.S. vehicle business will step into mid-single digits or plus, and that's what we'll have the back half still double digits, 11%, 12%, 13% in Q3 and Q4. So gift gets you there in Q2, and then U.S. vehicle gets you there in the second half. And Corporate Payments stays steady as you go, high teens to 20%. And again, who knows if again some recession -- we're just calling them as we see them today, the data that we can read out. So obviously, all of this is a function of the world not melting down. But given what we could see, confidence is high.

Operator

operator
#40

And next, we'll go to Rayna Kumar with Oppenheimer.

Rayna Kumar

analyst
#41

Are you seeing any differing trends across SMBs versus your larger fleet clients? And can you talk about same-store sales trends for both segments?

Ronald F. Clarke

executive
#42

Yes. I'd say not much. I mean I think, historically, our middle market enterprise clients have been steadier. But I think we did such a cleaning, such a remixing starting a couple of years ago that our truly kind of micro, super small accounts are just way fewer in our portfolio. So I think that first headline is we're just way less exposed to it would be the first point. And then on the base, again, plus 1%, which is, I think, the same thing we quoted for Q4. And again, the good news is that's up 3% from Q1 of the prior year. if I remember right, Q1 of '24, we were minus 2%, Q1 of '25 we're plus 1%. So we moved that plus 3% over the period of time. And so the base report that I look at is pretty steady as she goes. There's not a ton of movement. Kind of each of the areas is kind of similar to what it was in Q4, where it was plus 1%. And so yes, we don't see much that's patchy in it. It's pretty solid right now.

Operator

operator
#43

And next, we'll go to Dave Koning with Baird.

David Koning

analyst
#44

And I guess my question just with the Avid deal, do you guys immediately get access to their supplier network? And maybe could you talk through like if today, your accounts payable clients, maybe you have 20% of each of their payment files on average that can go into one of your suppliers. And now with Avid, does that 20% raise to 30%? I'm making up numbers, obviously. But do you have metrics like that? And am I thinking of that correctly?

Ronald F. Clarke

executive
#45

Yes. Dave, it's Ron. That's a super good question. And the good news is we have a bit of a head start on the subject you're on. So call it, I don't know, 6 to 12 months ago, Mike and I met on this very subject and created a commercial agreement, kind of arm's length agreement between the two companies to do exactly what you just said, which is to -- we had third parties look at the composition of our supplier networks and which parts of it were monetized and not and then using that data to basically help each other monetize more. And so that thing has gotten lifted up already. And obviously, the deepening of the relationship now, I think we'll improve that. So we will clearly double down on that initiative. And then as I said, a different day, we would move to a complete combination of that. We would just effectively, think of it, double the spend in the merchant network, which is -- would be obviously super synergistic, right, would create enormous leverage for us to have doubled the spend running through that set of suppliers. So that's obviously one of the attractive things for us in the second bite.

Operator

operator
#46

Next, we'll go to Rufus Hone with BMO Capital Markets.

Rufus Hone

analyst
#47

Maybe just a quick one on -- you mentioned some potential noncore divestitures. Now the $2 billion number sort of implies it could be something pretty chunky. I guess just what businesses does that cover? Any details there would be great.

Ronald F. Clarke

executive
#48

Yes. Rufus, it's a good question. So not shockingly, the three units that we kind of teed up, two are from what we call our vehicle segment and one is from our lodging segment. So the concept here again is more in Corporate Payments, less in vehicle and lodging. And so the different message, I think, for everybody this time is bigger. So historically, we've said, hey, we're going to look for things that are less related, noncore and potentially divest those and kind of things on the margin. We picked two or three businesses that have more size, think, call it, $150 million, $170 million in EBITDA combined across these three businesses as a larger set of divestitures. A couple of them are really good businesses and should fetch a pretty good price. And so the idea really is just to simplify the company more, create more liquidity, in this case $2 billion, and pour it back into the pipeline in front of us at Corporate Payments. So it's just a more -- the message to you guys is just a more aggressive repositioning of our portfolio, I think, towards Corporate Payments.

Operator

operator
#49

And next, we'll go to Ken Suchoski with Autonomous Research.

Kenneth Suchoski

analyst
#50

Maybe I'll ask one on lodging since it wasn't covered here. But the organic growth took a step back this quarter. I know there's leap year impacts in there. But is the expectation to accelerate to mid-single-digit growth throughout the year and then ultimately get back to double-digit growth? And I'm just curious, how do you guys think about driving that acceleration?

Ronald F. Clarke

executive
#51

That's another good question. So the short answer for the Q1 is really all pocketed in airlines. So we built a plan for Q1, and the smidge-y part of the lodging where we serve the airlines was just super soft. Maybe the weather was good, I don't know, but the disruption subsegment of that was super light, as was just the -- maybe it's the Newark Airport story, I don't know. But the airline volume was super light. So all of the softness different from our plan was airlines. Going forward, I think we said that we built the 2025 budget and guide today really on that business staying kind of flattish. It was declining. And so the goal was to get it stood up back towards level again and that we would make sales here in 2025 so that business is a good business again in 2026. So there's nothing in our forecast that, that thing is going to magically be much better. But the super-important headline is it's not declining. The base is stronger. The retention levels are way better than they were a 1 year, 1.5 years ago. So now it's literally just refilling the top of the bucket so that, that thing can grow. So that's the update.

Operator

operator
#52

And we'll go for our last question with Nik Cremo with UBS.

Nikolai Cremo

analyst
#53

I just wanted to come back to the U.S. Vehicle Payments business just given a deceleration versus, I think, being up slightly last quarter with strong sales last quarter as well. So can you just provide more specific color as to what drove the deceleration in Q1 and just put a finer point as to the drivers for the acceleration in the back half?

Alissa Vickery

executive
#54

Sure. It's a good question, and this is Alissa. So from a -- what drove the current quarter, I think it's just a little bit of softness. But as we continue to look towards the back half of the year, it really is the current trends in new sales that we're seeing right now continuing into the middle and the back half of the year, better retention, better same-store sales, which should drive the ultimate back half acceleration.

Operator

operator
#55

Thank you. And that does conclude our question-and-answer session. I'd like to turn the call back over to Jim Eglseder with Investor Relations.

James Eglseder

executive
#56

Yes. Thanks, guys, for your flexibility today and staying on the call late. We know we were late into the wire, but I think you all understand why. If you have any other questions, feel free to reach out. We're happy to help wherever we can.

Operator

operator
#57

Thank you. And ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude today's program. Thank you for your participation. You may disconnect at any time.

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