Cresco Labs Inc. (CL) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

September 15, 2021

Canadian Securities Exchange CA Health Care Pharmaceuticals special 63 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#1

So we have a number of questions we're going to go through. For those of you who are on the line, please e-mail me or send it through the chat room, better. Thanks so much. It is better than e-mail for me. But I will go through my list of questions, first. So I guess just a big picture question, Charlie, and, of course, we'll touch on what's happening in the sector and the pool, but we've seen the opportunity that this presents for investors thinking more longer term. But one question I get a lot is that as more MSOs begin to expand and enter more states, they begin to look the same. So everyone is in Illinois, everyone is in Pennsylvania. When I say everyone, of course, that's a very loose term, right? But just a reminder of what makes Cresco Labs different from other companies and when people are looking at MSOs, what type of things they should be focusing on, not MSOs -- not all MSOs are built the same way, obviously. Go ahead. Thank you, Charlie.

Charles Bachtell

executive
#2

Yes. For sure. And again, thanks for having us today. I think at the end there, you sort of provided some of the answer. Not all MSOs are built the same way. Presence in a state does not equal presence in a state. And I think when you look at Cresco Labs, you're looking at a company that has a very focused strategy, only focusing on high-value states, right, very strategic geographic footprint, obtaining meaningful material positions in each of those markets. We definitely prioritize the middle 2 verticals of the value chain brand development and distribution of those brands you know in as many shelves as possible. But I also think an incredible track record of execution. We're in all 7 of the 10 most populated in the U.S. with cannabis programs by the end of the year. After really integrating and consolidating our Massachusetts acquisition, we'll have top 3 market share in 3 of those markets, #1 wholesaler of branded cannabis products in the world. #1 brand year-to-date. That data just came out, which was nice to see. And again, that market share, that market positioning, I think, points of differentiation. So yes, happy to be here today and excited for the discussion.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#3

Right. So let's jump into then what's happening in the third quarter. We're -- from a macro perspective, we are hearing about a bit of a slowdown from some companies, share of wallet shifting to dining out, travel, less cannabis consumption, people going back to their offices. And the data also at least with Illinois, Massachusetts, Florida, the latest data points to somewhat of a slower than, of course, an industry growing well ahead of most other industries, but slowing versus the 2Q base. Any big picture thoughts in terms of consumer trends in the third quarter so far?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#4

I think the assessment is fair. What we though -- I think what we've -- the way that we look at it is Q2 probably had some tailwinds that boosted consumer demand. If you just sort of look at the macro elements that were impacting us as just in general and the consumers in general, Q2 was nice. You had sort of a nice dip in COVID, a return to normal so to speak, you had good weather. And so it was strong. Q2 was strong. Q2 was stronger than we expected it to be. But I do think that's more of the story than anything systemic that we're taking from Q3. I think you're just seeing some of the impacts of return to wearing masks indoors and kids going back to school and more of the macro pressure that would impact sales than anything systemic related to cannabis.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#5

That's good. And in terms of profit margins, one question that people always ask what happens when you get into state trade? But to me, it's more what happens even within the silo system of restricted license states, right? We are hearing of some price pressure in Florida, Pennsylvania, some people were mentioning Massachusetts. I mean should we assume that margins in some of these license restricted states begin to soften? What's going on in that regard?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#6

It depends on the horizon that you want to look at. Sure, I think price compression is part of the future. When we're modeling out our business, we include a component of price compression as we build out the model in future quarters. That said, I think in some of the limited license states, you're seeing durability in pricing. But to your point, we're also seeing some competition. So as more operators -- you made the point earlier, more multi-state operators getting into some of these markets, opportunities are there, strategies are there to try and take market share and prices at lever. And that's why we try to prioritize the value proposition that we're offering to consumers. Quality is durable. And more production, more biomass, more competition is seen more in the middle section and lower sections of the product offerings. We just want to make sure that we continue to produce high-quality products consistently, make sure that they're available. And I think, again, from a margin perspective, not only does that helps you maintain market share but from a margin perspective, don't forget we continue to get smarter. We continue to build scale. We continue to get more efficient. We continue to increase automation. So that addresses some of the margin pressure that you would see from additional competition.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#7

Understood. I want to jump into the numbers now. But before we do that, just a reminder of your expansion plans, right? Where are you adding stores in second half? Where are you getting new capacity, whether in 3Q, 4Q or '22, just a brief reminder in that regard?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#8

Yes. So adding stores, clearly, Florida. I mean, Florida, you'll see more stores from us in Florida. And I think we guided to having 16 stores, which was double the original amount that we acquired by the anniversary date, which is end of Q1 tracking there. Maryland, we just added Blair Wellness. It will be a Q4 close, but we just announced that Blair Wellness acquisition. PA, we've got the licensing that allows us to open up 2 more stores, so you'll see that from us. And we'll continue to look for opportunities there, even if they're not currently under the umbrella to increase our positioning in our markets and drive greater depth. Where we're adding capacity, Massachusetts, there closing of the Cultivate acquisition brings on pretty significant additional capacity there. It takes us from about 18,000 square feet to 64,000 square feet when you include our CapEx project that was already underway in Fall River. So that's great. Near the end of Q4, we've already operationalized, but we'll see the impact -- the revenue impact in Q4 -- end of Q4, beginning of Q1 from the Michigan cultivation build-out. Very excited about that. We've had good success in Michigan with our manufactured products, but we've been relying on third-party inputs to produce. So we're excited to bring our flower offerings, makes us a lot better wholesaler when we have a broad suite of products that we can put on a shelf for a retailer, it makes us a much better partner. So excited about that. And I think Florida and New York, of course, we'd be looking a bit further down the line, further expansions and build out in New York.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#9

Great. Thank you. So look, just in terms of specific number of questions, let's see what you can really share here, but the consensus number for the third quarter in terms of sales is about $223 million. Can you give any context to that number? Or just again, how people should think about -- we did touch on how people should think about 3Q versus 2Q, right? I think you pointed to maybe a bit of a slowdown. But any context to that number?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#10

Yes. I mean, we've been -- since last year when we sort of have line of sight into what 2021 was going to look like, we were a second half story. Q2 is a bit better than we had expected, but definitely more in Q4. So Q3 for us already was not necessarily the growth quarter as much as Q4 would be. But comfortable and incredibly proud of the team for what they've done. There's -- again, the macro issues of the ups and downs and the ebbs and flows of COVID don't -- you can't underestimate or overstate the impact that, that can have on operations and team members. So they've done an incredible job. But yes, comfortable with the way that second half year is shaping up and excited about 2022 also.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#11

But another point, I mean, obviously, you're still guiding for exiting 2021 with $1 billion in sales, right?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#12

Correct.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#13

Is that a December number or the fourth quarter number that we should think about?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#14

That's a fourth quarter number. That's what we had said in Q1 and reiterated in Q2 call.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#15

Right. And then, look, I'm not trying to stay big picture. But in terms of EBITDA margins, so second quarter, about 25%, you have the benefit of Florida, Cultivate Massachusetts. I think Consensus has EBITDA margins to about 29% to 30% by the fourth quarter. We have -- I'm looking at consensus here again, I'm sorry. Second quarter was 22%, consensus for the third is about 25%, fourth quarter almost 30%. We should expect the type of ramp-up, given the new states, right?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#16

Yes, new states, and, again, that capacity coming online, those investments that we made and the investment not only in the CapEx, but in the operational capacity for manpower, the resources that it takes to actually bring that product to market, a lot of those investments are made well in advance of revenue realization. So yes, comfortable with where we're heading and looking good, especially as we go into 2022.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#17

Right. Okay. And then just going away from the numbers. I get the point that Cresco derives a larger percentage of sales from wholesale than retail compared to other MSOs of similar size. But could someone say that it's a bit by default, right? You have Origin House in California, big -- your third largest market. That's all wholesale. In Illinois by rule, you cannot store more than 40% of your own products in your stores. So how much of the high wholesale number ratio is more by default than really strategically defined by the company?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#18

That's an interesting question. I don't think any of it is by default and as much as strategy has informed the way that we built the company from day 1. And it also helps inform the way that we approach government affairs activity, too. I don't think -- look, I think if you asked any of my peer set where the eventual play is here, I know I saw the conversation that you had with Boris. Where this industry goes is primarily, it's a wholesale focus. It's a consumer packaged goods, consumer products category. So for us, I think very early on in our strategic development pre-application in Illinois, it was -- do you want to be filling the names. Do you want to be Anheuser-Busch? Or do you want to own corner liquor stores? And for us, it was -- we wanted to be in the production and distribution of consumer products. So yes, I think it might be a bit of a chicken or the egg discussion because I think our strategy informed the states that we sort of found ourselves pursuing. And then, of course, it also informs the discussions that we have with policymakers and legislators and you're seeing the way that this industry is developing, the newest laws that are being passed, a great number of retail opportunities and great opportunities on the production and wholesale distribution side, if that's your focus.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#19

That's good. And then just moving on. In terms of M&A, how do you define the M&A strategy of the company? Is it about entering new states? Is it about certain parts of the value chain? Obviously, this year is going to be Ohio, Florida, Massachusetts. How do we think about that going forward?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#20

Yes. I mean the way that we think about M&A, it's a part of our overall strategy. Overall strategy, again, super simple, create the most strategic geographic footprint that we can and obtain those meaningful material positions in each of the markets. So having compiled -- Florida was kind of the last market that we felt like we had to have. There are some other ones that kind of meet the criteria that could be potential states for us that they have -- our definition of a strategic state is appropriate regulations with big populations to support robust markets. But we've got 7 of the -- all 7 of the 10 most populated states in the U.S. with cannabis programs we're in. So I would say right now, where our main focus is, while we're observing for anything that comes up, we'll take a look at it, we'll run it through our process and our formula. But most likely M&A for the time being is going to be creating that depth and meaningful material market positions in these very valuable states that we've already gained access to.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#21

And the last question on the M&A front. What lessons did you learn from the Origin House deal? And any kind of buyer's remorse 2 years later after that deal?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#22

Buyer's remorse, to be honest with you, I don't think that way. The Origin House deal, look, if you like the fact that we have the #1 market share in Illinois and Pennsylvania, that we have the #1 brand in the country, that we're the largest wholesaler of branded products, scaled production, the operating leverage that comes from it, arguably lowest cost of capital on our last equity round and our credit facility, then I think you'll like Origin House, too. I mean those are the capabilities that came from that acquisition. So now buyer's remorse, again, I don't think that way. But there was great capabilities, world-class capabilities that have greatly impacted Cresco in the way that we've developed. So -- but I will tell you, from an M&A strategic development standpoint, of course, we're in a different position now from a resource standpoint, from an experience standpoint, talent standpoint than we were back in early 2019. So the team that we have in place now from both the evaluation, the development, the execution and the integration standpoint when it comes to M&A, it's a different beast. And you've got to give -- and you've seen, I think, our allocation of capital and the way that we've approached M&A over the last 12 months is arguably best-in-class.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#23

Got it. So let's just move ahead. We're going to come back to more nitty-gritty questions at the state level, but staying on a macro, big picture. In terms of federal level changes, your take on the discussion draft that was released on July 14 by Senator Schumer. Is there a likelihood of package, timing? Does it really happen in this congressional term?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#24

Yes. I think it feels familiar. The day that it came out Senator Schumer said, "Look, I know I don't have support for this, but it's for discussion purposes. It allows me to have that engagement, find out what they like, what they don't like and work on it." And at the other end of the spectrum, you've got SAFE, that, I think, is -- most agree that SAFE has bipartisan support to pass today. So the position that we find ourselves in with this pending opportunity, this pending option with SAFE and arguably a less aggressive bill that got put forward by Schumer, Booker, Wyden than some people thought it was going to be. The way that I look at it, again, just my own opinion and based on the several years of government affairs experience in the cannabis industry at local and state levels, this looks and feels fairly similar to processes that I've witnessed and been a part of at a state level that results in legislation getting passed. So if you ask me if I'm -- maybe I'm optimistic on it. I think if I was -- it's better than a coin flip. Any legislation is difficult. And from my prior career being an attorney to this, these are the types of things that you could have something that looks like a slam dunk. And a totally unrelated issue could come in and wipe it right off the desk. I saw that happen in New York a couple of years. So by no means is anything a given, but I think it's more likely than not that something does happen, and that's something probably takes from both SAFE and the Schumer, Booker, Wyden bill probably looks more like SAFE than the other bill though. And I do think it's more likely than not that something does happen before midterms.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#25

Got it. And just to maybe dig deeper there. If you were advising the democrats that are sponsoring the bill, what do you think the final bill would need to look like to garner enough Republican support?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#26

Okay. Not to generalize parties, but I think the social responsibility, criminal justice aspects are not at the forefront of the Republican Parties objectives as it relates to this. I think the Republican parties see this as an incredible industry that can create jobs, can create tax revenue, could also reduce budgets in other areas, so reduce spending from that criminal justice side. But I think the further you get towards sort of restorative justice, the more challenging it will be. So that's why I think something -- if it was going to have a title, I think we've thrown this out there before, but like SAFE plus, I think is likely where you keep the necessary votes from our side.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#27

Right. And just along the same lines, could we expect a Cole Memo 2, for example, 2.0. And could there -- because that would be like the DoJ pretty much issuing safe harbor language without necessarily congressional legislation. But is that something that can be expected or it's really congress acting first before the DoJ does anything. Any thoughts on that?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#28

It's a good question. I don't know that this is a -- I would expect that this current path that we're on is the more likely path, but again, you never know in the way that these develop. That might be an alternative that gets presented as an alternative if it doesn't look like a legislative fix is in the cards before midterms. I do think it's important for the Democrats, especially the leadership that has identified this as a priority to make an impact here. So look, they've got a lot of tools and a lot of levers at their disposal when it comes to policymaking and/or guidance. So we'll see. But I think the current path that we're on is the most likely path today.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#29

Got it. And the last question on this subject. From my perspective, when I look at the draft in detail, I see the fingerprints of the alcohol and tobacco industry, things like interstate trade. There's even a passage about implication that implies a 2-tier system, where cultivators were not on retail. Of course, we don't know what the final bill would look like. This is not even a bill. It's a discussion draft. But in the assumption that eventually, by '25 earlier or later, we have federal legalization, interstate trade, maybe broader scope of retailing. What is Cresco doing to prepare for that day? I know you've touched on already especially on the focus on brands and distribution, but just a brief answer on that.

Charles Bachtell

executive
#30

Honestly, I think the fundamental strategy of focusing on brands and distribution. If I go back to 2013, when that was developed, it was -- of course, it was developed with the idea of this is what today looks like. But in the future, that's what we think the future looks like. That definition, that description of the future, of course, included interstate commerce in just a more normalized industry. And that's why our focus on brands and distribution from day 1 is truly -- it's in furtherance of that idea that at some state, this is a normalized industry with interstate commerce. And whatever nuances or tweaks or quirks has similar to alcohol and tobacco and even pharma, layer those on top, but normalized interstate commerce, traditional sort of retail opportunities. That's why we've always prioritized brands and distribution over brick-and-mortar retail.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#31

Right. So just one question on brand, so not to get too philosophical. I mean, what I'm seeing and hearing from a number of people that is concerned that flower is not brandable. It's about strains, it's a little bit like wine. At the moment, most specifically what I would call house brands, they don't even grow them, they buy them from other people, and they put their retail banner on the flower brand that maybe you can brand edibles and vape, but not so much flower. Any brief thoughts on that because I guess here the argument Anheuser-Busch, Marlboro longer term, but when we think about the categories, can you really brand flower?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#32

Honestly, I think it was in your description. I mean I don't think wine is an example of unbrandable product. I think wine is branded grapes. So yes, I think flower absolutely is brandable. It's not as obvious. I think to your point, it's not at the earlier stages. And this, I think, is more based on traditional legacy markets where you did not have branded flower. But in the markets where you do where like in Illinois and everything that's come subsequently, it's branded flower. It's not deli style. It's not like a commodity that you go out of the -- get from the bin in the grocery store, it's branded, and I think branded in a similar way to the way that you would think about wine. And that -- of course, it all stems from the progression in the development and the sophistication of the consumer. But yes, I think flower is brandable for sure.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#33

Right. I cannot agree, although maybe more fragmented, but agree. Just more shifting the discussion to the stock performance. Obviously, weakness in the sector. I know we should think long term, stay the course. That's the message most investors are getting from us. But MSO is down about 25% over the last 3 months. S&P up 5%. Any thoughts on this sector malaise, if you want to call it that right now?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#34

I don't know that I would have anything great to add to that. I think you're seeing operators, ourselves, our peers just continue to get better. The growth is there. If you want to look at this month over month, you can. I can tell you, we're not -- we didn't build Cresco to win Q3 of '21. You know what I mean, like it's -- we have a longer vision here. Of course, being successful today and winning tomorrow is core to our beliefs. But the fundamentals, the businesses, the markets, they just continue to get better and better. And look, we don't have access to the components that really from a pure stock performance standpoint, that sustainable fundamental foundation of U.S. exchanges, institutional investors, the everyman U.S. retail investor, that's not part of the cannabis story yet. It will be. And in the interim, these companies are -- we're building some pretty incredible companies here. So very positive from our perspective. We're going to have ebbs and flows from market performance. But I love the way that our organization continues to get better, better, better, more efficient, smarter. It's what I want to see.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#35

I agree. And the stocks are so illiquid. We're talking about $5 million to $10 million a day of OTC. So anything can move in one direction or the other, and I want it to march in terms of positive categories to see the same in my view. What -- on that point, what would be the sector milestone catalyst, I'm talking sector-wise, that you would highlight and tell investors to expect over the next 12 months outside, of course, the Schumer bill, what happens there?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#36

I think state-level legislative change. Again, we're going to see midterms here in about a year. You're going to see more states move forward with medical and/or adult-use laws. And I think that in and of itself should be seen as a phenomenal catalyst. That bill just can -- look, I say this all the time, right, because I've heard it, it's been said to me when things didn't go our way at a legislative front, but good policy doesn't always make good politics. But I think we're -- at a certain point, a good policy does create good politics. And cannabis entered that zone over the last 18 months. And I think you'll just continue to see that. It's not -- it might not happen overnight, but the industry is doing everything that it needs to do to put itself in the right place with the consumers and the general public to get that support that then drives policy change. So you want to continue to see that. But yes, otherwise, I think it's state-based changes are most impactful catalysts until we get something at a federal level.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#37

Got it. And then just moving on to your current shareholder structure. Maybe just a reminder, the controlling group, the individuals, what percent is free float based on your numbers? But maybe more important that from outside, it would seem that other MSOs, I'm sure you also are trying to attract long-term institutional holders. And some have disclosed who they are. Can you give us an update where you are in that regard?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#38

Yes. It's a good question. I think you hit it on the head. From our standpoint, we're totally unlocked. We don't have any -- except for most recent, of course, M&A activity that would have some lockups associated with it, but we don't have any from the original sort of longstanding shareholder base. But yes, the sort of the opportunity to provide some liquidity to some early-stage investors, I think everybody understands that the people that have been in this for now 7, 8 years, might be looking for some liquidity in what we're, I think, again, to the sector, to the -- at least the peer set. What we try to do is we try to match them up with good large, like-minded, long-hold big funds or institutions that are going to make for good positive shareholders going forward. So there's kind of a win-win opportunity there. Win-win-win, if you include the company.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#39

Right. Not to dig deeper there, but it seems to me from outside that I'm not saying you necessary. But in some cases, some CEOs of other companies are grappling with the issue that do they sell part of their stake to third-party investors to bring high-quality investors into the mix. But while they do that, they dilute their own stake. And people will think about that in different ways. How do you think of that yourself? I know that you're...

Charles Bachtell

executive
#40

I think there's a tipping point there somewhere. I think you just need to be responsible. Up to a certain point, I think it's the responsible thing. It's the pro-shareholder thing to do would be to get high-quality big investors into the shareholder base. But sure, I mean, I get the concern if there is too much selling going on there. But from what I've seen so far, the way that I think our peers are thinking about it, I don't think anybody is thinking about an exit in the way that they're approaching it as much as it's building up a stronger shareholder base, which shareholders should like.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#41

Right. Before I move back to state level fundamentals, maybe when you talk to investors, and they are talking to Cresco and there are certain investors talking to others and myself, what do you think they are not getting or maybe misunderstanding of your company or you're not getting enough credit for Cresco specifically or maybe it's all clear out there?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#42

I don't know. I think there's still the discussion of retail and the importance of retail. And -- but honestly, I think at this point, look, we were definitely further out on the limb than our peers historically. But in the recent discussions that I've listened to, it seems like they're sort of coming more towards the -- look, retail has a role, no doubt about it. When you're talking about limited license states, where you have the opportunity to have X number of a total of Y, not only is it a good revenue-generating opportunity, but we also use retail very strategically to enhance our wholesale business. And so I think, again, depending on the stage of the development, the sophistication of the investor, there's a lot to learn. There's a lot of nuance in the cannabis space. It takes a little bit of time. There's a learning curve. But for the most part, I think the story is understood, and we're just going to continue to show the effectiveness of it, the strength of it and the rest will take care of itself.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#43

Right. Look, before I jump into states, I want to read a couple of questions here from the chat room that are related on more macro themes. One is about if you can talk to the funding environment outside of the big 5 or so, what's available and what are the changes obviously 12 months ago? I mean, obviously, you were able to refinance that at a much more favorable terms, but just general comments there.

Charles Bachtell

executive
#44

Yes, I don't know. I can tell you it's -- we're really happy with the balance sheet right now with everything that we have that we're looking at for the next 12 to 18 months. I do think -- I think the opportunity is there. Look, there's more interest in this space is -- I know with the current market trends, it's maybe tough to see it, it would be challenged. But I think there's more interest in this space than there ever has been. I think a lot of very smart and strategic investors are looking at this as an opportunity. And so I don't know if you're looking from an equity standpoint, there's investors out there that want to put money to play in cannabis. And then from a debt standpoint, there's definitely better terms today than there were a year ago, and those were better than they were the year before. So I think, again, the understanding of the opportunity in cannabis is at the forefront of many, many strategic investors' minds. And there's more capital available than ever now. Is this the environment to do it? I don't know. You'd have to make that decision for yourselves as an organization.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#45

Got it. And we do have one more here, Charlie, before we jump into more state-level questions. Obviously, a lot of people on the chat room are also asking on New York, California. Just high level, and I know we've touched on this, but sometimes I try to explain to people why say, a Planet 13 goes and pays $55 million for a paper license in Florida. They bought it from Harvest and they're just buying paper because supposedly Harvest will transfer the assets to Trulieve stores and cultivation. You paid recently for your store in Maryland, I believe, $25 million to $30 million, but that's part for the course. That's where most stores are going for around $25 million. So maybe just for those that are somewhat new to the industry, why do those numbers make sense, right? And the context of the question is that someday, we have interstate trade, the scope of retailing broadens, brick-and-mortar, you have Amazon shipping across states. So these are very negative nightmare scenarios where people say cultivation is to MCCPs worth nothing. Yes, you may have a dispensary, but if there's 1,000 stores in the state, and you have Amazon and you have Walmart and all those retailing, what is the worth, right? And my answer to that, I'm sorry to be so long-winded here, but I'm thinking, okay, you're paying $25 million, but that's 4 to 5x EBITDA in the medical market. Once it becomes recreational, the market goes up 4x, 5x. So you're pretty much recovering your money in 1 year's time, as we've seen in Illinois, especially with the -- or new stores, new licenses may take 2 years to come in. So you have a huge window in red for a year or 2. So that 25% looks like a good investment. But just a big picture comment in terms of those numbers, because if I have a store, I could made the argument, $25 million for store in Maryland by 2025 under the nightmare scenario that I talked about in terms of broad competition across the board maybe not worth much. But you made your money before. And by the end, that's probably helped you build your brands anyway. Any thoughts there? I know there's a lot there, but...

Charles Bachtell

executive
#46

No. I agree with -- I think your thought process is right on. So that's why we do, again, prioritize the development of brands of the consumer products and the distribution in as many stores as possible. So if that nightmare scenario happens, the impact there is just really more of a -- it's more of a -- it's an operational shift as opposed to a strategic shift for us. Now I would also say that for the person asking the question, you're asking about the least likely scenario that is currently on the table right now. And us as organizations and even when I got into the space, you got to play the game with the rules that exist today and the team that you can put on the field. So it's not like we could wait and see what happens with federal change. People have been advocating for broad sweeping regulatory changes at the federal level for generations. And so in our -- from our experience, and not only in cannabis, but in other industries, change happens incrementally. And I think we can expect time and incremental steps to occur before something along the lines of Amazon shipping across the country in making brick-and-mortar retail irrelevant would occur. I also would think, again, why we're not as heavily invested in brick-and-mortar retail is there is always going to be a role for brick-and-mortar retail. Even in today's day and age and tomorrow's day and age, consumers still like to go into a store and buy certain products. It needs to be experiential. There needs to be a reason for it, but you could still get people to go to make purchases in stores. But you want to be very selective location, location, location and again, an experiential sort of opportunity. So you just want to be strategic with it. So you won't see us get over-leveraged on brick-and-mortar retail. It's just -- it's a little bit different than our core thesis.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#47

Got it. That's helpful. Charlie, let's touch on individual state level questions. Let's start. Normally, we'll start with Illinois, and I'm going to leave that for the end. So let's start with New York. When do the regulation sales start based on your outlook? Any thoughts on cultivation caps? Just let's start with that first.

Charles Bachtell

executive
#48

Yes, I've been -- I don't -- for better or worse, I don't know that my position on this has changed much since the law was actually passed. You've got some puts and takes. Of course, anytime that you have a change at the highest office of the state, you've got new variables that come into play. Now I think we've been saying that the sort of the most aggressive potential was in October of 2022 for adult-use sales. Rationale behind that, again, from based on conversations, but also this is just kind of, I think, a fairly easy understood strategy would be before the elections. To show success in a major legislative initiative that you launched before voters go back to the ballot, it makes a ton of sense. I don't know that -- again, that was the most optimistic aggressive time line. I think more realistic. And again, I don't know that much of that has changed one way or the other because of the puts and takes with the new governor in place, but it's probably more likely that -- the more likely scenario is right around the beginning of the year in '23.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#49

Right. And a quick reminder, your cultivation capacity in New York right now. And how do you think about expanding that where there could be -- when there could be a cap, but we don't know if there will be one or when it will be.

Charles Bachtell

executive
#50

Yes. Again, no cultivation capacity in New York currently. As you go back over the last couple of years with the allocation of capital with the highest return, New York's medical program didn't warrant it. But moving forward with the development plans currently, and we'll be ready when adult use launches.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#51

Right. And the last question on New York. What are you hearing maybe about flower being added to the medical program? What we've been hearing is that the DoH there pretty much passed it on to the commission, the commission will have to decide, so it could take a while.

Charles Bachtell

executive
#52

I think you've probably got the similar information to what we have. I think that's a TBD.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#53

Right. Okay. On Massachusetts, I guess the question is, given the cap of 3 stores and a cap of 100,000 square feet of cultivation, it becomes a very fragmented market, right? So how do you stand out there? I mean you still want to be there. It's an attractive state, but the caps are very low.

Charles Bachtell

executive
#54

Yes. It's -- you've got a great dynamic right now and for the foreseeable future with this additional retail coming online and in really important areas, Boston proper, et cetera. And less cultivation capacity, less production going on, so more companies that are just retailers. So you've got a good dynamic for a wholesale-focused organization. And if everybody gets up to 100,000 square feet, then it's how good of an operator are you and how good of a sales platform and go-to-market strategy do you have. If you can get more grams per square foot at a higher quality out of that same expensive square foot of cultivation, you're going to win. So that's where operational excellence and execution comes in if the playing fields are level. We like those scenarios.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#55

Okay. Moving on to Florida. Just benchmark bloom with similar size operators in Florida, and related question, since other companies are adding stores more aggressively in Florida than you are, are you lagging? Just quick thoughts there.

Charles Bachtell

executive
#56

No, I don't think we're lagging. I think we had a game plan to execute some existing strategies that were in place that we inherited. And moving forward with those, I think anytime you're new to a state, you've got to take the opportunity to really refine the strategy that you had going in to make sure that it makes sense in real life. But we -- I don't think we're lagging. I don't think we're hesitating and I don't think we're behind any sort of schedule right now. So proud of the team for continuing to move the ball forward from the existing plans that were there. And also continue to get smarter and refine those go-forward plans that we have for the state. So yes, I like the position that we're in Florida, but you'll see a lot more from us over the next 24 months in Florida.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#57

Okay. And I know it's a big state, but I think since May Trulieve and Harvest have accounted for almost half of all the new stores opened, and although it starts from like 20%, 25% of those stores. So I'm just wondering -- of course, other players are in stores. So at some point, even if the municipalities don't put caps on stores, at some point, there are so many corners. There's so many places where you have a dispensary or that's really a long-term concern.

Charles Bachtell

executive
#58

Yes. More of the -- not too concerned about it because I don't know. Off the top of my head, I don't even know how many are in Florida. Florida is a giant state, third most populated state in the country. And eventually, you've got a wholesale sales down there, too. So I don't think you need to own all of your own retail in order to be really effective, plus, there's home delivery in Florida. So if you talk about sort of the current state and the future state as long as you're in a position to be able to distribute to the people of Florida, you're going to be in a good position. So you just -- you have to check both the boxes, responsible footprint from a brick-and-mortar standpoint, but also that reach and connectivity to make sure that you can get your products into the hands of consumers all over the state.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#59

Right. And last question on Florida in terms of competition. I mean, we are hearing about price pressures, gross margins coming down, a big ramp-up in cultivation capacity by various operators. What are you seeing?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#60

There's some of that, but I think there's also -- discounting has been a part of Florida for a long time. And now there's some aggressive pricing strategies out there. But that's why you don't want to -- you want to find your points of differentiation. You want to offer a different value proposition to the consumer. I can tell you, I don't think the organizations that have the higher quality products that the consumers are willing to pay for, you're not seeing the aggressive pricing on those products. I'll put it that way. So discounting has always been a part of the Florida dynamic down there. And -- but that's where you really want to make sure that you're differentiating yourself on the quality side.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#61

Right. Look, before I jump to California, someone in chat was asking about New Jersey. Obviously, you're not there. There are still some private operators. AYR Wellness bought Garden State Dispensary. How do you think about New Jersey, applying organically through the licensing system? Does it take a while? Or is that an opportunity?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#62

You know we've got plenty of opportunity in our existing footprint to invest capital with phenomenal returns. So if the price was right, sure, I don't have anything against New Jersey. I'm just not -- I don't want to overpay. And again, we've got a lot on our plate in the markets that we're already in, where we already have infrastructure, where we already have management, where we already have resources to go deeper and really take those markets. And so it's got to be the right opportunity for us to deviate and put resources and allocate resources to a new state.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#63

Right. Okay. Just on California, obviously, we're all hearing about price pressures across the board from new -- I guess, new companies coming into the market, adding cultivation, others expanding. The illicit market apparently making a comeback. Just talk about price pressures in the California market and how that affects your Origin House build business in terms of your own brands, but also your partner brands?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#64

Yes. I mean, it's a dynamic market. There's no doubt about it. And again, part of the purpose of being in California is to understand what might be a future state for a lot of the markets that my peer set and us currently operate in that have limited licenses with big barriers to entry. So yes, I mean you're seeing a dynamic that is somewhat unique, but is also potentially cyclical in California. You see it from time to time. There's a lot of product in the market. It all, for the most part, tends to be in that sort of average to value category. It's very competitive. You still see -- the value proposition to the consumer is still what's driving all of that, even the increased competition, is the quality of the product for the price that they're paying for it. So if you can maintain your relevance in your position in that higher ultra-premium category, it's creating defensibility, it's creating durability in pricing. And really proud of the team, we just won an award out there at the at the High Times Cup, which again just shows our dedication to making sure that we're putting good quality products into the market that always works with consumers. But yes, we are -- we have a different business out there. That third-party distribution model out there is different than what we have in our other markets. And for sure, we've got brands on the platform that are square right in the middle of that very competitive environment and the pressure is real. The impact is definitely there. And -- but it's something that we just continue to evaluate, and we'll continue to make decisions based on the information available to us that we know are in the best interest of the org and our shareholders as we move forward.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#65

I know most of us have access to Headset data, but can you share with us some metrics or numbers that would indicate how well your brands are doing in California? I know it's a fragmented market, but just a high level.

Charles Bachtell

executive
#66

Yes. I mean I think the Headset or the BDS data kind of speaks for itself. It does show you brand performance month-over-month. And we're very -- we're pleased with the way that we've been able to -- and again, this is kind of through the Origin House acquisition created this opportunity for us to get access to this number of doors and really bring our brands out into the largest cannabis market in the world and see how they perform and make them better. And so we're pleased with the brand performance out there. Some of our own internal brands have done better than others. So again, learning lessons that we've been able to incorporate into some of our other markets in the way that we think about marketing and branding. But yes, I think the Headset or BDS data is as relevant of validation or line of sight as you're going to get.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#67

Right. I'm going to ask you a question about 3Q. But if I'm a partner brand selling to you through Origin House, and I'm seeing all discounting that's going on right now. If I can afford, maybe I'll just stay out of the market. So you would see a big drop in sales in 3Q because of these price pressures and compare the dynamic in terms of the partner brands and your own brands in OH -- in Origin House in the third quarter.

Charles Bachtell

executive
#68

Yes. Look, I think you're identifying risks that are definitely relevant for that type of business model. And again, it's something that we think about regularly. It's why from the very beginning the -- if you go back to the beginning of our entrance into that market, it wasn't to prioritize the distribution of third-party brands. It was to use that as a vehicle to get our own brands into those doors and on to those shelves. And over time, quarter over quarter over quarter, we continue to increase the percentage of our own brands that are on those trucks. So -- but yes, you're right. Those -- that variability and those risks and those decisions are all there for third-party brands in each of those organizations to have to make.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#69

Okay. Last one on California regarding Origin House. I mean how does the distributor model play out as online continues to grow? You have company producers like Lowell Farms doing their own distribution online, home delivery, I guess. You have providers like Eaze and Stem doing delivery online. More stores are expanding their own omnichannel tools. How does Origin House play in the expanding online future?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#70

Yes. And Continuum is the name of the operation out there. But yes, it's a great point. As the consumer evolves, as the markets evolve, the product still has to go from producer to even the delivery distributor, so to speak. But look, that dynamic and that opportunity to see how this evolves is something that we're very observant with. And again, it will be the drivers of the next decisions that we make based on the information available to us.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#71

All right. And before I jump into Pennsylvania, we are hearing a lot about California brands like Cookies or Lowell Farms or STIIIZY unlike they have a right to win in other states compared to the incumbents in those other states. Is that being exaggerated? Or is there some tool to this...

Charles Bachtell

executive
#72

Just totally on the comment, nobody has a right to win in any state. You got to earn it. So that goes for us, too. But yes, just because you're the largest operator brand in California does not mean you're going to have success in these other markets, especially with the fragmented regulatory structure that we have today. Just in the same way that just because we're the biggest brands in Illinois and Pennsylvania doesn't mean that we're going to have success when we go into our next state. We got to earn it, we got to win it, we got to take it.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#73

Okay. Moving on to Pennsylvania. Again, the Headset data points to a slowdown. And I could see the July number was juiced by the fact that the governor allowed people to buy 90-day supplies versus 30 days. So except July, by August again drop month-on-month, and we may see September also dropping. So just -- are you seeing that? And again, there seems to be price pressure there, not only in the low end, but in the mainstream channel, in flower, and more of that is going into oil, which means that vape prices are also coming down. I mean it doesn't paint a nice picture, especially with New Jersey state sales by February next year. Any thoughts on that? In general, about the state before we talk about Cresco in Pennsylvania?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#74

I have very little concern about the state of Pennsylvania. And again, I think it's dangerous to look at month-over-month performance in any of these markets, especially when you're talking about sort of a medical market that still has more doors that can be opened, that still has the opportunity for greater expansion as medical and then let alone with the opportunity and the catalyst of adult use, which is a matter of when, not if. So no concerns over Pennsylvania at any sort of longer than month-over-month view of that market performance. It's still one of the strongest cannabis market. It might possibly be the strongest medical market on a per capita basis in the U.S. So we like the market a lot. I think, again, adult use, you're right about the opportunity for consumers from Pennsylvania to potentially go into other markets and adult use. But when you layer on the adult use taxes in those markets, if they're a medical consumer in Pennsylvania, I'm not sure that I see the catalyst to make them go over to another state and acquire more expensive product and pay taxes on it. So there's -- and also again, I'm bullish on Pennsylvania moving forward with adult use in the near term.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#75

Right. And then just Pennsylvania is one of those states where there's no cultivation cap. I mean, can you remind us what's your interstate capacity is and maybe a little bit more precise in terms of when you're getting new capacity coming through? Or is it that's what you have right now, there's no expansion plans for time being?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#76

No. Pennsylvania is a market where we have the opportunity to go deeper. I think we have -- currently, we have 4 stores open. We have the licensing that will allow us to open 6. We can definitely have more retail, especially with the effective retail platform that we've built. We've proven ourselves to be pretty good retailers. So there's opportunity for us there. And then from a capacity standpoint, too. I think we've publicly released, I think it's about 88,000 square feet of Canopy in that market, and you'll see us moving forward with plans to increase capacity there in the future.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#77

Got it. But just to clarify on the store front, I understand the focus on wholesale. In most other companies, again to add 15, 18 store cap, you're still far below that? Are you going to more pursue the wholesale side of things that necessarily get to add 15, 18 cap store number?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#78

Yes. But again, keep in mind, we use retail very strategically in helping our wholesale business. It's also a great defensive measure, too, to make sure that you don't get flanked. So yes, I think -- look, the fact that we have #1 market share there as a wholesaler, and we only have 4 stores is pretty incredible because the product going into your own stores is also included in the numbers for everybody else. So we're definitely performing well in that state. We have the opportunity to increase that. That will lead to greater capacity in one way or another being developed in that state. And also we have an opportunity there to acquire some more retail storefronts. I don't know that we go to 15. I don't know, but we could definitely have more than 6.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#79

Right. I know this is a list of one question, but the assumption is that New Jersey goes red, you've long lines around the blocks and people telling from Pennsylvania to New Jersey, although I take the point on the low and certainly on the dark side, you got a medical card. At some point, the Republicans in the Pennsylvania legislature probably get the message and want to realize red. Or is that too simplistic an analysis? I'm talking about Pennsylvania.

Charles Bachtell

executive
#80

Those discussions are already -- they're already happening. And I know the Governor, of course, is more vocal than anybody else. But yes, the discussions and the development of drafts are already occurring at the -- in the Pennsylvania legislature.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#81

Yes. Before we jump into Illinois, from the chat room, something asking about buying back stock. I see there's only 1 MSO that's doing that right now. But what are your thoughts on that?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#82

Yes. I mean it's an interesting idea. It's something that we've evaluated previously. I mean we've been -- we've seen darker days in years past. And where we knew that we were definitely a value. It's something that we look at, but it's -- you got to do the analysis and is that the best use of your capital or can you put your capital to better use. So it's a formula.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#83

So we jump into Illinois. I'm going to take 1 -- I have a few questions here. But one question from the chat room is whether -- are we going to have on-site lounges in Illinois? And can you like expand your stores to that? Is that being discussed or we don't know?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#84

It is. The law actually allows it, and they had the first one open up more in the southern part of the state. The law allows it, and I think it's just differs to the municipalities. So the municipalities are going to be in control of whether or not they allow for consumption lounges. But -- and again, I don't know that that's necessarily at the forefront of what Illinois needs to do right now. They need to get those licenses into the hands of the social equity applicants and get those new doors open. But yes, there will be consumption lounges in Illinois. I just don't have line of sight on how that develops or when.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#85

Okay. So just more on Illinois. So we have 110 stores. It's still the incumbents, 55 times 2. We have 3 lotteries, 55 each, so that's 185. But a lot of people think that nothing happens until -- in terms of meaningful new stores until mid-2022. And those new 185, you don't really get them done until late 2023. And what are your thoughts on that? And a reminder why it's taken so long?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#86

Yes. Why it's taken so -- I'll take it in the inverse. Why it's taken so long? There's an aspect of this type of application process that you see it in every state. By the way, any -- I think every application process like since Illinois has come with litigation attached to it. And every state tries to figure out ways to insulate themselves better from the disruption of legal challenges, but it's -- unfortunately, it is par for the course. I think this sort of -- this process being as, I guess, sensitive of an issue as it is, is just -- it's created more focus and more intensity as it relates to the issuing of these licenses, and you have a pending litigation that has put a hold on the actual handing out of any of these licenses. So you're right, the lotteries have occurred. The names have been drawn, so to speak, but there is this pending litigation that needs to get cleared up first before those get in anybody's hands. So then part one of your question, time line for moving forward with that. You know the day that those licenses are actually in the hands of the applicants, then you just put a normal sort of time frame on it. I think could you get stores open in 90, 120 days at the most aggressive time line? Some. The majority of it will take longer than that. I think the vast majority of them should be open within 12 months of when they get licenses in their hands or there's bigger problems at play with those licenses.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#87

But the 185, do they -- are the licenses in the end being all given at the same time? Or it's like phased in terms of 3 different lots.

Charles Bachtell

executive
#88

No, this would be at the same time. When the restriction -- when that litigation hold is lifted, the names have already been drawn, the 185 recipients are already identified.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#89

Right. Okay. Before we talk about your business, one lesson that New York learn from Illinois when it comes to social equity programs. What could the regulator show the difference?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#90

I think getting the licenses into the hands of the recipients as soon as possible is key. And I think the states that have managed the litigation pressure the best are the ones that get the licenses out, get them into the hands, get operators moving forward. So I think you just have to be very efficient and expeditious in the way that you get those licenses out and move the ball forward.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#91

Got it. Would you want to comment in terms of -- you have 10 stores here in Illinois, any color in terms of revenue per store? Are you above the state average? What can you share there, in terms of those 10 stores perform versus peers and versus the rest of the states?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#92

On a per store basis, we have the highest performing stores of any of the peer set. So yes, our stores in Illinois, our same-store sales and per store sales are above average. The team does an incredible job. And I don't know that we can give much more color than that. But yes, we're greater than our pro rata share. And to your point, like market share when 185 more licenses come on, we fully expect that market share as a whole will be impacted by it, but we always look at pro rata and want to make sure that we're sort of punching above our weight class doing better than pro rata share.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#93

Right. And just in terms of the competition, have you seen a lot more new cultivation coming through? At least the public available data in terms of wholesale prices shows very strong prices, still no decline, but how is that playing out so far?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#94

I think there's some additional capacity coming online, but I just -- I think that shows the strength of the demand here in Illinois, is that every incremental, whether it's a new store opening or new product coming into the market, the market's been pretty durable. Now will that maintain itself? Look, I think there's potential the idea that how many people can actually get through 110 doors. There's a finite amount. But again, I think all of these stores, the operators are getting more efficient. They're figuring out how to manage additional clientele, so the weights are lower and that can absorb additional capacity that comes into the market.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#95

Yes. Look, I mean, 2 more questions in the case of Illinois. So in terms of competition from the illicit market and from, say, delta-8 being sold in vape shops, how do you characterize that? Is that that's been there always or has it changed? Any thoughts on -- I know this question would be asked for ever state, but in the case of Illinois, specifically, how it's playing out?

Charles Bachtell

executive
#96

Look, as a proponent of the regulated nature, normalizing and professionalizing of cannabis, the way that we do get positive incremental change on the subject matter of cannabis is you just got to make sure that you're dotting all I's you're crossing all T's and that you're doing the things that you need to do in order to change perspective to gain that support, to allow progress to happen. And my fear with unregulated products, I could go back to the Vape Gate issue that we had a couple of years ago. Unregulated products has inherent risk. It's as simple as that. So that's my concern. I'm less concerned with it from a commercial standpoint. I remember being sort of really frustrated when CBD before the farm bill when CBD kind of came -- became ubiquitous and it was available everywhere in every gas station that you went into and it was really frustrating because our cost of producing CBD products per the regulations that we had to adhere to is so high, there's no way that we could be competitive with it. It's -- I'm sort of -- I'm not concerned about the competitive or commercial pressure of it in as much as I would hate for it to derail the incredible progress and the incredible opportunity that we have in front of us as it relates to the further development of legislation around greater access to cannabis.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#97

Right. Charlie, I know we're well past the hour mark. We really appreciate your time here. Any closing remarks and maybe just a reminder for investors what to focus on for us versus at least a type of question. And thanks again.

Charles Bachtell

executive
#98

I think this was thorough. You did a great job, Pablo, making sure that we covered a lot of bases. I appreciate the opportunity, and definitely want to get you to Illinois as soon as you're able to travel. Would love to show you what the facilities and the operations look like here.

Pablo Zuanic

analyst
#99

I look forward to. Thank you very much, Charlie, and thanks, everyone, for joining. Have a good day. Bye.

Charles Bachtell

executive
#100

Thanks, Pablo.

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