Denali Therapeutics Inc. (DNLI) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

March 9, 2026

NASDAQ US Health Care Biotechnology conference_presentation 30 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Marc Goodman

analyst
#1

Okay. Thanks for joining us, everybody. I'm Marc Goodman, one of the biopharma analysts at Leerink Partners, and we are lucky to have Denali Therapeutics. We have Ryan Watts, who's the CEO of the company; and we have Katie Peng, who is the Chief Commercial Officer, who I was just joking around with her, but I'm very serious as we all are, we need her to be very busy with an approved drug very, very soon.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#2

And we probably should start right there and just give us a sense of -- I don't even know where to start, Ryan, just what's going on with the back and the forth and this and that and where are we?

Ryan Watts

executive
#3

Thanks for having us here. Great to be in Miami. It's an extraordinarily exciting time for us at Denali. We have a PDUFA date coming up April 5. Obviously, it's been something we've been looking forward to since the founding of the company over a decade ago with the goal of obviously delivering medicines to the brain using these novel technologies, using the transferrin receptor-enabled technologies, in this case, of transport vehicle. So the question you're really asking is on tividenofusp alfa, which is our lead program for Hunter syndrome. A little bit of back story behind tivi. We started developing tivi in 2020. And really the first 5 patients of data, we saw that 4 out of those 5 patients had normalized heparan sulfate. This is just after 4 doses. And that was sort of unprecedented in the field and heparan sulfate is a biomarker of the enzyme, and we're measuring it in brain through, I guess, through a surrogate through cerebrospinal fluid. And at the time, we were, of course, that data told us that our platform is working in 2020. And now the question is, how could we expand that platform and at the same time, accelerate the Hunter program to some form of approval. And I think as people appreciate, it's been a long story of imagining a surrogate endpoint of a biomarker that's reasonably likely to predict clinical benefit as the category in these monogenic diseases where the FDA has given us single enzyme guidance on sort of the simplicity of this. That being said, in MPS diseases, there is no precedent yet of using a biomarker as a surrogate endpoint. And so we began this long journey. Obviously, there are others on this journey as well in gene therapy and in our case, it's an enzyme replacement therapy, as I mentioned, engineered to cross the blood-brain barrier. We submitted our BLA last year and have had, frankly, the way you describe it is really constructive, very engaging interaction with the FDA. As anyone who has gone through this process, a lot of back and forth, a lot of back and forth on the CMC as we sort of nail down this biologic [indiscernible], it's the first medicine using transferrin receptor as a mechanism for delivery to be reviewed at the FDA. So setting the precedent there as well. And at this point, we're weeks away from a decision, but moving in a positive direction.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#4

So it was delayed by a short amount of time...

Ryan Watts

executive
#5

Right.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#6

Do we have any idea what that delay was?

Ryan Watts

executive
#7

Yes, we know exactly what that delay was about. As we were nearing the late cycle review, it was identified that there was a miscalculation on a molecular weight from a public database that actually someone, a third party used to calculate our population PK. That was corrected in like 4 days. And the FDA, in general, sort of stayed on track with the review. And as I mentioned, like that longer period of time, probably going mainly through CMC. But now let's put all of this in the context of the complexity of the regulatory environment right now. And I think a lot of has been said about accelerated approval in rare disease and providing medicines in these patients, especially in patients where you have these neurological deficits. And what I would say is that our experience with our review division has been generally positive and constructive. So that was completed. There's been actually no more questions around that particular piece. And now it's just the final stages, label discussions, post-marketing commitments, everything you'd expect at this timing of the review.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#8

But you've been in labeling discussions, right, for a while? Or is that not a fair statement?

Ryan Watts

executive
#9

I think we have -- I would say that in the last month or 2, we're like really in it.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#10

Okay.

Ryan Watts

executive
#11

Right. So it's like we began that process. We had a late cycle meeting towards the end of last year, but now this is -- we're really in the thick of it now.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#12

Right. And then ReGenX gets a CRL. And I think everybody says, did something change here for Denali as well. So I guess I'll let you kind of answer that question.

Ryan Watts

executive
#13

I think the best way for me to answer that is rather than comment on [ ReGenX ] and their data set, specifically, what I can tell you is sort of the totality of our data set, right? So 47 patients worth of data. Patients have now been treated up to 4 to 5 years. We have a confirmatory trial, the COMPASS trial that has a significant number of patients as well, both neuronopathic as well as attenuated. And what we see is a normalization of heparan sulfate, and we'll just call it total heparan sulfate. So the 4 major dextrans as measured. So no specific -- not measuring just one specific dextran and looking at effect, but there, we're seeing normalization. I think importantly, we also see NfL normalization, which is a biomarker of neurodegeneration. And so I think we, obviously, like others, have looked very carefully at what the FDA has said in that CRL. We feel like we're in a strong position with our data and our engagement with the FDA.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#14

Not to keep harping on this, but they didn't have 4 major dextrans, right, in their data...

Ryan Watts

executive
#15

That's right.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#16

They were kind of focused on.

Ryan Watts

executive
#17

Yes. I think historically, they did, but then they focused in on a single dextrans.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#18

Do you think that's a potential reason?

Ryan Watts

executive
#19

Well, I think the issue you have and sort of cited in the CRL, again, without going into too much detail, is the great debate with biomarkers, and you've seen this in the last month or 2 is what level of biomarker correction is needed to drive a clinical benefit, right? And until you know what that level is, the best case scenario is you normalize, and therefore, it puts you in the highest probability of confirming that, that biomarker is leading to clinical benefit. And I think this is where the FDA is in my -- the way I would state it is holding a high bar. It's holding a high bar. And obviously, we were behind our competitors, both ReGenX and JCR, and our goal has been to develop a platform broadly to prove it with Hunter syndrome, but to hold ourselves also to a high bar in terms of the quality of the data we generate and the path towards approval.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#20

So let's talk about what is the standard of care for Hunter today? And is there any way to make a comparison of your product versus that product?

Ryan Watts

executive
#21

Yes. So I'll answer that. And then as we get into more, Katie will add to it. But the standard of care today is it's now been almost 20 years since idursulfase was approved, which is an enzyme replacement therapy, and it's delivered systemically. And what I can just say generally is that if you look at our data, specifically looking at like peripheral urine heparan sulfate, we see even normalization in that as well when patients switch from standard of care to tivi. And part of that is probably around dose, the dose that we selected. But in reality, that particular medicine is not engineered to cross the blood-brain barrier. 70% of patients on diagnosis are determined to be neuronopathic will have severe neurological deficits. And the idea is that those patients, in particular, will greatly benefit from a medicine that can also cross the blood-brain barrier. But we replace standard of care. So we -- we're not dosed on top of any other medicine, but we're dosed to treat both the entire body and the brain.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#22

Right, right, right. So Katie, why don't you talk about commercial now? What's the plan?

Katie Peng

executive
#23

Yes. So we're very excited to be here at this stage. And we've actually built our field team at the end of last year, getting ready originally for a January approval. So our payer field team, our sales team, our medical science liaison team are all out now. We've had great engagements with payers so far to share our data and to get an understanding of how they see pricing and coverage for patients. In addition, we've also engaged with all of the centers of excellence because our MSL team is very familiar with the investigators, but also we've been sharing our data along the way for a few years now. There's tremendous excitement in the community. There's high awareness of the tivi data, but not just with physicians, but with the patient community as well. So there's general excitement. In addition, this year, now we finished setting up our distribution model as well as our patient services because we know that's really important to get patients reimbursed and supported as we launch this medicine. So we expect to see a very strong uptake in the patients who are just recently diagnosed and also patients that are diagnosed with the severe neurologic manifestations.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#24

Do you think patients will switch?

Katie Peng

executive
#25

Yes. So today, about 95% of patients are on Elaprase. So it is absolutely a switch strategy. And as Ryan mentioned earlier on the data, our Phase I/II data showed, right, patients who were on Elaprase switching to tivi and doing much better on all the biomarkers. So it is actually the most compelling point because physicians monitor patient progression today using urinary GAGs, and we see that tivi does much, much better. And so for all the market research we've done and the advisory boards we've done, this data is what's going to compel physicians to make the switch.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#26

And the doctors are saying, even though the patient -- it seems to be working, this works even better, so we should switch.

Katie Peng

executive
#27

Yes. One interesting fact that we've learned is that because there's been no innovation for 20 years, there was nothing to switch to. But as we get into these deeper conversations, almost all patients are still progressing on the standard of care. So it could be neurologically, it could be in the periphery. So what we have learned is that standard of care, even in the periphery, I think there's still unmet need.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#28

Yes. What about genetic testing? How does that fit in?

Katie Peng

executive
#29

Yes. So in order to get an official Hunter syndrome or MPS II diagnosis, patients do have to be genetically tested. And so once they get tested, then they confirm they have an ICD9 code and they can start billing for having Hunter syndrome. Are you asking maybe about newborn screening?

Marc Goodman

analyst
#30

Yes, I was about ask, that's where I was...

Katie Peng

executive
#31

Yes. So in the U.S. now, about 13 states have adopted newborn screening, which is great because we know in this disease, the earlier you can impact the treatment and treat the disease, the better it will be for patients. And so 13 states have now adopted it. But as you can imagine, with medicines now being approved in this space, there will be more incentive to push newborn screening more holistically across the U.S.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#32

Yes. Interesting. And lastly, just on the subject, the Royalty Pharma deal, what was the purpose of that?

Ryan Watts

executive
#33

Yes. So I think for us, if we step back a little bit and look at the entire portfolio, our goal, which we've set now a while back was to commercialize our own medicines, specifically in the enzyme replacement therapies, right? And so we set out to figure out how would we do that as really leaving it ourselves. And the Royalty Pharma deal puts us in a very strong position. That with also an equity financing brings in another year of capital, really takes us to the end of 2028. But I think also is reflective of the deep diligence on the platform in order to say, okay, there's real promise here. And there's real promise in Hunter as a commercial opportunity, right? We wanted to be able to finance ourselves through our 3-year goals. And we've laid those out at the end of last year, which was to have 2 growing brands, one with tivi in Hunter syndrome, another with DNL126 in Sanfilippo, 5 clinical proof of concepts and bringing an additional 5 medicines into the clinic using the transport vehicle. At this point, we have 5 [ tivi-enabled ] programs. So the royalty financing with the equity financing at the end of last year lays that foundation for the next 3 years.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#34

Yes. Interesting. So let's flip gears to Sanfilippo 126. So where are we with that program? And what do we have to show? Because there seems to be some derisking that's already occurred, I would think.

Ryan Watts

executive
#35

Yes. I'll start on where we are with the program and then Katie, you can add to that. So we just presented data at WORLD. This is the first data, the most robust data set, I think, yet presented in Sanfilippo. We have a robust reduction in CSF heparan sulfate, again, our familiar biomarker as well as GM2 and other lysosomal biomarkers. We also see reduction in urine heparan sulfate, normalization of liver volume. And basically, we're in a strong position. What's interesting about that data set is that it was essentially 2 cohorts that were dose finding, and we really need to figure out the dose frequency and the dose levels. And if you look closely at the data, you can see how that plays out in the biomarker over time as well, especially the urinary GAGs. You can really see that as we shifted to weekly dosing at the high dose, we drove a really robust effect. And we also improved tolerance going to weekly from every other week dosing. And part of that is in these enzyme replacement therapies, having drug on board allows you to build tolerance. So a lot of really important insight in that data set. We now have what we call the key efficacy cohorts, which are fully enrolled. We'll complete -- we'll have a data cut in September, and that will be the data that goes into our BLA filing for accelerated approval, again, using CSF heparan sulfate as a surrogate biomarker reasonably likely to predict clinical benefit. So a lot of similarities with Hunter, but also some significant differences. There's no standard of care in this disease. It is a very aggressive neurodegenerative disease. I'd say even more so than Hunter. Hunter is, of course, whole body and brain. Sanfilippo tends to really impact the central nervous system. Even the heparan sulfate is elevated about twofold above what you see in Hunter. And so I think timing of intervention is really going to matter with Sanfilippo and more so than some of these other diseases.

Katie Peng

executive
#36

So in terms of the commercial opportunity, it is exciting because the infrastructure today that we're building for tivi is going to be the same infrastructure that we'll be launching DNL126 as well. So we will not have to add additional headcount. Same call point, same customers. And so you can imagine that with our ETB portfolio, we can get very, very high brand margins because our spend will be limited.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#37

Interesting. And just lastly, before we move on, the number of patients in each one of these populations.?

Katie Peng

executive
#38

Yes. So we're -- it's hard to because there's no treatment, getting the right epi is hard, but we're roughly estimating that it's about 75% of the MPS II market, so around 1,500 patients worldwide versus for MPS -- sorry, MPS II. MPS IIIA is 1,500, MPS II is 2,000 worldwide.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#39

Yes. Okay. Terrific. I want to step back just for a second. One of the -- well, actually, before we do that, let's talk about any other lysosomal storage disorder pipeline products that we can talk about...

Ryan Watts

executive
#40

Yes. We just received clearance, and we'll soon begin dosing with our Pompe program using the transport vehicle technology. This is ETV:GAA. What we've shown there, which is a little unique from Hunter and Sanfilippo is the ability for transferrin receptor-enabled technology to improve muscle biodistribution. So that's well known. There are other companies that are using TFR platforms to deliver, for example, oligonucleotides to muscle. And what we've seen compared to the standard of care is more robust benefit in muscle endpoints in Pompe. So LOPD obviously, is the primary goal here. Now fortunately, there's also a rare population that has more severe mutations, IOPD, where we also believe ETV:GAA can be differentiated because we can deliver across the blood-brain barrier. So improve muscle delivery, improve brain delivery. That program will begin dosing and really expecting data for this next set of transport vehicles that includes GA MAPT for Alzheimer's, Abeta for Alzheimer's in 2027, but it all comes down to our ability to enroll and dose escalate in each of these studies. So a very exciting time expanding the portfolio at the same time that Katie and her team are preparing for our first commercial launch.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#41

So 5, 6 years ago, I feel like you were the blood-based barrier buster, right? I mean you were the one. And now it feels like I don't know everybody seems to want to have one. How is yours different? Like as you hear about each one of these, I'm sure you get questions like what do you think of this? What do you think -- how do you differentiate?

Ryan Watts

executive
#42

I mean it's very good news that everyone else is wanting to do it. If you're in a field and you're the only one doing it, it probably means that what you're doing is not working. And I think in biotech, like once something starts to work, everyone jumps on board with a variation. And frankly, that's actually what's best for patients because then they'll have many options and people will use their deep expertise to invent in whatever part of this technology, if it's the protein engineering, if it's the cargo that you're delivering. And so obviously, you're right, we probably had a decade head start in this area. It's something that I've worked on now for 20 years and started working on blood-brain barrier in actually 2006. And I remember first working on this is prior to founding of Denali, we looked at everything that existed in the patent literature and everything that existed in the publication literature and just made them and said, is there something that already works and that's where we started to invent and really understand the dynamics of trafficking at the blood-brain barrier, first with transferrin receptor, then with CD98 and then we've now combined them. And what we learned when we founded Denali now over a decade ago is that we wanted really something that was modular that allowed us to make fusion proteins that allowed us to make antibodies. And then eventually, we were the first to show that you could actually get an oligonucleotide into the brain. That had never been shown. And frankly, I didn't think it was possible because think of what has to happen. You deliver this thing either subcu or IV. It has to cross the blood-brain barrier, get into a cell, release the oligonucleotide and then modulate gene expression in the neuron. I mean that's a journey. That's multiple cells that you're crossing to this -- to get to this spot. So when we saw that for the first time, and we actually published that in 2024, but saw it for the first time in 2021, we thought this is really like this can really change things. And I actually feel like that presentation of that data in '21 and [indiscernible] that's become one of the most competitive areas in blood-brain barrier is delivery of oligonucleotides because now you can regulate gene expression in the brain. And so of course, we want to win. We're competitive. That's great. But also, if it's working, you should expect a lot of people to do it, which was my original point. Now to answer the question, what is differentiated. And I think the fact that we built receptor binding into the Fc is unique. We haven't seen that with any other competitors. Part of that is we have a very strong IP landscape. The fab approach is what most people are taking. There's some variation of fab and they make fab fusions, fusions with oligos, fusions with antibodies. I think stability can be a challenge there. And we've done a lot of work on differentiation. In some cases, directly against the exact architecture of a competitor in other cases, like theoretical differences. Some of that has been published. Others we presented at the end of last year in an extensive R&D Day. So I think that those areas of differentiation are important. But all of them may work to some extent. The question is who will get there first and who will ultimately be better and let's see how -- I mean, I would love to look back 10 years from now and have like 20 or 30 approved transferrin receptor programs. Now great if a lot of them are ours, but also okay if the field is now really growing and can actually deliver medicines that way.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#43

Yes. You mentioned the MAPT and the Abeta. Talk about those products a little bit. Obviously, there's 2 drugs for Alzheimer's on the market. Obviously, Roche is working very hard with tronti to kind of get there as well. Where do these fit in?

Ryan Watts

executive
#44

Yes. We're on the -- as we're on the eve of our first approval, I think it's important to step back and say a decade ago, we founded Denali because we wanted to defeat degeneration. Our goal was to make medicines for Alzheimer's and Parkinson's. But as almost always the case in biotech, you follow the science, and it was actually much more compelling for us to start with Hunter and Sanfilippo, where it's a monogenic disease. There's approved enzymes, they don't get in the brain. So there's a linearity, like you know there's a high probability of success. What's changed for us is that I didn't never imagine working on childhood diseases. It's profoundly impactful, like beyond measure as you engage with these families and you engage with the community, and that ended up being very foundational for Denali is working in the enzyme replacement therapies. But we never forgot that we wanted to solve, at least be part of solving Alzheimer's and Parkinson's and these other areas. And so it's very exciting that our first real oligonucleotide program, MAPT, is now entering the clinic it's going to silence the expression of the gene MAPT that codes for tau. And the idea is right now, there's intrathecal delivery, but can we replace that with IV delivery and subcu delivery and knockdown expression of tau. And in addition to that, there's now a class of molecules. I mean, let's all face it, everyone either believed in Abeta or tau, and now you can hopefully believe in both. I mean we're still waiting to see if tau knockdown will lead to clinical benefit. But there are now -- like now we need a best-in-class Abeta molecule, and that's where our ATV:Abeta program comes. And so that's -- I think it's an exciting time to go back to our origin and make neurodegeneration medicines using the transport vehicle technology to create this best-in-class, certainly in the Abeta field.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#45

So just to be clear, the Abeta, this is your own Abeta...

Ryan Watts

executive
#46

Yes. So -- what we've done, and I think it's probably best described in a paper we published in science last year in August is we've engineered this antibody to be immune silent when bound to transferrin receptor. But when bound to amyloid plaque, we can remove amyloid plaque through the Fc gamma receptor interaction. It's called a cisLALA mutation. I think it's very clever. Our engineers proposed this idea and then determined it sort of empirically. And so the goal is to have the robustness of plaque removal that you have with any standard full effector function antibody, but have that molecule be silent when bound to transferrin receptor. Then in terms of the Abeta arms, we're selecting arms that bind aggregated Abeta preferentially, not monomeric, and that's essentially the approach we're taking with that program.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#47

Interesting. And where is that program?

Ryan Watts

executive
#48

We'll be filing it very soon. So we'll be starting clinical studies this year. I think with both MAPT, Abeta and our GAA program for Pompe, we're just generally seeing data in 2027, but full speed ahead. The faster we can go, the better with any of those 3 programs. Obviously, the Pompe program expands the ETV franchise to a larger market, including muscle, but let's face it like tau and Abeta are really important targets, one of which has at least been clinically validated.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#49

So we're all watching Biogen, I guess, is probably the next tau oligo, right? So we'll know what if it doesn't work? What if it does work? What does it mean?

Ryan Watts

executive
#50

So I think what we can say already and probably the most interesting thing we can say is that with the Biogen ASO program, they were able to reduce tau, but they're also able to reduce tau pathology by PET. And that actually is not intuitive. Now we think of amyloid plaque, you have these microglial cells. They're the -- since we're here in Miami Beach, they're the beach comers of the brain. So microglia goes around and cleans everything up. You have antibody tag the amyloid plaque and basically engulf the amyloid plaque. That's what the Abeta antibodies do. With tau, those neurofibrillary tangles are inside a cell. And it's uncertain that reducing tau protein alone would actually reverse tau pathology, but that's what the initial data has already taught us from Biogen. So now there's one really important question, which is, does reducing tau pathology lead to a clinical benefit. The distinction of the OTV, which is an oligo transport vehicle and the way that Biogen approach it, which is an intrathecal delivery of an ASO, so injecting the spinal cord is it's a very different biodistribution profile. Our medicine will cross capillaries and give you even distribution throughout the brain, where intrathecal delivered medicines don't penetrate deeper brain regions. We've shown this in nonhuman primates. And of course, humans are -- at least our brain or central nervous system is about 18x larger than a nonhuman primate. And there, you're just relying on browny and motion for these ASOs to diffuse. So I think there's a real chance for differentiation in biodistribution. Now does the traditional intrathecal approach, is it going to actually test the tau hypothesis? I guess it remains -- this is a type 2 experiment. In other words, if there's clinical data looks great, then we know and then we can replace that with either a subcu or an IV injection. If it doesn't look great, it could be around biodistribution, right? So there's really one outcome that's informative, which would be a clinical benefit. If not, there are multiple reasons why it may have failed.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#51

Yes. Interesting, very interesting. Another data readout this year is LRRK2, right? So give us a quick update on LRRK2.

Ryan Watts

executive
#52

Yes. This is an exciting year, waiting for an approval. We just had our first data on Sanfilippo, we'll complete that. We have a LRRK2 readout midyear. That's being run by Biogen. LRRK2 is a kinase that when mutated is hyperactive and is one of the 2 major genetic risk factors in Parkinson's. GBA is the other. We're approaching that with a GCase enzyme replacement therapy. But in the case of LRRK2, it's really compelling genetics, and we've developed a LRRK2 inhibitor. This is one of few medicines that aren't using the transport vehicle in our portfolio. This is one of our very first programs way back 11 years ago that we started engineering small molecules that were blood-brain barrier penetrant. This will be a really big test of the LRRK2 hypothesis because it's 650 patients, UPDRS, real clinical endpoint. This is a registrational sized study being run by Biogen. But I think the reason to believe is that the genetics is very compelling. The question in neurodegeneration is always timing of intervention. right? You can have a genetic cause, but even Abeta, it took time for us to understand selecting the right patients, intervening at the right time to provide a clinical benefit. So we hope we've learned from that. And in the case of LRRK2, we're actually testing idiopathic, but we also have a separate study with just LRRK2 carriers where we're looking at biomarkers. So I think it's obviously an exciting target.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#53

Were we able to find those patients? I know it was...

Ryan Watts

executive
#54

We -- actually, we are. And the difference between LIGHTHOUSE, which was a 400-patient study and BEACON, which is a 50-patient study, is that we actually focus more on the biomarker aspects of BEACON and therefore, changed the enrollment criteria to allow us to quickly find those patients. And that study, we're nearing completion and enrollment in that study, much faster than we had for LIGHTHOUSE.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#55

Yes. And then just lastly, in the last few seconds, the other program that you were mentioning...

Ryan Watts

executive
#56

Yes. So progranulin, this is the -- so progranulin is PTV progranulin. And the idea here is a protein replacement therapy, enzyme replacement therapy for progranulin. And here, this year, we're looking at the proximal biomarkers, the biomarkers of lysosomal function in FTD granulin.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#57

Excellent. There's a lot going on.

Ryan Watts

executive
#58

It's exciting time.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#59

Hopefully, you'll be very busy.

Katie Peng

executive
#60

Yes.

Marc Goodman

analyst
#61

Thank you very much for joining us.

Ryan Watts

executive
#62

Thank you.

Katie Peng

executive
#63

Thank you.

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